Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Concordia CA            27  3 2298 1881  0.805    1  7.562    1  1.794    1  1.422    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.484  1.369  1.474
Oklahoma Baptist U.     28  2 2664 2090  0.383    2  7.400    2  1.647    3  1.273    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.672  2.015  0.530
Biola                   26  4 2119 1772  0.424    3  7.136    3  1.437    6  1.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.319  0.462  1.848
Mountain St             26  2 2739 2058  0.028    4  6.946    4  1.265    7  1.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.731  2.142  0.132
Westminster UT          23  5 1991 1717  0.446    5  6.919    5  1.237    5  1.200    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.362  0.667  1.733
Southern Nazarene       25  5 2359 1903  0.423    6  6.898    6  1.228    2  1.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.466  1.213  1.465
Campbellsville          24  6 2229 1858  0.338    7  6.727    7  1.075    8  1.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.389  0.624  1.478
Westmont                21  8 2151 1972  0.479    8  6.705    8  1.054   18  0.832    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550  1.047  0.616
Fresno Pacific          22  9 2335 2066  0.534    9  6.614    9  0.965   10  1.000    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.509  1.047  0.953
Georgetown KY           23  6 2433 1943  0.287   10  6.602   10  0.957    4  1.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.557  1.490  0.999
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific           20  9 2341 2151  0.472   11  6.556   11  0.914   12  0.908    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.679  1.681  0.135
Oklahoma City           19  9 2004 1836  0.496   12  6.517   12  0.878   15  0.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409  0.507  1.212
LSU-Shreveport          26  6 2673 2252  0.056   13  6.511   13  0.874   16  0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.582  1.203  0.503
Oklahoma Christian      22  8 2110 2021  0.108   14  6.460   14  0.830   45  0.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.397 -0.205  0.593
Union TN                23  7 2326 1942  0.195   15  6.458   15  0.828   14  0.867    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438  0.631  1.103
Cumberlands KY          20  9 2176 1809  0.454   16  6.414   16  0.804    9  1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.372  0.514  1.504
Rogers St               21 10 2490 2205  0.411   17  6.393   17  0.784   13  0.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.555  1.117  0.638
Montana-Western         22  9 2564 2261  0.301   18  6.377   18  0.774   17  0.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.633  1.420  0.281
Central Methodist       24  7 2255 1888  0.152   19  6.373   19  0.770   11  0.934    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.380  0.470  1.399
Life GA                 18 10 2516 2342  0.400   20  6.319   20  0.719   19  0.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.800  2.104 -0.539
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
John Brown              21  9 2290 2071  0.204   21  6.289   21  0.690   22  0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.498  0.657  0.649
William Carey           21 10 2367 2204  0.227   22  6.279   22  0.681   31  0.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.530  0.614  0.350
McKendree               24  6 2269 1904 -0.110   23  6.274   23  0.676   29  0.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.440  0.308  0.770
Tougaloo                21  7 2430 2192  0.001   24  6.251   24  0.654   34  0.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.708  1.304 -0.500
Southern Tech           23  6 2111 1909 -0.223   25  6.238   25  0.642   47  0.174    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409 -0.179  0.526
Olivet Nazarene         19 10 2240 1953  0.353   26  6.229   26  0.635   20  0.746    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.514  0.815  0.678
Montana St-Northern     21 10 2151 1863  0.246   27  6.221   27  0.626   21  0.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.271 -0.168  1.568
Lee TN                  24  6 2436 2177 -0.185   28  6.170   28  0.599   30  0.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.621  1.041  0.005
St Catharine            20 12 2299 2070  0.280   29  6.154   29  0.584   26  0.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.366  0.046  1.081
Pikeville               21  8 2479 2011 -0.013   30  6.151   30  0.578   32  0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.583  0.810  0.097
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Belhaven                22  8 2486 2269 -0.057   31  6.141   31  0.573   36  0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.634  0.905 -0.243
Lindenwood              21  9 2069 1857  0.023   32  6.047   32  0.519   28  0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.323 -0.137  1.221
California Baptist      18 13 2023 1967  0.267   33  6.023   33  0.493   41  0.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.331 -0.407  0.892
The Master's College    19 12 2083 1982  0.189   34  5.994   34  0.467   33  0.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.364 -0.106  0.943
Mobile                  18 13 2278 2234  0.228   35  5.993   35  0.465   43  0.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.507  0.267  0.187
William Jewell          19 10 2062 1878  0.111   36  5.985   36  0.458   27  0.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.431  0.289  0.818
Freed-Hardeman          20 12 2584 2347  0.235   37  5.980   37  0.455   25  0.613    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.568  0.906  0.321
Evangel                 19 11 2196 2117  0.073   38  5.946   38  0.424   44  0.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.523  0.306  0.096
Mid-America Christian   16 16 2465 2486  0.430   39  5.922   39  0.402   38  0.319    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.644  0.938 -0.299
Robert Morris-Chicago   18 10 2218 1956  0.111   40  5.901   40  0.383   23  0.642    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.560  0.902  0.382
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Trevecca Nazarene       21 10 2460 2328 -0.313   41  5.867   41  0.349   70 -0.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.584  0.077 -0.641
MidAmerica Nazarene     18 12 2259 2183  0.071   42  5.847   42  0.333   46  0.186    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.580  0.529 -0.156
Park                    20  8 2141 1802 -0.161   43  5.831   43  0.317   24  0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.477  0.535  0.702
Mid-Continent           19 13 2446 2266  0.095   44  5.810   44  0.297   35  0.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.526  0.484  0.249
Lewis-Clark St ID       14 17 2166 2219  0.377   45  5.735   45  0.221   42  0.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.476  0.147  0.319
St Xavier               20 10 2346 2157 -0.265   46  5.686   46  0.192   56  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  0.319 -0.203
Carroll MT              13 15 1974 1916  0.355   47  5.681   47  0.189   39  0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.413 -0.039  0.636
Texas Wesleyan          21  9 2281 2104 -0.437   48  5.636   48  0.149   62 -0.089    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.462 -0.230  0.052
Xavier NO               18 14 2071 2019 -0.016   49  5.624   49  0.138   50  0.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.220 -0.903  1.199
Missouri Valley         20 12 2207 2014 -0.139   50  5.616   50  0.132   40  0.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.360 -0.294  0.787
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Emmanuel GA             20 10 2314 2077 -0.335   51  5.558   51  0.078   48  0.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.506  0.194  0.122
Benedictine KS          17 16 2313 2348 -0.006   52  5.533   52  0.054   66 -0.144    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.500 -0.135 -0.154
Our Lady of the Lake    20 10 2749 2487 -0.398   53  5.503   53  0.026   53  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.812  1.511 -1.251
Rocky Mountain          11 18 2167 2177  0.373   54  5.451   54  0.020   37  0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.592  0.724 -0.062
Texas College           17 11 2222 2175 -0.308   55  5.431   55 -0.002   68 -0.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.610  0.308 -0.638
Spring Hill             14 18 2210 2340  0.125   56  5.426   56 -0.006   67 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.478 -0.228 -0.070
Auburn Montgomery       13 13 1854 1816  0.007   57  5.392   57 -0.040   57  0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.437 -0.190  0.293
Lubbock Christian       13 15 2035 1994  0.138   58  5.391   58 -0.041   54  0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.482  0.044  0.172
NW Oklahoma St          11 20 2231 2310  0.355   59  5.325   59 -0.069   51  0.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.543  0.324 -0.051
Faulkner                17 12 2110 1990 -0.284   60  5.324   60 -0.071   58 -0.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.437 -0.247  0.240
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern-New Orleans    13 17 2287 2293  0.045   61  5.268   61 -0.120   55  0.081    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577  0.410 -0.248
Lindsey Wilson          14 16 2114 2076 -0.051   62  5.230   62 -0.157   64 -0.121    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.410 -0.469  0.227
Loyola NO               13 19 2440 2433  0.116   63  5.175   63 -0.187   59 -0.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.352 -0.390
Wayland Baptist         11 18 1973 2019  0.175   64  5.169   64 -0.192   52  0.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.390 -0.295  0.558
Lambuth                 14 13 2389 2158 -0.056   65  5.161   65 -0.200   49  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.698  1.009 -0.702
Montana Tech            11 20 2076 2170  0.214   66  5.136   66 -0.224   60 -0.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409 -0.397  0.308
Martin Methodist        18 14 2639 2372 -0.383   67  4.988   67 -0.340   63 -0.110    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.265 -0.484
Shorter                 17 14 2244 2104 -0.480   68  4.975   68 -0.353   75 -0.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.436 -0.654 -0.162
West Virginia Tech      13 18 2447 2403 -0.119   69  4.970   69 -0.357   71 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.605  0.152 -0.751
Bacone                  17 13 2387 2326 -0.674   70  4.866   70 -0.441   77 -0.569    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.626 -0.028 -1.109
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Vanguard                 5 20 1631 1800  0.454   71  4.838   71 -0.468   65 -0.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.477 -0.221 -0.057
Missouri Baptist        16 16 2433 2505 -0.698   72  4.822   72 -0.483   92 -0.930    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.643 -0.318 -1.541
Great Falls              7 23 1886 2262  0.179   73  4.811   73 -0.494   84 -0.759    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438 -0.996 -0.522
Southern Wesleyan       13 17 2361 2378 -0.341   74  4.804   74 -0.502   74 -0.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.698  0.458 -1.255
Huston-Tillotson        12 17 2295 2364 -0.300   75  4.791   75 -0.517   73 -0.397    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.665  0.311 -1.105
Harris-Stowe St         15 17 2253 2173 -0.347   76  4.786   76 -0.522   69 -0.278    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.419 -0.589  0.033
Wiley                   15 16 2326 2381 -0.566   77  4.750   77 -0.558   81 -0.681    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550 -0.466 -0.896
Point Loma Nazarene      8 22 1973 2098  0.185   78  4.693   78 -0.576   61 -0.055    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.421 -0.358  0.249
San Diego Christian      7 23 1947 2282 -0.038   79  4.603   79 -0.631   80 -0.676    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.491 -0.702 -0.649
Avila                   10 19 2007 2141 -0.351   80  4.528   80 -0.701   83 -0.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529 -0.575 -0.834
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cumberland TN           12 18 2183 2208 -0.449   81  4.511   81 -0.718   72 -0.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.452 -0.562 -0.198
St Gregory's             7 24 2112 2533 -0.059   82  4.497   82 -0.732   86 -0.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.584 -0.465 -1.182
U of the Southwest      12 21 2490 2780 -0.526   83  4.451   83 -0.767   91 -0.916    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.638 -0.326 -1.506
Baker                   10 22 2110 2375 -0.357   84  4.432   84 -0.785   90 -0.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.493 -0.913 -0.878
Allen                   10 18 1905 2038 -0.424   85  4.422   85 -0.795   78 -0.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.507 -0.568 -0.648
Science & Arts OK        5 25 2006 2398  0.070   86  4.373   86 -0.841   79 -0.660    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.521 -0.563 -0.756
Dillard                  4 24 1940 2204  0.189   87  4.369   87 -0.844   76 -0.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.509 -0.437 -0.535
St Thomas TX            10 15 1685 1702 -0.683   88  4.261   88 -0.904   82 -0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.376 -1.171 -0.218
Columbia MO             12 18 1927 1992 -0.735   89  4.204   89 -0.957   85 -0.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.325 -1.455 -0.115
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 20 2065 2217 -0.634   90  4.195   90 -0.964   87 -0.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.434 -1.090 -0.580
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
SW Assem of God         10 20 2227 2439 -0.599   91  4.188   91 -0.972   94 -0.950    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.583 -0.596 -1.303
Bethel TN               13 19 2297 2483 -0.916   92  4.181   92 -0.979   98 -1.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.519 -1.007 -1.181
Culver-Stockton          7 25 1953 2324 -0.345   93  4.124   93 -1.035   97 -1.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.399 -1.455 -0.673
Brewton-Parker           9 21 2004 2205 -0.592   94  4.087   94 -1.062   95 -0.958    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.467 -1.082 -0.834
IU South Bend            6 25 1997 2325 -0.310   95  4.006   95 -1.135   89 -0.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.441 -1.092 -0.643
Hope Int'l               4 26 1782 2192 -0.087   96  3.993   96 -1.145   96 -1.055    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.378 -1.525 -0.585
St Francis IL            8 21 1873 2124 -0.600   97  3.991   97 -1.148   93 -0.945    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.380 -1.407 -0.484
Morris SC                6 16 1459 1721 -0.846   98  3.956   98 -1.169  101 -1.498    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.497 -1.498 -1.497
Rio Grande               5 26 2325 2701 -0.244   99  3.859   99 -1.266   88 -0.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.717  0.100 -1.785
Truett-McConnell         7 24 2085 2506 -0.854  100  3.715  100 -1.410  104 -1.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.526 -1.576 -1.807
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Voorhees                 3 19 1395 1817 -0.620  101  3.677  101 -1.448  102 -1.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.496 -1.630 -1.620
William Woods            7 21 1912 2182 -0.967  102  3.640  102 -1.486  100 -1.412    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.549 -1.199 -1.624
Lyon                     6 24 1969 2397 -0.913  103  3.584  103 -1.544  103 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.483 -1.718 -1.605
Williams Baptist        11 19 2095 2413 -1.563  104  3.511  104 -1.617  107 -2.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.586 -1.653 -2.386
Jarvis Christian         3 26 2230 2671 -0.608  105  3.399  106 -1.718   99 -1.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.733 -0.366 -2.391
Paul Quinn               6 25 1965 2370 -1.036  106  3.379  105 -1.697  105 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.381 -2.230 -1.312
Holy Cross IN            3 27 1956 2549 -1.026  107  3.135  107 -1.957  108 -2.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.598 -1.638 -2.479
Blue Mountain            1 31 2548 3216 -0.721  108  2.901  108 -2.226  106 -1.817    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.872 -0.150 -3.483


NAIA-I Independents: strength=-0.754 (#12)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mountain St             26  2 2739 2058  0.028    4  6.946    4  1.265    7  1.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.731  2.142  0.132
Life GA                 18 10 2516 2342  0.400   20  6.319   20  0.719   19  0.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.800  2.104 -0.539
Lambuth                 14 13 2389 2158 -0.056   65  5.161   65 -0.200   49  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.698  1.009 -0.702
Allen                   10 18 1905 2038 -0.424   85  4.422   85 -0.795   78 -0.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.507 -0.568 -0.648
St Thomas TX            10 15 1685 1702 -0.683   88  4.261   88 -0.904   82 -0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.376 -1.171 -0.218
Berry                    9 15 1675 1841 -0.635       4.247      -0.916      -1.060      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.552 -0.835 -1.284
Langston                 8 20 2145 2321 -0.719       3.995      -1.144      -0.989      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.623 -0.463 -1.514
Morris SC                6 16 1459 1721 -0.846   98  3.956   98 -1.169  101 -1.498    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.497 -1.498 -1.497
Truett-McConnell         7 24 2085 2506 -0.854  100  3.715  100 -1.410  104 -1.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.526 -1.576 -1.807
Voorhees                 3 19 1395 1817 -0.620  101  3.677  101 -1.448  102 -1.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.496 -1.630 -1.620

American Midwest: strength=-0.703 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
McKendree               24  6 2269 1904 -0.110   23  6.274   23  0.676   29  0.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.440  0.308  0.770
Park                    20  8 2141 1802 -0.161   43  5.831   43  0.317   24  0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.477  0.535  0.702
Missouri Baptist        16 16 2433 2505 -0.698   72  4.822   72 -0.483   92 -0.930    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.643 -0.318 -1.541
Harris-Stowe St         15 17 2253 2173 -0.347   76  4.786   76 -0.522   69 -0.278    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.419 -0.589  0.033
Columbia MO             12 18 1927 1992 -0.735   89  4.204   89 -0.957   85 -0.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.325 -1.455 -0.115
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 20 2065 2217 -0.634   90  4.195   90 -0.964   87 -0.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.434 -1.090 -0.580
William Woods            7 21 1912 2182 -0.967  102  3.640  102 -1.486  100 -1.412    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.549 -1.199 -1.624
Williams Baptist        11 19 2095 2413 -1.563  104  3.511  104 -1.617  107 -2.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.586 -1.653 -2.386

Chicagoland-I CAC: strength=-0.402 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Olivet Nazarene         19 10 2240 1953  0.353   26  6.229   26  0.635   20  0.746    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.514  0.815  0.678
Robert Morris-Chicago   18 10 2218 1956  0.111   40  5.901   40  0.383   23  0.642    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.560  0.902  0.382
St Xavier               20 10 2346 2157 -0.265   46  5.686   46  0.192   56  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  0.319 -0.203
IU South Bend            6 25 1997 2325 -0.310   95  4.006   95 -1.135   89 -0.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.441 -1.092 -0.643
St Francis IL            8 21 1873 2124 -0.600   97  3.991   97 -1.148   93 -0.945    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.380 -1.407 -0.484
Holy Cross IN            3 27 1956 2549 -1.026  107  3.135  107 -1.957  108 -2.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.598 -1.638 -2.479

Frontier: strength=0.402 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Westminster UT          23  5 1991 1717  0.446    5  6.919    5  1.237    5  1.200    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.362  0.667  1.733
Montana-Western         22  9 2564 2261  0.301   18  6.377   18  0.774   17  0.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.633  1.420  0.281
Montana St-Northern     21 10 2151 1863  0.246   27  6.221   27  0.626   21  0.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.271 -0.168  1.568
Lewis-Clark St ID       14 17 2166 2219  0.377   45  5.735   45  0.221   42  0.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.476  0.147  0.319
Carroll MT              13 15 1974 1916  0.355   47  5.681   47  0.189   39  0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.413 -0.039  0.636
Rocky Mountain          11 18 2167 2177  0.373   54  5.451   54  0.020   37  0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.592  0.724 -0.062
Montana Tech            11 20 2076 2170  0.214   66  5.136   66 -0.224   60 -0.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409 -0.397  0.308
Great Falls              7 23 1886 2262  0.179   73  4.811   73 -0.494   84 -0.759    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438 -0.996 -0.522

Golden State AC: strength=0.434 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Concordia CA            27  3 2298 1881  0.805    1  7.562    1  1.794    1  1.422    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.484  1.369  1.474
Biola                   26  4 2119 1772  0.424    3  7.136    3  1.437    6  1.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.319  0.462  1.848
Westmont                21  8 2151 1972  0.479    8  6.705    8  1.054   18  0.832    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550  1.047  0.616
Fresno Pacific          22  9 2335 2066  0.534    9  6.614    9  0.965   10  1.000    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.509  1.047  0.953
Azusa Pacific           20  9 2341 2151  0.472   11  6.556   11  0.914   12  0.908    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.679  1.681  0.135
California Baptist      18 13 2023 1967  0.267   33  6.023   33  0.493   41  0.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.331 -0.407  0.892
The Master's College    19 12 2083 1982  0.189   34  5.994   34  0.467   33  0.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.364 -0.106  0.943
Vanguard                 5 20 1631 1800  0.454   71  4.838   71 -0.468   65 -0.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.477 -0.221 -0.057
Point Loma Nazarene      8 22 1973 2098  0.185   78  4.693   78 -0.576   61 -0.055    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.421 -0.358  0.249
San Diego Christian      7 23 1947 2282 -0.038   79  4.603   79 -0.631   80 -0.676    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.491 -0.702 -0.649
Hope Int'l               4 26 1782 2192 -0.087   96  3.993   96 -1.145   96 -1.055    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.378 -1.525 -0.585

Gulf Coast AC: strength=0.208 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
LSU-Shreveport          26  6 2673 2252  0.056   13  6.511   13  0.874   16  0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.582  1.203  0.503
William Carey           21 10 2367 2204  0.227   22  6.279   22  0.681   31  0.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.530  0.614  0.350
Tougaloo                21  7 2430 2192  0.001   24  6.251   24  0.654   34  0.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.708  1.304 -0.500
Belhaven                22  8 2486 2269 -0.057   31  6.141   31  0.573   36  0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.634  0.905 -0.243
Mobile                  18 13 2278 2234  0.228   35  5.993   35  0.465   43  0.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.507  0.267  0.187
Xavier NO               18 14 2071 2019 -0.016   49  5.624   49  0.138   50  0.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.220 -0.903  1.199
Spring Hill             14 18 2210 2340  0.125   56  5.426   56 -0.006   67 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.478 -0.228 -0.070
Southern-New Orleans    13 17 2287 2293  0.045   61  5.268   61 -0.120   55  0.081    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.577  0.410 -0.248
Loyola NO               13 19 2440 2433  0.116   63  5.175   63 -0.187   59 -0.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.352 -0.390
Dillard                  4 24 1940 2204  0.189   87  4.369   87 -0.844   76 -0.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.509 -0.437 -0.535

Heart of America AC: strength=-0.040 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Methodist       24  7 2255 1888  0.152   19  6.373   19  0.770   11  0.934    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.380  0.470  1.399
Lindenwood              21  9 2069 1857  0.023   32  6.047   32  0.519   28  0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.323 -0.137  1.221
William Jewell          19 10 2062 1878  0.111   36  5.985   36  0.458   27  0.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.431  0.289  0.818
Evangel                 19 11 2196 2117  0.073   38  5.946   38  0.424   44  0.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.523  0.306  0.096
MidAmerica Nazarene     18 12 2259 2183  0.071   42  5.847   42  0.333   46  0.186    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.580  0.529 -0.156
Missouri Valley         20 12 2207 2014 -0.139   50  5.616   50  0.132   40  0.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.360 -0.294  0.787
Benedictine KS          17 16 2313 2348 -0.006   52  5.533   52  0.054   66 -0.144    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.500 -0.135 -0.154
Graceland               13 19 2318 2534 -0.103       5.018      -0.320      -0.594      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.638 -0.000 -1.187
Avila                   10 19 2007 2141 -0.351   80  4.528   80 -0.701   83 -0.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529 -0.575 -0.834
Baker                   10 22 2110 2375 -0.357   84  4.432   84 -0.785   90 -0.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.493 -0.913 -0.878
Culver-Stockton          7 25 1953 2324 -0.345   93  4.124   93 -1.035   97 -1.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.399 -1.455 -0.673

Mid-South: strength=0.435 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Campbellsville          24  6 2229 1858  0.338    7  6.727    7  1.075    8  1.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.389  0.624  1.478
Georgetown KY           23  6 2433 1943  0.287   10  6.602   10  0.957    4  1.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.557  1.490  0.999
Cumberlands KY          20  9 2176 1809  0.454   16  6.414   16  0.804    9  1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.372  0.514  1.504
St Catharine            20 12 2299 2070  0.280   29  6.154   29  0.584   26  0.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.366  0.046  1.081
Pikeville               21  8 2479 2011 -0.013   30  6.151   30  0.578   32  0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.583  0.810  0.097
Lindsey Wilson          14 16 2114 2076 -0.051   62  5.230   62 -0.157   64 -0.121    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.410 -0.469  0.227
West Virginia Tech      13 18 2447 2403 -0.119   69  4.970   69 -0.357   71 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.605  0.152 -0.751
Rio Grande               5 26 2325 2701 -0.244   99  3.859   99 -1.266   88 -0.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.717  0.100 -1.785

Red River AC: strength=-0.743 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Wesleyan          21  9 2281 2104 -0.437   48  5.636   48  0.149   62 -0.089    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.462 -0.230  0.052
Our Lady of the Lake    20 10 2749 2487 -0.398   53  5.503   53  0.026   53  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.812  1.511 -1.251
Texas College           17 11 2222 2175 -0.308   55  5.431   55 -0.002   68 -0.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.610  0.308 -0.638
Bacone                  17 13 2387 2326 -0.674   70  4.866   70 -0.441   77 -0.569    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.626 -0.028 -1.109
Huston-Tillotson        12 17 2295 2364 -0.300   75  4.791   75 -0.517   73 -0.397    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.665  0.311 -1.105
Wiley                   15 16 2326 2381 -0.566   77  4.750   77 -0.558   81 -0.681    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550 -0.466 -0.896
U of the Southwest      12 21 2490 2780 -0.526   83  4.451   83 -0.767   91 -0.916    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.638 -0.326 -1.506
SW Assem of God         10 20 2227 2439 -0.599   91  4.188   91 -0.972   94 -0.950    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.583 -0.596 -1.303
Langston                 8 20 2145 2321 -0.719       3.995      -1.144      -0.989      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.623 -0.463 -1.514
Jarvis Christian         3 26 2230 2671 -0.608  105  3.399  106 -1.718   99 -1.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.733 -0.366 -2.391
Paul Quinn               6 25 1965 2370 -1.036  106  3.379  105 -1.697  105 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.381 -2.230 -1.312

Sooner AC: strength=0.416 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma Baptist U.     28  2 2664 2090  0.383    2  7.400    2  1.647    3  1.273    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.672  2.015  0.530
Southern Nazarene       25  5 2359 1903  0.423    6  6.898    6  1.228    2  1.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.466  1.213  1.465
Oklahoma City           19  9 2004 1836  0.496   12  6.517   12  0.878   15  0.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409  0.507  1.212
Oklahoma Christian      22  8 2110 2021  0.108   14  6.460   14  0.830   45  0.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.397 -0.205  0.593
Rogers St               21 10 2490 2205  0.411   17  6.393   17  0.784   13  0.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.555  1.117  0.638
John Brown              21  9 2290 2071  0.204   21  6.289   21  0.690   22  0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.498  0.657  0.649
Mid-America Christian   16 16 2465 2486  0.430   39  5.922   39  0.402   38  0.319    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.644  0.938 -0.299
Lubbock Christian       13 15 2035 1994  0.138   58  5.391   58 -0.041   54  0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.482  0.044  0.172
NW Oklahoma St          11 20 2231 2310  0.355   59  5.325   59 -0.069   51  0.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.543  0.324 -0.051
Wayland Baptist         11 18 1973 2019  0.175   64  5.169   64 -0.192   52  0.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.390 -0.295  0.558
St Gregory's             7 24 2112 2533 -0.059   82  4.497   82 -0.732   86 -0.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.584 -0.465 -1.182
Science & Arts OK        5 25 2006 2398  0.070   86  4.373   86 -0.841   79 -0.660    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.521 -0.563 -0.756

Southern States: strength=-0.200 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Tech           23  6 2111 1909 -0.223   25  6.238   25  0.642   47  0.174    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.409 -0.179  0.526
Lee TN                  24  6 2436 2177 -0.185   28  6.170   28  0.599   30  0.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.621  1.041  0.005
Emmanuel GA             20 10 2314 2077 -0.335   51  5.558   51  0.078   48  0.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.506  0.194  0.122
Auburn Montgomery       13 13 1854 1816  0.007   57  5.392   57 -0.040   57  0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.437 -0.190  0.293
Faulkner                17 12 2110 1990 -0.284   60  5.324   60 -0.071   58 -0.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.437 -0.247  0.240
Shorter                 17 14 2244 2104 -0.480   68  4.975   68 -0.353   75 -0.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.436 -0.654 -0.162
Southern Wesleyan       13 17 2361 2378 -0.341   74  4.804   74 -0.502   74 -0.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.698  0.458 -1.255
Berry                    9 15 1675 1841 -0.635       4.247      -0.916      -1.060      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.552 -0.835 -1.284
Brewton-Parker           9 21 2004 2205 -0.592   94  4.087   94 -1.062   95 -0.958    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.467 -1.082 -0.834

TranSouth AC: strength=-0.367 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Union TN                23  7 2326 1942  0.195   15  6.458   15  0.828   14  0.867    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.438  0.631  1.103
Freed-Hardeman          20 12 2584 2347  0.235   37  5.980   37  0.455   25  0.613    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.568  0.906  0.321
Trevecca Nazarene       21 10 2460 2328 -0.313   41  5.867   41  0.349   70 -0.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.584  0.077 -0.641
Mid-Continent           19 13 2446 2266  0.095   44  5.810   44  0.297   35  0.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.526  0.484  0.249
Martin Methodist        18 14 2639 2372 -0.383   67  4.988   67 -0.340   63 -0.110    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.265 -0.484
Cumberland TN           12 18 2183 2208 -0.449   81  4.511   81 -0.718   72 -0.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.452 -0.562 -0.198
Bethel TN               13 19 2297 2483 -0.916   92  4.181   92 -0.979   98 -1.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.519 -1.007 -1.181
Lyon                     6 24 1969 2397 -0.913  103  3.584  103 -1.544  103 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.483 -1.718 -1.605
Blue Mountain            1 31 2548 3216 -0.721  108  2.901  108 -2.226  106 -1.817    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.872 -0.150 -3.483

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                  W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Mid-South                 140 101 0.581    1  0.435
Golden State AC           177 149 0.543    2  0.434
Sooner AC                 199 161 0.553    3  0.416
Frontier                  122 117 0.510    4  0.402
Gulf Coast AC             170 136 0.556    5  0.208
Heart of America AC       178 162 0.524    6 -0.040
Southern States           145 114 0.560    7 -0.200
TranSouth AC              133 148 0.473    8 -0.367
Chicagoland-I CAC          74 103 0.418    9 -0.402
American Midwest          116 125 0.481   10 -0.703
Red River AC              141 188 0.429   11 -0.743
NAIA-I Independents       111 152 0.422   12 -0.754

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.279 points in main ratings
     0.031 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Sat Mar  6 17:19:41 2010

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