Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lee TN                  32  4  0 3135 2527  0.203    3  7.099    3  1.345    7  1.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.664  1.770  0.388
Blue Mountain            0 30  0 2341 3321 -0.687   97  2.965   97 -2.185   97 -2.287    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.931 -0.346 -4.228
Belhaven                15 17  0 2465 2511 -0.232   63  4.988   63 -0.299   64 -0.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.627  0.270 -0.787
Reinhardt                8 23  0 2126 2411 -0.362   82  4.248   82 -0.918   84 -0.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.510 -0.762 -0.832
St Francis IL           10 19  0 2074 2186 -0.348   77  4.482   77 -0.727   75 -0.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.495 -0.616 -0.569
Purdue Calumet           6 24  0 1993 2267 -0.696   94  3.657   94 -1.446   90 -1.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.465 -1.269 -0.976
Allen                    4 24  0 1890 2278 -0.332   91  3.829   91 -1.273   89 -1.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.525 -0.989 -1.183
Southern Tech           11 17  0 1914 1917 -0.228   67  4.743   67 -0.511   61 -0.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.421 -0.532  0.105
Cumberland TN           18 14  0 2126 2103  0.098   38  5.767   38  0.305   50  0.120    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.278 -0.738  0.977
Texas College           19 13  0 2703 2549 -0.073   47  5.537   47  0.123   44  0.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.727  1.155 -0.786
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dillard                  5 27  0 2167 2474  0.085   80  4.295   80 -0.871   71 -0.552    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.517 -0.488 -0.615
Voorhees                16 11  0 2269 2238 -0.354   60  5.298   60 -0.084   63 -0.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.763  0.887 -1.386
Martin Methodist        24  8  0 2669 2333  0.110   14  6.307   14  0.718   13  0.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.588  1.052  0.333
Lubbock Christian       15 15  0 1992 2000  0.186   45  5.590   45  0.169   46  0.166    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.402 -0.226  0.558
Missouri Baptist         7 25  0 2244 2487 -0.276   86  4.124   86 -1.006   83 -0.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.547 -0.594 -0.972
LSU-Shreveport          32  3  0 3013 2646  0.038    5  6.969    5  1.266   14  0.678    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.723  1.631 -0.274
Paul Quinn              11 17  0 2404 2475 -0.029   65  4.962   65 -0.319   65 -0.260    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.848  1.277 -1.798
Lambuth                 29  4  0 3090 2433  0.180    8  6.807    8  1.119    6  1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.699  1.940  0.245
Robert Morris-Chicago   28  4  0 2842 2212  0.185    7  6.808    7  1.120    5  1.143    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.635  1.706  0.581
The Master's College    16 15  0 2170 2177  0.229   41  5.709   39  0.283   49  0.141    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.474  0.031  0.251
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Vanguard                19 10  0 2138 2093  0.427   10  6.456   10  0.844   27  0.438    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.552  0.649  0.227
Westminster UT          20  7  0 2120 1807  0.180   15  6.303   15  0.715    9  0.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.499  0.782  0.798
Southern-New Orleans     4 23  0 1899 2166 -0.076   88  4.099   88 -1.033   77 -0.656    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.593 -0.274 -1.039
Auburn Montgomery       19  9  0 1996 1862  0.022   26  5.961   27  0.458   38  0.269    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.443  0.036  0.501
Brewton-Parker           7 21  0 1677 1924 -0.302   81  4.289   81 -0.878   86 -0.867    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.277 -1.730 -0.004
Freed-Hardeman          19 11  0 2350 2212  0.013   34  5.852   34  0.358   39  0.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.548  0.454  0.067
Crichton                18 13  0 2723 2426 -0.014   52  5.493   52  0.087   29  0.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.696  1.215 -0.448
McKendree               25  7  0 2698 2207 -0.088   19  6.149   19  0.614   12  0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.589  1.126  0.394
Azusa Pacific           24 10  0 2584 2324  0.369    9  6.486    9  0.871   10  0.789    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.504  0.801  0.776
Montana-Western          9 21  0 2076 2225  0.007   68  4.704   68 -0.543   66 -0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.508 -0.302 -0.359
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma Christian      13 17  0 1966 1944  0.134   61  5.291   61 -0.090   47  0.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.357 -0.404  0.726
Park                    15 12  0 2046 1920 -0.177   58  5.318   58 -0.068   45  0.166    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.554  0.382 -0.051
Concordia CA            27  5  0 2669 2210  0.374    6  6.947    6  1.243    3  1.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.629  1.732  0.659
IU South Bend           15 17  0 2541 2602 -0.028   59  5.306   59 -0.077   58 -0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.719  0.818 -1.053
Southern Nazarene       22  9  0 2320 2053  0.220   16  6.291   16  0.703   11  0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.494  0.740  0.796
SW Assem of God          6 22  0 1896 2176 -0.759   92  3.733   92 -1.369   92 -1.278    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.446 -1.500 -1.056
Campbellsville          25 11  0 2691 2293  0.365   12  6.371   12  0.772    8  0.879    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.365  0.343  1.415
Union TN                18 13  0 2662 2482  0.302   32  5.895   32  0.396   23  0.490    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.734  1.495 -0.516
Wayland Baptist         18 14  0 2285 2249  0.384   22  6.000   22  0.494   25  0.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.520  0.529  0.372
Williams Baptist         8 19  0 1908 2308 -1.487   95  3.536   95 -1.578   95 -2.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.637 -1.478 -2.625
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lyon                    12 19  0 2098 2248 -0.574   76  4.489   76 -0.720   82 -0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.371 -1.288 -0.264
John Brown               9 22  0 1935 2093 -0.014   69  4.638   69 -0.586   69 -0.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.364 -1.019  0.062
Rocky Mountain          19  9  0 2339 2185 -0.059   31  5.905   31  0.406   40  0.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.746  1.274 -0.842
Wiley                   20 10  0 2410 2203 -0.232   49  5.534   49  0.120   41  0.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.609  0.661 -0.239
Tougaloo                16 13  0 2190 2124 -0.004   51  5.513   51  0.104   48  0.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.518  0.229  0.092
Mobile                  22 10  0 2368 2119  0.003   25  5.969   25  0.465   30  0.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.439  0.108  0.610
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 18  0 1860 1921 -0.328   71  4.629   71 -0.594   70 -0.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.299 -1.310  0.253
Cumberlands KY          20 14  0 2502 2313  0.357   23  5.987   23  0.482   15  0.654    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.471  0.532  0.776
Mountain St             32  3  0 3198 2383  0.257    2  7.193    2  1.392    1  1.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.563  1.829  1.315
Texas Wesleyan          19 14  0 2191 2190 -0.265   57  5.380   57 -0.014   60 -0.199    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.296 -0.993  0.595
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Wesleyan       10 21  0 2269 2515 -0.285   74  4.524   74 -0.685   78 -0.673    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.613 -0.203 -1.142
Mid-Continent           10 22  0 2432 2670 -0.236   73  4.580   73 -0.636   73 -0.566    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.655  0.085 -1.217
Brescia                  5 22  0 1756 2110 -0.168   83  4.246   83 -0.919   91 -1.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.452 -1.388 -0.991
William Carey           17 17  0 2509 2480  0.022   56  5.405   56  0.004   56  0.012    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.518  0.080 -0.056
Illinois Tech            3 27  0 1774 2424 -1.030   96  3.226   96 -1.891   96 -2.157    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.417 -2.492 -1.822
Illinois-Springfield    21 10  0 2440 2232 -0.017   27  5.960   26  0.458   36  0.287    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.573  0.584 -0.010
Bacone                   8 23  0 2213 2579 -0.817   90  3.862   90 -1.238   93 -1.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.608 -1.058 -1.953
Morris SC                6 22  0 2181 2387 -0.375   89  3.960   89 -1.138   79 -0.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.749  0.377 -1.770
Bethel TN               13 18  0 2302 2355 -0.539   75  4.499   75 -0.710   76 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.501 -0.601 -0.598
Columbia MO             24  9  0 2296 2012 -0.093   24  5.985   24  0.479   33  0.327    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.322 -0.370  1.023
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Westmont                15 13  0 2078 2054  0.103   44  5.622   44  0.196   51  0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550  0.320 -0.086
Montana Tech             5 22  0 1773 2062 -0.168   85  4.141   85 -0.988   81 -0.742    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.449 -0.952 -0.533
Mid-America Christian    7 25  0 2094 2531 -0.069   78  4.463   78 -0.746   88 -0.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.558 -0.731 -1.201
Jarvis Christian        14 13  0 2027 2052 -0.391   64  4.976   64 -0.308   68 -0.450    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.532 -0.326 -0.575
Lindsey Wilson          14 14  0 1972 1916  0.243   43  5.670   43  0.244   43  0.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.377 -0.289  0.692
Loyola NO               15 14  0 1989 2056 -0.044   55  5.438   55  0.038   62 -0.214    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.415 -0.559  0.130
Great Falls              7 17  0 1611 1812 -0.372   79  4.369   79 -0.820   80 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.470 -0.860 -0.605
Olivet Nazarene         16 15  0 2313 2219  0.443   30  5.909   30  0.409   17  0.637    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.487  0.581  0.693
Pikeville               17  9  0 2173 1857  0.188   29  5.929   29  0.428   16  0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.611  1.112  0.193
Point Loma Nazarene     22 10  0 2503 2345  0.340   11  6.398   11  0.797   22  0.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.627  1.061  0.007
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Xavier               22  9  0 2531 2214 -0.188   36  5.789   36  0.323   34  0.322    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.573  0.622  0.022
Huston-Tillotson         9 23  0 2300 2596 -0.069   70  4.632   70 -0.591   74 -0.577    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.549 -0.378 -0.776
Trevecca Nazarene       24 10  0 2707 2495  0.115   18  6.210   18  0.663   28  0.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.547  0.607  0.230
Lewis-Clark St ID       17 10  0 1970 1847 -0.018   39  5.743   40  0.282   42  0.202    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.433 -0.070  0.474
San Diego Christian      3 23  0 1748 2158  0.051   87  4.119   87 -1.011   85 -0.855    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.597 -0.454 -1.256
William Woods            8 19  0 1988 2186 -0.536   84  4.174   84 -0.972   87 -0.876    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.631 -0.328 -1.423
Xavier NO               23 10  0 2293 2123  0.014   20  6.050   20  0.523   32  0.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.363 -0.210  0.876
Spring Hill             19 13  0 2349 2220 -0.107   46  5.585   46  0.164   53  0.099    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.425 -0.204  0.401
NW Oklahoma St          18 11  0 1934 1778  0.097   35  5.807   35  0.342   26  0.450    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.331 -0.215  1.115
Berry                   17 12  0 2193 2190  0.010   42  5.681   42  0.255   57 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.638  0.487 -0.664
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT              17  8  0 1839 1681  0.087   21  6.041   21  0.514   24  0.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.460  0.320  0.654
Harris-Stowe St         12 20  0 2224 2400 -0.333   72  4.615   72 -0.605   72 -0.565    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.510 -0.530 -0.600
Emmanuel GA             15 18  0 2252 2237 -0.234   66  4.933   66 -0.343   59 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.386 -0.606  0.308
Faulkner                17 16  0 2396 2298  0.160   50  5.526   50  0.115   31  0.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.504  0.348  0.326
Fresno Pacific          18 12  0 2050 1949  0.139   33  5.883   33  0.386   37  0.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.369 -0.243  0.797
Oklahoma City           31  7  0 3023 2685  0.494    4  7.049    4  1.309    4  1.191    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.633  1.744  0.637
Montana St-Northern     17 11  0 1943 1942  0.014   37  5.774   37  0.310   52  0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.432 -0.169  0.384
Oklahoma Baptist U.     22 10  0 2305 2036  0.258   17  6.231   17  0.682   18  0.621    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.419  0.295  0.946
Rogers St               19 11  0 2165 1953  0.179   28  5.931   28  0.429   21  0.575    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.464  0.425  0.725
Science & Arts OK       13 17  0 2030 2045  0.319   48  5.535   48  0.121   35  0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438  0.049  0.554
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia Tech      11 15  0 1953 2021  0.241   54  5.460   54  0.058   55  0.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  0.272 -0.219
Georgetown KY           35  1  0 3289 2476  0.510    1  8.003    1  2.033    2  1.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.644  2.099  0.893
Shorter                 16 12  0 2031 1964 -0.082   53  5.479   53  0.074   54  0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.483 -0.026  0.122
St Gregory's             9 23  0 1951 2252  0.335   62  5.117   62 -0.223   67 -0.351    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.367 -0.881  0.179
Hope Int'l               1 26  0 1577 2191 -0.145   93  3.664   93 -1.439   94 -1.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.434 -1.861 -1.326
Biola                   17 14  0 2047 1866  0.299   40  5.742   41  0.281   20  0.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.245 -0.385  1.569
California Baptist      21  9  0 2212 1986  0.280   13  6.353   13  0.754   19  0.616    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.452  0.419  0.812


American Midwest: strength=-0.423 (#10)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Missouri Baptist         7 25  0 2244 2487 -0.276   86  4.124   86 -1.006   83 -0.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.547 -0.594 -0.972
McKendree               25  7  0 2698 2207 -0.088   19  6.149   19  0.614   12  0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.589  1.126  0.394
Williams Baptist         8 19  0 1908 2308 -1.487   95  3.536   95 -1.578   95 -2.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.637 -1.478 -2.625
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 18  0 1860 1921 -0.328   71  4.629   71 -0.594   70 -0.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.299 -1.310  0.253
Illinois-Springfield    21 10  0 2440 2232 -0.017   27  5.960   26  0.458   36  0.287    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.573  0.584 -0.010
Columbia MO             24  9  0 2296 2012 -0.093   24  5.985   24  0.479   33  0.327    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.322 -0.370  1.023
William Woods            8 19  0 1988 2186 -0.536   84  4.174   84 -0.972   87 -0.876    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.631 -0.328 -1.423
Harris-Stowe St         12 20  0 2224 2400 -0.333   72  4.615   72 -0.605   72 -0.565    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.510 -0.530 -0.600

Chicagoland-I CAC: strength=-0.225 (#9)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Francis IL           10 19  0 2074 2186 -0.348   77  4.482   77 -0.727   75 -0.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.495 -0.616 -0.569
Purdue Calumet           6 24  0 1993 2267 -0.696   94  3.657   94 -1.446   90 -1.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.465 -1.269 -0.976
Robert Morris-Chicago   28  4  0 2842 2212  0.185    7  6.808    7  1.120    5  1.143    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.635  1.706  0.581
IU South Bend           15 17  0 2541 2602 -0.028   59  5.306   59 -0.077   58 -0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.719  0.818 -1.053
Illinois Tech            3 27  0 1774 2424 -1.030   96  3.226   96 -1.891   96 -2.157    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.417 -2.492 -1.822
Olivet Nazarene         16 15  0 2313 2219  0.443   30  5.909   30  0.409   17  0.637    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.487  0.581  0.693
St Xavier               22  9  0 2531 2214 -0.188   36  5.789   36  0.323   34  0.322    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.573  0.622  0.022

Frontier: strength=0.008 (#5)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Westminster UT          20  7  0 2120 1807  0.180   15  6.303   15  0.715    9  0.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.499  0.782  0.798
Montana-Western          9 21  0 2076 2225  0.007   68  4.704   68 -0.543   66 -0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.508 -0.302 -0.359
Rocky Mountain          19  9  0 2339 2185 -0.059   31  5.905   31  0.406   40  0.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.746  1.274 -0.842
Montana Tech             5 22  0 1773 2062 -0.168   85  4.141   85 -0.988   81 -0.742    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.449 -0.952 -0.533
Great Falls              7 17  0 1611 1812 -0.372   79  4.369   79 -0.820   80 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.470 -0.860 -0.605
Lewis-Clark St ID       17 10  0 1970 1847 -0.018   39  5.743   40  0.282   42  0.202    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.433 -0.070  0.474
Carroll MT              17  8  0 1839 1681  0.087   21  6.041   21  0.514   24  0.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.460  0.320  0.654
Montana St-Northern     17 11  0 1943 1942  0.014   37  5.774   37  0.310   52  0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.432 -0.169  0.384

Golden State AC: strength=0.306 (#2)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
The Master's College    16 15  0 2170 2177  0.229   41  5.709   39  0.283   49  0.141    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.474  0.031  0.251
Vanguard                19 10  0 2138 2093  0.427   10  6.456   10  0.844   27  0.438    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.552  0.649  0.227
Azusa Pacific           24 10  0 2584 2324  0.369    9  6.486    9  0.871   10  0.789    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.504  0.801  0.776
Concordia CA            27  5  0 2669 2210  0.374    6  6.947    6  1.243    3  1.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.629  1.732  0.659
Westmont                15 13  0 2078 2054  0.103   44  5.622   44  0.196   51  0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550  0.320 -0.086
Point Loma Nazarene     22 10  0 2503 2345  0.340   11  6.398   11  0.797   22  0.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.627  1.061  0.007
San Diego Christian      3 23  0 1748 2158  0.051   87  4.119   87 -1.011   85 -0.855    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.597 -0.454 -1.256
Fresno Pacific          18 12  0 2050 1949  0.139   33  5.883   33  0.386   37  0.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.369 -0.243  0.797
Hope Int'l               1 26  0 1577 2191 -0.145   93  3.664   93 -1.439   94 -1.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.434 -1.861 -1.326
Biola                   17 14  0 2047 1866  0.299   40  5.742   41  0.281   20  0.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.245 -0.385  1.569
California Baptist      21  9  0 2212 1986  0.280   13  6.353   13  0.754   19  0.616    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.452  0.419  0.812

Gulf Coast AC: strength=0.004 (#6)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Belhaven                15 17  0 2465 2511 -0.232   63  4.988   63 -0.299   64 -0.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.627  0.270 -0.787
Dillard                  5 27  0 2167 2474  0.085   80  4.295   80 -0.871   71 -0.552    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.517 -0.488 -0.615
LSU-Shreveport          32  3  0 3013 2646  0.038    5  6.969    5  1.266   14  0.678    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.723  1.631 -0.274
Southern-New Orleans     4 23  0 1899 2166 -0.076   88  4.099   88 -1.033   77 -0.656    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.593 -0.274 -1.039
Tougaloo                16 13  0 2190 2124 -0.004   51  5.513   51  0.104   48  0.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.518  0.229  0.092
Mobile                  22 10  0 2368 2119  0.003   25  5.969   25  0.465   30  0.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.439  0.108  0.610
William Carey           17 17  0 2509 2480  0.022   56  5.405   56  0.004   56  0.012    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.518  0.080 -0.056
Loyola NO               15 14  0 1989 2056 -0.044   55  5.438   55  0.038   62 -0.214    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.415 -0.559  0.130
Xavier NO               23 10  0 2293 2123  0.014   20  6.050   20  0.523   32  0.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.363 -0.210  0.876
Spring Hill             19 13  0 2349 2220 -0.107   46  5.585   46  0.164   53  0.099    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.425 -0.204  0.401

Mid-South: strength=0.692 (#1)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Campbellsville          25 11  0 2691 2293  0.365   12  6.371   12  0.772    8  0.879    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.365  0.343  1.415
Cumberlands KY          20 14  0 2502 2313  0.357   23  5.987   23  0.482   15  0.654    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.471  0.532  0.776
Lindsey Wilson          14 14  0 1972 1916  0.243   43  5.670   43  0.244   43  0.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.377 -0.289  0.692
Pikeville               17  9  0 2173 1857  0.188   29  5.929   29  0.428   16  0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.611  1.112  0.193
West Virginia Tech      11 15  0 1953 2021  0.241   54  5.460   54  0.058   55  0.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  0.272 -0.219
Georgetown KY           35  1  0 3289 2476  0.510    1  8.003    1  2.033    2  1.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.644  2.099  0.893

Red River AC: strength=-0.431 (#11)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas College           19 13  0 2703 2549 -0.073   47  5.537   47  0.123   44  0.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.727  1.155 -0.786
Paul Quinn              11 17  0 2404 2475 -0.029   65  4.962   65 -0.319   65 -0.260    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.848  1.277 -1.798
SW Assem of God          6 22  0 1896 2176 -0.759   92  3.733   92 -1.369   92 -1.278    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.446 -1.500 -1.056
Wiley                   20 10  0 2410 2203 -0.232   49  5.534   49  0.120   41  0.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.609  0.661 -0.239
Texas Wesleyan          19 14  0 2191 2190 -0.265   57  5.380   57 -0.014   60 -0.199    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.296 -0.993  0.595
Bacone                   8 23  0 2213 2579 -0.817   90  3.862   90 -1.238   93 -1.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.608 -1.058 -1.953
Jarvis Christian        14 13  0 2027 2052 -0.391   64  4.976   64 -0.308   68 -0.450    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.532 -0.326 -0.575
Huston-Tillotson         9 23  0 2300 2596 -0.069   70  4.632   70 -0.591   74 -0.577    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.549 -0.378 -0.776
Langston                15 13  0 2132 2080 -0.167       5.315      -0.070       0.044      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.520  0.123 -0.035

Sooner AC: strength=0.263 (#3)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lubbock Christian       15 15  0 1992 2000  0.186   45  5.590   45  0.169   46  0.166    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.402 -0.226  0.558
Oklahoma Christian      13 17  0 1966 1944  0.134   61  5.291   61 -0.090   47  0.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.357 -0.404  0.726
Southern Nazarene       22  9  0 2320 2053  0.220   16  6.291   16  0.703   11  0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.494  0.740  0.796
Wayland Baptist         18 14  0 2285 2249  0.384   22  6.000   22  0.494   25  0.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.520  0.529  0.372
John Brown               9 22  0 1935 2093 -0.014   69  4.638   69 -0.586   69 -0.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.364 -1.019  0.062
Mid-America Christian    7 25  0 2094 2531 -0.069   78  4.463   78 -0.746   88 -0.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.558 -0.731 -1.201
NW Oklahoma St          18 11  0 1934 1778  0.097   35  5.807   35  0.342   26  0.450    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.331 -0.215  1.115
Oklahoma City           31  7  0 3023 2685  0.494    4  7.049    4  1.309    4  1.191    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.633  1.744  0.637
Oklahoma Baptist U.     22 10  0 2305 2036  0.258   17  6.231   17  0.682   18  0.621    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.419  0.295  0.946
Rogers St               19 11  0 2165 1953  0.179   28  5.931   28  0.429   21  0.575    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.464  0.425  0.725
Science & Arts OK       13 17  0 2030 2045  0.319   48  5.535   48  0.121   35  0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438  0.049  0.554
St Gregory's             9 23  0 1951 2252  0.335   62  5.117   62 -0.223   67 -0.351    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.367 -0.881  0.179

Southern States: strength=-0.127 (#8)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lee TN                  32  4  0 3135 2527  0.203    3  7.099    3  1.345    7  1.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.664  1.770  0.388
Reinhardt                8 23  0 2126 2411 -0.362   82  4.248   82 -0.918   84 -0.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.510 -0.762 -0.832
Southern Tech           11 17  0 1914 1917 -0.228   67  4.743   67 -0.511   61 -0.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.421 -0.532  0.105
Auburn Montgomery       19  9  0 1996 1862  0.022   26  5.961   27  0.458   38  0.269    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.443  0.036  0.501
Brewton-Parker           7 21  0 1677 1924 -0.302   81  4.289   81 -0.878   86 -0.867    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.277 -1.730 -0.004
Southern Wesleyan       10 21  0 2269 2515 -0.285   74  4.524   74 -0.685   78 -0.673    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.613 -0.203 -1.142
Berry                   17 12  0 2193 2190  0.010   42  5.681   42  0.255   57 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.638  0.487 -0.664
Emmanuel GA             15 18  0 2252 2237 -0.234   66  4.933   66 -0.343   59 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.386 -0.606  0.308
Faulkner                17 16  0 2396 2298  0.160   50  5.526   50  0.115   31  0.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.504  0.348  0.326
Shorter                 16 12  0 2031 1964 -0.082   53  5.479   53  0.074   54  0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.483 -0.026  0.122

TranSouth AC: strength=0.018 (#4)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Blue Mountain            0 30  0 2341 3321 -0.687   97  2.965   97 -2.185   97 -2.287    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.931 -0.346 -4.228
Cumberland TN           18 14  0 2126 2103  0.098   38  5.767   38  0.305   50  0.120    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.278 -0.738  0.977
Martin Methodist        24  8  0 2669 2333  0.110   14  6.307   14  0.718   13  0.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.588  1.052  0.333
Lambuth                 29  4  0 3090 2433  0.180    8  6.807    8  1.119    6  1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.699  1.940  0.245
Freed-Hardeman          19 11  0 2350 2212  0.013   34  5.852   34  0.358   39  0.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.548  0.454  0.067
Crichton                18 13  0 2723 2426 -0.014   52  5.493   52  0.087   29  0.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.696  1.215 -0.448
Union TN                18 13  0 2662 2482  0.302   32  5.895   32  0.396   23  0.490    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.734  1.495 -0.516
Lyon                    12 19  0 2098 2248 -0.574   76  4.489   76 -0.720   82 -0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.371 -1.288 -0.264
Mid-Continent           10 22  0 2432 2670 -0.236   73  4.580   73 -0.636   73 -0.566    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.655  0.085 -1.217
Bethel TN               13 18  0 2302 2355 -0.539   75  4.499   75 -0.710   76 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.501 -0.601 -0.598
Trevecca Nazarene       24 10  0 2707 2495  0.115   18  6.210   18  0.663   28  0.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.547  0.607  0.230

NAIA-I Independents: strength=0.002 (#7)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Allen                    4 24  0 1890 2278 -0.332   91  3.829   91 -1.273   89 -1.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.525 -0.989 -1.183
Kentucky Wesleyan       24  8  0 2483 2079  0.696       6.968       1.266       1.218      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.471  1.097  1.339
Voorhees                16 11  0 2269 2238 -0.354   60  5.298   60 -0.084   63 -0.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.763  0.887 -1.386
Park                    15 12  0 2046 1920 -0.177   58  5.318   58 -0.068   45  0.166    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.554  0.382 -0.051
Mountain St             32  3  0 3198 2383  0.257    2  7.193    2  1.392    1  1.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.563  1.829  1.315
Brescia                  5 22  0 1756 2110 -0.168   83  4.246   83 -0.919   91 -1.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.452 -1.388 -0.991
Morris SC                6 22  0 2181 2387 -0.375   89  3.960   89 -1.138   79 -0.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.749  0.377 -1.770
Langston                15 13  0 2132 2080 -0.167       5.315      -0.070       0.044      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.520  0.123 -0.035
Quincy                  15 13  0 2179 2047  0.462       5.973       0.468       0.657      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.634  1.217  0.097

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                   W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
Mid-South                  122  64   0 0.656    1  0.692
Golden State AC            183 147   0 0.555    2  0.306
Sooner AC                  196 181   0 0.520    3  0.263
TranSouth AC               185 162   0 0.533    4  0.018
Frontier                   111 105   0 0.514    5  0.008
Gulf Coast AC              168 147   0 0.533    6  0.004
NAIA-I Independents        132 128   0 0.508    7  0.002
Southern States            152 153   0 0.498    8 -0.127
Chicagoland-I CAC          100 115   0 0.465    9 -0.225
American Midwest           116 127   0 0.477   10 -0.423
Red River AC               121 148   0 0.450   11 -0.431

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.295 points in main ratings
     0.032 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Thu Apr 10 21:09:55 2008

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