Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS          9  3 48 26  0.039  5.953    1  0.125    1  0.118    1  0.189    1 0.5543   17  1.121    7  0.223    9  0.155 P
HURRICANES      9  4 51 33 -0.102  5.768    3  0.079    3  0.074    2  0.132    5 0.5328   16  1.126   10  0.172   11  0.092 P
WILD            8  5 41 30  0.045  6.586    8  0.066    8  0.061    3  0.117    6 0.5297   29  0.842   22 -0.170    2  0.405 P
STARS           7  4 32 20  0.028  5.482    7  0.067    7  0.062    4  0.112   10 0.5208   32  0.448   31 -0.552    1  0.777 P
AVALANCHE       6  6 49 40  0.036  6.077   14  0.016   14  0.007    5  0.095   16 0.4990    1  1.545    1  0.710   31 -0.520 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.075  5.748    4  0.076    4  0.073    6  0.071    3 0.5334   13  1.146   12  0.137   15  0.005 P
OILERS          8  4 52 43 -0.042  5.702    6  0.069    6  0.064    7  0.071    4 0.5333    2  1.418    2  0.501   29 -0.359 P
MAMMOTH         8  4 46 40  0.052  6.180    2  0.083    2  0.080    8  0.052    2 0.5413    6  1.265    5  0.271   22 -0.168 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  8  5 47 38 -0.093  5.931   10  0.045   10  0.036    9  0.044   11 0.5156   15  1.127   14  0.087   16  0.002 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  7 52 46 -0.011  6.884   17  0.002   17 -0.009   10  0.035   17 0.4990    5  1.297    4  0.298   26 -0.227 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS         7  7 44 42  0.021  7.071   15  0.009   15 -0.002   11  0.029   14 0.5048   19  1.081   17  0.014   13  0.044 P
SENATORS        8  4 38 34 -0.049  5.718    5  0.070    5  0.065   12  0.022    7 0.5269   12  1.166   13  0.113   19 -0.069 P
ISLANDERS       5  6 32 29 -0.038  5.289   20 -0.021   23 -0.035   13  0.021   22 0.4847   28  0.863   25 -0.244    5  0.285 P
CAPITALS        6  4 34 32  0.018  5.044    9  0.047    9  0.040   14  0.020    9 0.5211   11  1.194   11  0.146   20 -0.106 P
BLUES           5  6 35 35  0.050  5.717   19 -0.008   19 -0.019   15  0.004   19 0.4926    8  1.239    9  0.189   23 -0.181 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.019  5.906   24 -0.043   25 -0.051   16 -0.005   24 0.4795    7  1.254    8  0.200   25 -0.209 P
KRAKEN          7  5 45 42 -0.015  5.924   12  0.035   12  0.027   17 -0.006    8 0.5212    4  1.402    3  0.401   30 -0.412 P
PREDATORS       4  7 31 35  0.130  6.102   25 -0.046   24 -0.047   18 -0.010   25 0.4782   24  0.951   24 -0.177    8  0.157 P
DEVILS          7  4 36 32 -0.102  5.037   11  0.043   11  0.035   19 -0.011   12 0.5138   21  1.061   20 -0.050   14  0.027 P
JETS            4  7 27 31  0.060  5.789   26 -0.051   26 -0.056   20 -0.012   28 0.4732   30  0.817   28 -0.326    4  0.302 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANADIENS       6  5 36 36 -0.113  5.004   16  0.006   16 -0.006   21 -0.024   18 0.4965   18  1.117   18  0.005   17 -0.053 P
KINGS           3  7 27 35  0.143  5.636   27 -0.060   27 -0.063   22 -0.044   26 0.4766   23  1.019   21 -0.132   12  0.045 P
PANTHERS        6  6 34 36 -0.067  5.716   18 -0.003   18 -0.014   23 -0.045   15 0.5008   25  0.896   27 -0.274    6  0.184 P
DUCKS           5  6 32 37  0.006  5.612   21 -0.025   20 -0.031   24 -0.077   20 0.4905    9  1.214   15  0.075   27 -0.229 P
SHARKS          6  6 37 43  0.125  6.723   13  0.018   13  0.011   25 -0.079   13 0.5071   14  1.146   19 -0.014   21 -0.145 P
RED WINGS       5  7 33 37 -0.122  5.475   28 -0.063   28 -0.069   26 -0.087   27 0.4765   27  0.880   29 -0.333    7  0.159 P
BLUE JACKETS    4  5 22 30 -0.035  4.454   23 -0.031   21 -0.034   27 -0.098   23 0.4834   26  0.889   30 -0.334   10  0.138 P
SABRES          4  7 31 41 -0.075  5.295   29 -0.068   29 -0.075   28 -0.107   29 0.4703   10  1.204   16  0.033   28 -0.247 P
FLAMES          5  6 28 41 -0.044  5.421   22 -0.030   22 -0.034   29 -0.117   21 0.4864   22  1.047   23 -0.172   18 -0.062 P
FLYERS          3 10 24 42  0.051  6.944   31 -0.129   31 -0.133   30 -0.132   30 0.4501   31  0.604   32 -0.658    3  0.394 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS         2 11 37 60  0.073  7.116   32 -0.163   32 -0.169   31 -0.171   32 0.4356    3  1.402    6  0.236   32 -0.578 P
BLACKHAWKS      3  8 24 43 -0.022  5.620   30 -0.114   30 -0.117   32 -0.220   31 0.4451   20  1.066   26 -0.253   24 -0.187 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS          8  4 52 43 -0.042  5.702    6  0.069    6  0.064    7  0.071    4 0.5333    2  1.418    2  0.501   29 -0.359 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  8  5 47 38 -0.093  5.931   10  0.045   10  0.036    9  0.044   11 0.5156   15  1.127   14  0.087   16  0.002 P
KRAKEN          7  5 45 42 -0.015  5.924   12  0.035   12  0.027   17 -0.006    8 0.5212    4  1.402    3  0.401   30 -0.412 P
KINGS           3  7 27 35  0.143  5.636   27 -0.060   27 -0.063   22 -0.044   26 0.4766   23  1.019   21 -0.132   12  0.045 P
DUCKS           5  6 32 37  0.006  5.612   21 -0.025   20 -0.031   24 -0.077   20 0.4905    9  1.214   15  0.075   27 -0.229 P
SHARKS          6  6 37 43  0.125  6.723   13  0.018   13  0.011   25 -0.079   13 0.5071   14  1.146   19 -0.014   21 -0.145 P
FLAMES          5  6 28 41 -0.044  5.421   22 -0.030   22 -0.034   29 -0.117   21 0.4864   22  1.047   23 -0.172   18 -0.062 P
CANUCKS         2 11 37 60  0.073  7.116   32 -0.163   32 -0.169   31 -0.171   32 0.4356    3  1.402    6  0.236   32 -0.578 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD            8  5 41 30  0.045  6.586    8  0.066    8  0.061    3  0.117    6 0.5297   29  0.842   22 -0.170    2  0.405 P
STARS           7  4 32 20  0.028  5.482    7  0.067    7  0.062    4  0.112   10 0.5208   32  0.448   31 -0.552    1  0.777 P
AVALANCHE       6  6 49 40  0.036  6.077   14  0.016   14  0.007    5  0.095   16 0.4990    1  1.545    1  0.710   31 -0.520 P
MAMMOTH         8  4 46 40  0.052  6.180    2  0.083    2  0.080    8  0.052    2 0.5413    6  1.265    5  0.271   22 -0.168 P
BLUES           5  6 35 35  0.050  5.717   19 -0.008   19 -0.019   15  0.004   19 0.4926    8  1.239    9  0.189   23 -0.181 P
PREDATORS       4  7 31 35  0.130  6.102   25 -0.046   24 -0.047   18 -0.010   25 0.4782   24  0.951   24 -0.177    8  0.157 P
JETS            4  7 27 31  0.060  5.789   26 -0.051   26 -0.056   20 -0.012   28 0.4732   30  0.817   28 -0.326    4  0.302 P
BLACKHAWKS      3  8 24 43 -0.022  5.620   30 -0.114   30 -0.117   32 -0.220   31 0.4451   20  1.066   26 -0.253   24 -0.187 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES      9  4 51 33 -0.102  5.768    3  0.079    3  0.074    2  0.132    5 0.5328   16  1.126   10  0.172   11  0.092 P
RANGERS         7  7 44 42  0.021  7.071   15  0.009   15 -0.002   11  0.029   14 0.5048   19  1.081   17  0.014   13  0.044 P
ISLANDERS       5  6 32 29 -0.038  5.289   20 -0.021   23 -0.035   13  0.021   22 0.4847   28  0.863   25 -0.244    5  0.285 P
CAPITALS        6  4 34 32  0.018  5.044    9  0.047    9  0.040   14  0.020    9 0.5211   11  1.194   11  0.146   20 -0.106 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.019  5.906   24 -0.043   25 -0.051   16 -0.005   24 0.4795    7  1.254    8  0.200   25 -0.209 P
DEVILS          7  4 36 32 -0.102  5.037   11  0.043   11  0.035   19 -0.011   12 0.5138   21  1.061   20 -0.050   14  0.027 P
BLUE JACKETS    4  5 22 30 -0.035  4.454   23 -0.031   21 -0.034   27 -0.098   23 0.4834   26  0.889   30 -0.334   10  0.138 P
FLYERS          3 10 24 42  0.051  6.944   31 -0.129   31 -0.133   30 -0.132   30 0.4501   31  0.604   32 -0.658    3  0.394 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS          9  3 48 26  0.039  5.953    1  0.125    1  0.118    1  0.189    1 0.5543   17  1.121    7  0.223    9  0.155 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.075  5.748    4  0.076    4  0.073    6  0.071    3 0.5334   13  1.146   12  0.137   15  0.005 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  7 52 46 -0.011  6.884   17  0.002   17 -0.009   10  0.035   17 0.4990    5  1.297    4  0.298   26 -0.227 P
SENATORS        8  4 38 34 -0.049  5.718    5  0.070    5  0.065   12  0.022    7 0.5269   12  1.166   13  0.113   19 -0.069 P
CANADIENS       6  5 36 36 -0.113  5.004   16  0.006   16 -0.006   21 -0.024   18 0.4965   18  1.117   18  0.005   17 -0.053 P
PANTHERS        6  6 34 36 -0.067  5.716   18 -0.003   18 -0.014   23 -0.045   15 0.5008   25  0.896   27 -0.274    6  0.184 P
RED WINGS       5  7 33 37 -0.122  5.475   28 -0.063   28 -0.069   26 -0.087   27 0.4765   27  0.880   29 -0.333    7  0.159 P
SABRES          4  7 31 41 -0.075  5.295   29 -0.068   29 -0.075   28 -0.107   29 0.4703   10  1.204   16  0.033   28 -0.247 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      45 47 0.489    1  0.072
ATLANTIC DIVISION     52 43 0.547    2  0.033
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 46 47 0.495    3 -0.003
PACIFIC DIVISION      44 50 0.468    4 -0.127

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.120 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 27 05:30:19 2026
games through: Mon Oct 26 2026

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