Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS          3 0 15 10  0.241  1.782    1  0.073    1  0.063    3  0.068    1 0.5707    2  1.431    2  0.567   29 -0.430 P
HURRICANES     3 0 15  7 -0.119  1.309    2  0.062    2  0.049    1  0.078    2 0.5531   13  1.171    9  0.226   18 -0.070 P
AVALANCHE      3 1 13  8 -0.026  1.905    3  0.049    3  0.032    2  0.074    3 0.5374   26  0.858   25 -0.146    6  0.294 P
PANTHERS       3 1 13 10 -0.122  1.774    4  0.046    5  0.028    6  0.044    4 0.5285   19  1.054   16  0.047   12  0.041 P
CAPITALS       3 1  9  7  0.039  2.062    6  0.039    4  0.032    9  0.022    5 0.5267   31  0.502   31 -0.547    2  0.591 P
JETS           2 1 12  9  0.054  1.545    7  0.029    7  0.019    5  0.053    6 0.5266   15  1.137   12  0.158   17 -0.051 P
CANADIENS      3 1 15 12 -0.063  1.911    9  0.022    8  0.016   21 -0.021    7 0.5241   10  1.214   11  0.181   23 -0.224 P
BRUINS         3 1 13  9 -0.083  1.844    5  0.042    6  0.026    7  0.033    8 0.5227   20  1.034   19  0.012   11  0.054 P
DEVILS         2 1 11 11  0.112  1.650   10  0.021   10  0.013   14 -0.002    9 0.5216    9  1.257    6  0.257   24 -0.261 P
OILERS         2 1  8  5 -0.038  1.430    8  0.024    9  0.013    4  0.056   10 0.5152   28  0.714   27 -0.314    3  0.426 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES          2 1  9  9 -0.069  1.422   11  0.017   11  0.008   16 -0.010   11 0.5142   21  1.033   21 -0.032   13  0.012 P
RED WINGS      2 1 10 10  0.062  1.600   12  0.013   12  0.006   23 -0.035   12 0.5138   22  1.031   22 -0.060   14 -0.011 P
KRAKEN         2 1  9  7 -0.091  1.395   13  0.009   13 -0.000   17 -0.016   13 0.5107   29  0.692   28 -0.408    5  0.376 P
MAPLE LEAFS    2 2 17 15 -0.066  1.883   14  0.008   15 -0.007    8  0.025   14 0.5099    1  1.497    1  0.619   32 -0.569 P
WILD           2 2 15 15  0.047  2.085   15  0.006   14 -0.006   13  0.004   15 0.5063    7  1.277    5  0.289   25 -0.281 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 2 2 14 13 -0.168  1.712   16  0.003   16 -0.012   10  0.016   16 0.4956   17  1.075   17  0.045   15 -0.013 P
DUCKS          2 1 12 12 -0.220  1.269   17 -0.002   17 -0.013   30 -0.086   17 0.4912    3  1.382    4  0.343   31 -0.515 P
FLYERS         1 2  9  8  0.254  1.838   22 -0.020   21 -0.024   19 -0.019   18 0.4891   24  0.952   24 -0.134    8  0.097 P
PREDATORS      2 2 12 12 -0.112  1.827   19 -0.013   19 -0.019   20 -0.019   19 0.4888   23  0.979   23 -0.104   10  0.066 P
PENGUINS       2 2 11 13 -0.102  1.853   18 -0.010   18 -0.017   22 -0.031   20 0.4865   11  1.201   13  0.155   22 -0.217 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        2 3 10  7 -0.020  2.457   20 -0.016   20 -0.024   12  0.013   21 0.4854   32  0.412   32 -0.633    1  0.659 P
LIGHTNING      1 3 13 16  0.029  2.049   25 -0.023   27 -0.034   11  0.014   22 0.4852    5  1.334    3  0.376   27 -0.348 P
KINGS          1 3 12 16  0.184  2.328   24 -0.023   24 -0.030   15 -0.010   23 0.4840   12  1.185   14  0.155   20 -0.175 P
CANUCKS        1 2  8  9  0.007  1.524   21 -0.018   23 -0.027   18 -0.018   24 0.4811   18  1.070   20  0.004   16 -0.040 P
SENATORS       1 2  8 14  0.064  1.618   23 -0.021   22 -0.027   28 -0.063   25 0.4806    6  1.292    8  0.242   28 -0.368 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 2 10  9  0.005  1.529   26 -0.027   26 -0.034   24 -0.039   26 0.4774   16  1.107   18  0.028   19 -0.106 P
MAMMOTH        1 2  5  7 -0.003  1.533   27 -0.027   25 -0.034   26 -0.059   27 0.4764   30  0.621   30 -0.519    4  0.401 P
FLAMES         1 3  9 16  0.059  2.146   28 -0.033   28 -0.040   27 -0.061   28 0.4697   14  1.146   15  0.055   21 -0.178 P
BLACKHAWKS     1 3 10 11  0.008  2.065   31 -0.053   29 -0.060   29 -0.073   29 0.4583   25  0.909   26 -0.237    9  0.091 P
ISLANDERS      0 3  7 13  0.074  1.630   29 -0.052   31 -0.063   25 -0.059   30 0.4499    8  1.260   10  0.204   26 -0.321 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES         0 3  2 10  0.161  1.753   30 -0.053   30 -0.061   31 -0.092   31 0.4482   27  0.717   29 -0.459    7  0.275 P
SHARKS         0 3 10 16 -0.016  1.561   32 -0.071   32 -0.082   32 -0.124   32 0.4279    4  1.342    7  0.250   30 -0.497 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         2 1  8  5 -0.038  1.430    8  0.024    9  0.013    4  0.056   10 0.5152   28  0.714   27 -0.314    3  0.426 P
KRAKEN         2 1  9  7 -0.091  1.395   13  0.009   13 -0.000   17 -0.016   13 0.5107   29  0.692   28 -0.408    5  0.376 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 2 2 14 13 -0.168  1.712   16  0.003   16 -0.012   10  0.016   16 0.4956   17  1.075   17  0.045   15 -0.013 P
DUCKS          2 1 12 12 -0.220  1.269   17 -0.002   17 -0.013   30 -0.086   17 0.4912    3  1.382    4  0.343   31 -0.515 P
KINGS          1 3 12 16  0.184  2.328   24 -0.023   24 -0.030   15 -0.010   23 0.4840   12  1.185   14  0.155   20 -0.175 P
CANUCKS        1 2  8  9  0.007  1.524   21 -0.018   23 -0.027   18 -0.018   24 0.4811   18  1.070   20  0.004   16 -0.040 P
FLAMES         1 3  9 16  0.059  2.146   28 -0.033   28 -0.040   27 -0.061   28 0.4697   14  1.146   15  0.055   21 -0.178 P
SHARKS         0 3 10 16 -0.016  1.561   32 -0.071   32 -0.082   32 -0.124   32 0.4279    4  1.342    7  0.250   30 -0.497 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS          3 0 15 10  0.241  1.782    1  0.073    1  0.063    3  0.068    1 0.5707    2  1.431    2  0.567   29 -0.430 P
AVALANCHE      3 1 13  8 -0.026  1.905    3  0.049    3  0.032    2  0.074    3 0.5374   26  0.858   25 -0.146    6  0.294 P
JETS           2 1 12  9  0.054  1.545    7  0.029    7  0.019    5  0.053    6 0.5266   15  1.137   12  0.158   17 -0.051 P
BLUES          2 1  9  9 -0.069  1.422   11  0.017   11  0.008   16 -0.010   11 0.5142   21  1.033   21 -0.032   13  0.012 P
WILD           2 2 15 15  0.047  2.085   15  0.006   14 -0.006   13  0.004   15 0.5063    7  1.277    5  0.289   25 -0.281 P
PREDATORS      2 2 12 12 -0.112  1.827   19 -0.013   19 -0.019   20 -0.019   19 0.4888   23  0.979   23 -0.104   10  0.066 P
MAMMOTH        1 2  5  7 -0.003  1.533   27 -0.027   25 -0.034   26 -0.059   27 0.4764   30  0.621   30 -0.519    4  0.401 P
BLACKHAWKS     1 3 10 11  0.008  2.065   31 -0.053   29 -0.060   29 -0.073   29 0.4583   25  0.909   26 -0.237    9  0.091 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     3 0 15  7 -0.119  1.309    2  0.062    2  0.049    1  0.078    2 0.5531   13  1.171    9  0.226   18 -0.070 P
CAPITALS       3 1  9  7  0.039  2.062    6  0.039    4  0.032    9  0.022    5 0.5267   31  0.502   31 -0.547    2  0.591 P
DEVILS         2 1 11 11  0.112  1.650   10  0.021   10  0.013   14 -0.002    9 0.5216    9  1.257    6  0.257   24 -0.261 P
FLYERS         1 2  9  8  0.254  1.838   22 -0.020   21 -0.024   19 -0.019   18 0.4891   24  0.952   24 -0.134    8  0.097 P
PENGUINS       2 2 11 13 -0.102  1.853   18 -0.010   18 -0.017   22 -0.031   20 0.4865   11  1.201   13  0.155   22 -0.217 P
RANGERS        2 3 10  7 -0.020  2.457   20 -0.016   20 -0.024   12  0.013   21 0.4854   32  0.412   32 -0.633    1  0.659 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 2 10  9  0.005  1.529   26 -0.027   26 -0.034   24 -0.039   26 0.4774   16  1.107   18  0.028   19 -0.106 P
ISLANDERS      0 3  7 13  0.074  1.630   29 -0.052   31 -0.063   25 -0.059   30 0.4499    8  1.260   10  0.204   26 -0.321 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       3 1 13 10 -0.122  1.774    4  0.046    5  0.028    6  0.044    4 0.5285   19  1.054   16  0.047   12  0.041 P
CANADIENS      3 1 15 12 -0.063  1.911    9  0.022    8  0.016   21 -0.021    7 0.5241   10  1.214   11  0.181   23 -0.224 P
BRUINS         3 1 13  9 -0.083  1.844    5  0.042    6  0.026    7  0.033    8 0.5227   20  1.034   19  0.012   11  0.054 P
RED WINGS      2 1 10 10  0.062  1.600   12  0.013   12  0.006   23 -0.035   12 0.5138   22  1.031   22 -0.060   14 -0.011 P
MAPLE LEAFS    2 2 17 15 -0.066  1.883   14  0.008   15 -0.007    8  0.025   14 0.5099    1  1.497    1  0.619   32 -0.569 P
LIGHTNING      1 3 13 16  0.029  2.049   25 -0.023   27 -0.034   11  0.014   22 0.4852    5  1.334    3  0.376   27 -0.348 P
SENATORS       1 2  8 14  0.064  1.618   23 -0.021   22 -0.027   28 -0.063   25 0.4806    6  1.292    8  0.242   28 -0.368 P
SABRES         0 3  2 10  0.161  1.753   30 -0.053   30 -0.061   31 -0.092   31 0.4482   27  0.717   29 -0.459    7  0.275 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      16 12 0.571    1  0.061
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 14 14 0.500    2  0.017
ATLANTIC DIVISION     15 14 0.517    3 -0.019
PACIFIC DIVISION      11 16 0.407    4 -0.097

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.005 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Oct 15 05:30:10 2025
games through: Tue Oct 14 2025

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