Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      2 0 14  5 -0.085  0.864    1  0.076    1  0.080    1  0.168    1 0.5503    4  1.442    2  0.726   27 -0.389 P
WILD           2 0  7  2  0.008  0.961    3  0.069    4  0.068    2  0.091    2 0.5457   20  0.918   16 -0.020    9  0.201 P
LIGHTNING      2 1  8  7 -0.014  1.407    5  0.050    6  0.047    3  0.079    5 0.5248   21  0.917   18 -0.032   11  0.190 P
RANGERS        3 1 11  6  0.086  2.064    4  0.067    3  0.069    4  0.077    4 0.5344   26  0.775   25 -0.186    4  0.340 P
SENATORS       2 0  7  3  0.192  1.125    2  0.071    2  0.073    5  0.068    3 0.5435   13  1.053   11  0.114   18  0.022 P
PENGUINS       2 1 15  8 -0.104  1.308   11  0.014   10  0.026    6  0.062   13 0.5094    7  1.306    6  0.430   25 -0.307 P
MAMMOTH        2 1 12  5 -0.046  1.368   13  0.010   12  0.024    7  0.061   12 0.5099   17  0.970   15  0.010   13  0.112 P
OILERS         2 1 17 14 -0.065  1.360    7  0.044    8  0.034    8  0.060    9 0.5167    1  1.606    1  0.861   32 -0.741 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 2 1 11  8 -0.260  1.115    8  0.043   11  0.024    9  0.048   10 0.5155   15  1.030   13  0.067   17  0.029 P
CAPITALS       1 1  6  5  0.297  1.217   12  0.012   13  0.024   10  0.048   11 0.5103   11  1.131    8  0.189   20 -0.093 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS           2 1  9  8  0.069  1.536   10  0.032    7  0.041   11  0.041    8 0.5200   16  1.024   14  0.053   16  0.029 P
ISLANDERS      1 1  7  2 -0.119  0.863   20 -0.004   19 -0.005   12  0.035   19 0.4919   24  0.866   22 -0.132    8  0.202 P
HURRICANES     1 2  5  8 -0.097  1.330   19 -0.002   24 -0.013   13  0.027   25 0.4864   29  0.689   27 -0.324    3  0.378 P
BRUINS         2 2  9 11  0.216  2.306    9  0.042    9  0.030   14  0.027    7 0.5217   23  0.869   23 -0.137   10  0.191 P
STARS          1 2  6  6 -0.176  1.230   22 -0.022   26 -0.024   15  0.026   23 0.4898   31  0.638   30 -0.374    2  0.426 P
KRAKEN         2 1 13  5 -0.186  1.212   15  0.005   16  0.010   16  0.026   16 0.4974   22  0.902   20 -0.101   12  0.153 P
BLUES          1 1  5  6  0.423  1.323   14  0.010   14  0.023   17  0.025   14 0.5088   18  0.966   17 -0.031   14  0.081 P
PANTHERS       1 2  6  7 -0.004  1.448   25 -0.036   25 -0.018   18  0.025   18 0.4925   32  0.455   32 -0.542    1  0.592 P
CANADIENS      1 1  8  8  0.232  1.170   16  0.004   15  0.012   19  0.012   15 0.4996    6  1.347    5  0.436   28 -0.412 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 2  6  7 -0.018  1.439   27 -0.040   27 -0.024   20 -0.003   27 0.4838   28  0.701   28 -0.342    5  0.336 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          0 2  8 13  0.159  1.121   28 -0.054   28 -0.045   21 -0.019   28 0.4728    2  1.494    3  0.613   31 -0.651 P
SABRES         1 1  7  9 -0.312  0.725   17 -0.001   20 -0.006   22 -0.025   21 0.4906    5  1.349    7  0.402   29 -0.452 P
PREDATORS      1 1  3  4  0.026  1.006   18 -0.002   18 -0.002   23 -0.037   17 0.4951   27  0.731   29 -0.346    7  0.272 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 1  7  7 -0.093  0.904   24 -0.034   22 -0.007   24 -0.040   22 0.4898    9  1.193    9  0.180   23 -0.261 P
CANUCKS        2 2 19 18 -0.068  1.860   26 -0.038   23 -0.012   25 -0.040   24 0.4867    3  1.475    4  0.564   30 -0.645 P
DUCKS          2 0  7  5  0.094  1.065    6  0.047    5  0.050   26 -0.042    6 0.5242   10  1.161   10  0.137   22 -0.222 P
RED WINGS      0 2  2  5  0.023  1.009   29 -0.065   29 -0.060   27 -0.076   29 0.4591   30  0.657   31 -0.458    6  0.307 P
DEVILS         1 1  3  8 -0.170  0.868   21 -0.018   21 -0.006   28 -0.087   26 0.4843   19  0.956   24 -0.155   19 -0.020 P
FLYERS         0 4  5 17  0.015  2.039   32 -0.091   32 -0.110   29 -0.138   32 0.4342   25  0.853   26 -0.319   15  0.044 P
SHARKS         2 1  9 12 -0.056  1.439   23 -0.030   17  0.007   30 -0.142   20 0.4909    8  1.213   12  0.104   26 -0.388 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         0 3  3 16  0.034  1.558   30 -0.078   30 -0.084   31 -0.160   30 0.4425   14  1.045   21 -0.124   21 -0.197 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 3  5 15  0.176  1.745   31 -0.084   31 -0.091   32 -0.180   31 0.4375   12  1.096   19 -0.082   24 -0.278 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         2 1 17 14 -0.065  1.360    7  0.044    8  0.034    8  0.060    9 0.5167    1  1.606    1  0.861   32 -0.741 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 2 1 11  8 -0.260  1.115    8  0.043   11  0.024    9  0.048   10 0.5155   15  1.030   13  0.067   17  0.029 P
KRAKEN         2 1 13  5 -0.186  1.212   15  0.005   16  0.010   16  0.026   16 0.4974   22  0.902   20 -0.101   12  0.153 P
KINGS          0 2  8 13  0.159  1.121   28 -0.054   28 -0.045   21 -0.019   28 0.4728    2  1.494    3  0.613   31 -0.651 P
CANUCKS        2 2 19 18 -0.068  1.860   26 -0.038   23 -0.012   25 -0.040   24 0.4867    3  1.475    4  0.564   30 -0.645 P
DUCKS          2 0  7  5  0.094  1.065    6  0.047    5  0.050   26 -0.042    6 0.5242   10  1.161   10  0.137   22 -0.222 P
SHARKS         2 1  9 12 -0.056  1.439   23 -0.030   17  0.007   30 -0.142   20 0.4909    8  1.213   12  0.104   26 -0.388 P
FLAMES         0 3  3 16  0.034  1.558   30 -0.078   30 -0.084   31 -0.160   30 0.4425   14  1.045   21 -0.124   21 -0.197 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      2 0 14  5 -0.085  0.864    1  0.076    1  0.080    1  0.168    1 0.5503    4  1.442    2  0.726   27 -0.389 P
WILD           2 0  7  2  0.008  0.961    3  0.069    4  0.068    2  0.091    2 0.5457   20  0.918   16 -0.020    9  0.201 P
MAMMOTH        2 1 12  5 -0.046  1.368   13  0.010   12  0.024    7  0.061   12 0.5099   17  0.970   15  0.010   13  0.112 P
JETS           2 1  9  8  0.069  1.536   10  0.032    7  0.041   11  0.041    8 0.5200   16  1.024   14  0.053   16  0.029 P
STARS          1 2  6  6 -0.176  1.230   22 -0.022   26 -0.024   15  0.026   23 0.4898   31  0.638   30 -0.374    2  0.426 P
BLUES          1 1  5  6  0.423  1.323   14  0.010   14  0.023   17  0.025   14 0.5088   18  0.966   17 -0.031   14  0.081 P
PREDATORS      1 1  3  4  0.026  1.006   18 -0.002   18 -0.002   23 -0.037   17 0.4951   27  0.731   29 -0.346    7  0.272 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 3  5 15  0.176  1.745   31 -0.084   31 -0.091   32 -0.180   31 0.4375   12  1.096   19 -0.082   24 -0.278 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        3 1 11  6  0.086  2.064    4  0.067    3  0.069    4  0.077    4 0.5344   26  0.775   25 -0.186    4  0.340 P
PENGUINS       2 1 15  8 -0.104  1.308   11  0.014   10  0.026    6  0.062   13 0.5094    7  1.306    6  0.430   25 -0.307 P
CAPITALS       1 1  6  5  0.297  1.217   12  0.012   13  0.024   10  0.048   11 0.5103   11  1.131    8  0.189   20 -0.093 P
ISLANDERS      1 1  7  2 -0.119  0.863   20 -0.004   19 -0.005   12  0.035   19 0.4919   24  0.866   22 -0.132    8  0.202 P
HURRICANES     1 2  5  8 -0.097  1.330   19 -0.002   24 -0.013   13  0.027   25 0.4864   29  0.689   27 -0.324    3  0.378 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 1  7  7 -0.093  0.904   24 -0.034   22 -0.007   24 -0.040   22 0.4898    9  1.193    9  0.180   23 -0.261 P
DEVILS         1 1  3  8 -0.170  0.868   21 -0.018   21 -0.006   28 -0.087   26 0.4843   19  0.956   24 -0.155   19 -0.020 P
FLYERS         0 4  5 17  0.015  2.039   32 -0.091   32 -0.110   29 -0.138   32 0.4342   25  0.853   26 -0.319   15  0.044 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      2 1  8  7 -0.014  1.407    5  0.050    6  0.047    3  0.079    5 0.5248   21  0.917   18 -0.032   11  0.190 P
SENATORS       2 0  7  3  0.192  1.125    2  0.071    2  0.073    5  0.068    3 0.5435   13  1.053   11  0.114   18  0.022 P
BRUINS         2 2  9 11  0.216  2.306    9  0.042    9  0.030   14  0.027    7 0.5217   23  0.869   23 -0.137   10  0.191 P
PANTHERS       1 2  6  7 -0.004  1.448   25 -0.036   25 -0.018   18  0.025   18 0.4925   32  0.455   32 -0.542    1  0.592 P
CANADIENS      1 1  8  8  0.232  1.170   16  0.004   15  0.012   19  0.012   15 0.4996    6  1.347    5  0.436   28 -0.412 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 2  6  7 -0.018  1.439   27 -0.040   27 -0.024   20 -0.003   27 0.4838   28  0.701   28 -0.342    5  0.336 P
SABRES         1 1  7  9 -0.312  0.725   17 -0.001   20 -0.006   22 -0.025   21 0.4906    5  1.349    7  0.402   29 -0.452 P
RED WINGS      0 2  2  5  0.023  1.009   29 -0.065   29 -0.060   27 -0.076   29 0.4591   30  0.657   31 -0.458    6  0.307 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      11  9 0.550    1  0.087
ATLANTIC DIVISION     10 11 0.476    2  0.042
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 10 12 0.455    3 -0.003
PACIFIC DIVISION      12 11 0.522    4 -0.098

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.149 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.012 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct  6 05:30:19 2026
games through: Mon Oct  5 2026

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