Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.014 47.664    1  0.265    1  0.270    1  0.275    1 0.5378   31  0.930   11  0.114    1  0.436
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.013 47.994    2  0.227    2  0.213   12  0.092    2 0.5307   14  1.082   12  0.108   14  0.075
OILERS           61 39 332 289  0.023 50.829    3  0.223    3  0.206    7  0.144    3 0.5287   11  1.128    4  0.217   15  0.071
PANTHERS         60 41 326 270  0.038 51.844    4  0.210    4  0.187    3  0.184    4 0.5269   24  1.012   10  0.117    3  0.252
STARS            59 41 322 284  0.030 51.079    5  0.194    6  0.174   10  0.133    6 0.5249   15  1.075    8  0.141   10  0.126
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.008 45.584    6  0.194    5  0.175    5  0.160    5 0.5254   12  1.107    5  0.207   13  0.113
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.004 46.240    7  0.165    7  0.152    4  0.173    7 0.5228   19  1.048    7  0.149    5  0.198
HURRICANES       56 41 310 272  0.019 49.177    8  0.157    8  0.144    9  0.138    9 0.5201   16  1.067    9  0.137    9  0.140
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.003 44.490    9  0.149    9  0.139    6  0.149    8 0.5208    6  1.147    2  0.246   16  0.053
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.002 43.812   10  0.107   10  0.107    8  0.143   10 0.5164   27  0.965   15  0.022    2  0.265
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.006 43.441   11  0.083   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5132   10  1.135    1  0.317    7  0.155
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.022 45.198   12  0.051   13  0.057   11  0.103   13 0.5087   18  1.056   14  0.088   11  0.119
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.005 44.391   13  0.049   12  0.059   17 -0.031   14 0.5083   29  0.944   26 -0.177   12  0.114
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.002 44.022   14  0.044   14  0.051   14  0.029   12 0.5088   28  0.962   20 -0.095    8  0.154
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.003 43.652   15 -0.000   15 -0.013   13  0.047   15 0.4988   30  0.935   22 -0.109    4  0.203
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.021 40.545   16 -0.003   16 -0.016   18 -0.044   16 0.4975   32  0.884   29 -0.256    6  0.168
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.009 40.867   17 -0.012   17 -0.029   16 -0.019   17 0.4959    2  1.225    6  0.178   27 -0.215
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.007 44.001   18 -0.025   18 -0.046   20 -0.063   18 0.4941   13  1.099   17 -0.026   23 -0.100
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.006 41.091   19 -0.028   19 -0.047   22 -0.083   19 0.4934   17  1.058   21 -0.096   20 -0.071
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.011 40.736   20 -0.029   20 -0.052   15  0.017   20 0.4927    9  1.141   13  0.106   21 -0.072
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.009 40.950   21 -0.047   21 -0.070   19 -0.049   21 0.4901   22  1.033   19 -0.091   18 -0.006
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.021 40.587   22 -0.054   22 -0.076   21 -0.063   22 0.4887   23  1.012   24 -0.130   17  0.004
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.011 40.943   23 -0.095   23 -0.110   23 -0.092   23 0.4842    1  1.322    3  0.233   31 -0.418
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.007 41.220   24 -0.119   24 -0.127   27 -0.170   24 0.4815   26  0.993   30 -0.259   22 -0.081
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.014 40.925   25 -0.123   25 -0.131   25 -0.135   25 0.4808   25  0.994   28 -0.223   19 -0.047
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.016 40.836   26 -0.127   26 -0.135   24 -0.113   26 0.4805    7  1.146   16 -0.018   26 -0.208
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.010 41.120   27 -0.149   27 -0.150   29 -0.205   27 0.4780    3  1.194   18 -0.049   29 -0.362
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.002 41.346   28 -0.165   28 -0.166   26 -0.165   28 0.4761   20  1.038   27 -0.202   24 -0.128
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.011 41.092   29 -0.171   29 -0.170   28 -0.202   29 0.4751    8  1.142   23 -0.112   28 -0.293
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.007 41.340   30 -0.224   30 -0.229   30 -0.243   30 0.4667   21  1.033   32 -0.285   25 -0.201
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.013 41.152   31 -0.306   31 -0.333   31 -0.264   31 0.4516    4  1.171   25 -0.137   30 -0.390
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.012 41.384   32 -0.437   32 -0.439   32 -0.383   32 0.4369    5  1.151   31 -0.281   32 -0.485

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS           61 39 332 289  0.023 50.829    3  0.223    3  0.206    7  0.144    3 0.5287   11  1.128    4  0.217   15  0.071
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.004 46.240    7  0.165    7  0.152    4  0.173    7 0.5228   19  1.048    7  0.149    5  0.198
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.002 43.812   10  0.107   10  0.107    8  0.143   10 0.5164   27  0.965   15  0.022    2  0.265
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.021 40.545   16 -0.003   16 -0.016   18 -0.044   16 0.4975   32  0.884   29 -0.256    6  0.168
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.021 40.587   22 -0.054   22 -0.076   21 -0.063   22 0.4887   23  1.012   24 -0.130   17  0.004
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.007 41.220   24 -0.119   24 -0.127   27 -0.170   24 0.4815   26  0.993   30 -0.259   22 -0.081
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.016 40.836   26 -0.127   26 -0.135   24 -0.113   26 0.4805    7  1.146   16 -0.018   26 -0.208
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.012 41.384   32 -0.437   32 -0.439   32 -0.383   32 0.4369    5  1.151   31 -0.281   32 -0.485

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.014 47.664    1  0.265    1  0.270    1  0.275    1 0.5378   31  0.930   11  0.114    1  0.436
STARS            59 41 322 284  0.030 51.079    5  0.194    6  0.174   10  0.133    6 0.5249   15  1.075    8  0.141   10  0.126
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.003 44.490    9  0.149    9  0.139    6  0.149    8 0.5208    6  1.147    2  0.246   16  0.053
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.022 45.198   12  0.051   13  0.057   11  0.103   13 0.5087   18  1.056   14  0.088   11  0.119
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.005 44.391   13  0.049   12  0.059   17 -0.031   14 0.5083   29  0.944   26 -0.177   12  0.114
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.009 40.950   21 -0.047   21 -0.070   19 -0.049   21 0.4901   22  1.033   19 -0.091   18 -0.006
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.007 41.340   30 -0.224   30 -0.229   30 -0.243   30 0.4667   21  1.033   32 -0.285   25 -0.201
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.013 41.152   31 -0.306   31 -0.333   31 -0.264   31 0.4516    4  1.171   25 -0.137   30 -0.390

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.008 45.584    6  0.194    5  0.175    5  0.160    5 0.5254   12  1.107    5  0.207   13  0.113
HURRICANES       56 41 310 272  0.019 49.177    8  0.157    8  0.144    9  0.138    9 0.5201   16  1.067    9  0.137    9  0.140
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.003 43.652   15 -0.000   15 -0.013   13  0.047   15 0.4988   30  0.935   22 -0.109    4  0.203
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.009 40.867   17 -0.012   17 -0.029   16 -0.019   17 0.4959    2  1.225    6  0.178   27 -0.215
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.011 40.736   20 -0.029   20 -0.052   15  0.017   20 0.4927    9  1.141   13  0.106   21 -0.072
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.014 40.925   25 -0.123   25 -0.131   25 -0.135   25 0.4808   25  0.994   28 -0.223   19 -0.047
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.010 41.120   27 -0.149   27 -0.150   29 -0.205   27 0.4780    3  1.194   18 -0.049   29 -0.362
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.011 41.092   29 -0.171   29 -0.170   28 -0.202   29 0.4751    8  1.142   23 -0.112   28 -0.293

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.013 47.994    2  0.227    2  0.213   12  0.092    2 0.5307   14  1.082   12  0.108   14  0.075
PANTHERS         60 41 326 270  0.038 51.844    4  0.210    4  0.187    3  0.184    4 0.5269   24  1.012   10  0.117    3  0.252
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.006 43.441   11  0.083   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5132   10  1.135    1  0.317    7  0.155
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.002 44.022   14  0.044   14  0.051   14  0.029   12 0.5088   28  0.962   20 -0.095    8  0.154
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.007 44.001   18 -0.025   18 -0.046   20 -0.063   18 0.4941   13  1.099   17 -0.026   23 -0.100
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.006 41.091   19 -0.028   19 -0.047   22 -0.083   19 0.4934   17  1.058   21 -0.096   20 -0.071
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.011 40.943   23 -0.095   23 -0.110   23 -0.092   23 0.4842    1  1.322    3  0.233   31 -0.418
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.002 41.346   28 -0.165   28 -0.166   26 -0.165   28 0.4761   20  1.038   27 -0.202   24 -0.128

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     363 341 0.516    1  0.024
CENTRAL DIVISION      360 347 0.509    2  0.013
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 336 350 0.490    3 -0.031
PACIFIC DIVISION      335 356 0.485    4 -0.050

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.140 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Jun  7 05:30:14 2025
games through: Fri Jun  6 2025

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