Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     67 32 355 277  0.019 50.472    1  0.309    1  0.314    2  0.249    1 0.5449   10  1.130    2  0.300    4  0.198
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.008 47.249    2  0.277    2  0.269    1  0.360    2 0.5373   19  1.063    1  0.329    1  0.390
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.531    3  0.209    3  0.179    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.278   10  0.090
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.014 45.281    4  0.189    4  0.163    3  0.199    4 0.5259   18  1.081    6  0.191    3  0.208
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.059 53.287    5  0.164    5  0.148    7  0.117    5 0.5224    9  1.135    8  0.175   12  0.060
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.002 44.207    6  0.157    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5207   21  1.053   12  0.105    5  0.189
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.021 47.528    7  0.089    7  0.090    6  0.146    7 0.5128   11  1.124    7  0.190    8  0.101
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.322    8  0.065    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5114   16  1.104   14  0.089   14  0.051
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.003 41.272    9  0.036   11  0.032   10  0.082    9 0.5064   15  1.107   11  0.106   13  0.059
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.000 41.522   10  0.034    9  0.035   17 -0.033   10 0.5064   29  0.947   25 -0.199    7  0.132
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.014 43.824   13  0.028   13  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5054   13  1.118    9  0.147   11  0.074
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.025 47.462   12  0.030   12  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5053   31  0.915   24 -0.180    2  0.223
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 53 49 339 305  0.002 51.464   11  0.030   10  0.034    9  0.100   13 0.5053   17  1.090   13  0.102    9  0.097
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.905   14  0.021   14  0.021   25 -0.120   14 0.5041   27  0.995   27 -0.231   20 -0.009
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.023 46.849   15  0.016   15  0.015   24 -0.110   15 0.5016    1  1.274   10  0.127   31 -0.348
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 44.096   16  0.015   16  0.009   13  0.041   16 0.5008   14  1.116   15  0.074   17  0.007
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.004 41.685   17  0.008   17 -0.000   18 -0.056   17 0.5007   22  1.036   21 -0.119   18  0.006
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.541   18 -0.001   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.275   25 -0.129
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.678   19 -0.005   20 -0.020   16 -0.015   19 0.4983   20  1.060   19 -0.050   15  0.020
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.816   20 -0.005   18 -0.019   21 -0.088   20 0.4980    6  1.193   17  0.042   28 -0.218
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.041 43.014   21 -0.025   21 -0.049   15  0.012   21 0.4940    2  1.262    5  0.233   27 -0.208
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.029 40.747   22 -0.045   22 -0.062   29 -0.179   22 0.4908    5  1.213   18 -0.022   29 -0.336
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.017 41.063   23 -0.054   23 -0.073   23 -0.104   23 0.4887   12  1.121   20 -0.064   26 -0.143
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.025 40.737   24 -0.078   24 -0.096   19 -0.071   24 0.4853   23  1.027   22 -0.145   19  0.002
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.848   26 -0.127   26 -0.134   20 -0.072   25 0.4807   25  1.015   23 -0.160   16  0.015
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.015 41.149   25 -0.123   25 -0.130   26 -0.126   26 0.4802   24  1.022   26 -0.206   23 -0.046
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.024 40.941   27 -0.159   27 -0.156   30 -0.196   27 0.4766   30  0.931   32 -0.381   21 -0.012
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.028 40.757   28 -0.160   28 -0.160   27 -0.145   28 0.4761   26  0.997   28 -0.255   22 -0.036
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.010 43.278   29 -0.163   29 -0.163   22 -0.089   29 0.4759   32  0.847   31 -0.365    6  0.187
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.909   30 -0.177   30 -0.174   28 -0.150   30 0.4747    4  1.241   16  0.043   30 -0.343
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.020 41.081   31 -0.241   31 -0.253   31 -0.231   31 0.4619   28  0.985   30 -0.354   24 -0.107
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.026 41.115   32 -0.315   32 -0.336   32 -0.396   32 0.4498    8  1.160   29 -0.307   32 -0.484

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 53 49 339 305  0.002 51.464   11  0.030   10  0.034    9  0.100   13 0.5053   17  1.090   13  0.102    9  0.097
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.023 46.849   15  0.016   15  0.015   24 -0.110   15 0.5016    1  1.274   10  0.127   31 -0.348
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.041 43.014   21 -0.025   21 -0.049   15  0.012   21 0.4940    2  1.262    5  0.233   27 -0.208
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.029 40.747   22 -0.045   22 -0.062   29 -0.179   22 0.4908    5  1.213   18 -0.022   29 -0.336
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.024 40.941   27 -0.159   27 -0.156   30 -0.196   27 0.4766   30  0.931   32 -0.381   21 -0.012
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.028 40.757   28 -0.160   28 -0.160   27 -0.145   28 0.4761   26  0.997   28 -0.255   22 -0.036
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.010 43.278   29 -0.163   29 -0.163   22 -0.089   29 0.4759   32  0.847   31 -0.365    6  0.187
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.026 41.115   32 -0.315   32 -0.336   32 -0.396   32 0.4498    8  1.160   29 -0.307   32 -0.484

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.008 47.249    2  0.277    2  0.269    1  0.360    2 0.5373   19  1.063    1  0.329    1  0.390
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.002 44.207    6  0.157    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5207   21  1.053   12  0.105    5  0.189
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.021 47.528    7  0.089    7  0.090    6  0.146    7 0.5128   11  1.124    7  0.190    8  0.101
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 44.096   16  0.015   16  0.009   13  0.041   16 0.5008   14  1.116   15  0.074   17  0.007
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.017 41.063   23 -0.054   23 -0.073   23 -0.104   23 0.4887   12  1.121   20 -0.064   26 -0.143
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.025 40.737   24 -0.078   24 -0.096   19 -0.071   24 0.4853   23  1.027   22 -0.145   19  0.002
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.015 41.149   25 -0.123   25 -0.130   26 -0.126   26 0.4802   24  1.022   26 -0.206   23 -0.046
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.020 41.081   31 -0.241   31 -0.253   31 -0.231   31 0.4619   28  0.985   30 -0.354   24 -0.107

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     67 32 355 277  0.019 50.472    1  0.309    1  0.314    2  0.249    1 0.5449   10  1.130    2  0.300    4  0.198
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.003 41.272    9  0.036   11  0.032   10  0.082    9 0.5064   15  1.107   11  0.106   13  0.059
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.000 41.522   10  0.034    9  0.035   17 -0.033   10 0.5064   29  0.947   25 -0.199    7  0.132
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.025 47.462   12  0.030   12  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5053   31  0.915   24 -0.180    2  0.223
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.905   14  0.021   14  0.021   25 -0.120   14 0.5041   27  0.995   27 -0.231   20 -0.009
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.541   18 -0.001   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.275   25 -0.129
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.678   19 -0.005   20 -0.020   16 -0.015   19 0.4983   20  1.060   19 -0.050   15  0.020
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.848   26 -0.127   26 -0.134   20 -0.072   25 0.4807   25  1.015   23 -0.160   16  0.015

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.531    3  0.209    3  0.179    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.278   10  0.090
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.014 45.281    4  0.189    4  0.163    3  0.199    4 0.5259   18  1.081    6  0.191    3  0.208
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.059 53.287    5  0.164    5  0.148    7  0.117    5 0.5224    9  1.135    8  0.175   12  0.060
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.322    8  0.065    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5114   16  1.104   14  0.089   14  0.051
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.014 43.824   13  0.028   13  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5054   13  1.118    9  0.147   11  0.074
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.004 41.685   17  0.008   17 -0.000   18 -0.056   17 0.5007   22  1.036   21 -0.119   18  0.006
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.816   20 -0.005   18 -0.019   21 -0.088   20 0.4980    6  1.193   17  0.042   28 -0.218
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.909   30 -0.177   30 -0.174   28 -0.150   30 0.4747    4  1.241   16  0.043   30 -0.343

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     371 334 0.526    1  0.066
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 359 330 0.521    2  0.032
CENTRAL DIVISION      350 342 0.506    3  0.026
PACIFIC DIVISION      312 386 0.447    4 -0.167

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.046 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Jun 10 05:30:09 2026
games through: Tue Jun  9 2026

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