Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT              14  0 541 132  0.139    1  4.743    1  1.490    1  1.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.098  1.309  1.857
St Francis IN           13  1 533 168  0.033    2  4.396    2  1.085    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.147  0.652  1.079
Morningside             12  1 550 192 -0.493    3  3.998    3  0.497    3  0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.371  0.553  0.385
Sioux Falls             11  2 450 234 -0.555    4  3.885    4  0.312    5  0.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.316  0.016  0.003
Montana Tech             9  4 253 262 -0.238    5  3.825    5  0.263    8 -0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.025 -0.614  0.110
Azusa Pacific            6  4 221 214 -0.014    6  3.658    6  0.056    7 -0.163    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.190 -0.323 -0.004
Eastern Oregon           6  3 187 208 -0.471    7  3.527    7 -0.118   18 -0.711    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.147 -0.925 -0.496
St Xavier                9  3 393 245 -0.646    8  3.505    8 -0.155    9 -0.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512  0.034 -0.543
Evangel                  9  3 409 346 -1.047    9  3.347    9 -0.344   21 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.862  0.080 -1.634
Mary                     7  2 228 107 -0.947   10  3.324   10 -0.384   14 -0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.991 -0.958 -0.156
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
McKendree                8  3 336 116 -0.584   11  3.290   11 -0.405    4  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.744 -0.591  0.740
Tabor                   11  1 457 216 -1.824   12  3.287   12 -0.414   30 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.426 -0.904 -1.228
Georgetown KY            9  3 465 263 -0.875   13  3.258   13 -0.463   10 -0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.542  0.035 -0.631
Dickinson St             7  4 271 144 -0.526   14  3.235   15 -0.499    6 -0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.833 -0.622  0.527
Valley City St           7  3 251 142 -0.834   15  3.209   14 -0.480   12 -0.515    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.076 -0.815 -0.214
Montana St-Northern      5  5 256 244 -0.229   16  3.198   16 -0.501   11 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.524  0.008 -0.605
St Ambrose               8  3 344 230 -1.048   17  3.172   17 -0.548   16 -0.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.482 -0.431 -0.917
Black Hills St           7  3 281 183 -0.960   18  3.164   18 -0.559   19 -0.741    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.488 -0.489 -0.993
Webber Int'l             6  2 244 153 -1.162   19  3.120   19 -0.640   22 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -0.829 -0.725
Northwestern IA          8  3 357 239 -1.038   20  3.119   20 -0.640   13 -0.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.496 -0.261 -0.787
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Walsh                    8  3 306 187 -1.146   21  3.101   21 -0.671   15 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.142 -0.876 -0.435
Graceland                9  3 382 253 -1.271   22  3.082   22 -0.704   23 -0.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.465 -0.583 -1.019
Geneva                   8  4 331 262 -1.079   23  3.032   23 -0.785   24 -0.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.276 -0.910 -0.816
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 253 189 -1.323   24  2.994   24 -0.853   31 -1.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.153 -1.325 -0.913
Cumberlands KY           8  3 345 301 -1.571   25  2.957   25 -0.918   43 -1.418    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.530 -1.102 -1.733
Langston                 7  3 347 169 -1.221   26  2.937   26 -0.951   17 -0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.457 -0.498 -0.910
William Penn             6  5 273 267 -1.061   27  2.913   27 -0.990   28 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.383 -0.962 -1.162
Midland Lutheran         6  4 238 298 -1.348   28  2.896   28 -1.018   49 -1.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.521 -1.343 -1.944
Lindenwood               7  4 287 200 -1.298   29  2.885   29 -1.034   25 -0.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.139 -1.178 -0.730
Bethel TN                7  4 398 242 -1.290   30  2.829   30 -1.133   20 -0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.424 -0.601 -0.919
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Pikeville                7  3 297 261 -1.759   31  2.826   31 -1.140   44 -1.456    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.404 -1.326 -1.587
Benedictine KS           6  4 266 223 -1.364   32  2.809   32 -1.164   36 -1.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.361 -1.198 -1.335
William Jewell           6  4 254 223 -1.380   33  2.798   33 -1.184   35 -1.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.310 -1.262 -1.261
Montana-Western          2  9 185 388 -0.188   34  2.759   34 -1.247   26 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.296 -1.019 -0.978
Southern Nazarene        6  4 249 203 -1.554   35  2.758   35 -1.254   46 -1.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.217 -1.613 -1.364
Texas College            6  4 238 228 -1.530   36  2.739   36 -1.288   39 -1.349    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.369 -1.268 -1.430
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 207 256 -1.351   37  2.707   37 -1.341   50 -1.647    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.216 -1.773 -1.522
Quincy                   5  6 268 357 -1.261   38  2.695   38 -1.361   40 -1.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.548 -1.035 -1.721
Olivet Nazarene          6  6 273 223 -1.227   39  2.692   39 -1.365   29 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.141 -1.283 -0.841
Minot St                 4  6 174 208 -0.961   40  2.671   40 -1.396   34 -1.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.055 -1.562 -0.910
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Urbana                   6  5 283 301 -1.700   41  2.600   41 -1.518   52 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.527 -1.381 -2.001
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 226 182 -2.579   42  2.583   42 -1.550   69 -2.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.035 -2.658 -1.957
Dana                     5  6 272 329 -1.471   43  2.558   43 -1.586   47 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.585 -1.159 -1.958
Bacone                   4  6 180 262 -1.397   44  2.554   44 -1.592   51 -1.687    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.093 -1.968 -1.406
Dakota St                4  6 179 202 -1.322   45  2.536   45 -1.620   45 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.084 -1.774 -1.190
Concordia AL             4  4 161 245 -1.676   46  2.524   46 -1.643   54 -1.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -1.802 -1.697
NW Oklahoma St           4  5 255 180 -1.296   47  2.517   47 -1.653   27 -1.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.320 -0.993 -1.018
Concordia NE             4  6 216 229 -1.306   48  2.500   49 -1.679   41 -1.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.192 -1.539 -1.226
Hastings                 4  6 241 274 -1.342   49  2.467   48 -1.678   42 -1.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.459 -1.189 -1.607
Missouri Valley          5  6 311 249 -1.456   50  2.462   50 -1.686   37 -1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.438 -1.089 -1.446
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Union KY                 4  6 277 413 -1.481   51  2.398   51 -1.721   53 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.703 -1.146 -2.320
Jamestown                3  7 188 162 -1.059   52  2.333   52 -1.840   32 -1.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.949 -1.609 -0.712
Briar Cliff              4  7 158 305 -1.648   53  2.327   53 -1.850   67 -2.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.027 -2.564 -1.844
Rocky Mountain           1 10 181 363 -0.408   54  2.319   54 -1.859   38 -1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.367 -1.193 -1.348
Friends                  7  3 314 188 -2.366   55  2.298   55 -1.908   48 -1.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.420 -1.440 -1.745
Northwestern MN          8  3 387 152 -2.712   56  2.294   56 -1.914   62 -2.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.974 -2.496 -1.655
Trinity Int'l            3  7 173 278 -1.421   57  2.279   57 -1.933   57 -1.880    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.214 -2.009 -1.751
Lambuth                  5  6 219 339 -2.050   58  2.253   58 -1.980   71 -2.354    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.207 -2.492 -2.216
Culver-Stockton          3  7 182 246 -1.510   59  2.239   59 -2.000   56 -1.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.106 -2.134 -1.605
Malone                   3  7 197 317 -1.617   60  2.236   60 -2.005   65 -2.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.379 -2.062 -2.250
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Oregon          1  9 166 303 -0.475   61  2.232   61 -2.008   33 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.145 -1.427 -0.995
Belhaven                 5  6 350 384 -1.964   62  2.217   62 -2.047   59 -1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.700 -1.416 -2.580
Central Methodist        3  8 202 354 -1.551   63  2.195   63 -2.083   66 -2.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.293 -2.227 -2.178
Baker                    3  8 275 347 -1.513   64  2.173   64 -2.119   55 -1.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.662 -1.325 -2.366
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 164 333 -1.587   65  2.151   65 -2.165   63 -2.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.062 -2.402 -1.765
Paul Quinn               3  6 149 257 -1.873   66  2.148   66 -2.170   70 -2.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.982 -2.724 -1.900
Doane                    2  8 155 262 -1.455   67  2.140   67 -2.182   58 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.991 -2.326 -1.524
Ohio Dominican           3  7 222 346 -1.735   68  2.117   68 -2.223   61 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512 -1.780 -2.355
St Francis IL            2  9 136 349 -1.533   69  2.115   69 -2.224   75 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.095 -2.789 -2.231
Edward Waters            2  7 130 334 -1.658   70  2.114   70 -2.226   72 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.242 -2.533 -2.350
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sterling                 5  4 248 192 -2.392   71  2.099   71 -2.257   64 -2.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.368 -2.042 -2.201
Allen                    4  4 172 234 -2.517   72  2.010   72 -2.285   80 -2.641    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.382 -2.542 -2.739
Mayville St              2  8 107 359 -1.907   73  1.958   73 -2.358   84 -2.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.158 -2.960 -2.560
Waldorf                  2  9 105 327 -1.696   74  1.909   74 -2.446   79 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.853 -3.189 -2.081
Ottawa                   5  5 191 253 -2.692   75  1.890   75 -2.482   86 -2.940    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.237 -3.038 -2.842
St Mary KS               5  5  97 127 -2.630   76  1.883   77 -2.496   74 -2.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0 -0.054 -3.783 -1.223
McPherson                5  5 218 311 -2.790   77  1.847   76 -2.489   89 -3.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.480 -2.871 -3.351
Virginia-Wise            4  7 256 330 -2.279   78  1.840   78 -2.499   77 -2.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.371 -2.479 -2.644
Kentucky Wesleyan        3  7 216 319 -2.185   79  1.783   79 -2.597   78 -2.604    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.407 -2.470 -2.739
Campbellsville           2  8 268 421 -1.933   80  1.741   80 -2.669   76 -2.549    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.797 -1.806 -3.293
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dakota Wesleyan          1  9 178 327 -1.493   81  1.732   81 -2.683   60 -2.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.330 -2.036 -2.089
Haskell                  4  7 164 273 -2.758   82  1.691   82 -2.759   88 -3.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.842 -3.617 -2.486
Shorter                  2  8 241 309 -1.957   83  1.658   83 -2.819   68 -2.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.394 -2.166 -2.399
Southwestern KS          3  7 265 332 -2.568   84  1.595   84 -2.925   82 -2.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.791 -1.980 -3.449
Seton Hill               1  9 147 347 -1.850   85  1.587   85 -2.934   83 -2.752    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.275 -2.800 -2.705
South Dakota Tech        1  9  82 339 -1.974   86  1.567   86 -2.973   87 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.939 -3.424 -2.505
Bethel KS                3  7 275 295 -2.673   87  1.459   87 -3.141   73 -2.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.623 -2.035 -2.954
Cumberland TN            2  8 261 356 -2.437   88  1.443   88 -3.166   85 -2.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.684 -2.294 -3.406
Southern Virginia        2  5 108 175 -2.932   89  1.359   89 -3.193   93 -3.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.973 -3.612 -2.768
Avila                    0 10  72 328 -1.770   90  1.279   90 -3.329   90 -3.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.627 -3.939 -2.383
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bethany KS               2  8 171 292 -2.785   91  1.247   91 -3.392   92 -3.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.299 -3.200 -3.169
Taylor                   0 10 159 407 -1.731   92  1.243   92 -3.394   81 -2.703    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.394 -2.587 -2.819
Peru St                  1 10 106 337 -2.367   93  1.222   93 -3.452   91 -3.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.780 -3.807 -2.548
SW Assem of God          2  8 244 329 -3.318   94  0.991   94 -3.917   94 -3.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.515 -3.308 -3.893
Crown                    3  6 141 248 -4.894   95  0.651   95 -4.571   95 -4.828    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.062 -5.145 -4.510
Trinity Bible            1  9  46 477 -5.888   96  0.082   96 -5.861   96 -6.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.748 -7.416 -6.093


Central States Football League: strength=-1.701 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Langston                 7  3 347 169 -1.221   26  2.937   26 -0.951   17 -0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.457 -0.498 -0.910
Southern Nazarene        6  4 249 203 -1.554   35  2.758   35 -1.254   46 -1.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.217 -1.613 -1.364
Texas College            6  4 238 228 -1.530   36  2.739   36 -1.288   39 -1.349    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.369 -1.268 -1.430
Bacone                   4  6 180 262 -1.397   44  2.554   44 -1.592   51 -1.687    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.093 -1.968 -1.406
NW Oklahoma St           4  5 255 180 -1.296   47  2.517   47 -1.653   27 -1.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.320 -0.993 -1.018
Haskell                  4  7 164 273 -2.758   82  1.691   82 -2.759   88 -3.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.842 -3.617 -2.486
Peru St                  1 10 106 337 -2.367   93  1.222   93 -3.452   91 -3.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.780 -3.807 -2.548

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.100 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mary                     7  2 228 107 -0.947   10  3.324   10 -0.384   14 -0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.991 -0.958 -0.156
Dickinson St             7  4 271 144 -0.526   14  3.235   15 -0.499    6 -0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.833 -0.622  0.527
Valley City St           7  3 251 142 -0.834   15  3.209   14 -0.480   12 -0.515    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.076 -0.815 -0.214
Black Hills St           7  3 281 183 -0.960   18  3.164   18 -0.559   19 -0.741    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.488 -0.489 -0.993
Minot St                 4  6 174 208 -0.961   40  2.671   40 -1.396   34 -1.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.055 -1.562 -0.910
Dakota St                4  6 179 202 -1.322   45  2.536   45 -1.620   45 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.084 -1.774 -1.190
Jamestown                3  7 188 162 -1.059   52  2.333   52 -1.840   32 -1.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.949 -1.609 -0.712
Mayville St              2  8 107 359 -1.907   73  1.958   73 -2.358   84 -2.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.158 -2.960 -2.560
South Dakota Tech        1  9  82 339 -1.974   86  1.567   86 -2.973   87 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.939 -3.424 -2.505

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.311 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT              14  0 541 132  0.139    1  4.743    1  1.490    1  1.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.098  1.309  1.857
Montana Tech             9  4 253 262 -0.238    5  3.825    5  0.263    8 -0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.025 -0.614  0.110
Eastern Oregon           6  3 187 208 -0.471    7  3.527    7 -0.118   18 -0.711    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.147 -0.925 -0.496
Montana St-Northern      5  5 256 244 -0.229   16  3.198   16 -0.501   11 -0.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.524  0.008 -0.605
Montana-Western          2  9 185 388 -0.188   34  2.759   34 -1.247   26 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.296 -1.019 -0.978
Rocky Mountain           1 10 181 363 -0.408   54  2.319   54 -1.859   38 -1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.367 -1.193 -1.348

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.315 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Morningside             12  1 550 192 -0.493    3  3.998    3  0.497    3  0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.371  0.553  0.385
Sioux Falls             11  2 450 234 -0.555    4  3.885    4  0.312    5  0.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.316  0.016  0.003
Northwestern IA          8  3 357 239 -1.038   20  3.119   20 -0.640   13 -0.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.496 -0.261 -0.787
Midland Lutheran         6  4 238 298 -1.348   28  2.896   28 -1.018   49 -1.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.521 -1.343 -1.944
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 207 256 -1.351   37  2.707   37 -1.341   50 -1.647    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.216 -1.773 -1.522
Dana                     5  6 272 329 -1.471   43  2.558   43 -1.586   47 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.585 -1.159 -1.958
Concordia NE             4  6 216 229 -1.306   48  2.500   49 -1.679   41 -1.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.192 -1.539 -1.226
Hastings                 4  6 241 274 -1.342   49  2.467   48 -1.678   42 -1.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.459 -1.189 -1.607
Briar Cliff              4  7 158 305 -1.648   53  2.327   53 -1.850   67 -2.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.027 -2.564 -1.844
Doane                    2  8 155 262 -1.455   67  2.140   67 -2.182   58 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.991 -2.326 -1.524
Dakota Wesleyan          1  9 178 327 -1.493   81  1.732   81 -2.683   60 -2.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.330 -2.036 -2.089

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.418 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Evangel                  9  3 409 346 -1.047    9  3.347    9 -0.344   21 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.862  0.080 -1.634
Graceland                9  3 382 253 -1.271   22  3.082   22 -0.704   23 -0.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.465 -0.583 -1.019
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 253 189 -1.323   24  2.994   24 -0.853   31 -1.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.153 -1.325 -0.913
Lindenwood               7  4 287 200 -1.298   29  2.885   29 -1.034   25 -0.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.139 -1.178 -0.730
Benedictine KS           6  4 266 223 -1.364   32  2.809   32 -1.164   36 -1.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.361 -1.198 -1.335
William Jewell           6  4 254 223 -1.380   33  2.798   33 -1.184   35 -1.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.310 -1.262 -1.261
Missouri Valley          5  6 311 249 -1.456   50  2.462   50 -1.686   37 -1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.438 -1.089 -1.446
Culver-Stockton          3  7 182 246 -1.510   59  2.239   59 -2.000   56 -1.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.106 -2.134 -1.605
Central Methodist        3  8 202 354 -1.551   63  2.195   63 -2.083   66 -2.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.293 -2.227 -2.178
Baker                    3  8 275 347 -1.513   64  2.173   64 -2.119   55 -1.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.662 -1.325 -2.366
Avila                    0 10  72 328 -1.770   90  1.279   90 -3.329   90 -3.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.627 -3.939 -2.383

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.539 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tabor                   11  1 457 216 -1.824   12  3.287   12 -0.414   30 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.426 -0.904 -1.228
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 226 182 -2.579   42  2.583   42 -1.550   69 -2.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.035 -2.658 -1.957
Friends                  7  3 314 188 -2.366   55  2.298   55 -1.908   48 -1.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.420 -1.440 -1.745
Sterling                 5  4 248 192 -2.392   71  2.099   71 -2.257   64 -2.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.368 -2.042 -2.201
Ottawa                   5  5 191 253 -2.692   75  1.890   75 -2.482   86 -2.940    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.237 -3.038 -2.842
St Mary KS               5  5  97 127 -2.630   76  1.883   77 -2.496   74 -2.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0 -0.054 -3.783 -1.223
McPherson                5  5 218 311 -2.790   77  1.847   76 -2.489   89 -3.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.480 -2.871 -3.351
Southwestern KS          3  7 265 332 -2.568   84  1.595   84 -2.925   82 -2.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.791 -1.980 -3.449
Bethel KS                3  7 275 295 -2.673   87  1.459   87 -3.141   73 -2.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.623 -2.035 -2.954
Bethany KS               2  8 171 292 -2.785   91  1.247   91 -3.392   92 -3.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.299 -3.200 -3.169

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.979 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY            9  3 465 263 -0.875   13  3.258   13 -0.463   10 -0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.542  0.035 -0.631
Cumberlands KY           8  3 345 301 -1.571   25  2.957   25 -0.918   43 -1.418    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.530 -1.102 -1.733
Bethel TN                7  4 398 242 -1.290   30  2.829   30 -1.133   20 -0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.424 -0.601 -0.919
Pikeville                7  3 297 261 -1.759   31  2.826   31 -1.140   44 -1.456    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.404 -1.326 -1.587
Union KY                 4  6 277 413 -1.481   51  2.398   51 -1.721   53 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.703 -1.146 -2.320
Lambuth                  5  6 219 339 -2.050   58  2.253   58 -1.980   71 -2.354    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.207 -2.492 -2.216
Belhaven                 5  6 350 384 -1.964   62  2.217   62 -2.047   59 -1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.700 -1.416 -2.580
Virginia-Wise            4  7 256 330 -2.279   78  1.840   78 -2.499   77 -2.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.371 -2.479 -2.644
Kentucky Wesleyan        3  7 216 319 -2.185   79  1.783   79 -2.597   78 -2.604    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.407 -2.470 -2.739
Campbellsville           2  8 268 421 -1.933   80  1.741   80 -2.669   76 -2.549    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.797 -1.806 -3.293
Shorter                  2  8 241 309 -1.957   83  1.658   83 -2.819   68 -2.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.394 -2.166 -2.399
Cumberland TN            2  8 261 356 -2.437   88  1.443   88 -3.166   85 -2.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.684 -2.294 -3.406

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.277 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Francis IN           13  1 533 168  0.033    2  4.396    2  1.085    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.147  0.652  1.079
St Xavier                9  3 393 245 -0.646    8  3.505    8 -0.155    9 -0.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512  0.034 -0.543
McKendree                8  3 336 116 -0.584   11  3.290   11 -0.405    4  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.744 -0.591  0.740
St Ambrose               8  3 344 230 -1.048   17  3.172   17 -0.548   16 -0.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.482 -0.431 -0.917
Walsh                    8  3 306 187 -1.146   21  3.101   21 -0.671   15 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.142 -0.876 -0.435
Geneva                   8  4 331 262 -1.079   23  3.032   23 -0.785   24 -0.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.276 -0.910 -0.816
William Penn             6  5 273 267 -1.061   27  2.913   27 -0.990   28 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.383 -0.962 -1.162
Quincy                   5  6 268 357 -1.261   38  2.695   38 -1.361   40 -1.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.548 -1.035 -1.721
Olivet Nazarene          6  6 273 223 -1.227   39  2.692   39 -1.365   29 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.141 -1.283 -0.841
Urbana                   6  5 283 301 -1.700   41  2.600   41 -1.518   52 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.527 -1.381 -2.001
Trinity Int'l            3  7 173 278 -1.421   57  2.279   57 -1.933   57 -1.880    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.214 -2.009 -1.751
Malone                   3  7 197 317 -1.617   60  2.236   60 -2.005   65 -2.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.379 -2.062 -2.250
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 164 333 -1.587   65  2.151   65 -2.165   63 -2.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.062 -2.402 -1.765
Ohio Dominican           3  7 222 346 -1.735   68  2.117   68 -2.223   61 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512 -1.780 -2.355
St Francis IL            2  9 136 349 -1.533   69  2.115   69 -2.224   75 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.095 -2.789 -2.231
Taylor                   0 10 159 407 -1.731   92  1.243   92 -3.394   81 -2.703    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.394 -2.587 -2.819

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.301 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific            6  4 221 214 -0.014    6  3.658    6  0.056    7 -0.163    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.190 -0.323 -0.004
Webber Int'l             6  2 244 153 -1.162   19  3.120   19 -0.640   22 -0.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -0.829 -0.725
Concordia AL             4  4 161 245 -1.676   46  2.524   46 -1.643   54 -1.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -1.802 -1.697
Southern Oregon          1  9 166 303 -0.475   61  2.232   61 -2.008   33 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.145 -1.427 -0.995
Paul Quinn               3  6 149 257 -1.873   66  2.148   66 -2.170   70 -2.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.982 -2.724 -1.900
Edward Waters            2  7 130 334 -1.658   70  2.114   70 -2.226   72 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.242 -2.533 -2.350
Allen                    4  4 172 234 -2.517   72  2.010   72 -2.285   80 -2.641    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.382 -2.542 -2.739
Waldorf                  2  9 105 327 -1.696   74  1.909   74 -2.446   79 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.853 -3.189 -2.081
Seton Hill               1  9 147 347 -1.850   85  1.587   85 -2.934   83 -2.752    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.275 -2.800 -2.705
Southern Virginia        2  5 108 175 -2.932   89  1.359   89 -3.193   93 -3.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.973 -3.612 -2.768
SW Assem of God          2  8 244 329 -3.318   94  0.991   94 -3.917   94 -3.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.515 -3.308 -3.893

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     37 31 0.544    1 -0.311
Dakota Athletic Conference                              42 48 0.467    2 -1.100
Mid-States Football Association                         91 87 0.511    3 -1.277
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        62 57 0.521    4 -1.315
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    58 60 0.492    5 -1.418
Central States Football League                          32 39 0.451    6 -1.701
Mid-South Conference                                    58 69 0.457    7 -1.979
NAIA Independents                                       33 67 0.330    8 -2.301
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   54 47 0.535    9 -2.539

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.023 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:22:20 2007

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