Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     4 0 118  77  0.146  2.083    1  0.111    1  0.097    3  0.081    1 0.6744   12  1.368    8  0.208   20 -0.046 P
49ERS      4 0 122  64  0.029  1.801    2  0.102    2  0.086    2  0.094    2 0.6542   14  1.316   11  0.148   15  0.040 P
VIKINGS    4 0  86  51 -0.043  1.764    3  0.099    3  0.083    5  0.050    3 0.6207   31  0.941   28 -0.361    2  0.460 P
JAGUARS    3 1 104  53  0.204  2.150    4  0.069    4  0.051    1  0.096    4 0.6111   24  1.127   21 -0.096    4  0.288 P
BROWNS     3 1  81  95  0.000  2.126    5  0.040    5  0.043   19 -0.035    7 0.5642   22  1.206   24 -0.127   12  0.057 P
BEARS      3 1 112  65  0.046  1.942    6  0.038    6  0.040    4  0.056    9 0.5601   16  1.276   16  0.056   13  0.055 P
RAVENS     3 1 116  96 -0.113  1.760    7  0.037    9  0.036   11  0.022   12 0.5175    6  1.458    6  0.277   26 -0.233 P
BILLS      3 1 127 107 -0.138  1.712    8  0.035   10  0.035    8  0.026   14 0.5099    1  1.681    1  0.624   32 -0.572 P
RAIDERS    3 1 115  84  0.034  1.984    9  0.033    8  0.037    9  0.026    8 0.5603    7  1.457    5  0.279   25 -0.228 P
BRONCOS    2 2  74  94  0.563  2.952   10  0.032    7  0.038   10  0.025    5 0.6103   23  1.198   20 -0.077   10  0.127 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SEAHAWKS   3 1 105  73 -0.164  1.605   11  0.031   11  0.030    6  0.047   11 0.5318   15  1.287   15  0.063   17  0.032 P
GIANTS     3 1  82  79 -0.272  1.651   12  0.023   12  0.023   24 -0.044   13 0.5116   25  1.079   25 -0.294    8  0.207 P
PATRIOTS   2 2  65  77  0.303  2.525   13  0.015   13  0.018   13  0.013   10 0.5441   32  0.886   30 -0.459    1  0.485 P
RAMS       2 2  85  83  0.158  2.223   14  0.008   14  0.009    7  0.033    6 0.5659   19  1.222   17 -0.038   11  0.104 P
LIONS      2 2 119 127  0.021  2.077   15  0.001   15  0.001   16 -0.000   19 0.4802    4  1.599    4  0.468   30 -0.469 P
COLTS      2 2 102 104 -0.008  1.999   16 -0.003   16 -0.005   15  0.004   17 0.4822   10  1.387    9  0.158   22 -0.149 P
BENGALS    2 2  97  85  0.005  1.975   17 -0.005   17 -0.007   12  0.015   23 0.4600   13  1.339   13  0.101   21 -0.070 P
EAGLES     2 2  75  93 -0.159  1.868   18 -0.006   18 -0.008   20 -0.037   20 0.4774   21  1.212   23 -0.121   14  0.047 P
PACKERS    2 2  73 105 -0.188  1.859   19 -0.007   21 -0.012   28 -0.055   18 0.4806   11  1.371   14  0.076   24 -0.186 P
STEELERS   2 2  77  87 -0.142  1.875   20 -0.009   19 -0.011   21 -0.038   16 0.5049   18  1.260   19 -0.059   18 -0.017 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS   2 2 121 109 -0.028  1.940   21 -0.011   20 -0.011   14  0.008   15 0.5056    3  1.600    3  0.477   29 -0.461 P
COWBOYS    2 2 122 112 -0.173  1.732   22 -0.014   22 -0.017   18 -0.009   25 0.4555    2  1.628    2  0.505   31 -0.523 P
SAINTS     1 2  81  83  0.177  1.768   23 -0.018   23 -0.019   17 -0.001   21 0.4735    9  1.389   10  0.155   23 -0.158 P
FALCONS    1 2  51  68 -0.223  1.333   24 -0.035   24 -0.039   30 -0.061   24 0.4556   28  1.038   29 -0.361    6  0.238 P
CARDINALS  1 3  87 117  0.058  2.268   25 -0.040   25 -0.043   25 -0.046   26 0.4493    5  1.497    7  0.266   28 -0.359 P
COMMANDERS 1 3  88 122 -0.039  2.120   26 -0.046   26 -0.050   31 -0.068   27 0.4172    8  1.418   12  0.130   27 -0.266 P
JETS       1 3  76  84 -0.154  1.877   27 -0.058   28 -0.064   26 -0.048   28 0.3963   27  1.066   27 -0.313    7  0.218 P
DOLPHINS   0 4  46 101  0.441  2.942   28 -0.062   27 -0.064   29 -0.056   22 0.4716   30  0.946   31 -0.462    3  0.350 P
CHARGERS   0 4  67 106  0.034  2.264   29 -0.081   29 -0.089   27 -0.054   30 0.3687   26  1.078   26 -0.306    9  0.198 P
TEXANS     0 4  84 109 -0.022  2.094   30 -0.085   30 -0.094   22 -0.040   31 0.3301   20  1.221   22 -0.113   16  0.033 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 0 4  76  96 -0.126  1.923   31 -0.093   31 -0.103   23 -0.042   29 0.3757   17  1.264   18 -0.057   19 -0.027 P
TITANS     0 4  55  83 -0.273  1.765   32 -0.103   32 -0.115   32 -0.090   32 0.3288   29  0.976   32 -0.462    5  0.282 P

AFC WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     4 0 118  77  0.146  2.083    1  0.111    1  0.097    3  0.081    1 0.6744   12  1.368    8  0.208   20 -0.046 P
RAIDERS    3 1 115  84  0.034  1.984    9  0.033    8  0.037    9  0.026    8 0.5603    7  1.457    5  0.279   25 -0.228 P
BRONCOS    2 2  74  94  0.563  2.952   10  0.032    7  0.038   10  0.025    5 0.6103   23  1.198   20 -0.077   10  0.127 P
CHARGERS   0 4  67 106  0.034  2.264   29 -0.081   29 -0.089   27 -0.054   30 0.3687   26  1.078   26 -0.306    9  0.198 P

AFC SOUTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    3 1 104  53  0.204  2.150    4  0.069    4  0.051    1  0.096    4 0.6111   24  1.127   21 -0.096    4  0.288 P
COLTS      2 2 102 104 -0.008  1.999   16 -0.003   16 -0.005   15  0.004   17 0.4822   10  1.387    9  0.158   22 -0.149 P
TEXANS     0 4  84 109 -0.022  2.094   30 -0.085   30 -0.094   22 -0.040   31 0.3301   20  1.221   22 -0.113   16  0.033 P
TITANS     0 4  55  83 -0.273  1.765   32 -0.103   32 -0.115   32 -0.090   32 0.3288   29  0.976   32 -0.462    5  0.282 P

AFC NORTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS     3 1  81  95  0.000  2.126    5  0.040    5  0.043   19 -0.035    7 0.5642   22  1.206   24 -0.127   12  0.057 P
RAVENS     3 1 116  96 -0.113  1.760    7  0.037    9  0.036   11  0.022   12 0.5175    6  1.458    6  0.277   26 -0.233 P
BENGALS    2 2  97  85  0.005  1.975   17 -0.005   17 -0.007   12  0.015   23 0.4600   13  1.339   13  0.101   21 -0.070 P
STEELERS   2 2  77  87 -0.142  1.875   20 -0.009   19 -0.011   21 -0.038   16 0.5049   18  1.260   19 -0.059   18 -0.017 P

AFC EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      3 1 127 107 -0.138  1.712    8  0.035   10  0.035    8  0.026   14 0.5099    1  1.681    1  0.624   32 -0.572 P
PATRIOTS   2 2  65  77  0.303  2.525   13  0.015   13  0.018   13  0.013   10 0.5441   32  0.886   30 -0.459    1  0.485 P
JETS       1 3  76  84 -0.154  1.877   27 -0.058   28 -0.064   26 -0.048   28 0.3963   27  1.066   27 -0.313    7  0.218 P
DOLPHINS   0 4  46 101  0.441  2.942   28 -0.062   27 -0.064   29 -0.056   22 0.4716   30  0.946   31 -0.462    3  0.350 P

NFC WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      4 0 122  64  0.029  1.801    2  0.102    2  0.086    2  0.094    2 0.6542   14  1.316   11  0.148   15  0.040 P
SEAHAWKS   3 1 105  73 -0.164  1.605   11  0.031   11  0.030    6  0.047   11 0.5318   15  1.287   15  0.063   17  0.032 P
RAMS       2 2  85  83  0.158  2.223   14  0.008   14  0.009    7  0.033    6 0.5659   19  1.222   17 -0.038   11  0.104 P
CARDINALS  1 3  87 117  0.058  2.268   25 -0.040   25 -0.043   25 -0.046   26 0.4493    5  1.497    7  0.266   28 -0.359 P

NFC SOUTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS   2 2 121 109 -0.028  1.940   21 -0.011   20 -0.011   14  0.008   15 0.5056    3  1.600    3  0.477   29 -0.461 P
SAINTS     1 2  81  83  0.177  1.768   23 -0.018   23 -0.019   17 -0.001   21 0.4735    9  1.389   10  0.155   23 -0.158 P
FALCONS    1 2  51  68 -0.223  1.333   24 -0.035   24 -0.039   30 -0.061   24 0.4556   28  1.038   29 -0.361    6  0.238 P
BUCCANEERS 0 4  76  96 -0.126  1.923   31 -0.093   31 -0.103   23 -0.042   29 0.3757   17  1.264   18 -0.057   19 -0.027 P

NFC NORTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    4 0  86  51 -0.043  1.764    3  0.099    3  0.083    5  0.050    3 0.6207   31  0.941   28 -0.361    2  0.460 P
BEARS      3 1 112  65  0.046  1.942    6  0.038    6  0.040    4  0.056    9 0.5601   16  1.276   16  0.056   13  0.055 P
LIONS      2 2 119 127  0.021  2.077   15  0.001   15  0.001   16 -0.000   19 0.4802    4  1.599    4  0.468   30 -0.469 P
PACKERS    2 2  73 105 -0.188  1.859   19 -0.007   21 -0.012   28 -0.055   18 0.4806   11  1.371   14  0.076   24 -0.186 P

NFC EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GIANTS     3 1  82  79 -0.272  1.651   12  0.023   12  0.023   24 -0.044   13 0.5116   25  1.079   25 -0.294    8  0.207 P
EAGLES     2 2  75  93 -0.159  1.868   18 -0.006   18 -0.008   20 -0.037   20 0.4774   21  1.212   23 -0.121   14  0.047 P
COWBOYS    2 2 122 112 -0.173  1.732   22 -0.014   22 -0.017   18 -0.009   25 0.4555    2  1.628    2  0.505   31 -0.523 P
COMMANDERS 1 3  88 122 -0.039  2.120   26 -0.046   26 -0.050   31 -0.068   27 0.4172    8  1.418   12  0.130   27 -0.266 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   10  6 0.625    1  0.288
AFC WEST    9  7 0.562    2  0.193
NFC NORTH  11  5 0.688    3  0.129
AFC NORTH  10  6 0.625    4 -0.042
AFC SOUTH   5 11 0.312    5 -0.055
AFC EAST    6 10 0.375    6 -0.093
NFC SOUTH   4 10 0.286    7 -0.161
NFC EAST    8  8 0.500    8 -0.287

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.115 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.023 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Oct  5 05:30:16 2026
games through: Sun Oct  4 2026

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