Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     99  72  859  765  0.020 85.808    1  0.169    1  0.155    6  0.117    1 0.5212    7  0.618    4  0.235   17 -0.002   14  0.019
BREWERS      100  71  832  666  0.004 84.590    2  0.169    2  0.154    1  0.166    3 0.5205    9  0.570    3  0.239   11  0.093   24 -0.170
DODGERS      102  70  871  711 -0.018 83.568    3  0.167    3  0.153    3  0.153    2 0.5206   20  0.435    9  0.102    4  0.204    2  0.259
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.000    4  0.139    4  0.137    2  0.165    4 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.378   20 -0.048   26 -0.186
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.018 80.691    5  0.135    5  0.136    5  0.127    5 0.5190   27  0.319   17 -0.022    1  0.277    3  0.251
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.004 84.135    6  0.098    6  0.118    4  0.146    6 0.5157   14  0.506    5  0.160    7  0.133   22 -0.047
MARINERS      96  76  810  741 -0.000 84.955    7  0.066    7  0.103   10  0.071    7 0.5144    3  0.701    2  0.271   23 -0.129   29 -0.404
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.423    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.113    8 0.5125   13  0.508    8  0.129    8  0.098   15 -0.003
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.617    9  0.039    9  0.081    8  0.077    9 0.5109   29  0.293   24 -0.094    2  0.247   21 -0.028
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.241   10  0.021   10  0.064   18  0.002   10 0.5079   28  0.299   28 -0.164    5  0.168   19 -0.016
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.399   11  0.020   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5077   21  0.416   15  0.005    6  0.138    4  0.208
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.264   12  0.018   12  0.054   15  0.008   11 0.5078   24  0.407   20 -0.067   12  0.083   23 -0.052
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.009 81.688   13  0.006   13  0.016   13  0.030   14 0.5022   17  0.458   16  0.000   14  0.060   16 -0.007
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.373   14  0.006   14  0.014   12  0.036   13 0.5023   12  0.522   11  0.063   16  0.008   13  0.019
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.811   15  0.005   15  0.007   19 -0.013   15 0.5003   23  0.410   23 -0.084   15  0.059   27 -0.210
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.006 79.648   16  0.003   16 -0.004   11  0.064   16 0.5003   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.076   30 -0.481
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.264   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4985   25  0.392   22 -0.081    9  0.093   12  0.020
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.456   18  0.000   18 -0.019   16  0.007   18 0.4971    5  0.640    6  0.146   24 -0.132    8  0.072
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.013 81.132   19 -0.002   19 -0.025   22 -0.059   19 0.4961    6  0.628   10  0.069   26 -0.187   25 -0.185
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.007 79.897   20 -0.002   20 -0.028   24 -0.089   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.308   28 -0.275
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.015 81.098   21 -0.003   21 -0.033   14  0.026   20 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.041   10  0.093   10  0.057
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.021 81.714   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4929   15  0.480   25 -0.111   22 -0.091    7  0.102
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.003 80.428   23 -0.013   23 -0.053   23 -0.065   22 0.4931    8  0.598   13  0.035   25 -0.164    6  0.152
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.581   24 -0.017   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4920   11  0.524   14  0.016   19 -0.044   20 -0.020
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.339   25 -0.045   25 -0.088   28 -0.153   25 0.4879   10  0.570   21 -0.080   27 -0.225    9  0.057
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.012 81.021   26 -0.061   26 -0.100   21 -0.056   26 0.4860   30  0.173   29 -0.322    3  0.209   17 -0.010
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.004 80.569   27 -0.092   27 -0.117   25 -0.090   27 0.4835   19  0.436   26 -0.140   18 -0.040    5  0.208
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.444   28 -0.189   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4770    4  0.694   19 -0.046   30 -0.432   11  0.024
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.864   29 -0.223   29 -0.223   27 -0.119   29 0.4693   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.080   18 -0.015
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 82.018   30 -0.455   30 -0.413   30 -0.448   30 0.4442   26  0.352   30 -0.570   29 -0.326    1  0.660

NL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      102  70  871  711 -0.018 83.568    3  0.167    3  0.153    3  0.153    2 0.5206   20  0.435    9  0.102    4  0.204    2  0.259
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.617    9  0.039    9  0.081    8  0.077    9 0.5109   29  0.293   24 -0.094    2  0.247   21 -0.028
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.264   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4985   25  0.392   22 -0.081    9  0.093   12  0.020
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.456   18  0.000   18 -0.019   16  0.007   18 0.4971    5  0.640    6  0.146   24 -0.132    8  0.072
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 82.018   30 -0.455   30 -0.413   30 -0.448   30 0.4442   26  0.352   30 -0.570   29 -0.326    1  0.660

NL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      100  71  832  666  0.004 84.590    2  0.169    2  0.154    1  0.166    3 0.5205    9  0.570    3  0.239   11  0.093   24 -0.170
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.004 84.135    6  0.098    6  0.118    4  0.146    6 0.5157   14  0.506    5  0.160    7  0.133   22 -0.047
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.009 81.688   13  0.006   13  0.016   13  0.030   14 0.5022   17  0.458   16  0.000   14  0.060   16 -0.007
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.013 81.132   19 -0.002   19 -0.025   22 -0.059   19 0.4961    6  0.628   10  0.069   26 -0.187   25 -0.185
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.012 81.021   26 -0.061   26 -0.100   21 -0.056   26 0.4860   30  0.173   29 -0.322    3  0.209   17 -0.010

NL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.018 80.691    5  0.135    5  0.136    5  0.127    5 0.5190   27  0.319   17 -0.022    1  0.277    3  0.251
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.373   14  0.006   14  0.014   12  0.036   13 0.5023   12  0.522   11  0.063   16  0.008   13  0.019
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.007 79.897   20 -0.002   20 -0.028   24 -0.089   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.308   28 -0.275
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.581   24 -0.017   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4920   11  0.524   14  0.016   19 -0.044   20 -0.020
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.444   28 -0.189   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4770    4  0.694   19 -0.046   30 -0.432   11  0.024

AL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      96  76  810  741 -0.000 84.955    7  0.066    7  0.103   10  0.071    7 0.5144    3  0.701    2  0.271   23 -0.129   29 -0.404
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.264   12  0.018   12  0.054   15  0.008   11 0.5078   24  0.407   20 -0.067   12  0.083   23 -0.052
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.006 79.648   16  0.003   16 -0.004   11  0.064   16 0.5003   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.076   30 -0.481
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.003 80.428   23 -0.013   23 -0.053   23 -0.065   22 0.4931    8  0.598   13  0.035   25 -0.164    6  0.152
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.339   25 -0.045   25 -0.088   28 -0.153   25 0.4879   10  0.570   21 -0.080   27 -0.225    9  0.057

AL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.241   10  0.021   10  0.064   18  0.002   10 0.5079   28  0.299   28 -0.164    5  0.168   19 -0.016
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.399   11  0.020   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5077   21  0.416   15  0.005    6  0.138    4  0.208
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.811   15  0.005   15  0.007   19 -0.013   15 0.5003   23  0.410   23 -0.084   15  0.059   27 -0.210
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.004 80.569   27 -0.092   27 -0.117   25 -0.090   27 0.4835   19  0.436   26 -0.140   18 -0.040    5  0.208
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.864   29 -0.223   29 -0.223   27 -0.119   29 0.4693   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.080   18 -0.015

AL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     99  72  859  765  0.020 85.808    1  0.169    1  0.155    6  0.117    1 0.5212    7  0.618    4  0.235   17 -0.002   14  0.019
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.000    4  0.139    4  0.137    2  0.165    4 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.378   20 -0.048   26 -0.186
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.423    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.113    8 0.5125   13  0.508    8  0.129    8  0.098   15 -0.003
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.015 81.098   21 -0.003   21 -0.033   14  0.026   20 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.041   10  0.093   10  0.057
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.021 81.714   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4929   15  0.480   25 -0.111   22 -0.091    7  0.102

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    438 391 0.528    1  0.082
NL CENTRAL 428 401 0.516    2  0.058
AL WEST    412 408 0.502    3 -0.018
AL CENTRAL 392 429 0.477    4 -0.038
NL EAST    401 413 0.493    5 -0.045
NL WEST    397 426 0.482    6 -0.049

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.076 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Oct 18 05:30:11 2025
games through: Fri Oct 17 2025

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