Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       46 25 359 252 -0.006 35.614    1  0.181    1  0.143    3  0.164    1 0.5356   10  0.583    2  0.244   11  0.084   30 -0.342
DODGERS      46 27 390 248 -0.023 36.014    2  0.139    2  0.121    1  0.205    2 0.5311   15  0.487    5  0.196    3  0.213   20 -0.159
BREWERS      43 26 370 258 -0.003 34.667    3  0.132    3  0.118    2  0.185    3 0.5305   21  0.404    9  0.103    2  0.266   10  0.094
YANKEES      43 27 358 251 -0.025 34.574    4  0.099    4  0.101    4  0.156    4 0.5243   25  0.343   14  0.022    1  0.290    4  0.252
RAYS         41 28 311 304  0.006 35.095    5  0.074    5  0.092    6  0.029    5 0.5213   19  0.427   18 -0.033   10  0.091   11  0.076
CARDINALS    39 31 322 307  0.000 35.459    6  0.027    6  0.056    8  0.022    6 0.5138   13  0.505   11  0.031   16  0.014   15 -0.021
PHILLIES     39 33 292 308  0.005 36.663    8  0.016    8  0.043   18 -0.016    7 0.5129   29  0.228   29 -0.243    4  0.211    6  0.247
NATIONALS    38 35 399 382  0.040 38.087   10  0.013   10  0.037    5  0.046    8 0.5109    2  0.788    1  0.330   26 -0.239    8  0.192
GUARDIANS    39 33 289 292  0.013 36.840    7  0.019    7  0.046   13  0.004    9 0.5091   20  0.412   21 -0.071   13  0.078   26 -0.234
WHITE SOX    38 32 333 321 -0.010 35.151    9  0.014    9  0.038    7  0.029   10 0.5084    5  0.698    4  0.221   23 -0.163   27 -0.280
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         38 35 334 324 -0.010 36.679   12  0.002   12  0.017   10  0.007   11 0.5075    7  0.637    8  0.139   22 -0.125   25 -0.186
DIAMONDBACKS 37 35 304 323  0.010 36.805   11  0.002   11  0.018   16 -0.016   12 0.5040   11  0.536   15  0.020   20 -0.052   24 -0.185
MARLINS      36 37 310 317  0.035 38.032   13 -0.001   13  0.008   11  0.005   13 0.5038   14  0.498   17  0.007   17  0.004   21 -0.175
PADRES       37 34 272 285 -0.037 34.999   14 -0.002   14  0.007   20 -0.038   14 0.5020   27  0.320   27 -0.191    8  0.114   23 -0.184
PIRATES      36 37 361 356 -0.007 36.782   17 -0.009   17 -0.009   12  0.004   15 0.5009   12  0.523   12  0.029   19 -0.021    5  0.247
ATHLETICS    36 36 331 373 -0.000 36.576   16 -0.005   15  0.001   22 -0.051   16 0.4996   26  0.343   26 -0.185   12  0.083    1  0.701
MARINERS     37 36 311 291 -0.027 36.183   15 -0.005   16 -0.003    9  0.013   17 0.4988   24  0.352   24 -0.113    7  0.139   16 -0.029
BLUE JAYS    34 38 293 315  0.026 37.281   18 -0.013   18 -0.017   17 -0.016   18 0.4950   28  0.269   28 -0.210    6  0.178    7  0.219
RANGERS      35 37 287 283 -0.019 35.992   19 -0.014   19 -0.020   15 -0.005   19 0.4939   22  0.384   23 -0.104    9  0.093   29 -0.322
REDS         34 37 305 351 -0.036 35.066   20 -0.023   20 -0.034   27 -0.080   20 0.4922    9  0.596   16  0.012   24 -0.173   17 -0.044
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      34 39 343 376 -0.006 36.899   21 -0.023   21 -0.036   21 -0.046   21 0.4900    4  0.718    7  0.167   27 -0.258   13  0.016
METS         32 40 288 311 -0.009 36.316   23 -0.040   23 -0.058   23 -0.056   22 0.4868   30  0.177   30 -0.323    5  0.210    3  0.279
TWINS        34 40 342 382 -0.015 37.126   22 -0.030   22 -0.046   24 -0.059   23 0.4861    3  0.751    6  0.186   28 -0.305   18 -0.070
GIANTS       29 43 296 352  0.039 37.759   26 -0.059   26 -0.079   29 -0.089   24 0.4837   16  0.483   22 -0.100   21 -0.077   14  0.002
ASTROS       33 41 336 381 -0.018 37.077   24 -0.042   24 -0.061   28 -0.082   25 0.4820    8  0.636   10  0.050   25 -0.213   12  0.075
RED SOX      29 40 278 282  0.018 35.493   25 -0.046   25 -0.068   14 -0.003   26 0.4820   18  0.430   20 -0.062   14  0.056   22 -0.176
TIGERS       30 42 297 303 -0.013 36.145   27 -0.068   27 -0.085   19 -0.019   27 0.4771   17  0.477   19 -0.037   18 -0.002   19 -0.077
ANGELS       29 44 326 365  0.011 37.439   29 -0.092   29 -0.096   25 -0.061   28 0.4763    1  0.805    3  0.241   30 -0.363   28 -0.316
ROYALS       29 44 291 344  0.017 37.608   28 -0.089   28 -0.095   26 -0.072   29 0.4741   23  0.368   25 -0.185   15  0.041    9  0.111
ROCKIES      27 46 333 424  0.003 37.332   30 -0.157   30 -0.127   30 -0.144   30 0.4710    6  0.677   13  0.027   29 -0.315    2  0.286

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      46 27 390 248 -0.023 36.014    2  0.139    2  0.121    1  0.205    2 0.5311   15  0.487    5  0.196    3  0.213   20 -0.159
DIAMONDBACKS 37 35 304 323  0.010 36.805   11  0.002   11  0.018   16 -0.016   12 0.5040   11  0.536   15  0.020   20 -0.052   24 -0.185
PADRES       37 34 272 285 -0.037 34.999   14 -0.002   14  0.007   20 -0.038   14 0.5020   27  0.320   27 -0.191    8  0.114   23 -0.184
GIANTS       29 43 296 352  0.039 37.759   26 -0.059   26 -0.079   29 -0.089   24 0.4837   16  0.483   22 -0.100   21 -0.077   14  0.002
ROCKIES      27 46 333 424  0.003 37.332   30 -0.157   30 -0.127   30 -0.144   30 0.4710    6  0.677   13  0.027   29 -0.315    2  0.286

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      43 26 370 258 -0.003 34.667    3  0.132    3  0.118    2  0.185    3 0.5305   21  0.404    9  0.103    2  0.266   10  0.094
CARDINALS    39 31 322 307  0.000 35.459    6  0.027    6  0.056    8  0.022    6 0.5138   13  0.505   11  0.031   16  0.014   15 -0.021
CUBS         38 35 334 324 -0.010 36.679   12  0.002   12  0.017   10  0.007   11 0.5075    7  0.637    8  0.139   22 -0.125   25 -0.186
PIRATES      36 37 361 356 -0.007 36.782   17 -0.009   17 -0.009   12  0.004   15 0.5009   12  0.523   12  0.029   19 -0.021    5  0.247
REDS         34 37 305 351 -0.036 35.066   20 -0.023   20 -0.034   27 -0.080   20 0.4922    9  0.596   16  0.012   24 -0.173   17 -0.044

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       46 25 359 252 -0.006 35.614    1  0.181    1  0.143    3  0.164    1 0.5356   10  0.583    2  0.244   11  0.084   30 -0.342
PHILLIES     39 33 292 308  0.005 36.663    8  0.016    8  0.043   18 -0.016    7 0.5129   29  0.228   29 -0.243    4  0.211    6  0.247
NATIONALS    38 35 399 382  0.040 38.087   10  0.013   10  0.037    5  0.046    8 0.5109    2  0.788    1  0.330   26 -0.239    8  0.192
MARLINS      36 37 310 317  0.035 38.032   13 -0.001   13  0.008   11  0.005   13 0.5038   14  0.498   17  0.007   17  0.004   21 -0.175
METS         32 40 288 311 -0.009 36.316   23 -0.040   23 -0.058   23 -0.056   22 0.4868   30  0.177   30 -0.323    5  0.210    3  0.279

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    36 36 331 373 -0.000 36.576   16 -0.005   15  0.001   22 -0.051   16 0.4996   26  0.343   26 -0.185   12  0.083    1  0.701
MARINERS     37 36 311 291 -0.027 36.183   15 -0.005   16 -0.003    9  0.013   17 0.4988   24  0.352   24 -0.113    7  0.139   16 -0.029
RANGERS      35 37 287 283 -0.019 35.992   19 -0.014   19 -0.020   15 -0.005   19 0.4939   22  0.384   23 -0.104    9  0.093   29 -0.322
ASTROS       33 41 336 381 -0.018 37.077   24 -0.042   24 -0.061   28 -0.082   25 0.4820    8  0.636   10  0.050   25 -0.213   12  0.075
ANGELS       29 44 326 365  0.011 37.439   29 -0.092   29 -0.096   25 -0.061   28 0.4763    1  0.805    3  0.241   30 -0.363   28 -0.316

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    39 33 289 292  0.013 36.840    7  0.019    7  0.046   13  0.004    9 0.5091   20  0.412   21 -0.071   13  0.078   26 -0.234
WHITE SOX    38 32 333 321 -0.010 35.151    9  0.014    9  0.038    7  0.029   10 0.5084    5  0.698    4  0.221   23 -0.163   27 -0.280
TWINS        34 40 342 382 -0.015 37.126   22 -0.030   22 -0.046   24 -0.059   23 0.4861    3  0.751    6  0.186   28 -0.305   18 -0.070
TIGERS       30 42 297 303 -0.013 36.145   27 -0.068   27 -0.085   19 -0.019   27 0.4771   17  0.477   19 -0.037   18 -0.002   19 -0.077
ROYALS       29 44 291 344  0.017 37.608   28 -0.089   28 -0.095   26 -0.072   29 0.4741   23  0.368   25 -0.185   15  0.041    9  0.111

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      43 27 358 251 -0.025 34.574    4  0.099    4  0.101    4  0.156    4 0.5243   25  0.343   14  0.022    1  0.290    4  0.252
RAYS         41 28 311 304  0.006 35.095    5  0.074    5  0.092    6  0.029    5 0.5213   19  0.427   18 -0.033   10  0.091   11  0.076
BLUE JAYS    34 38 293 315  0.026 37.281   18 -0.013   18 -0.017   17 -0.016   18 0.4950   28  0.269   28 -0.210    6  0.178    7  0.219
ORIOLES      34 39 343 376 -0.006 36.899   21 -0.023   21 -0.036   21 -0.046   21 0.4900    4  0.718    7  0.167   27 -0.258   13  0.016
RED SOX      29 40 278 282  0.018 35.493   25 -0.046   25 -0.068   14 -0.003   26 0.4820   18  0.430   20 -0.062   14  0.056   22 -0.176

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL EAST    191 170 0.529    1  0.056
NL CENTRAL 190 166 0.534    2  0.055
AL EAST    181 172 0.513    3  0.048
NL WEST    176 185 0.488    4 -0.036
AL CENTRAL 170 191 0.471    5 -0.048
AL WEST    170 194 0.467    6 -0.075

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.061 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Jun 16 05:30:06 2026
games through: Mon Jun 15 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.