Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       11  4  0 457 299  0.382  9.036    2  0.597    2  0.565    1  0.677    2 0.6071    7  1.424    1  0.861    3  0.494
SEAHAWKS   12  3  0 443 279  0.277  8.296    1  0.633    1  0.614    2  0.623    1 0.6093   15  1.331    2  0.676    2  0.571
JAGUARS    11  4  0 410 312  0.222  8.233    4  0.491    4  0.485    3  0.439    3 0.5909    9  1.386    3  0.568    6  0.310
TEXANS     10  5  0 346 249  0.288  8.556    6  0.404    6  0.407    4  0.390    5 0.5738   30  0.994   15  0.017    1  0.763
49ERS      11  4  0 392 320  0.240  8.362    3  0.516    3  0.527    5  0.362    4 0.5837   12  1.357    8  0.451    8  0.273
COLTS       8  7  0 419 351  0.185  8.146   14  0.124   14  0.134    6  0.204   14 0.5249    5  1.495    7  0.492   19 -0.084
EAGLES     10  5  0 349 289  0.008  7.351   11  0.272   11  0.265    7  0.201   11 0.5421   26  1.092   20 -0.056    4  0.458
BILLS      11  4  0 434 344 -0.109  6.642    9  0.309    9  0.304    8  0.173    8 0.5642    4  1.564    4  0.565   23 -0.219
PATRIOTS   12  3  0 410 300 -0.253  5.815    7  0.328    7  0.320    9  0.149    7 0.5657   13  1.352   10  0.230   14  0.068
PACKERS     9  5  1 364 303 -0.078  6.930   12  0.148   12  0.148   10  0.133   13 0.5317   24  1.176   19 -0.020    7  0.286
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS       8  7  0 452 374 -0.010  7.237   16  0.024   17  0.028   11  0.126   17 0.4996    3  1.584    6  0.549   27 -0.296
CHARGERS   11  4  0 349 301 -0.091  6.876    8  0.319    8  0.314   12  0.116    9 0.5528   22  1.216   16  0.015   10  0.217
BRONCOS    12  3  0 362 295 -0.098  6.698    5  0.439    5  0.454   13  0.091    6 0.5729   20  1.223   17 -0.000   12  0.183
BEARS      11  4  0 387 354 -0.164  6.510   10  0.294   10  0.288   14  0.082   10 0.5488    6  1.438    9  0.286   21 -0.123
CHIEFS      6  9  0 337 294  0.051  7.675   20 -0.134   20 -0.147   15  0.061   21 0.4674   25  1.097   22 -0.190    5  0.312
STEELERS    9  6  0 365 350 -0.038  7.295   13  0.125   13  0.143   16  0.032   12 0.5341   17  1.313   13  0.060   15  0.004
RAVENS      7  8  0 359 348 -0.093  6.965   19 -0.123   19 -0.123   17  0.017   19 0.4784   16  1.319   14  0.053   16 -0.018
BUCCANEERS  7  8  0 347 377  0.102  8.178   17  0.006   16  0.030   18 -0.057   16 0.5061    8  1.421   12  0.122   24 -0.236
VIKINGS     7  8  0 305 320 -0.066  7.288   18 -0.103   18 -0.084   19 -0.086   18 0.4850   28  1.057   27 -0.384   11  0.213
CARDINALS   3 12  0 321 414  0.221  9.040   27 -0.379   27 -0.381   20 -0.126   26 0.4356   10  1.383   18 -0.001   25 -0.252
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS    8  7  0 287 337 -0.037  7.535   15  0.050   15  0.056   21 -0.128   15 0.5152   27  1.085   28 -0.394   13  0.138
FALCONS     6  9  0 307 360 -0.049  7.469   22 -0.185   22 -0.186   22 -0.143   20 0.4705   21  1.223   23 -0.235   17 -0.052
COWBOYS     6  8  1 424 454 -0.124  6.967   21 -0.166   21 -0.168   23 -0.180   22 0.4626    1  1.777    5  0.555   32 -0.915
SAINTS      5 10  0 255 338 -0.062  7.576   25 -0.297   25 -0.290   24 -0.191   23 0.4543   32  0.960   30 -0.602    9  0.221
TITANS      3 12  0 251 403  0.196  9.212   26 -0.372   26 -0.364   25 -0.232   27 0.4302   23  1.202   26 -0.352   20 -0.113
GIANTS      2 13  0 313 412  0.004  7.863   30 -0.582   30 -0.592   26 -0.274   32 0.3876   11  1.380   21 -0.153   28 -0.395
DOLPHINS    6  9  0 317 369 -0.235  6.470   24 -0.291   24 -0.290   27 -0.283   25 0.4519   19  1.273   25 -0.309   26 -0.257
BENGALS     5 10  0 359 458 -0.070  7.529   23 -0.289   23 -0.289   28 -0.286   24 0.4538    2  1.586   11  0.140   31 -0.711
COMMANDERS  4 11  0 309 404 -0.090  7.378   28 -0.410   28 -0.416   29 -0.359   28 0.4131   14  1.337   24 -0.297   29 -0.420
BROWNS      3 12  0 246 355 -0.193  6.899   29 -0.576   29 -0.589   30 -0.427   31 0.3931   31  0.994   31 -0.801   18 -0.054
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAIDERS     2 13  0 217 386 -0.030  8.103   31 -0.584   31 -0.594   31 -0.510   30 0.3961   29  1.022   32 -0.850   22 -0.169
JETS        3 12  0 282 426 -0.225  6.800   32 -0.588   32 -0.602   32 -0.591   29 0.3975   18  1.294   29 -0.589   30 -0.594

AFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   11  4  0 349 301 -0.091  6.876    8  0.319    8  0.314   12  0.116    9 0.5528   22  1.216   16  0.015   10  0.217
BRONCOS    12  3  0 362 295 -0.098  6.698    5  0.439    5  0.454   13  0.091    6 0.5729   20  1.223   17 -0.000   12  0.183
CHIEFS      6  9  0 337 294  0.051  7.675   20 -0.134   20 -0.147   15  0.061   21 0.4674   25  1.097   22 -0.190    5  0.312
RAIDERS     2 13  0 217 386 -0.030  8.103   31 -0.584   31 -0.594   31 -0.510   30 0.3961   29  1.022   32 -0.850   22 -0.169

AFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    11  4  0 410 312  0.222  8.233    4  0.491    4  0.485    3  0.439    3 0.5909    9  1.386    3  0.568    6  0.310
TEXANS     10  5  0 346 249  0.288  8.556    6  0.404    6  0.407    4  0.390    5 0.5738   30  0.994   15  0.017    1  0.763
COLTS       8  7  0 419 351  0.185  8.146   14  0.124   14  0.134    6  0.204   14 0.5249    5  1.495    7  0.492   19 -0.084
TITANS      3 12  0 251 403  0.196  9.212   26 -0.372   26 -0.364   25 -0.232   27 0.4302   23  1.202   26 -0.352   20 -0.113

AFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS    9  6  0 365 350 -0.038  7.295   13  0.125   13  0.143   16  0.032   12 0.5341   17  1.313   13  0.060   15  0.004
RAVENS      7  8  0 359 348 -0.093  6.965   19 -0.123   19 -0.123   17  0.017   19 0.4784   16  1.319   14  0.053   16 -0.018
BENGALS     5 10  0 359 458 -0.070  7.529   23 -0.289   23 -0.289   28 -0.286   24 0.4538    2  1.586   11  0.140   31 -0.711
BROWNS      3 12  0 246 355 -0.193  6.899   29 -0.576   29 -0.589   30 -0.427   31 0.3931   31  0.994   31 -0.801   18 -0.054

AFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      11  4  0 434 344 -0.109  6.642    9  0.309    9  0.304    8  0.173    8 0.5642    4  1.564    4  0.565   23 -0.219
PATRIOTS   12  3  0 410 300 -0.253  5.815    7  0.328    7  0.320    9  0.149    7 0.5657   13  1.352   10  0.230   14  0.068
DOLPHINS    6  9  0 317 369 -0.235  6.470   24 -0.291   24 -0.290   27 -0.283   25 0.4519   19  1.273   25 -0.309   26 -0.257
JETS        3 12  0 282 426 -0.225  6.800   32 -0.588   32 -0.602   32 -0.591   29 0.3975   18  1.294   29 -0.589   30 -0.594

NFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       11  4  0 457 299  0.382  9.036    2  0.597    2  0.565    1  0.677    2 0.6071    7  1.424    1  0.861    3  0.494
SEAHAWKS   12  3  0 443 279  0.277  8.296    1  0.633    1  0.614    2  0.623    1 0.6093   15  1.331    2  0.676    2  0.571
49ERS      11  4  0 392 320  0.240  8.362    3  0.516    3  0.527    5  0.362    4 0.5837   12  1.357    8  0.451    8  0.273
CARDINALS   3 12  0 321 414  0.221  9.040   27 -0.379   27 -0.381   20 -0.126   26 0.4356   10  1.383   18 -0.001   25 -0.252

NFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS  7  8  0 347 377  0.102  8.178   17  0.006   16  0.030   18 -0.057   16 0.5061    8  1.421   12  0.122   24 -0.236
PANTHERS    8  7  0 287 337 -0.037  7.535   15  0.050   15  0.056   21 -0.128   15 0.5152   27  1.085   28 -0.394   13  0.138
FALCONS     6  9  0 307 360 -0.049  7.469   22 -0.185   22 -0.186   22 -0.143   20 0.4705   21  1.223   23 -0.235   17 -0.052
SAINTS      5 10  0 255 338 -0.062  7.576   25 -0.297   25 -0.290   24 -0.191   23 0.4543   32  0.960   30 -0.602    9  0.221

NFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS     9  5  1 364 303 -0.078  6.930   12  0.148   12  0.148   10  0.133   13 0.5317   24  1.176   19 -0.020    7  0.286
LIONS       8  7  0 452 374 -0.010  7.237   16  0.024   17  0.028   11  0.126   17 0.4996    3  1.584    6  0.549   27 -0.296
BEARS      11  4  0 387 354 -0.164  6.510   10  0.294   10  0.288   14  0.082   10 0.5488    6  1.438    9  0.286   21 -0.123
VIKINGS     7  8  0 305 320 -0.066  7.288   18 -0.103   18 -0.084   19 -0.086   18 0.4850   28  1.057   27 -0.384   11  0.213

NFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     10  5  0 349 289  0.008  7.351   11  0.272   11  0.265    7  0.201   11 0.5421   26  1.092   20 -0.056    4  0.458
COWBOYS     6  8  1 424 454 -0.124  6.967   21 -0.166   21 -0.168   23 -0.180   22 0.4626    1  1.777    5  0.555   32 -0.915
GIANTS      2 13  0 313 412  0.004  7.863   30 -0.582   30 -0.592   26 -0.274   32 0.3876   11  1.380   21 -0.153   28 -0.395
COMMANDERS  4 11  0 309 404 -0.090  7.378   28 -0.410   28 -0.416   29 -0.359   28 0.4131   14  1.337   24 -0.297   29 -0.420

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   37 23  0 0.617    1  0.633
AFC SOUTH  32 28  0 0.533    2  0.335
NFC NORTH  35 24  1 0.592    3  0.078
AFC WEST   31 29  0 0.517    4 -0.043
AFC EAST   32 28  0 0.533    5 -0.210
NFC SOUTH  26 34  0 0.433    6 -0.222
NFC EAST   22 37  1 0.375    7 -0.225
AFC NORTH  24 36  0 0.400    8 -0.302

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.157 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Dec 23 05:30:11 2025
games through: Mon Dec 22 2025

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