Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     99  71  857  759  0.019 85.239    1  0.177    1  0.160    6  0.121    1 0.5219    7  0.619    4  0.240   17  0.003   14  0.018
BREWERS      100  70  831  661  0.002 83.983    2  0.176    2  0.159    1  0.171    2 0.5212    9  0.580    3  0.253   11  0.089   24 -0.179
DODGERS      101  70  866  710 -0.018 83.051    3  0.159    3  0.148    3  0.148    3 0.5200   20  0.435    9  0.098    4  0.198    2  0.268
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.040    4  0.140    4  0.138    2  0.166    4 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.379   20 -0.047   26 -0.186
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.018 80.699    5  0.135    5  0.136    5  0.128    5 0.5190   27  0.318   17 -0.022    1  0.278    3  0.252
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.004 84.174    6  0.100    6  0.119    4  0.147    6 0.5157   14  0.506    5  0.160    7  0.134   22 -0.047
MARINERS      95  76  804  739 -0.001 84.463    7  0.058    7  0.098   10  0.066    7 0.5138    3  0.702    2  0.266   24 -0.134   29 -0.403
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.451    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.114    8 0.5125   13  0.508    8  0.129    8  0.099   15 -0.004
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.601    9  0.038    9  0.081    8  0.076    9 0.5109   29  0.293   24 -0.094    2  0.247   21 -0.028
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.253   10  0.021   10  0.064   18  0.002   10 0.5080   28  0.299   28 -0.163    5  0.168   19 -0.017
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.256   12  0.018   12  0.054   15  0.008   11 0.5078   24  0.407   20 -0.067   12  0.083   23 -0.051
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.401   11  0.019   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5077   21  0.416   15  0.005    6  0.138    4  0.209
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.381   14  0.006   14  0.014   12  0.036   13 0.5023   12  0.521   11  0.063   16  0.009   13  0.020
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.009 81.713   13  0.006   13  0.017   13  0.031   14 0.5023   17  0.458   16  0.000   14  0.061   16 -0.007
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.819   15  0.004   15  0.007   19 -0.013   15 0.5003   23  0.411   23 -0.084   15  0.059   27 -0.210
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.006 79.640   16  0.003   16 -0.004   11  0.064   16 0.5003   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.076   30 -0.481
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.257   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4985   25  0.392   22 -0.082    9  0.094   12  0.021
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.449   18  0.000   18 -0.019   16  0.007   18 0.4971    5  0.639    6  0.145   23 -0.132    8  0.072
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.014 81.162   19 -0.002   19 -0.025   22 -0.058   19 0.4962    6  0.628   10  0.069   26 -0.186   25 -0.185
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.016 81.127   21 -0.003   21 -0.032   14  0.027   20 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.041   10  0.094   10  0.056
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.006 79.908   20 -0.003   20 -0.028   24 -0.089   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.308   28 -0.275
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.003 80.422   23 -0.013   23 -0.053   23 -0.065   22 0.4931    8  0.598   13  0.034   25 -0.164    6  0.153
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.743   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4930   15  0.480   25 -0.111   22 -0.091    7  0.102
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.591   24 -0.017   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4921   11  0.524   14  0.016   19 -0.044   20 -0.020
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.325   25 -0.046   25 -0.088   28 -0.153   25 0.4879   10  0.570   21 -0.081   27 -0.225    9  0.058
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.012 81.050   26 -0.061   26 -0.100   21 -0.056   26 0.4861   30  0.172   29 -0.322    3  0.210   17 -0.011
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.005 80.584   27 -0.091   27 -0.116   25 -0.090   27 0.4836   19  0.435   26 -0.140   18 -0.040    5  0.208
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.454   28 -0.189   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4770    4  0.694   19 -0.047   30 -0.431   11  0.024
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.875   29 -0.222   29 -0.223   27 -0.119   29 0.4693   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.079   18 -0.015
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 82.009   30 -0.455   30 -0.413   30 -0.449   30 0.4442   26  0.351   30 -0.571   29 -0.326    1  0.660

NL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      101  70  866  710 -0.018 83.051    3  0.159    3  0.148    3  0.148    3 0.5200   20  0.435    9  0.098    4  0.198    2  0.268
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.601    9  0.038    9  0.081    8  0.076    9 0.5109   29  0.293   24 -0.094    2  0.247   21 -0.028
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.257   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4985   25  0.392   22 -0.082    9  0.094   12  0.021
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.449   18  0.000   18 -0.019   16  0.007   18 0.4971    5  0.639    6  0.145   23 -0.132    8  0.072
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 82.009   30 -0.455   30 -0.413   30 -0.449   30 0.4442   26  0.351   30 -0.571   29 -0.326    1  0.660

NL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      100  70  831  661  0.002 83.983    2  0.176    2  0.159    1  0.171    2 0.5212    9  0.580    3  0.253   11  0.089   24 -0.179
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.004 84.174    6  0.100    6  0.119    4  0.147    6 0.5157   14  0.506    5  0.160    7  0.134   22 -0.047
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.009 81.713   13  0.006   13  0.017   13  0.031   14 0.5023   17  0.458   16  0.000   14  0.061   16 -0.007
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.014 81.162   19 -0.002   19 -0.025   22 -0.058   19 0.4962    6  0.628   10  0.069   26 -0.186   25 -0.185
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.012 81.050   26 -0.061   26 -0.100   21 -0.056   26 0.4861   30  0.172   29 -0.322    3  0.210   17 -0.011

NL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.018 80.699    5  0.135    5  0.136    5  0.128    5 0.5190   27  0.318   17 -0.022    1  0.278    3  0.252
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.381   14  0.006   14  0.014   12  0.036   13 0.5023   12  0.521   11  0.063   16  0.009   13  0.020
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.006 79.908   20 -0.003   20 -0.028   24 -0.089   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.308   28 -0.275
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.591   24 -0.017   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4921   11  0.524   14  0.016   19 -0.044   20 -0.020
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.454   28 -0.189   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4770    4  0.694   19 -0.047   30 -0.431   11  0.024

AL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      95  76  804  739 -0.001 84.463    7  0.058    7  0.098   10  0.066    7 0.5138    3  0.702    2  0.266   24 -0.134   29 -0.403
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.256   12  0.018   12  0.054   15  0.008   11 0.5078   24  0.407   20 -0.067   12  0.083   23 -0.051
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.006 79.640   16  0.003   16 -0.004   11  0.064   16 0.5003   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.076   30 -0.481
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.003 80.422   23 -0.013   23 -0.053   23 -0.065   22 0.4931    8  0.598   13  0.034   25 -0.164    6  0.153
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.325   25 -0.046   25 -0.088   28 -0.153   25 0.4879   10  0.570   21 -0.081   27 -0.225    9  0.058

AL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.253   10  0.021   10  0.064   18  0.002   10 0.5080   28  0.299   28 -0.163    5  0.168   19 -0.017
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.401   11  0.019   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5077   21  0.416   15  0.005    6  0.138    4  0.209
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.819   15  0.004   15  0.007   19 -0.013   15 0.5003   23  0.411   23 -0.084   15  0.059   27 -0.210
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.005 80.584   27 -0.091   27 -0.116   25 -0.090   27 0.4836   19  0.435   26 -0.140   18 -0.040    5  0.208
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.875   29 -0.222   29 -0.223   27 -0.119   29 0.4693   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.079   18 -0.015

AL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     99  71  857  759  0.019 85.239    1  0.177    1  0.160    6  0.121    1 0.5219    7  0.619    4  0.240   17  0.003   14  0.018
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.040    4  0.140    4  0.138    2  0.166    4 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.379   20 -0.047   26 -0.186
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.451    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.114    8 0.5125   13  0.508    8  0.129    8  0.099   15 -0.004
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.016 81.127   21 -0.003   21 -0.032   14  0.027   20 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.041   10  0.094   10  0.056
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.743   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4930   15  0.480   25 -0.111   22 -0.091    7  0.102

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    438 390 0.529    1  0.084
NL CENTRAL 428 400 0.517    2  0.060
AL WEST    411 408 0.502    3 -0.020
AL CENTRAL 392 429 0.477    4 -0.038
NL EAST    401 413 0.493    5 -0.045
NL WEST    396 426 0.482    6 -0.050

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.075 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct 17 05:30:13 2025
games through: Thu Oct 16 2025

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