Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS       5 6 41 44 -0.016  5.445   23 -0.011   23 -0.008   25 -0.011   25 0.4824    1  1.596    1  0.682   32 -0.705 P
BLUES          3 7 29 44 -0.072  4.792   29 -0.030   29 -0.031   30 -0.043   29 0.4582    2  1.423    2  0.394   31 -0.480 P
SHARKS         2 8 32 46  0.034  5.297   31 -0.043   31 -0.043   32 -0.066   32 0.4379    3  1.388    4  0.321   30 -0.453 P
MAPLE LEAFS    5 5 35 36 -0.079  4.674   16 -0.002   16 -0.002   18 -0.004   17 0.4969    4  1.379    3  0.372   29 -0.379 P
BRUINS         5 7 39 44  0.087  6.431   20 -0.007   20 -0.007   14  0.001   23 0.4847    5  1.328    5  0.306   28 -0.304 P
ISLANDERS      4 5 32 33 -0.004  4.499   22 -0.009   22 -0.007   22 -0.007   22 0.4861    6  1.320    6  0.288   27 -0.301 P
DUCKS          5 4 32 31  0.017  4.603   14  0.003   14  0.005   26 -0.018   15 0.5024    7  1.300    8  0.249   26 -0.286 P
CANADIENS      8 3 40 33 -0.048  5.255    3  0.031    3  0.031   11  0.007    3 0.5354    8  1.291    7  0.261   25 -0.247 P
DEVILS         8 2 39 30  0.094  5.251    1  0.049    1  0.047    2  0.041    1 0.5572    9  1.246    9  0.236   23 -0.155 P
HURRICANES     6 3 34 28  0.123  4.866    4  0.030    4  0.030    3  0.035    2 0.5449   10  1.211   10  0.184   22 -0.115 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD           3 8 31 43 -0.023  5.480   30 -0.033   30 -0.035   29 -0.031   30 0.4561   11  1.208   12  0.114   24 -0.176 P
BLUE JACKETS   5 4 29 28  0.087  4.841   12  0.008   12  0.010   21 -0.006   12 0.5096   12  1.177   14  0.099   21 -0.112 P
PENGUINS       7 4 40 30 -0.102  4.944   10  0.014   10  0.014    5  0.030   10 0.5130   13  1.174   11  0.132   20 -0.072 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 6 4 37 28 -0.014  4.846    9  0.015    9  0.015    4  0.032    9 0.5148   14  1.146   13  0.099   18 -0.035 P
RED WINGS      7 3 35 31 -0.075  4.680    6  0.023    6  0.023   17 -0.001    7 0.5261   15  1.129   17  0.044   19 -0.046 P
OILERS         5 6 35 35 -0.007  5.433   19 -0.006   19 -0.006    9  0.011   18 0.4955   16  1.121   16  0.046   17 -0.024 P
JETS           7 3 34 25 -0.094  4.536    5  0.026    5  0.025    6  0.027    5 0.5300   17  1.113   15  0.052   16  0.002 P
MAMMOTH        8 3 40 30  0.003  5.435    2  0.034    2  0.034    7  0.019    4 0.5328   18  1.096   18  0.024   15  0.014 P
AVALANCHE      6 5 41 30  0.142  5.996    7  0.017    7  0.017    1  0.066    6 0.5278   19  1.046   19  0.010   11  0.122 P
STARS          6 4 29 30 -0.003  4.963    8  0.016    8  0.017   12  0.006    8 0.5203   20  1.036   20 -0.062   14  0.074 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES         4 6 30 31 -0.004  5.002   26 -0.017   26 -0.015   24 -0.011   26 0.4768   21  0.991   21 -0.131   12  0.110 P
CANUCKS        5 6 29 33 -0.039  5.384   24 -0.011   24 -0.009   27 -0.026   24 0.4835   22  0.991   23 -0.147   13  0.095 P
KINGS          5 6 33 36  0.049  5.724   18 -0.003   18 -0.002   16  0.000   19 0.4937   23  0.972   22 -0.143   10  0.143 P
LIGHTNING      4 6 29 30  0.025  5.078   25 -0.013   25 -0.010   10  0.011   20 0.4884   24  0.933   24 -0.176    7  0.198 P
PREDATORS      4 7 28 37 -0.028  5.431   28 -0.022   27 -0.023   28 -0.029   27 0.4740   25  0.915   26 -0.236    9  0.178 P
BLACKHAWKS     5 5 33 26 -0.058  4.755   21 -0.008   21 -0.007   20 -0.004   21 0.4879   26  0.907   25 -0.220    6  0.212 P
FLAMES         2 9 24 39  0.031  5.767   32 -0.046   32 -0.046   31 -0.047   31 0.4401   27  0.898   27 -0.272    8  0.179 P
PANTHERS       5 6 27 31  0.033  5.649   17 -0.003   17 -0.002   15  0.000   16 0.4977   28  0.814   28 -0.317    5  0.317 P
KRAKEN         5 5 28 29  0.066  5.264   15  0.003   15  0.003   13  0.003   13 0.5077   29  0.789   29 -0.339    4  0.346 P
FLYERS         5 4 26 23  0.016  4.565   13  0.004   13  0.006   19 -0.004   14 0.5050   30  0.776   30 -0.360    3  0.353 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS       6 4 27 22 -0.054  4.733   11  0.011   11  0.012    8  0.016   11 0.5101   31  0.718   31 -0.399    2  0.431 P
RANGERS        4 7 24 26 -0.054  5.272   27 -0.022   28 -0.023   23 -0.009   28 0.4645   32  0.561   32 -0.574    1  0.556 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS         2 8 32 46  0.034  5.297   31 -0.043   31 -0.043   32 -0.066   32 0.4379    3  1.388    4  0.321   30 -0.453 P
DUCKS          5 4 32 31  0.017  4.603   14  0.003   14  0.005   26 -0.018   15 0.5024    7  1.300    8  0.249   26 -0.286 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 6 4 37 28 -0.014  4.846    9  0.015    9  0.015    4  0.032    9 0.5148   14  1.146   13  0.099   18 -0.035 P
OILERS         5 6 35 35 -0.007  5.433   19 -0.006   19 -0.006    9  0.011   18 0.4955   16  1.121   16  0.046   17 -0.024 P
CANUCKS        5 6 29 33 -0.039  5.384   24 -0.011   24 -0.009   27 -0.026   24 0.4835   22  0.991   23 -0.147   13  0.095 P
KINGS          5 6 33 36  0.049  5.724   18 -0.003   18 -0.002   16  0.000   19 0.4937   23  0.972   22 -0.143   10  0.143 P
FLAMES         2 9 24 39  0.031  5.767   32 -0.046   32 -0.046   31 -0.047   31 0.4401   27  0.898   27 -0.272    8  0.179 P
KRAKEN         5 5 28 29  0.066  5.264   15  0.003   15  0.003   13  0.003   13 0.5077   29  0.789   29 -0.339    4  0.346 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES          3 7 29 44 -0.072  4.792   29 -0.030   29 -0.031   30 -0.043   29 0.4582    2  1.423    2  0.394   31 -0.480 P
WILD           3 8 31 43 -0.023  5.480   30 -0.033   30 -0.035   29 -0.031   30 0.4561   11  1.208   12  0.114   24 -0.176 P
JETS           7 3 34 25 -0.094  4.536    5  0.026    5  0.025    6  0.027    5 0.5300   17  1.113   15  0.052   16  0.002 P
MAMMOTH        8 3 40 30  0.003  5.435    2  0.034    2  0.034    7  0.019    4 0.5328   18  1.096   18  0.024   15  0.014 P
AVALANCHE      6 5 41 30  0.142  5.996    7  0.017    7  0.017    1  0.066    6 0.5278   19  1.046   19  0.010   11  0.122 P
STARS          6 4 29 30 -0.003  4.963    8  0.016    8  0.017   12  0.006    8 0.5203   20  1.036   20 -0.062   14  0.074 P
PREDATORS      4 7 28 37 -0.028  5.431   28 -0.022   27 -0.023   28 -0.029   27 0.4740   25  0.915   26 -0.236    9  0.178 P
BLACKHAWKS     5 5 33 26 -0.058  4.755   21 -0.008   21 -0.007   20 -0.004   21 0.4879   26  0.907   25 -0.220    6  0.212 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ISLANDERS      4 5 32 33 -0.004  4.499   22 -0.009   22 -0.007   22 -0.007   22 0.4861    6  1.320    6  0.288   27 -0.301 P
DEVILS         8 2 39 30  0.094  5.251    1  0.049    1  0.047    2  0.041    1 0.5572    9  1.246    9  0.236   23 -0.155 P
HURRICANES     6 3 34 28  0.123  4.866    4  0.030    4  0.030    3  0.035    2 0.5449   10  1.211   10  0.184   22 -0.115 P
BLUE JACKETS   5 4 29 28  0.087  4.841   12  0.008   12  0.010   21 -0.006   12 0.5096   12  1.177   14  0.099   21 -0.112 P
PENGUINS       7 4 40 30 -0.102  4.944   10  0.014   10  0.014    5  0.030   10 0.5130   13  1.174   11  0.132   20 -0.072 P
FLYERS         5 4 26 23  0.016  4.565   13  0.004   13  0.006   19 -0.004   14 0.5050   30  0.776   30 -0.360    3  0.353 P
CAPITALS       6 4 27 22 -0.054  4.733   11  0.011   11  0.012    8  0.016   11 0.5101   31  0.718   31 -0.399    2  0.431 P
RANGERS        4 7 24 26 -0.054  5.272   27 -0.022   28 -0.023   23 -0.009   28 0.4645   32  0.561   32 -0.574    1  0.556 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS       5 6 41 44 -0.016  5.445   23 -0.011   23 -0.008   25 -0.011   25 0.4824    1  1.596    1  0.682   32 -0.705 P
MAPLE LEAFS    5 5 35 36 -0.079  4.674   16 -0.002   16 -0.002   18 -0.004   17 0.4969    4  1.379    3  0.372   29 -0.379 P
BRUINS         5 7 39 44  0.087  6.431   20 -0.007   20 -0.007   14  0.001   23 0.4847    5  1.328    5  0.306   28 -0.304 P
CANADIENS      8 3 40 33 -0.048  5.255    3  0.031    3  0.031   11  0.007    3 0.5354    8  1.291    7  0.261   25 -0.247 P
RED WINGS      7 3 35 31 -0.075  4.680    6  0.023    6  0.023   17 -0.001    7 0.5261   15  1.129   17  0.044   19 -0.046 P
SABRES         4 6 30 31 -0.004  5.002   26 -0.017   26 -0.015   24 -0.011   26 0.4768   21  0.991   21 -0.131   12  0.110 P
LIGHTNING      4 6 29 30  0.025  5.078   25 -0.013   25 -0.010   10  0.011   20 0.4884   24  0.933   24 -0.176    7  0.198 P
PANTHERS       5 6 27 31  0.033  5.649   17 -0.003   17 -0.002   15  0.000   16 0.4977   28  0.814   28 -0.317    5  0.317 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 45 33 0.577    1  0.099
CENTRAL DIVISION      42 42 0.500    2  0.012
ATLANTIC DIVISION     43 42 0.506    3 -0.005
PACIFIC DIVISION      35 48 0.422    4 -0.104

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.073 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Oct 29 05:30:12 2025
games through: Tue Oct 28 2025

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