Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             58 28 287 207  0.007 42.693    1  0.284    1  0.296    1  0.285    1 0.5422   30  0.942   10  0.137    1  0.433
MAPLE LEAFS      55 31 283 241  0.001 42.818    2  0.237    2  0.233    9  0.131    2 0.5339   15  1.078    9  0.141   12  0.120
CAPITALS         54 32 302 243 -0.008 42.417    3  0.220    3  0.207    4  0.190    3 0.5301    7  1.145    2  0.283   14  0.096
STARS            53 34 290 239  0.004 43.269    4  0.199    4  0.184    5  0.181    4 0.5264   17  1.072    6  0.185    8  0.176
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   52 34 287 234 -0.007 42.452    5  0.186    5  0.171    3  0.202    5 0.5253   16  1.077    5  0.212    5  0.191
AVALANCHE        51 36 292 247  0.010 43.542    6  0.158    6  0.148    7  0.158    6 0.5217   10  1.129    4  0.232   15  0.084
PANTHERS         50 36 265 232  0.015 43.302    7  0.153    7  0.145   10  0.116    7 0.5202   26  0.970   15 -0.000    3  0.232
HURRICANES       50 36 280 240  0.004 42.884    8  0.144    8  0.137    8  0.143    8 0.5195   14  1.082    8  0.160   11  0.127
OILERS           50 36 277 255  0.001 42.920   10  0.134    9  0.137   12  0.063    9 0.5193   12  1.122   11  0.128   18 -0.001
KINGS            50 36 269 224 -0.006 42.520    9  0.134   10  0.129    6  0.160   10 0.5193   28  0.953   14  0.024    2  0.296
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 38 303 232  0.007 42.800   11  0.090   11  0.099    2  0.251   11 0.5151   11  1.124    1  0.318    6  0.183
WILD             47 39 243 251  0.009 43.354   12  0.067   12  0.084   17 -0.021   12 0.5118   29  0.952   26 -0.157   13  0.115
BLUES            46 40 270 243  0.016 43.338   13  0.053   13  0.067   11  0.101   13 0.5101   20  1.037   13  0.063   10  0.140
SENATORS         46 40 253 249  0.004 43.091   14  0.045   14  0.059   14  0.027   14 0.5093   27  0.967   21 -0.093    9  0.146
DEVILS           43 43 249 236  0.007 43.122   15  0.003   15  0.001   13  0.054   15 0.5006   31  0.922   23 -0.117    4  0.225
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.013 40.633   16 -0.005   16 -0.009   18 -0.036   16 0.4984   32  0.883   29 -0.250    7  0.177
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.002 40.951   17 -0.013   17 -0.022   16 -0.011   17 0.4968    2  1.225    7  0.185   27 -0.207
CANADIENS        41 45 256 279  0.011 43.450   18 -0.021   18 -0.032   20 -0.047   18 0.4960   13  1.102   16 -0.007   23 -0.088
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.002 41.184   19 -0.029   19 -0.040   22 -0.076   19 0.4943   18  1.058   20 -0.089   20 -0.063
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.004 40.812   20 -0.029   20 -0.045   15  0.025   20 0.4936    8  1.142   12  0.115   21 -0.065
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.001 41.049   21 -0.046   21 -0.062   19 -0.041   21 0.4911   22  1.034   19 -0.082   17  0.000
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.013 40.672   22 -0.054   22 -0.069   21 -0.056   22 0.4897   23  1.012   24 -0.123   16  0.011
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.005 40.982   23 -0.094   23 -0.104   23 -0.086   23 0.4850    1  1.323    3  0.240   31 -0.412
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.001 41.271   24 -0.118   24 -0.121   27 -0.164   24 0.4823   25  0.993   30 -0.253   22 -0.074
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.007 40.999   25 -0.121   25 -0.124   25 -0.128   25 0.4817   24  0.995   28 -0.216   19 -0.041
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.010 40.876   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   24 -0.106   26 0.4813    6  1.146   17 -0.012   26 -0.201
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.003 41.208   27 -0.147   27 -0.143   29 -0.198   27 0.4789    3  1.194   18 -0.042   29 -0.355
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.004 41.401   28 -0.164   28 -0.160   26 -0.159   28 0.4770   19  1.038   27 -0.195   24 -0.122
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.004 41.177   29 -0.170   29 -0.164   28 -0.195   29 0.4761    9  1.141   22 -0.106   28 -0.284
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.001 41.440   30 -0.225   30 -0.222   30 -0.236   30 0.4676   21  1.035   32 -0.276   25 -0.196
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.006 41.253   31 -0.306   31 -0.327   31 -0.257   31 0.4525    4  1.171   25 -0.130   30 -0.383
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.007 41.423   32 -0.439   32 -0.434   32 -0.377   32 0.4377    5  1.152   31 -0.275   32 -0.480

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   52 34 287 234 -0.007 42.452    5  0.186    5  0.171    3  0.202    5 0.5253   16  1.077    5  0.212    5  0.191
OILERS           50 36 277 255  0.001 42.920   10  0.134    9  0.137   12  0.063    9 0.5193   12  1.122   11  0.128   18 -0.001
KINGS            50 36 269 224 -0.006 42.520    9  0.134   10  0.129    6  0.160   10 0.5193   28  0.953   14  0.024    2  0.296
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.013 40.633   16 -0.005   16 -0.009   18 -0.036   16 0.4984   32  0.883   29 -0.250    7  0.177
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.013 40.672   22 -0.054   22 -0.069   21 -0.056   22 0.4897   23  1.012   24 -0.123   16  0.011
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.001 41.271   24 -0.118   24 -0.121   27 -0.164   24 0.4823   25  0.993   30 -0.253   22 -0.074
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.010 40.876   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   24 -0.106   26 0.4813    6  1.146   17 -0.012   26 -0.201
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.007 41.423   32 -0.439   32 -0.434   32 -0.377   32 0.4377    5  1.152   31 -0.275   32 -0.480

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             58 28 287 207  0.007 42.693    1  0.284    1  0.296    1  0.285    1 0.5422   30  0.942   10  0.137    1  0.433
STARS            53 34 290 239  0.004 43.269    4  0.199    4  0.184    5  0.181    4 0.5264   17  1.072    6  0.185    8  0.176
AVALANCHE        51 36 292 247  0.010 43.542    6  0.158    6  0.148    7  0.158    6 0.5217   10  1.129    4  0.232   15  0.084
WILD             47 39 243 251  0.009 43.354   12  0.067   12  0.084   17 -0.021   12 0.5118   29  0.952   26 -0.157   13  0.115
BLUES            46 40 270 243  0.016 43.338   13  0.053   13  0.067   11  0.101   13 0.5101   20  1.037   13  0.063   10  0.140
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.001 41.049   21 -0.046   21 -0.062   19 -0.041   21 0.4911   22  1.034   19 -0.082   17  0.000
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.001 41.440   30 -0.225   30 -0.222   30 -0.236   30 0.4676   21  1.035   32 -0.276   25 -0.196
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.006 41.253   31 -0.306   31 -0.327   31 -0.257   31 0.4525    4  1.171   25 -0.130   30 -0.383

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         54 32 302 243 -0.008 42.417    3  0.220    3  0.207    4  0.190    3 0.5301    7  1.145    2  0.283   14  0.096
HURRICANES       50 36 280 240  0.004 42.884    8  0.144    8  0.137    8  0.143    8 0.5195   14  1.082    8  0.160   11  0.127
DEVILS           43 43 249 236  0.007 43.122   15  0.003   15  0.001   13  0.054   15 0.5006   31  0.922   23 -0.117    4  0.225
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.002 40.951   17 -0.013   17 -0.022   16 -0.011   17 0.4968    2  1.225    7  0.185   27 -0.207
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.004 40.812   20 -0.029   20 -0.045   15  0.025   20 0.4936    8  1.142   12  0.115   21 -0.065
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.007 40.999   25 -0.121   25 -0.124   25 -0.128   25 0.4817   24  0.995   28 -0.216   19 -0.041
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.003 41.208   27 -0.147   27 -0.143   29 -0.198   27 0.4789    3  1.194   18 -0.042   29 -0.355
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.004 41.177   29 -0.170   29 -0.164   28 -0.195   29 0.4761    9  1.141   22 -0.106   28 -0.284

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      55 31 283 241  0.001 42.818    2  0.237    2  0.233    9  0.131    2 0.5339   15  1.078    9  0.141   12  0.120
PANTHERS         50 36 265 232  0.015 43.302    7  0.153    7  0.145   10  0.116    7 0.5202   26  0.970   15 -0.000    3  0.232
LIGHTNING        48 38 303 232  0.007 42.800   11  0.090   11  0.099    2  0.251   11 0.5151   11  1.124    1  0.318    6  0.183
SENATORS         46 40 253 249  0.004 43.091   14  0.045   14  0.059   14  0.027   14 0.5093   27  0.967   21 -0.093    9  0.146
CANADIENS        41 45 256 279  0.011 43.450   18 -0.021   18 -0.032   20 -0.047   18 0.4960   13  1.102   16 -0.007   23 -0.088
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.002 41.184   19 -0.029   19 -0.040   22 -0.076   19 0.4943   18  1.058   20 -0.089   20 -0.063
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.005 40.982   23 -0.094   23 -0.104   23 -0.086   23 0.4850    1  1.323    3  0.240   31 -0.412
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.004 41.401   28 -0.164   28 -0.160   26 -0.159   28 0.4770   19  1.038   27 -0.195   24 -0.122

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      348 330 0.513    1  0.029
ATLANTIC DIVISION     348 328 0.515    2  0.026
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 328 340 0.491    3 -0.020
PACIFIC DIVISION      321 347 0.481    4 -0.051

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.142 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Apr 29 05:30:11 2025
games through: Mon Apr 28 2025

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