Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Concordia CA            31  4 2680 2179  0.716    1  7.934    1  1.670    1  1.403    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.474  1.309  1.497
Oklahoma Baptist U.     33  3 3133 2520  0.307    2  7.757    2  1.507    5  1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.659  1.793  0.418
Biola                   30  5 2445 2057  0.387    3  7.611    3  1.387    6  1.081    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.301  0.325  1.838
Westminster UT          27  6 2356 2048  0.356    4  7.359    4  1.165    8  1.001    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.362  0.474  1.529
Mountain St             29  3 3139 2372  0.033    5  7.337    5  1.159    2  1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.747  2.247  0.083
Southern Nazarene       28  7 2767 2300  0.339    6  7.234    6  1.068    4  1.107    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.492  1.088  1.126
Azusa Pacific           26 10 2874 2623  0.528    7  7.233    7  1.067    7  1.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.651  1.702  0.398
Georgetown KY           26  7 2740 2213  0.272    8  7.069    8  0.941    3  1.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.559  1.422  0.906
Campbellsville          26  8 2512 2135  0.294    9  7.060    9  0.933   10  0.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.391  0.453  1.287
Fresno Pacific          25 11 2716 2447  0.514   10  7.055   10  0.929    9  0.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.532  1.032  0.746
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Westmont                21 10 2315 2144  0.470   11  7.017   11  0.895   17  0.755    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  1.019  0.491
Southern Tech           29  7 2622 2405 -0.047   12  7.000   12  0.880   35  0.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.418  0.016  0.642
LSU-Shreveport          29  7 3026 2555  0.004   13  6.908   13  0.806   12  0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.601  1.248  0.380
Rogers St               23 11 2688 2406  0.380   14  6.854   14  0.772   15  0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544  0.970  0.582
John Brown              26 10 2734 2456  0.221   15  6.847   15  0.766   16  0.758    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.494  0.747  0.769
Union TN                26  8 2648 2212  0.115   16  6.836   16  0.754   13  0.779    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.444  0.567  0.991
Montana-Western         25 11 2936 2621  0.294   17  6.813   17  0.731   14  0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.636  1.360  0.193
Oklahoma City           19 11 2131 1982  0.403   18  6.752   20  0.672   22  0.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.412  0.308  0.984
Oklahoma Christian      23 10 2286 2240  0.059   19  6.708   18  0.676   57 -0.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.386 -0.440  0.432
Cumberlands KY          21 11 2366 2010  0.407   20  6.704   19  0.673   11  0.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.365  0.325  1.364
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Life GA                 20 12 2876 2688  0.366   21  6.664   21  0.639   21  0.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.786  1.954 -0.568
Lee TN                  28  8 2866 2535 -0.073   22  6.639   22  0.619   20  0.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577  1.050  0.383
William Carey           22 11 2519 2385  0.165   23  6.637   23  0.617   36  0.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544  0.499  0.110
McKendree               27  7 2574 2140 -0.162   24  6.586   24  0.600   24  0.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.440  0.334  0.791
Central Methodist       25  9 2471 2088  0.051   25  6.545   25  0.565   18  0.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.387  0.312  1.181
Montana St-Northern     22 11 2288 1994  0.184   26  6.508   26  0.544   23  0.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.274 -0.249  1.463
Belhaven                24 10 2778 2559 -0.017   27  6.495   27  0.531   33  0.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.627  0.879 -0.212
St Catharine            21 13 2423 2198  0.244   28  6.493   28  0.530   29  0.483    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.361 -0.049  1.014
Lindenwood              23 10 2244 2014  0.029   29  6.481   29  0.518   25  0.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.304 -0.201  1.293
Tougaloo                22  9 2645 2406 -0.027   30  6.468   30  0.505   34  0.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.685  1.131 -0.472
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Robert Morris-Chicago   22 12 2720 2420  0.188   31  6.453   31  0.491   19  0.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.582  1.083  0.372
William Jewell          22 11 2334 2137  0.097   32  6.448   32  0.486   27  0.512    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.424  0.221  0.804
Freed-Hardeman          22 13 2830 2594  0.215   33  6.416   33  0.467   26  0.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.585  0.899  0.167
California Baptist      19 14 2148 2103  0.249   34  6.408   34  0.460   41  0.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.338 -0.423  0.815
Olivet Nazarene         19 12 2357 2092  0.247   35  6.361   35  0.416   28  0.502    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.495  0.495  0.508
Pikeville               21  9 2539 2073 -0.084   36  6.359   36  0.416   31  0.350    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577  0.682  0.018
The Master's College    19 14 2198 2142  0.187   37  6.318   37  0.383   37  0.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.362 -0.265  0.793
Mobile                  18 14 2370 2333  0.192   38  6.311   38  0.377   42  0.166    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529  0.299  0.032
Park                    23 10 2482 2139 -0.134   39  6.189   39  0.326   30  0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.473  0.374  0.564
Evangel                 20 13 2424 2345  0.036   40  6.174   40  0.314   44  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.539  0.327 -0.022
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Xavier               23 11 2657 2473 -0.230   41  6.158   41  0.297   55  0.029    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.565  0.311 -0.254
Mid-Continent           24 15 3045 2800  0.007   42  6.130   42  0.271   32  0.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.558  0.603  0.094
Mid-America Christian   19 19 2956 2959  0.276   43  6.097   43  0.240   40  0.199    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.653  0.859 -0.461
MidAmerica Nazarene     18 13 2328 2268  0.009   44  6.073   44  0.217   46  0.071    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.586  0.441 -0.298
Trevecca Nazarene       21 11 2543 2418 -0.386   45  6.019   45  0.182   71 -0.371    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.589  0.011 -0.753
Lewis-Clark St ID       14 18 2237 2297  0.316   46  5.917   46  0.122   43  0.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.487  0.115  0.197
Texas Wesleyan          23 11 2570 2410 -0.402   47  5.915   47  0.120   61 -0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.468 -0.232  0.000
Carroll MT              13 16 2037 1980  0.283   48  5.869   48  0.080   39  0.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.403 -0.153  0.590
Xavier NO               18 15 2127 2090 -0.051   49  5.851   49  0.065   50  0.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.217 -1.008  1.109
Missouri Valley         20 13 2266 2086 -0.183   50  5.828   50  0.043   45  0.143    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.365 -0.376  0.662
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rocky Mountain          12 19 2299 2320  0.316   51  5.763   51 -0.022   38  0.240    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.614 -0.134
Lubbock Christian       14 16 2162 2135  0.103   52  5.753   52 -0.033   51  0.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.470 -0.064  0.154
Auburn Montgomery       14 14 1969 1931  0.011   53  5.747   53 -0.037   49  0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.421 -0.249  0.354
Benedictine KS          17 17 2375 2428 -0.066   54  5.737   54 -0.049   68 -0.253    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.498 -0.247 -0.258
Emmanuel GA             20 12 2475 2255 -0.329   55  5.735   55 -0.049   48  0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.535  0.219 -0.093
Faulkner                18 13 2249 2132 -0.247   56  5.722   56 -0.054   56  0.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.439 -0.227  0.234
Texas College           20 12 2564 2468 -0.393   57  5.721   58 -0.055   64 -0.150    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.617  0.352 -0.652
Spring Hill             15 19 2335 2480  0.062   58  5.720   57 -0.055   67 -0.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.467 -0.362 -0.123
Our Lady of the Lake    20 11 2828 2572 -0.454   59  5.621   59 -0.103   54  0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.810  1.402 -1.343
Southern-New Orleans    14 18 2430 2437  0.022   60  5.548   60 -0.140   47  0.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.567  0.356 -0.224
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
NW Oklahoma St          11 20 2231 2310  0.263   61  5.510   61 -0.151   52  0.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544  0.231 -0.155
Lindsey Wilson          14 17 2161 2134 -0.100   62  5.415   62 -0.246   66 -0.197    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.399 -0.584  0.189
Lambuth                 16 14 2664 2416 -0.203   63  5.387   63 -0.272   58 -0.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.709  0.886 -0.935
Loyola NO               13 20 2491 2500  0.054   64  5.384   64 -0.280   62 -0.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.573  0.185 -0.447
Wayland Baptist         11 18 1973 2019  0.083   65  5.378   65 -0.285   53  0.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.390 -0.386  0.457
Montana Tech            11 21 2141 2254  0.151   66  5.342   66 -0.318   63 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.410 -0.492  0.195
Bacone                  20 14 2711 2661 -0.606   67  5.338   67 -0.323   76 -0.485    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.631  0.080 -1.051
Martin Methodist        18 15 2720 2455 -0.371   68  5.268   68 -0.378   60 -0.110    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.264 -0.484
Shorter                 17 15 2303 2166 -0.478   69  5.240   69 -0.403   74 -0.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.432 -0.674 -0.154
West Virginia Tech      13 19 2509 2489 -0.160   70  5.216   70 -0.423   73 -0.385    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.604  0.063 -0.833
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wiley                   16 17 2485 2541 -0.555   71  5.086   71 -0.545   78 -0.640    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.546 -0.439 -0.841
Southern Wesleyan       13 18 2435 2454 -0.329   72  5.081   72 -0.547   72 -0.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.701  0.491 -1.250
Harris-Stowe St         16 18 2377 2303 -0.394   73  5.051   73 -0.553   70 -0.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409 -0.688  0.012
Vanguard                 5 21 1702 1874  0.402   74  5.049   74 -0.553   65 -0.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.485 -0.223 -0.128
Great Falls              7 24 1941 2340  0.119   75  5.007   75 -0.582   85 -0.819    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438 -1.057 -0.582
Huston-Tillotson        12 18 2376 2446 -0.339   76  4.990   76 -0.597   75 -0.429    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.665  0.283 -1.142
Missouri Baptist        16 17 2501 2582 -0.759   77  4.989   77 -0.598   93 -0.988    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.644 -0.367 -1.609
Point Loma Nazarene      8 23 2042 2172  0.183   78  4.962   78 -0.621   59 -0.028    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.426 -0.309  0.254
Cumberland TN           13 19 2340 2366 -0.409   79  4.882   79 -0.664   69 -0.336    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.465 -0.463 -0.208
San Diego Christian      7 24 2004 2371 -0.054   80  4.873   80 -0.672   80 -0.708    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.492 -0.728 -0.689
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Avila                   10 19 2007 2141 -0.426   81  4.767   81 -0.779   83 -0.759    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529 -0.626 -0.893
Allen                   11 19 2048 2208 -0.485   82  4.735   82 -0.811   79 -0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.511 -0.647 -0.761
St Gregory's             7 24 2112 2533 -0.146   83  4.727   83 -0.816   89 -0.900    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.583 -0.542 -1.258
U of the Southwest      12 22 2554 2883 -0.567   84  4.712   84 -0.831   95 -1.032    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.642 -0.423 -1.642
Baker                   10 22 2110 2375 -0.428   85  4.689   85 -0.852   91 -0.947    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.492 -0.965 -0.929
Dillard                  4 25 2005 2274  0.138   86  4.620   86 -0.909   77 -0.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.510 -0.470 -0.575
Science & Arts OK        5 25 2006 2398 -0.010   87  4.619   87 -0.909   82 -0.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.522 -0.639 -0.841
SW Assem of God         12 22 2532 2743 -0.588   88  4.618   88 -0.910   87 -0.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.574 -0.537 -1.177
St Thomas TX            10 15 1685 1702 -0.736   89  4.545   89 -0.953   81 -0.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.381 -1.188 -0.275
Columbia MO             13 19 2029 2117 -0.763   90  4.542   90 -0.956   86 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.314 -1.554 -0.137
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bethel TN               13 20 2366 2566 -0.928   91  4.436   91 -1.037   97 -1.097    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.518 -1.012 -1.182
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 21 2118 2275 -0.723   92  4.377   92 -1.090   90 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.429 -1.190 -0.646
Brewton-Parker           9 22 2048 2271 -0.592   93  4.376   93 -1.091   92 -0.982    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.451 -1.166 -0.799
Culver-Stockton          7 25 1953 2324 -0.419   94  4.323   94 -1.105   98 -1.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.398 -1.504 -0.723
IU South Bend            7 26 2132 2457 -0.347   95  4.302   95 -1.123   84 -0.817    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.436 -1.060 -0.574
Hope Int'l               4 27 1839 2253 -0.099   96  4.220   96 -1.193   94 -1.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.376 -1.478 -0.528
Morris SC                6 17 1529 1805 -0.878   97  4.152   97 -1.250  101 -1.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.504 -1.478 -1.537
St Francis IL            8 22 1938 2205 -0.689   98  4.140   98 -1.260   96 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.388 -1.484 -0.623
Rio Grande               5 27 2402 2794 -0.289   99  4.024   99 -1.337   88 -0.878    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.725  0.101 -1.856
Truett-McConnell         7 25 2146 2584 -0.878  100  3.881  100 -1.464  104 -1.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.519 -1.609 -1.795
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Voorhees                 3 20 1466 1905 -0.636  101  3.841  101 -1.504  103 -1.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.499 -1.599 -1.620
William Woods            7 22 1965 2261 -1.004  102  3.801  102 -1.553  100 -1.445    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544 -1.251 -1.639
Lyon                     7 25 2145 2572 -0.974  103  3.797  103 -1.557  102 -1.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.497 -1.595 -1.593
Williams Baptist        11 20 2146 2479 -1.580  104  3.669  104 -1.682  107 -1.970    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577 -1.639 -2.301
Jarvis Christian         3 26 2230 2671 -0.630  105  3.616  106 -1.742   99 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.732 -0.358 -2.383
Paul Quinn               6 26 2034 2443 -1.042  106  3.585  105 -1.736  105 -1.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.382 -2.183 -1.273
Holy Cross IN            3 28 2027 2636 -1.054  107  3.311  107 -2.017  108 -2.016    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.599 -1.588 -2.443
Blue Mountain            1 32 2630 3336 -0.800  108  3.063  108 -2.297  106 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.880 -0.221 -3.636


NAIA-I Independents: strength=-0.807 (#12)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mountain St             29  3 3139 2372  0.033    5  7.337    5  1.159    2  1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.747  2.247  0.083
Life GA                 20 12 2876 2688  0.366   21  6.664   21  0.639   21  0.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.786  1.954 -0.568
Lambuth                 16 14 2664 2416 -0.203   63  5.387   63 -0.272   58 -0.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.709  0.886 -0.935
Allen                   11 19 2048 2208 -0.485   82  4.735   82 -0.811   79 -0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.511 -0.647 -0.761
Berry                    9 15 1675 1841 -0.648       4.598      -0.930      -1.070      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.554 -0.836 -1.304
St Thomas TX            10 15 1685 1702 -0.736   89  4.545   89 -0.953   81 -0.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.381 -1.188 -0.275
Langston                 8 20 2145 2321 -0.749       4.247      -1.173      -0.975      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.622 -0.449 -1.502
Morris SC                6 17 1529 1805 -0.878   97  4.152   97 -1.250  101 -1.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.504 -1.478 -1.537
Truett-McConnell         7 25 2146 2584 -0.878  100  3.881  100 -1.464  104 -1.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.519 -1.609 -1.795
Voorhees                 3 20 1466 1905 -0.636  101  3.841  101 -1.504  103 -1.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.499 -1.599 -1.620

American Midwest: strength=-0.771 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
McKendree               27  7 2574 2140 -0.162   24  6.586   24  0.600   24  0.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.440  0.334  0.791
Park                    23 10 2482 2139 -0.134   39  6.189   39  0.326   30  0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.473  0.374  0.564
Harris-Stowe St         16 18 2377 2303 -0.394   73  5.051   73 -0.553   70 -0.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409 -0.688  0.012
Missouri Baptist        16 17 2501 2582 -0.759   77  4.989   77 -0.598   93 -0.988    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.644 -0.367 -1.609
Columbia MO             13 19 2029 2117 -0.763   90  4.542   90 -0.956   86 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.314 -1.554 -0.137
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 21 2118 2275 -0.723   92  4.377   92 -1.090   90 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.429 -1.190 -0.646
William Woods            7 22 1965 2261 -1.004  102  3.801  102 -1.553  100 -1.445    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544 -1.251 -1.639
Williams Baptist        11 20 2146 2479 -1.580  104  3.669  104 -1.682  107 -1.970    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577 -1.639 -2.301

Chicagoland-I CAC: strength=-0.447 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Robert Morris-Chicago   22 12 2720 2420  0.188   31  6.453   31  0.491   19  0.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.582  1.083  0.372
Olivet Nazarene         19 12 2357 2092  0.247   35  6.361   35  0.416   28  0.502    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.495  0.495  0.508
St Xavier               23 11 2657 2473 -0.230   41  6.158   41  0.297   55  0.029    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.565  0.311 -0.254
IU South Bend            7 26 2132 2457 -0.347   95  4.302   95 -1.123   84 -0.817    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.436 -1.060 -0.574
St Francis IL            8 22 1938 2205 -0.689   98  4.140   98 -1.260   96 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.388 -1.484 -0.623
Holy Cross IN            3 28 2027 2636 -1.054  107  3.311  107 -2.017  108 -2.016    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.599 -1.588 -2.443

Frontier: strength=0.316 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Westminster UT          27  6 2356 2048  0.356    4  7.359    4  1.165    8  1.001    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.362  0.474  1.529
Montana-Western         25 11 2936 2621  0.294   17  6.813   17  0.731   14  0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.636  1.360  0.193
Montana St-Northern     22 11 2288 1994  0.184   26  6.508   26  0.544   23  0.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.274 -0.249  1.463
Lewis-Clark St ID       14 18 2237 2297  0.316   46  5.917   46  0.122   43  0.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.487  0.115  0.197
Carroll MT              13 16 2037 1980  0.283   48  5.869   48  0.080   39  0.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.403 -0.153  0.590
Rocky Mountain          12 19 2299 2320  0.316   51  5.763   51 -0.022   38  0.240    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.614 -0.134
Montana Tech            11 21 2141 2254  0.151   66  5.342   66 -0.318   63 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.410 -0.492  0.195
Great Falls              7 24 1941 2340  0.119   75  5.007   75 -0.582   85 -0.819    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438 -1.057 -0.582

Golden State AC: strength=0.396 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Concordia CA            31  4 2680 2179  0.716    1  7.934    1  1.670    1  1.403    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.474  1.309  1.497
Biola                   30  5 2445 2057  0.387    3  7.611    3  1.387    6  1.081    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.301  0.325  1.838
Azusa Pacific           26 10 2874 2623  0.528    7  7.233    7  1.067    7  1.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.651  1.702  0.398
Fresno Pacific          25 11 2716 2447  0.514   10  7.055   10  0.929    9  0.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.532  1.032  0.746
Westmont                21 10 2315 2144  0.470   11  7.017   11  0.895   17  0.755    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  1.019  0.491
California Baptist      19 14 2148 2103  0.249   34  6.408   34  0.460   41  0.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.338 -0.423  0.815
The Master's College    19 14 2198 2142  0.187   37  6.318   37  0.383   37  0.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.362 -0.265  0.793
Vanguard                 5 21 1702 1874  0.402   74  5.049   74 -0.553   65 -0.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.485 -0.223 -0.128
Point Loma Nazarene      8 23 2042 2172  0.183   78  4.962   78 -0.621   59 -0.028    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.426 -0.309  0.254
San Diego Christian      7 24 2004 2371 -0.054   80  4.873   80 -0.672   80 -0.708    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.492 -0.728 -0.689
Hope Int'l               4 27 1839 2253 -0.099   96  4.220   96 -1.193   94 -1.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.376 -1.478 -0.528

Gulf Coast AC: strength=0.147 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
LSU-Shreveport          29  7 3026 2555  0.004   13  6.908   13  0.806   12  0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.601  1.248  0.380
William Carey           22 11 2519 2385  0.165   23  6.637   23  0.617   36  0.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544  0.499  0.110
Belhaven                24 10 2778 2559 -0.017   27  6.495   27  0.531   33  0.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.627  0.879 -0.212
Tougaloo                22  9 2645 2406 -0.027   30  6.468   30  0.505   34  0.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.685  1.131 -0.472
Mobile                  18 14 2370 2333  0.192   38  6.311   38  0.377   42  0.166    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529  0.299  0.032
Xavier NO               18 15 2127 2090 -0.051   49  5.851   49  0.065   50  0.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.217 -1.008  1.109
Spring Hill             15 19 2335 2480  0.062   58  5.720   57 -0.055   67 -0.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.467 -0.362 -0.123
Southern-New Orleans    14 18 2430 2437  0.022   60  5.548   60 -0.140   47  0.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.567  0.356 -0.224
Loyola NO               13 20 2491 2500  0.054   64  5.384   64 -0.280   62 -0.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.573  0.185 -0.447
Dillard                  4 25 2005 2274  0.138   86  4.620   86 -0.909   77 -0.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.510 -0.470 -0.575

Heart of America AC: strength=-0.115 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Methodist       25  9 2471 2088  0.051   25  6.545   25  0.565   18  0.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.387  0.312  1.181
Lindenwood              23 10 2244 2014  0.029   29  6.481   29  0.518   25  0.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.304 -0.201  1.293
William Jewell          22 11 2334 2137  0.097   32  6.448   32  0.486   27  0.512    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.424  0.221  0.804
Evangel                 20 13 2424 2345  0.036   40  6.174   40  0.314   44  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.539  0.327 -0.022
MidAmerica Nazarene     18 13 2328 2268  0.009   44  6.073   44  0.217   46  0.071    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.586  0.441 -0.298
Missouri Valley         20 13 2266 2086 -0.183   50  5.828   50  0.043   45  0.143    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.365 -0.376  0.662
Benedictine KS          17 17 2375 2428 -0.066   54  5.737   54 -0.049   68 -0.253    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.498 -0.247 -0.258
Graceland               13 20 2387 2628 -0.153       5.247      -0.396      -0.683      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.645 -0.059 -1.307
Avila                   10 19 2007 2141 -0.426   81  4.767   81 -0.779   83 -0.759    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529 -0.626 -0.893
Baker                   10 22 2110 2375 -0.428   85  4.689   85 -0.852   91 -0.947    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.492 -0.965 -0.929
Culver-Stockton          7 25 1953 2324 -0.419   94  4.323   94 -1.105   98 -1.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.398 -1.504 -0.723

Mid-South: strength=0.347 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY           26  7 2740 2213  0.272    8  7.069    8  0.941    3  1.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.559  1.422  0.906
Campbellsville          26  8 2512 2135  0.294    9  7.060    9  0.933   10  0.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.391  0.453  1.287
Cumberlands KY          21 11 2366 2010  0.407   20  6.704   19  0.673   11  0.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.365  0.325  1.364
St Catharine            21 13 2423 2198  0.244   28  6.493   28  0.530   29  0.483    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.361 -0.049  1.014
Pikeville               21  9 2539 2073 -0.084   36  6.359   36  0.416   31  0.350    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577  0.682  0.018
Lindsey Wilson          14 17 2161 2134 -0.100   62  5.415   62 -0.246   66 -0.197    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.399 -0.584  0.189
West Virginia Tech      13 19 2509 2489 -0.160   70  5.216   70 -0.423   73 -0.385    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.604  0.063 -0.833
Rio Grande               5 27 2402 2794 -0.289   99  4.024   99 -1.337   88 -0.878    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.725  0.101 -1.856

Red River AC: strength=-0.763 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Wesleyan          23 11 2570 2410 -0.402   47  5.915   47  0.120   61 -0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.468 -0.232  0.000
Texas College           20 12 2564 2468 -0.393   57  5.721   58 -0.055   64 -0.150    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.617  0.352 -0.652
Our Lady of the Lake    20 11 2828 2572 -0.454   59  5.621   59 -0.103   54  0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.810  1.402 -1.343
Bacone                  20 14 2711 2661 -0.606   67  5.338   67 -0.323   76 -0.485    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.631  0.080 -1.051
Wiley                   16 17 2485 2541 -0.555   71  5.086   71 -0.545   78 -0.640    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.546 -0.439 -0.841
Huston-Tillotson        12 18 2376 2446 -0.339   76  4.990   76 -0.597   75 -0.429    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.665  0.283 -1.142
U of the Southwest      12 22 2554 2883 -0.567   84  4.712   84 -0.831   95 -1.032    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.642 -0.423 -1.642
SW Assem of God         12 22 2532 2743 -0.588   88  4.618   88 -0.910   87 -0.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.574 -0.537 -1.177
Langston                 8 20 2145 2321 -0.749       4.247      -1.173      -0.975      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.622 -0.449 -1.502
Jarvis Christian         3 26 2230 2671 -0.630  105  3.616  106 -1.742   99 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.732 -0.358 -2.383
Paul Quinn               6 26 2034 2443 -1.042  106  3.585  105 -1.736  105 -1.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.382 -2.183 -1.273

Sooner AC: strength=0.316 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma Baptist U.     33  3 3133 2520  0.307    2  7.757    2  1.507    5  1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.659  1.793  0.418
Southern Nazarene       28  7 2767 2300  0.339    6  7.234    6  1.068    4  1.107    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.492  1.088  1.126
Rogers St               23 11 2688 2406  0.380   14  6.854   14  0.772   15  0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544  0.970  0.582
John Brown              26 10 2734 2456  0.221   15  6.847   15  0.766   16  0.758    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.494  0.747  0.769
Oklahoma City           19 11 2131 1982  0.403   18  6.752   20  0.672   22  0.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.412  0.308  0.984
Oklahoma Christian      23 10 2286 2240  0.059   19  6.708   18  0.676   57 -0.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.386 -0.440  0.432
Mid-America Christian   19 19 2956 2959  0.276   43  6.097   43  0.240   40  0.199    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.653  0.859 -0.461
Lubbock Christian       14 16 2162 2135  0.103   52  5.753   52 -0.033   51  0.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.470 -0.064  0.154
NW Oklahoma St          11 20 2231 2310  0.263   61  5.510   61 -0.151   52  0.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.544  0.231 -0.155
Wayland Baptist         11 18 1973 2019  0.083   65  5.378   65 -0.285   53  0.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.390 -0.386  0.457
St Gregory's             7 24 2112 2533 -0.146   83  4.727   83 -0.816   89 -0.900    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.583 -0.542 -1.258
Science & Arts OK        5 25 2006 2398 -0.010   87  4.619   87 -0.909   82 -0.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.522 -0.639 -0.841

Southern States: strength=-0.189 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Tech           29  7 2622 2405 -0.047   12  7.000   12  0.880   35  0.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.418  0.016  0.642
Lee TN                  28  8 2866 2535 -0.073   22  6.639   22  0.619   20  0.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577  1.050  0.383
Auburn Montgomery       14 14 1969 1931  0.011   53  5.747   53 -0.037   49  0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.421 -0.249  0.354
Emmanuel GA             20 12 2475 2255 -0.329   55  5.735   55 -0.049   48  0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.535  0.219 -0.093
Faulkner                18 13 2249 2132 -0.247   56  5.722   56 -0.054   56  0.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.439 -0.227  0.234
Shorter                 17 15 2303 2166 -0.478   69  5.240   69 -0.403   74 -0.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.432 -0.674 -0.154
Southern Wesleyan       13 18 2435 2454 -0.329   72  5.081   72 -0.547   72 -0.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.701  0.491 -1.250
Berry                    9 15 1675 1841 -0.648       4.598      -0.930      -1.070      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.554 -0.836 -1.304
Brewton-Parker           9 22 2048 2271 -0.592   93  4.376   93 -1.091   92 -0.982    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.451 -1.166 -0.799

TranSouth AC: strength=-0.403 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Union TN                26  8 2648 2212  0.115   16  6.836   16  0.754   13  0.779    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.444  0.567  0.991
Freed-Hardeman          22 13 2830 2594  0.215   33  6.416   33  0.467   26  0.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.585  0.899  0.167
Mid-Continent           24 15 3045 2800  0.007   42  6.130   42  0.271   32  0.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.558  0.603  0.094
Trevecca Nazarene       21 11 2543 2418 -0.386   45  6.019   45  0.182   71 -0.371    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.589  0.011 -0.753
Martin Methodist        18 15 2720 2455 -0.371   68  5.268   68 -0.378   60 -0.110    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.264 -0.484
Cumberland TN           13 19 2340 2366 -0.409   79  4.882   79 -0.664   69 -0.336    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.465 -0.463 -0.208
Bethel TN               13 20 2366 2566 -0.928   91  4.436   91 -1.037   97 -1.097    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.518 -1.012 -1.182
Lyon                     7 25 2145 2572 -0.974  103  3.797  103 -1.557  102 -1.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.497 -1.595 -1.593
Blue Mountain            1 32 2630 3336 -0.800  108  3.063  108 -2.297  106 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.880 -0.221 -3.636

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                  W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Golden State AC           195 163 0.545    1  0.396
Mid-South                 147 111 0.570    2  0.347
Frontier                  131 126 0.510    3  0.316
Sooner AC                 219 174 0.557    4  0.316
Gulf Coast AC             179 148 0.547    5  0.147
Heart of America AC       185 172 0.518    6 -0.115
Southern States           157 124 0.559    7 -0.189
TranSouth AC              145 158 0.479    8 -0.403
Chicagoland-I CAC          82 111 0.425    9 -0.447
Red River AC              152 199 0.433   10 -0.763
American Midwest          124 134 0.481   11 -0.771
NAIA-I Independents       119 160 0.427   12 -0.807

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.277 points in main ratings
     0.031 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Thu Apr  8 19:30:33 2010

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