Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      5 1 21 10  0.021  2.961    2  0.082    2  0.081    1  0.136    2 0.5544   30  0.747   23 -0.201    2  0.473 P
HURRICANES     5 0 23 11 -0.134  2.132    1  0.090    1  0.091    2  0.106    1 0.5668   17  1.079   12  0.138   12  0.073 P
JETS           4 1 21 12 -0.016  2.402    4  0.064    4  0.060    3  0.102    3 0.5426   11  1.194    7  0.278   17 -0.075 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 4 2 26 19 -0.204  2.438   10  0.029   11  0.022    4  0.051   11 0.5098    5  1.333    4  0.411   26 -0.309 P
CAPITALS       4 2 17 12  0.009  2.988    7  0.040    7  0.038    5  0.049    9 0.5192   28  0.759   28 -0.275    4  0.374 P
STARS          3 2 19 18  0.181  2.844    8  0.039    6  0.038    6  0.043    6 0.5342    3  1.363    3  0.445   29 -0.358 P
DEVILS         4 1 19 15  0.073  2.624    5  0.061    5  0.059    7  0.038    4 0.5410    4  1.334    5  0.400   27 -0.324 P
MAPLE LEAFS    3 3 22 20  0.002  2.981   15  0.007   15  0.003    8  0.036   12 0.5091    2  1.430    2  0.532   30 -0.461 P
RANGERS        3 4 15 12  0.077  3.706   17 -0.006   17 -0.010    9  0.031   16 0.4952   32  0.369   32 -0.651    1  0.713 P
RED WINGS      5 1 20 14  0.009  3.006    3  0.069    3  0.068   10  0.019    5 0.5401   23  0.910   22 -0.145    8  0.182 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS         3 4 21 22  0.103  3.785   16 -0.004   16 -0.008   11  0.018   18 0.4923   10  1.205   10  0.209   22 -0.173 P
PENGUINS       4 2 18 15 -0.111  2.699   11  0.027   10  0.022   12  0.017   13 0.5086   18  1.050   17  0.015   15  0.018 P
OILERS         2 4 15 18  0.018  3.032   23 -0.024   23 -0.034   13  0.016   19 0.4856   20  0.983   19 -0.064   11  0.097 P
CANUCKS        4 2 20 17  0.003  2.995    6  0.042    8  0.035   14  0.012    7 0.5259   14  1.129   14  0.107   18 -0.082 P
LIGHTNING      1 5 16 21  0.028  3.069   30 -0.069   30 -0.069   15  0.003   30 0.4609   19  0.993   20 -0.066   13  0.071 P
CANADIENS      4 2 21 18  0.021  3.057    9  0.032    9  0.030   16 -0.009    8 0.5205    7  1.307    6  0.317   28 -0.335 P
KRAKEN         3 2 16 14 -0.064  2.369   14  0.013   14  0.006   17 -0.010   15 0.5071   31  0.670   31 -0.423    3  0.404 P
KINGS          1 5 17 24  0.241  3.619   29 -0.059   29 -0.053   18 -0.012   28 0.4681   12  1.165   13  0.127   21 -0.152 P
MAMMOTH        4 2 17 13 -0.105  2.748   12  0.025   12  0.021   19 -0.016   14 0.5076   26  0.826   27 -0.271    7  0.239 P
BLUES          3 2 15 18 -0.090  2.323   13  0.017   13  0.011   20 -0.023   10 0.5109    9  1.243    9  0.217   24 -0.262 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD           2 4 17 22  0.011  3.052   24 -0.029   25 -0.039   21 -0.030   25 0.4763   15  1.127   15  0.062   20 -0.122 P
ISLANDERS      2 3 16 19  0.056  2.641   19 -0.014   18 -0.020   22 -0.030   21 0.4844    8  1.265    8  0.239   25 -0.299 P
PREDATORS      2 4 15 19  0.007  3.046   27 -0.042   27 -0.044   23 -0.032   26 0.4750   29  0.757   30 -0.359    5  0.294 P
PANTHERS       3 4 15 20 -0.081  3.291   18 -0.012   19 -0.022   24 -0.033   17 0.4923   27  0.785   29 -0.331    6  0.265 P
FLYERS         2 3 13 14  0.067  2.670   21 -0.019   21 -0.025   25 -0.036   20 0.4854   25  0.894   25 -0.217    9  0.146 P
BLACKHAWKS     3 4 22 18 -0.080  3.290   25 -0.036   26 -0.043   26 -0.040   23 0.4779   24  0.905   24 -0.208   10  0.129 P
SABRES         2 3 13 14 -0.002  2.529   22 -0.020   22 -0.026   27 -0.041   24 0.4777   21  0.975   21 -0.131   14  0.049 P
BLUE JACKETS   2 3 14 15  0.071  2.678   20 -0.018   20 -0.023   28 -0.042   22 0.4790   16  1.099   16  0.015   19 -0.099 P
SENATORS       2 4 20 30 -0.098  2.815   28 -0.056   28 -0.052   29 -0.100   29 0.4610    1  1.674    1  0.764   32 -0.964 P
DUCKS          2 3 14 18 -0.074  2.434   26 -0.038   24 -0.039   30 -0.103   27 0.4721   13  1.134   18 -0.002   23 -0.204 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         1 5 11 25  0.058  3.230   31 -0.074   31 -0.072   31 -0.113   31 0.4553   22  0.952   26 -0.230   16  0.003 P
SHARKS         0 5 13 25 -0.039  2.553   32 -0.114   32 -0.118   32 -0.170   32 0.4165    6  1.308   11  0.156   31 -0.497 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 4 2 26 19 -0.204  2.438   10  0.029   11  0.022    4  0.051   11 0.5098    5  1.333    4  0.411   26 -0.309 P
OILERS         2 4 15 18  0.018  3.032   23 -0.024   23 -0.034   13  0.016   19 0.4856   20  0.983   19 -0.064   11  0.097 P
CANUCKS        4 2 20 17  0.003  2.995    6  0.042    8  0.035   14  0.012    7 0.5259   14  1.129   14  0.107   18 -0.082 P
KRAKEN         3 2 16 14 -0.064  2.369   14  0.013   14  0.006   17 -0.010   15 0.5071   31  0.670   31 -0.423    3  0.404 P
KINGS          1 5 17 24  0.241  3.619   29 -0.059   29 -0.053   18 -0.012   28 0.4681   12  1.165   13  0.127   21 -0.152 P
DUCKS          2 3 14 18 -0.074  2.434   26 -0.038   24 -0.039   30 -0.103   27 0.4721   13  1.134   18 -0.002   23 -0.204 P
FLAMES         1 5 11 25  0.058  3.230   31 -0.074   31 -0.072   31 -0.113   31 0.4553   22  0.952   26 -0.230   16  0.003 P
SHARKS         0 5 13 25 -0.039  2.553   32 -0.114   32 -0.118   32 -0.170   32 0.4165    6  1.308   11  0.156   31 -0.497 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      5 1 21 10  0.021  2.961    2  0.082    2  0.081    1  0.136    2 0.5544   30  0.747   23 -0.201    2  0.473 P
JETS           4 1 21 12 -0.016  2.402    4  0.064    4  0.060    3  0.102    3 0.5426   11  1.194    7  0.278   17 -0.075 P
STARS          3 2 19 18  0.181  2.844    8  0.039    6  0.038    6  0.043    6 0.5342    3  1.363    3  0.445   29 -0.358 P
MAMMOTH        4 2 17 13 -0.105  2.748   12  0.025   12  0.021   19 -0.016   14 0.5076   26  0.826   27 -0.271    7  0.239 P
BLUES          3 2 15 18 -0.090  2.323   13  0.017   13  0.011   20 -0.023   10 0.5109    9  1.243    9  0.217   24 -0.262 P
WILD           2 4 17 22  0.011  3.052   24 -0.029   25 -0.039   21 -0.030   25 0.4763   15  1.127   15  0.062   20 -0.122 P
PREDATORS      2 4 15 19  0.007  3.046   27 -0.042   27 -0.044   23 -0.032   26 0.4750   29  0.757   30 -0.359    5  0.294 P
BLACKHAWKS     3 4 22 18 -0.080  3.290   25 -0.036   26 -0.043   26 -0.040   23 0.4779   24  0.905   24 -0.208   10  0.129 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     5 0 23 11 -0.134  2.132    1  0.090    1  0.091    2  0.106    1 0.5668   17  1.079   12  0.138   12  0.073 P
CAPITALS       4 2 17 12  0.009  2.988    7  0.040    7  0.038    5  0.049    9 0.5192   28  0.759   28 -0.275    4  0.374 P
DEVILS         4 1 19 15  0.073  2.624    5  0.061    5  0.059    7  0.038    4 0.5410    4  1.334    5  0.400   27 -0.324 P
RANGERS        3 4 15 12  0.077  3.706   17 -0.006   17 -0.010    9  0.031   16 0.4952   32  0.369   32 -0.651    1  0.713 P
PENGUINS       4 2 18 15 -0.111  2.699   11  0.027   10  0.022   12  0.017   13 0.5086   18  1.050   17  0.015   15  0.018 P
ISLANDERS      2 3 16 19  0.056  2.641   19 -0.014   18 -0.020   22 -0.030   21 0.4844    8  1.265    8  0.239   25 -0.299 P
FLYERS         2 3 13 14  0.067  2.670   21 -0.019   21 -0.025   25 -0.036   20 0.4854   25  0.894   25 -0.217    9  0.146 P
BLUE JACKETS   2 3 14 15  0.071  2.678   20 -0.018   20 -0.023   28 -0.042   22 0.4790   16  1.099   16  0.015   19 -0.099 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS    3 3 22 20  0.002  2.981   15  0.007   15  0.003    8  0.036   12 0.5091    2  1.430    2  0.532   30 -0.461 P
RED WINGS      5 1 20 14  0.009  3.006    3  0.069    3  0.068   10  0.019    5 0.5401   23  0.910   22 -0.145    8  0.182 P
BRUINS         3 4 21 22  0.103  3.785   16 -0.004   16 -0.008   11  0.018   18 0.4923   10  1.205   10  0.209   22 -0.173 P
LIGHTNING      1 5 16 21  0.028  3.069   30 -0.069   30 -0.069   15  0.003   30 0.4609   19  0.993   20 -0.066   13  0.071 P
CANADIENS      4 2 21 18  0.021  3.057    9  0.032    9  0.030   16 -0.009    8 0.5205    7  1.307    6  0.317   28 -0.335 P
PANTHERS       3 4 15 20 -0.081  3.291   18 -0.012   19 -0.022   24 -0.033   17 0.4923   27  0.785   29 -0.331    6  0.265 P
SABRES         2 3 13 14 -0.002  2.529   22 -0.020   22 -0.026   27 -0.041   24 0.4777   21  0.975   21 -0.131   14  0.049 P
SENATORS       2 4 20 30 -0.098  2.815   28 -0.056   28 -0.052   29 -0.100   29 0.4610    1  1.674    1  0.764   32 -0.964 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      26 20 0.565    1  0.086
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 26 18 0.591    2  0.082
ATLANTIC DIVISION     23 26 0.469    3 -0.037
PACIFIC DIVISION      17 28 0.378    4 -0.143

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.062 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Oct 20 05:30:13 2025
games through: Sun Oct 19 2025

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