Dolphin Ratings - Division I Hockey

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems, especially the one used in hockey. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pairwise Ranking. For hockey, this rating is used by the selection committee to select and seed the tournament. The ratings shown for basketball and baseball approximate the real-life selections, but because each individual on a committee considers gives different weights to each factor it is impossible to perfectly predict the selections and seeds.
Pseudo-Poll. A simulated poll with 50 voters. This tends to replicate real-life voted polls quite well, with the (huge) exception that the real-life polls carry a lot of inertia. That is, if two teams win they will almost always remain ranked in the same order. Since this rating is calculated from scratch each time a new rating is produced, it is not possible to mimic that tendency here. So this psuedo-poll is more of an accurate indicator of how people would vote if there were no previous poll.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Home Scoring. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home. Values are nonzero only for baseball, where park effects can be significant.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BOSTON UNIVERSITY  35  6  4 177  91  0.236 16.157    1  2.838    1  0.915    1  0.878    1 0.5976    1 0.5932    1 1.0000    1  2.648  1.120  1.040  0.715  0.000
NOTRE DAME         31  6  3 135  69  0.153 13.234    2  2.702    2  0.813    2  0.738    2 0.5785    2 0.5760    2 0.9615    2  2.509  0.756  0.489  0.987  0.000
MICHIGAN           29 12  0 145  84  0.231 14.824    3  2.492    3  0.646    3  0.682    4 0.5629    3 0.5738    3 0.8846    3  2.324  1.033  0.740  0.624  0.000
NORTHEASTERN       25 12  4 121  91  0.274 15.780    4  2.400    4  0.579    7  0.521    3 0.5630    4 0.5636    7 0.7308    4  2.210  0.846  0.367  0.674  0.000
DENVER             23 12  5 132  96  0.296 15.660    5  2.295    5  0.504    4  0.587    6 0.5533    8 0.5481    4 0.8462    5  2.135  1.017  0.626  0.549  0.000
VERMONT            22 12  5 121 102  0.280 15.259    6  2.284    6  0.496   10  0.433    5 0.5573    5 0.5564    6 0.7692    6  2.097  1.068  0.532  0.333  0.000
MINNESOTA-DULUTH   22 13  8 128  98  0.324 17.359    7  2.244    7  0.468    5  0.560    8 0.5485    9 0.5478    5 0.8077    7  2.087  0.878  0.441  0.678  0.000
NEW HAMPSHIRE      20 13  5 116 112  0.285 15.269    8  2.184    8  0.426   16  0.276    7 0.5493   10 0.5475   10 0.5769   11  1.953  1.145  0.469  0.082  0.000
NORTH DAKOTA       24 15  4 146 118  0.236 16.153    9  2.175    9  0.419   11  0.375    9 0.5440   13 0.5384   13 0.5385   10  1.966  1.201  0.640  0.110  0.000
MIAMI              23 13  5 128  89  0.220 14.935   10  2.156   10  0.405    8  0.520   11 0.5420   12 0.5394    8 0.6538    8  2.017  0.925  0.453  0.587  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
WISCONSIN          20 16  4 131 106  0.335 16.362   11  2.119   11  0.381    6  0.534   13 0.5370   17 0.5307   18 0.4231    9  1.979  1.060  0.625  0.444  0.000
MASS.-LOWELL       20 16  2 112  86  0.302 15.144   12  2.077   13  0.351    9  0.468   10 0.5430    6 0.5503   15 0.4615   12  1.931  0.863  0.333  0.603  0.000
BOSTON COLLEGE     18 14  5 112 105  0.283 14.738   13  2.064   12  0.357   14  0.325   12 0.5416   11 0.5394   16 0.4231   13  1.885  1.082  0.442  0.208  0.000
OHIO STATE         23 15  4 143 119  0.165 14.877   14  2.034   14  0.334   15  0.324   17 0.5308   16 0.5342   17 0.4231   14  1.867  1.299  0.718 -0.070  0.000
MINNESOTA          17 13  7 119 105  0.264 14.314   15  1.995   15  0.307   12  0.367   15 0.5325   22 0.5160   20 0.3846   15  1.832  1.169  0.591  0.143  0.000
YALE               24  8  2 113  76 -0.255  7.242   16  1.979   16  0.290   21  0.169   14 0.5361   18 0.5294   12 0.5769   16  1.812  1.021  0.213  0.126  0.000
ST. CLOUD STATE    18 17  3 122 107  0.294 15.169   17  1.948   17  0.272   13  0.359   19 0.5251   20 0.5250   21 0.2692   17  1.798  1.105  0.503  0.215  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE   16 12 10 103 103  0.163 13.776   18  1.886   18  0.241   24  0.133   21 0.5227   24 0.5105   25 0.1923   19  1.712  0.917  0.057  0.208  0.000
NORTHERN MICHIGAN  19 17  5 111 103  0.233 15.630   19  1.885   19  0.241   17  0.271   22 0.5196   23 0.5156   24 0.1923   18  1.743  0.979  0.266  0.276  0.000
CORNELL            22 10  4  92  74 -0.155  9.002   20  1.839   20  0.204   27  0.087   16 0.5312   15 0.5357   14 0.5385   20  1.691  0.628 -0.288  0.462  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MINNESOTA STATE    15 17  6 117 122  0.287 15.164   21  1.810   21  0.188   19  0.208   23 0.5167   21 0.5162   23 0.1923   22  1.674  1.223  0.501 -0.086  0.000
ST. LAWRENCE       21 12  5 124  92 -0.042 10.744   22  1.779   22  0.161   18  0.228   18 0.5300    7 0.5501    9 0.5769   21  1.685  1.024  0.275  0.181  0.000
PRINCETON          22 12  1  99  74 -0.167  8.457   23  1.761   23  0.158   26  0.116   20 0.5245   19 0.5289   19 0.3846   23  1.658  0.770 -0.118  0.350  0.000
ALASKA             17 16  6  74  68  0.141 13.614   24  1.738   24  0.145   22  0.152   26 0.5093   26 0.5004   29 0.0385   24  1.623  0.141 -0.627  0.931  0.000
ALASKA-ANCHORAGE   14 17  5  95 111  0.281 14.598   25  1.734   25  0.141   25  0.128   24 0.5112   29 0.4983   26 0.1154   26  1.606  1.069  0.229  0.028  0.000
AIR FORCE          28 11  2 148  86 -0.420  7.171   26  1.667   26  0.085   23  0.146   25 0.5095   14 0.5365   11 0.5769   25  1.613  0.844 -0.010  0.303  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS      16 20  3 112 103  0.190 14.492   27  1.617   27  0.053   20  0.201   27 0.5076   30 0.4975   32 0.0000   27  1.541  0.973  0.188  0.213  0.000
NEBRASKA-OMAHA     15 17  8  98 103  0.117 13.899   28  1.606   28  0.046   30  0.037   29 0.4995   32 0.4962   34 0.0000   29  1.492  0.844 -0.119  0.193  0.000
BEMIDJI STATE      20 16  1 106  97 -0.090 10.277   29  1.593   29  0.034   31  0.030   30 0.4981   25 0.5022   27 0.0769   28  1.495  0.984  0.030  0.029  0.000
MAINE              13 22  4  86 110  0.252 15.661   30  1.489   30 -0.041   29  0.055   28 0.4999   31 0.4972   33 0.0000   30  1.394  0.786 -0.163  0.272  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
WESTERN MICHIGAN   14 20  7 111 130  0.128 14.604   31  1.485   31 -0.045   32 -0.010   32 0.4872   37 0.4787   39 0.0000   31  1.378  1.187  0.237 -0.257  0.000
LAKE SUPERIOR      11 20  8 110 115  0.139 13.830   32  1.427   33 -0.095   28  0.070   37 0.4794   40 0.4706   41 0.0000   32  1.351  1.128  0.243 -0.103  0.000
MICHIGAN STATE     10 23  5  62 118  0.333 16.513   33  1.425   32 -0.080   41 -0.217   34 0.4847   35 0.4844   37 0.0000   33  1.281  0.644 -0.577  0.143  0.000
UNION              19 17  3 111 107 -0.224  9.450   34  1.360   34 -0.132   37 -0.186   31 0.4923   34 0.4909   36 0.0000   34  1.271  1.058 -0.099 -0.274  0.000
FERRIS STATE       12 19  7  90 105  0.052 12.469   35  1.355   35 -0.133   35 -0.140   39 0.4767   42 0.4676   43 0.0000   36  1.257  0.932 -0.198 -0.081  0.000
RIT                23 13  2 148 117 -0.512  6.195   36  1.319   36 -0.165   42 -0.222   36 0.4845   28 0.4996   31 0.0000   35  1.258  1.374  0.273 -0.718  0.000
NIAGARA            16 14  6  98  92 -0.278  7.847   37  1.272   37 -0.200   38 -0.203   40 0.4763   47 0.4599   48 0.0000   39  1.188  0.901 -0.297 -0.109  0.000
MERCYHURST         22 15  3 155 119 -0.458  7.175   38  1.271   38 -0.201   36 -0.172   38 0.4783   27 0.4999   30 0.0385   37  1.226  1.305  0.230 -0.573  0.000
QUINNIPIAC         18 18  3 124 110 -0.223  9.190   39  1.266   39 -0.204   34 -0.106   35 0.4847   36 0.4825   38 0.0000   38  1.214  1.164  0.111 -0.324  0.000
MICHIGAN TECH       6 25  7  62 122  0.354 16.601   40  1.252   40 -0.208   44 -0.306   45 0.4692   45 0.4612   46 0.0000   41  1.114  0.596 -0.712  0.100  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DARTMOUTH          14 14  3  88  87 -0.251  7.072   41  1.238   41 -0.224   40 -0.209   33 0.4861   39 0.4775   28 0.0769   40  1.159  1.020 -0.166 -0.251  0.000
BOWLING GREEN      11 24  3  89 131  0.148 14.011   42  1.209   42 -0.242   39 -0.205   44 0.4694   49 0.4549   49 0.0000   43  1.107  1.053 -0.123 -0.287  0.000
MERRIMACK           9 21  4  72  89  0.143 12.437   43  1.165   44 -0.277   33 -0.055   42 0.4749   44 0.4619   45 0.0000   42  1.111  0.639 -0.420  0.310  0.000
PROVIDENCE          7 22  5  77 133  0.196 13.514   44  1.142   43 -0.259   46 -0.401   43 0.4716   43 0.4640   44 0.0000   46  1.044  1.191 -0.149 -0.653  0.000
COLGATE            12 18  7  89 109 -0.123 10.022   45  1.120   45 -0.279   43 -0.276   41 0.4750   38 0.4780   40 0.0000   44  1.075  0.855 -0.420 -0.132  0.000
BENTLEY            19 17  2 116 116 -0.418  7.391   46  1.069   46 -0.316   45 -0.345   46 0.4684   33 0.4961   35 0.0000   45  1.050  1.092 -0.216 -0.473  0.000
CLARKSON           10 19  7  88 115 -0.155  9.476   47  1.002   47 -0.362   47 -0.429   48 0.4637   41 0.4705   42 0.0000   47  0.958  1.024 -0.382 -0.477  0.000
HARVARD             9 16  6  68  96 -0.184  8.266   48  0.981   48 -0.381   48 -0.429   47 0.4656   50 0.4535   50 0.0000   48  0.937  0.930 -0.491 -0.368  0.000
ROBERT MORRIS      10 19  7  93 121 -0.209  9.124   49  0.885   49 -0.454   50 -0.471   51 0.4454   55 0.4296   55 0.0000   50  0.853  1.157 -0.262 -0.680  0.000
CANISIUS           15 16  6 114 111 -0.539  5.906   50  0.859   50 -0.475   49 -0.439   49 0.4487   48 0.4560   22 0.2308   49  0.871  1.079 -0.326 -0.553  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
RENSSELAER         10 27  2  76 132 -0.127 11.150   51  0.730   51 -0.567   53 -0.643   50 0.4479   46 0.4604   47 0.0000   52  0.690  0.846 -0.797 -0.489  0.000
HOLY CROSS         13 20  5 106 130 -0.512  7.245   52  0.694   52 -0.600   52 -0.632   52 0.4393   51 0.4509   51 0.0000   51  0.694  1.076 -0.522 -0.741  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE  5 20  5  63  99 -0.142  8.109   53  0.659   53 -0.623   51 -0.535   56 0.4260   57 0.4093   57 0.0000   53  0.655  0.912 -0.616 -0.454  0.000
ARMY               11 19  6  92 125 -0.504  6.826   54  0.624   54 -0.653   54 -0.740   53 0.4323   52 0.4464   52 0.0000   54  0.612  1.037 -0.678 -0.802  0.000
SACRED HEART       11 23  4  99 147 -0.488  8.112   55  0.538   55 -0.708   56 -0.823   54 0.4272   53 0.4441   53 0.0000   55  0.522  1.193 -0.568 -1.077  0.000
BROWN               5 23  5  60 115 -0.211  8.431   56  0.514   56 -0.723   55 -0.755   55 0.4267   54 0.4297   54 0.0000   56  0.492  0.886 -0.865 -0.645  0.000
CONNECTICUT         9 26  2  89 142 -0.420  7.519   57  0.376   57 -0.835   57 -0.847   57 0.4115   56 0.4248   56 0.0000   57  0.385  1.092 -0.718 -0.975  0.000
AMERICAN INT'L      5 28  2  58 141 -0.568  5.937   58  0.000   58 -1.176   58 -1.334   58 0.3761   58 0.3720   58 0.0000   58  0.000  0.795 -1.542 -1.126  0.000

ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
AIR FORCE          28 11  2 148  86 -0.420  7.171   26  1.667   26  0.085   23  0.146   25 0.5095   14 0.5365   11 0.5769   25  1.613  0.844 -0.010  0.303  0.000
RIT                23 13  2 148 117 -0.512  6.195   36  1.319   36 -0.165   42 -0.222   36 0.4845   28 0.4996   31 0.0000   35  1.258  1.374  0.273 -0.718  0.000
MERCYHURST         22 15  3 155 119 -0.458  7.175   38  1.271   38 -0.201   36 -0.172   38 0.4783   27 0.4999   30 0.0385   37  1.226  1.305  0.230 -0.573  0.000
BENTLEY            19 17  2 116 116 -0.418  7.391   46  1.069   46 -0.316   45 -0.345   46 0.4684   33 0.4961   35 0.0000   45  1.050  1.092 -0.216 -0.473  0.000
CANISIUS           15 16  6 114 111 -0.539  5.906   50  0.859   50 -0.475   49 -0.439   49 0.4487   48 0.4560   22 0.2308   49  0.871  1.079 -0.326 -0.553  0.000
HOLY CROSS         13 20  5 106 130 -0.512  7.245   52  0.694   52 -0.600   52 -0.632   52 0.4393   51 0.4509   51 0.0000   51  0.694  1.076 -0.522 -0.741  0.000
ARMY               11 19  6  92 125 -0.504  6.826   54  0.624   54 -0.653   54 -0.740   53 0.4323   52 0.4464   52 0.0000   54  0.612  1.037 -0.678 -0.802  0.000
SACRED HEART       11 23  4  99 147 -0.488  8.112   55  0.538   55 -0.708   56 -0.823   54 0.4272   53 0.4441   53 0.0000   55  0.522  1.193 -0.568 -1.077  0.000
CONNECTICUT         9 26  2  89 142 -0.420  7.519   57  0.376   57 -0.835   57 -0.847   57 0.4115   56 0.4248   56 0.0000   57  0.385  1.092 -0.718 -0.975  0.000
AMERICAN INT'L      5 28  2  58 141 -0.568  5.937   58  0.000   58 -1.176   58 -1.334   58 0.3761   58 0.3720   58 0.0000   58  0.000  0.795 -1.542 -1.126  0.000

CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NOTRE DAME         31  6  3 135  69  0.153 13.234    2  2.702    2  0.813    2  0.738    2 0.5785    2 0.5760    2 0.9615    2  2.509  0.756  0.489  0.987  0.000
MICHIGAN           29 12  0 145  84  0.231 14.824    3  2.492    3  0.646    3  0.682    4 0.5629    3 0.5738    3 0.8846    3  2.324  1.033  0.740  0.624  0.000
MIAMI              23 13  5 128  89  0.220 14.935   10  2.156   10  0.405    8  0.520   11 0.5420   12 0.5394    8 0.6538    8  2.017  0.925  0.453  0.587  0.000
OHIO STATE         23 15  4 143 119  0.165 14.877   14  2.034   14  0.334   15  0.324   17 0.5308   16 0.5342   17 0.4231   14  1.867  1.299  0.718 -0.070  0.000
NORTHERN MICHIGAN  19 17  5 111 103  0.233 15.630   19  1.885   19  0.241   17  0.271   22 0.5196   23 0.5156   24 0.1923   18  1.743  0.979  0.266  0.276  0.000
ALASKA             17 16  6  74  68  0.141 13.614   24  1.738   24  0.145   22  0.152   26 0.5093   26 0.5004   29 0.0385   24  1.623  0.141 -0.627  0.931  0.000
NEBRASKA-OMAHA     15 17  8  98 103  0.117 13.899   28  1.606   28  0.046   30  0.037   29 0.4995   32 0.4962   34 0.0000   29  1.492  0.844 -0.119  0.193  0.000
WESTERN MICHIGAN   14 20  7 111 130  0.128 14.604   31  1.485   31 -0.045   32 -0.010   32 0.4872   37 0.4787   39 0.0000   31  1.378  1.187  0.237 -0.257  0.000
LAKE SUPERIOR      11 20  8 110 115  0.139 13.830   32  1.427   33 -0.095   28  0.070   37 0.4794   40 0.4706   41 0.0000   32  1.351  1.128  0.243 -0.103  0.000
MICHIGAN STATE     10 23  5  62 118  0.333 16.513   33  1.425   32 -0.080   41 -0.217   34 0.4847   35 0.4844   37 0.0000   33  1.281  0.644 -0.577  0.143  0.000
FERRIS STATE       12 19  7  90 105  0.052 12.469   35  1.355   35 -0.133   35 -0.140   39 0.4767   42 0.4676   43 0.0000   36  1.257  0.932 -0.198 -0.081  0.000
BOWLING GREEN      11 24  3  89 131  0.148 14.011   42  1.209   42 -0.242   39 -0.205   44 0.4694   49 0.4549   49 0.0000   43  1.107  1.053 -0.123 -0.287  0.000

COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BEMIDJI STATE      20 16  1 106  97 -0.090 10.277   29  1.593   29  0.034   31  0.030   30 0.4981   25 0.5022   27 0.0769   28  1.495  0.984  0.030  0.029  0.000
NIAGARA            16 14  6  98  92 -0.278  7.847   37  1.272   37 -0.200   38 -0.203   40 0.4763   47 0.4599   48 0.0000   39  1.188  0.901 -0.297 -0.109  0.000
ROBERT MORRIS      10 19  7  93 121 -0.209  9.124   49  0.885   49 -0.454   50 -0.471   51 0.4454   55 0.4296   55 0.0000   50  0.853  1.157 -0.262 -0.680  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE  5 20  5  63  99 -0.142  8.109   53  0.659   53 -0.623   51 -0.535   56 0.4260   57 0.4093   57 0.0000   53  0.655  0.912 -0.616 -0.454  0.000

EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
YALE               24  8  2 113  76 -0.255  7.242   16  1.979   16  0.290   21  0.169   14 0.5361   18 0.5294   12 0.5769   16  1.812  1.021  0.213  0.126  0.000
CORNELL            22 10  4  92  74 -0.155  9.002   20  1.839   20  0.204   27  0.087   16 0.5312   15 0.5357   14 0.5385   20  1.691  0.628 -0.288  0.462  0.000
ST. LAWRENCE       21 12  5 124  92 -0.042 10.744   22  1.779   22  0.161   18  0.228   18 0.5300    7 0.5501    9 0.5769   21  1.685  1.024  0.275  0.181  0.000
PRINCETON          22 12  1  99  74 -0.167  8.457   23  1.761   23  0.158   26  0.116   20 0.5245   19 0.5289   19 0.3846   23  1.658  0.770 -0.118  0.350  0.000
UNION              19 17  3 111 107 -0.224  9.450   34  1.360   34 -0.132   37 -0.186   31 0.4923   34 0.4909   36 0.0000   34  1.271  1.058 -0.099 -0.274  0.000
QUINNIPIAC         18 18  3 124 110 -0.223  9.190   39  1.266   39 -0.204   34 -0.106   35 0.4847   36 0.4825   38 0.0000   38  1.214  1.164  0.111 -0.324  0.000
DARTMOUTH          14 14  3  88  87 -0.251  7.072   41  1.238   41 -0.224   40 -0.209   33 0.4861   39 0.4775   28 0.0769   40  1.159  1.020 -0.166 -0.251  0.000
COLGATE            12 18  7  89 109 -0.123 10.022   45  1.120   45 -0.279   43 -0.276   41 0.4750   38 0.4780   40 0.0000   44  1.075  0.855 -0.420 -0.132  0.000
CLARKSON           10 19  7  88 115 -0.155  9.476   47  1.002   47 -0.362   47 -0.429   48 0.4637   41 0.4705   42 0.0000   47  0.958  1.024 -0.382 -0.477  0.000
HARVARD             9 16  6  68  96 -0.184  8.266   48  0.981   48 -0.381   48 -0.429   47 0.4656   50 0.4535   50 0.0000   48  0.937  0.930 -0.491 -0.368  0.000
RENSSELAER         10 27  2  76 132 -0.127 11.150   51  0.730   51 -0.567   53 -0.643   50 0.4479   46 0.4604   47 0.0000   52  0.690  0.846 -0.797 -0.489  0.000
BROWN               5 23  5  60 115 -0.211  8.431   56  0.514   56 -0.723   55 -0.755   55 0.4267   54 0.4297   54 0.0000   56  0.492  0.886 -0.865 -0.645  0.000

HOCKEY EAST ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BOSTON UNIVERSITY  35  6  4 177  91  0.236 16.157    1  2.838    1  0.915    1  0.878    1 0.5976    1 0.5932    1 1.0000    1  2.648  1.120  1.040  0.715  0.000
NORTHEASTERN       25 12  4 121  91  0.274 15.780    4  2.400    4  0.579    7  0.521    3 0.5630    4 0.5636    7 0.7308    4  2.210  0.846  0.367  0.674  0.000
VERMONT            22 12  5 121 102  0.280 15.259    6  2.284    6  0.496   10  0.433    5 0.5573    5 0.5564    6 0.7692    6  2.097  1.068  0.532  0.333  0.000
NEW HAMPSHIRE      20 13  5 116 112  0.285 15.269    8  2.184    8  0.426   16  0.276    7 0.5493   10 0.5475   10 0.5769   11  1.953  1.145  0.469  0.082  0.000
MASS.-LOWELL       20 16  2 112  86  0.302 15.144   12  2.077   13  0.351    9  0.468   10 0.5430    6 0.5503   15 0.4615   12  1.931  0.863  0.333  0.603  0.000
BOSTON COLLEGE     18 14  5 112 105  0.283 14.738   13  2.064   12  0.357   14  0.325   12 0.5416   11 0.5394   16 0.4231   13  1.885  1.082  0.442  0.208  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS      16 20  3 112 103  0.190 14.492   27  1.617   27  0.053   20  0.201   27 0.5076   30 0.4975   32 0.0000   27  1.541  0.973  0.188  0.213  0.000
MAINE              13 22  4  86 110  0.252 15.661   30  1.489   30 -0.041   29  0.055   28 0.4999   31 0.4972   33 0.0000   30  1.394  0.786 -0.163  0.272  0.000
MERRIMACK           9 21  4  72  89  0.143 12.437   43  1.165   44 -0.277   33 -0.055   42 0.4749   44 0.4619   45 0.0000   42  1.111  0.639 -0.420  0.310  0.000
PROVIDENCE          7 22  5  77 133  0.196 13.514   44  1.142   43 -0.259   46 -0.401   43 0.4716   43 0.4640   44 0.0000   46  1.044  1.191 -0.149 -0.653  0.000

WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DENVER             23 12  5 132  96  0.296 15.660    5  2.295    5  0.504    4  0.587    6 0.5533    8 0.5481    4 0.8462    5  2.135  1.017  0.626  0.549  0.000
MINNESOTA-DULUTH   22 13  8 128  98  0.324 17.359    7  2.244    7  0.468    5  0.560    8 0.5485    9 0.5478    5 0.8077    7  2.087  0.878  0.441  0.678  0.000
NORTH DAKOTA       24 15  4 146 118  0.236 16.153    9  2.175    9  0.419   11  0.375    9 0.5440   13 0.5384   13 0.5385   10  1.966  1.201  0.640  0.110  0.000
WISCONSIN          20 16  4 131 106  0.335 16.362   11  2.119   11  0.381    6  0.534   13 0.5370   17 0.5307   18 0.4231    9  1.979  1.060  0.625  0.444  0.000
MINNESOTA          17 13  7 119 105  0.264 14.314   15  1.995   15  0.307   12  0.367   15 0.5325   22 0.5160   20 0.3846   15  1.832  1.169  0.591  0.143  0.000
ST. CLOUD STATE    18 17  3 122 107  0.294 15.169   17  1.948   17  0.272   13  0.359   19 0.5251   20 0.5250   21 0.2692   17  1.798  1.105  0.503  0.215  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE   16 12 10 103 103  0.163 13.776   18  1.886   18  0.241   24  0.133   21 0.5227   24 0.5105   25 0.1923   19  1.712  0.917  0.057  0.208  0.000
MINNESOTA STATE    15 17  6 117 122  0.287 15.164   21  1.810   21  0.188   19  0.208   23 0.5167   21 0.5162   23 0.1923   22  1.674  1.223  0.501 -0.086  0.000
ALASKA-ANCHORAGE   14 17  5  95 111  0.281 14.598   25  1.734   25  0.141   25  0.128   24 0.5112   29 0.4983   26 0.1154   26  1.606  1.069  0.229  0.028  0.000
MICHIGAN TECH       6 25  7  62 122  0.354 16.601   40  1.252   40 -0.208   44 -0.306   45 0.4692   45 0.4612   46 0.0000   41  1.114  0.596 -0.712  0.100  0.000

CONFERENCE                        W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 175 157  59 0.523    1  0.335
HOCKEY EAST ASSN.               185 158  41 0.535    2  0.305
CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 215 202  61 0.514    3  0.205
EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.  186 194  48 0.491    4 -0.225
COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA           51  69  19 0.435    5 -0.334
ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.           156 188  34 0.458    6 -0.602

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.144 points in main ratings (0.115 for semineutral)
     0.014 points in improved RPI (0.011 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Tue Jun 30 12:29:59 2009
games through: Sat Apr 11 2009

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