Dolphin Ratings - Division I Hockey

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems, especially the one used in hockey. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pairwise Ranking. For hockey, this rating is used by the selection committee to select and seed the tournament. The ratings shown for basketball and baseball approximate the real-life selections, but because each individual on a committee considers gives different weights to each factor it is impossible to perfectly predict the selections and seeds.
Pseudo-Poll. A simulated poll with 50 voters. This tends to replicate real-life voted polls quite well, with the (huge) exception that the real-life polls carry a lot of inertia. That is, if two teams win they will almost always remain ranked in the same order. Since this rating is calculated from scratch each time a new rating is produced, it is not possible to mimic that tendency here. So this psuedo-poll is more of an accurate indicator of how people would vote if there were no previous poll.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Home Scoring. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home. Values are nonzero only for baseball, where park effects can be significant.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DENVER             27  7  4 126  87  0.273 14.813    1  2.569    1  0.775    4  0.629    1 0.5848    2 0.5742    2 0.9697    1  2.400  0.957  0.538  0.721  0.000
MIAMI              26  6  7 137  70  0.242 14.506    2  2.494    2  0.719    1  0.839    2 0.5831    1 0.5822    1 1.0000    2  2.393  0.822  0.598  1.079  0.000
WISCONSIN          24  9  4 149  95  0.294 14.632    3  2.421    3  0.667    2  0.715    3 0.5735    4 0.5602    3 0.9394    3  2.297  1.251  0.985  0.445  0.000
BOSTON COLLEGE     23 10  3 137  89  0.193 12.997    4  2.260    4  0.543    5  0.615    4 0.5630    3 0.5648    4 0.9091    4  2.158  1.144  0.747  0.483  0.000
NORTH DAKOTA       23 12  5 129  82  0.310 16.175    5  2.255    5  0.540    3  0.689    5 0.5603    5 0.5503    5 0.8485    5  2.157  0.837  0.465  0.912  0.000
ST. CLOUD STATE    22 12  5 126 109  0.292 15.904    6  2.162    6  0.493    8  0.433    6 0.5551    6 0.5461    7 0.7879    6  2.028  1.097  0.507  0.358  0.000
BEMIDJI STATE      23  9  4 127  82  0.046 11.192    7  2.078    7  0.429    7  0.469    8 0.5425   11 0.5363    9 0.7576    7  1.989  1.018  0.448  0.489  0.000
FERRIS STATE       21 11  6 113  85  0.123 13.249    8  2.028    8  0.394   14  0.323    9 0.5407    8 0.5411   11 0.7273    8  1.910  0.823  0.084  0.562  0.000
NORTHERN MICHIGAN  19 11  8 115  94  0.193 14.054    9  1.996   10  0.363    9  0.392    7 0.5431   12 0.5353   12 0.6667    9  1.892  1.005  0.356  0.428  0.000
MINNESOTA-DULUTH   22 17  1 126 109  0.277 16.165   10  1.993    9  0.364   11  0.372   12 0.5372   22 0.5225   19 0.4545   10  1.877  1.039  0.377  0.368  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NEW HAMPSHIRE      17 13  7 123 114  0.283 15.050   11  1.980   11  0.355   15  0.313   10 0.5406    7 0.5418   10 0.7273   11  1.860  1.203  0.520  0.107  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE   19 17  3 123 113  0.313 16.387   12  1.958   12  0.340   13  0.352   14 0.5352   13 0.5302   21 0.4242   12  1.846  1.084  0.411  0.294  0.000
MICHIGAN           23 17  1 134  95  0.189 14.947   15  1.923   16  0.299    6  0.484   15 0.5351   17 0.5249   15 0.5152   13  1.841  1.009  0.453  0.515  0.000
VERMONT            17 13  7 111 106  0.251 14.620   13  1.931   13  0.319   16  0.311   11 0.5395    9 0.5375    8 0.7576   14  1.822  1.032  0.307  0.316  0.000
ALASKA             18 11  9 107  90  0.146 13.496   14  1.927   14  0.316   17  0.304   13 0.5364   19 0.5240   13 0.6364   15  1.819  0.863  0.109  0.500  0.000
CORNELL            19  8  4  99  61 -0.106  8.099   18  1.866   18  0.261   12  0.363   20 0.5275   15 0.5268   14 0.6061   16  1.800  0.716  0.014  0.712  0.000
MINNESOTA          18 19  2 106 110  0.373 17.543   16  1.920   15  0.306   20  0.253   17 0.5311   16 0.5266   17 0.4545   17  1.785  0.958  0.163  0.343  0.000
MICHIGAN STATE     19 13  6 115  97  0.163 13.841   17  1.890   17  0.282   18  0.295   16 0.5313   26 0.5133   26 0.2727   18  1.783  0.980  0.230  0.361  0.000
MASS.-LOWELL       19 16  4 114  92  0.184 14.275   21  1.819   22  0.230   10  0.375   19 0.5279   18 0.5243   18 0.4545   19  1.749  0.802  0.114  0.635  0.000
YALE               20  9  3 131  94 -0.157  8.103   20  1.829   21  0.235   24  0.154   23 0.5252   10 0.5369    6 0.8182   20  1.732  1.350  0.557 -0.249  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NEBRASKA-OMAHA     20 16  6 124 116  0.188 15.881   19  1.849   19  0.252   22  0.204   18 0.5298   14 0.5280   16 0.4545   21  1.729  1.069  0.245  0.164  0.000
MAINE              18 16  3 132 121  0.208 13.961   23  1.802   23  0.224   19  0.289   21 0.5267   24 0.5176   25 0.3636   22  1.718  1.397  0.756 -0.179  0.000
BOSTON UNIVERSITY  18 16  3 121 119  0.206 14.101   22  1.808   20  0.236   23  0.164   22 0.5266   25 0.5158   20 0.4545   23  1.692  1.263  0.450 -0.121  0.000
OHIO STATE         15 18  6 110 122  0.304 16.693   25  1.738   24  0.187   26  0.137   25 0.5208   20 0.5238   23 0.3636   24  1.627  1.195  0.334 -0.060  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS      18 18  0 105 117  0.231 14.238   24  1.739   25  0.187   29  0.084   24 0.5230   21 0.5233   22 0.3939   25  1.622  1.113  0.178 -0.010  0.000
NORTHEASTERN       16 16  2  93 100  0.199 12.998   26  1.704   26  0.161   25  0.145   26 0.5197   28 0.5078   28 0.1818   26  1.615  0.952  0.048  0.242  0.000
MINNESOTA STATE    16 20  3 110 112  0.290 16.299   27  1.678   27  0.143   21  0.246   27 0.5164   30 0.5073   34 0.0909   27  1.609  0.945  0.142  0.351  0.000
UNION              20 11  6 131  96 -0.175  9.209   28  1.614   29  0.091   28  0.129   29 0.5104   23 0.5179   24 0.3636   28  1.570  1.058  0.156  0.101  0.000
MERRIMACK          16 19  2 109 116  0.225 14.725   29  1.612   28  0.094   27  0.133   28 0.5128   31 0.5072   35 0.0909   29  1.540  1.104  0.216  0.050  0.000
NOTRE DAME         13 17  8  90 102  0.154 14.139   31  1.536   31  0.027   30  0.043   31 0.5030   36 0.4840   29 0.1818   30  1.443  0.853 -0.164  0.249  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
LAKE SUPERIOR      15 18  5  93 118  0.164 14.459   30  1.555   30  0.051   33 -0.074   30 0.5081   29 0.5075   30 0.1515   31  1.435  0.953 -0.169  0.022  0.000
ST. LAWRENCE       19 14  7 117 115 -0.160 10.463   32  1.471   32 -0.022   36 -0.134   32 0.4970   33 0.5031   32 0.1212   32  1.371  0.964 -0.217 -0.051  0.000
QUINNIPIAC         20 18  2 123 114 -0.164 10.408   34  1.376   34 -0.090   32 -0.072   34 0.4877   35 0.4868   31 0.1515   33  1.316  0.991 -0.124 -0.019  0.000
RENSSELAER         18 17  4 109 108 -0.167 10.409   35  1.363   35 -0.099   37 -0.146   35 0.4866   34 0.4896   33 0.1212   34  1.288  0.890 -0.313  0.021  0.000
RIT                24 11  1 126  78 -0.640  4.839   37  1.304   37 -0.149   34 -0.117   39 0.4790   27 0.5093   27 0.2121   35  1.287  0.937 -0.230 -0.003  0.000
ALASKA-ANCHORAGE   11 23  2  87 141  0.316 16.025   33  1.405   33 -0.064   40 -0.209   33 0.4932   38 0.4793   39 0.0000   36  1.283  1.183 -0.027 -0.391  0.000
COLGATE            15 15  6 118 119 -0.164  9.314   36  1.308   36 -0.142   39 -0.173   36 0.4823   37 0.4835   38 0.0000   37  1.251  1.248  0.092 -0.438  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE 12 17  3  72  87  0.005 10.152   38  1.289   38 -0.155   38 -0.170   41 0.4744   45 0.4633   46 0.0000   38  1.225  0.689 -0.546  0.206  0.000
WESTERN MICHIGAN    8 20  8  76 104  0.205 14.355   40  1.264   40 -0.161   35 -0.120   38 0.4812   42 0.4717   43 0.0000   39  1.221  0.824 -0.358  0.118  0.000
NIAGARA            12 20  4 107 118  0.030 11.764   42  1.183   42 -0.224   31 -0.038   42 0.4735   43 0.4712   44 0.0000   40  1.190  1.220  0.192 -0.268  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
ROBERT MORRIS      10 19  6  94 121  0.102 12.758   39  1.274   39 -0.155   41 -0.212   40 0.4765   41 0.4763   42 0.0000   41  1.179  1.214  0.009 -0.433  0.000
PROVIDENCE         10 20  4  68  99  0.141 12.713   41  1.246   41 -0.175   42 -0.239   37 0.4817   48 0.4604   49 0.0000   42  1.141  0.638 -0.665  0.186  0.000
PRINCETON          12 16  3  91 103 -0.158  8.556   43  1.169   43 -0.235   43 -0.304   43 0.4687   44 0.4701   45 0.0000   43  1.092  1.138 -0.180 -0.428  0.000
SACRED HEART       20 12  4 128 116 -0.614  5.370   44  1.119   44 -0.277   48 -0.398   44 0.4672   32 0.5072   37 0.0303   44  1.075  1.367  0.029 -0.825  0.000
BROWN              12 19  4 100 131 -0.167  9.756   45  1.040   45 -0.333   47 -0.390   45 0.4629   40 0.4764   41 0.0000   45  0.972  1.235 -0.142 -0.638  0.000
DARTMOUTH          10 19  3  96 115 -0.151  8.687   46  0.942   47 -0.415   45 -0.358   48 0.4528   49 0.4571   50 0.0000   46  0.898  1.298 -0.026 -0.689  0.000
HARVARD             9 21  3  82 113 -0.054 10.154   48  0.922   48 -0.429   46 -0.359   49 0.4524   47 0.4607   48 0.0000   47  0.879  1.027 -0.369 -0.349  0.000
BOWLING GREEN       5 25  6  71 138  0.179 14.357   47  0.938   46 -0.415   51 -0.465   47 0.4537   55 0.4293   56 0.0000   48  0.843  1.068 -0.426 -0.504  0.000
AIR FORCE          16 14  6 102  94 -0.600  6.016   49  0.854   49 -0.487   49 -0.457   50 0.4506   39 0.4790   40 0.0000   49  0.841  0.906 -0.605 -0.308  0.000
CANISIUS           17 14  5 125 118 -0.681  5.053   51  0.826   52 -0.509   53 -0.546   52 0.4452   46 0.4608   47 0.0000   50  0.794  1.342 -0.154 -0.938  0.000
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MICHIGAN TECH       5 30  1  74 148  0.388 17.151   50  0.837   50 -0.491   44 -0.323   46 0.4574   53 0.4423   54 0.0000   51  0.768  1.112 -0.230 -0.416  0.000
CLARKSON            9 24  4  92 136 -0.084 11.057   52  0.819   51 -0.509   50 -0.465   51 0.4453   51 0.4453   52 0.0000   52  0.761  1.106 -0.379 -0.550  0.000
MERCYHURST         15 20  3 121 118 -0.612  6.410   53  0.616   53 -0.673   52 -0.498   53 0.4291   52 0.4440   53 0.0000   53  0.634  1.167 -0.337 -0.660  0.000
ARMY               11 18  7  98 114 -0.577  5.993   54  0.573   54 -0.679   54 -0.679   54 0.4233   50 0.4532   51 0.0000   54  0.562  1.034 -0.682 -0.677  0.000
HOLY CROSS         12 19  6  87 102 -0.628  5.890   55  0.496   55 -0.733   55 -0.731   55 0.4201   54 0.4403   55 0.0000   55  0.489  0.720 -1.076 -0.386  0.000
BENTLEY            12 19  4  94 123 -0.686  5.126   56  0.447   56 -0.751   56 -0.881   56 0.4151   56 0.4268   36 0.0606   56  0.414  1.208 -0.667 -1.095  0.000
CONNECTICUT         7 27  3  59 135 -0.584  6.743   57  0.097   57 -1.042   58 -1.205   57 0.3861   57 0.4081   57 0.0000   57  0.068  0.665 -1.605 -0.806  0.000
AMERICAN INT'L      5 24  4  69 131 -0.653  4.936   58  0.000   58 -1.121   57 -1.181   58 0.3724   58 0.3879   58 0.0000   58  0.000  1.055 -1.157 -1.204  0.000

ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
RIT                24 11  1 126  78 -0.640  4.839   37  1.304   37 -0.149   34 -0.117   39 0.4790   27 0.5093   27 0.2121   35  1.287  0.937 -0.230 -0.003  0.000
SACRED HEART       20 12  4 128 116 -0.614  5.370   44  1.119   44 -0.277   48 -0.398   44 0.4672   32 0.5072   37 0.0303   44  1.075  1.367  0.029 -0.825  0.000
AIR FORCE          16 14  6 102  94 -0.600  6.016   49  0.854   49 -0.487   49 -0.457   50 0.4506   39 0.4790   40 0.0000   49  0.841  0.906 -0.605 -0.308  0.000
CANISIUS           17 14  5 125 118 -0.681  5.053   51  0.826   52 -0.509   53 -0.546   52 0.4452   46 0.4608   47 0.0000   50  0.794  1.342 -0.154 -0.938  0.000
MERCYHURST         15 20  3 121 118 -0.612  6.410   53  0.616   53 -0.673   52 -0.498   53 0.4291   52 0.4440   53 0.0000   53  0.634  1.167 -0.337 -0.660  0.000
ARMY               11 18  7  98 114 -0.577  5.993   54  0.573   54 -0.679   54 -0.679   54 0.4233   50 0.4532   51 0.0000   54  0.562  1.034 -0.682 -0.677  0.000
HOLY CROSS         12 19  6  87 102 -0.628  5.890   55  0.496   55 -0.733   55 -0.731   55 0.4201   54 0.4403   55 0.0000   55  0.489  0.720 -1.076 -0.386  0.000
BENTLEY            12 19  4  94 123 -0.686  5.126   56  0.447   56 -0.751   56 -0.881   56 0.4151   56 0.4268   36 0.0606   56  0.414  1.208 -0.667 -1.095  0.000
CONNECTICUT         7 27  3  59 135 -0.584  6.743   57  0.097   57 -1.042   58 -1.205   57 0.3861   57 0.4081   57 0.0000   57  0.068  0.665 -1.605 -0.806  0.000
AMERICAN INT'L      5 24  4  69 131 -0.653  4.936   58  0.000   58 -1.121   57 -1.181   58 0.3724   58 0.3879   58 0.0000   58  0.000  1.055 -1.157 -1.204  0.000

CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MIAMI              26  6  7 137  70  0.242 14.506    2  2.494    2  0.719    1  0.839    2 0.5831    1 0.5822    1 1.0000    2  2.393  0.822  0.598  1.079  0.000
FERRIS STATE       21 11  6 113  85  0.123 13.249    8  2.028    8  0.394   14  0.323    9 0.5407    8 0.5411   11 0.7273    8  1.910  0.823  0.084  0.562  0.000
NORTHERN MICHIGAN  19 11  8 115  94  0.193 14.054    9  1.996   10  0.363    9  0.392    7 0.5431   12 0.5353   12 0.6667    9  1.892  1.005  0.356  0.428  0.000
MICHIGAN           23 17  1 134  95  0.189 14.947   15  1.923   16  0.299    6  0.484   15 0.5351   17 0.5249   15 0.5152   13  1.841  1.009  0.453  0.515  0.000
ALASKA             18 11  9 107  90  0.146 13.496   14  1.927   14  0.316   17  0.304   13 0.5364   19 0.5240   13 0.6364   15  1.819  0.863  0.109  0.500  0.000
MICHIGAN STATE     19 13  6 115  97  0.163 13.841   17  1.890   17  0.282   18  0.295   16 0.5313   26 0.5133   26 0.2727   18  1.783  0.980  0.230  0.361  0.000
NEBRASKA-OMAHA     20 16  6 124 116  0.188 15.881   19  1.849   19  0.252   22  0.204   18 0.5298   14 0.5280   16 0.4545   21  1.729  1.069  0.245  0.164  0.000
OHIO STATE         15 18  6 110 122  0.304 16.693   25  1.738   24  0.187   26  0.137   25 0.5208   20 0.5238   23 0.3636   24  1.627  1.195  0.334 -0.060  0.000
NOTRE DAME         13 17  8  90 102  0.154 14.139   31  1.536   31  0.027   30  0.043   31 0.5030   36 0.4840   29 0.1818   30  1.443  0.853 -0.164  0.249  0.000
LAKE SUPERIOR      15 18  5  93 118  0.164 14.459   30  1.555   30  0.051   33 -0.074   30 0.5081   29 0.5075   30 0.1515   31  1.435  0.953 -0.169  0.022  0.000
WESTERN MICHIGAN    8 20  8  76 104  0.205 14.355   40  1.264   40 -0.161   35 -0.120   38 0.4812   42 0.4717   43 0.0000   39  1.221  0.824 -0.358  0.118  0.000
BOWLING GREEN       5 25  6  71 138  0.179 14.357   47  0.938   46 -0.415   51 -0.465   47 0.4537   55 0.4293   56 0.0000   48  0.843  1.068 -0.426 -0.504  0.000

COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BEMIDJI STATE      23  9  4 127  82  0.046 11.192    7  2.078    7  0.429    7  0.469    8 0.5425   11 0.5363    9 0.7576    7  1.989  1.018  0.448  0.489  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE 12 17  3  72  87  0.005 10.152   38  1.289   38 -0.155   38 -0.170   41 0.4744   45 0.4633   46 0.0000   38  1.225  0.689 -0.546  0.206  0.000
NIAGARA            12 20  4 107 118  0.030 11.764   42  1.183   42 -0.224   31 -0.038   42 0.4735   43 0.4712   44 0.0000   40  1.190  1.220  0.192 -0.268  0.000
ROBERT MORRIS      10 19  6  94 121  0.102 12.758   39  1.274   39 -0.155   41 -0.212   40 0.4765   41 0.4763   42 0.0000   41  1.179  1.214  0.009 -0.433  0.000

EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
CORNELL            19  8  4  99  61 -0.106  8.099   18  1.866   18  0.261   12  0.363   20 0.5275   15 0.5268   14 0.6061   16  1.800  0.716  0.014  0.712  0.000
YALE               20  9  3 131  94 -0.157  8.103   20  1.829   21  0.235   24  0.154   23 0.5252   10 0.5369    6 0.8182   20  1.732  1.350  0.557 -0.249  0.000
UNION              20 11  6 131  96 -0.175  9.209   28  1.614   29  0.091   28  0.129   29 0.5104   23 0.5179   24 0.3636   28  1.570  1.058  0.156  0.101  0.000
ST. LAWRENCE       19 14  7 117 115 -0.160 10.463   32  1.471   32 -0.022   36 -0.134   32 0.4970   33 0.5031   32 0.1212   32  1.371  0.964 -0.217 -0.051  0.000
QUINNIPIAC         20 18  2 123 114 -0.164 10.408   34  1.376   34 -0.090   32 -0.072   34 0.4877   35 0.4868   31 0.1515   33  1.316  0.991 -0.124 -0.019  0.000
RENSSELAER         18 17  4 109 108 -0.167 10.409   35  1.363   35 -0.099   37 -0.146   35 0.4866   34 0.4896   33 0.1212   34  1.288  0.890 -0.313  0.021  0.000
COLGATE            15 15  6 118 119 -0.164  9.314   36  1.308   36 -0.142   39 -0.173   36 0.4823   37 0.4835   38 0.0000   37  1.251  1.248  0.092 -0.438  0.000
PRINCETON          12 16  3  91 103 -0.158  8.556   43  1.169   43 -0.235   43 -0.304   43 0.4687   44 0.4701   45 0.0000   43  1.092  1.138 -0.180 -0.428  0.000
BROWN              12 19  4 100 131 -0.167  9.756   45  1.040   45 -0.333   47 -0.390   45 0.4629   40 0.4764   41 0.0000   45  0.972  1.235 -0.142 -0.638  0.000
DARTMOUTH          10 19  3  96 115 -0.151  8.687   46  0.942   47 -0.415   45 -0.358   48 0.4528   49 0.4571   50 0.0000   46  0.898  1.298 -0.026 -0.689  0.000
HARVARD             9 21  3  82 113 -0.054 10.154   48  0.922   48 -0.429   46 -0.359   49 0.4524   47 0.4607   48 0.0000   47  0.879  1.027 -0.369 -0.349  0.000
CLARKSON            9 24  4  92 136 -0.084 11.057   52  0.819   51 -0.509   50 -0.465   51 0.4453   51 0.4453   52 0.0000   52  0.761  1.106 -0.379 -0.550  0.000

HOCKEY EAST ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BOSTON COLLEGE     23 10  3 137  89  0.193 12.997    4  2.260    4  0.543    5  0.615    4 0.5630    3 0.5648    4 0.9091    4  2.158  1.144  0.747  0.483  0.000
NEW HAMPSHIRE      17 13  7 123 114  0.283 15.050   11  1.980   11  0.355   15  0.313   10 0.5406    7 0.5418   10 0.7273   11  1.860  1.203  0.520  0.107  0.000
VERMONT            17 13  7 111 106  0.251 14.620   13  1.931   13  0.319   16  0.311   11 0.5395    9 0.5375    8 0.7576   14  1.822  1.032  0.307  0.316  0.000
MASS.-LOWELL       19 16  4 114  92  0.184 14.275   21  1.819   22  0.230   10  0.375   19 0.5279   18 0.5243   18 0.4545   19  1.749  0.802  0.114  0.635  0.000
MAINE              18 16  3 132 121  0.208 13.961   23  1.802   23  0.224   19  0.289   21 0.5267   24 0.5176   25 0.3636   22  1.718  1.397  0.756 -0.179  0.000
BOSTON UNIVERSITY  18 16  3 121 119  0.206 14.101   22  1.808   20  0.236   23  0.164   22 0.5266   25 0.5158   20 0.4545   23  1.692  1.263  0.450 -0.121  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS      18 18  0 105 117  0.231 14.238   24  1.739   25  0.187   29  0.084   24 0.5230   21 0.5233   22 0.3939   25  1.622  1.113  0.178 -0.010  0.000
NORTHEASTERN       16 16  2  93 100  0.199 12.998   26  1.704   26  0.161   25  0.145   26 0.5197   28 0.5078   28 0.1818   26  1.615  0.952  0.048  0.242  0.000
MERRIMACK          16 19  2 109 116  0.225 14.725   29  1.612   28  0.094   27  0.133   28 0.5128   31 0.5072   35 0.0909   29  1.540  1.104  0.216  0.050  0.000
PROVIDENCE         10 20  4  68  99  0.141 12.713   41  1.246   41 -0.175   42 -0.239   37 0.4817   48 0.4604   49 0.0000   42  1.141  0.638 -0.665  0.186  0.000

WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DENVER             27  7  4 126  87  0.273 14.813    1  2.569    1  0.775    4  0.629    1 0.5848    2 0.5742    2 0.9697    1  2.400  0.957  0.538  0.721  0.000
WISCONSIN          24  9  4 149  95  0.294 14.632    3  2.421    3  0.667    2  0.715    3 0.5735    4 0.5602    3 0.9394    3  2.297  1.251  0.985  0.445  0.000
NORTH DAKOTA       23 12  5 129  82  0.310 16.175    5  2.255    5  0.540    3  0.689    5 0.5603    5 0.5503    5 0.8485    5  2.157  0.837  0.465  0.912  0.000
ST. CLOUD STATE    22 12  5 126 109  0.292 15.904    6  2.162    6  0.493    8  0.433    6 0.5551    6 0.5461    7 0.7879    6  2.028  1.097  0.507  0.358  0.000
MINNESOTA-DULUTH   22 17  1 126 109  0.277 16.165   10  1.993    9  0.364   11  0.372   12 0.5372   22 0.5225   19 0.4545   10  1.877  1.039  0.377  0.368  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE   19 17  3 123 113  0.313 16.387   12  1.958   12  0.340   13  0.352   14 0.5352   13 0.5302   21 0.4242   12  1.846  1.084  0.411  0.294  0.000
MINNESOTA          18 19  2 106 110  0.373 17.543   16  1.920   15  0.306   20  0.253   17 0.5311   16 0.5266   17 0.4545   17  1.785  0.958  0.163  0.343  0.000
MINNESOTA STATE    16 20  3 110 112  0.290 16.299   27  1.678   27  0.143   21  0.246   27 0.5164   30 0.5073   34 0.0909   27  1.609  0.945  0.142  0.351  0.000
ALASKA-ANCHORAGE   11 23  2  87 141  0.316 16.025   33  1.405   33 -0.064   40 -0.209   33 0.4932   38 0.4793   39 0.0000   36  1.283  1.183 -0.027 -0.391  0.000
MICHIGAN TECH       5 30  1  74 148  0.388 17.151   50  0.837   50 -0.491   44 -0.323   46 0.4574   53 0.4423   54 0.0000   51  0.768  1.112 -0.230 -0.416  0.000

CONFERENCE                        W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 187 166  30 0.527    1  0.361
HOCKEY EAST ASSN.               172 157  35 0.521    2  0.249
CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 202 183  76 0.521    3  0.222
COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA           57  65  17 0.471    4  0.010
EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.  183 191  49 0.491    5 -0.166
ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.           139 178  43 0.446    6 -0.752

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.185 points in main ratings (0.115 for semineutral)
     0.019 points in improved RPI (0.011 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Fri Mar 19 19:52:31 2010
games through: Thu Mar 18 2010

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