Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      85 52 699 532 -0.008 67.116    1  0.227    1  0.191    1  0.196    1 0.5281    5  0.633    2  0.326   15  0.066   27 -0.251
YANKEES      76 60 717 582  0.010 67.693    6  0.081    6  0.103    2  0.162    6 0.5154    2  0.697    1  0.354   18 -0.031   24 -0.127
CUBS         78 58 671 553  0.014 67.873    2  0.132    2  0.130    3  0.150    2 0.5195   10  0.575    3  0.225   11  0.076   23 -0.108
RED SOX      75 62 673 574  0.008 68.093    9  0.052    9  0.083    4  0.114    9 0.5117   11  0.547    6  0.162   14  0.066   15  0.007
PHILLIES     79 57 649 548 -0.028 65.628    4  0.101    4  0.114    5  0.106    4 0.5169   29  0.288   22 -0.071    1  0.284    2  0.338
DODGERS      77 59 695 595 -0.019 66.128    8  0.071    8  0.095    6  0.105    8 0.5143   17  0.458   11  0.073    4  0.137    3  0.293
TIGERS       79 58 656 571 -0.021 66.580    5  0.096    5  0.112    7  0.099    5 0.5167   15  0.475    9  0.082    6  0.117    9  0.106
RANGERS      70 67 587 498 -0.008 67.270   14  0.007   14  0.014    8  0.089   13 0.5023   14  0.477   10  0.073    7  0.104   30 -0.472
PADRES       76 60 580 520  0.005 67.481    7  0.073    7  0.099    9  0.084    7 0.5152   28  0.322   20 -0.065    2  0.234   20 -0.082
BLUE JAYS    78 58 667 615  0.009 67.714    3  0.120    3  0.125   10  0.076    3 0.5183   13  0.519    8  0.099   17  0.052    7  0.135
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         73 63 649 581 -0.025 65.903   12  0.018   12  0.044   11  0.060   12 0.5063   18  0.457   14  0.026    8  0.094   11  0.088
RAYS         66 69 604 560  0.015 67.588   18  0.001   18 -0.008   12  0.046   18 0.4987   24  0.397   18 -0.040    5  0.132   10  0.092
MARINERS     72 64 623 600  0.012 67.966   11  0.024   11  0.056   13  0.035   11 0.5084    4  0.661    4  0.193   24 -0.122   28 -0.337
REDS         68 68 604 574  0.000 67.302   16  0.004   16 -0.000   14  0.028   16 0.5000   20  0.450   17 -0.011   13  0.067   16 -0.025
ASTROS       75 61 572 554 -0.020 66.232   10  0.034   10  0.069   15  0.014   10 0.5105   23  0.405   21 -0.065    9  0.092   19 -0.064
DIAMONDBACKS 68 69 676 658 -0.021 66.640   20 -0.002   20 -0.020   16  0.013   20 0.4973    9  0.597    7  0.108   23 -0.083    6  0.135
GIANTS       67 69 567 567  0.004 67.571   19  0.001   19 -0.010   17 -0.006   19 0.4985   21  0.415   23 -0.077   16  0.064   22 -0.108
ROYALS       70 66 529 527 -0.002 67.255   13  0.009   13  0.023   18 -0.012   14 0.5021   25  0.393   24 -0.101   10  0.077   26 -0.249
BRAVES       61 75 601 620 -0.002 67.271   27 -0.048   27 -0.085   19 -0.030   27 0.4873   12  0.526   16 -0.001   22 -0.059   17 -0.034
CARDINALS    68 69 599 629  0.006 68.214   17  0.002   17 -0.004   20 -0.034   17 0.4992    7  0.608   12  0.072   25 -0.140   25 -0.145
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      61 76 498 557  0.018 68.950   26 -0.038   26 -0.077   21 -0.052   26 0.4888   30  0.253   29 -0.258    3  0.153   21 -0.087
ATHLETICS    63 74 619 707  0.005 68.223   23 -0.023   23 -0.062   22 -0.070   23 0.4911    8  0.607   13  0.036   26 -0.175    5  0.167
GUARDIANS    68 66 517 570 -0.008 66.007   15  0.004   15  0.006   23 -0.072   15 0.5006   27  0.328   28 -0.217   12  0.072   14  0.014
TWINS        61 74 566 634  0.004 67.194   24 -0.035   24 -0.075   24 -0.074   24 0.4891   19  0.451   25 -0.113   19 -0.035    8  0.108
ORIOLES      61 75 593 670  0.011 68.097   25 -0.037   25 -0.076   25 -0.085   25 0.4889   16  0.462   26 -0.114   21 -0.056    4  0.234
MARLINS      64 72 594 681  0.009 67.966   22 -0.011   22 -0.043   26 -0.089   22 0.4929    1  0.778    5  0.187   29 -0.364   29 -0.339
ANGELS       63 72 578 682  0.025 68.309   21 -0.009   21 -0.039   27 -0.101   21 0.4934    6  0.615   15  0.012   27 -0.214   18 -0.046
WHITE SOX    48 88 533 626  0.008 67.936   29 -0.266   29 -0.234   28 -0.123   29 0.4656   22  0.406   27 -0.201   20 -0.045   13  0.030
NATIONALS    53 82 567 744  0.008 67.639   28 -0.226   28 -0.171   29 -0.219   28 0.4750    3  0.661   19 -0.062   30 -0.377   12  0.047
ROCKIES      38 98 510 864  0.020 68.904   30 -0.363   30 -0.356   30 -0.417   30 0.4473   26  0.360   30 -0.534   28 -0.300    1  0.680
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      77 59 695 595 -0.019 66.128    8  0.071    8  0.095    6  0.105    8 0.5143   17  0.458   11  0.073    4  0.137    3  0.293
PADRES       76 60 580 520  0.005 67.481    7  0.073    7  0.099    9  0.084    7 0.5152   28  0.322   20 -0.065    2  0.234   20 -0.082
DIAMONDBACKS 68 69 676 658 -0.021 66.640   20 -0.002   20 -0.020   16  0.013   20 0.4973    9  0.597    7  0.108   23 -0.083    6  0.135
GIANTS       67 69 567 567  0.004 67.571   19  0.001   19 -0.010   17 -0.006   19 0.4985   21  0.415   23 -0.077   16  0.064   22 -0.108
ROCKIES      38 98 510 864  0.020 68.904   30 -0.363   30 -0.356   30 -0.417   30 0.4473   26  0.360   30 -0.534   28 -0.300    1  0.680

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      85 52 699 532 -0.008 67.116    1  0.227    1  0.191    1  0.196    1 0.5281    5  0.633    2  0.326   15  0.066   27 -0.251
CUBS         78 58 671 553  0.014 67.873    2  0.132    2  0.130    3  0.150    2 0.5195   10  0.575    3  0.225   11  0.076   23 -0.108
REDS         68 68 604 574  0.000 67.302   16  0.004   16 -0.000   14  0.028   16 0.5000   20  0.450   17 -0.011   13  0.067   16 -0.025
CARDINALS    68 69 599 629  0.006 68.214   17  0.002   17 -0.004   20 -0.034   17 0.4992    7  0.608   12  0.072   25 -0.140   25 -0.145
PIRATES      61 76 498 557  0.018 68.950   26 -0.038   26 -0.077   21 -0.052   26 0.4888   30  0.253   29 -0.258    3  0.153   21 -0.087

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES     79 57 649 548 -0.028 65.628    4  0.101    4  0.114    5  0.106    4 0.5169   29  0.288   22 -0.071    1  0.284    2  0.338
METS         73 63 649 581 -0.025 65.903   12  0.018   12  0.044   11  0.060   12 0.5063   18  0.457   14  0.026    8  0.094   11  0.088
BRAVES       61 75 601 620 -0.002 67.271   27 -0.048   27 -0.085   19 -0.030   27 0.4873   12  0.526   16 -0.001   22 -0.059   17 -0.034
MARLINS      64 72 594 681  0.009 67.966   22 -0.011   22 -0.043   26 -0.089   22 0.4929    1  0.778    5  0.187   29 -0.364   29 -0.339
NATIONALS    53 82 567 744  0.008 67.639   28 -0.226   28 -0.171   29 -0.219   28 0.4750    3  0.661   19 -0.062   30 -0.377   12  0.047

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      70 67 587 498 -0.008 67.270   14  0.007   14  0.014    8  0.089   13 0.5023   14  0.477   10  0.073    7  0.104   30 -0.472
MARINERS     72 64 623 600  0.012 67.966   11  0.024   11  0.056   13  0.035   11 0.5084    4  0.661    4  0.193   24 -0.122   28 -0.337
ASTROS       75 61 572 554 -0.020 66.232   10  0.034   10  0.069   15  0.014   10 0.5105   23  0.405   21 -0.065    9  0.092   19 -0.064
ATHLETICS    63 74 619 707  0.005 68.223   23 -0.023   23 -0.062   22 -0.070   23 0.4911    8  0.607   13  0.036   26 -0.175    5  0.167
ANGELS       63 72 578 682  0.025 68.309   21 -0.009   21 -0.039   27 -0.101   21 0.4934    6  0.615   15  0.012   27 -0.214   18 -0.046

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS       79 58 656 571 -0.021 66.580    5  0.096    5  0.112    7  0.099    5 0.5167   15  0.475    9  0.082    6  0.117    9  0.106
ROYALS       70 66 529 527 -0.002 67.255   13  0.009   13  0.023   18 -0.012   14 0.5021   25  0.393   24 -0.101   10  0.077   26 -0.249
GUARDIANS    68 66 517 570 -0.008 66.007   15  0.004   15  0.006   23 -0.072   15 0.5006   27  0.328   28 -0.217   12  0.072   14  0.014
TWINS        61 74 566 634  0.004 67.194   24 -0.035   24 -0.075   24 -0.074   24 0.4891   19  0.451   25 -0.113   19 -0.035    8  0.108
WHITE SOX    48 88 533 626  0.008 67.936   29 -0.266   29 -0.234   28 -0.123   29 0.4656   22  0.406   27 -0.201   20 -0.045   13  0.030

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      76 60 717 582  0.010 67.693    6  0.081    6  0.103    2  0.162    6 0.5154    2  0.697    1  0.354   18 -0.031   24 -0.127
RED SOX      75 62 673 574  0.008 68.093    9  0.052    9  0.083    4  0.114    9 0.5117   11  0.547    6  0.162   14  0.066   15  0.007
BLUE JAYS    78 58 667 615  0.009 67.714    3  0.120    3  0.125   10  0.076    3 0.5183   13  0.519    8  0.099   17  0.052    7  0.135
RAYS         66 69 604 560  0.015 67.588   18  0.001   18 -0.008   12  0.046   18 0.4987   24  0.397   18 -0.040    5  0.132   10  0.092
ORIOLES      61 75 593 670  0.011 68.097   25 -0.037   25 -0.076   25 -0.085   25 0.4889   16  0.462   26 -0.114   21 -0.056    4  0.234

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    356 324 0.524    1  0.085
NL CENTRAL 360 323 0.527    2  0.078
AL WEST    343 338 0.504    3 -0.009
NL EAST    330 349 0.486    4 -0.046
AL CENTRAL 326 352 0.481    5 -0.049
NL WEST    326 355 0.479    6 -0.056

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.077 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Aug 31 05:30:16 2025
games through: Sat Aug 30 2025

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