Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.005 80.885   22 -0.007   22 -0.044   21 -0.064   22 0.4924    1  0.694    4  0.121   28 -0.250   18 -0.092
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.857   30 -0.228   30 -0.218   29 -0.195   30 0.4677    2  0.664   21 -0.039   30 -0.351    2  0.300
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.616   21 -0.005   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   19 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.005   29 -0.278   25 -0.170
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.044 79.368   20 -0.005   20 -0.039   22 -0.066   21 0.4934    4  0.638   11  0.065   25 -0.197   21 -0.119
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.847    7  0.034    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.625    1  0.237   14  0.001   11  0.031
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.005 81.000   15  0.000   15 -0.013   18 -0.022   15 0.4983    6  0.624    8  0.095   24 -0.139   24 -0.163
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.483   17 -0.002   17 -0.027   17 -0.019   17 0.4968    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.132   27 -0.225
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.014 82.020   18 -0.003   18 -0.031   15  0.004   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.109   20 -0.102    4  0.271
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.028 79.500   29 -0.226   29 -0.208   27 -0.139   29 0.4688    9  0.611   19 -0.034   27 -0.244   30 -0.356
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.015 83.543   13  0.005   12  0.024   10  0.046   13 0.5029   10  0.609    3  0.149   16 -0.056   17 -0.072
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.006 81.488    9  0.014    9  0.053   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.578   10  0.088   17 -0.057   20 -0.098
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.009 84.608    6  0.064    6  0.103    8  0.065    6 0.5152   12  0.556    5  0.118   13  0.012   29 -0.295
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.039 78.695   19 -0.004   19 -0.036   23 -0.068   20 0.4943   13  0.535   20 -0.035   19 -0.101   26 -0.195
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.011 82.011   27 -0.173   27 -0.152   25 -0.099   27 0.4775   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.127   22 -0.140
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.874   25 -0.028   25 -0.075   24 -0.089   25 0.4886   15  0.519   23 -0.071   21 -0.108   28 -0.234
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.683   23 -0.011   23 -0.056   20 -0.037   23 0.4919   16  0.514   18 -0.023   15 -0.051   16 -0.051
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.062   14  0.002   14 -0.001   14  0.014   14 0.5005   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.014   19 -0.093
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.019 79.794   24 -0.013   24 -0.061    9  0.055   24 0.4905   18  0.486   12  0.044   11  0.067   23 -0.155
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.028 79.662   28 -0.220   28 -0.188   30 -0.244   28 0.4707   19  0.462   30 -0.277   26 -0.211    1  0.563
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.375   12  0.005   13  0.023   11  0.034   12 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.018    9  0.085    7  0.234
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.006 80.864   26 -0.116   26 -0.125   26 -0.122   26 0.4804   21  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.062    3  0.284
BREWERS      109  60 860 635  0.007 84.776    1  0.234    1  0.243    1  0.241    1 0.5369   22  0.429    2  0.178    2  0.303   10  0.034
RAYS         102  65 752 663 -0.002 83.323    3  0.208    3  0.179    6  0.110    3 0.5265   23  0.398   13  0.020    6  0.199   12  0.018
DODGERS      103  66 822 623 -0.002 84.204    2  0.210    2  0.179    2  0.203    2 0.5268   24  0.392    7  0.109    3  0.297   14  0.012
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.685   16 -0.000   16 -0.016   19 -0.030   16 0.4980   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.085   13  0.015
GUARDIANS     89  80 709 688 -0.015 83.581   11  0.007   11  0.033   16  0.002   11 0.5041   26  0.356   26 -0.124    8  0.127   15 -0.012
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.369    4  0.125    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.331   17 -0.021    4  0.272    8  0.103
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.727    8  0.028    8  0.074   12  0.033    8 0.5112   28  0.317   27 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.262
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.004 82.285   10  0.013   10  0.051    7  0.076    9 0.5082   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.270    9  0.085
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.005 82.615    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.150    5 0.5177   30  0.240   22 -0.070    1  0.370    6  0.259

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.857   30 -0.228   30 -0.218   29 -0.195   30 0.4677    2  0.664   21 -0.039   30 -0.351    2  0.300
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.006 81.488    9  0.014    9  0.053   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.578   10  0.088   17 -0.057   20 -0.098
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.009 84.608    6  0.064    6  0.103    8  0.065    6 0.5152   12  0.556    5  0.118   13  0.012   29 -0.295
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.011 82.011   27 -0.173   27 -0.152   25 -0.099   27 0.4775   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.127   22 -0.140
DODGERS      103  66 822 623 -0.002 84.204    2  0.210    2  0.179    2  0.203    2 0.5268   24  0.392    7  0.109    3  0.297   14  0.012

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.616   21 -0.005   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   19 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.005   29 -0.278   25 -0.170
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.847    7  0.034    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.625    1  0.237   14  0.001   11  0.031
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.483   17 -0.002   17 -0.027   17 -0.019   17 0.4968    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.132   27 -0.225
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.375   12  0.005   13  0.023   11  0.034   12 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.018    9  0.085    7  0.234
BREWERS      109  60 860 635  0.007 84.776    1  0.234    1  0.243    1  0.241    1 0.5369   22  0.429    2  0.178    2  0.303   10  0.034

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.014 82.020   18 -0.003   18 -0.031   15  0.004   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.109   20 -0.102    4  0.271
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.683   23 -0.011   23 -0.056   20 -0.037   23 0.4919   16  0.514   18 -0.023   15 -0.051   16 -0.051
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.062   14  0.002   14 -0.001   14  0.014   14 0.5005   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.014   19 -0.093
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.369    4  0.125    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.331   17 -0.021    4  0.272    8  0.103
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.727    8  0.028    8  0.074   12  0.033    8 0.5112   28  0.317   27 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.262

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.044 79.368   20 -0.005   20 -0.039   22 -0.066   21 0.4934    4  0.638   11  0.065   25 -0.197   21 -0.119
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.028 79.500   29 -0.226   29 -0.208   27 -0.139   29 0.4688    9  0.611   19 -0.034   27 -0.244   30 -0.356
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.039 78.695   19 -0.004   19 -0.036   23 -0.068   20 0.4943   13  0.535   20 -0.035   19 -0.101   26 -0.195
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.874   25 -0.028   25 -0.075   24 -0.089   25 0.4886   15  0.519   23 -0.071   21 -0.108   28 -0.234
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.028 79.662   28 -0.220   28 -0.188   30 -0.244   28 0.4707   19  0.462   30 -0.277   26 -0.211    1  0.563

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.005 80.885   22 -0.007   22 -0.044   21 -0.064   22 0.4924    1  0.694    4  0.121   28 -0.250   18 -0.092
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.015 83.543   13  0.005   12  0.024   10  0.046   13 0.5029   10  0.609    3  0.149   16 -0.056   17 -0.072
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.019 79.794   24 -0.013   24 -0.061    9  0.055   24 0.4905   18  0.486   12  0.044   11  0.067   23 -0.155
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.006 80.864   26 -0.116   26 -0.125   26 -0.122   26 0.4804   21  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.062    3  0.284
GUARDIANS     89  80 709 688 -0.015 83.581   11  0.007   11  0.033   16  0.002   11 0.5041   26  0.356   26 -0.124    8  0.127   15 -0.012

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.005 81.000   15  0.000   15 -0.013   18 -0.022   15 0.4983    6  0.624    8  0.095   24 -0.139   24 -0.163
RAYS         102  65 752 663 -0.002 83.323    3  0.208    3  0.179    6  0.110    3 0.5265   23  0.398   13  0.020    6  0.199   12  0.018
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.685   16 -0.000   16 -0.016   19 -0.030   16 0.4980   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.085   13  0.015
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.004 82.285   10  0.013   10  0.051    7  0.076    9 0.5082   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.270    9  0.085
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.005 82.615    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.150    5 0.5177   30  0.240   22 -0.070    1  0.370    6  0.259

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    442 378 0.539    1  0.077
NL CENTRAL 432 387 0.527    2  0.063
NL EAST    417 403 0.509    3  0.038
NL WEST    406 417 0.493    4 -0.003
AL CENTRAL 399 425 0.484    5 -0.022
AL WEST    363 449 0.447    6 -0.164

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.057 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Oct 15 05:30:16 2026
games through: Wed Oct 14 2026

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