Dolphin Ratings - Division I Hockey

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems, especially the one used in hockey. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pairwise Ranking. For hockey, this rating is used by the selection committee to select and seed the tournament. The ratings shown for basketball and baseball approximate the real-life selections, but because each individual on a committee considers gives different weights to each factor it is impossible to perfectly predict the selections and seeds.
Pseudo-Poll. A simulated poll with 50 voters. This tends to replicate real-life voted polls quite well, with the (huge) exception that the real-life polls carry a lot of inertia. That is, if two teams win they will almost always remain ranked in the same order. Since this rating is calculated from scratch each time a new rating is produced, it is not possible to mimic that tendency here. So this psuedo-poll is more of an accurate indicator of how people would vote if there were no previous poll.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Home Scoring. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home. Values are nonzero only for baseball, where park effects can be significant.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MIAMI              27  7  7 141  76  0.238 15.145    2  2.473    2  0.699    1  0.798    1 0.5795    1 0.5780    1 1.0000    1  2.407  0.832  0.570  1.026  0.000
BOSTON COLLEGE     25 10  3 147  95  0.182 13.444    5  2.304    5  0.577    4  0.628    5 0.5658    2 0.5675    2 0.9688    5  2.254  1.156  0.778  0.479  0.000
DENVER             27  9  4 132  97  0.288 15.779    1  2.489    1  0.712    5  0.597    2 0.5775    3 0.5646    3 0.9375    2  2.368  1.005  0.563  0.631  0.000
WISCONSIN          25 10  4 155 100  0.314 15.629    3  2.427    3  0.668    3  0.709    3 0.5737    4 0.5605    4 0.9062    3  2.359  1.240  0.966  0.452  0.000
NORTH DAKOTA       25 12  5 138  88  0.336 17.236    4  2.337    4  0.602    2  0.718    4 0.5672    5 0.5604    5 0.8438    4  2.289  0.881  0.543  0.892  0.000
ST. CLOUD STATE    23 13  5 131 114  0.318 16.961    6  2.205    6  0.506    8  0.460    6 0.5563    6 0.5480    7 0.7812    6  2.126  1.083  0.519  0.401  0.000
NEW HAMPSHIRE      17 13  7 123 114  0.273 14.799   11  1.969   11  0.346   16  0.304   10 0.5399    7 0.5401    9 0.7188   13  1.907  1.205  0.516  0.092  0.000
YALE               20  9  3 131  94 -0.156  8.027   20  1.816   20  0.236   23  0.155   22 0.5253    8 0.5362    6 0.8438   21  1.777  1.361  0.575 -0.265  0.000
VERMONT            17 14  7 111 109  0.257 15.044   17  1.904   17  0.297   19  0.278   12 0.5366    9 0.5356   10 0.7188   16  1.846  0.997  0.235  0.321  0.000
MICHIGAN           25 17  1 141  98  0.216 15.925    8  2.022    8  0.371    6  0.529    8 0.5423   10 0.5356   11 0.6875    8  2.003  1.005  0.496  0.563  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BEMIDJI STATE      23  9  4 127  82  0.036 10.971    7  2.093    7  0.421    7  0.460    9 0.5415   11 0.5351    8 0.7812    7  2.058  1.019  0.443  0.478  0.000
NORTHERN MICHIGAN  20 12  8 121 100  0.201 14.807    9  1.996   10  0.362   10  0.382    7 0.5425   12 0.5349   12 0.6562    9  1.946  1.010  0.354  0.410  0.000
FERRIS STATE       21 13  6 118  92  0.138 14.095   13  1.958   13  0.337   15  0.311   15 0.5348   13 0.5341   15 0.5312   12  1.909  0.837  0.089  0.534  0.000
CORNELL            21  8  4 105  61 -0.112  8.414   16  1.913   16  0.299    9  0.418   17 0.5319   14 0.5326   13 0.5938   11  1.914  0.653  0.009  0.827  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE   19 17  3 123 113  0.313 16.272   12  1.959   12  0.340   13  0.352   14 0.5351   15 0.5277   21 0.3750   14  1.904  1.084  0.412  0.293  0.000
MINNESOTA          18 19  2 106 110  0.374 17.444   15  1.918   15  0.308   20  0.254   16 0.5319   16 0.5263   19 0.4062   17  1.840  0.950  0.156  0.352  0.000
NEBRASKA-OMAHA     20 16  6 124 116  0.180 15.623   19  1.824   19  0.244   22  0.196   19 0.5287   17 0.5255   17 0.4375   22  1.763  1.068  0.236  0.155  0.000
MASS.-LOWELL       19 16  4 114  92  0.178 14.079   22  1.805   22  0.224   12  0.370   21 0.5272   18 0.5232   20 0.4062   19  1.794  0.798  0.106  0.633  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS      18 18  0 105 117  0.225 14.041   24  1.720   24  0.181   29  0.078   24 0.5226   19 0.5232   18 0.4375   24  1.661  1.111  0.172 -0.015  0.000
ALASKA             18 11  9 107  90  0.140 13.304   14  1.924   14  0.311   17  0.299   13 0.5360   20 0.5232   14 0.5625   15  1.870  0.862  0.104  0.494  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MINNESOTA-DULUTH   22 17  1 126 109  0.277 16.050   10  1.994    9  0.364   11  0.373   11 0.5377   21 0.5220   16 0.4688   10  1.935  1.035  0.374  0.372  0.000
MAINE              19 17  3 143 130  0.221 14.763   21  1.807   21  0.231   14  0.319   20 0.5279   22 0.5215   22 0.3750   20  1.778  1.431  0.837 -0.199  0.000
OHIO STATE         15 18  6 110 122  0.293 16.391   25  1.713   25  0.176   27  0.125   25 0.5194   23 0.5206   25 0.3125   25  1.659  1.190  0.317 -0.067  0.000
UNION              21 12  6 134 100 -0.158  9.904   28  1.610   28  0.097   28  0.116   29 0.5106   24 0.5205   27 0.2500   28  1.610  1.029  0.109  0.122  0.000
RIT                26 11  1 136  79 -0.652  4.854   36  1.342   36 -0.123   32 -0.065   37 0.4817   25 0.5159   26 0.2812   32  1.367  0.911 -0.206  0.076  0.000
MICHIGAN STATE     19 13  6 115  97  0.166 13.770   18  1.888   18  0.284   18  0.297   18 0.5318   26 0.5137   24 0.3438   18  1.837  0.977  0.231  0.364  0.000
BOSTON UNIVERSITY  18 17  3 123 124  0.202 14.344   23  1.761   23  0.207   25  0.135   23 0.5231   27 0.5112   23 0.3750   23  1.703  1.258  0.416 -0.145  0.000
SACRED HEART       21 13  4 131 123 -0.609  5.709   44  1.106   44 -0.289   48 -0.435   45 0.4658   28 0.5090   36 0.0312   44  1.067  1.350 -0.031 -0.840  0.000
NORTHEASTERN       16 16  2  93 100  0.191 12.804   26  1.684   26  0.154   24  0.138   26 0.5191   29 0.5068   28 0.1875   27  1.645  0.951  0.042  0.235  0.000
LAKE SUPERIOR      15 18  5  93 118  0.158 14.274   30  1.535   30  0.045   34 -0.081   30 0.5077   30 0.5068   31 0.1250   31  1.464  0.954 -0.174  0.012  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MERRIMACK          16 19  2 109 116  0.217 14.503   29  1.590   29  0.086   26  0.125   28 0.5121   31 0.5060   32 0.0938   29  1.568  1.101  0.206  0.045  0.000
MINNESOTA STATE    16 20  3 110 112  0.292 16.190   27  1.668   27  0.143   21  0.248   27 0.5164   32 0.5054   33 0.0625   26  1.648  0.946  0.145  0.350  0.000
ST. LAWRENCE       19 16  7 118 121 -0.163 10.938   33  1.389   33 -0.077   39 -0.192   33 0.4909   33 0.4962   34 0.0625   34  1.329  0.932 -0.310 -0.073  0.000
RENSSELAER         18 17  4 109 108 -0.166 10.317   35  1.368   35 -0.099   36 -0.146   35 0.4869   34 0.4899   29 0.1875   35  1.316  0.899 -0.300  0.009  0.000
QUINNIPIAC         20 18  2 123 114 -0.165 10.294   34  1.378   34 -0.093   33 -0.073   34 0.4876   35 0.4864   38 0.0000   33  1.349  0.997 -0.117 -0.030  0.000
NOTRE DAME         13 17  8  90 102  0.152 13.995   31  1.522   31  0.025   30  0.040   31 0.5030   36 0.4841   30 0.1875   30  1.478  0.852 -0.166  0.246  0.000
BROWN              13 20  4 103 134 -0.142 10.506   45  1.070   45 -0.311   46 -0.358   44 0.4663   37 0.4830   39 0.0000   45  1.013  1.191 -0.164 -0.551  0.000
COLGATE            15 15  6 118 119 -0.168  9.193   37  1.302   37 -0.147   37 -0.177   36 0.4819   38 0.4827   37 0.0312   37  1.257  1.256  0.101 -0.455  0.000
AIR FORCE          16 15  6 103  96 -0.602  6.110   50  0.814   51 -0.521   51 -0.475   50 0.4471   39 0.4776   40 0.0000   49  0.813  0.875 -0.656 -0.293  0.000
ALASKA-ANCHORAGE   11 23  2  87 141  0.317 15.911   32  1.398   32 -0.065   40 -0.210   32 0.4932   40 0.4772   41 0.0000   36  1.294  1.179 -0.031 -0.389  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
ROBERT MORRIS      10 19  6  94 121  0.092 12.512   39  1.261   39 -0.166   41 -0.223   40 0.4752   41 0.4745   42 0.0000   41  1.176  1.211 -0.004 -0.442  0.000
NIAGARA            12 20  4 107 118  0.022 11.591   42  1.175   42 -0.232   31 -0.045   42 0.4728   42 0.4709   43 0.0000   40  1.193  1.223  0.190 -0.280  0.000
PRINCETON          12 16  3  91 103 -0.154  8.528   43  1.174   43 -0.233   43 -0.300   43 0.4691   43 0.4704   44 0.0000   43  1.106  1.145 -0.165 -0.436  0.000
WESTERN MICHIGAN    8 20  8  76 104  0.196 14.111   40  1.254   40 -0.170   35 -0.130   39 0.4801   44 0.4695   45 0.0000   39  1.222  0.822 -0.368  0.108  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE 12 17  3  72  87 -0.006  9.942   38  1.278   38 -0.165   38 -0.181   41 0.4731   45 0.4621   46 0.0000   38  1.225  0.691 -0.553  0.192  0.000
HARVARD             9 21  3  82 113 -0.051 10.114   48  0.921   48 -0.430   45 -0.356   48 0.4528   46 0.4618   47 0.0000   47  0.887  1.033 -0.358 -0.355  0.000
CANISIUS           17 15  5 125 122 -0.676  5.279   52  0.794   52 -0.536   53 -0.588   52 0.4420   47 0.4605   48 0.0000   51  0.775  1.319 -0.226 -0.951  0.000
PROVIDENCE         10 20  4  68  99  0.135 12.535   41  1.240   41 -0.181   42 -0.245   38 0.4812   48 0.4598   49 0.0000   42  1.145  0.639 -0.669  0.178  0.000
DARTMOUTH          10 19  3  96 115 -0.154  8.581   46  0.937   46 -0.418   47 -0.361   49 0.4527   49 0.4565   50 0.0000   46  0.903  1.304 -0.019 -0.703  0.000
ARMY               11 18  7  98 114 -0.590  5.850   54  0.574   54 -0.693   54 -0.692   54 0.4219   50 0.4520   51 0.0000   54  0.564  1.042 -0.682 -0.701  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
CLARKSON            9 24  4  92 136 -0.089 10.893   51  0.813   50 -0.517   50 -0.470   51 0.4448   51 0.4440   52 0.0000   52  0.769  1.114 -0.373 -0.568  0.000
MERCYHURST         15 20  3 121 118 -0.627  6.233   53  0.616   53 -0.688   52 -0.512   53 0.4275   52 0.4422   53 0.0000   53  0.634  1.171 -0.344 -0.681  0.000
MICHIGAN TECH       5 30  1  74 148  0.390 17.047   49  0.840   49 -0.492   44 -0.324   46 0.4578   53 0.4411   54 0.0000   50  0.785  1.107 -0.236 -0.412  0.000
HOLY CROSS         12 19  6  87 102 -0.638  5.767   55  0.503   55 -0.744   55 -0.741   55 0.4190   54 0.4400   55 0.0000   55  0.496  0.726 -1.078 -0.404  0.000
BOWLING GREEN       5 25  6  71 138  0.176 14.208   47  0.933   47 -0.419   49 -0.469   47 0.4537   55 0.4291   56 0.0000   48  0.848  1.069 -0.427 -0.510  0.000
BENTLEY            12 19  4  94 123 -0.698  5.014   56  0.452   56 -0.762   56 -0.892   56 0.4138   56 0.4255   35 0.0625   56  0.420  1.215 -0.668 -1.116  0.000
CONNECTICUT         7 27  3  59 135 -0.593  6.673   57  0.104   57 -1.052   58 -1.212   57 0.3849   57 0.4077   57 0.0000   57  0.075  0.672 -1.602 -0.821  0.000
AMERICAN INT'L      5 24  4  69 131 -0.666  4.793   58  0.000   58 -1.136   57 -1.194   58 0.3712   58 0.3871   58 0.0000   58  0.000  1.062 -1.161 -1.228  0.000

ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
RIT                26 11  1 136  79 -0.652  4.854   36  1.342   36 -0.123   32 -0.065   37 0.4817   25 0.5159   26 0.2812   32  1.367  0.911 -0.206  0.076  0.000
SACRED HEART       21 13  4 131 123 -0.609  5.709   44  1.106   44 -0.289   48 -0.435   45 0.4658   28 0.5090   36 0.0312   44  1.067  1.350 -0.031 -0.840  0.000
AIR FORCE          16 15  6 103  96 -0.602  6.110   50  0.814   51 -0.521   51 -0.475   50 0.4471   39 0.4776   40 0.0000   49  0.813  0.875 -0.656 -0.293  0.000
CANISIUS           17 15  5 125 122 -0.676  5.279   52  0.794   52 -0.536   53 -0.588   52 0.4420   47 0.4605   48 0.0000   51  0.775  1.319 -0.226 -0.951  0.000
ARMY               11 18  7  98 114 -0.590  5.850   54  0.574   54 -0.693   54 -0.692   54 0.4219   50 0.4520   51 0.0000   54  0.564  1.042 -0.682 -0.701  0.000
MERCYHURST         15 20  3 121 118 -0.627  6.233   53  0.616   53 -0.688   52 -0.512   53 0.4275   52 0.4422   53 0.0000   53  0.634  1.171 -0.344 -0.681  0.000
HOLY CROSS         12 19  6  87 102 -0.638  5.767   55  0.503   55 -0.744   55 -0.741   55 0.4190   54 0.4400   55 0.0000   55  0.496  0.726 -1.078 -0.404  0.000
BENTLEY            12 19  4  94 123 -0.698  5.014   56  0.452   56 -0.762   56 -0.892   56 0.4138   56 0.4255   35 0.0625   56  0.420  1.215 -0.668 -1.116  0.000
CONNECTICUT         7 27  3  59 135 -0.593  6.673   57  0.104   57 -1.052   58 -1.212   57 0.3849   57 0.4077   57 0.0000   57  0.075  0.672 -1.602 -0.821  0.000
AMERICAN INT'L      5 24  4  69 131 -0.666  4.793   58  0.000   58 -1.136   57 -1.194   58 0.3712   58 0.3871   58 0.0000   58  0.000  1.062 -1.161 -1.228  0.000

CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MIAMI              27  7  7 141  76  0.238 15.145    2  2.473    2  0.699    1  0.798    1 0.5795    1 0.5780    1 1.0000    1  2.407  0.832  0.570  1.026  0.000
MICHIGAN           25 17  1 141  98  0.216 15.925    8  2.022    8  0.371    6  0.529    8 0.5423   10 0.5356   11 0.6875    8  2.003  1.005  0.496  0.563  0.000
NORTHERN MICHIGAN  20 12  8 121 100  0.201 14.807    9  1.996   10  0.362   10  0.382    7 0.5425   12 0.5349   12 0.6562    9  1.946  1.010  0.354  0.410  0.000
FERRIS STATE       21 13  6 118  92  0.138 14.095   13  1.958   13  0.337   15  0.311   15 0.5348   13 0.5341   15 0.5312   12  1.909  0.837  0.089  0.534  0.000
NEBRASKA-OMAHA     20 16  6 124 116  0.180 15.623   19  1.824   19  0.244   22  0.196   19 0.5287   17 0.5255   17 0.4375   22  1.763  1.068  0.236  0.155  0.000
ALASKA             18 11  9 107  90  0.140 13.304   14  1.924   14  0.311   17  0.299   13 0.5360   20 0.5232   14 0.5625   15  1.870  0.862  0.104  0.494  0.000
OHIO STATE         15 18  6 110 122  0.293 16.391   25  1.713   25  0.176   27  0.125   25 0.5194   23 0.5206   25 0.3125   25  1.659  1.190  0.317 -0.067  0.000
MICHIGAN STATE     19 13  6 115  97  0.166 13.770   18  1.888   18  0.284   18  0.297   18 0.5318   26 0.5137   24 0.3438   18  1.837  0.977  0.231  0.364  0.000
LAKE SUPERIOR      15 18  5  93 118  0.158 14.274   30  1.535   30  0.045   34 -0.081   30 0.5077   30 0.5068   31 0.1250   31  1.464  0.954 -0.174  0.012  0.000
NOTRE DAME         13 17  8  90 102  0.152 13.995   31  1.522   31  0.025   30  0.040   31 0.5030   36 0.4841   30 0.1875   30  1.478  0.852 -0.166  0.246  0.000
WESTERN MICHIGAN    8 20  8  76 104  0.196 14.111   40  1.254   40 -0.170   35 -0.130   39 0.4801   44 0.4695   45 0.0000   39  1.222  0.822 -0.368  0.108  0.000
BOWLING GREEN       5 25  6  71 138  0.176 14.208   47  0.933   47 -0.419   49 -0.469   47 0.4537   55 0.4291   56 0.0000   48  0.848  1.069 -0.427 -0.510  0.000

COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BEMIDJI STATE      23  9  4 127  82  0.036 10.971    7  2.093    7  0.421    7  0.460    9 0.5415   11 0.5351    8 0.7812    7  2.058  1.019  0.443  0.478  0.000
ROBERT MORRIS      10 19  6  94 121  0.092 12.512   39  1.261   39 -0.166   41 -0.223   40 0.4752   41 0.4745   42 0.0000   41  1.176  1.211 -0.004 -0.442  0.000
NIAGARA            12 20  4 107 118  0.022 11.591   42  1.175   42 -0.232   31 -0.045   42 0.4728   42 0.4709   43 0.0000   40  1.193  1.223  0.190 -0.280  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE 12 17  3  72  87 -0.006  9.942   38  1.278   38 -0.165   38 -0.181   41 0.4731   45 0.4621   46 0.0000   38  1.225  0.691 -0.553  0.192  0.000

EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
YALE               20  9  3 131  94 -0.156  8.027   20  1.816   20  0.236   23  0.155   22 0.5253    8 0.5362    6 0.8438   21  1.777  1.361  0.575 -0.265  0.000
CORNELL            21  8  4 105  61 -0.112  8.414   16  1.913   16  0.299    9  0.418   17 0.5319   14 0.5326   13 0.5938   11  1.914  0.653  0.009  0.827  0.000
UNION              21 12  6 134 100 -0.158  9.904   28  1.610   28  0.097   28  0.116   29 0.5106   24 0.5205   27 0.2500   28  1.610  1.029  0.109  0.122  0.000
ST. LAWRENCE       19 16  7 118 121 -0.163 10.938   33  1.389   33 -0.077   39 -0.192   33 0.4909   33 0.4962   34 0.0625   34  1.329  0.932 -0.310 -0.073  0.000
RENSSELAER         18 17  4 109 108 -0.166 10.317   35  1.368   35 -0.099   36 -0.146   35 0.4869   34 0.4899   29 0.1875   35  1.316  0.899 -0.300  0.009  0.000
QUINNIPIAC         20 18  2 123 114 -0.165 10.294   34  1.378   34 -0.093   33 -0.073   34 0.4876   35 0.4864   38 0.0000   33  1.349  0.997 -0.117 -0.030  0.000
BROWN              13 20  4 103 134 -0.142 10.506   45  1.070   45 -0.311   46 -0.358   44 0.4663   37 0.4830   39 0.0000   45  1.013  1.191 -0.164 -0.551  0.000
COLGATE            15 15  6 118 119 -0.168  9.193   37  1.302   37 -0.147   37 -0.177   36 0.4819   38 0.4827   37 0.0312   37  1.257  1.256  0.101 -0.455  0.000
PRINCETON          12 16  3  91 103 -0.154  8.528   43  1.174   43 -0.233   43 -0.300   43 0.4691   43 0.4704   44 0.0000   43  1.106  1.145 -0.165 -0.436  0.000
HARVARD             9 21  3  82 113 -0.051 10.114   48  0.921   48 -0.430   45 -0.356   48 0.4528   46 0.4618   47 0.0000   47  0.887  1.033 -0.358 -0.355  0.000
DARTMOUTH          10 19  3  96 115 -0.154  8.581   46  0.937   46 -0.418   47 -0.361   49 0.4527   49 0.4565   50 0.0000   46  0.903  1.304 -0.019 -0.703  0.000
CLARKSON            9 24  4  92 136 -0.089 10.893   51  0.813   50 -0.517   50 -0.470   51 0.4448   51 0.4440   52 0.0000   52  0.769  1.114 -0.373 -0.568  0.000

HOCKEY EAST ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BOSTON COLLEGE     25 10  3 147  95  0.182 13.444    5  2.304    5  0.577    4  0.628    5 0.5658    2 0.5675    2 0.9688    5  2.254  1.156  0.778  0.479  0.000
NEW HAMPSHIRE      17 13  7 123 114  0.273 14.799   11  1.969   11  0.346   16  0.304   10 0.5399    7 0.5401    9 0.7188   13  1.907  1.205  0.516  0.092  0.000
VERMONT            17 14  7 111 109  0.257 15.044   17  1.904   17  0.297   19  0.278   12 0.5366    9 0.5356   10 0.7188   16  1.846  0.997  0.235  0.321  0.000
MASS.-LOWELL       19 16  4 114  92  0.178 14.079   22  1.805   22  0.224   12  0.370   21 0.5272   18 0.5232   20 0.4062   19  1.794  0.798  0.106  0.633  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS      18 18  0 105 117  0.225 14.041   24  1.720   24  0.181   29  0.078   24 0.5226   19 0.5232   18 0.4375   24  1.661  1.111  0.172 -0.015  0.000
MAINE              19 17  3 143 130  0.221 14.763   21  1.807   21  0.231   14  0.319   20 0.5279   22 0.5215   22 0.3750   20  1.778  1.431  0.837 -0.199  0.000
BOSTON UNIVERSITY  18 17  3 123 124  0.202 14.344   23  1.761   23  0.207   25  0.135   23 0.5231   27 0.5112   23 0.3750   23  1.703  1.258  0.416 -0.145  0.000
NORTHEASTERN       16 16  2  93 100  0.191 12.804   26  1.684   26  0.154   24  0.138   26 0.5191   29 0.5068   28 0.1875   27  1.645  0.951  0.042  0.235  0.000
MERRIMACK          16 19  2 109 116  0.217 14.503   29  1.590   29  0.086   26  0.125   28 0.5121   31 0.5060   32 0.0938   29  1.568  1.101  0.206  0.045  0.000
PROVIDENCE         10 20  4  68  99  0.135 12.535   41  1.240   41 -0.181   42 -0.245   38 0.4812   48 0.4598   49 0.0000   42  1.145  0.639 -0.669  0.178  0.000

WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DENVER             27  9  4 132  97  0.288 15.779    1  2.489    1  0.712    5  0.597    2 0.5775    3 0.5646    3 0.9375    2  2.368  1.005  0.563  0.631  0.000
WISCONSIN          25 10  4 155 100  0.314 15.629    3  2.427    3  0.668    3  0.709    3 0.5737    4 0.5605    4 0.9062    3  2.359  1.240  0.966  0.452  0.000
NORTH DAKOTA       25 12  5 138  88  0.336 17.236    4  2.337    4  0.602    2  0.718    4 0.5672    5 0.5604    5 0.8438    4  2.289  0.881  0.543  0.892  0.000
ST. CLOUD STATE    23 13  5 131 114  0.318 16.961    6  2.205    6  0.506    8  0.460    6 0.5563    6 0.5480    7 0.7812    6  2.126  1.083  0.519  0.401  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE   19 17  3 123 113  0.313 16.272   12  1.959   12  0.340   13  0.352   14 0.5351   15 0.5277   21 0.3750   14  1.904  1.084  0.412  0.293  0.000
MINNESOTA          18 19  2 106 110  0.374 17.444   15  1.918   15  0.308   20  0.254   16 0.5319   16 0.5263   19 0.4062   17  1.840  0.950  0.156  0.352  0.000
MINNESOTA-DULUTH   22 17  1 126 109  0.277 16.050   10  1.994    9  0.364   11  0.373   11 0.5377   21 0.5220   16 0.4688   10  1.935  1.035  0.374  0.372  0.000
MINNESOTA STATE    16 20  3 110 112  0.292 16.190   27  1.668   27  0.143   21  0.248   27 0.5164   32 0.5054   33 0.0625   26  1.648  0.946  0.145  0.350  0.000
ALASKA-ANCHORAGE   11 23  2  87 141  0.317 15.911   32  1.398   32 -0.065   40 -0.210   32 0.4932   40 0.4772   41 0.0000   36  1.294  1.179 -0.031 -0.389  0.000
MICHIGAN TECH       5 30  1  74 148  0.390 17.047   49  0.840   49 -0.492   44 -0.324   46 0.4578   53 0.4411   54 0.0000   50  0.785  1.107 -0.236 -0.412  0.000

CONFERENCE                        W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 191 170  30 0.527    1  0.361
HOCKEY EAST ASSN.               175 160  35 0.520    2  0.241
CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 206 187  76 0.520    3  0.216
COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA           57  65  17 0.471    4 -0.000
EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.  187 195  49 0.491    5 -0.165
ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.           142 181  43 0.447    6 -0.764

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.182 points in main ratings (0.115 for semineutral)
     0.019 points in improved RPI (0.011 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Sun Mar 21 08:53:12 2010
games through: Sat Mar 20 2010

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