Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Missouri                12  2 558 326  3.518    1  6.952    1  4.220    4  4.124    3 0.6383    2 0.6666    2   1163  1.625  4.532  3.716
LSU                     12  2 541 279  3.525    2  6.915    2  4.170    3  4.130    1 0.6571    1 0.6694    1   1237  1.589  4.482  3.778
Kansas                  12  1 556 213  3.259    3  6.900    3  4.148    6  4.039    7 0.6233    7 0.6415    3   1153  1.301  3.972  4.107
Georgia                 11  2 424 262  3.348    4  6.825    4  4.041   10  3.869    2 0.6441    3 0.6652    6    956  1.350  3.869  3.869
Southern Cal            11  2 424 208  3.451    5  6.813    5  4.023    1  4.204    4 0.6364   13 0.6199    4   1127  1.166  3.960  4.447
West Virginia           11  2 515 235  3.435    6  6.803    6  4.009    2  4.182    5 0.6328    5 0.6501    5   1067  1.497  4.394  3.970
Ohio State              11  2 408 166  3.338    7  6.764    7  3.952    7  4.013    9 0.6186    9 0.6296    6    956  0.904  3.462  4.564
Oklahoma                11  3 592 284  3.487    8  6.733    8  3.911    5  4.108   14 0.6094    8 0.6401    8    941  1.504  4.330  3.885
Arizona St              10  3 420 293  3.359    9  6.688    9  3.851   16  3.600   11 0.6145   21 0.6031   16    527  1.428  3.712  3.489
Virginia Tech           11  3 402 225  3.293   10  6.675   10  3.834   11  3.852    6 0.6269    6 0.6456    9    841  1.035  3.449  4.255
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young           11  2 391 241  3.012   11  6.629   11  3.768   17  3.593   10 0.6160    4 0.6525   18    479  1.300  3.525  3.661
Tennessee               10  4 455 382  3.345   12  6.623   13  3.762   21  3.518   13 0.6118   10 0.6282   19    322  1.608  3.901  3.135
Oregon                   9  4 496 307  3.500   13  6.609   14  3.743    9  3.897   15 0.6077   17 0.6082   10    782  1.682  4.397  3.397
Oregon St                9  4 362 294  3.423   14  6.598   12  3.763   18  3.541   16 0.5957   19 0.6044   21    286  1.303  3.478  3.605
Boston College          11  3 396 285  3.080   15  6.571   15  3.726   29  3.344    8 0.6221   11 0.6229   14    568  1.383  3.390  3.298
Texas                   10  3 484 329  3.213   16  6.570   16  3.724   15  3.640   17 0.5955   18 0.6049   12    640  1.618  4.038  3.242
Florida                  9  4 552 331  3.492   17  6.546   18  3.692    8  3.999   12 0.6143   12 0.6228   17    515  1.883  4.841  3.158
Auburn                   9  4 315 220  3.404   18  6.533   17  3.712   20  3.528   20 0.5884   23 0.5968   15    561  0.855  2.925  4.132
Hawai`i                 12  1 564 331  2.380   19  6.510   19  3.675   57  2.970   27 0.5635   14 0.6135   24    120  1.788  3.646  2.294
South Florida            9  4 451 304  3.350   20  6.482   20  3.637   12  3.680   18 0.5953   15 0.6125   20    293  1.561  3.990  3.371
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cincinnati              10  3 472 244  3.152   21  6.481   21  3.625   13  3.669   25 0.5799   20 0.6036   13    619  1.421  3.769  3.568
Michigan                 9  4 354 278  3.221   22  6.441   22  3.573   24  3.418   21 0.5851   16 0.6084   11    695  1.188  3.202  3.634
Illinois                 9  4 362 283  3.156   23  6.405   23  3.538   31  3.328   24 0.5809   22 0.5984   22    177  1.380  3.371  3.285
Kentucky                 8  5 475 385  3.313   24  6.351   24  3.465   26  3.394   23 0.5831   28 0.5798   25     28  1.769  4.038  2.749
Clemson                  9  4 430 243  3.113   25  6.321   25  3.425   14  3.661   19 0.5905   25 0.5826   28     13  1.414  3.752  3.570
Wake Forest              9  4 362 289  3.022   26  6.281   27  3.410   32  3.327   22 0.5847   27 0.5798   30      0  1.365  3.349  3.305
Connecticut              9  4 344 247  3.015   27  6.279   26  3.418   46  3.150   31 0.5609   26 0.5816   27     17  1.125  2.856  3.445
Penn State               9  4 394 228  3.076   28  6.253   31  3.384   19  3.536   28 0.5633   29 0.5792   29      8  1.258  3.411  3.660
Wisconsin                9  4 383 301  2.999   29  6.243   28  3.408   36  3.245   29 0.5616   34 0.5717   30      0  1.418  3.341  3.149
Texas Tech               9  4 532 337  3.099   30  6.230   30  3.392   22  3.517   36 0.5495   36 0.5694   23    138  1.654  3.973  3.062
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arkansas                 8  5 485 345  3.224   31  6.218   32  3.376   27  3.383   33 0.5550   44 0.5422   26     21  1.710  3.930  2.836
Mississippi St           8  5 279 301  3.058   32  6.190   29  3.393   52  3.006   32 0.5605   37 0.5674   30      0  1.103  2.685  3.328
Virginia                 9  4 317 256  2.967   33  6.158   33  3.352   37  3.244   26 0.5752   32 0.5756   30      0  1.255  3.116  3.372
Utah                     9  4 341 219  2.982   34  6.141   34  3.332   23  3.433   30 0.5615   24 0.5899   30      0  1.039  3.034  3.831
California               7  6 381 348  3.324   35  6.131   35  3.320   40  3.224   34 0.5523   43 0.5462   30      0  1.536  3.495  2.953
Oklahoma St              7  6 450 384  3.313   36  6.074   36  3.244   25  3.399   35 0.5504   33 0.5726   30      0  1.658  3.860  2.938
Texas A&M                7  6 363 337  3.251   37  6.065   37  3.243   42  3.221   39 0.5454   38 0.5667   30      0  1.378  3.260  3.181
UCLA                     6  7 291 290  3.448   38  6.048   38  3.220   30  3.334   41 0.5437   47 0.5375   30      0  1.202  3.136  3.531
Air Force                9  4 389 274  2.787   39  6.042   39  3.211   47  3.145   37 0.5494   30 0.5790   30      0  1.399  3.215  3.076
Florida St               7  6 303 298  3.188   40  6.022   40  3.185   48  3.141   38 0.5494   48 0.5375   30      0  1.197  2.937  3.346
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
South Carolina           6  6 313 282  3.317   41  6.021   41  3.184   38  3.242   40 0.5448   56 0.5242   30      0  1.254  3.113  3.372
Rutgers                  8  5 426 292  2.981   42  5.992   42  3.145   34  3.264   45 0.5328   53 0.5308   30      0  1.401  3.337  3.191
New Mexico               9  4 321 247  2.639   43  5.971   43  3.118   59  2.934   49 0.5263   41 0.5569   30      0  1.014  2.506  3.362
Alabama                  7  6 352 286  3.158   44  5.966   44  3.112   44  3.181   43 0.5418   45 0.5402   30      0  1.313  3.131  3.232
Boise St                10  3 551 281  2.509   45  5.957   45  3.099   28  3.375   46 0.5326   31 0.5788   30      0  1.589  3.726  3.023
Fresno St                9  4 427 351  2.577   46  5.906   46  3.095   60  2.921   52 0.5241   42 0.5556   30      0  1.571  3.245  2.597
Central Florida         10  4 502 372  2.549   47  5.905   47  3.094   55  2.974   44 0.5383   40 0.5656   30      0  1.563  3.286  2.661
Troy                     8  4 408 295  2.781   48  5.881   48  3.061   43  3.196   42 0.5427   35 0.5713   30      0  1.489  3.397  2.996
Colorado                 6  7 355 383  3.161   49  5.874   49  3.053   56  2.973   57 0.5136   62 0.5062   30      0  1.521  3.221  2.724
Arizona                  5  7 336 322  3.355   50  5.855   50  3.029   33  3.310   55 0.5198   65 0.5008   30      0  1.523  3.561  3.059
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
TCU                      8  5 339 243  2.827   51  5.847   51  3.015   35  3.260   56 0.5198   46 0.5385   30      0  1.146  2.991  3.529
Tulsa                   10  4 576 467  2.422   52  5.845   53  3.012   63  2.873   51 0.5248   39 0.5661   30      0  1.947  3.829  1.917
Louisville               6  6 422 377  3.133   53  5.844   52  3.013   49  3.111   59 0.5130   54 0.5304   30      0  1.819  3.839  2.382
Michigan St              7  6 430 346  2.996   54  5.823   54  2.984   39  3.228   50 0.5250   55 0.5280   30      0  1.736  3.817  2.639
Nebraska                 5  7 401 455  3.246   55  5.819   55  2.979   58  2.963   58 0.5131   61 0.5069   30      0  1.876  3.792  2.134
Purdue                   8  5 446 345  2.749   56  5.818   56  2.976   54  2.989   48 0.5268   52 0.5316   30      0  1.579  3.326  2.651
Washington St            5  7 308 389  3.184   57  5.808   57  2.964   62  2.894   63 0.5030   74 0.4744   30      0  1.537  3.166  2.622
Maryland                 6  7 313 280  3.130   58  5.797   59  2.949   41  3.222   47 0.5269   60 0.5078   30      0  1.253  3.091  3.353
Georgia Tech             7  6 341 271  2.907   59  5.783   58  2.952   61  2.916   54 0.5199   59 0.5113   30      0  1.265  2.800  3.031
Florida Atlantic         8  5 405 432  2.457   60  5.756   60  2.915   73  2.554   53 0.5200   51 0.5317   30      0  1.631  2.973  2.135
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
East Carolina            8  5 403 395  2.523   61  5.733   61  2.885   70  2.625   60 0.5118   50 0.5338   30      0  1.666  3.099  2.150
Pittsburgh               5  7 274 291  3.042   62  5.721   62  2.871   51  3.031   67 0.4911   68 0.4857   30      0  1.151  2.769  3.294
Vanderbilt               5  7 260 271  3.110   63  5.696   63  2.834   53  2.993   61 0.5105   76 0.4712   30      0  1.114  2.685  3.301
Indiana                  7  6 412 370  2.700   64  5.686   64  2.822   65  2.723   68 0.4879   64 0.5018   30      0  1.588  3.074  2.372
Washington               4  9 380 411  3.395   65  5.662   65  2.791   45  3.180   70 0.4856   73 0.4752   30      0  1.691  3.695  2.665
Stanford                 4  8 235 339  3.108   66  5.613   66  2.789   67  2.660   77 0.4752   87 0.4482   30      0  1.276  2.559  2.760
Navy                     8  5 511 473  2.432   67  5.612   67  2.785   66  2.677   64 0.5025   58 0.5147   30      0  2.151  4.020  1.334
Kansas St                5  7 422 370  3.117   68  5.600   68  2.770   50  3.067   65 0.4942   67 0.4866   30      0  1.751  3.682  2.453
North Carolina St        5  7 249 339  2.894   69  5.580   69  2.736   79  2.428   62 0.5049   71 0.4790   30      0  1.288  2.343  2.513
Iowa                     6  6 222 225  2.650   70  5.539   70  2.681   68  2.641   73 0.4774   77 0.4700   30      0  0.785  1.965  3.317
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Houston                  8  5 449 379  2.263   71  5.523   71  2.659   80  2.427   79 0.4605   72 0.4781   30      0  1.574  2.756  2.098
Miami FL                 5  7 247 312  2.794   72  5.519   72  2.655   74  2.495   71 0.4856   82 0.4543   30      0  1.268  2.385  2.606
Northwestern             6  6 310 372  2.544   73  5.516   73  2.650   77  2.437   72 0.4774   80 0.4591   30      0  1.533  2.704  2.171
Central Michigan         8  6 487 517  2.303   74  5.478   75  2.600   81  2.426   66 0.4933   49 0.5360   30      0  1.950  3.388  1.465
Wyoming                  5  7 233 311  2.705   75  5.477   74  2.601   87  2.286   78 0.4679   66 0.4891   30      0  1.193  2.076  2.496
North Carolina           4  8 254 294  2.952   76  5.425   76  2.533   64  2.736   75 0.4768   93 0.4310   30      0  1.249  2.599  2.873
Bowling Green            8  5 392 417  2.076   77  5.416   77  2.519   91  2.129   69 0.4874   57 0.5226   30      0  1.652  2.581  1.678
Ball St                  7  6 409 368  2.384   78  5.407   78  2.505   72  2.585   74 0.4769   63 0.5024   30      0  1.535  2.854  2.316
San Diego St             4  8 301 413  2.789   79  5.377   79  2.458   82  2.399   84 0.4513   79 0.4664   30      0  1.645  2.840  1.958
Notre Dame               3  9 197 345  2.994   80  5.374   80  2.454   75  2.473   83 0.4515   88 0.4443   30      0  1.085  2.130  2.817
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisiana-Monroe         6  6 282 332  2.278   81  5.372   81  2.449   84  2.350   76 0.4763   70 0.4797   30      0  1.312  2.297  2.402
Southern Miss            7  6 361 314  2.333   82  5.344   82  2.431   69  2.627   81 0.4561   69 0.4801   30      0  1.224  2.458  2.797
Iowa St                  3  9 218 381  2.889   83  5.251   83  2.341   78  2.436   86 0.4440   92 0.4320   30      0  1.179  2.209  2.664
Mississippi              3  9 241 342  3.012   84  5.246   84  2.333   71  2.606   80 0.4587   84 0.4507   30      0  1.244  2.463  2.748
Louisiana Tech           5  7 249 368  2.251   85  5.222   85  2.297  105  1.924   85 0.4488   78 0.4696   30      0  1.206  1.732  2.117
San Jose St              5  7 245 352  2.199   86  5.207   86  2.274   99  1.997   88 0.4415   81 0.4543   30      0  1.131  1.710  2.285
Memphis                  7  6 380 419  1.966   87  5.197   87  2.258   98  2.004   90 0.4370   91 0.4335   30      0  1.649  2.452  1.557
Nevada                   6  7 435 418  2.243   88  5.188   88  2.246   83  2.374   89 0.4393   83 0.4515   30      0  1.779  3.035  1.712
Baylor                   3  9 218 444  2.597   89  5.181   89  2.239  104  1.936   95 0.4279   95 0.4292   30      0  1.241  1.789  2.083
Miami OH                 6  7 250 333  2.152   90  5.180   90  2.235  103  1.973   87 0.4435   86 0.4497   30      0  1.069  1.611  2.336
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Middle Tennessee St      5  7 308 339  2.288   91  5.140   91  2.173   85  2.304   82 0.4517   75 0.4741   30      0  1.362  2.321  2.286
Syracuse                 2 10 197 418  2.879   92  5.136   92  2.170   92  2.115  101 0.4109  104 0.4108   30      0  1.325  2.080  2.150
Colorado St              3  9 304 369  2.738   93  5.128   93  2.157   76  2.465   98 0.4209  100 0.4130   30      0  1.576  2.797  2.132
Arkansas St              5  7 291 331  2.127   94  5.112   94  2.131   97  2.015   92 0.4323   97 0.4261   30      0  1.299  1.946  2.084
Western Kentucky         7  5 398 250  1.679   95  5.111   95  2.130   93  2.099   93 0.4307   96 0.4262   30      0  1.147  1.832  2.367
Western Michigan         5  7 323 347  2.160   96  5.080   97  2.087   86  2.286   94 0.4302   85 0.4507   30      0  1.440  2.415  2.158
Toledo                   5  7 395 470  2.100   97  5.057   96  2.099  100  1.992   96 0.4263  103 0.4109   30      0  1.887  2.840  1.144
Ohio U.                  6  6 366 359  1.841   98  5.011   98  2.035   94  2.094   91 0.4365   89 0.4433   30      0  1.728  2.671  1.518
Buffalo                  5  7 291 331  2.044   99  5.002   99  2.009   95  2.086   97 0.4242   94 0.4308   30      0  1.387  2.139  2.034
UNLV                     2 10 218 343  2.691  100  4.973  100  1.971   89  2.175  107 0.3923  102 0.4127   30      0  1.230  2.014  2.336
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Eastern Michigan         4  8 290 374  2.112  101  4.946  101  1.927  101  1.991  102 0.4030  101 0.4128   30      0  1.414  2.082  1.899
Marshall                 3  9 298 411  2.382  102  4.932  102  1.905   90  2.172  103 0.4007   98 0.4184   30      0  1.462  2.332  2.012
UTEP                     4  8 403 445  2.113  103  4.929  103  1.900  102  1.990  111 0.3770  107 0.3966   30      0  1.806  2.697  1.283
Akron                    4  8 254 350  2.075  104  4.919  104  1.887  109  1.825   99 0.4150   90 0.4384   30      0  1.361  1.841  1.810
Duke                     1 11 215 398  2.884  105  4.892  105  1.852   96  2.057  105 0.3964  111 0.3826   30      0  1.384  2.105  2.009
Army                     3  9 203 364  2.203  106  4.883  106  1.838  113  1.691  100 0.4116  105 0.4043   30      0  1.071  1.330  2.052
Temple                   4  8 197 315  1.944  107  4.846  107  1.810  114  1.648  106 0.3942  106 0.4007   30      0  1.040  1.251  2.046
Louisiana-Lafayette      3  9 285 430  2.152  108  4.820  108  1.774  108  1.833  104 0.4006   99 0.4148   30      0  1.571  2.157  1.508
Tulane                   4  8 293 375  1.914  109  4.804  109  1.745  107  1.851  112 0.3757  113 0.3751   30      0  1.374  1.885  1.818
New Mexico St            4  9 312 471  1.854  110  4.766  110  1.686  117  1.568  110 0.3774  114 0.3690   30      0  1.623  1.973  1.162
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rice                     3  9 377 515  2.037  111  4.758  111  1.672  110  1.825  117 0.3585  110 0.3925   30      0  1.908  2.711  0.939
Minnesota                1 11 315 440  2.650  112  4.727  112  1.627   88  2.236  109 0.3808  108 0.3956   30      0  1.759  2.863  1.608
Utah St                  2 10 247 406  2.242  113  4.704  113  1.591  106  1.894  113 0.3666  109 0.3942   30      0  1.397  1.961  1.827
Kent St                  3  9 259 350  1.957  114  4.699  114  1.583  111  1.784  108 0.3842  112 0.3823   30      0  1.352  1.787  1.781
Alabama-Birmingham       2 10 235 421  2.106  115  4.669  115  1.538  118  1.553  116 0.3587  115 0.3534   30      0  1.381  1.596  1.510
North Texas              2 10 298 541  2.031  116  4.641  116  1.490  119  1.508  115 0.3589  116 0.3466   30      0  1.746  2.114  0.902
Northern Illinois        2 10 229 370  2.009  117  4.582  117  1.422  115  1.643  118 0.3398  117 0.3421   30      0  1.218  1.466  1.820
Florida Int'l            1 11 181 469  2.179  118  4.559  118  1.392  120  1.438  114 0.3598  118 0.3382   30      0  1.258  1.314  1.563
SMU                      1 11 340 477  2.110  119  4.439  119  1.225  112  1.782  120 0.3120  119 0.3157   30      0  1.716  2.338  1.226
Idaho                    1 11 258 443  2.053  120  4.432  120  1.213  116  1.606  119 0.3267  120 0.3105   30      0  1.497  1.818  1.394


Atlantic Coast Conference: strength=3.091 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Virginia Tech           11  3 402 225  3.293   10  6.675   10  3.834   11  3.852    6 0.6269    6 0.6456    9    841  1.035  3.449  4.255
Boston College          11  3 396 285  3.080   15  6.571   15  3.726   29  3.344    8 0.6221   11 0.6229   14    568  1.383  3.390  3.298
Clemson                  9  4 430 243  3.113   25  6.321   25  3.425   14  3.661   19 0.5905   25 0.5826   28     13  1.414  3.752  3.570
Wake Forest              9  4 362 289  3.022   26  6.281   27  3.410   32  3.327   22 0.5847   27 0.5798   30      0  1.365  3.349  3.305
Virginia                 9  4 317 256  2.967   33  6.158   33  3.352   37  3.244   26 0.5752   32 0.5756   30      0  1.255  3.116  3.372
Florida St               7  6 303 298  3.188   40  6.022   40  3.185   48  3.141   38 0.5494   48 0.5375   30      0  1.197  2.937  3.346
Maryland                 6  7 313 280  3.130   58  5.797   59  2.949   41  3.222   47 0.5269   60 0.5078   30      0  1.253  3.091  3.353
Georgia Tech             7  6 341 271  2.907   59  5.783   58  2.952   61  2.916   54 0.5199   59 0.5113   30      0  1.265  2.800  3.031
North Carolina St        5  7 249 339  2.894   69  5.580   69  2.736   79  2.428   62 0.5049   71 0.4790   30      0  1.288  2.343  2.513
Miami FL                 5  7 247 312  2.794   72  5.519   72  2.655   74  2.495   71 0.4856   82 0.4543   30      0  1.268  2.385  2.606
North Carolina           4  8 254 294  2.952   76  5.425   76  2.533   64  2.736   75 0.4768   93 0.4310   30      0  1.249  2.599  2.873
Duke                     1 11 215 398  2.884  105  4.892  105  1.852   96  2.057  105 0.3964  111 0.3826   30      0  1.384  2.105  2.009

Big 10 Conference: strength=3.139 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State              11  2 408 166  3.338    7  6.764    7  3.952    7  4.013    9 0.6186    9 0.6296    6    956  0.904  3.462  4.564
Michigan                 9  4 354 278  3.221   22  6.441   22  3.573   24  3.418   21 0.5851   16 0.6084   11    695  1.188  3.202  3.634
Illinois                 9  4 362 283  3.156   23  6.405   23  3.538   31  3.328   24 0.5809   22 0.5984   22    177  1.380  3.371  3.285
Penn State               9  4 394 228  3.076   28  6.253   31  3.384   19  3.536   28 0.5633   29 0.5792   29      8  1.258  3.411  3.660
Wisconsin                9  4 383 301  2.999   29  6.243   28  3.408   36  3.245   29 0.5616   34 0.5717   30      0  1.418  3.341  3.149
Michigan St              7  6 430 346  2.996   54  5.823   54  2.984   39  3.228   50 0.5250   55 0.5280   30      0  1.736  3.817  2.639
Purdue                   8  5 446 345  2.749   56  5.818   56  2.976   54  2.989   48 0.5268   52 0.5316   30      0  1.579  3.326  2.651
Indiana                  7  6 412 370  2.700   64  5.686   64  2.822   65  2.723   68 0.4879   64 0.5018   30      0  1.588  3.074  2.372
Iowa                     6  6 222 225  2.650   70  5.539   70  2.681   68  2.641   73 0.4774   77 0.4700   30      0  0.785  1.965  3.317
Northwestern             6  6 310 372  2.544   73  5.516   73  2.650   77  2.437   72 0.4774   80 0.4591   30      0  1.533  2.704  2.171
Minnesota                1 11 315 440  2.650  112  4.727  112  1.627   88  2.236  109 0.3808  108 0.3956   30      0  1.759  2.863  1.608

Big 12 Conference: strength=3.414 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Missouri                12  2 558 326  3.518    1  6.952    1  4.220    4  4.124    3 0.6383    2 0.6666    2   1163  1.625  4.532  3.716
Kansas                  12  1 556 213  3.259    3  6.900    3  4.148    6  4.039    7 0.6233    7 0.6415    3   1153  1.301  3.972  4.107
Oklahoma                11  3 592 284  3.487    8  6.733    8  3.911    5  4.108   14 0.6094    8 0.6401    8    941  1.504  4.330  3.885
Texas                   10  3 484 329  3.213   16  6.570   16  3.724   15  3.640   17 0.5955   18 0.6049   12    640  1.618  4.038  3.242
Texas Tech               9  4 532 337  3.099   30  6.230   30  3.392   22  3.517   36 0.5495   36 0.5694   23    138  1.654  3.973  3.062
Oklahoma St              7  6 450 384  3.313   36  6.074   36  3.244   25  3.399   35 0.5504   33 0.5726   30      0  1.658  3.860  2.938
Texas A&M                7  6 363 337  3.251   37  6.065   37  3.243   42  3.221   39 0.5454   38 0.5667   30      0  1.378  3.260  3.181
Colorado                 6  7 355 383  3.161   49  5.874   49  3.053   56  2.973   57 0.5136   62 0.5062   30      0  1.521  3.221  2.724
Nebraska                 5  7 401 455  3.246   55  5.819   55  2.979   58  2.963   58 0.5131   61 0.5069   30      0  1.876  3.792  2.134
Kansas St                5  7 422 370  3.117   68  5.600   68  2.770   50  3.067   65 0.4942   67 0.4866   30      0  1.751  3.682  2.453
Iowa St                  3  9 218 381  2.889   83  5.251   83  2.341   78  2.436   86 0.4440   92 0.4320   30      0  1.179  2.209  2.664
Baylor                   3  9 218 444  2.597   89  5.181   89  2.239  104  1.936   95 0.4279   95 0.4292   30      0  1.241  1.789  2.083

Big East Conference: strength=3.413 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia           11  2 515 235  3.435    6  6.803    6  4.009    2  4.182    5 0.6328    5 0.6501    5   1067  1.497  4.394  3.970
South Florida            9  4 451 304  3.350   20  6.482   20  3.637   12  3.680   18 0.5953   15 0.6125   20    293  1.561  3.990  3.371
Cincinnati              10  3 472 244  3.152   21  6.481   21  3.625   13  3.669   25 0.5799   20 0.6036   13    619  1.421  3.769  3.568
Connecticut              9  4 344 247  3.015   27  6.279   26  3.418   46  3.150   31 0.5609   26 0.5816   27     17  1.125  2.856  3.445
Rutgers                  8  5 426 292  2.981   42  5.992   42  3.145   34  3.264   45 0.5328   53 0.5308   30      0  1.401  3.337  3.191
Louisville               6  6 422 377  3.133   53  5.844   52  3.013   49  3.111   59 0.5130   54 0.5304   30      0  1.819  3.839  2.382
Pittsburgh               5  7 274 291  3.042   62  5.721   62  2.871   51  3.031   67 0.4911   68 0.4857   30      0  1.151  2.769  3.294
Syracuse                 2 10 197 418  2.879   92  5.136   92  2.170   92  2.115  101 0.4109  104 0.4108   30      0  1.325  2.080  2.150

Conference USA: strength=2.083 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Florida         10  4 502 372  2.549   47  5.905   47  3.094   55  2.974   44 0.5383   40 0.5656   30      0  1.563  3.286  2.661
Tulsa                   10  4 576 467  2.422   52  5.845   53  3.012   63  2.873   51 0.5248   39 0.5661   30      0  1.947  3.829  1.917
East Carolina            8  5 403 395  2.523   61  5.733   61  2.885   70  2.625   60 0.5118   50 0.5338   30      0  1.666  3.099  2.150
Houston                  8  5 449 379  2.263   71  5.523   71  2.659   80  2.427   79 0.4605   72 0.4781   30      0  1.574  2.756  2.098
Southern Miss            7  6 361 314  2.333   82  5.344   82  2.431   69  2.627   81 0.4561   69 0.4801   30      0  1.224  2.458  2.797
Memphis                  7  6 380 419  1.966   87  5.197   87  2.258   98  2.004   90 0.4370   91 0.4335   30      0  1.649  2.452  1.557
Marshall                 3  9 298 411  2.382  102  4.932  102  1.905   90  2.172  103 0.4007   98 0.4184   30      0  1.462  2.332  2.012
UTEP                     4  8 403 445  2.113  103  4.929  103  1.900  102  1.990  111 0.3770  107 0.3966   30      0  1.806  2.697  1.283
Tulane                   4  8 293 375  1.914  109  4.804  109  1.745  107  1.851  112 0.3757  113 0.3751   30      0  1.374  1.885  1.818
Rice                     3  9 377 515  2.037  111  4.758  111  1.672  110  1.825  117 0.3585  110 0.3925   30      0  1.908  2.711  0.939
Alabama-Birmingham       2 10 235 421  2.106  115  4.669  115  1.538  118  1.553  116 0.3587  115 0.3534   30      0  1.381  1.596  1.510
SMU                      1 11 340 477  2.110  119  4.439  119  1.225  112  1.782  120 0.3120  119 0.3157   30      0  1.716  2.338  1.226

Mid-American Conference: strength=1.870 (#12)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Michigan         8  6 487 517  2.303   74  5.478   75  2.600   81  2.426   66 0.4933   49 0.5360   30      0  1.950  3.388  1.465
Bowling Green            8  5 392 417  2.076   77  5.416   77  2.519   91  2.129   69 0.4874   57 0.5226   30      0  1.652  2.581  1.678
Ball St                  7  6 409 368  2.384   78  5.407   78  2.505   72  2.585   74 0.4769   63 0.5024   30      0  1.535  2.854  2.316
Miami OH                 6  7 250 333  2.152   90  5.180   90  2.235  103  1.973   87 0.4435   86 0.4497   30      0  1.069  1.611  2.336
Western Michigan         5  7 323 347  2.160   96  5.080   97  2.087   86  2.286   94 0.4302   85 0.4507   30      0  1.440  2.415  2.158
Toledo                   5  7 395 470  2.100   97  5.057   96  2.099  100  1.992   96 0.4263  103 0.4109   30      0  1.887  2.840  1.144
Ohio U.                  6  6 366 359  1.841   98  5.011   98  2.035   94  2.094   91 0.4365   89 0.4433   30      0  1.728  2.671  1.518
Buffalo                  5  7 291 331  2.044   99  5.002   99  2.009   95  2.086   97 0.4242   94 0.4308   30      0  1.387  2.139  2.034
Eastern Michigan         4  8 290 374  2.112  101  4.946  101  1.927  101  1.991  102 0.4030  101 0.4128   30      0  1.414  2.082  1.899
Akron                    4  8 254 350  2.075  104  4.919  104  1.887  109  1.825   99 0.4150   90 0.4384   30      0  1.361  1.841  1.810
Temple                   4  8 197 315  1.944  107  4.846  107  1.810  114  1.648  106 0.3942  106 0.4007   30      0  1.040  1.251  2.046
Kent St                  3  9 259 350  1.957  114  4.699  114  1.583  111  1.784  108 0.3842  112 0.3823   30      0  1.352  1.787  1.781
Northern Illinois        2 10 229 370  2.009  117  4.582  117  1.422  115  1.643  118 0.3398  117 0.3421   30      0  1.218  1.466  1.820

Mountain West Conference: strength=2.862 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young           11  2 391 241  3.012   11  6.629   11  3.768   17  3.593   10 0.6160    4 0.6525   18    479  1.300  3.525  3.661
Utah                     9  4 341 219  2.982   34  6.141   34  3.332   23  3.433   30 0.5615   24 0.5899   30      0  1.039  3.034  3.831
Air Force                9  4 389 274  2.787   39  6.042   39  3.211   47  3.145   37 0.5494   30 0.5790   30      0  1.399  3.215  3.076
New Mexico               9  4 321 247  2.639   43  5.971   43  3.118   59  2.934   49 0.5263   41 0.5569   30      0  1.014  2.506  3.362
TCU                      8  5 339 243  2.827   51  5.847   51  3.015   35  3.260   56 0.5198   46 0.5385   30      0  1.146  2.991  3.529
Wyoming                  5  7 233 311  2.705   75  5.477   74  2.601   87  2.286   78 0.4679   66 0.4891   30      0  1.193  2.076  2.496
San Diego St             4  8 301 413  2.789   79  5.377   79  2.458   82  2.399   84 0.4513   79 0.4664   30      0  1.645  2.840  1.958
Colorado St              3  9 304 369  2.738   93  5.128   93  2.157   76  2.465   98 0.4209  100 0.4130   30      0  1.576  2.797  2.132
UNLV                     2 10 218 343  2.691  100  4.973  100  1.971   89  2.175  107 0.3923  102 0.4127   30      0  1.230  2.014  2.336

Pacific 10 Conference: strength=3.497 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Cal            11  2 424 208  3.451    5  6.813    5  4.023    1  4.204    4 0.6364   13 0.6199    4   1127  1.166  3.960  4.447
Arizona St              10  3 420 293  3.359    9  6.688    9  3.851   16  3.600   11 0.6145   21 0.6031   16    527  1.428  3.712  3.489
Oregon                   9  4 496 307  3.500   13  6.609   14  3.743    9  3.897   15 0.6077   17 0.6082   10    782  1.682  4.397  3.397
Oregon St                9  4 362 294  3.423   14  6.598   12  3.763   18  3.541   16 0.5957   19 0.6044   21    286  1.303  3.478  3.605
California               7  6 381 348  3.324   35  6.131   35  3.320   40  3.224   34 0.5523   43 0.5462   30      0  1.536  3.495  2.953
UCLA                     6  7 291 290  3.448   38  6.048   38  3.220   30  3.334   41 0.5437   47 0.5375   30      0  1.202  3.136  3.531
Arizona                  5  7 336 322  3.355   50  5.855   50  3.029   33  3.310   55 0.5198   65 0.5008   30      0  1.523  3.561  3.059
Washington St            5  7 308 389  3.184   57  5.808   57  2.964   62  2.894   63 0.5030   74 0.4744   30      0  1.537  3.166  2.622
Washington               4  9 380 411  3.395   65  5.662   65  2.791   45  3.180   70 0.4856   73 0.4752   30      0  1.691  3.695  2.665
Stanford                 4  8 235 339  3.108   66  5.613   66  2.789   67  2.660   77 0.4752   87 0.4482   30      0  1.276  2.559  2.760

Southeastern Conference: strength=3.535 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
LSU                     12  2 541 279  3.525    2  6.915    2  4.170    3  4.130    1 0.6571    1 0.6694    1   1237  1.589  4.482  3.778
Georgia                 11  2 424 262  3.348    4  6.825    4  4.041   10  3.869    2 0.6441    3 0.6652    6    956  1.350  3.869  3.869
Tennessee               10  4 455 382  3.345   12  6.623   13  3.762   21  3.518   13 0.6118   10 0.6282   19    322  1.608  3.901  3.135
Florida                  9  4 552 331  3.492   17  6.546   18  3.692    8  3.999   12 0.6143   12 0.6228   17    515  1.883  4.841  3.158
Auburn                   9  4 315 220  3.404   18  6.533   17  3.712   20  3.528   20 0.5884   23 0.5968   15    561  0.855  2.925  4.132
Kentucky                 8  5 475 385  3.313   24  6.351   24  3.465   26  3.394   23 0.5831   28 0.5798   25     28  1.769  4.038  2.749
Arkansas                 8  5 485 345  3.224   31  6.218   32  3.376   27  3.383   33 0.5550   44 0.5422   26     21  1.710  3.930  2.836
Mississippi St           8  5 279 301  3.058   32  6.190   29  3.393   52  3.006   32 0.5605   37 0.5674   30      0  1.103  2.685  3.328
South Carolina           6  6 313 282  3.317   41  6.021   41  3.184   38  3.242   40 0.5448   56 0.5242   30      0  1.254  3.113  3.372
Alabama                  7  6 352 286  3.158   44  5.966   44  3.112   44  3.181   43 0.5418   45 0.5402   30      0  1.313  3.131  3.232
Vanderbilt               5  7 260 271  3.110   63  5.696   63  2.834   53  2.993   61 0.5105   76 0.4712   30      0  1.114  2.685  3.301
Mississippi              3  9 241 342  3.012   84  5.246   84  2.333   71  2.606   80 0.4587   84 0.4507   30      0  1.244  2.463  2.748

Sun Belt Conference: strength=1.964 (#11)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Troy                     8  4 408 295  2.781   48  5.881   48  3.061   43  3.196   42 0.5427   35 0.5713   30      0  1.489  3.397  2.996
Florida Atlantic         8  5 405 432  2.457   60  5.756   60  2.915   73  2.554   53 0.5200   51 0.5317   30      0  1.631  2.973  2.135
Louisiana-Monroe         6  6 282 332  2.278   81  5.372   81  2.449   84  2.350   76 0.4763   70 0.4797   30      0  1.312  2.297  2.402
Middle Tennessee St      5  7 308 339  2.288   91  5.140   91  2.173   85  2.304   82 0.4517   75 0.4741   30      0  1.362  2.321  2.286
Arkansas St              5  7 291 331  2.127   94  5.112   94  2.131   97  2.015   92 0.4323   97 0.4261   30      0  1.299  1.946  2.084
Louisiana-Lafayette      3  9 285 430  2.152  108  4.820  108  1.774  108  1.833  104 0.4006   99 0.4148   30      0  1.571  2.157  1.508
North Texas              2 10 298 541  2.031  116  4.641  116  1.490  119  1.508  115 0.3589  116 0.3466   30      0  1.746  2.114  0.902
Florida Int'l            1 11 181 469  2.179  118  4.559  118  1.392  120  1.438  114 0.3598  118 0.3382   30      0  1.258  1.314  1.563

Western Athletic Conference: strength=2.155 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Hawai`i                 12  1 564 331  2.380   19  6.510   19  3.675   57  2.970   27 0.5635   14 0.6135   24    120  1.788  3.646  2.294
Boise St                10  3 551 281  2.509   45  5.957   45  3.099   28  3.375   46 0.5326   31 0.5788   30      0  1.589  3.726  3.023
Fresno St                9  4 427 351  2.577   46  5.906   46  3.095   60  2.921   52 0.5241   42 0.5556   30      0  1.571  3.245  2.597
Louisiana Tech           5  7 249 368  2.251   85  5.222   85  2.297  105  1.924   85 0.4488   78 0.4696   30      0  1.206  1.732  2.117
San Jose St              5  7 245 352  2.199   86  5.207   86  2.274   99  1.997   88 0.4415   81 0.4543   30      0  1.131  1.710  2.285
Nevada                   6  7 435 418  2.243   88  5.188   88  2.246   83  2.374   89 0.4393   83 0.4515   30      0  1.779  3.035  1.712
New Mexico St            4  9 312 471  1.854  110  4.766  110  1.686  117  1.568  110 0.3774  114 0.3690   30      0  1.623  1.973  1.162
Utah St                  2 10 247 406  2.242  113  4.704  113  1.591  106  1.894  113 0.3666  109 0.3942   30      0  1.397  1.961  1.827
Idaho                    1 11 258 443  2.053  120  4.432  120  1.213  116  1.606  119 0.3267  120 0.3105   30      0  1.497  1.818  1.394

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.079 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Navy                     8  5 511 473  2.432   67  5.612   67  2.785   66  2.677   64 0.5025   58 0.5147   30      0  2.151  4.020  1.334
Notre Dame               3  9 197 345  2.994   80  5.374   80  2.454   75  2.473   83 0.4515   88 0.4443   30      0  1.085  2.130  2.817
Western Kentucky         7  5 398 250  1.679   95  5.111   95  2.130   93  2.099   93 0.4307   96 0.4262   30      0  1.147  1.832  2.367
Army                     3  9 203 364  2.203  106  4.883  106  1.838  113  1.691  100 0.4116  105 0.4043   30      0  1.071  1.330  2.052

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Southeastern Conference                                 96 59 0.619    1  3.535
Pacific 10 Conference                                   70 57 0.551    2  3.497
Big 12 Conference                                       90 64 0.584    3  3.414
Big East Conference                                     60 41 0.594    4  3.413
Big 10 Conference                                       82 58 0.586    5  3.139
Atlantic Coast Conference                               84 70 0.545    6  3.091
Mountain West Conference                                60 53 0.531    7  2.862
Western Athletic Conference                             54 59 0.478    8  2.155
Conference USA                                          67 85 0.441    9  2.083
Division I-A Independents                               21 28 0.429   10  2.079
Sun Belt Conference                                     38 59 0.392   11  1.964
Mid-American Conference                                 67 94 0.416   12  1.870

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.182 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Wed Jan  9 18:29:11 2008

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