Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              14  0 541 132  0.139    1  1.639    1  1.490    1  1.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.856    1  1.309    1  1.857
St Francis IN           13  1 533 168  0.033    2  1.154    2  1.084    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.146    2  0.652    2  1.079
Morningside             12  1 550 192 -0.493    3  0.598    3  0.497    3  0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.236    3  0.553    5  0.385
Sioux Falls             11  2 450 234 -0.555    4  0.441    4  0.312    5  0.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.821    7  0.016    7  0.003
Montana Tech             9  4 253 262 -0.238    5  0.358    5  0.263    8 -0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.446   17 -0.614    6  0.110
Azusa Pacific            6  4 221 214 -0.014    6  0.125    6  0.056    7 -0.163    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.044   10 -0.323    8 -0.004
Eastern Oregon           6  3 187 208 -0.471    7 -0.061    7 -0.118   18 -0.711    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.565   24 -0.925   12 -0.496
St Xavier                9  3 393 245 -0.646    8 -0.093    8 -0.155    9 -0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.711    6  0.034   13 -0.543
Evangel                  9  3 409 346 -1.047    9 -0.312    9 -0.344   21 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.961    4  0.080   49 -1.634
Mary                     7  2 228 107 -0.947   10 -0.345   10 -0.384   14 -0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.966   25 -0.958    9 -0.156
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
McKendree                8  3 336 116 -0.584   11 -0.393   11 -0.405    4  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.400   15 -0.591    3  0.740
Tabor                   11  1 457 216 -1.824   12 -0.398   12 -0.414   30 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.908   22 -0.904   36 -1.228
Georgetown KY            9  3 465 263 -0.875   13 -0.435   13 -0.463   10 -0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.043    5  0.035   15 -0.631
Dickinson St             7  4 271 144 -0.526   14 -0.467   15 -0.500    6 -0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.860   18 -0.622    4  0.527
Valley City St           7  3 251 142 -0.834   15 -0.504   14 -0.480   12 -0.515    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.791   19 -0.816   10 -0.214
Montana St-Northern      5  5 256 244 -0.229   16 -0.521   16 -0.501   11 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.767    8  0.008   14 -0.605
St Ambrose               8  3 344 230 -1.048   17 -0.556   17 -0.548   16 -0.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.664   11 -0.431   25 -0.917
Black Hills St           7  3 281 183 -0.960   18 -0.569   18 -0.559   19 -0.741    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.552   12 -0.490   28 -0.993
Webber Int'l             6  2 244 153 -1.162   19 -0.631   19 -0.640   22 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.633   20 -0.829   17 -0.725
Northwestern IA          8  3 357 239 -1.038   20 -0.632   20 -0.640   13 -0.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.399    9 -0.261   19 -0.787
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Walsh                    8  3 306 187 -1.146   21 -0.658   21 -0.671   15 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.413   21 -0.876   11 -0.435
Graceland                9  3 382 253 -1.272   22 -0.685   22 -0.704   23 -0.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.290   14 -0.583   31 -1.020
Geneva                   8  4 331 262 -1.079   23 -0.754   23 -0.785   24 -0.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.211   23 -0.910   20 -0.816
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 253 189 -1.323   24 -0.806   24 -0.853   31 -1.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.977   42 -1.325   24 -0.913
Cumberlands KY           8  3 345 301 -1.571   25 -0.860   25 -0.918   43 -1.418    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.861   31 -1.102   53 -1.733
Langston                 7  3 347 169 -1.221   26 -0.888   26 -0.951   17 -0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.138   13 -0.498   22 -0.910
William Penn             6  5 273 267 -1.061   27 -0.921   27 -0.990   28 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.699   26 -0.962   32 -1.162
Midland Lutheran         6  4 238 298 -1.349   28 -0.943   28 -1.018   49 -1.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.434   44 -1.343   59 -1.944
Lindenwood               7  4 287 200 -1.298   29 -0.958   29 -1.034   25 -0.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.681   34 -1.178   18 -0.730
Bethel TN                7  4 398 242 -1.290   30 -1.038   30 -1.133   20 -0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.677   16 -0.601   26 -0.919
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pikeville                7  3 297 261 -1.759   31 -1.042   31 -1.140   44 -1.456    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.328   43 -1.326   46 -1.587
Benedictine KS           6  4 266 223 -1.364   32 -1.065   32 -1.164   36 -1.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.324   37 -1.198   38 -1.335
William Jewell           6  4 254 223 -1.380   33 -1.082   33 -1.185   35 -1.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.292   38 -1.262   37 -1.261
Montana-Western          2  9 185 388 -0.188   34 -1.134   34 -1.247   26 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.138   28 -1.019   27 -0.978
Southern Nazarene        6  4 249 203 -1.554   35 -1.136   35 -1.254   46 -1.489    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.196   52 -1.613   40 -1.364
Texas College            6  4 238 228 -1.530   36 -1.163   36 -1.288   39 -1.349    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.166   39 -1.268   42 -1.430
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 207 256 -1.351   37 -1.208   37 -1.341   50 -1.647    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.828   53 -1.773   44 -1.522
Quincy                   5  6 268 357 -1.261   38 -1.225   38 -1.361   40 -1.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.857   29 -1.036   52 -1.721
Olivet Nazarene          6  6 273 223 -1.228   39 -1.230   39 -1.365   29 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.042   40 -1.284   21 -0.841
Minot St                 4  6 174 208 -0.961   40 -1.258   40 -1.396   34 -1.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.797   50 -1.562   23 -0.910
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Urbana                   6  5 283 301 -1.701   41 -1.355   41 -1.518   52 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.583   45 -1.381   62 -2.001
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 226 182 -2.579   42 -1.377   42 -1.551   69 -2.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.506   79 -2.658   60 -1.957
Dana                     5  6 272 329 -1.471   43 -1.412   43 -1.586   47 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.357   33 -1.159   61 -1.958
Bacone                   4  6 180 262 -1.397   44 -1.418   44 -1.592   51 -1.687    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.518   58 -1.968   41 -1.406
Dakota St                4  6 179 202 -1.322   45 -1.442   45 -1.620   45 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.323   54 -1.774   33 -1.190
Concordia AL             4  4 161 245 -1.676   46 -1.459   46 -1.643   54 -1.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.329   56 -1.802   51 -1.697
NW Oklahoma St           4  5 255 180 -1.296   47 -1.469   47 -1.653   27 -1.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.618   27 -0.993   30 -1.019
Concordia NE             4  6 216 229 -1.306   48 -1.492   49 -1.679   41 -1.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.306   49 -1.539   35 -1.226
Hastings                 4  6 241 274 -1.342   49 -1.537   48 -1.678   42 -1.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.282   35 -1.189   48 -1.607
Missouri Valley          5  6 311 249 -1.456   50 -1.544   50 -1.686   37 -1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.360   30 -1.089   43 -1.446
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Union KY                 4  6 277 413 -1.481   51 -1.634   51 -1.721   53 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.218   32 -1.146   70 -2.320
Jamestown                3  7 188 162 -1.059   52 -1.725   52 -1.840   32 -1.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.165   51 -1.609   16 -0.712
Briar Cliff              4  7 158 305 -1.648   53 -1.733   53 -1.850   67 -2.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.767   77 -2.564   57 -1.844
Rocky Mountain           1 10 181 363 -0.408   54 -1.745   54 -1.859   38 -1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.999   36 -1.193   39 -1.348
Friends                  7  3 314 188 -2.367   55 -1.776   55 -1.908   48 -1.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.091   48 -1.440   54 -1.745
Northwestern MN          8  3 387 152 -2.713   56 -1.781   56 -1.915   62 -2.076    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.999   74 -2.496   50 -1.655
Trinity Int'l            3  7 173 278 -1.422   57 -1.801   57 -1.933   57 -1.880    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.759   60 -2.009   55 -1.751
Lambuth                  5  6 219 339 -2.050   58 -1.836   58 -1.980   71 -2.354    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.601   73 -2.493   67 -2.216
Culver-Stockton          3  7 182 246 -1.510   59 -1.856   59 -2.001   56 -1.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.686   65 -2.134   47 -1.605
Malone                   3  7 197 317 -1.617   60 -1.860   60 -2.005   65 -2.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.612   64 -2.062   69 -2.250
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon          1  9 166 303 -0.475   61 -1.866   61 -2.008   33 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.786   47 -1.427   29 -0.995
Belhaven                 5  6 350 384 -1.964   62 -1.887   62 -2.047   59 -1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.625   46 -1.416   80 -2.581
Central Methodist        3  8 202 354 -1.552   63 -1.918   63 -2.084   66 -2.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.495   67 -2.227   65 -2.178
Baker                    3  8 275 347 -1.513   64 -1.948   64 -2.119   55 -1.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.527   41 -1.325   73 -2.366
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 164 333 -1.587   65 -1.980   65 -2.165   63 -2.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  5.380   70 -2.402   56 -1.765
Paul Quinn               3  6 149 257 -1.874   66 -1.984   66 -2.170   70 -2.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.430   80 -2.724   58 -1.900
Doane                    2  8 155 262 -1.455   67 -1.996   67 -2.182   58 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  5.370   69 -2.326   45 -1.524
Ohio Dominican           3  7 222 346 -1.735   68 -2.028   68 -2.223   61 -2.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  5.300   55 -1.780   72 -2.355
St Francis IL            2  9 136 349 -1.533   69 -2.031   69 -2.224   75 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  5.199   81 -2.789   68 -2.232
Edward Waters            2  7 130 334 -1.658   70 -2.032   70 -2.227   72 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  5.279   75 -2.533   71 -2.350
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sterling                 5  4 248 192 -2.392   71 -2.053   71 -2.258   64 -2.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.452   63 -2.042   66 -2.202
Allen                    4  4 172 234 -2.517   72 -2.177   72 -2.286   80 -2.641    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  5.196   76 -2.542   84 -2.739
Mayville St              2  8 107 359 -1.907   73 -2.251   73 -2.358   84 -2.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.741   84 -2.960   79 -2.560
Waldorf                  2  9 105 327 -1.696   74 -2.321   74 -2.446   79 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.652   86 -3.189   63 -2.081
Ottawa                   5  5 191 253 -2.692   75 -2.347   75 -2.482   86 -2.940    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.733   85 -3.038   87 -2.842
St Mary KS               5  5  97 127 -2.630   76 -2.358   77 -2.497   74 -2.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.840   92 -3.783   34 -1.223
McPherson                5  5 218 311 -2.790   77 -2.408   76 -2.489   89 -3.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.632   83 -2.871   91 -3.351
Virginia-Wise            4  7 256 330 -2.279   78 -2.418   78 -2.499   77 -2.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.769   72 -2.479   81 -2.644
Kentucky Wesleyan        3  7 216 319 -2.185   79 -2.497   79 -2.597   78 -2.605    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.536   71 -2.470   83 -2.739
Campbellsville           2  8 268 421 -1.933   80 -2.557   80 -2.669   76 -2.549    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  4.468   57 -1.806   90 -3.293
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota Wesleyan          1  9 178 327 -1.493   81 -2.569   81 -2.683   60 -2.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.492   62 -2.036   64 -2.089
Haskell                  4  7 164 273 -2.758   82 -2.627   82 -2.759   88 -3.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  4.152   91 -3.617   76 -2.486
Shorter                  2  8 241 309 -1.957   83 -2.673   83 -2.819   68 -2.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  4.401   66 -2.167   75 -2.399
Southwestern KS          3  7 265 332 -2.568   84 -2.761   84 -2.925   82 -2.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  4.082   59 -1.981   93 -3.449
Seton Hill               1  9 147 347 -1.850   85 -2.772   85 -2.934   83 -2.752    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  4.021   82 -2.800   82 -2.705
South Dakota Tech        1  9  82 339 -1.974   86 -2.800   86 -2.973   87 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.804   89 -3.424   77 -2.505
Bethel KS                3  7 275 295 -2.673   87 -2.951   87 -3.141   73 -2.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.874   61 -2.036   88 -2.954
Cumberland TN            2  8 261 356 -2.437   88 -2.973   88 -3.166   85 -2.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.615   68 -2.294   92 -3.406
Southern Virginia        2  5 108 175 -2.932   89 -3.092   89 -3.193   93 -3.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  3.395   90 -3.612   85 -2.768
Avila                    0 10  72 328 -1.770   90 -3.205   90 -3.330   90 -3.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  2.941   94 -3.939   74 -2.383
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethany KS               2  8 171 292 -2.785   91 -3.248   91 -3.392   92 -3.185    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  3.154   87 -3.200   89 -3.169
Taylor                   0 10 159 407 -1.731   92 -3.254   92 -3.394   81 -2.703    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  3.011   78 -2.587   86 -2.819
Peru St                  1 10 106 337 -2.367   93 -3.283   93 -3.452   91 -3.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  2.911   93 -3.807   78 -2.548
SW Assem of God          2  8 244 329 -3.319   94 -3.609   94 -3.917   94 -3.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  2.390   88 -3.309   94 -3.894
Crown                    3  6 141 248 -4.895   95 -4.086   95 -4.571   95 -4.828    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   95  1.341   95 -5.146   95 -4.510
Trinity Bible            1  9  46 477 -5.888   96 -4.893   96 -5.861   96 -6.755    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   96  0.026   96 -7.416   96 -6.094


Central States Football League: strength=-1.701 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 7  3 347 169 -1.221   26 -0.888   26 -0.951   17 -0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.138   13 -0.498   22 -0.910
Southern Nazarene        6  4 249 203 -1.554   35 -1.136   35 -1.254   46 -1.489    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.196   52 -1.613   40 -1.364
Texas College            6  4 238 228 -1.530   36 -1.163   36 -1.288   39 -1.349    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.166   39 -1.268   42 -1.430
Bacone                   4  6 180 262 -1.397   44 -1.418   44 -1.592   51 -1.687    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.518   58 -1.968   41 -1.406
NW Oklahoma St           4  5 255 180 -1.296   47 -1.469   47 -1.653   27 -1.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.618   27 -0.993   30 -1.019
Haskell                  4  7 164 273 -2.758   82 -2.627   82 -2.759   88 -3.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  4.152   91 -3.617   76 -2.486
Peru St                  1 10 106 337 -2.367   93 -3.283   93 -3.452   91 -3.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  2.911   93 -3.807   78 -2.548

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.100 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mary                     7  2 228 107 -0.947   10 -0.345   10 -0.384   14 -0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.966   25 -0.958    9 -0.156
Dickinson St             7  4 271 144 -0.526   14 -0.467   15 -0.500    6 -0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.860   18 -0.622    4  0.527
Valley City St           7  3 251 142 -0.834   15 -0.504   14 -0.480   12 -0.515    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.791   19 -0.816   10 -0.214
Black Hills St           7  3 281 183 -0.960   18 -0.569   18 -0.559   19 -0.741    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.552   12 -0.490   28 -0.993
Minot St                 4  6 174 208 -0.961   40 -1.258   40 -1.396   34 -1.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.797   50 -1.562   23 -0.910
Dakota St                4  6 179 202 -1.322   45 -1.442   45 -1.620   45 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.323   54 -1.774   33 -1.190
Jamestown                3  7 188 162 -1.059   52 -1.725   52 -1.840   32 -1.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.165   51 -1.609   16 -0.712
Mayville St              2  8 107 359 -1.907   73 -2.251   73 -2.358   84 -2.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.741   84 -2.960   79 -2.560
South Dakota Tech        1  9  82 339 -1.974   86 -2.800   86 -2.973   87 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.804   89 -3.424   77 -2.505

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.311 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              14  0 541 132  0.139    1  1.639    1  1.490    1  1.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.856    1  1.309    1  1.857
Montana Tech             9  4 253 262 -0.238    5  0.358    5  0.263    8 -0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.446   17 -0.614    6  0.110
Eastern Oregon           6  3 187 208 -0.471    7 -0.061    7 -0.118   18 -0.711    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.565   24 -0.925   12 -0.496
Montana St-Northern      5  5 256 244 -0.229   16 -0.521   16 -0.501   11 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.767    8  0.008   14 -0.605
Montana-Western          2  9 185 388 -0.188   34 -1.134   34 -1.247   26 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.138   28 -1.019   27 -0.978
Rocky Mountain           1 10 181 363 -0.408   54 -1.745   54 -1.859   38 -1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.999   36 -1.193   39 -1.348

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.315 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             12  1 550 192 -0.493    3  0.598    3  0.497    3  0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.236    3  0.553    5  0.385
Sioux Falls             11  2 450 234 -0.555    4  0.441    4  0.312    5  0.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.821    7  0.016    7  0.003
Northwestern IA          8  3 357 239 -1.038   20 -0.632   20 -0.640   13 -0.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.399    9 -0.261   19 -0.787
Midland Lutheran         6  4 238 298 -1.349   28 -0.943   28 -1.018   49 -1.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.434   44 -1.343   59 -1.944
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 207 256 -1.351   37 -1.208   37 -1.341   50 -1.647    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.828   53 -1.773   44 -1.522
Dana                     5  6 272 329 -1.471   43 -1.412   43 -1.586   47 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.357   33 -1.159   61 -1.958
Concordia NE             4  6 216 229 -1.306   48 -1.492   49 -1.679   41 -1.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.306   49 -1.539   35 -1.226
Hastings                 4  6 241 274 -1.342   49 -1.537   48 -1.678   42 -1.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.282   35 -1.189   48 -1.607
Briar Cliff              4  7 158 305 -1.648   53 -1.733   53 -1.850   67 -2.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.767   77 -2.564   57 -1.844
Doane                    2  8 155 262 -1.455   67 -1.996   67 -2.182   58 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  5.370   69 -2.326   45 -1.524
Dakota Wesleyan          1  9 178 327 -1.493   81 -2.569   81 -2.683   60 -2.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.492   62 -2.036   64 -2.089

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.418 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Evangel                  9  3 409 346 -1.047    9 -0.312    9 -0.344   21 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.961    4  0.080   49 -1.634
Graceland                9  3 382 253 -1.272   22 -0.685   22 -0.704   23 -0.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.290   14 -0.583   31 -1.020
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 253 189 -1.323   24 -0.806   24 -0.853   31 -1.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.977   42 -1.325   24 -0.913
Lindenwood               7  4 287 200 -1.298   29 -0.958   29 -1.034   25 -0.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.681   34 -1.178   18 -0.730
Benedictine KS           6  4 266 223 -1.364   32 -1.065   32 -1.164   36 -1.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.324   37 -1.198   38 -1.335
William Jewell           6  4 254 223 -1.380   33 -1.082   33 -1.185   35 -1.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.292   38 -1.262   37 -1.261
Missouri Valley          5  6 311 249 -1.456   50 -1.544   50 -1.686   37 -1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.360   30 -1.089   43 -1.446
Culver-Stockton          3  7 182 246 -1.510   59 -1.856   59 -2.001   56 -1.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.686   65 -2.134   47 -1.605
Central Methodist        3  8 202 354 -1.552   63 -1.918   63 -2.084   66 -2.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.495   67 -2.227   65 -2.178
Baker                    3  8 275 347 -1.513   64 -1.948   64 -2.119   55 -1.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.527   41 -1.325   73 -2.366
Avila                    0 10  72 328 -1.770   90 -3.205   90 -3.330   90 -3.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  2.941   94 -3.939   74 -2.383

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.539 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tabor                   11  1 457 216 -1.824   12 -0.398   12 -0.414   30 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.908   22 -0.904   36 -1.228
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 226 182 -2.579   42 -1.377   42 -1.551   69 -2.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.506   79 -2.658   60 -1.957
Friends                  7  3 314 188 -2.367   55 -1.776   55 -1.908   48 -1.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.091   48 -1.440   54 -1.745
Sterling                 5  4 248 192 -2.392   71 -2.053   71 -2.258   64 -2.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.452   63 -2.042   66 -2.202
Ottawa                   5  5 191 253 -2.692   75 -2.347   75 -2.482   86 -2.940    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.733   85 -3.038   87 -2.842
St Mary KS               5  5  97 127 -2.630   76 -2.358   77 -2.497   74 -2.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.840   92 -3.783   34 -1.223
McPherson                5  5 218 311 -2.790   77 -2.408   76 -2.489   89 -3.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.632   83 -2.871   91 -3.351
Southwestern KS          3  7 265 332 -2.568   84 -2.761   84 -2.925   82 -2.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  4.082   59 -1.981   93 -3.449
Bethel KS                3  7 275 295 -2.673   87 -2.951   87 -3.141   73 -2.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.874   61 -2.036   88 -2.954
Bethany KS               2  8 171 292 -2.785   91 -3.248   91 -3.392   92 -3.185    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  3.154   87 -3.200   89 -3.169

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.979 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY            9  3 465 263 -0.875   13 -0.435   13 -0.463   10 -0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.043    5  0.035   15 -0.631
Cumberlands KY           8  3 345 301 -1.571   25 -0.860   25 -0.918   43 -1.418    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.861   31 -1.102   53 -1.733
Bethel TN                7  4 398 242 -1.290   30 -1.038   30 -1.133   20 -0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.677   16 -0.601   26 -0.919
Pikeville                7  3 297 261 -1.759   31 -1.042   31 -1.140   44 -1.456    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.328   43 -1.326   46 -1.587
Union KY                 4  6 277 413 -1.481   51 -1.634   51 -1.721   53 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.218   32 -1.146   70 -2.320
Lambuth                  5  6 219 339 -2.050   58 -1.836   58 -1.980   71 -2.354    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.601   73 -2.493   67 -2.216
Belhaven                 5  6 350 384 -1.964   62 -1.887   62 -2.047   59 -1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.625   46 -1.416   80 -2.581
Virginia-Wise            4  7 256 330 -2.279   78 -2.418   78 -2.499   77 -2.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.769   72 -2.479   81 -2.644
Kentucky Wesleyan        3  7 216 319 -2.185   79 -2.497   79 -2.597   78 -2.605    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.536   71 -2.470   83 -2.739
Campbellsville           2  8 268 421 -1.933   80 -2.557   80 -2.669   76 -2.549    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  4.468   57 -1.806   90 -3.293
Shorter                  2  8 241 309 -1.957   83 -2.673   83 -2.819   68 -2.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  4.401   66 -2.167   75 -2.399
Cumberland TN            2  8 261 356 -2.437   88 -2.973   88 -3.166   85 -2.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.615   68 -2.294   92 -3.406

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.277 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN           13  1 533 168  0.033    2  1.154    2  1.084    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.146    2  0.652    2  1.079
St Xavier                9  3 393 245 -0.646    8 -0.093    8 -0.155    9 -0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.711    6  0.034   13 -0.543
McKendree                8  3 336 116 -0.584   11 -0.393   11 -0.405    4  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.400   15 -0.591    3  0.740
St Ambrose               8  3 344 230 -1.048   17 -0.556   17 -0.548   16 -0.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.664   11 -0.431   25 -0.917
Walsh                    8  3 306 187 -1.146   21 -0.658   21 -0.671   15 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.413   21 -0.876   11 -0.435
Geneva                   8  4 331 262 -1.079   23 -0.754   23 -0.785   24 -0.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.211   23 -0.910   20 -0.816
William Penn             6  5 273 267 -1.061   27 -0.921   27 -0.990   28 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.699   26 -0.962   32 -1.162
Quincy                   5  6 268 357 -1.261   38 -1.225   38 -1.361   40 -1.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.857   29 -1.036   52 -1.721
Olivet Nazarene          6  6 273 223 -1.228   39 -1.230   39 -1.365   29 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.042   40 -1.284   21 -0.841
Urbana                   6  5 283 301 -1.701   41 -1.355   41 -1.518   52 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.583   45 -1.381   62 -2.001
Trinity Int'l            3  7 173 278 -1.422   57 -1.801   57 -1.933   57 -1.880    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.759   60 -2.009   55 -1.751
Malone                   3  7 197 317 -1.617   60 -1.860   60 -2.005   65 -2.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.612   64 -2.062   69 -2.250
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 164 333 -1.587   65 -1.980   65 -2.165   63 -2.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  5.380   70 -2.402   56 -1.765
Ohio Dominican           3  7 222 346 -1.735   68 -2.028   68 -2.223   61 -2.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  5.300   55 -1.780   72 -2.355
St Francis IL            2  9 136 349 -1.533   69 -2.031   69 -2.224   75 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  5.199   81 -2.789   68 -2.232
Taylor                   0 10 159 407 -1.731   92 -3.254   92 -3.394   81 -2.703    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  3.011   78 -2.587   86 -2.819

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.301 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Azusa Pacific            6  4 221 214 -0.014    6  0.125    6  0.056    7 -0.163    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.044   10 -0.323    8 -0.004
Webber Int'l             6  2 244 153 -1.162   19 -0.631   19 -0.640   22 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.633   20 -0.829   17 -0.725
Concordia AL             4  4 161 245 -1.676   46 -1.459   46 -1.643   54 -1.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.329   56 -1.802   51 -1.697
Southern Oregon          1  9 166 303 -0.475   61 -1.866   61 -2.008   33 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.786   47 -1.427   29 -0.995
Paul Quinn               3  6 149 257 -1.874   66 -1.984   66 -2.170   70 -2.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.430   80 -2.724   58 -1.900
Edward Waters            2  7 130 334 -1.658   70 -2.032   70 -2.227   72 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  5.279   75 -2.533   71 -2.350
Allen                    4  4 172 234 -2.517   72 -2.177   72 -2.286   80 -2.641    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  5.196   76 -2.542   84 -2.739
Waldorf                  2  9 105 327 -1.696   74 -2.321   74 -2.446   79 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.652   86 -3.189   63 -2.081
Seton Hill               1  9 147 347 -1.850   85 -2.772   85 -2.934   83 -2.752    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  4.021   82 -2.800   82 -2.705
Southern Virginia        2  5 108 175 -2.932   89 -3.092   89 -3.193   93 -3.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  3.395   90 -3.612   85 -2.768
SW Assem of God          2  8 244 329 -3.319   94 -3.609   94 -3.917   94 -3.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  2.390   88 -3.309   94 -3.894

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     37 31 0.544    1 -0.311
Dakota Athletic Conference                              42 48 0.467    2 -1.100
Mid-States Football Association                         91 87 0.511    3 -1.277
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        62 57 0.521    4 -1.315
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    58 60 0.492    5 -1.418
Central States Football League                          32 39 0.451    6 -1.701
Mid-South Conference                                    58 69 0.457    7 -1.979
NAIA Independents                                       33 67 0.330    8 -2.301
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   54 47 0.535    9 -2.539

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.023 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:35 2019

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