Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     10  4 53 34 -0.056  6.447    1  0.097    1  0.089    2  0.135    1 0.5422   19  1.048   12  0.094    7  0.175 P
BRUINS          9  4 49 28  0.032  6.411    2  0.091    2  0.084    1  0.156    2 0.5404   18  1.055   11  0.124    6  0.188 P
WILD            9  5 44 31  0.061  7.160    3  0.082    3  0.074    3  0.126    3 0.5397   30  0.800   24 -0.192    2  0.444 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.086  5.795    4  0.075    4  0.066    5  0.067    4 0.5353   10  1.144    9  0.144   17 -0.010 P
MAMMOTH         8  5 47 43  0.085  6.888    6  0.066    5  0.060    9  0.039    5 0.5347    7  1.241    6  0.240   25 -0.163 P
OILERS          8  4 52 43 -0.041  5.695    5  0.068    6  0.058    6  0.065    6 0.5336    3  1.423    2  0.515   29 -0.386 P
CAPITALS        6  4 34 32  0.061  5.207   10  0.043   10  0.041   13  0.027    7 0.5250    9  1.225    7  0.207   24 -0.154 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  9  5 51 39 -0.083  6.399    8  0.054    8  0.048    8  0.063    8 0.5233   14  1.100   13  0.085   14  0.041 P
DEVILS          8  4 41 33 -0.061  5.643    7  0.058    7  0.054   11  0.028    9 0.5225   15  1.096   16  0.045   16  0.010 P
KRAKEN          7  5 45 42  0.003  5.998   12  0.029   12  0.028   17 -0.001   10 0.5225    4  1.393    3  0.407   30 -0.409 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS        8  5 39 38 -0.028  6.332    9  0.044    9  0.043   16  0.000   11 0.5173   12  1.140   14  0.072   19 -0.071 P
STARS           7  5 33 25 -0.005  5.874   11  0.035   11  0.033    7  0.063   12 0.5090   32  0.541   31 -0.507    1  0.633 P
PANTHERS        7  6 39 37 -0.061  6.168   14  0.010   14  0.005   19 -0.011   13 0.5085   26  0.941   23 -0.175    9  0.154 P
CANADIENS       7  5 38 36 -0.087  5.539   13  0.019   13  0.014   15  0.006   14 0.5066   21  1.032   19 -0.055   12  0.066 P
RANGERS         7  7 44 42  0.024  7.078   16  0.005   16 -0.001   12  0.028   15 0.5047   16  1.075   17  0.019   15  0.036 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  7 52 46 -0.002  6.923   17  0.003   17 -0.005   10  0.035   16 0.5000    5  1.307    5  0.323   27 -0.254 P
AVALANCHE       6  6 49 40  0.001  5.905   15  0.006   15  0.001    4  0.078   17 0.4949    1  1.531    1  0.687   31 -0.530 P
BLUE JACKETS    5  5 26 33 -0.029  4.951   18 -0.009   18 -0.010   27 -0.081   18 0.4934   24  0.960   27 -0.225   13  0.062 P
ISLANDERS       6  6 36 32 -0.030  5.799   19 -0.010   19 -0.011   14  0.024   19 0.4927   27  0.887   25 -0.201    4  0.249 P
SHARKS          6  7 37 45  0.059  6.948   20 -0.015   20 -0.016   29 -0.103   20 0.4924   17  1.064   21 -0.124   20 -0.082 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES          5  6 28 41 -0.023  5.510   21 -0.023   21 -0.026   28 -0.099   21 0.4880   20  1.046   22 -0.143   18 -0.056 P
SABRES          5  7 33 41 -0.056  5.810   24 -0.040   24 -0.046   24 -0.070   22 0.4839   13  1.108   18 -0.038   22 -0.101 P
BLUES           5  7 35 37  0.013  6.090   22 -0.034   22 -0.038   21 -0.025   23 0.4827   11  1.141   15  0.048   21 -0.098 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.020  5.891   23 -0.038   23 -0.044   18 -0.004   24 0.4794    8  1.241    8  0.197   26 -0.204 P
DUCKS           5  7 37 43 -0.032  5.935   25 -0.044   25 -0.049   26 -0.077   25 0.4782    6  1.254   10  0.142   28 -0.295 P
RED WINGS       5  7 33 37 -0.117  5.493   26 -0.053   26 -0.059   25 -0.076   26 0.4766   28  0.878   30 -0.311    8  0.158 P
PREDATORS       4  8 34 39  0.100  6.505   27 -0.056   27 -0.061   20 -0.016   27 0.4669   23  0.999   20 -0.114   11  0.082 P
KINGS           3  8 28 37  0.088  5.966   29 -0.072   29 -0.078   23 -0.057   28 0.4663   25  0.950   26 -0.211   10  0.098 P
JETS            4  8 28 36  0.031  6.205   28 -0.061   28 -0.068   22 -0.045   29 0.4647   29  0.870   29 -0.290    5  0.199 P
BLACKHAWKS      4  8 26 44 -0.034  6.036   30 -0.080   30 -0.084   32 -0.185   30 0.4556   22  1.024   28 -0.254   23 -0.116 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS         3 11 43 65  0.091  7.728   31 -0.119   31 -0.125   31 -0.141   31 0.4505    2  1.451    4  0.349   32 -0.631 P
FLYERS          3 11 27 46  0.027  7.334   32 -0.128   32 -0.135   30 -0.124   32 0.4432   31  0.664   32 -0.579    3  0.331 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS          8  4 52 43 -0.041  5.695    5  0.068    6  0.058    6  0.065    6 0.5336    3  1.423    2  0.515   29 -0.386 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  9  5 51 39 -0.083  6.399    8  0.054    8  0.048    8  0.063    8 0.5233   14  1.100   13  0.085   14  0.041 P
KRAKEN          7  5 45 42  0.003  5.998   12  0.029   12  0.028   17 -0.001   10 0.5225    4  1.393    3  0.407   30 -0.409 P
SHARKS          6  7 37 45  0.059  6.948   20 -0.015   20 -0.016   29 -0.103   20 0.4924   17  1.064   21 -0.124   20 -0.082 P
FLAMES          5  6 28 41 -0.023  5.510   21 -0.023   21 -0.026   28 -0.099   21 0.4880   20  1.046   22 -0.143   18 -0.056 P
DUCKS           5  7 37 43 -0.032  5.935   25 -0.044   25 -0.049   26 -0.077   25 0.4782    6  1.254   10  0.142   28 -0.295 P
KINGS           3  8 28 37  0.088  5.966   29 -0.072   29 -0.078   23 -0.057   28 0.4663   25  0.950   26 -0.211   10  0.098 P
CANUCKS         3 11 43 65  0.091  7.728   31 -0.119   31 -0.125   31 -0.141   31 0.4505    2  1.451    4  0.349   32 -0.631 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD            9  5 44 31  0.061  7.160    3  0.082    3  0.074    3  0.126    3 0.5397   30  0.800   24 -0.192    2  0.444 P
MAMMOTH         8  5 47 43  0.085  6.888    6  0.066    5  0.060    9  0.039    5 0.5347    7  1.241    6  0.240   25 -0.163 P
STARS           7  5 33 25 -0.005  5.874   11  0.035   11  0.033    7  0.063   12 0.5090   32  0.541   31 -0.507    1  0.633 P
AVALANCHE       6  6 49 40  0.001  5.905   15  0.006   15  0.001    4  0.078   17 0.4949    1  1.531    1  0.687   31 -0.530 P
BLUES           5  7 35 37  0.013  6.090   22 -0.034   22 -0.038   21 -0.025   23 0.4827   11  1.141   15  0.048   21 -0.098 P
PREDATORS       4  8 34 39  0.100  6.505   27 -0.056   27 -0.061   20 -0.016   27 0.4669   23  0.999   20 -0.114   11  0.082 P
JETS            4  8 28 36  0.031  6.205   28 -0.061   28 -0.068   22 -0.045   29 0.4647   29  0.870   29 -0.290    5  0.199 P
BLACKHAWKS      4  8 26 44 -0.034  6.036   30 -0.080   30 -0.084   32 -0.185   30 0.4556   22  1.024   28 -0.254   23 -0.116 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     10  4 53 34 -0.056  6.447    1  0.097    1  0.089    2  0.135    1 0.5422   19  1.048   12  0.094    7  0.175 P
CAPITALS        6  4 34 32  0.061  5.207   10  0.043   10  0.041   13  0.027    7 0.5250    9  1.225    7  0.207   24 -0.154 P
DEVILS          8  4 41 33 -0.061  5.643    7  0.058    7  0.054   11  0.028    9 0.5225   15  1.096   16  0.045   16  0.010 P
RANGERS         7  7 44 42  0.024  7.078   16  0.005   16 -0.001   12  0.028   15 0.5047   16  1.075   17  0.019   15  0.036 P
BLUE JACKETS    5  5 26 33 -0.029  4.951   18 -0.009   18 -0.010   27 -0.081   18 0.4934   24  0.960   27 -0.225   13  0.062 P
ISLANDERS       6  6 36 32 -0.030  5.799   19 -0.010   19 -0.011   14  0.024   19 0.4927   27  0.887   25 -0.201    4  0.249 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.020  5.891   23 -0.038   23 -0.044   18 -0.004   24 0.4794    8  1.241    8  0.197   26 -0.204 P
FLYERS          3 11 27 46  0.027  7.334   32 -0.128   32 -0.135   30 -0.124   32 0.4432   31  0.664   32 -0.579    3  0.331 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS          9  4 49 28  0.032  6.411    2  0.091    2  0.084    1  0.156    2 0.5404   18  1.055   11  0.124    6  0.188 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.086  5.795    4  0.075    4  0.066    5  0.067    4 0.5353   10  1.144    9  0.144   17 -0.010 P
SENATORS        8  5 39 38 -0.028  6.332    9  0.044    9  0.043   16  0.000   11 0.5173   12  1.140   14  0.072   19 -0.071 P
PANTHERS        7  6 39 37 -0.061  6.168   14  0.010   14  0.005   19 -0.011   13 0.5085   26  0.941   23 -0.175    9  0.154 P
CANADIENS       7  5 38 36 -0.087  5.539   13  0.019   13  0.014   15  0.006   14 0.5066   21  1.032   19 -0.055   12  0.066 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  7 52 46 -0.002  6.923   17  0.003   17 -0.005   10  0.035   16 0.5000    5  1.307    5  0.323   27 -0.254 P
SABRES          5  7 33 41 -0.056  5.810   24 -0.040   24 -0.046   24 -0.070   22 0.4839   13  1.108   18 -0.038   22 -0.101 P
RED WINGS       5  7 33 37 -0.117  5.493   26 -0.053   26 -0.059   25 -0.076   26 0.4766   28  0.878   30 -0.311    8  0.158 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     55 45 0.550    1  0.056
CENTRAL DIVISION      47 52 0.475    2  0.029
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 50 48 0.510    3  0.025
PACIFIC DIVISION      46 53 0.465    4 -0.131

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.098 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.014 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Oct 28 05:30:21 2026
games through: Tue Oct 27 2026

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