Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    35 34 372 365  0.046 36.198    9  0.010    9  0.026    6  0.032    8 0.5085    2  0.769    1  0.299   27 -0.235    7  0.197
BRAVES       45 23 350 236 -0.010 33.968    1  0.194    1  0.156    2  0.182    1 0.5386   10  0.582    2  0.264    9  0.100   30 -0.353
ANGELS       27 42 308 350  0.014 35.504   29 -0.106   29 -0.102   26 -0.070   29 0.4744    1  0.822    3  0.251   30 -0.392   28 -0.320
WHITE SOX    36 31 318 308 -0.029 33.167   10  0.010   10  0.025   10  0.018   11 0.5055    5  0.708    4  0.222   25 -0.187   29 -0.320
TWINS        31 39 318 359 -0.019 35.029   23 -0.046   23 -0.065   24 -0.069   25 0.4817    3  0.766    5  0.195   29 -0.332   20 -0.166
ORIOLES      33 37 331 359  0.003 35.632   20 -0.018   20 -0.027   20 -0.036   21 0.4918    4  0.726    6  0.186   28 -0.258   16 -0.005
DODGERS      44 25 373 230 -0.030 33.824    2  0.138    2  0.125    1  0.215    2 0.5318   16  0.452    7  0.178    2  0.252   19 -0.124
CUBS         35 34 317 313  0.001 35.016   11  0.001   12  0.008   13  0.002   10 0.5055    6  0.679    8  0.177   23 -0.173   24 -0.219
BREWERS      41 25 352 249 -0.002 33.201    3  0.120    3  0.117    3  0.174    3 0.5296   21  0.427    9  0.114    4  0.233   11  0.060
MARLINS      34 35 296 302  0.033 35.891   13  0.000   13  0.007   12  0.008   13 0.5035   12  0.569   10  0.077   19 -0.062   25 -0.229
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 34 34 289 313  0.020 35.075   12  0.000   11  0.009   18 -0.021   15 0.5014    9  0.585   11  0.064   21 -0.105   22 -0.197
PIRATES      35 34 351 331 -0.005 34.802   14 -0.000   14  0.006    7  0.029   12 0.5048   14  0.505   12  0.039   17  0.018    4  0.317
ASTROS       31 39 315 353 -0.014 35.211   22 -0.043   22 -0.062   25 -0.069   24 0.4823    7  0.600   13  0.030   22 -0.168    9  0.114
YANKEES      41 26 342 239 -0.024 33.135    5  0.092    5  0.100    4  0.158    5 0.5238   26  0.330   14  0.016    1  0.299    6  0.256
REDS         32 35 286 340 -0.030 33.281   21 -0.022   21 -0.033   29 -0.094   20 0.4926    8  0.590   15 -0.005   24 -0.183   15  0.004
TIGERS       29 40 285 294 -0.019 34.488   27 -0.074   28 -0.085   19 -0.025   27 0.4772   13  0.515   16 -0.006   18 -0.044   18 -0.117
RAYS         40 25 297 285 -0.002 32.843    4  0.097    4  0.110    5  0.039    4 0.5261   19  0.430   17 -0.018   10  0.095   12  0.057
CARDINALS    37 29 298 287  0.008 33.645    6  0.037    6  0.062    9  0.019    6 0.5153   18  0.430   18 -0.037   13  0.076   10  0.082
GUARDIANS    37 33 283 289  0.016 35.959    8  0.015    8  0.036   14 -0.002    9 0.5070   20  0.427   19 -0.061   14  0.057   23 -0.210
RED SOX      27 39 258 272  0.023 34.116   26 -0.064   26 -0.078   16 -0.019   26 0.4804   17  0.433   20 -0.073   15  0.034   26 -0.249
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      26 43 297 397  0.007 35.435   30 -0.144   30 -0.120   30 -0.155   30 0.4722   11  0.571   21 -0.084   26 -0.226    2  0.385
GIANTS       28 41 289 340  0.038 36.175   25 -0.061   25 -0.077   28 -0.086   23 0.4843   15  0.492   22 -0.087   20 -0.085   13  0.055
MARINERS     36 34 297 271 -0.031 34.580   16 -0.002   16  0.002    8  0.023   16 0.4996   24  0.352   23 -0.100    7  0.147   17 -0.026
RANGERS      34 34 275 259 -0.015 34.046   17 -0.005   18 -0.006   11  0.018   17 0.4980   23  0.353   24 -0.105    8  0.141   27 -0.279
ROYALS       28 41 269 319  0.023 35.730   28 -0.078   27 -0.084   27 -0.072   28 0.4766   22  0.379   25 -0.173   16  0.028   14  0.035
PADRES       35 32 255 270 -0.043 32.876   15 -0.001   15  0.006   21 -0.043   14 0.5018   25  0.337   26 -0.179   11  0.094   21 -0.181
ATHLETICS    33 35 298 339  0.021 35.136   18 -0.008   17 -0.006   22 -0.051   18 0.4979   27  0.330   27 -0.193   12  0.091    1  0.623
BLUE JAYS    33 36 281 299  0.016 35.460   19 -0.011   19 -0.015   15 -0.015   19 0.4957   28  0.281   28 -0.198    6  0.167    8  0.191
PHILLIES     37 31 276 290 -0.012 34.171    7  0.017    7  0.038   17 -0.019    7 0.5121   29  0.200   29 -0.266    5  0.227    5  0.284
METS         30 38 272 290 -0.025 33.874   24 -0.049   24 -0.068   23 -0.060   22 0.4844   30  0.137   30 -0.354    3  0.234    3  0.329

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      44 25 373 230 -0.030 33.824    2  0.138    2  0.125    1  0.215    2 0.5318   16  0.452    7  0.178    2  0.252   19 -0.124
DIAMONDBACKS 34 34 289 313  0.020 35.075   12  0.000   11  0.009   18 -0.021   15 0.5014    9  0.585   11  0.064   21 -0.105   22 -0.197
ROCKIES      26 43 297 397  0.007 35.435   30 -0.144   30 -0.120   30 -0.155   30 0.4722   11  0.571   21 -0.084   26 -0.226    2  0.385
GIANTS       28 41 289 340  0.038 36.175   25 -0.061   25 -0.077   28 -0.086   23 0.4843   15  0.492   22 -0.087   20 -0.085   13  0.055
PADRES       35 32 255 270 -0.043 32.876   15 -0.001   15  0.006   21 -0.043   14 0.5018   25  0.337   26 -0.179   11  0.094   21 -0.181

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         35 34 317 313  0.001 35.016   11  0.001   12  0.008   13  0.002   10 0.5055    6  0.679    8  0.177   23 -0.173   24 -0.219
BREWERS      41 25 352 249 -0.002 33.201    3  0.120    3  0.117    3  0.174    3 0.5296   21  0.427    9  0.114    4  0.233   11  0.060
PIRATES      35 34 351 331 -0.005 34.802   14 -0.000   14  0.006    7  0.029   12 0.5048   14  0.505   12  0.039   17  0.018    4  0.317
REDS         32 35 286 340 -0.030 33.281   21 -0.022   21 -0.033   29 -0.094   20 0.4926    8  0.590   15 -0.005   24 -0.183   15  0.004
CARDINALS    37 29 298 287  0.008 33.645    6  0.037    6  0.062    9  0.019    6 0.5153   18  0.430   18 -0.037   13  0.076   10  0.082

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    35 34 372 365  0.046 36.198    9  0.010    9  0.026    6  0.032    8 0.5085    2  0.769    1  0.299   27 -0.235    7  0.197
BRAVES       45 23 350 236 -0.010 33.968    1  0.194    1  0.156    2  0.182    1 0.5386   10  0.582    2  0.264    9  0.100   30 -0.353
MARLINS      34 35 296 302  0.033 35.891   13  0.000   13  0.007   12  0.008   13 0.5035   12  0.569   10  0.077   19 -0.062   25 -0.229
PHILLIES     37 31 276 290 -0.012 34.171    7  0.017    7  0.038   17 -0.019    7 0.5121   29  0.200   29 -0.266    5  0.227    5  0.284
METS         30 38 272 290 -0.025 33.874   24 -0.049   24 -0.068   23 -0.060   22 0.4844   30  0.137   30 -0.354    3  0.234    3  0.329

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       27 42 308 350  0.014 35.504   29 -0.106   29 -0.102   26 -0.070   29 0.4744    1  0.822    3  0.251   30 -0.392   28 -0.320
ASTROS       31 39 315 353 -0.014 35.211   22 -0.043   22 -0.062   25 -0.069   24 0.4823    7  0.600   13  0.030   22 -0.168    9  0.114
MARINERS     36 34 297 271 -0.031 34.580   16 -0.002   16  0.002    8  0.023   16 0.4996   24  0.352   23 -0.100    7  0.147   17 -0.026
RANGERS      34 34 275 259 -0.015 34.046   17 -0.005   18 -0.006   11  0.018   17 0.4980   23  0.353   24 -0.105    8  0.141   27 -0.279
ATHLETICS    33 35 298 339  0.021 35.136   18 -0.008   17 -0.006   22 -0.051   18 0.4979   27  0.330   27 -0.193   12  0.091    1  0.623

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    36 31 318 308 -0.029 33.167   10  0.010   10  0.025   10  0.018   11 0.5055    5  0.708    4  0.222   25 -0.187   29 -0.320
TWINS        31 39 318 359 -0.019 35.029   23 -0.046   23 -0.065   24 -0.069   25 0.4817    3  0.766    5  0.195   29 -0.332   20 -0.166
TIGERS       29 40 285 294 -0.019 34.488   27 -0.074   28 -0.085   19 -0.025   27 0.4772   13  0.515   16 -0.006   18 -0.044   18 -0.117
GUARDIANS    37 33 283 289  0.016 35.959    8  0.015    8  0.036   14 -0.002    9 0.5070   20  0.427   19 -0.061   14  0.057   23 -0.210
ROYALS       28 41 269 319  0.023 35.730   28 -0.078   27 -0.084   27 -0.072   28 0.4766   22  0.379   25 -0.173   16  0.028   14  0.035

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      33 37 331 359  0.003 35.632   20 -0.018   20 -0.027   20 -0.036   21 0.4918    4  0.726    6  0.186   28 -0.258   16 -0.005
YANKEES      41 26 342 239 -0.024 33.135    5  0.092    5  0.100    4  0.158    5 0.5238   26  0.330   14  0.016    1  0.299    6  0.256
RAYS         40 25 297 285 -0.002 32.843    4  0.097    4  0.110    5  0.039    4 0.5261   19  0.430   17 -0.018   10  0.095   12  0.057
RED SOX      27 39 258 272  0.023 34.116   26 -0.064   26 -0.078   16 -0.019   26 0.4804   17  0.433   20 -0.073   15  0.034   26 -0.249
BLUE JAYS    33 36 281 299  0.016 35.460   19 -0.011   19 -0.015   15 -0.015   19 0.4957   28  0.281   28 -0.198    6  0.167    8  0.191

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL EAST    181 161 0.529    1  0.055
NL CENTRAL 180 157 0.534    2  0.052
AL EAST    174 163 0.516    3  0.050
NL WEST    167 175 0.488    4 -0.039
AL CENTRAL 161 184 0.467    5 -0.060
AL WEST    161 184 0.467    6 -0.060

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.049 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jun 12 05:30:07 2026
games through: Thu Jun 11 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.