Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              15  0 387  81  0.567    1  2.044    1  1.912    1  1.616    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 14.263   10  0.516    1  2.716
Sioux Falls             13  1 602 139  0.395    2  1.399    2  1.272    2  1.420    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 13.283    1  1.246    2  1.593
Lindenwood              10  2 442 245  0.176    3  1.011    3  0.845    6  0.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 12.352    4  0.921    8  0.400
Ohio Dominican          12  1 622 279 -0.306    4  1.007    4  0.839    8  0.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 12.359    2  1.109   25 -0.413
St Francis IN           11  2 521 207  0.026    5  0.888    5  0.754    5  0.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 12.283    8  0.696    7  0.675
Missouri Valley         10  3 416 244  0.174    6  0.707    6  0.625    4  0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 11.785    7  0.736    6  0.731
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  3 472 370 -0.072    7  0.551    7  0.442   11  0.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 11.288    3  0.960   41 -0.920
Montana Tech             7  4 217 179  0.245    8  0.510    8  0.398    7  0.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 11.154   15 -0.128    4  0.849
Morningside              9  3 433 158  0.101    9  0.398    9  0.264    3  0.813    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 11.244    6  0.739    3  0.887
Northwestern IA          8  2 280 190 -0.537   10  0.387   10  0.247   21 -0.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 10.540   21 -0.354   20 -0.198
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Xavier               10  3 432 238 -0.523   11  0.132   11  0.047   13 -0.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 10.423   18 -0.253   14  0.085
Montana-Western          5  6 270 347  0.273   12  0.114   12  0.029   17 -0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 10.178    9  0.585   40 -0.903
Graceland                6  4 249 257 -0.203   13  0.086   13 -0.007   26 -0.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 10.036   20 -0.338   28 -0.473
Bethel TN               11  2 571 343 -1.048   14  0.086   15 -0.011   27 -0.409    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 10.226   12  0.309   44 -1.127
Montana St-Northern      6  5 198 153  0.153   15  0.083   14 -0.009    9  0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 10.236   25 -0.470    5  0.788
William Jewell           6  4 231 189 -0.127   16  0.051   16 -0.047   14 -0.133    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 10.137   27 -0.546   11  0.280
Southern Oregon          5  4 245 246 -0.051   17  0.034   17 -0.067   15 -0.145    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  9.990   13  0.240   29 -0.529
Baker                    6  5 275 274 -0.042   18  0.026   18 -0.075   16 -0.151    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  9.967   17 -0.210   18 -0.092
Nebraska Wesleyan        7  3 229 145 -0.506   19 -0.023   19 -0.137   19 -0.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  9.928   33 -0.843    9  0.366
Jamestown                9  2 313 145 -0.923   20 -0.045   20 -0.165   24 -0.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  9.918   29 -0.689   15  0.073
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Evangel                  6  5 259 230 -0.248   21 -0.204   21 -0.269   20 -0.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  9.741   26 -0.489   17 -0.039
Azusa Pacific            6  5 323 291 -0.222   22 -0.216   22 -0.283   18 -0.199    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  9.780   14  0.049   27 -0.448
Virginia-Wise            9  2 544 386 -1.162   23 -0.221   23 -0.291   33 -0.678    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  9.706    5  0.759   73 -2.115
Rocky Mountain           4  7 157 279  0.023   24 -0.299   24 -0.379   32 -0.627    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  9.141   36 -0.992   22 -0.261
Bethel KS                8  1 267  89 -1.440   25 -0.312   25 -0.401   28 -0.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  9.640   41 -1.088   13  0.111
Malone                   8  4 393 296 -0.810   26 -0.338   26 -0.425   29 -0.492    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  9.434   16 -0.172   36 -0.812
Black Hills St           7  4 258 144 -0.611   27 -0.357   27 -0.450   23 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  9.414   34 -0.913   10  0.316
Sterling                 8  2 333 176 -1.268   28 -0.366   28 -0.465   30 -0.548    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  9.429   22 -0.387   33 -0.709
Cumberlands KY           8  3 340 269 -1.225   29 -0.391   29 -0.492   38 -0.906    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  9.016   35 -0.950   38 -0.862
St Ambrose               8  3 322 141 -0.967   30 -0.432   30 -0.546   25 -0.387    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  9.107   31 -0.824   16  0.049
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Friends                  9  2 315 159 -1.384   31 -0.455   31 -0.575   34 -0.718    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  9.003   38 -1.032   24 -0.405
NW Oklahoma St           8  4 383 190 -0.744   32 -0.460   32 -0.579   12 -0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  9.114   19 -0.300   12  0.152
Urbana                   6  5 268 280 -0.897   33 -0.610   33 -0.734   39 -0.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  8.474   40 -1.068   37 -0.838
Minot St                 6  4 216 180 -1.001   34 -0.622   34 -0.749   36 -0.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  8.374   39 -1.034   34 -0.721
Hastings                 6  5 209 267 -1.080   35 -0.705   35 -0.854   44 -1.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  8.099   49 -1.503   43 -0.954
Benedictine KS           4  7 275 245 -0.244   36 -0.735   36 -0.887   22 -0.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  8.330   23 -0.395   19 -0.160
Georgetown KY            6  4 436 223 -0.444   37 -0.740   37 -0.897   10  0.081    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  8.560   11  0.393   21 -0.232
Walsh                    5  6 253 290 -0.841   38 -0.809   38 -0.976   41 -1.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  8.076   45 -1.248   39 -0.877
Concordia NE             4  6 203 214 -0.802   39 -1.006   40 -1.215   37 -0.902    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.620   42 -1.142   32 -0.663
Shorter                  7  4 291 221 -1.600   40 -1.007   41 -1.220   45 -1.256    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.610   50 -1.578   42 -0.934
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 266 298 -0.866   41 -1.024   43 -1.239   40 -0.977    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.544   24 -0.470   49 -1.485
Doane                    4  6 137 312 -1.144   42 -1.047   39 -1.215   52 -1.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  7.338   61 -1.950   46 -1.222
Southern Nazarene        6  4 250 210 -1.553   43 -1.062   42 -1.237   48 -1.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  7.464   55 -1.755   45 -1.137
McKendree                6  4 284 165 -1.330   44 -1.066   44 -1.243   35 -0.734    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.785   37 -1.025   26 -0.443
Langston                 5  4 194 148 -1.435   45 -1.183   45 -1.298   43 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  7.502   56 -1.787   30 -0.635
Central Methodist        2  8 119 257 -0.401   46 -1.215   46 -1.329   42 -1.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  7.225   59 -1.831   23 -0.337
Quincy                   6  5 235 264 -1.540   47 -1.220   47 -1.342   50 -1.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  7.249   53 -1.728   47 -1.262
Eastern Oregon           1 10 190 314  0.075   48 -1.237   48 -1.355   31 -0.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  7.296   28 -0.580   31 -0.642
Olivet Nazarene          5  5 259 270 -1.425   49 -1.247   49 -1.374   49 -1.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  7.209   43 -1.150   60 -1.758
Bethany KS               6  4 170 206 -1.885   50 -1.288   50 -1.422   66 -2.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.991   79 -2.484   51 -1.528
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Peru St                  6  5 259 306 -1.721   51 -1.333   51 -1.452   53 -1.642    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  7.000   51 -1.652   54 -1.632
Valley City St           4  6 210 318 -1.436   52 -1.470   52 -1.544   57 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.428   46 -1.360   74 -2.143
Dana                     4  7 171 314 -1.343   53 -1.470   53 -1.544   55 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.403   63 -2.007   48 -1.392
Avila                    2  9 240 390 -0.659   54 -1.543   54 -1.639   47 -1.418    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  6.274   44 -1.158   56 -1.678
Belhaven                 5  6 373 410 -1.720   55 -1.623   56 -1.750   58 -1.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  6.172   32 -0.832   85 -2.695
Pikeville                4  7 238 383 -1.555   56 -1.635   55 -1.743   62 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  6.147   64 -2.030   57 -1.715
Edward Waters            5  6 254 305 -1.824   57 -1.663   57 -1.786   64 -1.948    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  6.124   57 -1.818   71 -2.079
Kansas Wesleyan          5  5 230 218 -1.869   58 -1.669   58 -1.793   56 -1.727    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  6.167   58 -1.827   53 -1.626
Culver-Stockton          1 10 236 437 -0.577   59 -1.682   59 -1.801   46 -1.318    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  6.085   30 -0.798   63 -1.838
Midland Lutheran         2  8 119 344 -1.227   60 -1.690   60 -1.815   68 -2.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.759   75 -2.355   59 -1.741
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Union KY                 4  7 287 334 -1.702   61 -1.705   61 -1.837   54 -1.659    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  6.071   47 -1.385   68 -1.934
Southwestern KS          4  6 149 276 -1.856   62 -1.714   62 -1.847   78 -2.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.780   82 -2.618   69 -1.992
William Penn             5  6 225 324 -2.007   63 -1.763   63 -1.911   72 -2.138    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.632   68 -2.086   76 -2.191
Dickinson St             3  7 140 189 -1.331   64 -1.768   64 -1.915   51 -1.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.825   73 -2.231   35 -0.790
Dakota St                3  6 151 191 -1.562   65 -1.880   65 -1.989   59 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.562   62 -1.962   52 -1.609
Webber Int'l             3  6 173 273 -1.643   66 -1.894   66 -2.010   60 -1.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.578   66 -2.058   50 -1.521
Lambuth                  3  8 292 457 -1.563   67 -1.904   67 -2.022   67 -2.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  5.355   48 -1.426   84 -2.658
St Francis IL            3  8 155 358 -1.653   68 -1.937   68 -2.065   73 -2.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  5.189   78 -2.475   67 -1.878
Ottawa                   4  6 188 228 -1.973   69 -1.949   70 -2.082   71 -2.132    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  5.326   76 -2.415   65 -1.850
Bacone                   4  7 263 378 -1.910   70 -1.950   69 -2.081   70 -2.101    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  5.176   52 -1.723   80 -2.478
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia AL             2  9 196 357 -1.269   71 -1.969   71 -2.102   63 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  5.358   65 -2.056   62 -1.795
Cumberland TN            3  7 209 317 -1.721   72 -1.999   72 -2.140   65 -1.999    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  5.189   70 -2.158   64 -1.840
McPherson                4  6 214 281 -2.091   73 -2.037   73 -2.169   75 -2.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  5.122   67 -2.066   77 -2.315
Texas College            3  7 179 283 -1.792   74 -2.043   74 -2.175   74 -2.183    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  5.081   80 -2.502   66 -1.864
Southern Virginia        4  5 258 328 -2.286   75 -2.056   75 -2.194   81 -2.427    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.928   54 -1.743   90 -3.112
St Mary KS               3  6 148 217 -1.935   76 -2.068   76 -2.213   69 -2.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  5.092   77 -2.437   58 -1.737
Trinity Int'l            2  9 163 319 -1.660   77 -2.216   77 -2.401   77 -2.286    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.738   81 -2.536   70 -2.036
Marian                   1  9 156 397 -1.397   78 -2.261   78 -2.456   76 -2.205    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.660   72 -2.221   75 -2.189
Taylor                   2  9 199 434 -1.810   79 -2.319   79 -2.537   79 -2.322    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.518   69 -2.120   82 -2.524
Mayville St              2  8  94 226 -1.940   80 -2.329   80 -2.549   80 -2.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.443   84 -3.184   55 -1.664
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
South Dakota Tech        3  7 113 245 -2.446   81 -2.437   81 -2.552   84 -2.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  4.353   87 -3.541   72 -2.112
West Virginia Tech       1 10 121 492 -1.658   82 -2.486   82 -2.611   85 -2.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  4.293   86 -3.233   81 -2.484
Haskell                  2  8 149 376 -2.509   83 -2.751   83 -2.971   89 -3.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.659   83 -3.113   89 -3.098
Waldorf                  2  9 121 347 -2.426   84 -2.779   84 -3.012   87 -3.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.689   88 -3.565   78 -2.455
Briar Cliff              0 11 168 342 -1.288   85 -2.785   85 -3.014   61 -1.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.919   60 -1.874   61 -1.785
Tabor                    1  9 209 342 -2.194   86 -2.918   86 -3.183   83 -2.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.535   71 -2.172   88 -3.049
SW Assem of God          1  9 218 314 -2.252   87 -2.985   87 -3.279   82 -2.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.399   74 -2.312   86 -2.767
Campbellsville           0 10 139 408 -1.906   88 -2.999   88 -3.298   86 -2.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.247   85 -3.186   83 -2.652
Faulkner                 0  9 114 320 -2.279   89 -3.181   89 -3.526   90 -3.271    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  2.904   89 -3.585   87 -2.958
Iowa Wesleyan            0 11  92 367 -2.140   90 -3.184   90 -3.532   88 -3.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  2.911   90 -3.695   79 -2.456


Central States Football League: strength=-1.486 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St           8  4 383 190 -0.744   32 -0.460   32 -0.579   12 -0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  9.114   19 -0.300   12  0.152
Southern Nazarene        6  4 250 210 -1.553   43 -1.062   42 -1.237   48 -1.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  7.464   55 -1.755   45 -1.137
Langston                 5  4 194 148 -1.435   45 -1.183   45 -1.298   43 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  7.502   56 -1.787   30 -0.635
Bacone                   4  7 263 378 -1.910   70 -1.950   69 -2.081   70 -2.101    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  5.176   52 -1.723   80 -2.478
Texas College            3  7 179 283 -1.792   74 -2.043   74 -2.175   74 -2.183    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  5.081   80 -2.502   66 -1.864

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.521 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Jamestown                9  2 313 145 -0.923   20 -0.045   20 -0.165   24 -0.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  9.918   29 -0.689   15  0.073
Black Hills St           7  4 258 144 -0.611   27 -0.357   27 -0.450   23 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  9.414   34 -0.913   10  0.316
Minot St                 6  4 216 180 -1.001   34 -0.622   34 -0.749   36 -0.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  8.374   39 -1.034   34 -0.721
Valley City St           4  6 210 318 -1.436   52 -1.470   52 -1.544   57 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.428   46 -1.360   74 -2.143
Dickinson St             3  7 140 189 -1.331   64 -1.768   64 -1.915   51 -1.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.825   73 -2.231   35 -0.790
Dakota St                3  6 151 191 -1.562   65 -1.880   65 -1.989   59 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.562   62 -1.962   52 -1.609
Mayville St              2  8  94 226 -1.940   80 -2.329   80 -2.549   80 -2.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.443   84 -3.184   55 -1.664
South Dakota Tech        3  7 113 245 -2.446   81 -2.437   81 -2.552   84 -2.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  4.353   87 -3.541   72 -2.112

Frontier Conference: strength=0.196 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              15  0 387  81  0.567    1  2.044    1  1.912    1  1.616    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 14.263   10  0.516    1  2.716
Montana Tech             7  4 217 179  0.245    8  0.510    8  0.398    7  0.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 11.154   15 -0.128    4  0.849
Montana-Western          5  6 270 347  0.273   12  0.114   12  0.029   17 -0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 10.178    9  0.585   40 -0.903
Montana St-Northern      6  5 198 153  0.153   15  0.083   14 -0.009    9  0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 10.236   25 -0.470    5  0.788
Rocky Mountain           4  7 157 279  0.023   24 -0.299   24 -0.379   32 -0.627    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  9.141   36 -0.992   22 -0.261
Eastern Oregon           1 10 190 314  0.075   48 -1.237   48 -1.355   31 -0.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  7.296   28 -0.580   31 -0.642

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-0.866 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls             13  1 602 139  0.395    2  1.399    2  1.272    2  1.420    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 13.283    1  1.246    2  1.593
Morningside              9  3 433 158  0.101    9  0.398    9  0.264    3  0.813    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 11.244    6  0.739    3  0.887
Northwestern IA          8  2 280 190 -0.537   10  0.387   10  0.247   21 -0.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 10.540   21 -0.354   20 -0.198
Nebraska Wesleyan        7  3 229 145 -0.506   19 -0.023   19 -0.137   19 -0.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  9.928   33 -0.843    9  0.366
Hastings                 6  5 209 267 -1.080   35 -0.705   35 -0.854   44 -1.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  8.099   49 -1.503   43 -0.954
Concordia NE             4  6 203 214 -0.802   39 -1.006   40 -1.215   37 -0.902    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.620   42 -1.142   32 -0.663
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 266 298 -0.866   41 -1.024   43 -1.239   40 -0.977    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.544   24 -0.470   49 -1.485
Doane                    4  6 137 312 -1.144   42 -1.047   39 -1.215   52 -1.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  7.338   61 -1.950   46 -1.222
Dana                     4  7 171 314 -1.343   53 -1.470   53 -1.544   55 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.403   63 -2.007   48 -1.392
Midland Lutheran         2  8 119 344 -1.227   60 -1.690   60 -1.815   68 -2.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.759   75 -2.355   59 -1.741
Briar Cliff              0 11 168 342 -1.288   85 -2.785   85 -3.014   61 -1.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.919   60 -1.874   61 -1.785

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-0.183 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindenwood              10  2 442 245  0.176    3  1.011    3  0.845    6  0.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 12.352    4  0.921    8  0.400
Missouri Valley         10  3 416 244  0.174    6  0.707    6  0.625    4  0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 11.785    7  0.736    6  0.731
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  3 472 370 -0.072    7  0.551    7  0.442   11  0.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 11.288    3  0.960   41 -0.920
Graceland                6  4 249 257 -0.203   13  0.086   13 -0.007   26 -0.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 10.036   20 -0.338   28 -0.473
William Jewell           6  4 231 189 -0.127   16  0.051   16 -0.047   14 -0.133    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 10.137   27 -0.546   11  0.280
Baker                    6  5 275 274 -0.042   18  0.026   18 -0.075   16 -0.151    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  9.967   17 -0.210   18 -0.092
Evangel                  6  5 259 230 -0.248   21 -0.204   21 -0.269   20 -0.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  9.741   26 -0.489   17 -0.039
Benedictine KS           4  7 275 245 -0.244   36 -0.735   36 -0.887   22 -0.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  8.330   23 -0.395   19 -0.160
Central Methodist        2  8 119 257 -0.401   46 -1.215   46 -1.329   42 -1.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  7.225   59 -1.831   23 -0.337
Avila                    2  9 240 390 -0.659   54 -1.543   54 -1.639   47 -1.418    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  6.274   44 -1.158   56 -1.678
Culver-Stockton          1 10 236 437 -0.577   59 -1.682   59 -1.801   46 -1.318    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  6.085   30 -0.798   63 -1.838

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-1.821 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethel KS                8  1 267  89 -1.440   25 -0.312   25 -0.401   28 -0.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  9.640   41 -1.088   13  0.111
Sterling                 8  2 333 176 -1.268   28 -0.366   28 -0.465   30 -0.548    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  9.429   22 -0.387   33 -0.709
Friends                  9  2 315 159 -1.384   31 -0.455   31 -0.575   34 -0.718    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  9.003   38 -1.032   24 -0.405
Bethany KS               6  4 170 206 -1.885   50 -1.288   50 -1.422   66 -2.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.991   79 -2.484   51 -1.528
Kansas Wesleyan          5  5 230 218 -1.869   58 -1.669   58 -1.793   56 -1.727    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  6.167   58 -1.827   53 -1.626
Southwestern KS          4  6 149 276 -1.856   62 -1.714   62 -1.847   78 -2.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.780   82 -2.618   69 -1.992
Ottawa                   4  6 188 228 -1.973   69 -1.949   70 -2.082   71 -2.132    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  5.326   76 -2.415   65 -1.850
McPherson                4  6 214 281 -2.091   73 -2.037   73 -2.169   75 -2.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  5.122   67 -2.066   77 -2.315
St Mary KS               3  6 148 217 -1.935   76 -2.068   76 -2.213   69 -2.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  5.092   77 -2.437   58 -1.737
Tabor                    1  9 209 342 -2.194   86 -2.918   86 -3.183   83 -2.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.535   71 -2.172   88 -3.049

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.610 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethel TN               11  2 571 343 -1.048   14  0.086   15 -0.011   27 -0.409    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 10.226   12  0.309   44 -1.127
Virginia-Wise            9  2 544 386 -1.162   23 -0.221   23 -0.291   33 -0.678    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  9.706    5  0.759   73 -2.115
Cumberlands KY           8  3 340 269 -1.225   29 -0.391   29 -0.492   38 -0.906    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  9.016   35 -0.950   38 -0.862
Georgetown KY            6  4 436 223 -0.444   37 -0.740   37 -0.897   10  0.081    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  8.560   11  0.393   21 -0.232
Shorter                  7  4 291 221 -1.600   40 -1.007   41 -1.220   45 -1.256    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.610   50 -1.578   42 -0.934
Belhaven                 5  6 373 410 -1.720   55 -1.623   56 -1.750   58 -1.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  6.172   32 -0.832   85 -2.695
Pikeville                4  7 238 383 -1.555   56 -1.635   55 -1.743   62 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  6.147   64 -2.030   57 -1.715
Union KY                 4  7 287 334 -1.702   61 -1.705   61 -1.837   54 -1.659    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  6.071   47 -1.385   68 -1.934
Lambuth                  3  8 292 457 -1.563   67 -1.904   67 -2.022   67 -2.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  5.355   48 -1.426   84 -2.658
Cumberland TN            3  7 209 317 -1.721   72 -1.999   72 -2.140   65 -1.999    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  5.189   70 -2.158   64 -1.840
West Virginia Tech       1 10 121 492 -1.658   82 -2.486   82 -2.611   85 -2.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  4.293   86 -3.233   81 -2.484
Campbellsville           0 10 139 408 -1.906   88 -2.999   88 -3.298   86 -2.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.247   85 -3.186   83 -2.652

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.280 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio Dominican          12  1 622 279 -0.306    4  1.007    4  0.839    8  0.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 12.359    2  1.109   25 -0.413
St Francis IN           11  2 521 207  0.026    5  0.888    5  0.754    5  0.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 12.283    8  0.696    7  0.675
St Xavier               10  3 432 238 -0.523   11  0.132   11  0.047   13 -0.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 10.423   18 -0.253   14  0.085
Malone                   8  4 393 296 -0.810   26 -0.338   26 -0.425   29 -0.492    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  9.434   16 -0.172   36 -0.812
St Ambrose               8  3 322 141 -0.967   30 -0.432   30 -0.546   25 -0.387    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  9.107   31 -0.824   16  0.049
Urbana                   6  5 268 280 -0.897   33 -0.610   33 -0.734   39 -0.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  8.474   40 -1.068   37 -0.838
Walsh                    5  6 253 290 -0.841   38 -0.809   38 -0.976   41 -1.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  8.076   45 -1.248   39 -0.877
McKendree                6  4 284 165 -1.330   44 -1.066   44 -1.243   35 -0.734    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.785   37 -1.025   26 -0.443
Quincy                   6  5 235 264 -1.540   47 -1.220   47 -1.342   50 -1.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  7.249   53 -1.728   47 -1.262
Olivet Nazarene          5  5 259 270 -1.425   49 -1.247   49 -1.374   49 -1.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  7.209   43 -1.150   60 -1.758
William Penn             5  6 225 324 -2.007   63 -1.763   63 -1.911   72 -2.138    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.632   68 -2.086   76 -2.191
St Francis IL            3  8 155 358 -1.653   68 -1.937   68 -2.065   73 -2.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  5.189   78 -2.475   67 -1.878
Trinity Int'l            2  9 163 319 -1.660   77 -2.216   77 -2.401   77 -2.286    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.738   81 -2.536   70 -2.036
Marian                   1  9 156 397 -1.397   78 -2.261   78 -2.456   76 -2.205    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.660   72 -2.221   75 -2.189
Taylor                   2  9 199 434 -1.810   79 -2.319   79 -2.537   79 -2.322    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.518   69 -2.120   82 -2.524
Iowa Wesleyan            0 11  92 367 -2.140   90 -3.184   90 -3.532   88 -3.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  2.911   90 -3.695   79 -2.456

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.239 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon          5  4 245 246 -0.051   17  0.034   17 -0.067   15 -0.145    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  9.990   13  0.240   29 -0.529
Azusa Pacific            6  5 323 291 -0.222   22 -0.216   22 -0.283   18 -0.199    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  9.780   14  0.049   27 -0.448
Peru St                  6  5 259 306 -1.721   51 -1.333   51 -1.452   53 -1.642    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  7.000   51 -1.652   54 -1.632
Edward Waters            5  6 254 305 -1.824   57 -1.663   57 -1.786   64 -1.948    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  6.124   57 -1.818   71 -2.079
Webber Int'l             3  6 173 273 -1.643   66 -1.894   66 -2.010   60 -1.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.578   66 -2.058   50 -1.521
Concordia AL             2  9 196 357 -1.269   71 -1.969   71 -2.102   63 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  5.358   65 -2.056   62 -1.795
Southern Virginia        4  5 258 328 -2.286   75 -2.056   75 -2.194   81 -2.427    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.928   54 -1.743   90 -3.112
Haskell                  2  8 149 376 -2.509   83 -2.751   83 -2.971   89 -3.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.659   83 -3.113   89 -3.098
Waldorf                  2  9 121 347 -2.426   84 -2.779   84 -3.012   87 -3.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.689   88 -3.565   78 -2.455
SW Assem of God          1  9 218 314 -2.252   87 -2.985   87 -3.279   82 -2.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.399   74 -2.312   86 -2.767
Faulkner                 0  9 114 320 -2.279   89 -3.181   89 -3.526   90 -3.271    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  2.904   89 -3.585   87 -2.958

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     38 32 0.543    1  0.196
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    62 60 0.508    2 -0.183
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        61 58 0.513    3 -0.866
Mid-States Football Association                         90 90 0.500    4 -1.280
Central States Football League                          26 26 0.500    5 -1.486
Dakota Athletic Conference                              37 44 0.457    6 -1.521
Mid-South Conference                                    61 70 0.466    7 -1.610
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   52 47 0.525    8 -1.821
NAIA Independents                                       36 75 0.324    9 -2.239

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.182 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:42 2019

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