Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT             12  2 401 145  0.118    1  4.540    1  0.803    1  0.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.025  0.397  1.105
Azusa Pacific          11  3 357 135  0.032    2  4.323    2  0.573    3  0.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.577 -0.256  1.374
St Francis IN          13  1 555 147 -0.544    3  4.272    3  0.483    2  0.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.199  0.470  0.749
Georgetown KY          12  1 513 178 -0.755    4  4.129    4  0.308    4  0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.255  0.049  0.182
Sioux Falls            11  1 491 169 -0.761    5  4.045    5  0.233    5  0.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.473  0.264 -0.213
Montana-Western         7  4 236 219 -0.244    6  3.973    6  0.114   11 -0.390    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.190 -0.540 -0.239
NW Oklahoma St          9  2 348 118 -0.599    7  3.905    7 -0.004    6 -0.098    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.846 -0.652  0.455
Montana Tech            8  4 319 227 -0.250    8  3.902    8 -0.006    8 -0.193    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -0.371 -0.016
McKendree               9  2 278 183 -0.940    9  3.755    9 -0.162   14 -0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.161 -0.733 -0.358
Eastern Oregon          6  4 251 174 -0.261   10  3.661   10 -0.260    7 -0.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.191 -0.312 -0.012
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dickinson St           10  2 379 190 -1.044   11  3.655   11 -0.275   12 -0.501    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.279 -0.536 -0.467
Hastings                9  3 333 253 -0.951   12  3.603   13 -0.361   16 -0.710    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.415 -0.557 -0.863
Lindenwood             11  1 337 152 -1.577   13  3.575   12 -0.354   25 -0.983    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.998 -1.369 -0.598
Trinity Int'l           8  3 266 194 -0.870   14  3.569   14 -0.361   15 -0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.142 -0.866 -0.441
Mary                    9  2 283 157 -1.243   15  3.386   15 -0.465   18 -0.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.021 -1.133 -0.416
St Xavier               7  4 251 242 -0.833   16  3.355   16 -0.510   22 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.323 -0.894 -0.943
Morningside             8  3 266 179 -0.938   17  3.351   17 -0.522   19 -0.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.956 -1.237 -0.371
Walsh                   8  3 291 209 -1.061   18  3.349   18 -0.527   20 -0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.196 -0.997 -0.709
Cumberland KY           8  3 420 224 -1.037   19  3.311   19 -0.592   13 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.584 -0.104 -0.916
Bacone                  7  3 324 222 -1.052   20  3.294   20 -0.620   21 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.534 -0.527 -1.186
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Northwestern IA         7  3 260  81 -0.902   21  3.214   21 -0.759    9 -0.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.432 -1.277  0.600
St Ambrose              7  3 375 174 -1.065   22  3.176   22 -0.805   10 -0.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.621  0.087 -0.840
MidAmerica Nazarene    10  3 387 213 -1.394   23  3.168   23 -0.819   17 -0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -0.735 -0.730
Edward Waters           7  3 234 232 -1.350   24  3.164   24 -0.825   34 -1.267    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.379 -1.165 -1.369
Graceland               8  2 331 271 -1.774   25  3.138   25 -0.872   40 -1.547    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.824 -0.749 -2.345
Pikeville               8  3 262 177 -1.401   26  3.114   26 -0.904   27 -1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.900 -1.504 -0.513
Olivet Nazarene         7  5 255 207 -1.043   27  3.106   27 -0.914   24 -0.982    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.019 -1.343 -0.621
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4 258 228 -1.310   28  2.985   28 -1.103   33 -1.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.400 -1.133 -1.396
Southern Nazarene       6  4 192 165 -1.441   29  2.956   29 -1.150   37 -1.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.753 -2.081 -0.783
Southern Oregon         3  6 133 221 -0.583   30  2.903   30 -1.240   26 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.913 -1.485 -0.524
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Minot St                6  4 245 202 -1.403   31  2.900   31 -1.251   31 -1.183    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.132 -1.408 -0.959
Langston                6  5 315 256 -1.264   32  2.896   32 -1.256   32 -1.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.420 -1.084 -1.407
Lambuth                 6  4 282 239 -1.480   33  2.876   33 -1.292   35 -1.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.424 -1.138 -1.472
Concordia NE            5  5 293 221 -1.209   34  2.760   34 -1.446   28 -1.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.496 -0.763 -1.307
Texas College           5  6 329 295 -1.041   35  2.755   35 -1.454   23 -0.973    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.517 -0.670 -1.277
Geneva                  5  5 175 192 -1.469   36  2.745   36 -1.471   39 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.960 -1.968 -1.111
Tabor                   9  2 302 263 -2.567   37  2.730   37 -1.512   61 -2.223    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.387 -2.109 -2.337
Valley City St          5  5 223 251 -1.499   38  2.716   38 -1.530   44 -1.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.307 -1.648 -1.656
Jamestown               5  5 228 237 -1.586   39  2.708   39 -1.544   46 -1.726    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.349 -1.665 -1.787
Campbellsville          6  5 313 307 -1.621   40  2.707   40 -1.546   41 -1.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.605 -1.179 -2.057
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Webber Int'l            4  5 192 243 -1.457   41  2.617   41 -1.580   42 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.219 -1.736 -1.509
Midland Lutheran        5  6 237 298 -1.637   42  2.577   42 -1.653   50 -1.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.416 -1.695 -2.006
Quincy                  4  7 268 299 -1.185   43  2.558   43 -1.685   36 -1.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.524 -1.050 -1.678
Bethel TN               5  7 304 404 -1.528   44  2.550   44 -1.698   49 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.608 -1.350 -2.238
Urbana                  5  6 274 221 -1.342   45  2.537   45 -1.719   29 -1.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.311 -1.037 -1.053
William Penn            3  8 224 252 -0.834   46  2.411   46 -1.856   30 -1.049    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.085 -1.331 -0.767
Benedictine KS          5  6 284 272 -1.644   47  2.402   49 -1.876   38 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.495 -1.211 -1.752
William Jewell          5  5 201 202 -1.853   48  2.379   47 -1.857   48 -1.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.109 -2.010 -1.504
Malone                  4  6 229 267 -1.568   49  2.373   48 -1.867   47 -1.744    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441 -1.553 -1.935
Union KY                4  7 293 339 -1.456   50  2.352   50 -1.903   45 -1.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.549 -1.336 -2.039
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6 267 302 -1.683   51  2.335   51 -1.932   52 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.756 -1.189 -2.555
Waldorf                 3  7 103 405 -2.016   52  2.272   52 -2.053   80 -2.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.092 -2.979 -2.431
Belhaven                4  7 236 291 -1.720   53  2.263   55 -2.068   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274 -2.064 -1.981
Briar Cliff             3  7 143 247 -1.619   54  2.262   54 -2.067   59 -2.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.940 -2.545 -1.643
Dakota St               4  6 236 216 -1.735   55  2.253   56 -2.085   43 -1.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.212 -1.758 -1.513
Black Hills St          4  6 164 202 -1.831   56  2.220   53 -2.060   54 -1.917    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.855 -2.461 -1.373
Missouri Valley         4  6 183 220 -1.935   57  2.186   57 -2.117   58 -2.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.171 -2.262 -1.910
Baker                   4  6 229 300 -1.958   58  2.174   59 -2.132   60 -2.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.595 -1.761 -2.606
Evangel                 4  6 268 310 -1.930   59  2.164   58 -2.132   56 -2.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.774 -1.337 -2.762
Kentucky Wesleyan       4  7 178 301 -1.888   60  2.160   60 -2.137   66 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.997 -2.666 -1.895
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Iowa Wesleyan           2  9 123 375 -1.295   61  2.157   61 -2.140   63 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.982 -2.653 -1.845
Virginia-Wise           3  8 258 421 -1.630   62  2.131   62 -2.185   57 -2.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.692 -1.501 -2.655
Central Methodist       4  7 168 176 -1.848   63  2.130   63 -2.186   53 -1.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.701 -2.577 -1.178
South Dakota Tech       3  7 202 312 -1.880   64  2.078   64 -2.274   67 -2.314    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.549 -1.962 -2.666
Montana St-Northern     1 10 121 380 -0.977   65  1.987   65 -2.337   51 -1.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151 -2.060 -1.659
Rocky Mountain          1 10  85 333 -1.054   66  1.962   66 -2.340   65 -2.262    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.793 -2.871 -1.654
Taylor                  2  8 105 320 -1.735   67  1.906   67 -2.386   71 -2.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.837 -3.104 -1.979
St Francis IL           1 10 100 311 -1.338   68  1.877   68 -2.434   70 -2.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.775 -3.083 -1.830
Haskell                 4  7 195 286 -2.314   69  1.863   69 -2.464   79 -2.677    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.939 -3.129 -2.224
Doane                   2  8 110 274 -1.736   70  1.857   70 -2.472   69 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.790 -2.995 -1.772
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Friends                 5  4 221 230 -2.762   71  1.856   71 -2.479   76 -2.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.476 -2.415 -2.900
Northwestern MN         6  5 236 255 -3.039   72  1.850   72 -2.490   84 -2.826    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.092 -3.099 -2.553
Paul Quinn              2  6 200 289 -1.863   73  1.836   73 -2.512   64 -2.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.575 -1.863 -2.645
Southwestern KS         5  5 252 268 -2.648   74  1.834   74 -2.521   73 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.501 -2.277 -2.835
Sterling                5  5 263 230 -2.661   75  1.794   75 -2.590   68 -2.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.480 -2.110 -2.608
Dana                    2  9 227 374 -1.790   76  1.726   76 -2.682   62 -2.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.589 -1.823 -2.649
Culver-Stockton         2  8  99 206 -2.045   77  1.707   77 -2.719   74 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.561 -3.393 -1.734
Bethel KS               4  5 203 197 -2.777   78  1.678   80 -2.778   75 -2.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.259 -2.691 -2.568
Bethany KS              4  5 174 175 -2.795   79  1.660   78 -2.767   77 -2.669    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.012 -3.038 -2.299
Kansas Wesleyan         4  6 209 242 -2.642   80  1.640   79 -2.773   78 -2.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.246 -2.750 -2.593
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Avila                   2  9  73 264 -2.150   81  1.623   81 -2.797   88 -3.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.333 -4.119 -2.087
McPherson               4  6 156 206 -2.783   82  1.594   82 -2.850   87 -2.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.901 -3.474 -2.486
Dakota Wesleyan         1 10 143 427 -1.936   83  1.521   83 -2.979   86 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.300 -2.974 -2.962
Ottawa                  3  7 158 214 -2.657   84  1.504   84 -3.015   83 -2.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.897 -3.292 -2.295
Peru St                 1  9 129 376 -1.944   85  1.492   85 -3.035   82 -2.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.136 -2.992 -2.552
St Mary KS              3  6 233 273 -2.813   86  1.486   86 -3.050   81 -2.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.693 -2.178 -3.336
Allen                   1  7 116 302 -2.428   87  1.419   87 -3.173   90 -3.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.309 -3.292 -3.304
Ohio Dominican          0 10 154 380 -1.561   88  1.373   88 -3.261   72 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.406 -2.414 -2.697
Cumberland TN           0 10 113 369 -1.885   89  1.288   89 -3.432   85 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037 -3.292 -2.612
Mayville St             0 10  75 356 -2.228   90  1.167   90 -3.635   91 -3.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.816 -4.066 -2.896
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
SW Assem of God         1 10 221 474 -2.660   91  1.123   91 -3.732   89 -3.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.623 -2.800 -3.733
Southern Virginia       0  8 103 354 -3.076   92  0.919   92 -4.130   93 -3.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.370 -3.890 -4.070
Crown                   2  7 218 298 -3.874   93  0.776   93 -4.426   92 -3.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.602 -3.381 -4.247
Trinity Bible           0 10  67 534 -5.260   94  0.053   94 -5.676   94 -6.327    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.039 -6.665 -5.990


Central States Football League: strength=-1.562 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
NW Oklahoma St          9  2 348 118 -0.599    7  3.905    7 -0.004    6 -0.098    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.846 -0.652  0.455
Bacone                  7  3 324 222 -1.052   20  3.294   20 -0.620   21 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.534 -0.527 -1.186
Southern Nazarene       6  4 192 165 -1.441   29  2.956   29 -1.150   37 -1.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.753 -2.081 -0.783
Langston                6  5 315 256 -1.264   32  2.896   32 -1.256   32 -1.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.420 -1.084 -1.407
Texas College           5  6 329 295 -1.041   35  2.755   35 -1.454   23 -0.973    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.517 -0.670 -1.277
Haskell                 4  7 195 286 -2.314   69  1.863   69 -2.464   79 -2.677    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.939 -3.129 -2.224
Peru St                 1  9 129 376 -1.944   85  1.492   85 -3.035   82 -2.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.136 -2.992 -2.552
SW Assem of God         1 10 221 474 -2.660   91  1.123   91 -3.732   89 -3.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.623 -2.800 -3.733

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.666 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dickinson St           10  2 379 190 -1.044   11  3.655   11 -0.275   12 -0.501    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.279 -0.536 -0.467
Mary                    9  2 283 157 -1.243   15  3.386   15 -0.465   18 -0.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.021 -1.133 -0.416
Minot St                6  4 245 202 -1.403   31  2.900   31 -1.251   31 -1.183    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.132 -1.408 -0.959
Valley City St          5  5 223 251 -1.499   38  2.716   38 -1.530   44 -1.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.307 -1.648 -1.656
Jamestown               5  5 228 237 -1.586   39  2.708   39 -1.544   46 -1.726    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.349 -1.665 -1.787
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6 267 302 -1.683   51  2.335   51 -1.932   52 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.756 -1.189 -2.555
Dakota St               4  6 236 216 -1.735   55  2.253   56 -2.085   43 -1.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.212 -1.758 -1.513
Black Hills St          4  6 164 202 -1.831   56  2.220   53 -2.060   54 -1.917    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.855 -2.461 -1.373
South Dakota Tech       3  7 202 312 -1.880   64  2.078   64 -2.274   67 -2.314    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.549 -1.962 -2.666
Mayville St             0 10  75 356 -2.228   90  1.167   90 -3.635   91 -3.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.816 -4.066 -2.896

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.646 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT             12  2 401 145  0.118    1  4.540    1  0.803    1  0.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.025  0.397  1.105
Montana-Western         7  4 236 219 -0.244    6  3.973    6  0.114   11 -0.390    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.190 -0.540 -0.239
Montana Tech            8  4 319 227 -0.250    8  3.902    8 -0.006    8 -0.193    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -0.371 -0.016
Montana St-Northern     1 10 121 380 -0.977   65  1.987   65 -2.337   51 -1.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151 -2.060 -1.659
Rocky Mountain          1 10  85 333 -1.054   66  1.962   66 -2.340   65 -2.262    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.793 -2.871 -1.654

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.363 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sioux Falls            11  1 491 169 -0.761    5  4.045    5  0.233    5  0.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.473  0.264 -0.213
Hastings                9  3 333 253 -0.951   12  3.603   13 -0.361   16 -0.710    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.415 -0.557 -0.863
Morningside             8  3 266 179 -0.938   17  3.351   17 -0.522   19 -0.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.956 -1.237 -0.371
Northwestern IA         7  3 260  81 -0.902   21  3.214   21 -0.759    9 -0.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.432 -1.277  0.600
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4 258 228 -1.310   28  2.985   28 -1.103   33 -1.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.400 -1.133 -1.396
Concordia NE            5  5 293 221 -1.209   34  2.760   34 -1.446   28 -1.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.496 -0.763 -1.307
Midland Lutheran        5  6 237 298 -1.637   42  2.577   42 -1.653   50 -1.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.416 -1.695 -2.006
Briar Cliff             3  7 143 247 -1.619   54  2.262   54 -2.067   59 -2.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.940 -2.545 -1.643
Doane                   2  8 110 274 -1.736   70  1.857   70 -2.472   69 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.790 -2.995 -1.772
Dana                    2  9 227 374 -1.790   76  1.726   76 -2.682   62 -2.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.589 -1.823 -2.649
Dakota Wesleyan         1 10 143 427 -1.936   83  1.521   83 -2.979   86 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.300 -2.974 -2.962

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.871 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lindenwood             11  1 337 152 -1.577   13  3.575   12 -0.354   25 -0.983    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.998 -1.369 -0.598
MidAmerica Nazarene    10  3 387 213 -1.394   23  3.168   23 -0.819   17 -0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -0.735 -0.730
Graceland               8  2 331 271 -1.774   25  3.138   25 -0.872   40 -1.547    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.824 -0.749 -2.345
Benedictine KS          5  6 284 272 -1.644   47  2.402   49 -1.876   38 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.495 -1.211 -1.752
William Jewell          5  5 201 202 -1.853   48  2.379   47 -1.857   48 -1.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.109 -2.010 -1.504
Missouri Valley         4  6 183 220 -1.935   57  2.186   57 -2.117   58 -2.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.171 -2.262 -1.910
Baker                   4  6 229 300 -1.958   58  2.174   59 -2.132   60 -2.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.595 -1.761 -2.606
Evangel                 4  6 268 310 -1.930   59  2.164   58 -2.132   56 -2.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.774 -1.337 -2.762
Central Methodist       4  7 168 176 -1.848   63  2.130   63 -2.186   53 -1.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.701 -2.577 -1.178
Culver-Stockton         2  8  99 206 -2.045   77  1.707   77 -2.719   74 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.561 -3.393 -1.734
Avila                   2  9  73 264 -2.150   81  1.623   81 -2.797   88 -3.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.333 -4.119 -2.087

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.768 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tabor                   9  2 302 263 -2.567   37  2.730   37 -1.512   61 -2.223    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.387 -2.109 -2.337
Friends                 5  4 221 230 -2.762   71  1.856   71 -2.479   76 -2.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.476 -2.415 -2.900
Southwestern KS         5  5 252 268 -2.648   74  1.834   74 -2.521   73 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.501 -2.277 -2.835
Sterling                5  5 263 230 -2.661   75  1.794   75 -2.590   68 -2.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.480 -2.110 -2.608
Bethel KS               4  5 203 197 -2.777   78  1.678   80 -2.778   75 -2.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.259 -2.691 -2.568
Bethany KS              4  5 174 175 -2.795   79  1.660   78 -2.767   77 -2.669    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.012 -3.038 -2.299
Kansas Wesleyan         4  6 209 242 -2.642   80  1.640   79 -2.773   78 -2.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.246 -2.750 -2.593
McPherson               4  6 156 206 -2.783   82  1.594   82 -2.850   87 -2.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.901 -3.474 -2.486
Ottawa                  3  7 158 214 -2.657   84  1.504   84 -3.015   83 -2.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.897 -3.292 -2.295
St Mary KS              3  6 233 273 -2.813   86  1.486   86 -3.050   81 -2.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.693 -2.178 -3.336

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.566 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY          12  1 513 178 -0.755    4  4.129    4  0.308    4  0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.255  0.049  0.182
Cumberland KY           8  3 420 224 -1.037   19  3.311   19 -0.592   13 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.584 -0.104 -0.916
Pikeville               8  3 262 177 -1.401   26  3.114   26 -0.904   27 -1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.900 -1.504 -0.513
Lambuth                 6  4 282 239 -1.480   33  2.876   33 -1.292   35 -1.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.424 -1.138 -1.472
Campbellsville          6  5 313 307 -1.621   40  2.707   40 -1.546   41 -1.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.605 -1.179 -2.057
Bethel TN               5  7 304 404 -1.528   44  2.550   44 -1.698   49 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.608 -1.350 -2.238
Union KY                4  7 293 339 -1.456   50  2.352   50 -1.903   45 -1.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.549 -1.336 -2.039
Belhaven                4  7 236 291 -1.720   53  2.263   55 -2.068   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274 -2.064 -1.981
Kentucky Wesleyan       4  7 178 301 -1.888   60  2.160   60 -2.137   66 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.997 -2.666 -1.895
Virginia-Wise           3  8 258 421 -1.630   62  2.131   62 -2.185   57 -2.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.692 -1.501 -2.655
Cumberland TN           0 10 113 369 -1.885   89  1.288   89 -3.432   85 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037 -3.292 -2.612

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.197 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Francis IN          13  1 555 147 -0.544    3  4.272    3  0.483    2  0.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.199  0.470  0.749
McKendree               9  2 278 183 -0.940    9  3.755    9 -0.162   14 -0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.161 -0.733 -0.358
Trinity Int'l           8  3 266 194 -0.870   14  3.569   14 -0.361   15 -0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.142 -0.866 -0.441
St Xavier               7  4 251 242 -0.833   16  3.355   16 -0.510   22 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.323 -0.894 -0.943
Walsh                   8  3 291 209 -1.061   18  3.349   18 -0.527   20 -0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.196 -0.997 -0.709
St Ambrose              7  3 375 174 -1.065   22  3.176   22 -0.805   10 -0.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.621  0.087 -0.840
Olivet Nazarene         7  5 255 207 -1.043   27  3.106   27 -0.914   24 -0.982    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.019 -1.343 -0.621
Geneva                  5  5 175 192 -1.469   36  2.745   36 -1.471   39 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.960 -1.968 -1.111
Quincy                  4  7 268 299 -1.185   43  2.558   43 -1.685   36 -1.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.524 -1.050 -1.678
Urbana                  5  6 274 221 -1.342   45  2.537   45 -1.719   29 -1.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.311 -1.037 -1.053
William Penn            3  8 224 252 -0.834   46  2.411   46 -1.856   30 -1.049    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.085 -1.331 -0.767
Malone                  4  6 229 267 -1.568   49  2.373   48 -1.867   47 -1.744    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441 -1.553 -1.935
Iowa Wesleyan           2  9 123 375 -1.295   61  2.157   61 -2.140   63 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.982 -2.653 -1.845
Taylor                  2  8 105 320 -1.735   67  1.906   67 -2.386   71 -2.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.837 -3.104 -1.979
St Francis IL           1 10 100 311 -1.338   68  1.877   68 -2.434   70 -2.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.775 -3.083 -1.830
Ohio Dominican          0 10 154 380 -1.561   88  1.373   88 -3.261   72 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.406 -2.414 -2.697

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.800 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific          11  3 357 135  0.032    2  4.323    2  0.573    3  0.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.577 -0.256  1.374
Eastern Oregon          6  4 251 174 -0.261   10  3.661   10 -0.260    7 -0.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.191 -0.312 -0.012
Edward Waters           7  3 234 232 -1.350   24  3.164   24 -0.825   34 -1.267    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.379 -1.165 -1.369
Southern Oregon         3  6 133 221 -0.583   30  2.903   30 -1.240   26 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.913 -1.485 -0.524
Webber Int'l            4  5 192 243 -1.457   41  2.617   41 -1.580   42 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.219 -1.736 -1.509
Waldorf                 3  7 103 405 -2.016   52  2.272   52 -2.053   80 -2.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.092 -2.979 -2.431
Paul Quinn              2  6 200 289 -1.863   73  1.836   73 -2.512   64 -2.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.575 -1.863 -2.645
Allen                   1  7 116 302 -2.428   87  1.419   87 -3.173   90 -3.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.309 -3.292 -3.304
Southern Virginia       0  8 103 354 -3.076   92  0.919   92 -4.130   93 -3.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.370 -3.890 -4.070

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     29 30 0.492    1 -0.646
Mid-States Football Association                         85 90 0.486    2 -1.197
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        59 59 0.500    3 -1.363
Central States Football League                          39 46 0.459    4 -1.562
Mid-South Conference                                    60 62 0.492    5 -1.566
Dakota Athletic Conference                              50 53 0.485    6 -1.666
NAIA Independents                                       37 49 0.430    7 -1.800
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    59 59 0.500    8 -1.871
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   46 51 0.474    9 -2.768

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.214 points in main ratings
     0.027 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:20:42 2007

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