Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      106  60 845 628  0.003 83.005    1  0.228    1  0.228    1  0.232    1 0.5350   22  0.430    2  0.169    3  0.294   10  0.041
DODGERS      103  63 815 608 -0.007 82.283    2  0.217    2  0.192    2  0.211    2 0.5288   24  0.398    4  0.121    2  0.301   14  0.006
RAYS         101  64 746 655 -0.001 82.366    3  0.208    3  0.181    6  0.112    3 0.5269   23  0.398   13  0.022    6  0.202   12  0.022
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.014 85.393    4  0.125    4  0.130    4  0.126    4 0.5197   27  0.331   17 -0.020    4  0.273    8  0.103
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.004 82.639    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.151    5 0.5178   30  0.239   22 -0.070    1  0.371    6  0.259
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.010 84.631    6  0.064    6  0.103    8  0.066    6 0.5153   12  0.556    6  0.118   13  0.014   29 -0.295
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.821    7  0.033    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.624    1  0.236   14  0.002   11  0.031
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.018 83.736    8  0.027    8  0.074   12  0.033    8 0.5113   28  0.317   27 -0.125    7  0.191    5  0.262
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.007 81.528    9  0.013    9  0.054   13  0.016   10 0.5081   11  0.578   10  0.089   17 -0.056   20 -0.098
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.005 82.304   10  0.012   10  0.052    7  0.077    9 0.5083   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.271    9  0.085
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     88  79 701 682 -0.018 82.429   11  0.006   11  0.032   16 -0.001   12 0.5038   26  0.360   26 -0.123    8  0.121   15 -0.016
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.015 83.531   12  0.005   12  0.024   10  0.047   13 0.5030   10  0.609    3  0.149   16 -0.056   17 -0.073
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.350   13  0.005   13  0.023   11  0.034   11 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.019    9  0.086    7  0.234
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.075   14  0.002   14 -0.000   14  0.015   14 0.5005   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.015   19 -0.093
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.006 81.016   15  0.000   15 -0.012   18 -0.021   15 0.4984    6  0.624    8  0.095   24 -0.138   24 -0.163
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.704   16 -0.000   16 -0.015   19 -0.030   16 0.4981   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.086   13  0.015
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.458   17 -0.002   17 -0.027   17 -0.019   17 0.4967    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.132   27 -0.225
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.014 82.029   18 -0.003   18 -0.030   15  0.004   18 0.4958    8  0.612    7  0.109   20 -0.100    4  0.271
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.039 78.705   19 -0.004   19 -0.036   23 -0.068   19 0.4943   13  0.535   20 -0.035   19 -0.100   26 -0.195
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.043 79.376   20 -0.005   20 -0.038   22 -0.065   21 0.4935    4  0.638   11  0.065   25 -0.196   21 -0.120
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.590   21 -0.006   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   20 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.006   29 -0.277   25 -0.170
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.005 80.868   22 -0.007   22 -0.044   21 -0.064   22 0.4924    1  0.694    5  0.121   28 -0.249   18 -0.092
METS          74  88 699 731  0.024 82.692   23 -0.011   23 -0.056   20 -0.036   23 0.4920   16  0.514   18 -0.023   15 -0.050   16 -0.051
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.019 79.788   24 -0.013   24 -0.060    9  0.056   24 0.4906   18  0.486   12  0.044   11  0.067   23 -0.155
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.881   25 -0.027   25 -0.074   24 -0.089   25 0.4886   15  0.519   23 -0.071   21 -0.107   28 -0.234
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.006 80.859   26 -0.115   26 -0.125   26 -0.121   26 0.4804   21  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.062    3  0.284
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.012 82.047   27 -0.171   27 -0.152   25 -0.098   27 0.4776   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.125   22 -0.140
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.027 79.670   28 -0.219   28 -0.188   30 -0.243   28 0.4707   19  0.462   30 -0.277   26 -0.210    1  0.563
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.028 79.520   29 -0.225   29 -0.208   27 -0.138   29 0.4689    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.243   30 -0.357
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.024 82.897   30 -0.228   30 -0.218   29 -0.194   30 0.4679    2  0.664   21 -0.039   30 -0.350    2  0.299

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      103  63 815 608 -0.007 82.283    2  0.217    2  0.192    2  0.211    2 0.5288   24  0.398    4  0.121    2  0.301   14  0.006
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.010 84.631    6  0.064    6  0.103    8  0.066    6 0.5153   12  0.556    6  0.118   13  0.014   29 -0.295
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.007 81.528    9  0.013    9  0.054   13  0.016   10 0.5081   11  0.578   10  0.089   17 -0.056   20 -0.098
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.012 82.047   27 -0.171   27 -0.152   25 -0.098   27 0.4776   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.125   22 -0.140
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.024 82.897   30 -0.228   30 -0.218   29 -0.194   30 0.4679    2  0.664   21 -0.039   30 -0.350    2  0.299

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      106  60 845 628  0.003 83.005    1  0.228    1  0.228    1  0.232    1 0.5350   22  0.430    2  0.169    3  0.294   10  0.041
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.821    7  0.033    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.624    1  0.236   14  0.002   11  0.031
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.350   13  0.005   13  0.023   11  0.034   11 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.019    9  0.086    7  0.234
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.458   17 -0.002   17 -0.027   17 -0.019   17 0.4967    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.132   27 -0.225
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.590   21 -0.006   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   20 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.006   29 -0.277   25 -0.170

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.014 85.393    4  0.125    4  0.130    4  0.126    4 0.5197   27  0.331   17 -0.020    4  0.273    8  0.103
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.018 83.736    8  0.027    8  0.074   12  0.033    8 0.5113   28  0.317   27 -0.125    7  0.191    5  0.262
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.075   14  0.002   14 -0.000   14  0.015   14 0.5005   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.015   19 -0.093
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.014 82.029   18 -0.003   18 -0.030   15  0.004   18 0.4958    8  0.612    7  0.109   20 -0.100    4  0.271
METS          74  88 699 731  0.024 82.692   23 -0.011   23 -0.056   20 -0.036   23 0.4920   16  0.514   18 -0.023   15 -0.050   16 -0.051

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.039 78.705   19 -0.004   19 -0.036   23 -0.068   19 0.4943   13  0.535   20 -0.035   19 -0.100   26 -0.195
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.043 79.376   20 -0.005   20 -0.038   22 -0.065   21 0.4935    4  0.638   11  0.065   25 -0.196   21 -0.120
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.881   25 -0.027   25 -0.074   24 -0.089   25 0.4886   15  0.519   23 -0.071   21 -0.107   28 -0.234
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.027 79.670   28 -0.219   28 -0.188   30 -0.243   28 0.4707   19  0.462   30 -0.277   26 -0.210    1  0.563
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.028 79.520   29 -0.225   29 -0.208   27 -0.138   29 0.4689    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.243   30 -0.357

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     88  79 701 682 -0.018 82.429   11  0.006   11  0.032   16 -0.001   12 0.5038   26  0.360   26 -0.123    8  0.121   15 -0.016
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.015 83.531   12  0.005   12  0.024   10  0.047   13 0.5030   10  0.609    3  0.149   16 -0.056   17 -0.073
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.005 80.868   22 -0.007   22 -0.044   21 -0.064   22 0.4924    1  0.694    5  0.121   28 -0.249   18 -0.092
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.019 79.788   24 -0.013   24 -0.060    9  0.056   24 0.4906   18  0.486   12  0.044   11  0.067   23 -0.155
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.006 80.859   26 -0.115   26 -0.125   26 -0.121   26 0.4804   21  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.062    3  0.284

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         101  64 746 655 -0.001 82.366    3  0.208    3  0.181    6  0.112    3 0.5269   23  0.398   13  0.022    6  0.202   12  0.022
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.004 82.639    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.151    5 0.5178   30  0.239   22 -0.070    1  0.371    6  0.259
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.005 82.304   10  0.012   10  0.052    7  0.077    9 0.5083   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.271    9  0.085
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.006 81.016   15  0.000   15 -0.012   18 -0.021   15 0.4984    6  0.624    8  0.095   24 -0.138   24 -0.163
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.704   16 -0.000   16 -0.015   19 -0.030   16 0.4981   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.086   13  0.015

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    441 377 0.539    1  0.078
NL CENTRAL 429 387 0.526    2  0.061
NL EAST    417 403 0.509    3  0.039
NL WEST    406 414 0.495    4 -0.000
AL CENTRAL 398 424 0.484    5 -0.022
AL WEST    363 449 0.447    6 -0.163

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.058 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Oct 11 05:30:16 2026
games through: Sat Oct 10 2026

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