Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                   13  0 652 213  4.421    1  7.544    1  5.445    1  5.511    1 0.7163    1 0.7383    1   1250  1.614  5.955  5.066
Southern Cal            12  1 638 297  4.360    2  7.358    2  5.149    2  5.185    3 0.6735    2 0.6958    2   1200  1.767  5.878  4.493
Penn State              11  1 413 204  4.075    3  7.233    3  4.946    5  4.671    2 0.6824    3 0.6886    3   1145  1.288  4.640  4.702
Ohio State              10  2 392 183  4.392    4  7.210    4  4.897    3  4.965    4 0.6674    4 0.6637    4   1105  1.048  4.630  5.300
West Virginia           11  1 385 214  3.708    5  7.101    5  4.720    7  4.382    6 0.6396    6 0.6530    6    990  1.354  4.441  4.323
Virginia Tech           11  2 440 168  3.958    6  7.075    6  4.592    4  4.726    5 0.6556    5 0.6546    5   1046  1.156  4.524  4.928
LSU                     11  2 383 185  3.888    7  7.064    7  4.576    6  4.516    7 0.6385    9 0.6462    7    958  1.146  4.301  4.732
Oregon                  10  2 414 278  3.873    8  7.062    8  4.573   12  4.262    9 0.6222   13 0.6297    9    827  1.526  4.571  3.952
Notre Dame               9  3 440 294  4.090    9  6.997    9  4.475    8  4.381   18 0.6065   20 0.5892    8    887  1.698  4.960  3.801
UCLA                    10  2 469 410  3.669   10  6.993   10  4.468   34  3.731   14 0.6177   14 0.6295   14    598  1.929  4.706  2.757
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama                 10  2 263 128  3.720   11  6.977   11  4.444   15  4.186   16 0.6135   10 0.6434   11    762  0.699  3.476  4.896
TCU                     11  1 398 223  3.429   12  6.949   12  4.400   20  4.126   11 0.6203    8 0.6471   13    655  1.330  4.153  4.100
Wisconsin               10  3 446 309  3.801   13  6.926   13  4.370   21  4.095   10 0.6205   17 0.6080   12    688  1.515  4.388  3.803
Georgia                 10  3 384 213  3.773   14  6.876   14  4.301    9  4.310   15 0.6139   16 0.6223   15    582  1.219  4.187  4.432
Miami FL                 9  3 325 171  3.833   15  6.856   15  4.272   17  4.154   12 0.6197   18 0.6011   10    781  1.065  3.840  4.468
Florida                  9  3 343 226  3.774   16  6.844   16  4.254   18  4.153   17 0.6108   11 0.6399   17    467  1.339  4.192  4.113
Oklahoma                 8  4 323 277  3.928   17  6.807   17  4.201   22  4.091    8 0.6248    7 0.6472   20    257  1.270  4.037  4.146
Boston College           9  3 310 191  3.739   18  6.799   18  4.188   19  4.130   13 0.6192   15 0.6268   18    383  0.989  3.726  4.533
Auburn                   9  3 386 186  3.701   19  6.744   19  4.112   14  4.221   19 0.5927   19 0.5916   16    509  1.290  4.193  4.249
Michigan                 7  5 345 244  4.114   20  6.735   20  4.101   10  4.276   21 0.5861   31 0.5649   22    215  1.224  4.160  4.392
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Tech               9  3 473 226  3.734   21  6.727   21  4.088   13  4.227   23 0.5829   12 0.6365   19    364  1.451  4.425  4.029
Northwestern             7  5 388 407  3.906   22  6.696   22  4.045   35  3.700   22 0.5861   22 0.5755   28      3  1.796  4.442  2.958
Minnesota                7  5 429 348  4.026   23  6.690   23  4.037   23  4.052   26 0.5788   28 0.5718   23    129  1.798  4.798  3.307
Florida St               8  5 376 286  3.815   24  6.680   24  4.023   29  3.852   25 0.5794   23 0.5751   24    102  1.469  4.076  3.628
Louisville               9  3 521 285  3.571   25  6.667   25  4.001   11  4.270   29 0.5701   26 0.5723   25     66  1.898  5.190  3.351
Nebraska                 8  4 296 252  3.677   26  6.663   26  3.996   27  3.870   24 0.5826   27 0.5723   27     10  1.268  3.812  3.928
Clemson                  8  4 316 211  3.722   27  6.657   27  3.988   24  4.024   20 0.5909   24 0.5744   21    245  1.198  3.874  4.173
Iowa                     7  5 360 240  3.956   28  6.624   28  3.941   16  4.177   27 0.5770   32 0.5607   26     26  1.231  4.070  4.283
Georgia Tech             7  5 222 241  3.718   29  6.593   29  3.899   51  3.503   28 0.5723   33 0.5573   29      0  1.005  3.118  3.888
Arizona St               7  5 442 359  3.767   30  6.542   30  3.831   30  3.822   36 0.5511   43 0.5386   29      0  1.757  4.499  3.146
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
California               8  4 395 254  3.590   31  6.531   31  3.815   25  3.983   41 0.5341   49 0.5291   29      0  1.324  4.001  3.966
Colorado                 7  6 305 307  3.779   32  6.509   32  3.784   41  3.586   31 0.5659   34 0.5570   29      0  1.123  3.342  3.830
Kansas                   7  5 269 264  3.580   33  6.471   33  3.753   36  3.670   30 0.5691   25 0.5731   29      0  1.089  3.384  3.956
South Carolina           7  5 284 279  3.560   34  6.465   34  3.745   48  3.515   34 0.5540   35 0.5536   29      0  1.285  3.480  3.550
North Carolina St        7  5 249 212  3.604   35  6.446   35  3.717   33  3.754   33 0.5544   40 0.5446   29      0  0.996  3.358  4.149
Virginia                 7  5 320 279  3.559   36  6.444   36  3.714   38  3.655   32 0.5546   45 0.5353   29      0  1.377  3.747  3.563
North Carolina           5  6 198 288  3.745   37  6.384   37  3.644   65  3.259   38 0.5480   46 0.5330   29      0  1.174  3.079  3.440
Iowa St                  7  5 339 230  3.560   38  6.376   38  3.632   26  3.972   37 0.5492   52 0.5232   29      0  1.273  3.921  4.022
Tulsa                    9  4 430 305  3.164   39  6.350   39  3.598   37  3.663   40 0.5368   29 0.5718   29      0  1.486  3.913  3.414
Missouri                 7  5 369 350  3.398   40  6.344   40  3.591   53  3.433   35 0.5532   36 0.5517   29      0  1.730  4.064  2.801
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan St              5  6 372 316  3.887   41  6.330   41  3.572   31  3.817   46 0.5196   72 0.4840   29      0  1.636  4.297  3.338
Boise St                 9  4 469 317  3.085   42  6.322   44  3.557   46  3.547   47 0.5178   38 0.5511   29      0  1.570  3.923  3.171
Purdue                   5  6 330 309  3.827   43  6.321   42  3.558   28  3.862   43 0.5271   66 0.4951   29      0  1.511  4.149  3.576
Stanford                 5  6 269 337  3.757   44  6.320   43  3.558   54  3.428   45 0.5213   30 0.5700   29      0  1.394  3.544  3.313
Nevada                   9  3 410 383  2.673   45  6.282   45  3.499   83  2.922   50 0.5111   42 0.5392   29      0  1.756  3.598  2.247
Maryland                 5  6 270 275  3.688   46  6.278   46  3.497   50  3.509   39 0.5384   51 0.5251   29      0  1.422  3.666  3.353
Texas A&M                5  6 352 343  3.720   47  6.269   47  3.482   40  3.624   42 0.5325   55 0.5167   29      0  1.785  4.347  2.901
Oregon St                5  6 293 365  3.601   48  6.268   48  3.480   62  3.277   59 0.4978   68 0.4924   29      0  1.515  3.570  2.984
South Florida            6  6 276 216  3.570   49  6.266   49  3.478   49  3.510   49 0.5121   48 0.5304   29      0  1.036  3.161  3.859
Tennessee                5  6 205 205  3.625   50  6.243   50  3.444   43  3.558   48 0.5166   59 0.5125   29      0  0.901  3.057  4.060
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Toledo                   9  3 429 261  2.756   51  6.231   51  3.425   56  3.377   44 0.5261   21 0.5770   29      0  1.501  3.648  3.106
Baylor                   5  6 236 291  3.407   52  6.201   52  3.383   73  3.055   51 0.5107   58 0.5143   29      0  1.156  2.853  3.257
Navy                     8  4 410 313  2.891   53  6.181   53  3.353   59  3.319   61 0.4966   73 0.4827   29      0  1.643  3.810  2.828
Utah                     7  5 360 289  3.166   54  6.172   55  3.341   44  3.555   56 0.5004   70 0.4905   29      0  1.510  3.840  3.271
Brigham Young            6  6 396 351  3.412   55  6.168   54  3.349   47  3.525   58 0.4980   56 0.5161   29      0  1.704  4.114  2.936
Rutgers                  7  5 344 307  3.135   56  6.150   56  3.323   57  3.343   69 0.4885   74 0.4793   29      0  1.495  3.606  3.080
Fresno St                8  5 491 292  3.294   57  6.145   57  3.315   32  3.808   54 0.5041   39 0.5477   29      0  1.493  4.067  3.549
Colorado St              6  6 321 369  3.246   58  6.127   58  3.292   79  2.949   57 0.4981   54 0.5179   29      0  1.488  3.200  2.697
Louisiana Tech           7  4 316 281  2.752   59  6.122   59  3.283   75  3.010   66 0.4902   50 0.5270   29      0  1.433  3.182  2.839
Central Florida          8  5 373 373  2.897   60  6.110   60  3.260   81  2.947   53 0.5062   37 0.5513   29      0  1.581  3.340  2.553
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
New Mexico               6  5 326 327  3.082   61  6.108   61  3.258   71  3.083   71 0.4841   64 0.5002   29      0  1.587  3.484  2.681
Kansas St                5  6 289 305  3.385   62  6.103   62  3.251   58  3.327   55 0.5037   67 0.4932   29      0  1.481  3.569  3.086
Vanderbilt               5  6 299 321  3.336   63  6.068   63  3.198   67  3.223   67 0.4888   79 0.4675   29      0  1.704  3.812  2.634
Wake Forest              4  7 269 316  3.524   64  6.042   64  3.180   61  3.302   60 0.4975   80 0.4621   29      0  1.547  3.643  2.961
Southern Miss            7  5 355 272  2.986   65  6.040   65  3.176   64  3.265   62 0.4965   44 0.5371   29      0  1.457  3.472  3.058
Indiana                  4  7 248 361  3.460   66  6.036   66  3.172   76  2.987   70 0.4857   95 0.4353   29      0  1.446  3.177  2.797
UTEP                     8  4 382 311  2.643   67  6.029   67  3.159   88  2.850   80 0.4653   61 0.5093   29      0  1.544  3.187  2.514
Pittsburgh               5  6 267 243  3.423   68  6.023   68  3.152   45  3.552   72 0.4830   85 0.4550   29      0  1.245  3.464  3.640
Memphis                  7  5 326 276  2.872   69  5.999   70  3.118   69  3.146   68 0.4887   60 0.5106   29      0  1.367  3.224  3.068
Northern Illinois        7  5 389 274  2.991   70  5.984   71  3.099   52  3.452   65 0.4917   47 0.5308   29      0  1.441  3.635  3.269
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Michigan         6  5 260 260  2.956   71  5.958   69  3.118   74  3.047   52 0.5093   41 0.5428   29      0  1.204  2.905  3.189
Western Michigan         7  4 354 342  2.578   72  5.932   72  3.094   89  2.757   64 0.4923   53 0.5207   29      0  1.813  3.529  1.985
Miami OH                 7  4 371 258  2.759   73  5.931   73  3.093   66  3.244   63 0.4943   62 0.5075   29      0  1.655  3.754  2.734
Washington St            4  7 368 346  3.567   74  5.914   74  3.070   42  3.585   77 0.4693   76 0.4744   29      0  1.624  4.045  3.125
Oklahoma St              4  7 222 344  3.208   75  5.891   75  3.036   82  2.933   73 0.4812   89 0.4519   29      0  1.358  2.998  2.868
San Diego St             5  7 323 325  3.248   76  5.876   76  3.013   60  3.302   79 0.4656   75 0.4770   29      0  1.391  3.413  3.191
Arkansas                 4  7 283 271  3.559   77  5.861   77  2.989   39  3.635   74 0.4773   71 0.4893   29      0  1.379  3.729  3.541
Connecticut              5  6 272 211  3.135   78  5.860   78  2.987   68  3.181   90 0.4393   92 0.4363   29      0  1.095  2.903  3.459
Arizona                  3  8 252 290  3.624   79  5.853   79  2.978   55  3.408   87 0.4450   98 0.4313   29      0  1.195  3.256  3.561
Akron                    7  6 307 318  2.767   80  5.846   80  2.966   86  2.899   78 0.4663   65 0.4982   29      0  1.329  2.923  2.874
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cincinnati               4  7 192 345  3.090   81  5.839   81  2.957   96  2.532   82 0.4587   88 0.4520   29      0  1.313  2.534  2.529
Houston                  6  6 337 324  2.874   82  5.831   82  2.944   84  2.920   83 0.4577   78 0.4729   29      0  1.542  3.253  2.586
East Carolina            5  6 267 317  2.873   83  5.788   83  2.886   90  2.755   81 0.4614   77 0.4744   29      0  1.449  2.949  2.561
Air Force                4  7 330 349  3.182   84  5.778   84  2.873   70  3.127   94 0.4316   93 0.4361   29      0  1.678  3.675  2.580
SMU                      5  6 229 280  2.850   85  5.773   85  2.865   87  2.861   85 0.4488   86 0.4541   29      0  1.189  2.700  3.022
Bowling Green            6  5 372 304  2.709   86  5.772   86  2.863   72  3.067   75 0.4734   63 0.5035   29      0  1.675  3.608  2.526
Army                     4  7 220 294  3.115   87  5.765   87  2.854   78  2.967   86 0.4473   84 0.4553   29      0  1.317  2.975  2.958
Ball St                  4  7 233 416  2.945   88  5.757   88  2.843  101  2.465   76 0.4702   57 0.5148   29      0  1.571  2.842  2.087
Hawai`i                  5  7 368 428  2.956   89  5.756   89  2.842   85  2.902   89 0.4405   90 0.4503   29      0  1.711  3.502  2.301
Wyoming                  4  7 271 297  3.118   90  5.734   90  2.812   80  2.948   92 0.4384   87 0.4525   29      0  1.348  3.000  2.897
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Illinois                 2  9 187 435  3.436   91  5.704   91  2.767  100  2.470   88 0.4437  100 0.4094   29      0  1.374  2.557  2.382
Kentucky                 3  8 239 375  3.180   92  5.684   92  2.735   91  2.693   93 0.4317  102 0.4008   29      0  1.560  3.053  2.333
Washington               2  9 237 337  3.610   93  5.661   93  2.699   63  3.273  100 0.4127  103 0.4004   29      0  1.205  3.133  3.414
Alabama-Birmingham       5  6 307 264  2.707   94  5.647   94  2.676   77  2.974   95 0.4312   83 0.4562   29      0  1.506  3.253  2.694
Ohio U.                  4  7 192 336  2.661   95  5.639   95  2.664  107  2.159   91 0.4385   82 0.4577   29      0  1.196  2.006  2.311
Marshall                 4  7 204 285  2.795   96  5.602   96  2.617   99  2.476   97 0.4196   97 0.4336   29      0  1.090  2.191  2.760
Mississippi              3  8 148 245  3.071   97  5.596   97  2.611   92  2.632   98 0.4185  104 0.3943   29      0  0.838  2.063  3.201
Mississippi St           3  8 153 259  2.950   98  5.562   98  2.557   94  2.553  102 0.4086  101 0.4038   29      0  0.772  1.915  3.190
Louisiana-Lafayette      6  5 286 304  2.150   99  5.501   99  2.458   98  2.493   84 0.4504   69 0.4922   29      0  1.518  2.790  2.196
Eastern Michigan         4  7 240 295  2.567  100  5.467  100  2.410   97  2.508   99 0.4175   96 0.4347   29      0  1.257  2.436  2.580
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arkansas St              6  6 294 303  2.139  101  5.448  101  2.382  106  2.192   96 0.4228   91 0.4468   29      0  1.343  2.237  2.148
Louisiana-Monroe         5  6 239 339  2.089  102  5.389  102  2.283  111  2.021  101 0.4095   81 0.4610   29      0  1.533  2.340  1.702
Utah St                  3  8 208 360  2.484  103  5.285  103  2.189  110  2.108  108 0.3745  107 0.3843   29      0  1.291  2.082  2.135
UNLV                     2  9 207 381  2.762  104  5.277  104  2.184  108  2.155  111 0.3641  113 0.3542   29      0  1.298  2.137  2.172
San Jose St              3  8 248 357  2.500  105  5.263  105  2.162  102  2.271  112 0.3609  115 0.3285   29      0  1.381  2.368  2.175
Middle Tennessee St      4  7 210 206  2.336  106  5.256  107  2.149   95  2.537  103 0.4022   94 0.4354   29      0  0.970  2.112  2.962
Florida Int'l            5  6 257 323  1.950  107  5.233  106  2.152  109  2.113  104 0.4012   99 0.4123   29      0  1.487  2.364  1.863
Troy                     4  7 175 255  2.168  108  5.214  108  2.126  112  1.998  106 0.3881  106 0.3883   29      0  0.931  1.529  2.467
Syracuse                 1 10 152 295  3.195  109  5.189  109  2.093   93  2.569  109 0.3743  114 0.3502   29      0  0.913  2.080  3.057
Tulane                   2  9 234 348  2.671  110  5.168  110  2.057  103  2.266  115 0.3502  112 0.3577   29      0  1.423  2.422  2.109
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Duke                     1 10 177 408  2.941  111  5.154  111  2.035  104  2.224  105 0.3899  111 0.3580   29      0  1.331  2.252  2.197
Rice                     1 10 241 447  2.872  112  5.099  112  1.943  105  2.222  110 0.3644  108 0.3796   29      0  1.543  2.556  1.888
Idaho                    2  9 243 419  2.458  113  5.089  113  1.926  113  1.982  116 0.3293  117 0.3204   29      0  1.557  2.338  1.627
Temple                   0 11 107 498  3.097  114  5.044  114  1.858  117  1.645  107 0.3767  109 0.3779   29      0  1.034  1.294  1.997
Florida Atlantic         2  9 148 339  2.166  115  4.923  115  1.724  119  1.614  113 0.3567  110 0.3701   29      0  1.032  1.261  1.967
North Texas              2  9 157 346  2.144  116  4.900  116  1.701  115  1.727  114 0.3504  105 0.3907   29      0  1.117  1.476  1.978
Buffalo                  1 10 110 327  2.412  117  4.845  117  1.657  118  1.626  117 0.3121  116 0.3258   29      0  0.799  1.016  2.236
Kent St                  1 10 180 331  2.277  118  4.651  118  1.453  114  1.783  118 0.3023  119 0.3006   29      0  1.056  1.458  2.108
New Mexico St            0 12 198 465  2.535  119  4.595  119  1.362  116  1.677  119 0.2997  118 0.3086   29      0  1.311  1.678  1.676


Atlantic Coast Conference: strength=3.790 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Virginia Tech           11  2 440 168  3.958    6  7.075    6  4.592    4  4.726    5 0.6556    5 0.6546    5   1046  1.156  4.524  4.928
Miami FL                 9  3 325 171  3.833   15  6.856   15  4.272   17  4.154   12 0.6197   18 0.6011   10    781  1.065  3.840  4.468
Boston College           9  3 310 191  3.739   18  6.799   18  4.188   19  4.130   13 0.6192   15 0.6268   18    383  0.989  3.726  4.533
Florida St               8  5 376 286  3.815   24  6.680   24  4.023   29  3.852   25 0.5794   23 0.5751   24    102  1.469  4.076  3.628
Clemson                  8  4 316 211  3.722   27  6.657   27  3.988   24  4.024   20 0.5909   24 0.5744   21    245  1.198  3.874  4.173
Georgia Tech             7  5 222 241  3.718   29  6.593   29  3.899   51  3.503   28 0.5723   33 0.5573   29      0  1.005  3.118  3.888
North Carolina St        7  5 249 212  3.604   35  6.446   35  3.717   33  3.754   33 0.5544   40 0.5446   29      0  0.996  3.358  4.149
Virginia                 7  5 320 279  3.559   36  6.444   36  3.714   38  3.655   32 0.5546   45 0.5353   29      0  1.377  3.747  3.563
North Carolina           5  6 198 288  3.745   37  6.384   37  3.644   65  3.259   38 0.5480   46 0.5330   29      0  1.174  3.079  3.440
Maryland                 5  6 270 275  3.688   46  6.278   46  3.497   50  3.509   39 0.5384   51 0.5251   29      0  1.422  3.666  3.353
Wake Forest              4  7 269 316  3.524   64  6.042   64  3.180   61  3.302   60 0.4975   80 0.4621   29      0  1.547  3.643  2.961
Duke                     1 10 177 408  2.941  111  5.154  111  2.035  104  2.224  105 0.3899  111 0.3580   29      0  1.331  2.252  2.197

Big 10 Conference: strength=4.098 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Penn State              11  1 413 204  4.075    3  7.233    3  4.946    5  4.671    2 0.6824    3 0.6886    3   1145  1.288  4.640  4.702
Ohio State              10  2 392 183  4.392    4  7.210    4  4.897    3  4.965    4 0.6674    4 0.6637    4   1105  1.048  4.630  5.300
Wisconsin               10  3 446 309  3.801   13  6.926   13  4.370   21  4.095   10 0.6205   17 0.6080   12    688  1.515  4.388  3.803
Michigan                 7  5 345 244  4.114   20  6.735   20  4.101   10  4.276   21 0.5861   31 0.5649   22    215  1.224  4.160  4.392
Northwestern             7  5 388 407  3.906   22  6.696   22  4.045   35  3.700   22 0.5861   22 0.5755   28      3  1.796  4.442  2.958
Minnesota                7  5 429 348  4.026   23  6.690   23  4.037   23  4.052   26 0.5788   28 0.5718   23    129  1.798  4.798  3.307
Iowa                     7  5 360 240  3.956   28  6.624   28  3.941   16  4.177   27 0.5770   32 0.5607   26     26  1.231  4.070  4.283
Michigan St              5  6 372 316  3.887   41  6.330   41  3.572   31  3.817   46 0.5196   72 0.4840   29      0  1.636  4.297  3.338
Purdue                   5  6 330 309  3.827   43  6.321   42  3.558   28  3.862   43 0.5271   66 0.4951   29      0  1.511  4.149  3.576
Indiana                  4  7 248 361  3.460   66  6.036   66  3.172   76  2.987   70 0.4857   95 0.4353   29      0  1.446  3.177  2.797
Illinois                 2  9 187 435  3.436   91  5.704   91  2.767  100  2.470   88 0.4437  100 0.4094   29      0  1.374  2.557  2.382

Big 12 Conference: strength=3.799 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                   13  0 652 213  4.421    1  7.544    1  5.445    1  5.511    1 0.7163    1 0.7383    1   1250  1.614  5.955  5.066
Oklahoma                 8  4 323 277  3.928   17  6.807   17  4.201   22  4.091    8 0.6248    7 0.6472   20    257  1.270  4.037  4.146
Texas Tech               9  3 473 226  3.734   21  6.727   21  4.088   13  4.227   23 0.5829   12 0.6365   19    364  1.451  4.425  4.029
Nebraska                 8  4 296 252  3.677   26  6.663   26  3.996   27  3.870   24 0.5826   27 0.5723   27     10  1.268  3.812  3.928
Colorado                 7  6 305 307  3.779   32  6.509   32  3.784   41  3.586   31 0.5659   34 0.5570   29      0  1.123  3.342  3.830
Kansas                   7  5 269 264  3.580   33  6.471   33  3.753   36  3.670   30 0.5691   25 0.5731   29      0  1.089  3.384  3.956
Iowa St                  7  5 339 230  3.560   38  6.376   38  3.632   26  3.972   37 0.5492   52 0.5232   29      0  1.273  3.921  4.022
Missouri                 7  5 369 350  3.398   40  6.344   40  3.591   53  3.433   35 0.5532   36 0.5517   29      0  1.730  4.064  2.801
Texas A&M                5  6 352 343  3.720   47  6.269   47  3.482   40  3.624   42 0.5325   55 0.5167   29      0  1.785  4.347  2.901
Baylor                   5  6 236 291  3.407   52  6.201   52  3.383   73  3.055   51 0.5107   58 0.5143   29      0  1.156  2.853  3.257
Kansas St                5  6 289 305  3.385   62  6.103   62  3.251   58  3.327   55 0.5037   67 0.4932   29      0  1.481  3.569  3.086
Oklahoma St              4  7 222 344  3.208   75  5.891   75  3.036   82  2.933   73 0.4812   89 0.4519   29      0  1.358  2.998  2.868

Big East Conference: strength=3.444 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia           11  1 385 214  3.708    5  7.101    5  4.720    7  4.382    6 0.6396    6 0.6530    6    990  1.354  4.441  4.323
Louisville               9  3 521 285  3.571   25  6.667   25  4.001   11  4.270   29 0.5701   26 0.5723   25     66  1.898  5.190  3.351
South Florida            6  6 276 216  3.570   49  6.266   49  3.478   49  3.510   49 0.5121   48 0.5304   29      0  1.036  3.161  3.859
Rutgers                  7  5 344 307  3.135   56  6.150   56  3.323   57  3.343   69 0.4885   74 0.4793   29      0  1.495  3.606  3.080
Pittsburgh               5  6 267 243  3.423   68  6.023   68  3.152   45  3.552   72 0.4830   85 0.4550   29      0  1.245  3.464  3.640
Connecticut              5  6 272 211  3.135   78  5.860   78  2.987   68  3.181   90 0.4393   92 0.4363   29      0  1.095  2.903  3.459
Cincinnati               4  7 192 345  3.090   81  5.839   81  2.957   96  2.532   82 0.4587   88 0.4520   29      0  1.313  2.534  2.529
Syracuse                 1 10 152 295  3.195  109  5.189  109  2.093   93  2.569  109 0.3743  114 0.3502   29      0  0.913  2.080  3.057

Conference USA: strength=2.792 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulsa                    9  4 430 305  3.164   39  6.350   39  3.598   37  3.663   40 0.5368   29 0.5718   29      0  1.486  3.913  3.414
Central Florida          8  5 373 373  2.897   60  6.110   60  3.260   81  2.947   53 0.5062   37 0.5513   29      0  1.581  3.340  2.553
Southern Miss            7  5 355 272  2.986   65  6.040   65  3.176   64  3.265   62 0.4965   44 0.5371   29      0  1.457  3.472  3.058
UTEP                     8  4 382 311  2.643   67  6.029   67  3.159   88  2.850   80 0.4653   61 0.5093   29      0  1.544  3.187  2.514
Memphis                  7  5 326 276  2.872   69  5.999   70  3.118   69  3.146   68 0.4887   60 0.5106   29      0  1.367  3.224  3.068
Houston                  6  6 337 324  2.874   82  5.831   82  2.944   84  2.920   83 0.4577   78 0.4729   29      0  1.542  3.253  2.586
East Carolina            5  6 267 317  2.873   83  5.788   83  2.886   90  2.755   81 0.4614   77 0.4744   29      0  1.449  2.949  2.561
SMU                      5  6 229 280  2.850   85  5.773   85  2.865   87  2.861   85 0.4488   86 0.4541   29      0  1.189  2.700  3.022
Alabama-Birmingham       5  6 307 264  2.707   94  5.647   94  2.676   77  2.974   95 0.4312   83 0.4562   29      0  1.506  3.253  2.694
Marshall                 4  7 204 285  2.795   96  5.602   96  2.617   99  2.476   97 0.4196   97 0.4336   29      0  1.090  2.191  2.760
Tulane                   2  9 234 348  2.671  110  5.168  110  2.057  103  2.266  115 0.3502  112 0.3577   29      0  1.423  2.422  2.109
Rice                     1 10 241 447  2.872  112  5.099  112  1.943  105  2.222  110 0.3644  108 0.3796   29      0  1.543  2.556  1.888

Mid-American Conference: strength=2.593 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Toledo                   9  3 429 261  2.756   51  6.231   51  3.425   56  3.377   44 0.5261   21 0.5770   29      0  1.501  3.648  3.106
Northern Illinois        7  5 389 274  2.991   70  5.984   71  3.099   52  3.452   65 0.4917   47 0.5308   29      0  1.441  3.635  3.269
Central Michigan         6  5 260 260  2.956   71  5.958   69  3.118   74  3.047   52 0.5093   41 0.5428   29      0  1.204  2.905  3.189
Western Michigan         7  4 354 342  2.578   72  5.932   72  3.094   89  2.757   64 0.4923   53 0.5207   29      0  1.813  3.529  1.985
Miami OH                 7  4 371 258  2.759   73  5.931   73  3.093   66  3.244   63 0.4943   62 0.5075   29      0  1.655  3.754  2.734
Akron                    7  6 307 318  2.767   80  5.846   80  2.966   86  2.899   78 0.4663   65 0.4982   29      0  1.329  2.923  2.874
Bowling Green            6  5 372 304  2.709   86  5.772   86  2.863   72  3.067   75 0.4734   63 0.5035   29      0  1.675  3.608  2.526
Ball St                  4  7 233 416  2.945   88  5.757   88  2.843  101  2.465   76 0.4702   57 0.5148   29      0  1.571  2.842  2.087
Ohio U.                  4  7 192 336  2.661   95  5.639   95  2.664  107  2.159   91 0.4385   82 0.4577   29      0  1.196  2.006  2.311
Eastern Michigan         4  7 240 295  2.567  100  5.467  100  2.410   97  2.508   99 0.4175   96 0.4347   29      0  1.257  2.436  2.580
Buffalo                  1 10 110 327  2.412  117  4.845  117  1.657  118  1.626  117 0.3121  116 0.3258   29      0  0.799  1.016  2.236
Kent St                  1 10 180 331  2.277  118  4.651  118  1.453  114  1.783  118 0.3023  119 0.3006   29      0  1.056  1.458  2.108

Mountain West Conference: strength=3.189 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
TCU                     11  1 398 223  3.429   12  6.949   12  4.400   20  4.126   11 0.6203    8 0.6471   13    655  1.330  4.153  4.100
Utah                     7  5 360 289  3.166   54  6.172   55  3.341   44  3.555   56 0.5004   70 0.4905   29      0  1.510  3.840  3.271
Brigham Young            6  6 396 351  3.412   55  6.168   54  3.349   47  3.525   58 0.4980   56 0.5161   29      0  1.704  4.114  2.936
Colorado St              6  6 321 369  3.246   58  6.127   58  3.292   79  2.949   57 0.4981   54 0.5179   29      0  1.488  3.200  2.697
New Mexico               6  5 326 327  3.082   61  6.108   61  3.258   71  3.083   71 0.4841   64 0.5002   29      0  1.587  3.484  2.681
San Diego St             5  7 323 325  3.248   76  5.876   76  3.013   60  3.302   79 0.4656   75 0.4770   29      0  1.391  3.413  3.191
Air Force                4  7 330 349  3.182   84  5.778   84  2.873   70  3.127   94 0.4316   93 0.4361   29      0  1.678  3.675  2.580
Wyoming                  4  7 271 297  3.118   90  5.734   90  2.812   80  2.948   92 0.4384   87 0.4525   29      0  1.348  3.000  2.897
UNLV                     2  9 207 381  2.762  104  5.277  104  2.184  108  2.155  111 0.3641  113 0.3542   29      0  1.298  2.137  2.172

Pacific 10 Conference: strength=3.853 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Cal            12  1 638 297  4.360    2  7.358    2  5.149    2  5.185    3 0.6735    2 0.6958    2   1200  1.767  5.878  4.493
Oregon                  10  2 414 278  3.873    8  7.062    8  4.573   12  4.262    9 0.6222   13 0.6297    9    827  1.526  4.571  3.952
UCLA                    10  2 469 410  3.669   10  6.993   10  4.468   34  3.731   14 0.6177   14 0.6295   14    598  1.929  4.706  2.757
Arizona St               7  5 442 359  3.767   30  6.542   30  3.831   30  3.822   36 0.5511   43 0.5386   29      0  1.757  4.499  3.146
California               8  4 395 254  3.590   31  6.531   31  3.815   25  3.983   41 0.5341   49 0.5291   29      0  1.324  4.001  3.966
Stanford                 5  6 269 337  3.757   44  6.320   43  3.558   54  3.428   45 0.5213   30 0.5700   29      0  1.394  3.544  3.313
Oregon St                5  6 293 365  3.601   48  6.268   48  3.480   62  3.277   59 0.4978   68 0.4924   29      0  1.515  3.570  2.984
Washington St            4  7 368 346  3.567   74  5.914   74  3.070   42  3.585   77 0.4693   76 0.4744   29      0  1.624  4.045  3.125
Arizona                  3  8 252 290  3.624   79  5.853   79  2.978   55  3.408   87 0.4450   98 0.4313   29      0  1.195  3.256  3.561
Washington               2  9 237 337  3.610   93  5.661   93  2.699   63  3.273  100 0.4127  103 0.4004   29      0  1.205  3.133  3.414

Southeastern Conference: strength=3.667 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
LSU                     11  2 383 185  3.888    7  7.064    7  4.576    6  4.516    7 0.6385    9 0.6462    7    958  1.146  4.301  4.732
Alabama                 10  2 263 128  3.720   11  6.977   11  4.444   15  4.186   16 0.6135   10 0.6434   11    762  0.699  3.476  4.896
Georgia                 10  3 384 213  3.773   14  6.876   14  4.301    9  4.310   15 0.6139   16 0.6223   15    582  1.219  4.187  4.432
Florida                  9  3 343 226  3.774   16  6.844   16  4.254   18  4.153   17 0.6108   11 0.6399   17    467  1.339  4.192  4.113
Auburn                   9  3 386 186  3.701   19  6.744   19  4.112   14  4.221   19 0.5927   19 0.5916   16    509  1.290  4.193  4.249
South Carolina           7  5 284 279  3.560   34  6.465   34  3.745   48  3.515   34 0.5540   35 0.5536   29      0  1.285  3.480  3.550
Tennessee                5  6 205 205  3.625   50  6.243   50  3.444   43  3.558   48 0.5166   59 0.5125   29      0  0.901  3.057  4.060
Vanderbilt               5  6 299 321  3.336   63  6.068   63  3.198   67  3.223   67 0.4888   79 0.4675   29      0  1.704  3.812  2.634
Arkansas                 4  7 283 271  3.559   77  5.861   77  2.989   39  3.635   74 0.4773   71 0.4893   29      0  1.379  3.729  3.541
Kentucky                 3  8 239 375  3.180   92  5.684   92  2.735   91  2.693   93 0.4317  102 0.4008   29      0  1.560  3.053  2.333
Mississippi              3  8 148 245  3.071   97  5.596   97  2.611   92  2.632   98 0.4185  104 0.3943   29      0  0.838  2.063  3.201
Mississippi St           3  8 153 259  2.950   98  5.562   98  2.557   94  2.553  102 0.4086  101 0.4038   29      0  0.772  1.915  3.190

Sun Belt Conference: strength=1.845 (#12)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisiana-Lafayette      6  5 286 304  2.150   99  5.501   99  2.458   98  2.493   84 0.4504   69 0.4922   29      0  1.518  2.790  2.196
Arkansas St              6  6 294 303  2.139  101  5.448  101  2.382  106  2.192   96 0.4228   91 0.4468   29      0  1.343  2.237  2.148
Louisiana-Monroe         5  6 239 339  2.089  102  5.389  102  2.283  111  2.021  101 0.4095   81 0.4610   29      0  1.533  2.340  1.702
Middle Tennessee St      4  7 210 206  2.336  106  5.256  107  2.149   95  2.537  103 0.4022   94 0.4354   29      0  0.970  2.112  2.962
Florida Int'l            5  6 257 323  1.950  107  5.233  106  2.152  109  2.113  104 0.4012   99 0.4123   29      0  1.487  2.364  1.863
Troy                     4  7 175 255  2.168  108  5.214  108  2.126  112  1.998  106 0.3881  106 0.3883   29      0  0.931  1.529  2.467
Florida Atlantic         2  9 148 339  2.166  115  4.923  115  1.724  119  1.614  113 0.3567  110 0.3701   29      0  1.032  1.261  1.967
North Texas              2  9 157 346  2.144  116  4.900  116  1.701  115  1.727  114 0.3504  105 0.3907   29      0  1.117  1.476  1.978

Western Athletic Conference: strength=2.535 (#11)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boise St                 9  4 469 317  3.085   42  6.322   44  3.557   46  3.547   47 0.5178   38 0.5511   29      0  1.570  3.923  3.171
Nevada                   9  3 410 383  2.673   45  6.282   45  3.499   83  2.922   50 0.5111   42 0.5392   29      0  1.756  3.598  2.247
Fresno St                8  5 491 292  3.294   57  6.145   57  3.315   32  3.808   54 0.5041   39 0.5477   29      0  1.493  4.067  3.549
Louisiana Tech           7  4 316 281  2.752   59  6.122   59  3.283   75  3.010   66 0.4902   50 0.5270   29      0  1.433  3.182  2.839
Hawai`i                  5  7 368 428  2.956   89  5.756   89  2.842   85  2.902   89 0.4405   90 0.4503   29      0  1.711  3.502  2.301
Utah St                  3  8 208 360  2.484  103  5.285  103  2.189  110  2.108  108 0.3745  107 0.3843   29      0  1.291  2.082  2.135
San Jose St              3  8 248 357  2.500  105  5.263  105  2.162  102  2.271  112 0.3609  115 0.3285   29      0  1.381  2.368  2.175
Idaho                    2  9 243 419  2.458  113  5.089  113  1.926  113  1.982  116 0.3293  117 0.3204   29      0  1.557  2.338  1.627
New Mexico St            0 12 198 465  2.535  119  4.595  119  1.362  116  1.677  119 0.2997  118 0.3086   29      0  1.311  1.678  1.676

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.020 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame               9  3 440 294  4.090    9  6.997    9  4.475    8  4.381   18 0.6065   20 0.5892    8    887  1.698  4.960  3.801
Navy                     8  4 410 313  2.891   53  6.181   53  3.353   59  3.319   61 0.4966   73 0.4827   29      0  1.643  3.810  2.828
Army                     4  7 220 294  3.115   87  5.765   87  2.854   78  2.967   86 0.4473   84 0.4553   29      0  1.317  2.975  2.958
Temple                   0 11 107 498  3.097  114  5.044  114  1.858  117  1.645  107 0.3767  109 0.3779   29      0  1.034  1.294  1.997

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 10 Conference                                       75 54 0.581    1  4.098
Pacific 10 Conference                                   66 50 0.569    2  3.853
Big 12 Conference                                       85 57 0.599    3  3.799
Atlantic Coast Conference                               81 61 0.570    4  3.790
Southeastern Conference                                 79 61 0.564    5  3.667
Big East Conference                                     48 44 0.522    6  3.444
Mountain West Conference                                51 53 0.490    7  3.189
Division I-A Independents                               21 25 0.457    8  3.020
Conference USA                                          67 73 0.479    9  2.792
Mid-American Conference                                 63 73 0.463   10  2.593
Western Athletic Conference                             46 60 0.434   11  2.535
Sun Belt Conference                                     34 55 0.382   12  1.845

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.023 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:22:20 2007

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