Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sioux Falls             14  0 541 102 -0.211    1  4.937    1  1.070    1  0.941    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.940  0.654  1.228
St Francis IN           13  1 553 164 -0.234    2  4.653    2  0.721    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303  1.029  0.701
Missouri Valley         13  1 408 184 -0.944    3  4.393    3  0.311    9 -0.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.087 -0.309 -0.079
Carroll MT              11  2 310  76 -0.358    4  4.362    4  0.265    3  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.330 -0.562  1.163
St Ambrose              10  1 356 179 -0.935    5  4.263    5  0.113   12 -0.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441 -0.097 -0.812
St Xavier               10  3 380 207 -0.413    6  4.195    6  0.051    5  0.053    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.251  0.147 -0.040
Montana St-Northern      9  3 281 130 -0.445    7  4.129    7 -0.063    8 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.844 -0.499  0.284
Northwestern IA         11  2 479 148 -0.689    8  4.108    8 -0.098    4  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.277  0.281  0.024
Morningside              9  3 287 189 -0.754    9  4.084    9 -0.134   13 -0.507    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.002 -0.722 -0.291
Walsh                    9  3 271 171 -0.713   10  3.999   10 -0.193   14 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.861 -0.890 -0.144
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Malone                   7  4 238 267 -0.720   11  3.895   11 -0.366   20 -0.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.402 -0.561 -1.163
Bethel TN               10  3 478 190 -0.798   12  3.826   13 -0.475    6  0.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.369  0.282 -0.227
Georgetown KY            9  2 444 190 -1.068   13  3.810   12 -0.450   11 -0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.410 -0.019 -0.642
Black Hills St           8  3 237 114 -0.947   14  3.790   14 -0.483   15 -0.535    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.741 -1.033 -0.036
Ohio Dominican           7  3 308 176 -0.775   15  3.713   15 -0.546   10 -0.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.479  0.089 -0.734
Montana Tech             6  5 175 178 -0.641   16  3.649   16 -0.646   17 -0.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.720 -1.317 -0.278
Eastern Oregon           6  5 199 256 -0.846   17  3.608   17 -0.712   28 -1.107    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.215 -1.060 -1.154
Nebraska Wesleyan        7  3 190 197 -1.369   18  3.597   18 -0.732   35 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.974 -1.652 -1.157
Jamestown                8  3 302 111 -1.243   19  3.480   19 -0.866   16 -0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.621 -1.382 -0.153
Urbana                   5  6 239 225 -0.637   20  3.355   20 -0.959   18 -0.822    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.132 -0.881 -0.763
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cumberlands KY           6  4 186 226 -1.351   21  3.344   21 -0.978   40 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.028 -1.708 -1.339
Benedictine KS           8  3 209 161 -1.534   22  3.340   22 -0.986   34 -1.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.857 -1.688 -0.934
NW Oklahoma St           6  4 258 201 -1.097   23  3.323   23 -1.012   19 -0.831    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.211 -0.790 -0.872
Virginia-Wise            8  3 444 309 -1.532   24  3.321   24 -1.018   27 -1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.968  0.105 -2.316
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 305 220 -1.448   25  3.314   25 -1.028   25 -1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.663 -0.345 -1.733
William Penn             5  6 209 274 -0.903   26  3.254   26 -1.052   32 -1.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.184 -1.195 -1.208
McKendree                5  4 312 114 -0.781   27  3.214   27 -1.124    7 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.201 -0.060 -0.117
Azusa Pacific            3  7 162 243 -0.402   28  3.199   28 -1.144   21 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.099 -1.010 -0.812
Quincy                   6  5 231 200 -1.132   29  3.198   30 -1.147   22 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.021 -1.187 -0.801
Southern Oregon          3  6 160 237 -0.588   30  3.197   29 -1.146   26 -1.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.155 -1.077 -1.017
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Geneva                   4  5 143 148 -0.931   31  3.179   31 -1.178   24 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.805 -1.437 -0.572
Webber Int'l             5  5 199 177 -1.041   32  3.143   32 -1.235   23 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.986 -1.232 -0.764
Graceland                6  4 300 237 -1.448   33  3.109   33 -1.294   29 -1.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.702 -0.374 -1.888
Dickinson St             6  4 227 122 -1.436   34  3.087   35 -1.332   31 -1.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.940 -1.461 -0.889
Valley City St           6  4 244 155 -1.539   35  3.074   34 -1.306   37 -1.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.090 -1.567 -1.346
Bethel KS                9  2 271 160 -2.543   36  3.060   36 -1.336   59 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.114 -2.052 -1.890
Southern Nazarene        6  4 196 137 -1.706   37  2.965   37 -1.426   39 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.594 -2.119 -0.839
Dana                     6  5 231 223 -1.483   38  2.960   38 -1.434   33 -1.295    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.207 -1.259 -1.330
Friends                  9  2 273  86 -2.348   39  2.953   39 -1.448   41 -1.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.447 -2.301 -0.763
Belhaven                 6  5 333 326 -1.655   40  2.897   40 -1.538   38 -1.464    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.850 -0.461 -2.466
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
William Jewell           5  5 182 196 -1.574   41  2.866   41 -1.583   44 -1.606    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.061 -1.751 -1.461
Trinity Int'l            4  7 145 247 -1.293   42  2.858   42 -1.593   48 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.732 -2.231 -1.216
Shorter                  6  5 307 195 -1.547   43  2.845   43 -1.623   30 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.100 -1.256 -1.059
Lindenwood               5  7 257 255 -1.387   44  2.765   44 -1.661   42 -1.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.253 -1.437 -1.629
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 268 134 -2.711   45  2.764   45 -1.668   63 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -2.078 -2.056
Paul Quinn               2  6 128 266 -1.012   46  2.751   46 -1.684   51 -1.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.264 -1.671 -1.892
Lambuth                  4  7 217 334 -1.438   47  2.737   48 -1.711   56 -1.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.276 -1.760 -2.015
Pikeville                4  6 205 326 -1.556   48  2.734   49 -1.716   54 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.446 -1.495 -2.221
Texas College            4  7 198 289 -1.377   49  2.729   51 -1.724   47 -1.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.132 -1.775 -1.658
Hastings                 4  6 169 196 -1.415   50  2.706   52 -1.764   43 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.966 -1.796 -1.283
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 101 218 -1.596   51  2.661   50 -1.723   58 -1.958    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.635 -2.560 -1.356
Briar Cliff              5  6 136 300 -1.930   52  2.654   47 -1.709   72 -2.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.990 -2.604 -2.144
Olivet Nazarene          4  7 172 249 -1.445   53  2.583   53 -1.799   46 -1.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.047 -1.854 -1.531
Evangel                  4  6 181 200 -1.557   54  2.560   56 -1.837   49 -1.756    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.084 -1.874 -1.639
Baker                    4  6 160 200 -1.599   55  2.540   54 -1.810   50 -1.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.956 -2.034 -1.497
Minot St                 4  6 157 121 -1.409   56  2.528   55 -1.828   36 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.372 -2.267 -0.607
Rocky Mountain           2  9 169 341 -1.043   57  2.468   57 -1.913   53 -1.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.437 -1.493 -2.195
Sterling                 7  3 257 127 -2.516   58  2.456   58 -1.940   55 -1.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.097 -1.965 -1.760
Seton Hill               2  9 144 316 -1.123   59  2.366   59 -2.095   52 -1.803    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.032 -1.984 -1.623
Culver-Stockton          3  8 124 264 -1.659   60  2.332   60 -2.156   67 -2.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.829 -2.667 -1.852
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Concordia AL             2  8 119 271 -1.390   61  2.325   61 -2.168   65 -2.115    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -2.498 -1.732
Peru St                  6  5 275 207 -2.323   62  2.308   62 -2.197   57 -1.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.331 -1.751 -2.154
Campbellsville           2  8 153 344 -1.499   63  2.302   63 -2.203   69 -2.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.176 -2.341 -2.333
Montana-Western          1  9 167 318 -0.975   64  2.269   64 -2.262   45 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.553 -1.140 -2.184
Cumberland TN            3  7 242 297 -1.724   65  2.263   65 -2.276   60 -1.979    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.431 -1.638 -2.321
Central Methodist        3  8 181 262 -1.829   66  2.207   66 -2.372   64 -2.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.186 -2.078 -2.096
Avila                    3  8 120 224 -1.905   67  2.194   67 -2.397   68 -2.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.608 -2.956 -1.703
Concordia NE             2  8 174 285 -1.612   68  2.186   68 -2.411   62 -2.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.432 -1.709 -2.395
Dakota St                3  8 163 323 -2.014   69  2.181   69 -2.419   74 -2.461    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -2.338 -2.584
Tabor                    6  4 214 170 -2.934   70  2.161   70 -2.457   76 -2.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.197 -2.510 -2.557
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Virginia        2  7 136 274 -1.943   71  2.091   71 -2.506   75 -2.464    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -2.475 -2.454
Edward Waters            1  9  93 298 -1.397   72  2.027   72 -2.551   70 -2.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -2.721 -1.956
St Francis IL            1  9  92 321 -1.474   73  2.024   73 -2.556   77 -2.570    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.988 -2.802 -2.338
Union KY                 2  8 164 232 -1.828   74  1.983   74 -2.633   66 -2.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.984 -2.408 -1.936
Waldorf                  2  8 108 280 -2.167   75  1.979   75 -2.641   78 -2.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.918 -2.921 -2.299
Midland Lutheran         2  9 166 261 -1.721   76  1.938   77 -2.719   61 -1.984    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.058 -2.134 -1.835
Doane                    1  9 112 299 -1.685   77  1.890   76 -2.715   73 -2.379    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -2.561 -2.197
Taylor                   1  9  67 255 -1.586   78  1.884   78 -2.727   71 -2.357    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.458 -3.117 -1.597
Iowa Wesleyan            1  9 101 336 -1.696   79  1.873   79 -2.748   79 -2.619    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.008 -2.827 -2.410
West Virginia Tech       1 10 111 469 -1.729   80  1.864   80 -2.766   80 -2.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.979 -3.148 -2.665
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mayville St              1  9  63 418 -2.532   81  1.636   81 -3.118   88 -3.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -3.874 -3.511
Bacone                   1  9  83 325 -2.349   82  1.572   82 -3.240   81 -3.232    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.763 -3.707 -2.756
SW Assem of God          2  8 110 284 -2.845   83  1.552   83 -3.279   84 -3.373    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.910 -3.693 -3.052
St Mary KS               3  7 118 191 -3.208   84  1.469   85 -3.428   83 -3.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.762 -3.844 -2.890
McPherson                3  7  75 257 -3.367   85  1.465   84 -3.385   90 -3.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.573 -4.566 -3.249
South Dakota Tech        1  9  55 367 -2.926   86  1.395   86 -3.512   89 -3.770    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.753 -4.256 -3.284
Bethany KS               2  8 136 261 -3.057   87  1.379   87 -3.548   85 -3.423    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.173 -3.431 -3.416
Haskell                  2  9 112 271 -3.191   88  1.289   88 -3.720   87 -3.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.006 -3.881 -3.460
Southwestern KS          2  8 152 238 -3.239   89  1.249   89 -3.808   82 -3.340    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.141 -3.388 -3.293
Ottawa                   1  9 134 277 -3.107   90  1.206   90 -3.893   86 -3.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.221 -3.432 -3.541


Central States Football League: strength=-1.849 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
NW Oklahoma St           6  4 258 201 -1.097   23  3.323   23 -1.012   19 -0.831    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.211 -0.790 -0.872
Southern Nazarene        6  4 196 137 -1.706   37  2.965   37 -1.426   39 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.594 -2.119 -0.839
Texas College            4  7 198 289 -1.377   49  2.729   51 -1.724   47 -1.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.132 -1.775 -1.658
Peru St                  6  5 275 207 -2.323   62  2.308   62 -2.197   57 -1.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.331 -1.751 -2.154
Bacone                   1  9  83 325 -2.349   82  1.572   82 -3.240   81 -3.232    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.763 -3.707 -2.756

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.737 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Black Hills St           8  3 237 114 -0.947   14  3.790   14 -0.483   15 -0.535    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.741 -1.033 -0.036
Jamestown                8  3 302 111 -1.243   19  3.480   19 -0.866   16 -0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.621 -1.382 -0.153
Dickinson St             6  4 227 122 -1.436   34  3.087   35 -1.332   31 -1.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.940 -1.461 -0.889
Valley City St           6  4 244 155 -1.539   35  3.074   34 -1.306   37 -1.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.090 -1.567 -1.346
Minot St                 4  6 157 121 -1.409   56  2.528   55 -1.828   36 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.372 -2.267 -0.607
Dakota St                3  8 163 323 -2.014   69  2.181   69 -2.419   74 -2.461    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -2.338 -2.584
Mayville St              1  9  63 418 -2.532   81  1.636   81 -3.118   88 -3.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -3.874 -3.511
South Dakota Tech        1  9  55 367 -2.926   86  1.395   86 -3.512   89 -3.770    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.753 -4.256 -3.284

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.784 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT              11  2 310  76 -0.358    4  4.362    4  0.265    3  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.330 -0.562  1.163
Montana St-Northern      9  3 281 130 -0.445    7  4.129    7 -0.063    8 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.844 -0.499  0.284
Montana Tech             6  5 175 178 -0.641   16  3.649   16 -0.646   17 -0.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.720 -1.317 -0.278
Eastern Oregon           6  5 199 256 -0.846   17  3.608   17 -0.712   28 -1.107    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.215 -1.060 -1.154
Rocky Mountain           2  9 169 341 -1.043   57  2.468   57 -1.913   53 -1.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.437 -1.493 -2.195
Montana-Western          1  9 167 318 -0.975   64  2.269   64 -2.262   45 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.553 -1.140 -2.184

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.440 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sioux Falls             14  0 541 102 -0.211    1  4.937    1  1.070    1  0.941    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.940  0.654  1.228
Northwestern IA         11  2 479 148 -0.689    8  4.108    8 -0.098    4  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.277  0.281  0.024
Morningside              9  3 287 189 -0.754    9  4.084    9 -0.134   13 -0.507    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.002 -0.722 -0.291
Nebraska Wesleyan        7  3 190 197 -1.369   18  3.597   18 -0.732   35 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.974 -1.652 -1.157
Dana                     6  5 231 223 -1.483   38  2.960   38 -1.434   33 -1.295    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.207 -1.259 -1.330
Hastings                 4  6 169 196 -1.415   50  2.706   52 -1.764   43 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.966 -1.796 -1.283
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 101 218 -1.596   51  2.661   50 -1.723   58 -1.958    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.635 -2.560 -1.356
Briar Cliff              5  6 136 300 -1.930   52  2.654   47 -1.709   72 -2.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.990 -2.604 -2.144
Concordia NE             2  8 174 285 -1.612   68  2.186   68 -2.411   62 -2.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.432 -1.709 -2.395
Midland Lutheran         2  9 166 261 -1.721   76  1.938   77 -2.719   61 -1.984    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.058 -2.134 -1.835
Doane                    1  9 112 299 -1.685   77  1.890   76 -2.715   73 -2.379    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -2.561 -2.197

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.557 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Missouri Valley         13  1 408 184 -0.944    3  4.393    3  0.311    9 -0.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.087 -0.309 -0.079
Benedictine KS           8  3 209 161 -1.534   22  3.340   22 -0.986   34 -1.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.857 -1.688 -0.934
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 305 220 -1.448   25  3.314   25 -1.028   25 -1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.663 -0.345 -1.733
Graceland                6  4 300 237 -1.448   33  3.109   33 -1.294   29 -1.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.702 -0.374 -1.888
William Jewell           5  5 182 196 -1.574   41  2.866   41 -1.583   44 -1.606    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.061 -1.751 -1.461
Lindenwood               5  7 257 255 -1.387   44  2.765   44 -1.661   42 -1.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.253 -1.437 -1.629
Evangel                  4  6 181 200 -1.557   54  2.560   56 -1.837   49 -1.756    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.084 -1.874 -1.639
Baker                    4  6 160 200 -1.599   55  2.540   54 -1.810   50 -1.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.956 -2.034 -1.497
Culver-Stockton          3  8 124 264 -1.659   60  2.332   60 -2.156   67 -2.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.829 -2.667 -1.852
Central Methodist        3  8 181 262 -1.829   66  2.207   66 -2.372   64 -2.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.186 -2.078 -2.096
Avila                    3  8 120 224 -1.905   67  2.194   67 -2.397   68 -2.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.608 -2.956 -1.703

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.949 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bethel KS                9  2 271 160 -2.543   36  3.060   36 -1.336   59 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.114 -2.052 -1.890
Friends                  9  2 273  86 -2.348   39  2.953   39 -1.448   41 -1.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.447 -2.301 -0.763
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 268 134 -2.711   45  2.764   45 -1.668   63 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -2.078 -2.056
Sterling                 7  3 257 127 -2.516   58  2.456   58 -1.940   55 -1.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.097 -1.965 -1.760
Tabor                    6  4 214 170 -2.934   70  2.161   70 -2.457   76 -2.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.197 -2.510 -2.557
St Mary KS               3  7 118 191 -3.208   84  1.469   85 -3.428   83 -3.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.762 -3.844 -2.890
McPherson                3  7  75 257 -3.367   85  1.465   84 -3.385   90 -3.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.573 -4.566 -3.249
Bethany KS               2  8 136 261 -3.057   87  1.379   87 -3.548   85 -3.423    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.173 -3.431 -3.416
Southwestern KS          2  8 152 238 -3.239   89  1.249   89 -3.808   82 -3.340    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.141 -3.388 -3.293
Ottawa                   1  9 134 277 -3.107   90  1.206   90 -3.893   86 -3.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.221 -3.432 -3.541

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.601 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bethel TN               10  3 478 190 -0.798   12  3.826   13 -0.475    6  0.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.369  0.282 -0.227
Georgetown KY            9  2 444 190 -1.068   13  3.810   12 -0.450   11 -0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.410 -0.019 -0.642
Cumberlands KY           6  4 186 226 -1.351   21  3.344   21 -0.978   40 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.028 -1.708 -1.339
Virginia-Wise            8  3 444 309 -1.532   24  3.321   24 -1.018   27 -1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.968  0.105 -2.316
Belhaven                 6  5 333 326 -1.655   40  2.897   40 -1.538   38 -1.464    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.850 -0.461 -2.466
Shorter                  6  5 307 195 -1.547   43  2.845   43 -1.623   30 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.100 -1.256 -1.059
Lambuth                  4  7 217 334 -1.438   47  2.737   48 -1.711   56 -1.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.276 -1.760 -2.015
Pikeville                4  6 205 326 -1.556   48  2.734   49 -1.716   54 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.446 -1.495 -2.221
Campbellsville           2  8 153 344 -1.499   63  2.302   63 -2.203   69 -2.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.176 -2.341 -2.333
Cumberland TN            3  7 242 297 -1.724   65  2.263   65 -2.276   60 -1.979    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.431 -1.638 -2.321
Union KY                 2  8 164 232 -1.828   74  1.983   74 -2.633   66 -2.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.984 -2.408 -1.936
West Virginia Tech       1 10 111 469 -1.729   80  1.864   80 -2.766   80 -2.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.979 -3.148 -2.665

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-0.907 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Francis IN           13  1 553 164 -0.234    2  4.653    2  0.721    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303  1.029  0.701
St Ambrose              10  1 356 179 -0.935    5  4.263    5  0.113   12 -0.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441 -0.097 -0.812
St Xavier               10  3 380 207 -0.413    6  4.195    6  0.051    5  0.053    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.251  0.147 -0.040
Walsh                    9  3 271 171 -0.713   10  3.999   10 -0.193   14 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.861 -0.890 -0.144
Malone                   7  4 238 267 -0.720   11  3.895   11 -0.366   20 -0.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.402 -0.561 -1.163
Ohio Dominican           7  3 308 176 -0.775   15  3.713   15 -0.546   10 -0.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.479  0.089 -0.734
Urbana                   5  6 239 225 -0.637   20  3.355   20 -0.959   18 -0.822    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.132 -0.881 -0.763
William Penn             5  6 209 274 -0.903   26  3.254   26 -1.052   32 -1.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.184 -1.195 -1.208
McKendree                5  4 312 114 -0.781   27  3.214   27 -1.124    7 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.201 -0.060 -0.117
Quincy                   6  5 231 200 -1.132   29  3.198   30 -1.147   22 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.021 -1.187 -0.801
Geneva                   4  5 143 148 -0.931   31  3.179   31 -1.178   24 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.805 -1.437 -0.572
Trinity Int'l            4  7 145 247 -1.293   42  2.858   42 -1.593   48 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.732 -2.231 -1.216
Olivet Nazarene          4  7 172 249 -1.445   53  2.583   53 -1.799   46 -1.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.047 -1.854 -1.531
St Francis IL            1  9  92 321 -1.474   73  2.024   73 -2.556   77 -2.570    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.988 -2.802 -2.338
Taylor                   1  9  67 255 -1.586   78  1.884   78 -2.727   71 -2.357    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.458 -3.117 -1.597
Iowa Wesleyan            1  9 101 336 -1.696   79  1.873   79 -2.748   79 -2.619    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.008 -2.827 -2.410

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.145 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific            3  7 162 243 -0.402   28  3.199   28 -1.144   21 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.099 -1.010 -0.812
Southern Oregon          3  6 160 237 -0.588   30  3.197   29 -1.146   26 -1.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.155 -1.077 -1.017
Webber Int'l             5  5 199 177 -1.041   32  3.143   32 -1.235   23 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.986 -1.232 -0.764
Paul Quinn               2  6 128 266 -1.012   46  2.751   46 -1.684   51 -1.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.264 -1.671 -1.892
Seton Hill               2  9 144 316 -1.123   59  2.366   59 -2.095   52 -1.803    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.032 -1.984 -1.623
Concordia AL             2  8 119 271 -1.390   61  2.325   61 -2.168   65 -2.115    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -2.498 -1.732
Southern Virginia        2  7 136 274 -1.943   71  2.091   71 -2.506   75 -2.464    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -2.475 -2.454
Edward Waters            1  9  93 298 -1.397   72  2.027   72 -2.551   70 -2.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -2.721 -1.956
Waldorf                  2  8 108 280 -2.167   75  1.979   75 -2.641   78 -2.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.918 -2.921 -2.299
SW Assem of God          2  8 110 284 -2.845   83  1.552   83 -3.279   84 -3.373    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.910 -3.693 -3.052
Haskell                  2  9 112 271 -3.191   88  1.289   88 -3.720   87 -3.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.006 -3.881 -3.460

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     35 33 0.515    1 -0.784
Mid-States Football Association                         92 82 0.529    2 -0.907
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        65 57 0.533    3 -1.440
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    61 59 0.508    4 -1.557
Mid-South Conference                                    61 68 0.473    5 -1.601
Dakota Athletic Conference                              37 46 0.446    6 -1.737
Central States Football League                          23 29 0.442    7 -1.849
NAIA Independents                                       26 82 0.241    8 -2.145
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   50 52 0.490    9 -2.949

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.190 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:23:55 2007

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