Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      14  4 105  59 -0.040  8.528    1  0.096    1  0.083    1  0.102    1 0.5627   10  0.597    8  0.225   16 -0.021   27 -0.359 P
PADRES       12  6  85  67 -0.068  8.393    2  0.049    2  0.042    5  0.040    6 0.5199   12  0.519   11  0.091   15 -0.011   10  0.150 P
BRAVES       12  7 106  62  0.005  9.349    3  0.048    3  0.042    2  0.094    2 0.5315   18  0.436   14  0.071   10  0.118    9  0.154 P
DIAMONDBACKS 11  8  83  87  0.123 10.401    4  0.038    4  0.040   12  0.021    3 0.5307   15  0.511   15  0.064   17 -0.023   13  0.129 P
PIRATES      11  7  88  68  0.008  8.984    5  0.032    5  0.032    6  0.034    4 0.5268   16  0.495   16  0.062   14  0.005   19 -0.059 P
REDS         11  7  64  74 -0.012  8.916    6  0.027    6  0.032   17 -0.013    8 0.5186   23  0.202   24 -0.231    7  0.204   11  0.142 P
RAYS         10  7  86  88  0.045  8.789    7  0.026    7  0.031   15  0.006    5 0.5228    6  0.721    6  0.252   26 -0.239   18 -0.050 P
GUARDIANS    10  9  75  81  0.174 10.795    8  0.025    8  0.031   13  0.020    7 0.5191   11  0.533   12  0.083   19 -0.043   28 -0.392 P
ATHLETICS    10  8  72  79  0.056  9.434    9  0.018    9  0.022   20 -0.017   10 0.5114   29  0.017   29 -0.372    2  0.337    2  0.467 P
TWINS        11  8 103  86 -0.041  9.118   10  0.016   10  0.018    8  0.030   11 0.5109    5  0.723    5  0.277   25 -0.218   14  0.096 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      10  8  82  65 -0.021  8.752   11  0.014   11  0.015    3  0.047   13 0.5094   27  0.116   25 -0.236    4  0.330    1  0.477 P
CARDINALS    10  8  80  97 -0.040  8.747   12  0.010   12  0.011   24 -0.037   12 0.5107    9  0.637   10  0.124   24 -0.199   16  0.004 P
ANGELS        9 10  94  94  0.149 10.617   13  0.008   13  0.008   11  0.021   17 0.4981    3  0.780    3  0.326   27 -0.285   25 -0.276 P
RANGERS       9  9  73  64  0.054  9.321   14  0.006   14  0.005    9  0.027    9 0.5115   13  0.518   13  0.077   18 -0.023   30 -0.758 P
TIGERS        9  9  74  62  0.042  9.231   15  0.004   15  0.003    7  0.031   15 0.5077   25  0.156   23 -0.221    5  0.284   24 -0.205 P
CUBS          9  9  94  75  0.014  9.023   16  0.003   16  0.001    4  0.042   14 0.5081    7  0.683    7  0.249   22 -0.165   29 -0.401 P
NATIONALS     8 10  99 110  0.090  9.690   17 -0.008   17 -0.010   21 -0.019   16 0.5011    2  0.846    2  0.356   29 -0.393    3  0.312 P
BREWERS       9  8  89  74 -0.168  7.290   18 -0.009   18 -0.011   14  0.007   19 0.4925    8  0.680    9  0.211   23 -0.198   21 -0.122 P
ORIOLES       9  9  77  78 -0.080  8.421   19 -0.010   19 -0.012   19 -0.016   18 0.4953   22  0.296   21 -0.159    9  0.126    6  0.270 P
MARLINS       9 10  88  86 -0.016  9.403   20 -0.012   20 -0.014   18 -0.014   20 0.4890    4  0.773    4  0.285   28 -0.312   22 -0.203 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      8 11  76  69  0.072 10.000   21 -0.015   21 -0.018   10  0.027   22 0.4840   28  0.042   28 -0.310    1  0.364    8  0.174 P
PHILLIES      8 10  72  97 -0.083  8.459   22 -0.022   22 -0.027   28 -0.062   24 0.4807   20  0.382   20 -0.134   13  0.009    5  0.291 P
ASTROS        8 11 105 114 -0.038  9.233   23 -0.025   23 -0.031   22 -0.027   27 0.4692    1  1.183    1  0.733   30 -0.787   26 -0.306 P
RED SOX       7 11  77  86  0.033  9.238   24 -0.027   24 -0.031   16 -0.008   23 0.4835   19  0.417   17 -0.048   12  0.033   20 -0.074 P
BLUE JAYS     7 10  67  91 -0.089  7.989   25 -0.031   26 -0.037   26 -0.057   25 0.4754   17  0.450   19 -0.069   20 -0.045    7  0.257 P
ROYALS        7 11  56  69 -0.001  9.080   26 -0.031   25 -0.037   23 -0.035   26 0.4734   30 -0.001   30 -0.402    3  0.332   12  0.140 P
METS          7 12  65  79 -0.003  9.550   27 -0.038   27 -0.044   25 -0.042   21 0.4850   26  0.142   27 -0.305    6  0.222    4  0.300 P
GIANTS        6 12  55  82 -0.063  8.659   28 -0.059   28 -0.061   29 -0.074   28 0.4623   21  0.306   22 -0.209   11  0.060   15  0.070 P
ROCKIES       6 12  72  81 -0.070  8.584   29 -0.067   29 -0.067   27 -0.061   30 0.4519   24  0.192   26 -0.287    8  0.164   17 -0.033 P
WHITE SOX     6 12  57  95 -0.097  8.449   30 -0.067   30 -0.067   30 -0.111   29 0.4528   14  0.512   18 -0.066   21 -0.155   23 -0.204 P

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      14  4 105  59 -0.040  8.528    1  0.096    1  0.083    1  0.102    1 0.5627   10  0.597    8  0.225   16 -0.021   27 -0.359 P
PADRES       12  6  85  67 -0.068  8.393    2  0.049    2  0.042    5  0.040    6 0.5199   12  0.519   11  0.091   15 -0.011   10  0.150 P
DIAMONDBACKS 11  8  83  87  0.123 10.401    4  0.038    4  0.040   12  0.021    3 0.5307   15  0.511   15  0.064   17 -0.023   13  0.129 P
GIANTS        6 12  55  82 -0.063  8.659   28 -0.059   28 -0.061   29 -0.074   28 0.4623   21  0.306   22 -0.209   11  0.060   15  0.070 P
ROCKIES       6 12  72  81 -0.070  8.584   29 -0.067   29 -0.067   27 -0.061   30 0.4519   24  0.192   26 -0.287    8  0.164   17 -0.033 P

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      11  7  88  68  0.008  8.984    5  0.032    5  0.032    6  0.034    4 0.5268   16  0.495   16  0.062   14  0.005   19 -0.059 P
REDS         11  7  64  74 -0.012  8.916    6  0.027    6  0.032   17 -0.013    8 0.5186   23  0.202   24 -0.231    7  0.204   11  0.142 P
CARDINALS    10  8  80  97 -0.040  8.747   12  0.010   12  0.011   24 -0.037   12 0.5107    9  0.637   10  0.124   24 -0.199   16  0.004 P
CUBS          9  9  94  75  0.014  9.023   16  0.003   16  0.001    4  0.042   14 0.5081    7  0.683    7  0.249   22 -0.165   29 -0.401 P
BREWERS       9  8  89  74 -0.168  7.290   18 -0.009   18 -0.011   14  0.007   19 0.4925    8  0.680    9  0.211   23 -0.198   21 -0.122 P

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       12  7 106  62  0.005  9.349    3  0.048    3  0.042    2  0.094    2 0.5315   18  0.436   14  0.071   10  0.118    9  0.154 P
NATIONALS     8 10  99 110  0.090  9.690   17 -0.008   17 -0.010   21 -0.019   16 0.5011    2  0.846    2  0.356   29 -0.393    3  0.312 P
MARLINS       9 10  88  86 -0.016  9.403   20 -0.012   20 -0.014   18 -0.014   20 0.4890    4  0.773    4  0.285   28 -0.312   22 -0.203 P
PHILLIES      8 10  72  97 -0.083  8.459   22 -0.022   22 -0.027   28 -0.062   24 0.4807   20  0.382   20 -0.134   13  0.009    5  0.291 P
METS          7 12  65  79 -0.003  9.550   27 -0.038   27 -0.044   25 -0.042   21 0.4850   26  0.142   27 -0.305    6  0.222    4  0.300 P

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    10  8  72  79  0.056  9.434    9  0.018    9  0.022   20 -0.017   10 0.5114   29  0.017   29 -0.372    2  0.337    2  0.467 P
ANGELS        9 10  94  94  0.149 10.617   13  0.008   13  0.008   11  0.021   17 0.4981    3  0.780    3  0.326   27 -0.285   25 -0.276 P
RANGERS       9  9  73  64  0.054  9.321   14  0.006   14  0.005    9  0.027    9 0.5115   13  0.518   13  0.077   18 -0.023   30 -0.758 P
MARINERS      8 11  76  69  0.072 10.000   21 -0.015   21 -0.018   10  0.027   22 0.4840   28  0.042   28 -0.310    1  0.364    8  0.174 P
ASTROS        8 11 105 114 -0.038  9.233   23 -0.025   23 -0.031   22 -0.027   27 0.4692    1  1.183    1  0.733   30 -0.787   26 -0.306 P

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    10  9  75  81  0.174 10.795    8  0.025    8  0.031   13  0.020    7 0.5191   11  0.533   12  0.083   19 -0.043   28 -0.392 P
TWINS        11  8 103  86 -0.041  9.118   10  0.016   10  0.018    8  0.030   11 0.5109    5  0.723    5  0.277   25 -0.218   14  0.096 P
TIGERS        9  9  74  62  0.042  9.231   15  0.004   15  0.003    7  0.031   15 0.5077   25  0.156   23 -0.221    5  0.284   24 -0.205 P
ROYALS        7 11  56  69 -0.001  9.080   26 -0.031   25 -0.037   23 -0.035   26 0.4734   30 -0.001   30 -0.402    3  0.332   12  0.140 P
WHITE SOX     6 12  57  95 -0.097  8.449   30 -0.067   30 -0.067   30 -0.111   29 0.4528   14  0.512   18 -0.066   21 -0.155   23 -0.204 P

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         10  7  86  88  0.045  8.789    7  0.026    7  0.031   15  0.006    5 0.5228    6  0.721    6  0.252   26 -0.239   18 -0.050 P
YANKEES      10  8  82  65 -0.021  8.752   11  0.014   11  0.015    3  0.047   13 0.5094   27  0.116   25 -0.236    4  0.330    1  0.477 P
ORIOLES       9  9  77  78 -0.080  8.421   19 -0.010   19 -0.012   19 -0.016   18 0.4953   22  0.296   21 -0.159    9  0.126    6  0.270 P
RED SOX       7 11  77  86  0.033  9.238   24 -0.027   24 -0.031   16 -0.008   23 0.4835   19  0.417   17 -0.048   12  0.033   20 -0.074 P
BLUE JAYS     7 10  67  91 -0.089  7.989   25 -0.031   26 -0.037   26 -0.057   25 0.4754   17  0.450   19 -0.069   20 -0.045    7  0.257 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 50 39 0.562    1  0.034
AL WEST    44 49 0.473    2  0.033
NL WEST    49 42 0.538    3  0.029
AL EAST    43 45 0.489    4 -0.021
NL EAST    44 49 0.473    5 -0.035
AL CENTRAL 43 49 0.467    6 -0.050

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.095 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Apr 16 05:30:05 2026
games through: Wed Apr 15 2026

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