Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma City           35  2  0 3044 2451  0.662    1  8.740    1  1.950    2  1.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.541  1.659  1.348
Robert Morris-Chicago   31  1  0 3140 2231  0.330    2  8.461    2  1.730    1  1.722    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.747  2.778  0.665
Concordia CA            29  7  0 3035 2565  0.689    3  8.068    3  1.397    4  1.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.663  2.066  0.711
Azusa Pacific           28  6  0 2927 2483  0.557    4  8.027    4  1.364    6  1.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.696  1.974  0.321
Southern Nazarene       28  7  0 2963 2450  0.632    5  7.979    5  1.321    5  1.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.650  1.876  0.632
San Diego Christian     23  5  0 2142 1919  0.442    6  7.935    6  1.279   12  0.808    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.524  0.892  0.724
Park                    24  7  0 2640 2336  0.484    7  7.827    7  1.177   10  0.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.675  1.600  0.135
Georgetown KY           27  4  0 2629 1942  0.267    8  7.819    8  1.170    3  1.428    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.496  1.398  1.458
Oklahoma Baptist U.     21 11  0 2476 2179  0.672    9  7.555    9  0.947    7  1.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.490  0.974  1.077
NW Oklahoma St          21 12  0 2240 2106  0.593   10  7.436   10  0.893   15  0.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.342  0.104  1.368
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mountain St             25  6  0 2662 2220  0.090   11  7.395   11  0.875   14  0.746    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.633  1.294  0.198
Union TN                23  9  0 2605 2411  0.293   12  7.355   12  0.843   21  0.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.598  0.998  0.206
Campbellsville          25  6  0 2428 1920  0.043   13  7.236   13  0.771    9  0.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.424  0.602  1.236
Point Loma Nazarene     19 12  0 2409 2222  0.575   14  7.204   15  0.738   11  0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.599  1.216  0.412
California Baptist      19 11  0 2198 2035  0.515   15  7.195   14  0.741   13  0.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.437  0.502  1.029
Lewis-Clark St ID       23  7  0 2321 1811  0.099   16  7.142   16  0.686    8  0.932    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.382  0.455  1.409
Lambuth                 24  7  0 2827 2391 -0.007   17  7.139   17  0.682   17  0.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.710  1.523 -0.253
Auburn Montgomery       24  5  0 2069 1831 -0.234   18  7.115   18  0.660   30  0.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.389 -0.059  0.842
Crichton                25  8  0 2841 2509 -0.002   19  7.105   19  0.650   20  0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.650  1.240 -0.003
Westmont                15 12  0 1943 1876  0.572   20  7.080   20  0.624   19  0.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.493  0.582  0.665
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Faulkner                24 10  0 2475 2227  0.049   21  6.980   21  0.531   28  0.455    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.430  0.162  0.749
Illinois-Springfield    22  8  0 2504 2231 -0.051   22  6.978   22  0.530   25  0.527    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.646  1.132 -0.077
Lubbock Christian       15 14  0 2063 2040  0.509   23  6.955   23  0.509   27  0.463    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.474  0.346  0.580
Xavier NO               22 10  0 2312 2173 -0.040   24  6.908   24  0.464   34  0.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.415 -0.042  0.659
LSU-Shreveport          24  8  0 2653 2349 -0.242   25  6.867   25  0.426   32  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.628  0.910 -0.137
Houston Baptist         22  7  0 2400 2147 -0.259   26  6.841   26  0.419   40  0.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.608  0.671 -0.205
Oklahoma Christian      13 15  0 2067 1982  0.638   27  6.823   28  0.405   18  0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.514  0.678  0.591
John Brown              17 13  0 2124 2010  0.314   28  6.814   27  0.414   26  0.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.425  0.179  0.806
Westminster UT          19 11  0 2105 1925  0.189   29  6.775   29  0.383   22  0.577    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.346 -0.039  1.193
Cumberlands KY          19 10  0 2228 2025  0.043   30  6.766   30  0.376   23  0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.528  0.677  0.470
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT              19 10  0 2148 2037 -0.053   31  6.729   31  0.359   44  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.480  0.036  0.223
Biola                   14 16  0 2100 1989  0.560   32  6.726   32  0.357   16  0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.358  0.124  1.264
McKendree               17 12  0 2402 2276  0.155   33  6.710   33  0.343   29  0.404    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.670  1.115 -0.307
Olivet Nazarene         17 11  0 2083 1954  0.062   34  6.674   34  0.310   35  0.303    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.484  0.228  0.379
Wiley                   21  9  0 2317 2229 -0.250   35  6.657   35  0.293   51  0.011    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.572  0.297 -0.275
Wayland Baptist         12 17  0 2147 2155  0.601   36  6.647   36  0.286   24  0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  0.782  0.300
William Carey           19 12  0 2483 2394 -0.037   37  6.583   37  0.252   43  0.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.654  0.775 -0.501
Montana St-Northern     19 10  0 2194 2018 -0.155   38  6.576   38  0.246   47  0.091    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.468 -0.050  0.232
Lee TN                  21 10  0 2258 2063 -0.163   39  6.574   39  0.244   36  0.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.464  0.126  0.440
Fresno Pacific          13 15  0 1932 1869  0.352   40  6.557   40  0.229   33  0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.378 -0.162  0.822
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Martin Methodist        19 11  0 2469 2317 -0.089   41  6.522   41  0.196   37  0.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.649  0.884 -0.344
Lindsey Wilson          15 11  0 1797 1698 -0.002   42  6.517   42  0.192   48  0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.335 -0.575  0.738
Jarvis Christian        23  9  0 2692 2446 -0.432   43  6.505   43  0.181   46  0.109    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.678  0.855 -0.637
The Master's College    11 18  0 1987 2088  0.505   44  6.495   44  0.174   39  0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.459  0.075  0.428
Mobile                  18 14  0 2260 2159 -0.010   45  6.467   45  0.149   42  0.145    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.389 -0.308  0.598
Southern Tech           21  8  0 2129 1891 -0.523   46  6.424   46  0.111   56 -0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.419 -0.376  0.296
St Xavier               20 11  0 2354 2110 -0.258   47  6.416   47  0.104   45  0.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.480  0.031  0.221
Emmanuel GA             26 10  0 2813 2424 -0.496   48  6.415   48  0.104   50  0.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.523  0.124 -0.038
Texas Wesleyan          16 10  0 1864 1726 -0.179   49  6.408   49  0.098   53 -0.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.366 -0.565  0.513
Tougaloo                17 13  0 2364 2238 -0.071   50  6.370   50  0.068   38  0.253    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.602 -0.097
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Science & Arts OK        6 19  0 1705 1852  0.837   51  6.367   51  0.066   31  0.387    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.471  0.256  0.518
Rocky Mountain          17 13  0 2377 2226 -0.162   52  6.228   52 -0.043   41  0.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.619  0.690 -0.282
Missouri Baptist        14 13  0 2295 2272 -0.079   53  6.198   53 -0.073   58 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.777  1.084 -1.307
Voorhees                13  6  0 1603 1356 -0.471   54  6.178   54 -0.091   49  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.601  0.469 -0.353
Spring Hill             14 11  0 1907 1787 -0.247   55  6.161   55 -0.105   54 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.540  0.122 -0.182
Trevecca Nazarene       17 13  0 2312 2198 -0.316   56  6.089   56 -0.152   55 -0.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.508 -0.017 -0.057
Purdue Calumet           7  5  0  876  890 -0.503   57  6.088   57 -0.154   60 -0.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.548 -0.140 -0.512
Columbia MO             15 15  0 2151 2086 -0.178   58  6.071   58 -0.169   57 -0.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.424 -0.400  0.228
Vanguard                 7 21  0 1824 2006  0.454   59  5.945   59 -0.256   52  0.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.407 -0.376  0.389
Cumberland TN           15 15  0 2180 2121 -0.352   60  5.868   60 -0.327   61 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.429 -0.670 -0.078
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brescia                 11 20  0 2166 2314 -0.026   61  5.818   61 -0.364   63 -0.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.483 -0.464 -0.298
Reinhardt               16 15  0 2099 2171 -0.486   62  5.813   62 -0.367   71 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.449 -0.726 -0.294
Southern-New Orleans     7 14  0 1456 1618 -0.029   63  5.792   63 -0.385   69 -0.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529 -0.400 -0.609
Belhaven                14 17  0 2330 2404 -0.313   64  5.784   64 -0.393   65 -0.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.585 -0.098 -0.776
St Gregory's             7 20  0 1782 2027  0.189   65  5.762   65 -0.411   67 -0.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.466 -0.622 -0.325
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 16  0 1743 1838 -0.273   66  5.726   66 -0.418   64 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.297 -1.193  0.400
St Francis IL           10 15  0 1722 1897 -0.315   67  5.698   67 -0.433   75 -0.580    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.490 -0.634 -0.526
Montana Tech            10 18  0 1979 2088 -0.154   68  5.622   68 -0.489   68 -0.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.487 -0.546 -0.416
West Virginia Tech      10 20  0 2229 2284 -0.064   69  5.570   69 -0.544   59 -0.226    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.522 -0.147 -0.305
Brewton-Parker          12 18  0 1922 2095 -0.433   70  5.522   70 -0.566   80 -0.639    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.398 -1.055 -0.222
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Pikeville               12 19  0 2198 2339 -0.327   71  5.473   71 -0.597   70 -0.505    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.508 -0.486 -0.524
Morris SC                7 14  0 1492 1618 -0.303   72  5.423   72 -0.642   73 -0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.612 -0.088 -0.996
IU South Bend            9 19  0 1907 2113 -0.265   73  5.420   73 -0.645   78 -0.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.450 -0.813 -0.389
Williams Baptist        12 11  0 1739 1837 -1.042   74  5.416   74 -0.650   91 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.604 -0.634 -1.475
Freed-Hardeman           8 22  0 2144 2402 -0.099   75  5.405   75 -0.659   72 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550 -0.322 -0.711
Lyon                    12 18  0 2092 2245 -0.524   76  5.390   76 -0.676   82 -0.729    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.413 -1.088 -0.370
Paul Quinn               6 18  0 1906 2127 -0.105   77  5.361   77 -0.695   79 -0.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.744  0.434 -1.650
Hope Int'l               4 25  0 1841 2377  0.125   78  5.279   78 -0.773   90 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.497 -1.069 -1.023
Montana-Western          7 20  0 2200 2302 -0.107   79  5.268   79 -0.785   62 -0.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.765  0.759 -1.512
Dillard                  5 20  0 1819 2005 -0.060   80  5.170   80 -0.818   76 -0.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.614 -0.118 -1.048
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Berry                    8 21  0 2000 2177 -0.311   81  5.167   81 -0.820   83 -0.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.513 -0.708 -0.791
Mid-Continent           16 21  0 3117 3204 -0.839   82  5.160   82 -0.826   87 -0.892    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.769  0.266 -2.050
Mid-America Christian   21 14  0 2924 2764 -1.182   83  5.140   83 -0.843   85 -0.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.689 -0.031 -1.617
Huston-Tillotson         5 20  0 1774 2028 -0.118   84  5.110   84 -0.869   74 -0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.591 -0.208 -0.939
Texas College            4 20  0 1703 1937  0.020   85  5.088   85 -0.888   66 -0.470    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.589 -0.111 -0.828
Bacone                   9 22  0 2349 2590 -0.465   86  5.052   86 -0.921   86 -0.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.623 -0.335 -1.346
Shorter                  6 20  0 1759 1892 -0.337   87  4.991   87 -0.975   77 -0.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.484 -0.671 -0.517
Loyola NO                5 23  0 1824 2067 -0.151   88  4.981   88 -0.985   84 -0.767    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.397 -1.190 -0.345
Allen                    2 16  0 1144 1530 -0.162   89  4.863   89 -1.055   92 -1.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.541 -1.126 -1.438
SW Assem of God          6 22  0 1969 2190 -0.468   90  4.721   90 -1.171   88 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.506 -0.898 -0.923
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Harris-Stowe St          4 24  0 2042 2303 -0.191   91  4.676   91 -1.215   81 -0.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.586 -0.370 -1.058
Great Falls             14 23  0 2641 2743 -1.035   92  4.623   92 -1.276   89 -1.033    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.457 -1.217 -0.849
Illinois Tech            3 25  0 1618 2252 -0.488   93  4.462   93 -1.415   94 -1.798    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.417 -2.140 -1.456
Southern Wesleyan        5 25  0 1966 2288 -0.776   94  4.254   94 -1.593   93 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.469 -1.507 -1.233


American Midwest: strength=-0.262 (#8)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Illinois-Springfield    22  8  0 2504 2231 -0.051   22  6.978   22  0.530   25  0.527    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.646  1.132 -0.077
McKendree               17 12  0 2402 2276  0.155   33  6.710   33  0.343   29  0.404    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.670  1.115 -0.307
Missouri Baptist        14 13  0 2295 2272 -0.079   53  6.198   53 -0.073   58 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.777  1.084 -1.307
Columbia MO             15 15  0 2151 2086 -0.178   58  6.071   58 -0.169   57 -0.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.424 -0.400  0.228
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 16  0 1743 1838 -0.273   66  5.726   66 -0.418   64 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.297 -1.193  0.400
Williams Baptist        12 11  0 1739 1837 -1.042   74  5.416   74 -0.650   91 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.604 -0.634 -1.475
Harris-Stowe St          4 24  0 2042 2303 -0.191   91  4.676   91 -1.215   81 -0.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.586 -0.370 -1.058

Chicagoland-I CAC: strength=-0.286 (#9)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Robert Morris-Chicago   31  1  0 3140 2231  0.330    2  8.461    2  1.730    1  1.722    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.747  2.778  0.665
Olivet Nazarene         17 11  0 2083 1954  0.062   34  6.674   34  0.310   35  0.303    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.484  0.228  0.379
St Xavier               20 11  0 2354 2110 -0.258   47  6.416   47  0.104   45  0.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.480  0.031  0.221
Purdue Calumet           7  5  0  876  890 -0.503   57  6.088   57 -0.154   60 -0.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.548 -0.140 -0.512
St Francis IL           10 15  0 1722 1897 -0.315   67  5.698   67 -0.433   75 -0.580    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.490 -0.634 -0.526
IU South Bend            9 19  0 1907 2113 -0.265   73  5.420   73 -0.645   78 -0.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.450 -0.813 -0.389
Illinois Tech            3 25  0 1618 2252 -0.488   93  4.462   93 -1.415   94 -1.798    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.417 -2.140 -1.456

Frontier: strength=0.013 (#4)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lewis-Clark St ID       23  7  0 2321 1811  0.099   16  7.142   16  0.686    8  0.932    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.382  0.455  1.409
Westminster UT          19 11  0 2105 1925  0.189   29  6.775   29  0.383   22  0.577    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.346 -0.039  1.193
Carroll MT              19 10  0 2148 2037 -0.053   31  6.729   31  0.359   44  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.480  0.036  0.223
Montana St-Northern     19 10  0 2194 2018 -0.155   38  6.576   38  0.246   47  0.091    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.468 -0.050  0.232
Rocky Mountain          17 13  0 2377 2226 -0.162   52  6.228   52 -0.043   41  0.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.619  0.690 -0.282
Montana Tech            10 18  0 1979 2088 -0.154   68  5.622   68 -0.489   68 -0.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.487 -0.546 -0.416
Montana-Western          7 20  0 2200 2302 -0.107   79  5.268   79 -0.785   62 -0.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.765  0.759 -1.512
Great Falls             14 23  0 2641 2743 -1.035   92  4.623   92 -1.276   89 -1.033    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.457 -1.217 -0.849

Golden State AC: strength=0.634 (#2)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Concordia CA            29  7  0 3035 2565  0.689    3  8.068    3  1.397    4  1.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.663  2.066  0.711
Azusa Pacific           28  6  0 2927 2483  0.557    4  8.027    4  1.364    6  1.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.696  1.974  0.321
San Diego Christian     23  5  0 2142 1919  0.442    6  7.935    6  1.279   12  0.808    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.524  0.892  0.724
Point Loma Nazarene     19 12  0 2409 2222  0.575   14  7.204   15  0.738   11  0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.599  1.216  0.412
California Baptist      19 11  0 2198 2035  0.515   15  7.195   14  0.741   13  0.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.437  0.502  1.029
Westmont                15 12  0 1943 1876  0.572   20  7.080   20  0.624   19  0.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.493  0.582  0.665
Biola                   14 16  0 2100 1989  0.560   32  6.726   32  0.357   16  0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.358  0.124  1.264
Fresno Pacific          13 15  0 1932 1869  0.352   40  6.557   40  0.229   33  0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.378 -0.162  0.822
The Master's College    11 18  0 1987 2088  0.505   44  6.495   44  0.174   39  0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.459  0.075  0.428
Vanguard                 7 21  0 1824 2006  0.454   59  5.945   59 -0.256   52  0.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.407 -0.376  0.389
Hope Int'l               4 25  0 1841 2377  0.125   78  5.279   78 -0.773   90 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.497 -1.069 -1.023

Gulf Coast AC: strength=-0.132 (#5)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Xavier NO               22 10  0 2312 2173 -0.040   24  6.908   24  0.464   34  0.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.415 -0.042  0.659
LSU-Shreveport          24  8  0 2653 2349 -0.242   25  6.867   25  0.426   32  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.628  0.910 -0.137
William Carey           19 12  0 2483 2394 -0.037   37  6.583   37  0.252   43  0.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.654  0.775 -0.501
Mobile                  18 14  0 2260 2159 -0.010   45  6.467   45  0.149   42  0.145    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.389 -0.308  0.598
Tougaloo                17 13  0 2364 2238 -0.071   50  6.370   50  0.068   38  0.253    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.587  0.602 -0.097
Spring Hill             14 11  0 1907 1787 -0.247   55  6.161   55 -0.105   54 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.540  0.122 -0.182
Southern-New Orleans     7 14  0 1456 1618 -0.029   63  5.792   63 -0.385   69 -0.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.529 -0.400 -0.609
Belhaven                14 17  0 2330 2404 -0.313   64  5.784   64 -0.393   65 -0.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.585 -0.098 -0.776
Dillard                  5 20  0 1819 2005 -0.060   80  5.170   80 -0.818   76 -0.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.614 -0.118 -1.048
Loyola NO                5 23  0 1824 2067 -0.151   88  4.981   88 -0.985   84 -0.767    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.397 -1.190 -0.345

Mid-South: strength=0.381 (#3)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY           27  4  0 2629 1942  0.267    8  7.819    8  1.170    3  1.428    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.496  1.398  1.458
Campbellsville          25  6  0 2428 1920  0.043   13  7.236   13  0.771    9  0.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.424  0.602  1.236
Cumberlands KY          19 10  0 2228 2025  0.043   30  6.766   30  0.376   23  0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.528  0.677  0.470
Lindsey Wilson          15 11  0 1797 1698 -0.002   42  6.517   42  0.192   48  0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.335 -0.575  0.738
West Virginia Tech      10 20  0 2229 2284 -0.064   69  5.570   69 -0.544   59 -0.226    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.522 -0.147 -0.305
Pikeville               12 19  0 2198 2339 -0.327   71  5.473   71 -0.597   70 -0.505    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.508 -0.486 -0.524

Red River AC: strength=-0.361 (#11)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Houston Baptist         22  7  0 2400 2147 -0.259   26  6.841   26  0.419   40  0.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.608  0.671 -0.205
Wiley                   21  9  0 2317 2229 -0.250   35  6.657   35  0.293   51  0.011    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.572  0.297 -0.275
Jarvis Christian        23  9  0 2692 2446 -0.432   43  6.505   43  0.181   46  0.109    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.678  0.855 -0.637
Langston                14 12  0 1852 1920 -0.072       6.458       0.141      -0.107      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.477 -0.212 -0.001
Texas Wesleyan          16 10  0 1864 1726 -0.179   49  6.408   49  0.098   53 -0.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.366 -0.565  0.513
Paul Quinn               6 18  0 1906 2127 -0.105   77  5.361   77 -0.695   79 -0.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.744  0.434 -1.650
Huston-Tillotson         5 20  0 1774 2028 -0.118   84  5.110   84 -0.869   74 -0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.591 -0.208 -0.939
Texas College            4 20  0 1703 1937  0.020   85  5.088   85 -0.888   66 -0.470    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.589 -0.111 -0.828
Bacone                   9 22  0 2349 2590 -0.465   86  5.052   86 -0.921   86 -0.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.623 -0.335 -1.346
SW Assem of God          6 22  0 1969 2190 -0.468   90  4.721   90 -1.171   88 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.506 -0.898 -0.923

Sooner AC: strength=0.737 (#1)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma City           35  2  0 3044 2451  0.662    1  8.740    1  1.950    2  1.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.541  1.659  1.348
Southern Nazarene       28  7  0 2963 2450  0.632    5  7.979    5  1.321    5  1.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.650  1.876  0.632
Oklahoma Baptist U.     21 11  0 2476 2179  0.672    9  7.555    9  0.947    7  1.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.490  0.974  1.077
NW Oklahoma St          21 12  0 2240 2106  0.593   10  7.436   10  0.893   15  0.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.342  0.104  1.368
Lubbock Christian       15 14  0 2063 2040  0.509   23  6.955   23  0.509   27  0.463    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.474  0.346  0.580
Oklahoma Christian      13 15  0 2067 1982  0.638   27  6.823   28  0.405   18  0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.514  0.678  0.591
John Brown              17 13  0 2124 2010  0.314   28  6.814   27  0.414   26  0.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.425  0.179  0.806
Wayland Baptist         12 17  0 2147 2155  0.601   36  6.647   36  0.286   24  0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.561  0.782  0.300
Science & Arts OK        6 19  0 1705 1852  0.837   51  6.367   51  0.066   31  0.387    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.471  0.256  0.518
St Gregory's             7 20  0 1782 2027  0.189   65  5.762   65 -0.411   67 -0.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.466 -0.622 -0.325

Southern States: strength=-0.312 (#10)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Auburn Montgomery       24  5  0 2069 1831 -0.234   18  7.115   18  0.660   30  0.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.389 -0.059  0.842
Faulkner                24 10  0 2475 2227  0.049   21  6.980   21  0.531   28  0.455    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.430  0.162  0.749
Lee TN                  21 10  0 2258 2063 -0.163   39  6.574   39  0.244   36  0.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.464  0.126  0.440
Southern Tech           21  8  0 2129 1891 -0.523   46  6.424   46  0.111   56 -0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.419 -0.376  0.296
Emmanuel GA             26 10  0 2813 2424 -0.496   48  6.415   48  0.104   50  0.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.523  0.124 -0.038
Reinhardt               16 15  0 2099 2171 -0.486   62  5.813   62 -0.367   71 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.449 -0.726 -0.294
Brewton-Parker          12 18  0 1922 2095 -0.433   70  5.522   70 -0.566   80 -0.639    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.398 -1.055 -0.222
Berry                    8 21  0 2000 2177 -0.311   81  5.167   81 -0.820   83 -0.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.513 -0.708 -0.791
Shorter                  6 20  0 1759 1892 -0.337   87  4.991   87 -0.975   77 -0.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.484 -0.671 -0.517
Southern Wesleyan        5 25  0 1966 2288 -0.776   94  4.254   94 -1.593   93 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.469 -1.507 -1.233

TranSouth AC: strength=-0.171 (#6)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Union TN                23  9  0 2605 2411  0.293   12  7.355   12  0.843   21  0.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.598  0.998  0.206
Lambuth                 24  7  0 2827 2391 -0.007   17  7.139   17  0.682   17  0.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.710  1.523 -0.253
Crichton                25  8  0 2841 2509 -0.002   19  7.105   19  0.650   20  0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.650  1.240 -0.003
Martin Methodist        19 11  0 2469 2317 -0.089   41  6.522   41  0.196   37  0.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.649  0.884 -0.344
Trevecca Nazarene       17 13  0 2312 2198 -0.316   56  6.089   56 -0.152   55 -0.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.508 -0.017 -0.057
Cumberland TN           15 15  0 2180 2121 -0.352   60  5.868   60 -0.327   61 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.429 -0.670 -0.078
Freed-Hardeman           8 22  0 2144 2402 -0.099   75  5.405   75 -0.659   72 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.550 -0.322 -0.711
Lyon                    12 18  0 2092 2245 -0.524   76  5.390   76 -0.676   82 -0.729    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.413 -1.088 -0.370
Mid-Continent           16 21  0 3117 3204 -0.839   82  5.160   82 -0.826   87 -0.892    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.769  0.266 -2.050
Bethel TN               13 17  0 2424 2413 -0.828       5.023      -0.948      -0.964      0.0000      0.0000           0  3.619 -0.480 -1.448

NAIA-I Independents: strength=-0.181 (#7)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Park                    24  7  0 2640 2336  0.484    7  7.827    7  1.177   10  0.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.675  1.600  0.135
Mountain St             25  6  0 2662 2220  0.090   11  7.395   11  0.875   14  0.746    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.633  1.294  0.198
Voorhees                13  6  0 1603 1356 -0.471   54  6.178   54 -0.091   49  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.601  0.469 -0.353
Morris SC                7 14  0 1492 1618 -0.303   72  5.423   72 -0.642   73 -0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.612 -0.088 -0.996
Mid-America Christian   21 14  0 2924 2764 -1.182   83  5.140   83 -0.843   85 -0.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.689 -0.031 -1.617
Allen                    2 16  0 1144 1530 -0.162   89  4.863   89 -1.055   92 -1.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  3.541 -1.126 -1.438

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                  W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
Sooner AC                 175 130   0 0.574    1  0.737
Golden State AC           182 148   0 0.552    2  0.634
Mid-South                 108  70   0 0.607    3  0.381
Frontier                  128 112   0 0.533    4  0.013
Gulf Coast AC             145 142   0 0.505    5 -0.132
TranSouth AC              172 141   0 0.550    6 -0.171
NAIA-I Independents        92  63   0 0.594    7 -0.181
American Midwest           95  99   0 0.490    8 -0.262
Chicagoland-I CAC          97  87   0 0.527    9 -0.286
Southern States           163 142   0 0.534   10 -0.312
Red River AC              126 149   0 0.458   11 -0.361

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.300 points in main ratings
     0.032 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:25:20 2007

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