Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        64 72 621 681 -0.001 68.164   21 -0.011   21 -0.042   21 -0.068   21 0.4928    1  0.759    3  0.185   30 -0.320   25 -0.205
ORIOLES      67 69 618 639  0.006 68.492   16 -0.002   16 -0.007   17 -0.018   16 0.4992    2  0.673    4  0.149   25 -0.184   23 -0.172
ROCKIES      52 84 642 783  0.020 69.395   28 -0.185   28 -0.158   29 -0.156   28 0.4733    3  0.668   16  0.005   29 -0.317    2  0.334
ANGELS       52 84 553 632 -0.032 66.547   30 -0.211   30 -0.185   27 -0.124   30 0.4689    4  0.666   12  0.035   28 -0.283   30 -0.409
WHITE SOX    72 63 651 603 -0.007 67.178   11  0.009   11  0.043    9  0.052   11 0.5072    5  0.657    2  0.203   22 -0.098   20 -0.115
ASTROS       68 68 618 664 -0.047 65.693   18 -0.005   18 -0.027   22 -0.078   19 0.4941    6  0.654   11  0.070   26 -0.226   17 -0.035
CUBS         77 59 720 591 -0.003 67.802    6  0.052    6  0.092    6  0.115    6 0.5164    7  0.643    1  0.252   14 -0.022   14 -0.010
CARDINALS    68 69 606 620  0.020 69.710   12  0.000   12  0.006   16 -0.004   12 0.5021    8  0.618    8  0.109   23 -0.116   26 -0.227
REDS         64 72 563 673  0.009 68.775   20 -0.009   20 -0.038   28 -0.124   20 0.4931    9  0.612   19 -0.017   27 -0.231   22 -0.161
NATIONALS    65 73 718 698  0.013 69.826   19 -0.006   19 -0.033   13  0.020   18 0.4952   10  0.600    6  0.116   21 -0.075    3  0.320
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       72 64 579 568  0.005 68.370   10  0.009   10  0.045   12  0.023   10 0.5074   11  0.569    9  0.089   15 -0.042   29 -0.372
DIAMONDBACKS 73 65 625 620  0.012 69.790    9  0.010    9  0.048   14  0.018    9 0.5076   12  0.568   10  0.083   17 -0.046   19 -0.099
MARLINS      68 68 588 577  0.006 68.448   13  0.000   13  0.004   15  0.016   13 0.5010   13  0.489   15  0.008   12  0.024   24 -0.194
RANGERS      66 70 547 601 -0.038 66.191   22 -0.011   22 -0.043   24 -0.080   22 0.4921   14  0.488   21 -0.089   20 -0.072   27 -0.227
MARINERS     64 72 530 595 -0.014 67.456   24 -0.014   23 -0.050   23 -0.079   23 0.4918   15  0.485   22 -0.090   19 -0.068   28 -0.265
DODGERS      81 55 664 516  0.001 67.949    4  0.145    4  0.137    2  0.163    3 0.5233   16  0.464    5  0.133    5  0.193   18 -0.083
GIANTS       56 81 560 634  0.003 68.953   27 -0.123   27 -0.127   26 -0.088   27 0.4783   17  0.461   26 -0.121   18 -0.056   16 -0.030
ROYALS       62 75 589 662 -0.009 68.274   26 -0.029   26 -0.073   25 -0.081   26 0.4868   18  0.456   25 -0.119   16 -0.044    7  0.202
PIRATES      66 71 664 639  0.025 69.967   17 -0.002   17 -0.011   11  0.029   15 0.4993   19  0.450   17 -0.014   10  0.071    4  0.308
TIGERS       63 72 595 525 -0.017 66.626   23 -0.014   24 -0.055    8  0.068   24 0.4908   20  0.433   14  0.010    9  0.125   21 -0.121
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    53 83 591 779 -0.018 67.362   29 -0.200   29 -0.168   30 -0.204   29 0.4701   21  0.430   30 -0.264   24 -0.144    1  0.603
METS         61 75 559 609  0.030 69.841   25 -0.017   25 -0.057   20 -0.049   25 0.4901   22  0.416   27 -0.122   13  0.023   13  0.022
BLUE JAYS    67 70 541 598  0.026 70.105   14 -0.001   14 -0.001   19 -0.031   14 0.5002   23  0.405   24 -0.112   11  0.051   15 -0.028
RAYS         81 54 611 558 -0.003 67.344    3  0.145    3  0.140    7  0.078    2 0.5236   24  0.391   18 -0.016    7  0.172   10  0.092
BREWERS      85 51 679 499 -0.001 67.816    1  0.206    1  0.178    1  0.208    1 0.5305   25  0.389    7  0.112    2  0.304   11  0.039
BRAVES       81 55 633 517  0.009 68.430    2  0.148    2  0.141    3  0.141    4 0.5233   26  0.360   13  0.021    4  0.261    9  0.109
PHILLIES     76 60 617 590  0.005 68.321    7  0.039    7  0.085   10  0.043    7 0.5140   27  0.344   23 -0.091    6  0.177    5  0.292
GUARDIANS    68 68 546 558 -0.012 67.527   15 -0.002   15 -0.007   18 -0.026   17 0.4987   28  0.295   29 -0.200    8  0.148   12  0.038
RED SOX      74 62 608 509  0.005 68.267    8  0.021    8  0.066    4  0.119    8 0.5122   29  0.286   20 -0.063    3  0.300    8  0.129
YANKEES      77 59 606 504  0.001 68.026    5  0.055    5  0.094    5  0.116    5 0.5167   30  0.195   28 -0.138    1  0.369    6  0.264

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      52 84 642 783  0.020 69.395   28 -0.185   28 -0.158   29 -0.156   28 0.4733    3  0.668   16  0.005   29 -0.317    2  0.334
PADRES       72 64 579 568  0.005 68.370   10  0.009   10  0.045   12  0.023   10 0.5074   11  0.569    9  0.089   15 -0.042   29 -0.372
DIAMONDBACKS 73 65 625 620  0.012 69.790    9  0.010    9  0.048   14  0.018    9 0.5076   12  0.568   10  0.083   17 -0.046   19 -0.099
DODGERS      81 55 664 516  0.001 67.949    4  0.145    4  0.137    2  0.163    3 0.5233   16  0.464    5  0.133    5  0.193   18 -0.083
GIANTS       56 81 560 634  0.003 68.953   27 -0.123   27 -0.127   26 -0.088   27 0.4783   17  0.461   26 -0.121   18 -0.056   16 -0.030

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         77 59 720 591 -0.003 67.802    6  0.052    6  0.092    6  0.115    6 0.5164    7  0.643    1  0.252   14 -0.022   14 -0.010
CARDINALS    68 69 606 620  0.020 69.710   12  0.000   12  0.006   16 -0.004   12 0.5021    8  0.618    8  0.109   23 -0.116   26 -0.227
REDS         64 72 563 673  0.009 68.775   20 -0.009   20 -0.038   28 -0.124   20 0.4931    9  0.612   19 -0.017   27 -0.231   22 -0.161
PIRATES      66 71 664 639  0.025 69.967   17 -0.002   17 -0.011   11  0.029   15 0.4993   19  0.450   17 -0.014   10  0.071    4  0.308
BREWERS      85 51 679 499 -0.001 67.816    1  0.206    1  0.178    1  0.208    1 0.5305   25  0.389    7  0.112    2  0.304   11  0.039

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    65 73 718 698  0.013 69.826   19 -0.006   19 -0.033   13  0.020   18 0.4952   10  0.600    6  0.116   21 -0.075    3  0.320
MARLINS      68 68 588 577  0.006 68.448   13  0.000   13  0.004   15  0.016   13 0.5010   13  0.489   15  0.008   12  0.024   24 -0.194
METS         61 75 559 609  0.030 69.841   25 -0.017   25 -0.057   20 -0.049   25 0.4901   22  0.416   27 -0.122   13  0.023   13  0.022
BRAVES       81 55 633 517  0.009 68.430    2  0.148    2  0.141    3  0.141    4 0.5233   26  0.360   13  0.021    4  0.261    9  0.109
PHILLIES     76 60 617 590  0.005 68.321    7  0.039    7  0.085   10  0.043    7 0.5140   27  0.344   23 -0.091    6  0.177    5  0.292

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       52 84 553 632 -0.032 66.547   30 -0.211   30 -0.185   27 -0.124   30 0.4689    4  0.666   12  0.035   28 -0.283   30 -0.409
ASTROS       68 68 618 664 -0.047 65.693   18 -0.005   18 -0.027   22 -0.078   19 0.4941    6  0.654   11  0.070   26 -0.226   17 -0.035
RANGERS      66 70 547 601 -0.038 66.191   22 -0.011   22 -0.043   24 -0.080   22 0.4921   14  0.488   21 -0.089   20 -0.072   27 -0.227
MARINERS     64 72 530 595 -0.014 67.456   24 -0.014   23 -0.050   23 -0.079   23 0.4918   15  0.485   22 -0.090   19 -0.068   28 -0.265
ATHLETICS    53 83 591 779 -0.018 67.362   29 -0.200   29 -0.168   30 -0.204   29 0.4701   21  0.430   30 -0.264   24 -0.144    1  0.603

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        64 72 621 681 -0.001 68.164   21 -0.011   21 -0.042   21 -0.068   21 0.4928    1  0.759    3  0.185   30 -0.320   25 -0.205
WHITE SOX    72 63 651 603 -0.007 67.178   11  0.009   11  0.043    9  0.052   11 0.5072    5  0.657    2  0.203   22 -0.098   20 -0.115
ROYALS       62 75 589 662 -0.009 68.274   26 -0.029   26 -0.073   25 -0.081   26 0.4868   18  0.456   25 -0.119   16 -0.044    7  0.202
TIGERS       63 72 595 525 -0.017 66.626   23 -0.014   24 -0.055    8  0.068   24 0.4908   20  0.433   14  0.010    9  0.125   21 -0.121
GUARDIANS    68 68 546 558 -0.012 67.527   15 -0.002   15 -0.007   18 -0.026   17 0.4987   28  0.295   29 -0.200    8  0.148   12  0.038

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      67 69 618 639  0.006 68.492   16 -0.002   16 -0.007   17 -0.018   16 0.4992    2  0.673    4  0.149   25 -0.184   23 -0.172
BLUE JAYS    67 70 541 598  0.026 70.105   14 -0.001   14 -0.001   19 -0.031   14 0.5002   23  0.405   24 -0.112   11  0.051   15 -0.028
RAYS         81 54 611 558 -0.003 67.344    3  0.145    3  0.140    7  0.078    2 0.5236   24  0.391   18 -0.016    7  0.172   10  0.092
RED SOX      74 62 608 509  0.005 68.267    8  0.021    8  0.066    4  0.119    8 0.5122   29  0.286   20 -0.063    3  0.300    8  0.129
YANKEES      77 59 606 504  0.001 68.026    5  0.055    5  0.094    5  0.116    5 0.5167   30  0.195   28 -0.138    1  0.369    6  0.264

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    366 314 0.538    1  0.079
NL CENTRAL 360 322 0.528    2  0.067
NL EAST    351 331 0.515    3  0.051
NL WEST    334 349 0.489    4 -0.012
AL CENTRAL 329 350 0.485    5 -0.016
AL WEST    303 377 0.446    6 -0.168

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.058 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Aug 30 05:30:13 2026
games through: Sat Aug 29 2026

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