Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Cal           13  0 496 169  4.465    1  8.015    1  5.518    1  5.411    1 0.7214    2 0.7066    1   1250  1.278  5.375  5.448
Auburn                 13  0 417 147  3.741    2  7.757    2  5.043    7  4.553    5 0.6667    1 0.7097    2   1200  1.043  4.220  4.886
Oklahoma               12  1 452 219  4.093    3  7.724    3  4.985    3  4.776    2 0.6905    4 0.6795    3   1150  1.219  4.661  4.890
Utah                   12  0 544 234  3.492    4  7.619    4  4.803    5  4.606    4 0.6712    6 0.6646    6   1009  1.749  5.278  3.935
Texas                  11  1 423 215  3.848    5  7.610    5  4.792    9  4.367    3 0.6816    5 0.6706    4   1091  1.339  4.414  4.319
California             10  2 441 192  4.169    6  7.506    6  4.627    2  4.801    6 0.6514   12 0.6352    5   1027  1.325  4.829  4.773
Iowa                   10  2 292 211  3.799    7  7.442    7  4.532   16  4.137    8 0.6383    3 0.6879   10    783  1.126  3.905  4.370
Arizona St              9  3 358 294  4.065    8  7.432    8  4.493   20  4.045    7 0.6413    8 0.6544   11    740  1.526  4.362  3.728
Georgia                10  2 335 198  3.778    9  7.418    9  4.470   13  4.146   10 0.6258    9 0.6462    9    796  1.192  3.998  4.295
Louisville             11  1 597 236  3.612   10  7.408   11  4.452    4  4.683   12 0.6211   11 0.6423   13    707  1.624  5.151  4.216
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boise St               11  1 587 308  3.420   11  7.362   10  4.457   11  4.179    9 0.6298    7 0.6549   12    722  1.838  5.001  3.357
Virginia Tech          10  3 400 167  4.012   12  7.346   12  4.435    8  4.548   18 0.5963   14 0.6126    7    930  0.949  4.108  4.989
Miami FL                9  3 380 204  4.067   13  7.322   13  4.392    6  4.587   11 0.6212   13 0.6238    8    929  1.331  4.623  4.551
Tennessee              10  3 378 295  3.718   14  7.275   14  4.329   24  3.955   13 0.6154   15 0.6115   14    605  1.539  4.292  3.618
Michigan                9  3 370 279  3.710   15  7.204   15  4.224   23  3.972   16 0.6051   10 0.6436   19    348  1.521  4.282  3.662
LSU                     9  3 344 205  3.752   16  7.192   16  4.206   18  4.090   19 0.5921   20 0.5996   16    505  1.240  4.004  4.176
Texas Tech              8  4 434 314  3.913   17  7.165   17  4.168   10  4.230   14 0.6150   19 0.6013   17    472  1.715  4.845  3.615
Florida St              9  3 302 169  3.723   18  7.157   18  4.157   15  4.140   17 0.5988   17 0.6039   18    421  0.928  3.676  4.605
Wisconsin               9  3 249 185  3.582   19  7.148   19  4.145   29  3.744   23 0.5776   18 0.6019   15    509  0.867  3.213  4.274
Oregon St               7  5 320 294  4.059   20  7.105   20  4.085   14  4.144   21 0.5915   27 0.5760   22    156  1.469  4.376  3.913
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State              8  4 290 219  3.720   21  7.038   21  3.989   19  4.076   24 0.5774   16 0.6057   20    281  1.135  3.856  4.297
Virginia                8  4 363 212  3.797   22  7.024   22  3.968   12  4.167   25 0.5767   22 0.5932   21    258  1.254  4.099  4.235
Texas A&M               7  5 341 292  3.900   23  6.960   23  3.881   26  3.846   15 0.6090   21 0.5960   26     60  1.392  3.966  3.725
Colorado                8  5 304 332  3.555   24  6.887   24  3.840   48  3.379   20 0.5915   25 0.5783   29      0  1.308  3.383  3.375
North Carolina          6  6 319 382  3.846   25  6.863   25  3.808   40  3.538   31 0.5525   40 0.5488   29      0  1.681  4.097  2.978
Oklahoma St             7  5 387 301  3.738   26  6.849   26  3.787   30  3.718   22 0.5798   39 0.5500   28      1  1.573  4.106  3.330
Georgia Tech            7  5 264 227  3.641   27  6.838   27  3.772   28  3.744   36 0.5425   36 0.5530   29      0  1.032  3.399  4.089
Boston College          9  3 296 203  3.198   28  6.836   28  3.767   37  3.585   26 0.5671   24 0.5800   23    125  1.054  3.265  3.904
Purdue                  7  5 381 206  3.726   29  6.790   30  3.703   17  4.132   33 0.5474   30 0.5604   27     14  1.314  4.145  4.120
Notre Dame              6  6 289 289  3.838   30  6.754   32  3.697   27  3.751   30 0.5561   32 0.5557   29      0  1.326  3.780  3.721
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Navy                   10  2 334 238  2.804   31  6.716   29  3.711   54  3.313   28 0.5604   50 0.5249   29      0  1.245  3.233  3.393
Fresno St               9  3 482 253  3.222   32  6.708   31  3.701   22  3.973   27 0.5627   29 0.5614   24     87  1.504  4.257  3.689
Clemson                 6  5 236 229  3.623   33  6.693   33  3.682   31  3.659   39 0.5341   53 0.5171   29      0  1.229  3.558  3.760
Florida                 7  5 382 253  3.610   34  6.649   34  3.621   25  3.919   43 0.5250   57 0.5089   25     74  1.467  4.148  3.689
New Mexico              7  5 244 224  3.461   35  6.635   35  3.603   44  3.461   29 0.5592   43 0.5465   29      0  0.854  2.916  4.006
West Virginia           8  4 361 246  3.241   36  6.622   36  3.584   39  3.546   35 0.5446   33 0.5548   29      0  1.427  3.717  3.376
Pittsburgh              8  4 325 288  3.159   37  6.611   37  3.583   46  3.394   32 0.5517   26 0.5772   29      0  1.383  3.503  3.286
UCLA                    6  6 361 309  3.797   38  6.594   38  3.561   21  3.988   41 0.5301   62 0.4861   29      0  1.634  4.472  3.504
Wyoming                 7  5 318 297  3.285   39  6.534   39  3.529   53  3.330   38 0.5351   51 0.5200   29      0  1.337  3.375  3.286
Iowa St                 7  5 246 259  3.263   40  6.502   41  3.481   61  3.205   34 0.5461   46 0.5326   29      0  1.055  2.886  3.523
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Minnesota               7  5 361 273  3.355   41  6.490   42  3.465   38  3.565   47 0.5146   48 0.5260   29      0  1.471  3.800  3.329
Northwestern            6  6 295 342  3.504   42  6.477   40  3.485   57  3.273   45 0.5192   52 0.5191   29      0  1.494  3.542  3.005
Washington St           5  6 275 307  3.600   43  6.457   43  3.457   47  3.380   44 0.5213   65 0.4808   29      0  1.521  3.689  3.070
South Carolina          6  5 243 229  3.416   44  6.453   44  3.449   52  3.361   54 0.5116   61 0.4913   29      0  1.170  3.184  3.538
Brigham Young           5  6 267 295  3.681   45  6.444   45  3.439   42  3.529   40 0.5322   55 0.5121   29      0  1.372  3.622  3.436
Oregon                  5  6 282 282  3.689   46  6.437   46  3.429   35  3.626   55 0.5116   71 0.4665   29      0  1.402  3.760  3.491
North Carolina St       5  6 264 218  3.643   47  6.434   47  3.424   32  3.655   64 0.4966   66 0.4794   29      0  1.232  3.558  3.752
UTEP                    8  4 429 301  3.009   48  6.412   48  3.384   49  3.371   37 0.5404   31 0.5561   29      0  1.496  3.644  3.099
Maryland                5  6 195 220  3.460   49  6.394   49  3.359   63  3.177   65 0.4963   63 0.4857   29      0  0.932  2.718  3.637
Arkansas                5  6 328 270  3.650   50  6.380   50  3.340   33  3.648   48 0.5136   59 0.5033   29      0  1.592  4.066  3.231
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Syracuse                6  6 287 344  3.267   51  6.370   51  3.326   68  3.056   53 0.5119   45 0.5438   29      0  1.501  3.335  2.777
Stanford                4  7 242 233  3.895   52  6.369   52  3.324   34  3.648   62 0.4997   79 0.4504   29      0  1.015  3.282  4.014
Bowling Green           9  3 532 282  2.750   53  6.363   53  3.310   43  3.517   60 0.5025   23 0.5909   29      0  1.673  4.064  2.971
Connecticut             8  4 363 260  2.867   54  6.359   54  3.306   55  3.295   56 0.5102   47 0.5313   29      0  1.385  3.406  3.184
Northern Illinois       9  3 421 304  2.548   55  6.349   55  3.291   73  3.002   59 0.5041   37 0.5520   29      0  1.663  3.533  2.471
Memphis                 8  4 430 375  2.778   56  6.346   56  3.287   72  3.006   49 0.5133   42 0.5471   29      0  1.737  3.657  2.354
Toledo                  9  4 432 404  2.543   57  6.315   57  3.239   82  2.764   71 0.4869   35 0.5531   29      0  1.714  3.377  2.151
Louisiana Tech          6  6 308 382  3.075   58  6.294   58  3.210   74  2.982   42 0.5272   38 0.5502   29      0  1.424  3.149  2.815
Alabama                 6  6 295 189  3.388   59  6.291   59  3.206   36  3.611   70 0.4892   70 0.4736   29      0  0.966  3.189  4.033
Cincinnati              7  5 344 320  2.985   60  6.284   60  3.194   59  3.215   50 0.5132   34 0.5532   29      0  1.417  3.371  3.058
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Miss           7  5 309 298  2.926   61  6.259   61  3.189   69  3.034   46 0.5162   49 0.5254   29      0  1.290  3.013  3.054
Air Force               5  6 326 342  3.291   62  6.221   62  3.137   56  3.292   63 0.4990   74 0.4624   29      0  1.686  3.858  2.725
Nebraska                5  6 275 298  3.223   63  6.217   63  3.132   64  3.112   58 0.5078   64 0.4829   29      0  1.359  3.187  3.038
Michigan St             5  7 353 326  3.359   64  6.182   65  3.085   45  3.401   73 0.4765   69 0.4767   29      0  1.624  3.869  2.933
Hawai`i                 8  5 467 499  2.674   65  6.162   64  3.108   81  2.770   51 0.5132   41 0.5484   29      0  1.889  3.682  1.858
Arizona                 3  8 164 275  3.679   66  6.142   66  3.082   58  3.229   74 0.4759   78 0.4536   29      0  0.845  2.675  3.783
Kansas                  4  7 262 235  3.515   67  6.125   67  3.056   41  3.533   61 0.5023   67 0.4775   29      0  1.127  3.303  3.764
Alabama-Birmingham      7  5 372 351  2.817   68  6.120   68  3.048   77  2.884   57 0.5082   54 0.5164   29      0  1.631  3.363  2.405
Kansas St               4  7 326 337  3.451   69  6.102   69  3.024   50  3.364   68 0.4902   80 0.4495   29      0  1.767  4.065  2.663
Missouri                5  6 256 215  3.164   70  6.098   70  3.018   62  3.203   67 0.4917   77 0.4545   29      0  1.066  2.899  3.508
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado St             4  7 261 325  3.362   71  6.084   71  2.997   60  3.214   69 0.4900   76 0.4594   29      0  1.393  3.337  3.091
Penn St                 4  7 195 168  3.413   72  6.073   72  2.981   51  3.363   81 0.4549   75 0.4596   29      0  0.643  2.608  4.118
Mississippi             4  7 215 278  3.277   73  6.071   73  2.977   67  3.084   78 0.4648   81 0.4485   29      0  1.215  2.964  3.203
Wake Forest             4  7 230 253  3.352   74  6.069   74  2.975   66  3.094   82 0.4520   88 0.4302   29      0  1.192  2.945  3.243
San Diego St            4  7 234 282  3.265   75  6.035   75  2.923   65  3.101   77 0.4650   83 0.4404   29      0  1.129  2.873  3.330
Troy St                 7  5 286 200  2.666   76  6.004   76  2.876   70  3.020   66 0.4919   56 0.5097   29      0  1.013  2.652  3.387
Miami OH                8  5 407 298  2.524   77  6.001   77  2.872   75  2.949   79 0.4621   44 0.5450   29      0  1.388  3.065  2.833
TCU                     5  6 362 373  2.914   78  5.944   78  2.795   71  3.006   75 0.4751   73 0.4632   29      0  1.765  3.705  2.308
Marshall                6  6 291 266  2.716   79  5.925   79  2.766   80  2.774   86 0.4382   58 0.5056   29      0  1.241  2.689  2.860
Baylor                  3  8 224 406  3.089   80  5.909   80  2.743   90  2.576   72 0.4778   87 0.4346   29      0  1.502  2.857  2.295
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
North Texas             7  5 309 358  2.294   81  5.886   82  2.732   96  2.434   52 0.5120   28 0.5645   29      0  1.541  2.773  2.095
Rutgers                 4  7 269 343  2.985   82  5.885   81  2.734   85  2.713   84 0.4440   72 0.4653   29      0  1.531  3.037  2.388
Indiana                 3  8 262 343  3.227   83  5.879   83  2.727   76  2.895   96 0.4144  100 0.3908   29      0  1.542  3.236  2.554
Akron                   6  5 271 347  2.304   84  5.870   84  2.710  101  2.313   91 0.4290   68 0.4774   29      0  1.587  2.724  1.902
Tulane                  5  6 300 361  2.590   85  5.856   85  2.691   94  2.518   83 0.4451   85 0.4380   29      0  1.577  2.912  2.123
New Mexico St           5  6 273 355  2.574   86  5.837   86  2.662   93  2.551   76 0.4740   84 0.4398   29      0  1.594  2.972  2.129
Mississippi St          3  8 173 280  3.037   87  5.796   87  2.601   87  2.680   98 0.4097  105 0.3833   29      0  0.972  2.266  3.095
Illinois                3  8 240 323  3.096   88  5.788   88  2.590   84  2.721   99 0.4075  104 0.3840   29      0  1.295  2.707  2.734
South Florida           4  7 271 351  2.716   89  5.773   89  2.562   95  2.491   87 0.4338   82 0.4461   29      0  1.442  2.684  2.299
Duke                    2  9 183 322  3.307   90  5.751   90  2.535   83  2.753   95 0.4181  102 0.3881   29      0  1.330  2.787  2.718
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
SMU                     3  8 202 420  2.685   91  5.663   91  2.428  108  2.089   88 0.4335   98 0.4015   29      0  1.233  1.993  2.184
Houston                 3  8 230 354  2.899   92  5.650   92  2.406   88  2.675   90 0.4295   96 0.4056   29      0  1.244  2.593  2.756
Kentucky                2  9 173 341  3.140   93  5.646   93  2.402   92  2.551  102 0.4030  107 0.3771   29      0  1.239  2.463  2.639
Tulsa                   4  8 345 398  2.665   94  5.635   94  2.383   91  2.560   89 0.4332  101 0.3899   29      0  1.589  2.973  2.147
UNLV                    2  9 229 357  3.094   95  5.629   95  2.376   89  2.577   94 0.4216   99 0.3992   29      0  1.450  2.782  2.372
UL-Monroe               5  6 211 303  2.191   96  5.628   96  2.371  104  2.122   80 0.4573   86 0.4378   29      0  1.215  2.004  2.241
Nevada                  5  7 356 413  2.367   97  5.616   97  2.356  102  2.309   93 0.4229  103 0.3859   29      0  1.627  2.781  1.836
Washington              1 10 154 334  3.513   98  5.600   98  2.335   79  2.781  101 0.4049  112 0.3486   29      0  1.010  2.410  3.152
Rice                    3  8 279 377  2.729   99  5.577   99  2.294   98  2.403   92 0.4285   93 0.4112   29      0  1.556  2.765  2.041
Middle Tenn St          5  6 269 293  2.184  100  5.563  100  2.271   99  2.335   85 0.4422   60 0.4927   29      0  1.406  2.476  2.194
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Vanderbilt              2  9 212 286  3.063  101  5.540  101  2.238   78  2.813  105 0.3914  113 0.3404   29      0  1.242  2.730  2.897
Temple                  2  9 238 399  2.890  102  5.530  102  2.223   97  2.407  106 0.3895   97 0.4038   29      0  1.520  2.714  2.100
Army                    2  9 260 388  2.813  103  5.493  103  2.164  100  2.324  107 0.3851  106 0.3792   29      0  1.515  2.623  2.024
Kent St                 5  6 335 264  2.163  104  5.477  105  2.135   86  2.701  108 0.3832   89 0.4260   29      0  1.456  2.914  2.487
Ohio U.                 4  7 221 271  2.230  105  5.443  104  2.141  105  2.121  111 0.3584   90 0.4181   29      0  1.092  1.846  2.395
East Carolina           2  9 231 439  2.746  106  5.434  106  2.130  106  2.102  109 0.3826  109 0.3589   29      0  1.567  2.482  1.723
Utah St                 3  8 184 333  2.364  107  5.411  107  2.094  109  1.968   97 0.4130   91 0.4149   29      0  1.159  1.777  2.159
UL-Lafayette            4  7 242 272  2.161  108  5.365  109  2.025  103  2.203  100 0.4059  110 0.3565   29      0  1.191  2.053  2.354
Arkansas St             3  8 215 365  2.330  109  5.351  108  2.041  110  1.944  103 0.4028   95 0.4088   29      0  1.467  2.174  1.715
Central Michigan        4  7 260 378  1.874  110  5.302  110  1.960  116  1.634  113 0.3492  108 0.3626   29      0  1.422  1.799  1.470
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Idaho                   3  9 245 473  2.192  111  5.258  111  1.896  113  1.661  104 0.4008   94 0.4108   29      0  1.483  1.914  1.408
San Jose St             2  9 312 469  2.448  112  5.253  112  1.888  107  2.089  110 0.3629  116 0.3115   29      0  1.779  2.811  1.367
Eastern Michigan        4  7 328 458  1.750  113  5.155  113  1.764  114  1.660  112 0.3498   92 0.4135   29      0  1.846  2.496  0.824
Ball St                 2  9 225 405  2.112  114  5.058  114  1.611  111  1.794  114 0.3311  111 0.3512   29      0  1.397  1.922  1.667
Buffalo                 2  9 197 351  1.995  115  5.017  115  1.546  117  1.569  115 0.3039  114 0.3260   29      0  1.214  1.448  1.690
Western Michigan        1 10 248 436  1.959  116  4.768  116  1.177  115  1.636  116 0.2861  115 0.3194   29      0  1.530  1.959  1.312
Central Florida         0 11 175 362  2.252  117  4.738  117  1.130  112  1.691  117 0.2706  117 0.3030   29      0  1.317  1.707  1.674


Atlantic Coast Conference: strength=3.821 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Virginia Tech          10  3 400 167  4.012   12  7.346   12  4.435    8  4.548   18 0.5963   14 0.6126    7    930  0.949  4.108  4.989
Miami FL                9  3 380 204  4.067   13  7.322   13  4.392    6  4.587   11 0.6212   13 0.6238    8    929  1.331  4.623  4.551
Florida St              9  3 302 169  3.723   18  7.157   18  4.157   15  4.140   17 0.5988   17 0.6039   18    421  0.928  3.676  4.605
Virginia                8  4 363 212  3.797   22  7.024   22  3.968   12  4.167   25 0.5767   22 0.5932   21    258  1.254  4.099  4.235
North Carolina          6  6 319 382  3.846   25  6.863   25  3.808   40  3.538   31 0.5525   40 0.5488   29      0  1.681  4.097  2.978
Georgia Tech            7  5 264 227  3.641   27  6.838   27  3.772   28  3.744   36 0.5425   36 0.5530   29      0  1.032  3.399  4.089
Clemson                 6  5 236 229  3.623   33  6.693   33  3.682   31  3.659   39 0.5341   53 0.5171   29      0  1.229  3.558  3.760
North Carolina St       5  6 264 218  3.643   47  6.434   47  3.424   32  3.655   64 0.4966   66 0.4794   29      0  1.232  3.558  3.752
Maryland                5  6 195 220  3.460   49  6.394   49  3.359   63  3.177   65 0.4963   63 0.4857   29      0  0.932  2.718  3.637
Wake Forest             4  7 230 253  3.352   74  6.069   74  2.975   66  3.094   82 0.4520   88 0.4302   29      0  1.192  2.945  3.243
Duke                    2  9 183 322  3.307   90  5.751   90  2.535   83  2.753   95 0.4181  102 0.3881   29      0  1.330  2.787  2.718

Big 10 Conference: strength=3.636 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Iowa                   10  2 292 211  3.799    7  7.442    7  4.532   16  4.137    8 0.6383    3 0.6879   10    783  1.126  3.905  4.370
Michigan                9  3 370 279  3.710   15  7.204   15  4.224   23  3.972   16 0.6051   10 0.6436   19    348  1.521  4.282  3.662
Wisconsin               9  3 249 185  3.582   19  7.148   19  4.145   29  3.744   23 0.5776   18 0.6019   15    509  0.867  3.213  4.274
Ohio State              8  4 290 219  3.720   21  7.038   21  3.989   19  4.076   24 0.5774   16 0.6057   20    281  1.135  3.856  4.297
Purdue                  7  5 381 206  3.726   29  6.790   30  3.703   17  4.132   33 0.5474   30 0.5604   27     14  1.314  4.145  4.120
Minnesota               7  5 361 273  3.355   41  6.490   42  3.465   38  3.565   47 0.5146   48 0.5260   29      0  1.471  3.800  3.329
Northwestern            6  6 295 342  3.504   42  6.477   40  3.485   57  3.273   45 0.5192   52 0.5191   29      0  1.494  3.542  3.005
Michigan St             5  7 353 326  3.359   64  6.182   65  3.085   45  3.401   73 0.4765   69 0.4767   29      0  1.624  3.869  2.933
Penn St                 4  7 195 168  3.413   72  6.073   72  2.981   51  3.363   81 0.4549   75 0.4596   29      0  0.643  2.608  4.118
Indiana                 3  8 262 343  3.227   83  5.879   83  2.727   76  2.895   96 0.4144  100 0.3908   29      0  1.542  3.236  2.554
Illinois                3  8 240 323  3.096   88  5.788   88  2.590   84  2.721   99 0.4075  104 0.3840   29      0  1.295  2.707  2.734

Big 12 Conference: strength=3.701 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma               12  1 452 219  4.093    3  7.724    3  4.985    3  4.776    2 0.6905    4 0.6795    3   1150  1.219  4.661  4.890
Texas                  11  1 423 215  3.848    5  7.610    5  4.792    9  4.367    3 0.6816    5 0.6706    4   1091  1.339  4.414  4.319
Texas Tech              8  4 434 314  3.913   17  7.165   17  4.168   10  4.230   14 0.6150   19 0.6013   17    472  1.715  4.845  3.615
Texas A&M               7  5 341 292  3.900   23  6.960   23  3.881   26  3.846   15 0.6090   21 0.5960   26     60  1.392  3.966  3.725
Colorado                8  5 304 332  3.555   24  6.887   24  3.840   48  3.379   20 0.5915   25 0.5783   29      0  1.308  3.383  3.375
Oklahoma St             7  5 387 301  3.738   26  6.849   26  3.787   30  3.718   22 0.5798   39 0.5500   28      1  1.573  4.106  3.330
Iowa St                 7  5 246 259  3.263   40  6.502   41  3.481   61  3.205   34 0.5461   46 0.5326   29      0  1.055  2.886  3.523
Nebraska                5  6 275 298  3.223   63  6.217   63  3.132   64  3.112   58 0.5078   64 0.4829   29      0  1.359  3.187  3.038
Kansas                  4  7 262 235  3.515   67  6.125   67  3.056   41  3.533   61 0.5023   67 0.4775   29      0  1.127  3.303  3.764
Kansas St               4  7 326 337  3.451   69  6.102   69  3.024   50  3.364   68 0.4902   80 0.4495   29      0  1.767  4.065  2.663
Missouri                5  6 256 215  3.164   70  6.098   70  3.018   62  3.203   67 0.4917   77 0.4545   29      0  1.066  2.899  3.508
Baylor                  3  8 224 406  3.089   80  5.909   80  2.743   90  2.576   72 0.4778   87 0.4346   29      0  1.502  2.857  2.295

Big East Conference: strength=3.120 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boston College          9  3 296 203  3.198   28  6.836   28  3.767   37  3.585   26 0.5671   24 0.5800   23    125  1.054  3.265  3.904
West Virginia           8  4 361 246  3.241   36  6.622   36  3.584   39  3.546   35 0.5446   33 0.5548   29      0  1.427  3.717  3.376
Pittsburgh              8  4 325 288  3.159   37  6.611   37  3.583   46  3.394   32 0.5517   26 0.5772   29      0  1.383  3.503  3.286
Syracuse                6  6 287 344  3.267   51  6.370   51  3.326   68  3.056   53 0.5119   45 0.5438   29      0  1.501  3.335  2.777
Connecticut             8  4 363 260  2.867   54  6.359   54  3.306   55  3.295   56 0.5102   47 0.5313   29      0  1.385  3.406  3.184
Rutgers                 4  7 269 343  2.985   82  5.885   81  2.734   85  2.713   84 0.4440   72 0.4653   29      0  1.531  3.037  2.388
Temple                  2  9 238 399  2.890  102  5.530  102  2.223   97  2.407  106 0.3895   97 0.4038   29      0  1.520  2.714  2.100

Conference USA: strength=2.771 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisville             11  1 597 236  3.612   10  7.408   11  4.452    4  4.683   12 0.6211   11 0.6423   13    707  1.624  5.151  4.216
Memphis                 8  4 430 375  2.778   56  6.346   56  3.287   72  3.006   49 0.5133   42 0.5471   29      0  1.737  3.657  2.354
Cincinnati              7  5 344 320  2.985   60  6.284   60  3.194   59  3.215   50 0.5132   34 0.5532   29      0  1.417  3.371  3.058
Southern Miss           7  5 309 298  2.926   61  6.259   61  3.189   69  3.034   46 0.5162   49 0.5254   29      0  1.290  3.013  3.054
Alabama-Birmingham      7  5 372 351  2.817   68  6.120   68  3.048   77  2.884   57 0.5082   54 0.5164   29      0  1.631  3.363  2.405
TCU                     5  6 362 373  2.914   78  5.944   78  2.795   71  3.006   75 0.4751   73 0.4632   29      0  1.765  3.705  2.308
Tulane                  5  6 300 361  2.590   85  5.856   85  2.691   94  2.518   83 0.4451   85 0.4380   29      0  1.577  2.912  2.123
South Florida           4  7 271 351  2.716   89  5.773   89  2.562   95  2.491   87 0.4338   82 0.4461   29      0  1.442  2.684  2.299
Houston                 3  8 230 354  2.899   92  5.650   92  2.406   88  2.675   90 0.4295   96 0.4056   29      0  1.244  2.593  2.756
Army                    2  9 260 388  2.813  103  5.493  103  2.164  100  2.324  107 0.3851  106 0.3792   29      0  1.515  2.623  2.024
East Carolina           2  9 231 439  2.746  106  5.434  106  2.130  106  2.102  109 0.3826  109 0.3589   29      0  1.567  2.482  1.723

Mid-American Conference: strength=2.081 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bowling Green           9  3 532 282  2.750   53  6.363   53  3.310   43  3.517   60 0.5025   23 0.5909   29      0  1.673  4.064  2.971
Northern Illinois       9  3 421 304  2.548   55  6.349   55  3.291   73  3.002   59 0.5041   37 0.5520   29      0  1.663  3.533  2.471
Toledo                  9  4 432 404  2.543   57  6.315   57  3.239   82  2.764   71 0.4869   35 0.5531   29      0  1.714  3.377  2.151
Miami OH                8  5 407 298  2.524   77  6.001   77  2.872   75  2.949   79 0.4621   44 0.5450   29      0  1.388  3.065  2.833
Marshall                6  6 291 266  2.716   79  5.925   79  2.766   80  2.774   86 0.4382   58 0.5056   29      0  1.241  2.689  2.860
Akron                   6  5 271 347  2.304   84  5.870   84  2.710  101  2.313   91 0.4290   68 0.4774   29      0  1.587  2.724  1.902
Kent St                 5  6 335 264  2.163  104  5.477  105  2.135   86  2.701  108 0.3832   89 0.4260   29      0  1.456  2.914  2.487
Ohio U.                 4  7 221 271  2.230  105  5.443  104  2.141  105  2.121  111 0.3584   90 0.4181   29      0  1.092  1.846  2.395
Central Michigan        4  7 260 378  1.874  110  5.302  110  1.960  116  1.634  113 0.3492  108 0.3626   29      0  1.422  1.799  1.470
Eastern Michigan        4  7 328 458  1.750  113  5.155  113  1.764  114  1.660  112 0.3498   92 0.4135   29      0  1.846  2.496  0.824
Ball St                 2  9 225 405  2.112  114  5.058  114  1.611  111  1.794  114 0.3311  111 0.3512   29      0  1.397  1.922  1.667
Buffalo                 2  9 197 351  1.995  115  5.017  115  1.546  117  1.569  115 0.3039  114 0.3260   29      0  1.214  1.448  1.690
Western Michigan        1 10 248 436  1.959  116  4.768  116  1.177  115  1.636  116 0.2861  115 0.3194   29      0  1.530  1.959  1.312
Central Florida         0 11 175 362  2.252  117  4.738  117  1.130  112  1.691  117 0.2706  117 0.3030   29      0  1.317  1.707  1.674

Mountain West Conference: strength=3.386 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                   12  0 544 234  3.492    4  7.619    4  4.803    5  4.606    4 0.6712    6 0.6646    6   1009  1.749  5.278  3.935
New Mexico              7  5 244 224  3.461   35  6.635   35  3.603   44  3.461   29 0.5592   43 0.5465   29      0  0.854  2.916  4.006
Wyoming                 7  5 318 297  3.285   39  6.534   39  3.529   53  3.330   38 0.5351   51 0.5200   29      0  1.337  3.375  3.286
Brigham Young           5  6 267 295  3.681   45  6.444   45  3.439   42  3.529   40 0.5322   55 0.5121   29      0  1.372  3.622  3.436
Air Force               5  6 326 342  3.291   62  6.221   62  3.137   56  3.292   63 0.4990   74 0.4624   29      0  1.686  3.858  2.725
Colorado St             4  7 261 325  3.362   71  6.084   71  2.997   60  3.214   69 0.4900   76 0.4594   29      0  1.393  3.337  3.091
San Diego St            4  7 234 282  3.265   75  6.035   75  2.923   65  3.101   77 0.4650   83 0.4404   29      0  1.129  2.873  3.330
UNLV                    2  9 229 357  3.094   95  5.629   95  2.376   89  2.577   94 0.4216   99 0.3992   29      0  1.450  2.782  2.372

Pacific 10 Conference: strength=4.005 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Cal           13  0 496 169  4.465    1  8.015    1  5.518    1  5.411    1 0.7214    2 0.7066    1   1250  1.278  5.375  5.448
California             10  2 441 192  4.169    6  7.506    6  4.627    2  4.801    6 0.6514   12 0.6352    5   1027  1.325  4.829  4.773
Arizona St              9  3 358 294  4.065    8  7.432    8  4.493   20  4.045    7 0.6413    8 0.6544   11    740  1.526  4.362  3.728
Oregon St               7  5 320 294  4.059   20  7.105   20  4.085   14  4.144   21 0.5915   27 0.5760   22    156  1.469  4.376  3.913
UCLA                    6  6 361 309  3.797   38  6.594   38  3.561   21  3.988   41 0.5301   62 0.4861   29      0  1.634  4.472  3.504
Washington St           5  6 275 307  3.600   43  6.457   43  3.457   47  3.380   44 0.5213   65 0.4808   29      0  1.521  3.689  3.070
Oregon                  5  6 282 282  3.689   46  6.437   46  3.429   35  3.626   55 0.5116   71 0.4665   29      0  1.402  3.760  3.491
Stanford                4  7 242 233  3.895   52  6.369   52  3.324   34  3.648   62 0.4997   79 0.4504   29      0  1.015  3.282  4.014
Arizona                 3  8 164 275  3.679   66  6.142   66  3.082   58  3.229   74 0.4759   78 0.4536   29      0  0.845  2.675  3.783
Washington              1 10 154 334  3.513   98  5.600   98  2.335   79  2.781  101 0.4049  112 0.3486   29      0  1.010  2.410  3.152

Southeastern Conference: strength=3.620 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Auburn                 13  0 417 147  3.741    2  7.757    2  5.043    7  4.553    5 0.6667    1 0.7097    2   1200  1.043  4.220  4.886
Georgia                10  2 335 198  3.778    9  7.418    9  4.470   13  4.146   10 0.6258    9 0.6462    9    796  1.192  3.998  4.295
Tennessee              10  3 378 295  3.718   14  7.275   14  4.329   24  3.955   13 0.6154   15 0.6115   14    605  1.539  4.292  3.618
LSU                     9  3 344 205  3.752   16  7.192   16  4.206   18  4.090   19 0.5921   20 0.5996   16    505  1.240  4.004  4.176
Florida                 7  5 382 253  3.610   34  6.649   34  3.621   25  3.919   43 0.5250   57 0.5089   25     74  1.467  4.148  3.689
South Carolina          6  5 243 229  3.416   44  6.453   44  3.449   52  3.361   54 0.5116   61 0.4913   29      0  1.170  3.184  3.538
Arkansas                5  6 328 270  3.650   50  6.380   50  3.340   33  3.648   48 0.5136   59 0.5033   29      0  1.592  4.066  3.231
Alabama                 6  6 295 189  3.388   59  6.291   59  3.206   36  3.611   70 0.4892   70 0.4736   29      0  0.966  3.189  4.033
Mississippi             4  7 215 278  3.277   73  6.071   73  2.977   67  3.084   78 0.4648   81 0.4485   29      0  1.215  2.964  3.203
Mississippi St          3  8 173 280  3.037   87  5.796   87  2.601   87  2.680   98 0.4097  105 0.3833   29      0  0.972  2.266  3.095
Kentucky                2  9 173 341  3.140   93  5.646   93  2.402   92  2.551  102 0.4030  107 0.3771   29      0  1.239  2.463  2.639
Vanderbilt              2  9 212 286  3.063  101  5.540  101  2.238   78  2.813  105 0.3914  113 0.3404   29      0  1.242  2.730  2.897

Sun Belt Conference: strength=2.040 (#12)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Troy St                 7  5 286 200  2.666   76  6.004   76  2.876   70  3.020   66 0.4919   56 0.5097   29      0  1.013  2.652  3.387
North Texas             7  5 309 358  2.294   81  5.886   82  2.732   96  2.434   52 0.5120   28 0.5645   29      0  1.541  2.773  2.095
New Mexico St           5  6 273 355  2.574   86  5.837   86  2.662   93  2.551   76 0.4740   84 0.4398   29      0  1.594  2.972  2.129
UL-Monroe               5  6 211 303  2.191   96  5.628   96  2.371  104  2.122   80 0.4573   86 0.4378   29      0  1.215  2.004  2.241
Middle Tenn St          5  6 269 293  2.184  100  5.563  100  2.271   99  2.335   85 0.4422   60 0.4927   29      0  1.406  2.476  2.194
Utah St                 3  8 184 333  2.364  107  5.411  107  2.094  109  1.968   97 0.4130   91 0.4149   29      0  1.159  1.777  2.159
UL-Lafayette            4  7 242 272  2.161  108  5.365  109  2.025  103  2.203  100 0.4059  110 0.3565   29      0  1.191  2.053  2.354
Arkansas St             3  8 215 365  2.330  109  5.351  108  2.041  110  1.944  103 0.4028   95 0.4088   29      0  1.467  2.174  1.715
Idaho                   3  9 245 473  2.192  111  5.258  111  1.896  113  1.661  104 0.4008   94 0.4108   29      0  1.483  1.914  1.408

Western Athletic Conference: strength=2.728 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boise St               11  1 587 308  3.420   11  7.362   10  4.457   11  4.179    9 0.6298    7 0.6549   12    722  1.838  5.001  3.357
Fresno St               9  3 482 253  3.222   32  6.708   31  3.701   22  3.973   27 0.5627   29 0.5614   24     87  1.504  4.257  3.689
UTEP                    8  4 429 301  3.009   48  6.412   48  3.384   49  3.371   37 0.5404   31 0.5561   29      0  1.496  3.644  3.099
Louisiana Tech          6  6 308 382  3.075   58  6.294   58  3.210   74  2.982   42 0.5272   38 0.5502   29      0  1.424  3.149  2.815
Hawai`i                 8  5 467 499  2.674   65  6.162   64  3.108   81  2.770   51 0.5132   41 0.5484   29      0  1.889  3.682  1.858
SMU                     3  8 202 420  2.685   91  5.663   91  2.428  108  2.089   88 0.4335   98 0.4015   29      0  1.233  1.993  2.184
Tulsa                   4  8 345 398  2.665   94  5.635   94  2.383   91  2.560   89 0.4332  101 0.3899   29      0  1.589  2.973  2.147
Nevada                  5  7 356 413  2.367   97  5.616   97  2.356  102  2.309   93 0.4229  103 0.3859   29      0  1.627  2.781  1.836
Rice                    3  8 279 377  2.729   99  5.577   99  2.294   98  2.403   92 0.4285   93 0.4112   29      0  1.556  2.765  2.041
San Jose St             2  9 312 469  2.448  112  5.253  112  1.888  107  2.089  110 0.3629  116 0.3115   29      0  1.779  2.811  1.367

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.595 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame              6  6 289 289  3.838   30  6.754   32  3.697   27  3.751   30 0.5561   32 0.5557   29      0  1.326  3.780  3.721
Navy                   10  2 334 238  2.804   31  6.716   29  3.711   54  3.313   28 0.5604   50 0.5249   29      0  1.245  3.233  3.393

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Pacific 10 Conference                                   63 53 0.543    1  4.005
Atlantic Coast Conference                               71 57 0.555    2  3.821
Big 12 Conference                                       81 60 0.574    3  3.701
Big 10 Conference                                       71 58 0.550    4  3.636
Southeastern Conference                                 77 63 0.550    5  3.620
Division I-A Independents                               16  8 0.667    6  3.595
Mountain West Conference                                46 45 0.505    7  3.386
Big East Conference                                     45 37 0.549    8  3.120
Conference USA                                          61 65 0.484    9  2.771
Western Athletic Conference                             59 59 0.500   10  2.728
Mid-American Conference                                 69 92 0.429   11  2.081
Sun Belt Conference                                     42 60 0.412   12  2.040

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.214 points in main ratings
     0.027 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:20:42 2007

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