Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    33 33 352 348  0.058 34.968   10  0.009   10  0.023    6  0.032   10 0.5081    2  0.751    1  0.284   25 -0.219    7  0.232
BRAVES       45 21 344 228 -0.017 32.801    1  0.212    1  0.170    2  0.186    1 0.5433    9  0.593    2  0.282    9  0.090   30 -0.369
CUBS         34 32 303 300  0.014 33.857   11  0.007   11  0.020   10  0.009    9 0.5089    3  0.749    3  0.259   27 -0.241   26 -0.279
ANGELS       25 41 291 342  0.021 34.170   29 -0.112   29 -0.108   28 -0.085   29 0.4718    1  0.824    4  0.243   30 -0.413   27 -0.284
WHITE SOX    34 31 310 302 -0.040 31.911   13  0.001   13  0.007   11  0.008   13 0.5007    6  0.713    5  0.221   24 -0.205   29 -0.296
TWINS        30 37 308 334 -0.019 33.541   23 -0.040   23 -0.058   21 -0.045   26 0.4835    4  0.741    6  0.197   29 -0.286   19 -0.143
ORIOLES      31 35 309 340  0.004 33.641   21 -0.018   21 -0.028   20 -0.043   21 0.4913    5  0.733    7  0.190   28 -0.276   18 -0.032
DIAMONDBACKS 34 31 283 293  0.024 33.573    8  0.014    9  0.031   12  0.007   11 0.5067   10  0.582    8  0.093   19 -0.079   22 -0.182
ASTROS       30 37 307 336 -0.010 33.810   22 -0.037   22 -0.054   24 -0.052   25 0.4841    7  0.630    9  0.079   22 -0.184   10  0.105
DODGERS      42 24 345 212 -0.032 32.301    3  0.122    3  0.119    1  0.205    3 0.5313   23  0.338   10  0.073    1  0.336   17 -0.024
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      40 23 329 224  0.000 31.734    2  0.135    2  0.127    3  0.183    2 0.5325   22  0.350   11  0.062    3  0.304    9  0.141
MARLINS      31 35 276 296  0.038 34.516   18 -0.010   18 -0.014   17 -0.018   16 0.4981   12  0.574   12  0.060   21 -0.095   23 -0.233
PIRATES      34 32 333 303 -0.016 32.988   12  0.002   12  0.009    5  0.037   12 0.5066   14  0.496   13  0.043   15  0.032    6  0.236
REDS         31 33 275 326 -0.032 31.762   20 -0.018   20 -0.027   29 -0.090   20 0.4941    8  0.600   14  0.013   23 -0.192   16 -0.009
RAYS         37 25 283 276 -0.003 31.337    4  0.065    4  0.088    8  0.028    4 0.5223   17  0.442   15 -0.015   12  0.070   12  0.060
YANKEES      38 26 324 228 -0.031 31.480    5  0.059    5  0.077    4  0.146    5 0.5180   27  0.294   16 -0.022    2  0.314    4  0.285
TIGERS       27 39 260 284 -0.009 33.288   28 -0.079   28 -0.090   22 -0.045   28 0.4761   13  0.507   17 -0.029   18 -0.061   20 -0.155
RED SOX      27 36 249 258  0.018 32.440   24 -0.042   24 -0.059   16 -0.011   24 0.4842   16  0.454   18 -0.043   16  0.021   24 -0.259
CARDINALS    35 28 278 280  0.014 32.311    6  0.035    6  0.057   14 -0.001    6 0.5149   18  0.437   19 -0.047   14  0.046   11  0.079
GUARDIANS    37 30 272 271  0.001 34.015    7  0.029    7  0.052   13  0.002    7 0.5120   19  0.435   20 -0.047   13  0.051   25 -0.278
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      24 42 284 383  0.017 34.193   30 -0.148   30 -0.125   30 -0.154   30 0.4696   11  0.581   21 -0.069   26 -0.238    2  0.441
GIANTS       27 39 272 320  0.038 34.632   26 -0.057   26 -0.071   27 -0.083   22 0.4848   15  0.488   22 -0.084   20 -0.081   14  0.025
RANGERS      32 33 262 248 -0.014 32.570   17 -0.010   17 -0.013    9  0.015   18 0.4964   21  0.359   23 -0.100    8  0.129   28 -0.290
MARINERS     34 32 278 249 -0.032 32.598   14 -0.000   14  0.003    7  0.031   15 0.4994   25  0.325   24 -0.112    6  0.173   15 -0.003
ROYALS       27 39 258 306  0.021 34.156   27 -0.067   27 -0.079   26 -0.072   27 0.4775   20  0.395   25 -0.155   17  0.012   13  0.033
PADRES       33 31 241 259 -0.035 31.631   15 -0.002   15  0.002   23 -0.046   14 0.5004   24  0.337   26 -0.178   10  0.087   21 -0.179
BLUE JAYS    32 34 272 285  0.018 33.968   16 -0.007   16 -0.008   15 -0.007   17 0.4966   28  0.281   27 -0.186    7  0.172    8  0.193
ATHLETICS    31 34 273 316  0.007 33.240   19 -0.013   19 -0.019   25 -0.065   19 0.4944   26  0.320   28 -0.211   11  0.082    1  0.572
PHILLIES     35 30 262 281 -0.013 32.685    9  0.013    8  0.032   18 -0.028    8 0.5112   29  0.197   29 -0.273    5  0.217    5  0.279
METS         29 36 265 270 -0.029 32.283   25 -0.044   25 -0.063   19 -0.040   23 0.4846   30  0.128   30 -0.337    4  0.258    3  0.331

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 34 31 283 293  0.024 33.573    8  0.014    9  0.031   12  0.007   11 0.5067   10  0.582    8  0.093   19 -0.079   22 -0.182
DODGERS      42 24 345 212 -0.032 32.301    3  0.122    3  0.119    1  0.205    3 0.5313   23  0.338   10  0.073    1  0.336   17 -0.024
ROCKIES      24 42 284 383  0.017 34.193   30 -0.148   30 -0.125   30 -0.154   30 0.4696   11  0.581   21 -0.069   26 -0.238    2  0.441
GIANTS       27 39 272 320  0.038 34.632   26 -0.057   26 -0.071   27 -0.083   22 0.4848   15  0.488   22 -0.084   20 -0.081   14  0.025
PADRES       33 31 241 259 -0.035 31.631   15 -0.002   15  0.002   23 -0.046   14 0.5004   24  0.337   26 -0.178   10  0.087   21 -0.179

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         34 32 303 300  0.014 33.857   11  0.007   11  0.020   10  0.009    9 0.5089    3  0.749    3  0.259   27 -0.241   26 -0.279
BREWERS      40 23 329 224  0.000 31.734    2  0.135    2  0.127    3  0.183    2 0.5325   22  0.350   11  0.062    3  0.304    9  0.141
PIRATES      34 32 333 303 -0.016 32.988   12  0.002   12  0.009    5  0.037   12 0.5066   14  0.496   13  0.043   15  0.032    6  0.236
REDS         31 33 275 326 -0.032 31.762   20 -0.018   20 -0.027   29 -0.090   20 0.4941    8  0.600   14  0.013   23 -0.192   16 -0.009
CARDINALS    35 28 278 280  0.014 32.311    6  0.035    6  0.057   14 -0.001    6 0.5149   18  0.437   19 -0.047   14  0.046   11  0.079

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    33 33 352 348  0.058 34.968   10  0.009   10  0.023    6  0.032   10 0.5081    2  0.751    1  0.284   25 -0.219    7  0.232
BRAVES       45 21 344 228 -0.017 32.801    1  0.212    1  0.170    2  0.186    1 0.5433    9  0.593    2  0.282    9  0.090   30 -0.369
MARLINS      31 35 276 296  0.038 34.516   18 -0.010   18 -0.014   17 -0.018   16 0.4981   12  0.574   12  0.060   21 -0.095   23 -0.233
PHILLIES     35 30 262 281 -0.013 32.685    9  0.013    8  0.032   18 -0.028    8 0.5112   29  0.197   29 -0.273    5  0.217    5  0.279
METS         29 36 265 270 -0.029 32.283   25 -0.044   25 -0.063   19 -0.040   23 0.4846   30  0.128   30 -0.337    4  0.258    3  0.331

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       25 41 291 342  0.021 34.170   29 -0.112   29 -0.108   28 -0.085   29 0.4718    1  0.824    4  0.243   30 -0.413   27 -0.284
ASTROS       30 37 307 336 -0.010 33.810   22 -0.037   22 -0.054   24 -0.052   25 0.4841    7  0.630    9  0.079   22 -0.184   10  0.105
RANGERS      32 33 262 248 -0.014 32.570   17 -0.010   17 -0.013    9  0.015   18 0.4964   21  0.359   23 -0.100    8  0.129   28 -0.290
MARINERS     34 32 278 249 -0.032 32.598   14 -0.000   14  0.003    7  0.031   15 0.4994   25  0.325   24 -0.112    6  0.173   15 -0.003
ATHLETICS    31 34 273 316  0.007 33.240   19 -0.013   19 -0.019   25 -0.065   19 0.4944   26  0.320   28 -0.211   11  0.082    1  0.572

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    34 31 310 302 -0.040 31.911   13  0.001   13  0.007   11  0.008   13 0.5007    6  0.713    5  0.221   24 -0.205   29 -0.296
TWINS        30 37 308 334 -0.019 33.541   23 -0.040   23 -0.058   21 -0.045   26 0.4835    4  0.741    6  0.197   29 -0.286   19 -0.143
TIGERS       27 39 260 284 -0.009 33.288   28 -0.079   28 -0.090   22 -0.045   28 0.4761   13  0.507   17 -0.029   18 -0.061   20 -0.155
GUARDIANS    37 30 272 271  0.001 34.015    7  0.029    7  0.052   13  0.002    7 0.5120   19  0.435   20 -0.047   13  0.051   25 -0.278
ROYALS       27 39 258 306  0.021 34.156   27 -0.067   27 -0.079   26 -0.072   27 0.4775   20  0.395   25 -0.155   17  0.012   13  0.033

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      31 35 309 340  0.004 33.641   21 -0.018   21 -0.028   20 -0.043   21 0.4913    5  0.733    7  0.190   28 -0.276   18 -0.032
RAYS         37 25 283 276 -0.003 31.337    4  0.065    4  0.088    8  0.028    4 0.5223   17  0.442   15 -0.015   12  0.070   12  0.060
YANKEES      38 26 324 228 -0.031 31.480    5  0.059    5  0.077    4  0.146    5 0.5180   27  0.294   16 -0.022    2  0.314    4  0.285
RED SOX      27 36 249 258  0.018 32.440   24 -0.042   24 -0.059   16 -0.011   24 0.4842   16  0.454   18 -0.043   16  0.021   24 -0.259
BLUE JAYS    32 34 272 285  0.018 33.968   16 -0.007   16 -0.008   15 -0.007   17 0.4966   28  0.281   27 -0.186    7  0.172    8  0.193

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 174 148 0.540    1  0.057
NL EAST    173 155 0.527    2  0.053
AL EAST    165 156 0.514    3  0.046
NL WEST    160 167 0.489    4 -0.031
AL CENTRAL 155 176 0.468    5 -0.062
AL WEST    152 177 0.462    6 -0.064

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.041 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Jun  8 05:30:06 2026
games through: Sun Jun  7 2026

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