Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             59 28 292 210  0.005 43.160    1  0.288    1  0.302    1  0.288    1 0.5428   29  0.950   10  0.147    1  0.428
MAPLE LEAFS      56 32 287 247  0.002 43.878    2  0.233    2  0.229   10  0.119    2 0.5332   16  1.073   11  0.122   13  0.115
CAPITALS         55 32 306 244 -0.012 42.789    3  0.223    3  0.212    4  0.196    3 0.5308   10  1.138    2  0.280   14  0.113
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   54 34 293 238 -0.008 43.408    4  0.200    4  0.186    3  0.202    4 0.5274   17  1.068    5  0.200    5  0.204
STARS            53 35 294 246  0.007 43.920    5  0.188    5  0.174    5  0.173    5 0.5251   15  1.089    6  0.197    9  0.150
AVALANCHE        52 36 299 251  0.009 44.030    6  0.166    6  0.156    6  0.164    6 0.5227    6  1.145    3  0.256   15  0.072
PANTHERS         51 36 271 235  0.018 43.906    7  0.163    8  0.155    9  0.126    8 0.5214   26  0.982   14  0.022    3  0.229
OILERS           52 36 286 260  0.004 43.991    8  0.162    7  0.155   12  0.078    7 0.5217   12  1.130    9  0.152   17  0.004
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.002 43.346    9  0.150    9  0.144    8  0.142    9 0.5203   14  1.091    8  0.167   12  0.117
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.003 43.648   10  0.104   10  0.109    7  0.145   10 0.5166   27  0.964   15  0.019    2  0.270
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.007 43.338   11  0.081   11  0.088    2  0.239   11 0.5135   11  1.136    1  0.320    8  0.157
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.014 44.548   12  0.052   12  0.067   17 -0.023   13 0.5093   30  0.942   26 -0.173   11  0.126
BLUES            46 41 273 248  0.021 44.035   13  0.050   13  0.059   11  0.097   14 0.5091   19  1.045   13  0.067   10  0.128
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.006 44.148   14  0.048   14  0.058   14  0.037   12 0.5097   28  0.962   20 -0.090    7  0.163
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.009 43.734   15  0.000   15 -0.007   13  0.054   15 0.4995   31  0.931   22 -0.108    4  0.215
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.014 40.616   16 -0.003   16 -0.010   18 -0.038   16 0.4983   32  0.882   29 -0.254    6  0.179
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.003 40.938   17 -0.011   17 -0.023   16 -0.012   17 0.4967    2  1.224    7  0.181   27 -0.206
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.014 44.120   18 -0.023   18 -0.039   20 -0.056   18 0.4950   13  1.096   17 -0.024   23 -0.087
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.000 41.157   19 -0.027   19 -0.042   22 -0.077   19 0.4941   18  1.057   21 -0.093   20 -0.062
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.005 40.795   20 -0.028   20 -0.046   15  0.023   20 0.4934    8  1.140   12  0.110   21 -0.063
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.002 41.028   21 -0.045   21 -0.063   19 -0.042   21 0.4909   22  1.032   19 -0.087   18  0.003
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.014 40.656   22 -0.053   22 -0.070   21 -0.057   22 0.4895   23  1.011   24 -0.127   16  0.013
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.006 40.972   23 -0.093   23 -0.105   23 -0.087   23 0.4848    1  1.322    4  0.236   31 -0.411
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.002 41.255   24 -0.118   24 -0.122   27 -0.165   24 0.4822   25  0.992   30 -0.258   22 -0.072
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.008 40.983   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 -0.129   25 0.4815   24  0.994   28 -0.220   19 -0.039
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.011 40.858   26 -0.126   26 -0.130   24 -0.108   26 0.4812    7  1.144   16 -0.017   26 -0.199
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.004 41.194   27 -0.147   27 -0.144   29 -0.199   27 0.4788    3  1.193   18 -0.046   29 -0.353
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.003 41.384   28 -0.165   28 -0.161   26 -0.160   28 0.4768   20  1.037   27 -0.200   24 -0.120
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.005 41.164   29 -0.171   29 -0.165   28 -0.196   29 0.4759    9  1.140   23 -0.110   28 -0.282
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.001 41.422   30 -0.226   30 -0.223   30 -0.237   30 0.4675   21  1.033   32 -0.281   25 -0.193
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.007 41.235   31 -0.308   31 -0.328   31 -0.258   31 0.4524    4  1.169   25 -0.135   30 -0.381
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.008 41.406   32 -0.443   32 -0.435   32 -0.378   32 0.4376    5  1.150   31 -0.280   32 -0.477

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   54 34 293 238 -0.008 43.408    4  0.200    4  0.186    3  0.202    4 0.5274   17  1.068    5  0.200    5  0.204
OILERS           52 36 286 260  0.004 43.991    8  0.162    7  0.155   12  0.078    7 0.5217   12  1.130    9  0.152   17  0.004
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.003 43.648   10  0.104   10  0.109    7  0.145   10 0.5166   27  0.964   15  0.019    2  0.270
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.014 40.616   16 -0.003   16 -0.010   18 -0.038   16 0.4983   32  0.882   29 -0.254    6  0.179
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.014 40.656   22 -0.053   22 -0.070   21 -0.057   22 0.4895   23  1.011   24 -0.127   16  0.013
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.002 41.255   24 -0.118   24 -0.122   27 -0.165   24 0.4822   25  0.992   30 -0.258   22 -0.072
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.011 40.858   26 -0.126   26 -0.130   24 -0.108   26 0.4812    7  1.144   16 -0.017   26 -0.199
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.008 41.406   32 -0.443   32 -0.435   32 -0.378   32 0.4376    5  1.150   31 -0.280   32 -0.477

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             59 28 292 210  0.005 43.160    1  0.288    1  0.302    1  0.288    1 0.5428   29  0.950   10  0.147    1  0.428
STARS            53 35 294 246  0.007 43.920    5  0.188    5  0.174    5  0.173    5 0.5251   15  1.089    6  0.197    9  0.150
AVALANCHE        52 36 299 251  0.009 44.030    6  0.166    6  0.156    6  0.164    6 0.5227    6  1.145    3  0.256   15  0.072
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.014 44.548   12  0.052   12  0.067   17 -0.023   13 0.5093   30  0.942   26 -0.173   11  0.126
BLUES            46 41 273 248  0.021 44.035   13  0.050   13  0.059   11  0.097   14 0.5091   19  1.045   13  0.067   10  0.128
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.002 41.028   21 -0.045   21 -0.063   19 -0.042   21 0.4909   22  1.032   19 -0.087   18  0.003
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.001 41.422   30 -0.226   30 -0.223   30 -0.237   30 0.4675   21  1.033   32 -0.281   25 -0.193
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.007 41.235   31 -0.308   31 -0.328   31 -0.258   31 0.4524    4  1.169   25 -0.135   30 -0.381

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         55 32 306 244 -0.012 42.789    3  0.223    3  0.212    4  0.196    3 0.5308   10  1.138    2  0.280   14  0.113
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.002 43.346    9  0.150    9  0.144    8  0.142    9 0.5203   14  1.091    8  0.167   12  0.117
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.009 43.734   15  0.000   15 -0.007   13  0.054   15 0.4995   31  0.931   22 -0.108    4  0.215
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.003 40.938   17 -0.011   17 -0.023   16 -0.012   17 0.4967    2  1.224    7  0.181   27 -0.206
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.005 40.795   20 -0.028   20 -0.046   15  0.023   20 0.4934    8  1.140   12  0.110   21 -0.063
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.008 40.983   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 -0.129   25 0.4815   24  0.994   28 -0.220   19 -0.039
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.004 41.194   27 -0.147   27 -0.144   29 -0.199   27 0.4788    3  1.193   18 -0.046   29 -0.353
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.005 41.164   29 -0.171   29 -0.165   28 -0.196   29 0.4759    9  1.140   23 -0.110   28 -0.282

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      56 32 287 247  0.002 43.878    2  0.233    2  0.229   10  0.119    2 0.5332   16  1.073   11  0.122   13  0.115
PANTHERS         51 36 271 235  0.018 43.906    7  0.163    8  0.155    9  0.126    8 0.5214   26  0.982   14  0.022    3  0.229
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.007 43.338   11  0.081   11  0.088    2  0.239   11 0.5135   11  1.136    1  0.320    8  0.157
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.006 44.148   14  0.048   14  0.058   14  0.037   12 0.5097   28  0.962   20 -0.090    7  0.163
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.014 44.120   18 -0.023   18 -0.039   20 -0.056   18 0.4950   13  1.096   17 -0.024   23 -0.087
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.000 41.157   19 -0.027   19 -0.042   22 -0.077   19 0.4941   18  1.057   21 -0.093   20 -0.062
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.006 40.972   23 -0.093   23 -0.105   23 -0.087   23 0.4848    1  1.322    4  0.236   31 -0.411
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.003 41.384   28 -0.165   28 -0.161   26 -0.160   28 0.4768   20  1.037   27 -0.200   24 -0.120

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      350 334 0.512    1  0.028
ATLANTIC DIVISION     351 332 0.514    2  0.024
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 330 341 0.492    3 -0.020
PACIFIC DIVISION      325 349 0.482    4 -0.052

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.139 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri May  2 05:30:13 2025
games through: Thu May  1 2025

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