Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    5 2 0 196 111  0.109  3.306    8  0.111   11  0.111    1  0.192   10 0.5631   20  1.204   12  0.094    4  0.291
BUCCANEERS 3 5 0 178 151  0.183  4.355   20 -0.034   21 -0.039    2  0.144   19 0.4880   27  1.110   19 -0.074    2  0.361
BEARS      6 2 0 214 160  0.186  4.314    3  0.177    3  0.172    3  0.137    5 0.5937   10  1.404    7  0.310   19 -0.036
VIKINGS    6 1 0 140  93  0.188  3.665    1  0.206    1  0.206    4  0.130    1 0.6273   32  0.760   31 -0.478    1  0.738
PATRIOTS   5 3 0 184 162  0.289  4.687    9  0.108    7  0.125    5  0.114    8 0.5735   25  1.153   17 -0.049    6  0.278
BILLS      6 1 0 233 181  0.009  3.265    2  0.179    2  0.174    6  0.104    3 0.6036    1  1.681    1  0.699   30 -0.490
BENGALS    5 2 0 206 158  0.114  3.508   10  0.105    9  0.119    7  0.104   12 0.5429    5  1.554    3  0.497   25 -0.290
PACKERS    5 3 0 171 164  0.215  4.541   11  0.100   10  0.115    8  0.094   11 0.5593   26  1.128   23 -0.101    5  0.289
STEELERS   6 2 0 180 144  0.045  3.934    6  0.142    6  0.147    9  0.092    7 0.5887   30  1.068   25 -0.176    3  0.359
49ERS      6 1 0 197 139 -0.054  3.035    4  0.169    5  0.161   10  0.090    2 0.6038   12  1.374    9  0.220   20 -0.040
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      5 2 0 203 180  0.094  3.606    7  0.122    8  0.125   11  0.080    6 0.5915    6  1.528    4  0.435   24 -0.276
SEAHAWKS   4 4 0 185 159  0.053  3.940   15  0.006   15  0.006   12  0.077   14 0.5197   21  1.195   14 -0.034    8  0.188
BRONCOS    6 2 0 172 165  0.124  4.298    5  0.161    4  0.170   13  0.050    4 0.6030   19  1.208   15 -0.043   11  0.144
CHIEFS     5 2 0 167 131 -0.069  3.112   13  0.082   13  0.092   14  0.038    9 0.5644   23  1.175   22 -0.098    9  0.174
RAMS       4 4 0 194 168 -0.136  3.423   19 -0.026   19 -0.032   15  0.032   16 0.4977   18  1.214   18 -0.053   12  0.118
TEXANS     2 5 0 165 170 -0.040  3.360   25 -0.117   24 -0.106   16  0.004   29 0.4020   14  1.241   16 -0.047   15  0.055
PANTHERS   3 4 0 178 193  0.090  3.717   17 -0.014   17 -0.015   17  0.000   15 0.4993    4  1.569    6  0.418   29 -0.417
FALCONS    3 5 0 171 189  0.138  4.505   21 -0.047   20 -0.033   18 -0.023   17 0.4925   15  1.240   20 -0.076   16  0.029
RAIDERS    4 4 0 221 230 -0.055  3.810   16 -0.004   16 -0.006   19 -0.028   18 0.4919    2  1.649    2  0.514   32 -0.569
JETS       2 6 0 170 188 -0.017  3.974   28 -0.148   28 -0.139   20 -0.035   24 0.4309   13  1.244   21 -0.082   17  0.011
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COWBOYS    3 5 0 219 213 -0.199  3.355   24 -0.111   25 -0.109   21 -0.040   26 0.4177    3  1.597    5  0.421   31 -0.500
SAINTS     2 5 0 162 194 -0.015  3.549   23 -0.106   23 -0.101   22 -0.062   23 0.4631    7  1.487    8  0.231   27 -0.354
DOLPHINS   1 6 0 117 181  0.213  4.305   27 -0.135   27 -0.125   23 -0.070   25 0.4308   24  1.163   27 -0.222   13  0.082
GIANTS     4 2 1 163 161 -0.332  2.614   14  0.014   14  0.012   24 -0.070   21 0.4730   17  1.223   24 -0.144   18  0.004
BROWNS     5 3 0 139 173  0.038  4.259   12  0.082   12  0.094   25 -0.071   13 0.5419   28  1.088   29 -0.315   10  0.173
COMMANDERS 2 4 1 159 182 -0.274  2.875   26 -0.125   26 -0.118   26 -0.081   28 0.4076   11  1.397   13  0.082   23 -0.244
RAVENS     4 4 0 179 203 -0.180  3.578   18 -0.019   18 -0.024   27 -0.117   20 0.4780   16  1.225   26 -0.189   22 -0.045
COLTS      2 6 0 161 222 -0.067  4.109   29 -0.151   29 -0.141   28 -0.119   27 0.4140    9  1.435   11  0.099   26 -0.336
CARDINALS  3 5 0 175 238 -0.056  4.055   22 -0.073   22 -0.063   29 -0.124   22 0.4719    8  1.464   10  0.135   28 -0.383
CHARGERS   0 7 0  99 175 -0.048  3.748   31 -0.236   31 -0.238   30 -0.169   31 0.3713   31  0.941   32 -0.585    7  0.247
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TITANS     1 7 0 144 199 -0.323  3.248   32 -0.253   32 -0.260   31 -0.175   32 0.3325   22  1.176   28 -0.310   21 -0.041
EAGLES     2 6 0 137 202 -0.190  3.757   30 -0.163   30 -0.156   32 -0.183   30 0.3794   29  1.086   30 -0.429   14  0.064

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    6 2 0 172 165  0.124  4.298    5  0.161    4  0.170   13  0.050    4 0.6030   19  1.208   15 -0.043   11  0.144
CHIEFS     5 2 0 167 131 -0.069  3.112   13  0.082   13  0.092   14  0.038    9 0.5644   23  1.175   22 -0.098    9  0.174
RAIDERS    4 4 0 221 230 -0.055  3.810   16 -0.004   16 -0.006   19 -0.028   18 0.4919    2  1.649    2  0.514   32 -0.569
CHARGERS   0 7 0  99 175 -0.048  3.748   31 -0.236   31 -0.238   30 -0.169   31 0.3713   31  0.941   32 -0.585    7  0.247

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    5 2 0 196 111  0.109  3.306    8  0.111   11  0.111    1  0.192   10 0.5631   20  1.204   12  0.094    4  0.291
TEXANS     2 5 0 165 170 -0.040  3.360   25 -0.117   24 -0.106   16  0.004   29 0.4020   14  1.241   16 -0.047   15  0.055
COLTS      2 6 0 161 222 -0.067  4.109   29 -0.151   29 -0.141   28 -0.119   27 0.4140    9  1.435   11  0.099   26 -0.336
TITANS     1 7 0 144 199 -0.323  3.248   32 -0.253   32 -0.260   31 -0.175   32 0.3325   22  1.176   28 -0.310   21 -0.041

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BENGALS    5 2 0 206 158  0.114  3.508   10  0.105    9  0.119    7  0.104   12 0.5429    5  1.554    3  0.497   25 -0.290
STEELERS   6 2 0 180 144  0.045  3.934    6  0.142    6  0.147    9  0.092    7 0.5887   30  1.068   25 -0.176    3  0.359
BROWNS     5 3 0 139 173  0.038  4.259   12  0.082   12  0.094   25 -0.071   13 0.5419   28  1.088   29 -0.315   10  0.173
RAVENS     4 4 0 179 203 -0.180  3.578   18 -0.019   18 -0.024   27 -0.117   20 0.4780   16  1.225   26 -0.189   22 -0.045

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   5 3 0 184 162  0.289  4.687    9  0.108    7  0.125    5  0.114    8 0.5735   25  1.153   17 -0.049    6  0.278
BILLS      6 1 0 233 181  0.009  3.265    2  0.179    2  0.174    6  0.104    3 0.6036    1  1.681    1  0.699   30 -0.490
JETS       2 6 0 170 188 -0.017  3.974   28 -0.148   28 -0.139   20 -0.035   24 0.4309   13  1.244   21 -0.082   17  0.011
DOLPHINS   1 6 0 117 181  0.213  4.305   27 -0.135   27 -0.125   23 -0.070   25 0.4308   24  1.163   27 -0.222   13  0.082

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      6 1 0 197 139 -0.054  3.035    4  0.169    5  0.161   10  0.090    2 0.6038   12  1.374    9  0.220   20 -0.040
SEAHAWKS   4 4 0 185 159  0.053  3.940   15  0.006   15  0.006   12  0.077   14 0.5197   21  1.195   14 -0.034    8  0.188
RAMS       4 4 0 194 168 -0.136  3.423   19 -0.026   19 -0.032   15  0.032   16 0.4977   18  1.214   18 -0.053   12  0.118
CARDINALS  3 5 0 175 238 -0.056  4.055   22 -0.073   22 -0.063   29 -0.124   22 0.4719    8  1.464   10  0.135   28 -0.383

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 3 5 0 178 151  0.183  4.355   20 -0.034   21 -0.039    2  0.144   19 0.4880   27  1.110   19 -0.074    2  0.361
PANTHERS   3 4 0 178 193  0.090  3.717   17 -0.014   17 -0.015   17  0.000   15 0.4993    4  1.569    6  0.418   29 -0.417
FALCONS    3 5 0 171 189  0.138  4.505   21 -0.047   20 -0.033   18 -0.023   17 0.4925   15  1.240   20 -0.076   16  0.029
SAINTS     2 5 0 162 194 -0.015  3.549   23 -0.106   23 -0.101   22 -0.062   23 0.4631    7  1.487    8  0.231   27 -0.354

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BEARS      6 2 0 214 160  0.186  4.314    3  0.177    3  0.172    3  0.137    5 0.5937   10  1.404    7  0.310   19 -0.036
VIKINGS    6 1 0 140  93  0.188  3.665    1  0.206    1  0.206    4  0.130    1 0.6273   32  0.760   31 -0.478    1  0.738
PACKERS    5 3 0 171 164  0.215  4.541   11  0.100   10  0.115    8  0.094   11 0.5593   26  1.128   23 -0.101    5  0.289
LIONS      5 2 0 203 180  0.094  3.606    7  0.122    8  0.125   11  0.080    6 0.5915    6  1.528    4  0.435   24 -0.276

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COWBOYS    3 5 0 219 213 -0.199  3.355   24 -0.111   25 -0.109   21 -0.040   26 0.4177    3  1.597    5  0.421   31 -0.500
GIANTS     4 2 1 163 161 -0.332  2.614   14  0.014   14  0.012   24 -0.070   21 0.4730   17  1.223   24 -0.144   18  0.004
COMMANDERS 2 4 1 159 182 -0.274  2.875   26 -0.125   26 -0.118   26 -0.081   28 0.4076   11  1.397   13  0.082   23 -0.244
EAGLES     2 6 0 137 202 -0.190  3.757   30 -0.163   30 -0.156   32 -0.183   30 0.3794   29  1.086   30 -0.429   14  0.064

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC NORTH  22  8  0 0.733    1  0.441
NFC WEST   17 14  0 0.548    2  0.099
AFC EAST   14 16  0 0.467    3  0.092
NFC SOUTH  11 19  0 0.367    4  0.032
AFC NORTH  20 11  0 0.645    5  0.031
AFC WEST   15 15  0 0.500    6 -0.113
AFC SOUTH  10 20  0 0.333    7 -0.131
NFC EAST   11 17  2 0.400    8 -0.420

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.110 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Nov  3 05:30:11 2026
games through: Mon Nov  2 2026

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