Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         47 23 257 181 -0.000 34.702    2  0.268    2  0.272    2  0.300    2 0.5410   11  1.113    1  0.365    4  0.235
LIGHTNING        40 29 243 187  0.010 34.556    9  0.133   10  0.131    3  0.246    9 0.5207    8  1.141    2  0.346   10  0.145
AVALANCHE        43 28 239 204  0.002 35.501    5  0.176    5  0.169    9  0.133    5 0.5257    4  1.160    3  0.258   19  0.009
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   41 28 233 188 -0.003 34.263    8  0.152    8  0.147    5  0.210    8 0.5223   13  1.097    4  0.255    8  0.164
STARS            44 25 234 182  0.009 34.523    3  0.229    3  0.225    4  0.226    3 0.5330   17  1.061    5  0.228    5  0.224
JETS             48 22 243 165 -0.004 34.556    1  0.288    1  0.294    1  0.314    1 0.5445   27  0.972    6  0.211    1  0.416
OILERS           41 29 229 203 -0.005 34.893   10  0.131    9  0.133   11  0.093   10 0.5202   12  1.110    7  0.154   15  0.031
SABRES           27 41 212 241 -0.014 34.004   29 -0.180   29 -0.171   26 -0.140   29 0.4740    1  1.286    8  0.148   32 -0.427
MAPLE LEAFS      42 28 224 208  0.003 35.203    7  0.164    7  0.163   12  0.048    7 0.5246   10  1.132    9  0.137   21 -0.041
HURRICANES       42 27 222 186  0.010 34.716    4  0.187    4  0.180    6  0.162    4 0.5266   19  1.038   10  0.136    6  0.188
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JACKETS     31 38 221 230  0.006 34.946   22 -0.067   22 -0.075   19 -0.056   22 0.4880    3  1.212   11  0.134   27 -0.246
PANTHERS         42 28 225 190  0.011 35.253    6  0.171    6  0.166    7  0.145    6 0.5248   18  1.044   12  0.128    9  0.163
CANADIENS        33 36 210 228  0.007 34.933   16 -0.025   16 -0.028   18 -0.044   16 0.4955    6  1.153   13  0.072   25 -0.160
RANGERS          34 37 213 213 -0.011 35.334   18 -0.034   18 -0.042   14  0.025   17 0.4943   15  1.068   14  0.035   18  0.015
BLUES            36 35 214 207  0.010 35.896   15  0.012   15  0.018   13  0.036   15 0.5024   20  1.035   15  0.006   13  0.065
KRAKEN           30 41 213 232 -0.018 35.386   26 -0.140   26 -0.137   25 -0.131   26 0.4797    5  1.159   16 -0.008   28 -0.253
PENGUINS         29 42 210 257 -0.005 35.879   27 -0.158   27 -0.149   30 -0.217   27 0.4781    2  1.219   17 -0.017   31 -0.416
DEVILS           37 34 211 186  0.022 36.100   14  0.039   14  0.047    8  0.134   14 0.5071   30  0.911   18 -0.038    3  0.305
SENATORS         37 32 202 200  0.021 35.217   13  0.058   13  0.070   15  0.025   13 0.5112   23  0.999   19 -0.046   12  0.096
RED WINGS        32 37 198 221 -0.022 34.258   21 -0.064   21 -0.070   23 -0.111   21 0.4891   16  1.066   20 -0.104   23 -0.119
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 32 38 202 211  0.003 35.335   19 -0.058   19 -0.066   17 -0.042   20 0.4902   22  1.001   21 -0.110   16  0.027
KINGS            38 30 196 175  0.006 34.169   12  0.086   12  0.094   10  0.106   12 0.5141   32  0.864   22 -0.118    2  0.329
CANUCKS          32 38 197 214 -0.020 34.720   23 -0.072   23 -0.081   20 -0.057   23 0.4876   24  0.994   23 -0.134   17  0.020
BLACKHAWKS       20 50 186 250 -0.001 35.564   31 -0.336   31 -0.342   31 -0.262   31 0.4485    7  1.149   24 -0.151   29 -0.372
FLYERS           28 43 196 240  0.018 36.498   28 -0.165   28 -0.157   28 -0.180   28 0.4767   14  1.069   25 -0.168   26 -0.193
WILD             40 30 195 196 -0.012 34.846   11  0.096   11  0.108   16 -0.001   11 0.5163   29  0.913   26 -0.171    7  0.169
SHARKS           19 51 182 259 -0.005 35.594   32 -0.369   32 -0.371   32 -0.311   32 0.4442    9  1.137   27 -0.216   30 -0.407
ISLANDERS        32 37 190 205 -0.018 34.333   20 -0.060   20 -0.067   22 -0.085   19 0.4903   28  0.945   28 -0.218   14  0.048
DUCKS            30 39 186 216  0.004 35.019   24 -0.096   24 -0.099   24 -0.128   24 0.4842   25  0.983   29 -0.219   20 -0.038
BRUINS           30 41 188 229  0.004 36.033   25 -0.123   25 -0.122   27 -0.146   25 0.4824   26  0.983   30 -0.236   22 -0.056
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES           33 36 182 203 -0.007 34.596   17 -0.032   17 -0.037   21 -0.068   18 0.4938   31  0.879   31 -0.274   11  0.139
PREDATORS        26 43 178 224 -0.008 34.815   30 -0.211   30 -0.200   29 -0.216   30 0.4697   21  1.003   32 -0.283   24 -0.149

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   41 28 233 188 -0.003 34.263    8  0.152    8  0.147    5  0.210    8 0.5223   13  1.097    4  0.255    8  0.164
OILERS           41 29 229 203 -0.005 34.893   10  0.131    9  0.133   11  0.093   10 0.5202   12  1.110    7  0.154   15  0.031
KRAKEN           30 41 213 232 -0.018 35.386   26 -0.140   26 -0.137   25 -0.131   26 0.4797    5  1.159   16 -0.008   28 -0.253
KINGS            38 30 196 175  0.006 34.169   12  0.086   12  0.094   10  0.106   12 0.5141   32  0.864   22 -0.118    2  0.329
CANUCKS          32 38 197 214 -0.020 34.720   23 -0.072   23 -0.081   20 -0.057   23 0.4876   24  0.994   23 -0.134   17  0.020
SHARKS           19 51 182 259 -0.005 35.594   32 -0.369   32 -0.371   32 -0.311   32 0.4442    9  1.137   27 -0.216   30 -0.407
DUCKS            30 39 186 216  0.004 35.019   24 -0.096   24 -0.099   24 -0.128   24 0.4842   25  0.983   29 -0.219   20 -0.038
FLAMES           33 36 182 203 -0.007 34.596   17 -0.032   17 -0.037   21 -0.068   18 0.4938   31  0.879   31 -0.274   11  0.139

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE        43 28 239 204  0.002 35.501    5  0.176    5  0.169    9  0.133    5 0.5257    4  1.160    3  0.258   19  0.009
STARS            44 25 234 182  0.009 34.523    3  0.229    3  0.225    4  0.226    3 0.5330   17  1.061    5  0.228    5  0.224
JETS             48 22 243 165 -0.004 34.556    1  0.288    1  0.294    1  0.314    1 0.5445   27  0.972    6  0.211    1  0.416
BLUES            36 35 214 207  0.010 35.896   15  0.012   15  0.018   13  0.036   15 0.5024   20  1.035   15  0.006   13  0.065
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 32 38 202 211  0.003 35.335   19 -0.058   19 -0.066   17 -0.042   20 0.4902   22  1.001   21 -0.110   16  0.027
BLACKHAWKS       20 50 186 250 -0.001 35.564   31 -0.336   31 -0.342   31 -0.262   31 0.4485    7  1.149   24 -0.151   29 -0.372
WILD             40 30 195 196 -0.012 34.846   11  0.096   11  0.108   16 -0.001   11 0.5163   29  0.913   26 -0.171    7  0.169
PREDATORS        26 43 178 224 -0.008 34.815   30 -0.211   30 -0.200   29 -0.216   30 0.4697   21  1.003   32 -0.283   24 -0.149

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         47 23 257 181 -0.000 34.702    2  0.268    2  0.272    2  0.300    2 0.5410   11  1.113    1  0.365    4  0.235
HURRICANES       42 27 222 186  0.010 34.716    4  0.187    4  0.180    6  0.162    4 0.5266   19  1.038   10  0.136    6  0.188
BLUE JACKETS     31 38 221 230  0.006 34.946   22 -0.067   22 -0.075   19 -0.056   22 0.4880    3  1.212   11  0.134   27 -0.246
RANGERS          34 37 213 213 -0.011 35.334   18 -0.034   18 -0.042   14  0.025   17 0.4943   15  1.068   14  0.035   18  0.015
PENGUINS         29 42 210 257 -0.005 35.879   27 -0.158   27 -0.149   30 -0.217   27 0.4781    2  1.219   17 -0.017   31 -0.416
DEVILS           37 34 211 186  0.022 36.100   14  0.039   14  0.047    8  0.134   14 0.5071   30  0.911   18 -0.038    3  0.305
FLYERS           28 43 196 240  0.018 36.498   28 -0.165   28 -0.157   28 -0.180   28 0.4767   14  1.069   25 -0.168   26 -0.193
ISLANDERS        32 37 190 205 -0.018 34.333   20 -0.060   20 -0.067   22 -0.085   19 0.4903   28  0.945   28 -0.218   14  0.048

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        40 29 243 187  0.010 34.556    9  0.133   10  0.131    3  0.246    9 0.5207    8  1.141    2  0.346   10  0.145
SABRES           27 41 212 241 -0.014 34.004   29 -0.180   29 -0.171   26 -0.140   29 0.4740    1  1.286    8  0.148   32 -0.427
MAPLE LEAFS      42 28 224 208  0.003 35.203    7  0.164    7  0.163   12  0.048    7 0.5246   10  1.132    9  0.137   21 -0.041
PANTHERS         42 28 225 190  0.011 35.253    6  0.171    6  0.166    7  0.145    6 0.5248   18  1.044   12  0.128    9  0.163
CANADIENS        33 36 210 228  0.007 34.933   16 -0.025   16 -0.028   18 -0.044   16 0.4955    6  1.153   13  0.072   25 -0.160
SENATORS         37 32 202 200  0.021 35.217   13  0.058   13  0.070   15  0.025   13 0.5112   23  0.999   19 -0.046   12  0.096
RED WINGS        32 37 198 221 -0.022 34.258   21 -0.064   21 -0.070   23 -0.111   21 0.4891   16  1.066   20 -0.104   23 -0.119
BRUINS           30 41 188 229  0.004 36.033   25 -0.123   25 -0.122   27 -0.146   25 0.4824   26  0.983   30 -0.236   22 -0.056

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      289 271 0.516    1  0.032
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 280 281 0.499    2  0.014
ATLANTIC DIVISION     283 272 0.510    3  0.003
PACIFIC DIVISION      264 292 0.475    4 -0.049

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.127 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Mar 23 05:30:09 2025
games through: Sat Mar 22 2025

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