Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida                 13  1 416 189  3.779    1  7.749    1  4.733    3  4.338    2 0.6803    1 0.7306    1   1250  1.063  4.195  4.481
Boise St                13  0 516 229  3.144    2  7.621    2  4.521   15  3.892    7 0.6455    4 0.6857    2   1165  1.483  4.310  3.473
Ohio State              12  1 450 166  3.611    3  7.599    3  4.484    2  4.393    4 0.6582    6 0.6780    4   1117  1.160  4.368  4.417
Southern Cal            11  2 396 197  3.807    4  7.559    4  4.427    1  4.450    1 0.6951    3 0.7008    3   1162  1.186  4.460  4.440
Louisville              12  1 491 212  3.453    5  7.538    5  4.396    4  4.318    3 0.6692    2 0.7021    5   1026  1.489  4.744  3.892
Michigan                11  2 380 207  3.644    6  7.492    6  4.328    7  4.118    5 0.6543    5 0.6817    7    957  1.171  4.109  4.128
LSU                     11  2 438 164  3.616    7  7.434    7  4.239    5  4.309    8 0.6439    8 0.6644    8    899  1.139  4.259  4.359
Auburn                  11  2 322 181  3.472    8  7.398    8  4.225   19  3.737    9 0.6334   13 0.6253    6   1022  0.953  3.465  4.009
Wisconsin               12  1 380 157  3.145    9  7.391    9  4.213   16  3.884   13 0.6187   11 0.6446    9    841  0.917  3.572  4.197
West Virginia           11  2 505 282  3.391   10  7.308   11  4.088   11  3.987   10 0.6330    7 0.6664   10    775  1.732  4.792  3.182
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rutgers                 11  2 387 186  3.345   11  7.292   10  4.088   10  3.989   11 0.6245    9 0.6597   13    695  1.075  3.860  4.118
California              10  3 427 251  3.627   12  7.288   12  4.083    8  4.067    6 0.6520   10 0.6505   11    711  1.499  4.509  3.625
Brigham Young           11  2 478 191  3.316   13  7.227   13  3.994    6  4.264   20 0.5937   16 0.6161   12    710  1.397  4.559  3.970
Oklahoma                11  3 424 242  3.421   14  7.225   14  3.991    9  4.020   15 0.6044   14 0.6244   16    502  1.192  4.037  4.002
Arkansas                10  4 404 256  3.609   15  7.223   15  3.990   13  3.928   18 0.5976   18 0.6088   15    510  1.352  4.159  3.698
Notre Dame              10  3 403 310  3.376   16  7.219   16  3.983   29  3.583   14 0.6178   17 0.6159   18    374  1.606  4.187  2.979
Tennessee                9  4 362 254  3.633   17  7.184   17  3.933   18  3.796   16 0.6041   19 0.6080   19    359  1.317  3.978  3.614
Oregon St               10  4 389 311  3.472   18  7.177   18  3.925   26  3.624   12 0.6215   15 0.6226   20    276  1.335  3.831  3.417
Wake Forest             11  3 302 215  3.203   19  7.159   19  3.900   30  3.517   19 0.5976   23 0.5925   23    167  0.939  3.230  3.804
Boston College          10  3 338 204  3.342   20  7.143   20  3.861   22  3.695   17 0.5986   12 0.6348   14    610  1.126  3.629  3.760
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                   10  3 467 238  3.347   21  7.116   21  3.826   17  3.802   22 0.5867   20 0.6043   17    493  1.382  4.075  3.529
TCU                     11  2 380 160  2.992   22  7.095   22  3.794   14  3.920   28 0.5715   27 0.5832   26     38  0.923  3.615  4.225
Virginia Tech           10  3 336 143  3.268   23  7.066   23  3.752   12  3.985   21 0.5895   21 0.6010   21    236  0.865  3.616  4.354
Georgia                  9  4 327 229  3.371   24  7.019   24  3.701   23  3.674   24 0.5793   35 0.5647   22    225  1.247  3.763  3.585
Penn State               9  4 290 187  3.314   25  7.010   25  3.688   27  3.622   23 0.5856   24 0.5890   25     40  0.707  3.090  4.153
Kentucky                 8  5 347 369  3.301   26  6.969   26  3.631   49  3.199   29 0.5681   26 0.5859   28      0  1.586  3.771  2.626
Texas A&M                9  4 362 267  3.138   27  6.931   27  3.579   41  3.336   37 0.5535   37 0.5626   24     72  1.179  3.337  3.335
Cincinnati               8  5 274 255  3.327   28  6.919   28  3.563   33  3.421   32 0.5634   22 0.5972   28      0  1.035  3.244  3.597
South Florida            9  4 299 220  3.063   29  6.902   29  3.559   37  3.385   33 0.5618   30 0.5801   28      0  0.976  3.140  3.630
Maryland                 9  4 284 284  2.997   30  6.899   30  3.555   54  3.059   34 0.5616   25 0.5874   28      0  1.289  3.203  2.914
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
South Carolina           8  5 346 243  3.415   31  6.898   31  3.555   20  3.729   27 0.5743   28 0.5829   28      0  1.241  3.810  3.648
Hawai`i                 11  3 656 337  2.932   32  6.887   32  3.537   21  3.723   31 0.5648   32 0.5749   27     18  1.904  4.820  2.625
Nebraska                 9  5 428 256  3.348   33  6.882   33  3.532   24  3.651   38 0.5519   31 0.5757   28      0  1.264  3.762  3.540
Oregon                   7  6 383 345  3.542   34  6.864   34  3.507   36  3.393   25 0.5790   38 0.5583   28      0  1.648  4.062  2.724
UCLA                     7  6 299 259  3.508   35  6.842   35  3.474   25  3.636   26 0.5771   40 0.5503   28      0  1.087  3.522  3.749
Arizona                  6  6 199 235  3.499   36  6.807   36  3.470   44  3.299   30 0.5669   42 0.5480   28      0  0.815  2.877  3.721
Georgia Tech             9  5 349 257  3.144   37  6.806   37  3.467   40  3.348   39 0.5492   36 0.5639   28      0  1.198  3.373  3.323
Arizona St               7  6 348 326  3.425   38  6.755   38  3.399   31  3.428   35 0.5616   46 0.5358   28      0  1.427  3.764  3.092
Texas Tech               8  5 422 326  3.116   39  6.707   39  3.337   43  3.299   49 0.5203   43 0.5435   28      0  1.570  3.847  2.751
Navy                     9  4 367 261  2.824   40  6.685   41  3.306   51  3.132   41 0.5414   57 0.5190   28      0  1.390  3.416  2.849
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington St            6  6 295 277  3.391   41  6.684   40  3.306   46  3.272   36 0.5601   51 0.5270   28      0  1.332  3.475  3.068
Clemson                  8  5 425 210  3.218   42  6.665   42  3.280   28  3.599   42 0.5404   49 0.5295   28      0  1.270  3.718  3.480
Utah                     8  5 363 258  3.052   43  6.641   43  3.245   39  3.367   51 0.5171   48 0.5302   28      0  1.308  3.537  3.196
Missouri                 8  5 391 254  3.075   44  6.633   44  3.233   34  3.416   50 0.5199   47 0.5332   28      0  1.382  3.689  3.144
Central Michigan        10  4 416 312  2.585   45  6.593   45  3.177   57  3.043   43 0.5395   29 0.5819   28      0  1.486  3.466  2.621
Oklahoma St              7  6 458 333  3.165   46  6.559   49  3.133   32  3.421   56 0.5064   44 0.5362   28      0  1.722  4.210  2.633
Kansas St                7  6 296 309  3.008   47  6.540   46  3.141   59  2.880   54 0.5086   65 0.4944   28      0  1.207  2.917  2.843
Florida St               7  6 345 258  3.132   48  6.537   47  3.137   38  3.382   46 0.5266   53 0.5262   28      0  1.385  3.660  3.105
Southern Miss            9  5 356 260  2.789   49  6.534   50  3.132   50  3.148   48 0.5215   33 0.5736   28      0  1.124  3.079  3.217
Houston                 10  4 462 329  2.635   50  6.532   48  3.137   52  3.097   47 0.5233   34 0.5659   28      0  1.577  3.656  2.539
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Purdue                   8  6 364 374  2.870   51  6.523   51  3.126   73  2.735   52 0.5154   55 0.5256   28      0  1.415  3.054  2.416
Washington               5  7 262 311  3.403   52  6.509   53  3.110   55  3.055   40 0.5422   58 0.5148   28      0  1.397  3.349  2.761
San Jose St              9  4 324 270  2.506   53  6.487   52  3.114   65  2.817   45 0.5275   54 0.5259   28      0  1.204  2.849  2.784
Minnesota                6  7 376 338  3.298   54  6.456   54  3.073   47  3.263   44 0.5278   52 0.5270   28      0  1.542  3.770  2.757
Miami FL                 7  6 255 201  2.991   55  6.454   55  3.071   53  3.085   58 0.5057   62 0.5077   28      0  0.704  2.550  3.620
Alabama                  6  7 298 250  3.285   56  6.422   56  3.022   45  3.283   63 0.4899   77 0.4614   28      0  1.084  3.165  3.400
Pittsburgh               6  6 381 274  3.185   57  6.407   57  3.000   35  3.394   53 0.5095   61 0.5103   28      0  1.535  3.889  2.899
Tulsa                    8  5 360 262  2.733   58  6.379   58  2.957   56  3.053   57 0.5063   39 0.5510   28      0  1.218  3.103  3.002
Nevada                   8  5 391 249  2.767   59  6.367   59  2.938   42  3.323   59 0.5031   59 0.5131   28      0  1.254  3.421  3.224
Iowa                     6  7 310 269  3.135   60  6.347   60  2.911   48  3.213   55 0.5068   67 0.4832   28      0  1.221  3.267  3.159
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Western Michigan         8  5 299 259  2.546   61  6.333   61  2.892   67  2.780   61 0.4953   50 0.5278   28      0  1.193  2.798  2.762
Ohio U.                  9  5 276 253  2.446   62  6.321   62  2.882   83  2.520   60 0.5029   45 0.5361   28      0  0.937  2.230  2.810
Wyoming                  6  6 258 264  2.835   63  6.298   63  2.853   64  2.822   70 0.4712   76 0.4661   28      0  1.225  2.882  2.762
East Carolina            7  6 280 270  2.714   64  6.292   64  2.845   69  2.756   64 0.4896   64 0.5025   28      0  1.118  2.680  2.832
Syracuse                 4  8 209 295  3.228   65  6.266   65  2.812   70  2.748   67 0.4800   69 0.4826   28      0  1.088  2.635  2.861
Indiana                  5  7 277 394  2.938   66  6.260   66  2.803   84  2.505   66 0.4873   63 0.5061   28      0  1.551  3.024  1.986
Rice                     7  6 350 432  2.556   67  6.237   67  2.770   90  2.332   62 0.4927   60 0.5130   28      0  1.729  3.132  1.532
Kansas                   6  6 348 306  2.789   68  6.233   68  2.765   58  3.001   74 0.4591   86 0.4397   28      0  1.576  3.558  2.443
Virginia                 5  7 181 214  2.924   69  6.210   69  2.732   62  2.827   72 0.4672   78 0.4576   28      0  0.704  2.292  3.362
Vanderbilt               4  8 264 284  3.133   70  6.176   70  2.682   60  2.876   71 0.4684   82 0.4483   28      0  1.251  2.970  2.782
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Connecticut              4  8 257 324  3.087   71  6.173   71  2.677   63  2.822   68 0.4794   68 0.4829   28      0  1.302  2.984  2.660
New Mexico               6  7 284 312  2.692   72  6.163   72  2.662   76  2.683   80 0.4490   75 0.4665   28      0  1.291  2.830  2.536
Mississippi              4  8 188 275  3.019   73  6.149   73  2.646   72  2.736   76 0.4543   98 0.4156   28      0  0.967  2.481  2.991
Northern Illinois        7  6 331 275  2.502   74  6.128   74  2.614   68  2.763   73 0.4634   66 0.4847   28      0  1.238  2.840  2.687
Middle Tennessee St      7  6 296 302  2.365   75  6.111   76  2.589   85  2.490   65 0.4883   41 0.5489   28      0  1.229  2.554  2.425
Troy                     8  5 296 289  2.117   76  6.106   75  2.593   91  2.331   69 0.4793   56 0.5226   28      0  1.283  2.468  2.195
Baylor                   4  8 283 391  2.940   77  6.081   77  2.562   82  2.525   89 0.4367   97 0.4158   28      0  1.585  3.097  1.953
Iowa St                  4  8 226 369  2.827   78  6.080   79  2.560   93  2.313   91 0.4344  103 0.3967   28      0  1.332  2.516  2.110
Michigan St              4  8 302 341  2.931   79  6.065   80  2.539   71  2.742   75 0.4552   85 0.4398   28      0  1.527  3.225  2.259
Northwestern             4  8 198 314  2.884   80  6.051   78  2.562   78  2.609   77 0.4521   74 0.4688   28      0  1.106  2.517  2.700
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Air Force                4  8 279 302  2.984   81  6.025   81  2.525   61  2.844   87 0.4384   84 0.4427   28      0  1.390  3.127  2.561
North Carolina St        3  9 210 262  2.993   82  5.965   82  2.427   75  2.700   90 0.4357  104 0.3953   28      0  1.124  2.632  2.769
Mississippi St           3  9 221 309  3.056   83  5.952   83  2.410   66  2.801   81 0.4431   93 0.4229   28      0  1.177  2.799  2.803
Colorado St              4  8 202 263  2.712   84  5.931   84  2.379   87  2.386  101 0.4052  105 0.3947   28      0  0.971  2.134  2.638
SMU                      6  6 325 294  2.272   85  5.926   87  2.371   81  2.534   78 0.4521   71 0.4722   28      0  1.406  2.840  2.227
Marshall                 5  7 311 351  2.460   86  5.919   85  2.379   88  2.381   83 0.4410   83 0.4444   28      0  1.526  2.863  1.900
North Carolina           3  9 216 366  2.900   87  5.914   86  2.374   89  2.336   88 0.4368  100 0.4108   28      0  1.460  2.720  1.951
Ball St                  5  7 326 309  2.469   88  5.875   88  2.318   74  2.706   85 0.4399   73 0.4690   28      0  1.528  3.191  2.221
UTEP                     5  7 328 375  2.376   89  5.858   90  2.296   98  2.217   98 0.4201   90 0.4305   28      0  1.599  2.811  1.624
Tulane                   4  8 224 400  2.480   90  5.838   89  2.303  109  1.883   86 0.4398   80 0.4523   28      0  1.359  2.124  1.643
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arkansas St              6  6 182 289  2.004   91  5.832   91  2.293  111  1.747   84 0.4405   70 0.4800   28      0  0.994  1.522  1.972
Fresno St                4  8 276 339  2.669   92  5.812   92  2.266   80  2.540   82 0.4429   87 0.4361   28      0  1.345  2.761  2.318
Akron                    5  7 236 271  2.298   93  5.811   93  2.265  100  2.158   92 0.4308   81 0.4512   28      0  1.219  2.210  2.106
Kent St                  6  6 214 241  2.070   94  5.803   94  2.256  104  2.062   94 0.4287   89 0.4335   28      0  0.931  1.766  2.358
Toledo                   5  7 281 332  2.269   95  5.796   95  2.249   96  2.220   99 0.4163   95 0.4177   28      0  1.414  2.539  1.902
Stanford                 1 11 127 377  3.330   96  5.785   96  2.237   92  2.321   79 0.4518   92 0.4287   28      0  0.896  1.986  2.655
Central Florida          4  8 232 345  2.471   97  5.771   97  2.212  101  2.154   96 0.4279   91 0.4289   28      0  1.240  2.233  2.075
Louisiana-Lafayette      6  6 248 296  1.878   98  5.755   98  2.188  108  1.903   95 0.4281   72 0.4713   28      0  1.258  2.006  1.800
Idaho                    4  8 203 417  2.178   99  5.747   99  2.178  114  1.621   93 0.4292   88 0.4337   28      0  1.195  1.641  1.600
San Diego St             3  9 170 325  2.660  100  5.740  100  2.169   97  2.218  102 0.4037   99 0.4128   28      0  1.047  2.056  2.381
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida Atlantic         5  7 181 299  2.038  101  5.715  101  2.132  105  2.021   97 0.4253   79 0.4562   28      0  0.927  1.721  2.322
Colorado                 2 10 196 267  2.931  102  5.670  102  2.067   77  2.674  106 0.3924  112 0.3699   28      0  0.928  2.374  2.974
Illinois                 2 10 235 321  2.861  103  5.641  103  2.025   79  2.577  100 0.4108  101 0.3995   28      0  1.374  2.838  2.317
Alabama-Birmingham       3  9 225 297  2.500  104  5.623  104  1.988   95  2.244  105 0.3935  109 0.3816   28      0  1.124  2.176  2.313
UNLV                     2 10 238 382  2.643  105  5.578  105  1.920  102  2.148  114 0.3621  116 0.3433   28      0  1.367  2.399  1.897
Army                     3  9 232 335  2.324  106  5.559  106  1.892  106  1.986  108 0.3918  106 0.3927   28      0  1.202  2.016  1.956
Bowling Green            4  8 234 340  1.999  107  5.480  107  1.847  110  1.847  104 0.3954   96 0.4176   28      0  1.430  2.187  1.506
Louisiana-Monroe         4  8 262 267  2.193  108  5.469  108  1.831   86  2.471  103 0.3983   94 0.4193   28      0  1.222  2.527  2.415
New Mexico St            4  8 374 369  2.093  109  5.454  109  1.754   94  2.277  109 0.3807  110 0.3793   28      0  1.687  3.009  1.546
Louisiana Tech           3 10 242 542  1.958  110  5.437  110  1.720  116  1.364  107 0.3921  107 0.3919   28      0  1.575  1.920  0.809
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami OH                 2 10 222 304  2.329  111  5.383  111  1.634  103  2.108  115 0.3524  111 0.3726   28      0  1.254  2.206  2.010
Memphis                  2 10 281 365  2.369  112  5.382  112  1.632   99  2.198  116 0.3490  115 0.3495   28      0  1.563  2.735  1.661
Buffalo                  2 10 220 431  2.197  113  5.367  113  1.608  113  1.686  110 0.3737  108 0.3864   28      0  1.541  2.191  1.182
North Texas              3  9 154 304  1.877  114  5.343  114  1.571  115  1.489  113 0.3661  102 0.3987   28      0  0.909  1.168  1.810
Temple                   1 11 131 496  2.275  115  5.317  115  1.535  118  1.308  112 0.3673  114 0.3618   28      0  1.129  1.246  1.371
Utah St                  1 11 130 462  2.255  116  5.313  116  1.528  117  1.329  111 0.3703  113 0.3696   28      0  1.008  1.121  1.537
Eastern Michigan         1 11 167 322  2.343  117  5.251  117  1.432  112  1.737  118 0.3322  117 0.3379   28      0  1.022  1.546  1.929
Duke                     0 12 179 406  2.753  118  5.240  118  1.418  107  1.940  117 0.3450  118 0.3322   28      0  1.429  2.279  1.601
Florida Int'l            0 12 115 313  1.878  119  4.704  119  0.816  119  1.067  119 0.2947  119 0.3095   28      0  0.862  0.694  1.439


Atlantic Coast Conference: strength=3.172 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wake Forest             11  3 302 215  3.203   19  7.159   19  3.900   30  3.517   19 0.5976   23 0.5925   23    167  0.939  3.230  3.804
Boston College          10  3 338 204  3.342   20  7.143   20  3.861   22  3.695   17 0.5986   12 0.6348   14    610  1.126  3.629  3.760
Virginia Tech           10  3 336 143  3.268   23  7.066   23  3.752   12  3.985   21 0.5895   21 0.6010   21    236  0.865  3.616  4.354
Maryland                 9  4 284 284  2.997   30  6.899   30  3.555   54  3.059   34 0.5616   25 0.5874   28      0  1.289  3.203  2.914
Georgia Tech             9  5 349 257  3.144   37  6.806   37  3.467   40  3.348   39 0.5492   36 0.5639   28      0  1.198  3.373  3.323
Clemson                  8  5 425 210  3.218   42  6.665   42  3.280   28  3.599   42 0.5404   49 0.5295   28      0  1.270  3.718  3.480
Florida St               7  6 345 258  3.132   48  6.537   47  3.137   38  3.382   46 0.5266   53 0.5262   28      0  1.385  3.660  3.105
Miami FL                 7  6 255 201  2.991   55  6.454   55  3.071   53  3.085   58 0.5057   62 0.5077   28      0  0.704  2.550  3.620
Virginia                 5  7 181 214  2.924   69  6.210   69  2.732   62  2.827   72 0.4672   78 0.4576   28      0  0.704  2.292  3.362
North Carolina St        3  9 210 262  2.993   82  5.965   82  2.427   75  2.700   90 0.4357  104 0.3953   28      0  1.124  2.632  2.769
North Carolina           3  9 216 366  2.900   87  5.914   86  2.374   89  2.336   88 0.4368  100 0.4108   28      0  1.460  2.720  1.951
Duke                     0 12 179 406  2.753  118  5.240  118  1.418  107  1.940  117 0.3450  118 0.3322   28      0  1.429  2.279  1.601

Big 10 Conference: strength=3.276 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State              12  1 450 166  3.611    3  7.599    3  4.484    2  4.393    4 0.6582    6 0.6780    4   1117  1.160  4.368  4.417
Michigan                11  2 380 207  3.644    6  7.492    6  4.328    7  4.118    5 0.6543    5 0.6817    7    957  1.171  4.109  4.128
Wisconsin               12  1 380 157  3.145    9  7.391    9  4.213   16  3.884   13 0.6187   11 0.6446    9    841  0.917  3.572  4.197
Penn State               9  4 290 187  3.314   25  7.010   25  3.688   27  3.622   23 0.5856   24 0.5890   25     40  0.707  3.090  4.153
Purdue                   8  6 364 374  2.870   51  6.523   51  3.126   73  2.735   52 0.5154   55 0.5256   28      0  1.415  3.054  2.416
Minnesota                6  7 376 338  3.298   54  6.456   54  3.073   47  3.263   44 0.5278   52 0.5270   28      0  1.542  3.770  2.757
Iowa                     6  7 310 269  3.135   60  6.347   60  2.911   48  3.213   55 0.5068   67 0.4832   28      0  1.221  3.267  3.159
Indiana                  5  7 277 394  2.938   66  6.260   66  2.803   84  2.505   66 0.4873   63 0.5061   28      0  1.551  3.024  1.986
Michigan St              4  8 302 341  2.931   79  6.065   80  2.539   71  2.742   75 0.4552   85 0.4398   28      0  1.527  3.225  2.259
Northwestern             4  8 198 314  2.884   80  6.051   78  2.562   78  2.609   77 0.4521   74 0.4688   28      0  1.106  2.517  2.700
Illinois                 2 10 235 321  2.861  103  5.641  103  2.025   79  2.577  100 0.4108  101 0.3995   28      0  1.374  2.838  2.317

Big 12 Conference: strength=3.256 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma                11  3 424 242  3.421   14  7.225   14  3.991    9  4.020   15 0.6044   14 0.6244   16    502  1.192  4.037  4.002
Texas                   10  3 467 238  3.347   21  7.116   21  3.826   17  3.802   22 0.5867   20 0.6043   17    493  1.382  4.075  3.529
Texas A&M                9  4 362 267  3.138   27  6.931   27  3.579   41  3.336   37 0.5535   37 0.5626   24     72  1.179  3.337  3.335
Nebraska                 9  5 428 256  3.348   33  6.882   33  3.532   24  3.651   38 0.5519   31 0.5757   28      0  1.264  3.762  3.540
Texas Tech               8  5 422 326  3.116   39  6.707   39  3.337   43  3.299   49 0.5203   43 0.5435   28      0  1.570  3.847  2.751
Missouri                 8  5 391 254  3.075   44  6.633   44  3.233   34  3.416   50 0.5199   47 0.5332   28      0  1.382  3.689  3.144
Oklahoma St              7  6 458 333  3.165   46  6.559   49  3.133   32  3.421   56 0.5064   44 0.5362   28      0  1.722  4.210  2.633
Kansas St                7  6 296 309  3.008   47  6.540   46  3.141   59  2.880   54 0.5086   65 0.4944   28      0  1.207  2.917  2.843
Kansas                   6  6 348 306  2.789   68  6.233   68  2.765   58  3.001   74 0.4591   86 0.4397   28      0  1.576  3.558  2.443
Baylor                   4  8 283 391  2.940   77  6.081   77  2.562   82  2.525   89 0.4367   97 0.4158   28      0  1.585  3.097  1.953
Iowa St                  4  8 226 369  2.827   78  6.080   79  2.560   93  2.313   91 0.4344  103 0.3967   28      0  1.332  2.516  2.110
Colorado                 2 10 196 267  2.931  102  5.670  102  2.067   77  2.674  106 0.3924  112 0.3699   28      0  0.928  2.374  2.974

Big East Conference: strength=3.603 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisville              12  1 491 212  3.453    5  7.538    5  4.396    4  4.318    3 0.6692    2 0.7021    5   1026  1.489  4.744  3.892
West Virginia           11  2 505 282  3.391   10  7.308   11  4.088   11  3.987   10 0.6330    7 0.6664   10    775  1.732  4.792  3.182
Rutgers                 11  2 387 186  3.345   11  7.292   10  4.088   10  3.989   11 0.6245    9 0.6597   13    695  1.075  3.860  4.118
Cincinnati               8  5 274 255  3.327   28  6.919   28  3.563   33  3.421   32 0.5634   22 0.5972   28      0  1.035  3.244  3.597
South Florida            9  4 299 220  3.063   29  6.902   29  3.559   37  3.385   33 0.5618   30 0.5801   28      0  0.976  3.140  3.630
Pittsburgh               6  6 381 274  3.185   57  6.407   57  3.000   35  3.394   53 0.5095   61 0.5103   28      0  1.535  3.889  2.899
Syracuse                 4  8 209 295  3.228   65  6.266   65  2.812   70  2.748   67 0.4800   69 0.4826   28      0  1.088  2.635  2.861
Connecticut              4  8 257 324  3.087   71  6.173   71  2.677   63  2.822   68 0.4794   68 0.4829   28      0  1.302  2.984  2.660

Conference USA: strength=2.416 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Miss            9  5 356 260  2.789   49  6.534   50  3.132   50  3.148   48 0.5215   33 0.5736   28      0  1.124  3.079  3.217
Houston                 10  4 462 329  2.635   50  6.532   48  3.137   52  3.097   47 0.5233   34 0.5659   28      0  1.577  3.656  2.539
Tulsa                    8  5 360 262  2.733   58  6.379   58  2.957   56  3.053   57 0.5063   39 0.5510   28      0  1.218  3.103  3.002
East Carolina            7  6 280 270  2.714   64  6.292   64  2.845   69  2.756   64 0.4896   64 0.5025   28      0  1.118  2.680  2.832
Rice                     7  6 350 432  2.556   67  6.237   67  2.770   90  2.332   62 0.4927   60 0.5130   28      0  1.729  3.132  1.532
SMU                      6  6 325 294  2.272   85  5.926   87  2.371   81  2.534   78 0.4521   71 0.4722   28      0  1.406  2.840  2.227
Marshall                 5  7 311 351  2.460   86  5.919   85  2.379   88  2.381   83 0.4410   83 0.4444   28      0  1.526  2.863  1.900
UTEP                     5  7 328 375  2.376   89  5.858   90  2.296   98  2.217   98 0.4201   90 0.4305   28      0  1.599  2.811  1.624
Tulane                   4  8 224 400  2.480   90  5.838   89  2.303  109  1.883   86 0.4398   80 0.4523   28      0  1.359  2.124  1.643
Central Florida          4  8 232 345  2.471   97  5.771   97  2.212  101  2.154   96 0.4279   91 0.4289   28      0  1.240  2.233  2.075
Alabama-Birmingham       3  9 225 297  2.500  104  5.623  104  1.988   95  2.244  105 0.3935  109 0.3816   28      0  1.124  2.176  2.313
Memphis                  2 10 281 365  2.369  112  5.382  112  1.632   99  2.198  116 0.3490  115 0.3495   28      0  1.563  2.735  1.661

Mid-American Conference: strength=2.178 (#11)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Michigan        10  4 416 312  2.585   45  6.593   45  3.177   57  3.043   43 0.5395   29 0.5819   28      0  1.486  3.466  2.621
Western Michigan         8  5 299 259  2.546   61  6.333   61  2.892   67  2.780   61 0.4953   50 0.5278   28      0  1.193  2.798  2.762
Ohio U.                  9  5 276 253  2.446   62  6.321   62  2.882   83  2.520   60 0.5029   45 0.5361   28      0  0.937  2.230  2.810
Northern Illinois        7  6 331 275  2.502   74  6.128   74  2.614   68  2.763   73 0.4634   66 0.4847   28      0  1.238  2.840  2.687
Ball St                  5  7 326 309  2.469   88  5.875   88  2.318   74  2.706   85 0.4399   73 0.4690   28      0  1.528  3.191  2.221
Akron                    5  7 236 271  2.298   93  5.811   93  2.265  100  2.158   92 0.4308   81 0.4512   28      0  1.219  2.210  2.106
Kent St                  6  6 214 241  2.070   94  5.803   94  2.256  104  2.062   94 0.4287   89 0.4335   28      0  0.931  1.766  2.358
Toledo                   5  7 281 332  2.269   95  5.796   95  2.249   96  2.220   99 0.4163   95 0.4177   28      0  1.414  2.539  1.902
Bowling Green            4  8 234 340  1.999  107  5.480  107  1.847  110  1.847  104 0.3954   96 0.4176   28      0  1.430  2.187  1.506
Miami OH                 2 10 222 304  2.329  111  5.383  111  1.634  103  2.108  115 0.3524  111 0.3726   28      0  1.254  2.206  2.010
Buffalo                  2 10 220 431  2.197  113  5.367  113  1.608  113  1.686  110 0.3737  108 0.3864   28      0  1.541  2.191  1.182
Eastern Michigan         1 11 167 322  2.343  117  5.251  117  1.432  112  1.737  118 0.3322  117 0.3379   28      0  1.022  1.546  1.929

Mountain West Conference: strength=2.912 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young           11  2 478 191  3.316   13  7.227   13  3.994    6  4.264   20 0.5937   16 0.6161   12    710  1.397  4.559  3.970
TCU                     11  2 380 160  2.992   22  7.095   22  3.794   14  3.920   28 0.5715   27 0.5832   26     38  0.923  3.615  4.225
Utah                     8  5 363 258  3.052   43  6.641   43  3.245   39  3.367   51 0.5171   48 0.5302   28      0  1.308  3.537  3.196
Wyoming                  6  6 258 264  2.835   63  6.298   63  2.853   64  2.822   70 0.4712   76 0.4661   28      0  1.225  2.882  2.762
New Mexico               6  7 284 312  2.692   72  6.163   72  2.662   76  2.683   80 0.4490   75 0.4665   28      0  1.291  2.830  2.536
Air Force                4  8 279 302  2.984   81  6.025   81  2.525   61  2.844   87 0.4384   84 0.4427   28      0  1.390  3.127  2.561
Colorado St              4  8 202 263  2.712   84  5.931   84  2.379   87  2.386  101 0.4052  105 0.3947   28      0  0.971  2.134  2.638
San Diego St             3  9 170 325  2.660  100  5.740  100  2.169   97  2.218  102 0.4037   99 0.4128   28      0  1.047  2.056  2.381
UNLV                     2 10 238 382  2.643  105  5.578  105  1.920  102  2.148  114 0.3621  116 0.3433   28      0  1.367  2.399  1.897

Pacific 10 Conference: strength=3.567 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Cal            11  2 396 197  3.807    4  7.559    4  4.427    1  4.450    1 0.6951    3 0.7008    3   1162  1.186  4.460  4.440
California              10  3 427 251  3.627   12  7.288   12  4.083    8  4.067    6 0.6520   10 0.6505   11    711  1.499  4.509  3.625
Oregon St               10  4 389 311  3.472   18  7.177   18  3.925   26  3.624   12 0.6215   15 0.6226   20    276  1.335  3.831  3.417
Oregon                   7  6 383 345  3.542   34  6.864   34  3.507   36  3.393   25 0.5790   38 0.5583   28      0  1.648  4.062  2.724
UCLA                     7  6 299 259  3.508   35  6.842   35  3.474   25  3.636   26 0.5771   40 0.5503   28      0  1.087  3.522  3.749
Arizona                  6  6 199 235  3.499   36  6.807   36  3.470   44  3.299   30 0.5669   42 0.5480   28      0  0.815  2.877  3.721
Arizona St               7  6 348 326  3.425   38  6.755   38  3.399   31  3.428   35 0.5616   46 0.5358   28      0  1.427  3.764  3.092
Washington St            6  6 295 277  3.391   41  6.684   40  3.306   46  3.272   36 0.5601   51 0.5270   28      0  1.332  3.475  3.068
Washington               5  7 262 311  3.403   52  6.509   53  3.110   55  3.055   40 0.5422   58 0.5148   28      0  1.397  3.349  2.761
Stanford                 1 11 127 377  3.330   96  5.785   96  2.237   92  2.321   79 0.4518   92 0.4287   28      0  0.896  1.986  2.655

Southeastern Conference: strength=3.632 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida                 13  1 416 189  3.779    1  7.749    1  4.733    3  4.338    2 0.6803    1 0.7306    1   1250  1.063  4.195  4.481
LSU                     11  2 438 164  3.616    7  7.434    7  4.239    5  4.309    8 0.6439    8 0.6644    8    899  1.139  4.259  4.359
Auburn                  11  2 322 181  3.472    8  7.398    8  4.225   19  3.737    9 0.6334   13 0.6253    6   1022  0.953  3.465  4.009
Arkansas                10  4 404 256  3.609   15  7.223   15  3.990   13  3.928   18 0.5976   18 0.6088   15    510  1.352  4.159  3.698
Tennessee                9  4 362 254  3.633   17  7.184   17  3.933   18  3.796   16 0.6041   19 0.6080   19    359  1.317  3.978  3.614
Georgia                  9  4 327 229  3.371   24  7.019   24  3.701   23  3.674   24 0.5793   35 0.5647   22    225  1.247  3.763  3.585
Kentucky                 8  5 347 369  3.301   26  6.969   26  3.631   49  3.199   29 0.5681   26 0.5859   28      0  1.586  3.771  2.626
South Carolina           8  5 346 243  3.415   31  6.898   31  3.555   20  3.729   27 0.5743   28 0.5829   28      0  1.241  3.810  3.648
Alabama                  6  7 298 250  3.285   56  6.422   56  3.022   45  3.283   63 0.4899   77 0.4614   28      0  1.084  3.165  3.400
Vanderbilt               4  8 264 284  3.133   70  6.176   70  2.682   60  2.876   71 0.4684   82 0.4483   28      0  1.251  2.970  2.782
Mississippi              4  8 188 275  3.019   73  6.149   73  2.646   72  2.736   76 0.4543   98 0.4156   28      0  0.967  2.481  2.991
Mississippi St           3  9 221 309  3.056   83  5.952   83  2.410   66  2.801   81 0.4431   93 0.4229   28      0  1.177  2.799  2.803

Sun Belt Conference: strength=1.744 (#12)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Middle Tennessee St      7  6 296 302  2.365   75  6.111   76  2.589   85  2.490   65 0.4883   41 0.5489   28      0  1.229  2.554  2.425
Troy                     8  5 296 289  2.117   76  6.106   75  2.593   91  2.331   69 0.4793   56 0.5226   28      0  1.283  2.468  2.195
Arkansas St              6  6 182 289  2.004   91  5.832   91  2.293  111  1.747   84 0.4405   70 0.4800   28      0  0.994  1.522  1.972
Louisiana-Lafayette      6  6 248 296  1.878   98  5.755   98  2.188  108  1.903   95 0.4281   72 0.4713   28      0  1.258  2.006  1.800
Florida Atlantic         5  7 181 299  2.038  101  5.715  101  2.132  105  2.021   97 0.4253   79 0.4562   28      0  0.927  1.721  2.322
Louisiana-Monroe         4  8 262 267  2.193  108  5.469  108  1.831   86  2.471  103 0.3983   94 0.4193   28      0  1.222  2.527  2.415
North Texas              3  9 154 304  1.877  114  5.343  114  1.571  115  1.489  113 0.3661  102 0.3987   28      0  0.909  1.168  1.810
Florida Int'l            0 12 115 313  1.878  119  4.704  119  0.816  119  1.067  119 0.2947  119 0.3095   28      0  0.862  0.694  1.439

Western Athletic Conference: strength=2.444 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boise St                13  0 516 229  3.144    2  7.621    2  4.521   15  3.892    7 0.6455    4 0.6857    2   1165  1.483  4.310  3.473
Hawai`i                 11  3 656 337  2.932   32  6.887   32  3.537   21  3.723   31 0.5648   32 0.5749   27     18  1.904  4.820  2.625
San Jose St              9  4 324 270  2.506   53  6.487   52  3.114   65  2.817   45 0.5275   54 0.5259   28      0  1.204  2.849  2.784
Nevada                   8  5 391 249  2.767   59  6.367   59  2.938   42  3.323   59 0.5031   59 0.5131   28      0  1.254  3.421  3.224
Fresno St                4  8 276 339  2.669   92  5.812   92  2.266   80  2.540   82 0.4429   87 0.4361   28      0  1.345  2.761  2.318
Idaho                    4  8 203 417  2.178   99  5.747   99  2.178  114  1.621   93 0.4292   88 0.4337   28      0  1.195  1.641  1.600
New Mexico St            4  8 374 369  2.093  109  5.454  109  1.754   94  2.277  109 0.3807  110 0.3793   28      0  1.687  3.009  1.546
Louisiana Tech           3 10 242 542  1.958  110  5.437  110  1.720  116  1.364  107 0.3921  107 0.3919   28      0  1.575  1.920  0.809
Utah St                  1 11 130 462  2.255  116  5.313  116  1.528  117  1.329  111 0.3703  113 0.3696   28      0  1.008  1.121  1.537

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.437 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame              10  3 403 310  3.376   16  7.219   16  3.983   29  3.583   14 0.6178   17 0.6159   18    374  1.606  4.187  2.979
Navy                     9  4 367 261  2.824   40  6.685   41  3.306   51  3.132   41 0.5414   57 0.5190   28      0  1.390  3.416  2.849
Army                     3  9 232 335  2.324  106  5.559  106  1.892  106  1.986  108 0.3918  106 0.3927   28      0  1.202  2.016  1.956
Temple                   1 11 131 496  2.275  115  5.317  115  1.535  118  1.308  112 0.3673  114 0.3618   28      0  1.129  1.246  1.371

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Southeastern Conference                                 96 59 0.619    1  3.632
Big East Conference                                     65 36 0.644    2  3.603
Pacific 10 Conference                                   70 57 0.551    3  3.567
Big 10 Conference                                       79 61 0.564    4  3.276
Big 12 Conference                                       85 69 0.552    5  3.256
Atlantic Coast Conference                               82 72 0.532    6  3.172
Mountain West Conference                                55 57 0.491    7  2.912
Western Athletic Conference                             57 57 0.500    8  2.444
Division I-A Independents                               23 27 0.460    9  2.437
Conference USA                                          70 81 0.464   10  2.416
Mid-American Conference                                 64 86 0.427   11  2.178
Sun Belt Conference                                     39 59 0.398   12  1.744

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.190 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:23:55 2007

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