Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      59 27 315 208 -0.021 42.088    1  0.288    1  0.293    1  0.393    1 0.5422   23  1.024    1  0.317    1  0.469
FLYERS         47 41 266 254  0.018 44.902    9  0.057    9  0.067   13  0.046    9 0.5096   30  0.942   22 -0.124    2  0.217
LIGHTNING      53 35 304 245  0.018 44.731    4  0.200    4  0.178    3  0.211    4 0.5280   17  1.092    6  0.217    3  0.205
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.004 43.333   29 -0.161   29 -0.158   22 -0.082   29 0.4765   32  0.849   31 -0.356    4  0.191
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.004 44.247    5  0.166    5  0.151    5  0.154    6 0.5216   20  1.058   11  0.118    5  0.190
WILD           50 38 295 255  0.000 44.099    7  0.110    7  0.110    6  0.152    7 0.5161   18  1.083   10  0.147    6  0.158
HURRICANES     57 29 307 245  0.010 43.430    2  0.271    2  0.274    2  0.212    2 0.5406    8  1.147    2  0.286    7  0.139
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.006 41.554   11  0.034   10  0.041   17 -0.028   11 0.5070   29  0.947   25 -0.193    8  0.138
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.014 44.578    3  0.217    3  0.196    4  0.205    3 0.5297    9  1.144    4  0.275    9  0.135
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.775   13  0.026   13  0.029    7  0.115   12 0.5058   12  1.117    9  0.151   10  0.079
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.304   10  0.036   11  0.038    9  0.089   10 0.5070   14  1.106   12  0.112   11  0.066
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.034 45.406    8  0.067    8  0.076   11  0.077    8 0.5122   15  1.105   13  0.099   12  0.056
CANADIENS      51 37 297 270  0.032 45.295    6  0.164    6  0.151    8  0.112    5 0.5227   10  1.142    7  0.180   13  0.044
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 45 288 268 -0.019 43.567   20 -0.018   20 -0.032   12  0.049   20 0.4946   16  1.098   15  0.062   14  0.035
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.011 41.683   18 -0.007   19 -0.014   16 -0.010   18 0.4989   19  1.059   19 -0.044   15  0.025
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.014 41.863   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   20 -0.067   25 0.4813   25  1.015   24 -0.154   16  0.020
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.010 41.711   16  0.006   16  0.006   18 -0.051   15 0.5014   21  1.036   21 -0.113   17  0.011
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.008 43.963   15  0.011   15  0.011   14  0.043   16 0.5006   13  1.116   14  0.078   18  0.008
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.020 40.748   24 -0.078   24 -0.091   19 -0.066   24 0.4858   22  1.027   23 -0.138   19  0.006
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.014 41.910   14  0.020   14  0.026   25 -0.115   14 0.5047   27  0.995   27 -0.225   20 -0.005
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.019 40.933   27 -0.158   27 -0.152   30 -0.192   27 0.4771   31  0.931   32 -0.375   21 -0.008
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.023 40.751   28 -0.160   28 -0.156   27 -0.141   28 0.4766   26  0.996   28 -0.249   22 -0.032
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.179   25 -0.121   25 -0.124   26 -0.121   26 0.4808   24  1.023   26 -0.198   23 -0.044
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.015 41.097   31 -0.243   31 -0.249   31 -0.226   31 0.4625   28  0.985   30 -0.347   24 -0.104
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.011 44.620   17 -0.002   17 -0.012   10  0.080   17 0.4993    3  1.245    3  0.280   25 -0.120
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.011 41.091   23 -0.054   23 -0.068   24 -0.098   23 0.4894   11  1.122   20 -0.056   26 -0.141
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.036 43.039   21 -0.027   21 -0.043   15  0.018   21 0.4946    2  1.260    5  0.237   27 -0.201
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.013 41.848   19 -0.007   18 -0.013   21 -0.082   19 0.4987    6  1.192   17  0.048   28 -0.213
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.025 40.738   22 -0.046   22 -0.057   29 -0.174   22 0.4913    5  1.213   18 -0.016   29 -0.332
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.934   30 -0.176   30 -0.169   28 -0.145   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.049   30 -0.339
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          47 41 299 309 -0.028 43.490   12  0.026   12  0.034   23 -0.092   13 0.5047    1  1.298    8  0.178   31 -0.361
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.021 41.134   32 -0.313   32 -0.331   32 -0.391   32 0.4504    7  1.160   29 -0.301   32 -0.481

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.004 43.333   29 -0.161   29 -0.158   22 -0.082   29 0.4765   32  0.849   31 -0.356    4  0.191
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 45 288 268 -0.019 43.567   20 -0.018   20 -0.032   12  0.049   20 0.4946   16  1.098   15  0.062   14  0.035
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.019 40.933   27 -0.158   27 -0.152   30 -0.192   27 0.4771   31  0.931   32 -0.375   21 -0.008
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.023 40.751   28 -0.160   28 -0.156   27 -0.141   28 0.4766   26  0.996   28 -0.249   22 -0.032
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.036 43.039   21 -0.027   21 -0.043   15  0.018   21 0.4946    2  1.260    5  0.237   27 -0.201
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.025 40.738   22 -0.046   22 -0.057   29 -0.174   22 0.4913    5  1.213   18 -0.016   29 -0.332
DUCKS          47 41 299 309 -0.028 43.490   12  0.026   12  0.034   23 -0.092   13 0.5047    1  1.298    8  0.178   31 -0.361
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.021 41.134   32 -0.313   32 -0.331   32 -0.391   32 0.4504    7  1.160   29 -0.301   32 -0.481

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      59 27 315 208 -0.021 42.088    1  0.288    1  0.293    1  0.393    1 0.5422   23  1.024    1  0.317    1  0.469
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.004 44.247    5  0.166    5  0.151    5  0.154    6 0.5216   20  1.058   11  0.118    5  0.190
WILD           50 38 295 255  0.000 44.099    7  0.110    7  0.110    6  0.152    7 0.5161   18  1.083   10  0.147    6  0.158
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.008 43.963   15  0.011   15  0.011   14  0.043   16 0.5006   13  1.116   14  0.078   18  0.008
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.020 40.748   24 -0.078   24 -0.091   19 -0.066   24 0.4858   22  1.027   23 -0.138   19  0.006
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.179   25 -0.121   25 -0.124   26 -0.121   26 0.4808   24  1.023   26 -0.198   23 -0.044
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.015 41.097   31 -0.243   31 -0.249   31 -0.226   31 0.4625   28  0.985   30 -0.347   24 -0.104
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.011 41.091   23 -0.054   23 -0.068   24 -0.098   23 0.4894   11  1.122   20 -0.056   26 -0.141

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS         47 41 266 254  0.018 44.902    9  0.057    9  0.067   13  0.046    9 0.5096   30  0.942   22 -0.124    2  0.217
HURRICANES     57 29 307 245  0.010 43.430    2  0.271    2  0.274    2  0.212    2 0.5406    8  1.147    2  0.286    7  0.139
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.006 41.554   11  0.034   10  0.041   17 -0.028   11 0.5070   29  0.947   25 -0.193    8  0.138
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.304   10  0.036   11  0.038    9  0.089   10 0.5070   14  1.106   12  0.112   11  0.066
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.011 41.683   18 -0.007   19 -0.014   16 -0.010   18 0.4989   19  1.059   19 -0.044   15  0.025
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.014 41.863   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   20 -0.067   25 0.4813   25  1.015   24 -0.154   16  0.020
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.014 41.910   14  0.020   14  0.026   25 -0.115   14 0.5047   27  0.995   27 -0.225   20 -0.005
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.011 44.620   17 -0.002   17 -0.012   10  0.080   17 0.4993    3  1.245    3  0.280   25 -0.120

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      53 35 304 245  0.018 44.731    4  0.200    4  0.178    3  0.211    4 0.5280   17  1.092    6  0.217    3  0.205
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.014 44.578    3  0.217    3  0.196    4  0.205    3 0.5297    9  1.144    4  0.275    9  0.135
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.775   13  0.026   13  0.029    7  0.115   12 0.5058   12  1.117    9  0.151   10  0.079
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.034 45.406    8  0.067    8  0.076   11  0.077    8 0.5122   15  1.105   13  0.099   12  0.056
CANADIENS      51 37 297 270  0.032 45.295    6  0.164    6  0.151    8  0.112    5 0.5227   10  1.142    7  0.180   13  0.044
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.010 41.711   16  0.006   16  0.006   18 -0.051   15 0.5014   21  1.036   21 -0.113   17  0.011
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.013 41.848   19 -0.007   18 -0.013   21 -0.082   19 0.4987    6  1.192   17  0.048   28 -0.213
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.934   30 -0.176   30 -0.169   28 -0.145   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.049   30 -0.339

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     362 322 0.529    1  0.075
CENTRAL DIVISION      345 333 0.509    2  0.038
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 349 323 0.519    3  0.036
PACIFIC DIVISION      300 378 0.442    4 -0.168

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.051 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat May  2 05:30:12 2026
games through: Fri May  1 2026

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