Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC NSIC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marian IN               12  1 458 236 -0.373    1  0.909    1  0.790    6  0.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.893    5  0.252    6  0.101
Morningside             13  1 618 185 -0.258    2  0.856    2  0.721    1  0.759    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.042    2  0.615    1  0.903
Southern Oregon          9  3 633 400  0.212    3  0.608    3  0.516    2  0.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.346    1  2.437   29 -0.943
Montana Tech             8  3 359 253  0.152    4  0.523    4  0.408    3  0.397    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.082    4  0.442    3  0.351
St Xavier               11  2 448 214 -0.504    5  0.407    5  0.281    5  0.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.988    7  0.156    4  0.236
Missouri Valley         12  1 492 171 -1.039    6  0.295    6  0.141   10 -0.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.696   15 -0.539    5  0.131
Cumberlands KY          10  2 540 261 -0.631    7  0.238    7  0.071    7  0.036    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.620    3  0.599   19 -0.527
Carroll MT               7  4 316 211  0.074    8  0.182    8 -0.002    4  0.275    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.391    8 -0.061    2  0.611
St Ambrose               9  2 359 208 -0.839    9  0.120    9 -0.071   12 -0.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.182   18 -0.598   10 -0.224
Georgetown KY           10  1 522 193 -1.025   10  0.088   10 -0.111    8  0.022    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.262    6  0.251    9 -0.206
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN            9  3 418 223 -0.628   11  0.054   11 -0.149    9 -0.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.163    9 -0.068   13 -0.243
Rocky Mountain           6  5 304 268 -0.374   12 -0.110   12 -0.362   14 -0.448    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.446   11 -0.310   20 -0.586
Grand View               8  3 298 177 -0.888   13 -0.124   13 -0.382   15 -0.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.563   25 -1.101    7 -0.032
Eastern Oregon           4  6 192 305 -0.205   14 -0.231   14 -0.515   20 -0.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.813   26 -1.111   18 -0.524
MidAmerica Nazarene      8  3 420 207 -0.862   15 -0.248   15 -0.543   11 -0.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.436   10 -0.286    8 -0.173
Bethel TN                9  4 426 374 -1.058   16 -0.261   16 -0.561   21 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.021   12 -0.417   32 -1.273
William Penn             9  3 360 178 -1.177   17 -0.278   17 -0.583   19 -0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.111   34 -1.307   12 -0.228
Montana-Western          4  6 242 326 -0.161   18 -0.298   18 -0.604   17 -0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.913   16 -0.548   22 -0.688
Baker                    8  3 336 223 -1.244   19 -0.363   19 -0.694   22 -0.875    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.724   23 -1.043   24 -0.708
Northwestern IA          9  3 449 199 -1.121   20 -0.397   20 -0.741   13 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.770   14 -0.511   16 -0.381
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 6  4 170 162 -1.016   21 -0.421   21 -0.771   28 -1.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.590   50 -2.048   11 -0.226
Kentucky Christian       7  4 197 190 -1.226   22 -0.469   22 -0.842   30 -1.157    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.161   52 -2.065   14 -0.248
Cumberland TN            8  3 341 285 -1.524   23 -0.570   23 -0.864   32 -1.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.107   31 -1.226   36 -1.388
Evangel                  7  4 360 367 -1.611   24 -0.865   24 -1.093   39 -1.587    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.703   20 -0.886   61 -2.289
Doane                    7  3 302 186 -1.524   25 -0.908   25 -1.110   24 -1.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.824   27 -1.138   28 -0.942
St Francis IL            6  5 317 230 -1.049   26 -0.920   26 -1.123   23 -0.920    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.843   28 -1.149   23 -0.691
Montana St-Northern      3  7 253 290 -0.359   27 -0.951   27 -1.163   18 -0.650    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.466   13 -0.455   26 -0.846
Bacone                   6  4 279 198 -1.297   28 -0.972   28 -1.197   25 -1.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.752   41 -1.690   17 -0.437
Concordia AL             4  4 158 177 -1.241   29 -1.024   30 -1.272   35 -1.452    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.401   36 -1.498   37 -1.405
Belhaven                 6  5 362 188 -1.121   30 -1.056   31 -1.290   16 -0.589    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.508   19 -0.837   15 -0.341
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Faulkner                 6  5 359 267 -1.219   31 -1.097   29 -1.269   26 -1.109    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.424   21 -0.903   34 -1.316
Benedictine KS           7  4 416 275 -1.519   32 -1.229   32 -1.353   27 -1.128    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.369   17 -0.569   46 -1.687
Nebraska Wesleyan        6  4 205 174 -1.547   33 -1.233   33 -1.359   31 -1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.155   45 -1.893   21 -0.648
Dakota Wesleyan          6  4 234 280 -1.877   34 -1.258   34 -1.390   52 -2.021    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.862   48 -1.977   56 -2.066
Ottawa                   8  3 402 262 -2.004   35 -1.272   35 -1.410   36 -1.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.114   22 -1.012   51 -1.964
Hastings                 6  4 262 290 -1.814   36 -1.276   36 -1.414   48 -1.900    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.912   39 -1.594   59 -2.206
Robert Morris IL         8  3 399 159 -1.880   37 -1.281   37 -1.422   29 -1.151    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.167   38 -1.538   25 -0.764
Tabor                    8  2 410 175 -2.248   38 -1.283   38 -1.426   33 -1.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.093   29 -1.200   40 -1.561
Valley City St           7  3 262 210 -1.932   39 -1.288   39 -1.433   37 -1.489    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.980   42 -1.717   31 -1.261
Dickinson St             2  9 104 339 -0.729   40 -1.403   40 -1.580   46 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.433   66 -2.661   30 -1.056
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Edward Waters            5  6 318 377 -1.587   41 -1.499   41 -1.724   43 -1.739    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.527   30 -1.202   60 -2.275
Concordia NE             5  6 264 249 -1.639   42 -1.594   42 -1.791   40 -1.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.350   44 -1.859   35 -1.325
Graceland                5  6 157 331 -2.081   43 -1.628   43 -1.834   69 -2.649    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  4.985   78 -3.216   57 -2.081
Siena Heights            4  6 206 268 -1.585   44 -1.632   44 -1.839   45 -1.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.211   51 -2.054   43 -1.583
Taylor                   4  6 236 241 -1.608   45 -1.754   45 -2.006   41 -1.686    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.046   47 -1.939   38 -1.432
Olivet Nazarene          3  8 204 345 -1.438   46 -1.806   46 -2.018   54 -2.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.856   56 -2.215   50 -1.884
Virginia-Wise            3  8 181 371 -1.605   47 -1.817   48 -2.034   58 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.737   60 -2.489   54 -2.033
Union KY                 4  7 242 382 -1.791   48 -1.833   47 -2.030   60 -2.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.726   55 -2.144   62 -2.407
St Mary KS               6  5 377 298 -2.179   49 -1.852   49 -2.059   47 -1.879    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  4.925   32 -1.271   63 -2.487
Kansas Wesleyan          6  5 299 320 -2.364   50 -1.858   50 -2.067   66 -2.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.756   54 -2.125   69 -2.768
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Friends                  6  5 244 204 -2.261   51 -1.873   51 -2.086   57 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.844   73 -2.828   44 -1.632
Midland U.               4  6 173 222 -1.869   52 -1.878   52 -2.091   53 -2.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.781   65 -2.626   39 -1.436
Trinity Int'l            4  7 360 325 -1.516   53 -1.895   53 -2.112   38 -1.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.909   24 -1.099   53 -2.026
Campbellsville           3  8 217 345 -1.524   54 -1.897   54 -2.115   49 -1.908    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.681   53 -2.067   47 -1.749
Menlo                    3  6 241 214 -1.243   55 -1.899   55 -2.119   34 -1.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.920   35 -1.462   33 -1.305
Lindsey Wilson           3  8 312 372 -1.396   56 -1.901   56 -2.119   42 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.802   33 -1.294   58 -2.154
Jamestown                4  6 200 224 -1.942   57 -2.020   57 -2.162   50 -1.984    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.588   58 -2.394   41 -1.574
Peru St                  5  6 305 370 -2.214   58 -2.035   58 -2.182   62 -2.319    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.547   49 -1.986   67 -2.652
Webber Int'l             4  6 169 210 -2.021   59 -2.091   59 -2.202   55 -2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.565   72 -2.772   42 -1.580
Pikeville                3  8 284 410 -1.637   60 -2.125   60 -2.246   51 -2.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.493   37 -1.522   65 -2.515
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Virginia U-Lynchburg     1  8  84 243 -0.981   61 -2.156   62 -2.288   44 -1.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.596   64 -2.624   27 -0.921
Southern Virginia        4  6 179 266 -2.150   62 -2.223   61 -2.282   56 -2.202    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.427   63 -2.566   48 -1.839
Texas College            2  9 135 338 -1.554   63 -2.317   63 -2.405   63 -2.321    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.281   75 -2.963   45 -1.680
Lindenwood-Belleville    4  6 246 314 -2.455   64 -2.401   64 -2.528   72 -2.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.871   70 -2.702   71 -2.900
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 285 440 -2.024   65 -2.405   65 -2.538   65 -2.443    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.884   43 -1.735   77 -3.152
Waldorf                  4  7 360 458 -2.410   66 -2.442   66 -2.548   70 -2.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.831   40 -1.688   83 -3.700
McPherson                4  5 222 186 -2.421   67 -2.506   67 -2.567   59 -2.275    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.116   62 -2.539   52 -2.010
Point U.                 2  8 206 372 -1.926   68 -2.606   68 -2.699   64 -2.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.687   57 -2.317   66 -2.530
SW Assem of God          4  6 228 251 -2.590   69 -2.640   69 -2.751   68 -2.512    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.526   61 -2.536   64 -2.488
Wayland Baptist          2  7 142 401 -2.393   70 -2.699   70 -2.764   83 -3.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.096   76 -3.133   82 -3.623
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ave Maria                1  7 141 301 -1.942   71 -2.770   71 -2.858   73 -2.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.266   71 -2.748   72 -2.944
Central Methodist        2  8 181 260 -1.983   72 -2.773   72 -2.863   61 -2.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.465   67 -2.681   49 -1.872
Southwestern KS          4  7 246 349 -2.818   73 -2.818   73 -2.929   77 -3.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.044   74 -2.921   78 -3.191
Sterling                 3  7 160 226 -2.574   74 -2.840   74 -2.959   71 -2.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.071   81 -3.502   55 -2.042
Mayville St              3  6 247 301 -2.773   75 -2.891   75 -3.031   76 -3.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.898   59 -2.483   81 -3.536
Dakota St                2  9 234 401 -2.399   76 -2.950   76 -3.114   75 -2.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.764   68 -2.685   79 -3.245
Avila                    2  9 294 410 -2.217   77 -2.962   77 -3.130   67 -2.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.906   46 -1.938   75 -3.069
Bethany KS               3  8 180 314 -2.841   78 -3.096   78 -3.195   80 -3.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.652   83 -3.657   70 -2.898
Culver-Stockton          1 10 144 463 -2.248   79 -3.145   79 -3.273   79 -3.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.478   79 -3.415   74 -3.011
Briar Cliff              1 10 196 414 -2.224   80 -3.222   81 -3.382   74 -2.899    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.440   69 -2.698   76 -3.101
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dordt                    1 10 137 404 -2.316   81 -3.279   80 -3.374   78 -3.096    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.364   80 -3.476   68 -2.716
Concordia MI             0  9  82 423 -1.919   82 -3.300   82 -3.405   82 -3.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.264   82 -3.644   73 -2.975
Bluefield                0 11 161 517 -2.001   83 -3.405   83 -3.572   81 -3.286    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.086   77 -3.194   80 -3.379
Haskell                  1  8 110 452 -3.829   84 -3.941   84 -4.192   84 -4.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.008   85 -4.678   85 -4.572
Bethel KS                0 10  58 514 -3.105   85 -3.973   85 -4.236   86 -4.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  0.911   86 -5.396   84 -4.357
Trinity Bible            1  7 161 394 -4.213   86 -4.178   86 -4.578   85 -4.742    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  0.596   84 -4.400   86 -5.084


Central States Football League: strength=-2.107 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 6  4 170 162 -1.016   21 -0.421   21 -0.771   28 -1.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.590   50 -2.048   11 -0.226
Bacone                   6  4 279 198 -1.297   28 -0.972   28 -1.197   25 -1.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.752   41 -1.690   17 -0.437
Texas College            2  9 135 338 -1.554   63 -2.317   63 -2.405   63 -2.321    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.281   75 -2.963   45 -1.680
SW Assem of God          4  6 228 251 -2.590   69 -2.640   69 -2.751   68 -2.512    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.526   61 -2.536   64 -2.488
Wayland Baptist          2  7 142 401 -2.393   70 -2.699   70 -2.764   83 -3.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.096   76 -3.133   82 -3.623

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.176 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon          9  3 633 400  0.212    3  0.608    3  0.516    2  0.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.346    1  2.437   29 -0.943
Montana Tech             8  3 359 253  0.152    4  0.523    4  0.408    3  0.397    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.082    4  0.442    3  0.351
Carroll MT               7  4 316 211  0.074    8  0.182    8 -0.002    4  0.275    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.391    8 -0.061    2  0.611
Rocky Mountain           6  5 304 268 -0.374   12 -0.110   12 -0.362   14 -0.448    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.446   11 -0.310   20 -0.586
Eastern Oregon           4  6 192 305 -0.205   14 -0.231   14 -0.515   20 -0.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.813   26 -1.111   18 -0.524
Montana-Western          4  6 242 326 -0.161   18 -0.298   18 -0.604   17 -0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.913   16 -0.548   22 -0.688
Montana St-Northern      3  7 253 290 -0.359   27 -0.951   27 -1.163   18 -0.650    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.466   13 -0.455   26 -0.846
Dickinson St             2  9 104 339 -0.729   40 -1.403   40 -1.580   46 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.433   66 -2.661   30 -1.056

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.630 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             13  1 618 185 -0.258    2  0.856    2  0.721    1  0.759    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.042    2  0.615    1  0.903
Northwestern IA          9  3 449 199 -1.121   20 -0.397   20 -0.741   13 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.770   14 -0.511   16 -0.381
Doane                    7  3 302 186 -1.524   25 -0.908   25 -1.110   24 -1.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.824   27 -1.138   28 -0.942
Nebraska Wesleyan        6  4 205 174 -1.547   33 -1.233   33 -1.359   31 -1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.155   45 -1.893   21 -0.648
Dakota Wesleyan          6  4 234 280 -1.877   34 -1.258   34 -1.390   52 -2.021    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.862   48 -1.977   56 -2.066
Hastings                 6  4 262 290 -1.814   36 -1.276   36 -1.414   48 -1.900    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.912   39 -1.594   59 -2.206
Concordia NE             5  6 264 249 -1.639   42 -1.594   42 -1.791   40 -1.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.350   44 -1.859   35 -1.325
Midland U.               4  6 173 222 -1.869   52 -1.878   52 -2.091   53 -2.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.781   65 -2.626   39 -1.436
Briar Cliff              1 10 196 414 -2.224   80 -3.222   81 -3.382   74 -2.899    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.440   69 -2.698   76 -3.101
Dordt                    1 10 137 404 -2.316   81 -3.279   80 -3.374   78 -3.096    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.364   80 -3.476   68 -2.716

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.740 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Missouri Valley         12  1 492 171 -1.039    6  0.295    6  0.141   10 -0.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.696   15 -0.539    5  0.131
MidAmerica Nazarene      8  3 420 207 -0.862   15 -0.248   15 -0.543   11 -0.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.436   10 -0.286    8 -0.173
Baker                    8  3 336 223 -1.244   19 -0.363   19 -0.694   22 -0.875    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.724   23 -1.043   24 -0.708
Evangel                  7  4 360 367 -1.611   24 -0.865   24 -1.093   39 -1.587    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.703   20 -0.886   61 -2.289
Benedictine KS           7  4 416 275 -1.519   32 -1.229   32 -1.353   27 -1.128    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.369   17 -0.569   46 -1.687
Graceland                5  6 157 331 -2.081   43 -1.628   43 -1.834   69 -2.649    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  4.985   78 -3.216   57 -2.081
Peru St                  5  6 305 370 -2.214   58 -2.035   58 -2.182   62 -2.319    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.547   49 -1.986   67 -2.652
Central Methodist        2  8 181 260 -1.983   72 -2.773   72 -2.863   61 -2.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.465   67 -2.681   49 -1.872
Avila                    2  9 294 410 -2.217   77 -2.962   77 -3.130   67 -2.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.906   46 -1.938   75 -3.069
Culver-Stockton          1 10 144 463 -2.248   79 -3.145   79 -3.273   79 -3.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.478   79 -3.415   74 -3.011

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.549 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa                   8  3 402 262 -2.004   35 -1.272   35 -1.410   36 -1.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.114   22 -1.012   51 -1.964
Tabor                    8  2 410 175 -2.248   38 -1.283   38 -1.426   33 -1.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.093   29 -1.200   40 -1.561
St Mary KS               6  5 377 298 -2.179   49 -1.852   49 -2.059   47 -1.879    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  4.925   32 -1.271   63 -2.487
Kansas Wesleyan          6  5 299 320 -2.364   50 -1.858   50 -2.067   66 -2.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.756   54 -2.125   69 -2.768
Friends                  6  5 244 204 -2.261   51 -1.873   51 -2.086   57 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.844   73 -2.828   44 -1.632
McPherson                4  5 222 186 -2.421   67 -2.506   67 -2.567   59 -2.275    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.116   62 -2.539   52 -2.010
Southwestern KS          4  7 246 349 -2.818   73 -2.818   73 -2.929   77 -3.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.044   74 -2.921   78 -3.191
Sterling                 3  7 160 226 -2.574   74 -2.840   74 -2.959   71 -2.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.071   81 -3.502   55 -2.042
Bethany KS               3  8 180 314 -2.841   78 -3.096   78 -3.195   80 -3.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.652   83 -3.657   70 -2.898
Bethel KS                0 10  58 514 -3.105   85 -3.973   85 -4.236   86 -4.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  0.911   86 -5.396   84 -4.357

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.391 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberlands KY          10  2 540 261 -0.631    7  0.238    7  0.071    7  0.036    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.620    3  0.599   19 -0.527
Georgetown KY           10  1 522 193 -1.025   10  0.088   10 -0.111    8  0.022    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.262    6  0.251    9 -0.206
Bethel TN                9  4 426 374 -1.058   16 -0.261   16 -0.561   21 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.021   12 -0.417   32 -1.273
Kentucky Christian       7  4 197 190 -1.226   22 -0.469   22 -0.842   30 -1.157    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.161   52 -2.065   14 -0.248
Cumberland TN            8  3 341 285 -1.524   23 -0.570   23 -0.864   32 -1.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.107   31 -1.226   36 -1.388
Belhaven                 6  5 362 188 -1.121   30 -1.056   31 -1.290   16 -0.589    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.508   19 -0.837   15 -0.341
Faulkner                 6  5 359 267 -1.219   31 -1.097   29 -1.269   26 -1.109    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.424   21 -0.903   34 -1.316
Virginia-Wise            3  8 181 371 -1.605   47 -1.817   48 -2.034   58 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.737   60 -2.489   54 -2.033
Union KY                 4  7 242 382 -1.791   48 -1.833   47 -2.030   60 -2.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.726   55 -2.144   62 -2.407
Campbellsville           3  8 217 345 -1.524   54 -1.897   54 -2.115   49 -1.908    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.681   53 -2.067   47 -1.749
Lindsey Wilson           3  8 312 372 -1.396   56 -1.901   56 -2.119   42 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.802   33 -1.294   58 -2.154
Pikeville                3  8 284 410 -1.637   60 -2.125   60 -2.246   51 -2.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.493   37 -1.522   65 -2.515
Bluefield                0 11 161 517 -2.001   83 -3.405   83 -3.572   81 -3.286    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.086   77 -3.194   80 -3.379

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.069 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marian IN               12  1 458 236 -0.373    1  0.909    1  0.790    6  0.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.893    5  0.252    6  0.101
St Xavier               11  2 448 214 -0.504    5  0.407    5  0.281    5  0.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.988    7  0.156    4  0.236
St Ambrose               9  2 359 208 -0.839    9  0.120    9 -0.071   12 -0.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.182   18 -0.598   10 -0.224
St Francis IN            9  3 418 223 -0.628   11  0.054   11 -0.149    9 -0.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.163    9 -0.068   13 -0.243
Grand View               8  3 298 177 -0.888   13 -0.124   13 -0.382   15 -0.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.563   25 -1.101    7 -0.032
William Penn             9  3 360 178 -1.177   17 -0.278   17 -0.583   19 -0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.111   34 -1.307   12 -0.228
St Francis IL            6  5 317 230 -1.049   26 -0.920   26 -1.123   23 -0.920    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.843   28 -1.149   23 -0.691
Siena Heights            4  6 206 268 -1.585   44 -1.632   44 -1.839   45 -1.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.211   51 -2.054   43 -1.583
Taylor                   4  6 236 241 -1.608   45 -1.754   45 -2.006   41 -1.686    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.046   47 -1.939   38 -1.432
Olivet Nazarene          3  8 204 345 -1.438   46 -1.806   46 -2.018   54 -2.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.856   56 -2.215   50 -1.884
Trinity Int'l            4  7 360 325 -1.516   53 -1.895   53 -2.112   38 -1.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.909   24 -1.099   53 -2.026
Waldorf                  4  7 360 458 -2.410   66 -2.442   66 -2.548   70 -2.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.831   40 -1.688   83 -3.700
Concordia MI             0  9  82 423 -1.919   82 -3.300   82 -3.405   82 -3.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.264   82 -3.644   73 -2.975

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.383 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Robert Morris IL         8  3 399 159 -1.880   37 -1.281   37 -1.422   29 -1.151    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.167   38 -1.538   25 -0.764
Valley City St           7  3 262 210 -1.932   39 -1.288   39 -1.433   37 -1.489    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.980   42 -1.717   31 -1.261
Edward Waters            5  6 318 377 -1.587   41 -1.499   41 -1.724   43 -1.739    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.527   30 -1.202   60 -2.275
Menlo                    3  6 241 214 -1.243   55 -1.899   55 -2.119   34 -1.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.920   35 -1.462   33 -1.305
Jamestown                4  6 200 224 -1.942   57 -2.020   57 -2.162   50 -1.984    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.588   58 -2.394   41 -1.574
Webber Int'l             4  6 169 210 -2.021   59 -2.091   59 -2.202   55 -2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.565   72 -2.772   42 -1.580
Southern Virginia        4  6 179 266 -2.150   62 -2.223   61 -2.282   56 -2.202    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.427   63 -2.566   48 -1.839
Lindenwood-Belleville    4  6 246 314 -2.455   64 -2.401   64 -2.528   72 -2.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.871   70 -2.702   71 -2.900
Point U.                 2  8 206 372 -1.926   68 -2.606   68 -2.699   64 -2.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.687   57 -2.317   66 -2.530
Ave Maria                1  7 141 301 -1.942   71 -2.770   71 -2.858   73 -2.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.266   71 -2.748   72 -2.944
Mayville St              3  6 247 301 -2.773   75 -2.891   75 -3.031   76 -3.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.898   59 -2.483   81 -3.536
Dakota St                2  9 234 401 -2.399   76 -2.950   76 -3.114   75 -2.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.764   68 -2.685   79 -3.245
Haskell                  1  8 110 452 -3.829   84 -3.941   84 -4.192   84 -4.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.008   85 -4.678   85 -4.572

Independent: strength=-2.370 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia AL             4  4 158 177 -1.241   29 -1.024   30 -1.272   35 -1.452    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.401   36 -1.498   37 -1.405
Virginia U-Lynchburg     1  8  84 243 -0.981   61 -2.156   62 -2.288   44 -1.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.596   64 -2.624   27 -0.921
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 285 440 -2.024   65 -2.405   65 -2.538   65 -2.443    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.884   43 -1.735   77 -3.152
Trinity Bible            1  7 161 394 -4.213   86 -4.178   86 -4.578   85 -4.742    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  0.596   84 -4.400   86 -5.084

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                      43  43 0.500    1 -0.176
Mid-States Football Association                          83  62 0.572    2 -1.069
Mid-South Conference                                     72  74 0.493    3 -1.391
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         58  51 0.532    4 -1.630
Heart of America Athletic Conference                     57  54 0.514    5 -1.740
Central States Football League                           20  30 0.400    6 -2.107
Independent                                               9  27 0.250    7 -2.370
NAIA Independents                                        48  80 0.375    8 -2.383
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    48  57 0.457    9 -2.549

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.176 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:38:02 2019

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