Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.007 43.333   11  0.082   11  0.088    2  0.239   11 0.5136   10  1.137    1  0.323    9  0.156
CAPITALS         55 32 306 244 -0.011 42.784    3  0.222    3  0.212    4  0.197    3 0.5308    9  1.139    2  0.282   13  0.111
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.005 40.972   23 -0.093   23 -0.104   23 -0.087   23 0.4849    1  1.323    3  0.239   31 -0.412
AVALANCHE        51 36 292 247  0.009 43.518    7  0.155    7  0.147    6  0.157    6 0.5216   11  1.129    4  0.230   15  0.083
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   53 34 290 236 -0.009 42.869    5  0.190    5  0.177    3  0.200    5 0.5262   17  1.072    5  0.203    5  0.196
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.003 40.934   17 -0.012   17 -0.022   16 -0.012   17 0.4967    2  1.225    6  0.184   27 -0.207
STARS            53 34 290 239  0.003 43.249    4  0.196    4  0.183    5  0.180    4 0.5263   16  1.072    7  0.184    7  0.176
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.002 43.341    9  0.151    9  0.145    8  0.142    9 0.5203   14  1.092    8  0.170   12  0.115
JETS             59 28 292 210  0.006 43.156    1  0.287    1  0.302    1  0.288    1 0.5429   28  0.952    9  0.151    1  0.425
OILERS           51 36 280 256  0.004 43.488    8  0.151    8  0.146   12  0.073    8 0.5207   12  1.116   10  0.130   16  0.016
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      55 32 283 245  0.001 43.327    2  0.226    2  0.220   10  0.111    2 0.5321   15  1.072   11  0.115   14  0.108
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.005 40.790   20 -0.028   20 -0.045   15  0.024   20 0.4935    7  1.141   12  0.113   21 -0.065
BLUES            46 41 273 248  0.021 44.028   14  0.049   14  0.060   11  0.098   14 0.5092   19  1.046   13  0.070   10  0.125
PANTHERS         51 36 271 235  0.018 43.898    6  0.164    6  0.155    9  0.126    7 0.5214   26  0.983   14  0.024    3  0.228
KINGS            50 37 270 227 -0.006 43.022   10  0.116   10  0.117    7  0.149   10 0.5178   29  0.947   15  0.007    2  0.292
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.010 40.854   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   24 -0.107   26 0.4812    6  1.146   16 -0.013   26 -0.202
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.015 44.115   18 -0.024   18 -0.039   20 -0.055   18 0.4951   13  1.096   17 -0.022   23 -0.089
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.004 41.190   27 -0.147   27 -0.144   29 -0.199   27 0.4788    3  1.194   18 -0.043   29 -0.354
SENATORS         47 40 257 249  0.005 43.606   13  0.057   13  0.068   14  0.044   12 0.5109   27  0.961   19 -0.082    8  0.171
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.002 41.028   21 -0.045   21 -0.063   19 -0.042   21 0.4909   22  1.034   20 -0.084   18  0.000
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.001 41.153   19 -0.028   19 -0.041   22 -0.077   19 0.4942   18  1.058   21 -0.090   20 -0.064
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.010 43.730   15 -0.000   15 -0.007   13  0.054   15 0.4996   31  0.932   22 -0.106    4  0.214
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.005 41.160   29 -0.171   29 -0.164   28 -0.196   29 0.4760    8  1.141   23 -0.107   28 -0.284
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.014 40.650   22 -0.053   22 -0.070   21 -0.056   22 0.4896   23  1.012   24 -0.124   17  0.011
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.006 41.232   31 -0.308   31 -0.327   31 -0.257   31 0.4524    4  1.171   25 -0.131   30 -0.383
WILD             47 40 245 254  0.013 43.981   12  0.062   12  0.076   17 -0.020   13 0.5107   30  0.946   26 -0.165   11  0.124
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.004 41.380   28 -0.165   28 -0.160   26 -0.159   28 0.4769   20  1.038   27 -0.197   24 -0.122
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.007 40.978   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 -0.129   25 0.4816   24  0.994   28 -0.217   19 -0.040
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.014 40.610   16 -0.003   16 -0.009   18 -0.037   16 0.4983   32  0.883   29 -0.251    6  0.176
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.002 41.249   24 -0.118   24 -0.122   27 -0.164   24 0.4823   25  0.993   30 -0.254   22 -0.075
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.007 41.402   32 -0.442   32 -0.434   32 -0.378   32 0.4376    5  1.152   31 -0.276   32 -0.480
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.000 41.418   30 -0.226   30 -0.222   30 -0.236   30 0.4675   21  1.035   32 -0.277   25 -0.196

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   53 34 290 236 -0.009 42.869    5  0.190    5  0.177    3  0.200    5 0.5262   17  1.072    5  0.203    5  0.196
OILERS           51 36 280 256  0.004 43.488    8  0.151    8  0.146   12  0.073    8 0.5207   12  1.116   10  0.130   16  0.016
KINGS            50 37 270 227 -0.006 43.022   10  0.116   10  0.117    7  0.149   10 0.5178   29  0.947   15  0.007    2  0.292
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.010 40.854   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   24 -0.107   26 0.4812    6  1.146   16 -0.013   26 -0.202
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.014 40.650   22 -0.053   22 -0.070   21 -0.056   22 0.4896   23  1.012   24 -0.124   17  0.011
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.014 40.610   16 -0.003   16 -0.009   18 -0.037   16 0.4983   32  0.883   29 -0.251    6  0.176
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.002 41.249   24 -0.118   24 -0.122   27 -0.164   24 0.4823   25  0.993   30 -0.254   22 -0.075
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.007 41.402   32 -0.442   32 -0.434   32 -0.378   32 0.4376    5  1.152   31 -0.276   32 -0.480

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE        51 36 292 247  0.009 43.518    7  0.155    7  0.147    6  0.157    6 0.5216   11  1.129    4  0.230   15  0.083
STARS            53 34 290 239  0.003 43.249    4  0.196    4  0.183    5  0.180    4 0.5263   16  1.072    7  0.184    7  0.176
JETS             59 28 292 210  0.006 43.156    1  0.287    1  0.302    1  0.288    1 0.5429   28  0.952    9  0.151    1  0.425
BLUES            46 41 273 248  0.021 44.028   14  0.049   14  0.060   11  0.098   14 0.5092   19  1.046   13  0.070   10  0.125
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.002 41.028   21 -0.045   21 -0.063   19 -0.042   21 0.4909   22  1.034   20 -0.084   18  0.000
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.006 41.232   31 -0.308   31 -0.327   31 -0.257   31 0.4524    4  1.171   25 -0.131   30 -0.383
WILD             47 40 245 254  0.013 43.981   12  0.062   12  0.076   17 -0.020   13 0.5107   30  0.946   26 -0.165   11  0.124
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.000 41.418   30 -0.226   30 -0.222   30 -0.236   30 0.4675   21  1.035   32 -0.277   25 -0.196

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         55 32 306 244 -0.011 42.784    3  0.222    3  0.212    4  0.197    3 0.5308    9  1.139    2  0.282   13  0.111
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.003 40.934   17 -0.012   17 -0.022   16 -0.012   17 0.4967    2  1.225    6  0.184   27 -0.207
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.002 43.341    9  0.151    9  0.145    8  0.142    9 0.5203   14  1.092    8  0.170   12  0.115
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.005 40.790   20 -0.028   20 -0.045   15  0.024   20 0.4935    7  1.141   12  0.113   21 -0.065
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.004 41.190   27 -0.147   27 -0.144   29 -0.199   27 0.4788    3  1.194   18 -0.043   29 -0.354
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.010 43.730   15 -0.000   15 -0.007   13  0.054   15 0.4996   31  0.932   22 -0.106    4  0.214
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.005 41.160   29 -0.171   29 -0.164   28 -0.196   29 0.4760    8  1.141   23 -0.107   28 -0.284
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.007 40.978   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 -0.129   25 0.4816   24  0.994   28 -0.217   19 -0.040

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.007 43.333   11  0.082   11  0.088    2  0.239   11 0.5136   10  1.137    1  0.323    9  0.156
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.005 40.972   23 -0.093   23 -0.104   23 -0.087   23 0.4849    1  1.323    3  0.239   31 -0.412
MAPLE LEAFS      55 32 283 245  0.001 43.327    2  0.226    2  0.220   10  0.111    2 0.5321   15  1.072   11  0.115   14  0.108
PANTHERS         51 36 271 235  0.018 43.898    6  0.164    6  0.155    9  0.126    7 0.5214   26  0.983   14  0.024    3  0.228
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.015 44.115   18 -0.024   18 -0.039   20 -0.055   18 0.4951   13  1.096   17 -0.022   23 -0.089
SENATORS         47 40 257 249  0.005 43.606   13  0.057   13  0.068   14  0.044   12 0.5109   27  0.961   19 -0.082    8  0.171
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.001 41.153   19 -0.028   19 -0.041   22 -0.077   19 0.4942   18  1.058   21 -0.090   20 -0.064
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.004 41.380   28 -0.165   28 -0.160   26 -0.159   28 0.4769   20  1.038   27 -0.197   24 -0.122

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      349 332 0.512    1  0.029
ATLANTIC DIVISION     350 331 0.514    2  0.024
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 330 341 0.492    3 -0.019
PACIFIC DIVISION      323 348 0.481    4 -0.052

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.139 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu May  1 05:30:08 2025
games through: Wed Apr 30 2025

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