Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
LSU                    13  1  0 475 154  4.121    1  7.239    1  5.010    1  5.025    2 0.6580    4 0.6611    1   1250  0.947  4.588  5.463
Southern Cal           12  1  0 534 239  3.880    2  7.099    2  4.793    3  4.842    1 0.6726    1 0.6821    2   1200  1.599  5.276  4.409
Oklahoma               12  2  0 601 214  4.133    3  7.057    3  4.727    2  4.952    4 0.6436    5 0.6597    3   1146  1.416  5.113  4.791
Ohio St                11  2  0 322 229  3.828    4  6.980    4  4.617   16  4.153    3 0.6488    3 0.6740    7    941  1.077  3.867  4.440
Georgia                11  3  0 371 203  4.084    5  6.970    5  4.603    8  4.427    8 0.6223   12 0.6329    5   1050  1.020  4.072  4.782
Miami FL               11  2  0 361 196  3.838    6  6.967    6  4.598   12  4.225    7 0.6242    9 0.6451    4   1104  0.992  3.839  4.612
Miami OH               13  1  0 602 272  3.377    7  6.899    7  4.490    9  4.329    6 0.6296    2 0.6774   16    526  1.607  4.776  3.882
Florida St             10  3  0 419 217  4.030    8  6.887    8  4.474    6  4.533    5 0.6376    6 0.6492   11    765  1.146  4.330  4.735
Iowa                   10  3  0 373 210  3.898    9  6.833    9  4.401   11  4.305   13 0.6118   14 0.6263    8    930  1.124  4.075  4.535
Michigan               10  3  0 460 219  3.971   10  6.817   10  4.361    5  4.573    9 0.6203    8 0.6462    6    950  1.312  4.588  4.558
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                  10  3  0 533 280  3.912   11  6.792   11  4.326    7  4.490   14 0.6031   17 0.6100    9    826  1.570  4.880  4.101
Tennessee              10  3  0 365 239  3.742   12  6.784   12  4.314   20  4.083   16 0.6006   19 0.5984   13    593  1.132  3.864  4.303
Mississippi            10  3  0 442 285  3.725   13  6.740   13  4.252   13  4.186   20 0.5842   25 0.5834   12    701  1.470  4.425  3.947
Boise St               13  1  0 602 239  3.081   14  6.739   14  4.248   15  4.167   12 0.6127   10 0.6442   25     73  1.454  4.383  3.952
Washington St          10  3  0 394 257  3.696   15  6.720   15  4.220   18  4.110   11 0.6168   13 0.6283   15    569  1.287  4.091  4.129
Kansas St              11  4  0 549 244  3.929   16  6.704   16  4.199    4  4.722   15 0.6014   16 0.6152   10    799  1.368  4.814  4.629
Maryland               10  3  0 406 206  3.710   17  6.703   17  4.199   10  4.322   17 0.5994   11 0.6414   14    590  1.160  4.137  4.507
Nebraska               10  3  0 322 188  3.657   18  6.699   18  4.193   17  4.129   18 0.5931   18 0.5998   19    315  0.857  3.592  4.665
Florida                 8  5  0 390 271  4.038   19  6.691   19  4.183   25  4.058   25 0.5709   24 0.5859   21    313  1.438  4.250  3.866
Arkansas                9  4  0 436 305  3.851   20  6.675   20  4.178   19  4.100   23 0.5776   22 0.5877   17    386  1.281  4.073  4.126
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                   10  2  0 344 229  3.458   21  6.672   21  4.173   26  4.038   10 0.6176   15 0.6197   19    315  1.159  3.853  4.223
Clemson                 9  4  0 365 250  3.809   22  6.662   22  4.160   14  4.178   22 0.5818   21 0.5938   18    385  1.250  4.109  4.246
Purdue                  9  4  0 349 226  3.734   23  6.579   23  4.048   24  4.058   19 0.5864   28 0.5758   22    200  1.152  3.863  4.252
Auburn                  8  5  0 342 212  3.909   24  6.559   24  4.020   21  4.079   29 0.5618   38 0.5559   26     47  0.978  3.676  4.482
Minnesota              10  3  0 503 285  3.482   25  6.555   25  4.012   27  4.032   24 0.5735   32 0.5671   24     74  1.716  4.654  3.410
Oklahoma St             9  4  0 467 326  3.628   26  6.551   26  4.008   32  3.838   32 0.5588   36 0.5633   23    180  1.567  4.223  3.453
Bowling Green          11  3  0 470 304  3.140   27  6.530   27  3.974   44  3.454   21 0.5842    7 0.6486   28      5  1.388  3.574  3.334
North Carolina St       8  5  0 489 385  3.720   28  6.464   28  3.881   29  3.985   28 0.5629   27 0.5792   30      0  1.693  4.569  3.401
Virginia                8  5  0 364 265  3.744   29  6.457   29  3.868   22  4.064   30 0.5600   30 0.5739   30      0  1.233  3.973  4.155
Texas Tech              8  5  0 552 442  3.690   30  6.441   30  3.846   30  3.907   36 0.5510   37 0.5567   27     16  2.040  5.099  2.715
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
TCU                    11  2  0 380 276  2.783   31  6.414   31  3.804   58  3.273   27 0.5687   20 0.5941   30      0  1.465  3.505  3.042
California              8  6  0 457 341  3.737   32  6.393   34  3.777   23  4.061   31 0.5598   40 0.5496   30      0  1.603  4.501  3.621
Oregon                  8  5  0 356 348  3.532   33  6.387   32  3.801   40  3.641   26 0.5703   34 0.5644   30      0  1.502  3.926  3.355
Michigan St             8  5  0 363 293  3.620   34  6.372   33  3.780   34  3.755   34 0.5526   41 0.5450   30      0  1.418  3.919  3.592
Northern Illinois      10  2  0 386 258  2.691   35  6.368   35  3.772   67  3.117   37 0.5432   26 0.5800   29      1  1.516  3.424  2.810
Oregon St               8  5  0 433 301  3.598   36  6.331   36  3.718   28  4.013   33 0.5530   33 0.5649   30      0  1.533  4.346  3.680
Boston College          8  5  0 370 331  3.484   37  6.330   37  3.717   43  3.617   39 0.5396   53 0.5324   30      0  1.495  3.892  3.342
Georgia Tech            7  6  0 274 266  3.701   38  6.317   38  3.700   37  3.700   38 0.5430   45 0.5421   30      0  1.107  3.450  3.950
Virginia Tech           8  5  0 460 299  3.522   39  6.282   41  3.654   31  3.885   48 0.5295   54 0.5321   30      0  1.599  4.319  3.451
Connecticut             9  3  0 408 300  2.972   40  6.241   40  3.659   46  3.423   42 0.5390   47 0.5398   30      0  1.523  3.740  3.105
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia           8  5  0 376 297  3.474   41  6.240   39  3.660   42  3.618   47 0.5297   52 0.5326   30      0  1.420  3.785  3.451
Missouri                8  5  0 399 287  3.471   42  6.234   42  3.651   33  3.766   49 0.5279   51 0.5330   30      0  1.278  3.736  3.797
Southern Miss           9  4  0 293 226  3.105   43  6.227   43  3.641   53  3.327   35 0.5522   23 0.5874   30      0  0.923  2.862  3.792
Wisconsin               7  6  0 355 306  3.625   44  6.221   44  3.634   36  3.707   44 0.5326   58 0.5194   30      0  1.453  3.920  3.494
Pittsburgh              8  5  0 389 311  3.411   45  6.211   45  3.621   41  3.630   43 0.5378   44 0.5427   30      0  1.447  3.836  3.424
New Mexico              8  5  0 391 290  3.433   46  6.201   46  3.609   39  3.673   46 0.5300   50 0.5366   30      0  1.401  3.812  3.534
Colorado St             7  6  0 381 318  3.517   47  6.150   47  3.534   38  3.674   41 0.5395   46 0.5417   30      0  1.540  4.017  3.330
Notre Dame              5  7  0 243 315  3.754   48  6.147   48  3.531   49  3.365   45 0.5324   49 0.5375   30      0  1.195  3.225  3.506
Fresno St               9  5  0 322 317  3.010   49  6.131   49  3.505   66  3.121   40 0.5396   31 0.5675   30      0  1.111  2.875  3.367
Marshall                8  4  0 350 278  2.957   50  6.103   50  3.463   55  3.318   53 0.5225   29 0.5752   30      0  1.405  3.463  3.174
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Air Force               7  5  0 322 242  3.245   51  6.051   53  3.391   48  3.401   50 0.5244   60 0.5190   30      0  1.167  3.225  3.578
Northwestern            6  7  0 263 326  3.518   52  6.038   51  3.418   59  3.261   57 0.5168   61 0.5126   30      0  1.123  3.031  3.492
South Carolina          5  7  0 268 314  3.669   53  6.026   52  3.402   54  3.323   66 0.4960   77 0.4707   30      0  1.410  3.475  3.172
Colorado                5  7  0 319 398  3.663   54  6.014   54  3.385   45  3.423   55 0.5174   64 0.5046   30      0  1.583  3.833  3.014
North Texas             9  4  0 358 285  2.742   55  6.002   55  3.365   71  3.046   61 0.5061   43 0.5431   30      0  1.348  3.111  2.982
Wake Forest             5  7  0 335 347  3.627   56  5.995   56  3.358   47  3.414   64 0.4988   71 0.4907   30      0  1.626  3.891  2.937
Louisville              9  4  0 450 361  2.799   57  5.993   57  3.354   70  3.057   59 0.5101   48 0.5379   30      0  1.663  3.593  2.521
UNLV                    6  6  0 256 272  3.307   58  5.969   59  3.323   63  3.200   56 0.5172   57 0.5233   30      0  1.172  3.031  3.368
UCLA                    6  7  0 248 305  3.418   59  5.967   60  3.321   62  3.201   51 0.5230   68 0.4993   30      0  1.089  2.928  3.474
Washington              6  6  0 312 316  3.353   60  5.965   58  3.325   52  3.339   52 0.5230   65 0.5043   30      0  1.476  3.587  3.092
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Syracuse                6  6  0 320 301  3.285   61  5.916   63  3.257   50  3.363   69 0.4905   74 0.4838   30      0  1.339  3.415  3.310
Toledo                  8  4  0 389 285  2.775   62  5.900   61  3.266   68  3.102   58 0.5153   35 0.5644   30      0  1.517  3.410  2.793
Hawai`i                 9  5  0 486 427  2.792   63  5.895   62  3.259   72  2.991   54 0.5218   42 0.5442   30      0  1.699  3.585  2.397
Memphis                 9  4  0 393 250  2.711   64  5.857   64  3.205   60  3.261   60 0.5095   39 0.5517   30      0  1.298  3.256  3.265
Arizona St              5  7  0 298 328  3.426   65  5.837   65  3.181   57  3.281   65 0.4987   80 0.4605   30      0  1.386  3.399  3.164
San Diego St            6  6  0 224 207  3.181   66  5.828   66  3.168   56  3.294   63 0.5012   72 0.4889   30      0  0.766  2.663  3.925
Navy                    8  5  0 396 283  2.822   67  5.808   67  3.140   64  3.185   71 0.4873   59 0.5193   30      0  1.332  3.228  3.142
Kansas                  6  7  0 384 396  3.231   68  5.807   68  3.139   69  3.098   68 0.4909   85 0.4524   30      0  1.578  3.500  2.696
Brigham Young           4  8  0 196 310  3.511   69  5.800   69  3.130   74  2.960   70 0.4896   70 0.4926   30      0  1.139  2.749  3.171
Texas A&M               4  8  0 304 465  3.421   70  5.795   70  3.126   79  2.820   75 0.4781   78 0.4649   30      0  1.632  3.307  2.333
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulsa                   8  5  0 400 361  2.691   71  5.792   71  3.117   78  2.841   62 0.5019   55 0.5298   30      0  1.513  3.144  2.538
Stanford                4  7  0 186 324  3.320   72  5.774   72  3.094   88  2.642   67 0.4920   79 0.4631   30      0  1.156  2.452  2.832
Alabama                 4  9  0 331 333  3.794   73  5.756   73  3.070   35  3.712   73 0.4826   69 0.4954   30      0  1.286  3.691  3.733
South Florida           7  4  0 276 224  2.520   74  5.677   74  3.066   86  2.674   77 0.4681   66 0.5019   30      0  0.934  2.221  3.126
Troy St                 6  6  0 185 272  2.675   75  5.668   75  3.051   98  2.428   80 0.4614   56 0.5266   30      0  0.677  1.710  3.146
Rutgers                 5  7  0 329 354  3.250   76  5.660   76  3.040   61  3.217   81 0.4607   81 0.4584   30      0  1.583  3.628  2.807
Duke                    4  8  0 211 343  3.275   77  5.633   77  2.999   77  2.867   78 0.4647   88 0.4469   30      0  1.131  2.646  3.088
Wyoming                 4  8  0 286 360  3.348   78  5.601   78  2.952   73  2.983   82 0.4606   89 0.4414   30      0  1.567  3.368  2.599
Nevada                  6  6  0 282 338  2.687   79  5.547   79  2.871   92  2.563   72 0.4831   67 0.4998   30      0  1.392  2.689  2.437
Houston                 7  6  0 448 468  2.646   80  5.545   80  2.868   81  2.747   74 0.4819   63 0.5063   30      0  1.870  3.630  1.864
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Akron                   7  5  0 435 353  2.545   81  5.524   81  2.838   76  2.909   79 0.4628   75 0.4719   30      0  1.778  3.635  2.183
Louisiana Tech          5  7  0 310 394  2.877   82  5.521   82  2.835   91  2.605   76 0.4779   62 0.5118   30      0  1.632  3.091  2.119
Penn St                 3  9  0 233 255  3.538   83  5.454   83  2.756   51  3.343   85 0.4417   92 0.4110   30      0  1.021  2.990  3.697
Western Michigan        5  7  0 331 370  2.803   84  5.421   84  2.696   84  2.706   84 0.4519   76 0.4712   30      0  1.570  3.095  2.317
Cincinnati              5  7  0 303 319  2.778   85  5.419   85  2.694   85  2.691   89 0.4379   82 0.4572   30      0  1.442  2.889  2.493
Kent St                 5  7  0 321 396  2.716   86  5.408   86  2.678   89  2.624   87 0.4407   87 0.4479   30      0  1.649  3.137  2.110
Kentucky                4  8  0 328 321  3.176   87  5.393   87  2.657   65  3.163   93 0.4156  103 0.3755   30      0  1.246  3.090  3.237
Alabama-Birmingham      5  7  0 245 287  2.764   88  5.392   88  2.655   82  2.728   83 0.4565   73 0.4854   30      0  1.244  2.652  2.803
Iowa St                 2 10  0 173 437  3.308   89  5.345   89  2.582  104  2.215   92 0.4294   94 0.4017   30      0  1.142  2.007  2.422
Tulane                  5  7  0 337 424  2.560   90  5.337   90  2.567   97  2.438   90 0.4364   84 0.4529   30      0  1.750  3.115  1.760
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona                 2 10  0 181 429  3.290   91  5.327   91  2.555   95  2.482   88 0.4407   91 0.4175   30      0  1.259  2.426  2.539
North Carolina          2 10  0 317 459  3.430   92  5.323   92  2.548   75  2.918   95 0.4147   98 0.3906   30      0  1.832  3.735  2.101
Rice                    5  7  0 343 378  2.598   93  5.320   93  2.542   80  2.747   86 0.4413   86 0.4484   30      0  1.603  3.187  2.306
Ball St                 4  8  0 261 386  2.700   94  5.222   95  2.482  102  2.325   91 0.4313   83 0.4543   30      0  1.382  2.437  2.213
Mississippi St          2 10  0 225 471  3.210   95  5.221   94  2.482  103  2.238   96 0.4115  100 0.3878   30      0  1.512  2.538  1.937
Baylor                  3  9  0 191 455  2.720   96  5.199   96  2.447  106  2.187   94 0.4148  101 0.3836   30      0  1.208  2.064  2.309
Vanderbilt              2 10  0 235 358  3.220   97  5.111   97  2.351   83  2.712   99 0.3962  106 0.3681   30      0  1.304  2.715  2.708
Arkansas St             5  7  0 242 401  2.039   98  5.102   98  2.335  115  1.709  103 0.3879   95 0.3973   30      0  1.273  1.671  1.747
Indiana                 2 10  0 177 388  3.057   99  5.095   99  2.329  101  2.379   98 0.3984  110 0.3569   30      0  1.059  2.071  2.687
Louisiana-Lafayette     4  8  0 266 415  2.388  100  5.061  100  2.274  108  2.110  102 0.3890   96 0.3934   30      0  1.234  2.021  2.200
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Middle Tennessee St     4  8  0 332 375  2.564  101  5.029  101  2.226   93  2.563  100 0.3950   90 0.4265   30      0  1.543  2.910  2.216
Temple                  1 11  0 235 393  3.244  102  4.982  102  2.157   87  2.660  110 0.3593  105 0.3706   30      0  1.410  2.811  2.508
Utah St                 3  9  0 264 315  2.729  103  4.976  103  2.145   90  2.622  107 0.3780  104 0.3707   30      0  1.324  2.653  2.590
Illinois                1 11  0 203 398  3.293  104  4.974  104  2.144   94  2.546  101 0.3908  111 0.3557   30      0  1.294  2.536  2.555
Central Florida         3  9  0 224 373  2.484  105  4.933  105  2.081  107  2.148  105 0.3833  114 0.3460   30      0  1.225  2.047  2.248
Idaho                   3  9  0 248 314  2.539  106  4.916  106  2.056   96  2.475  108 0.3686   93 0.4073   30      0  1.210  2.355  2.595
San Jose St             3  8  0 259 386  2.366  107  4.910  107  2.048  105  2.212   97 0.3997   99 0.3904   30      0  1.499  2.493  1.931
Central Michigan        3  9  0 277 428  2.368  108  4.875  109  1.989  109  2.051  104 0.3840  107 0.3653   30      0  1.501  2.336  1.767
Eastern Michigan        3  9  0 205 371  2.335  109  4.872  108  2.011  111  2.002  106 0.3811   97 0.3931   30      0  1.164  1.823  2.181
New Mexico St           3  9  0 262 341  2.469  110  4.818  110  1.926   99  2.401  111 0.3542  108 0.3632   30      0  1.243  2.323  2.479
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio U.                 2 10  0 263 372  2.571  111  4.739  111  1.803  100  2.383  112 0.3497  115 0.3283   30      0  1.379  2.490  2.276
Buffalo                 1 11  0 177 445  2.633  112  4.706  112  1.752  112  1.853  109 0.3599  102 0.3764   30      0  1.174  1.686  2.019
East Carolina           1 11  0 217 428  2.642  113  4.690  113  1.726  110  2.031  114 0.3421  112 0.3530   30      0  1.231  1.938  2.124
UTEP                    2 11  0 288 498  2.225  114  4.616  114  1.600  114  1.799  113 0.3444  113 0.3498   30      0  1.614  2.258  1.341
Louisiana-Monroe        1 11  0 239 467  2.270  115  4.514  115  1.425  113  1.823  116 0.3146  109 0.3621   30      0  1.670  2.369  1.276
Army                    0 13  0 206 476  2.527  116  4.434  116  1.311  117  1.600  117 0.3126  117 0.3257   30      0  1.258  1.543  1.658
SMU                     0 12  0 134 386  2.445  117  4.416  117  1.281  116  1.709  115 0.3241  116 0.3282   30      0  0.799  1.111  2.306


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.839 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida St             10  3  0 419 217  4.030    8  6.887    8  4.474    6  4.533    5 0.6376    6 0.6492   11    765  1.146  4.330  4.735
Maryland               10  3  0 406 206  3.710   17  6.703   17  4.199   10  4.322   17 0.5994   11 0.6414   14    590  1.160  4.137  4.507
Clemson                 9  4  0 365 250  3.809   22  6.662   22  4.160   14  4.178   22 0.5818   21 0.5938   18    385  1.250  4.109  4.246
North Carolina St       8  5  0 489 385  3.720   28  6.464   28  3.881   29  3.985   28 0.5629   27 0.5792   30      0  1.693  4.569  3.401
Virginia                8  5  0 364 265  3.744   29  6.457   29  3.868   22  4.064   30 0.5600   30 0.5739   30      0  1.233  3.973  4.155
Georgia Tech            7  6  0 274 266  3.701   38  6.317   38  3.700   37  3.700   38 0.5430   45 0.5421   30      0  1.107  3.450  3.950
Wake Forest             5  7  0 335 347  3.627   56  5.995   56  3.358   47  3.414   64 0.4988   71 0.4907   30      0  1.626  3.891  2.937
Duke                    4  8  0 211 343  3.275   77  5.633   77  2.999   77  2.867   78 0.4647   88 0.4469   30      0  1.131  2.646  3.088
North Carolina          2 10  0 317 459  3.430   92  5.323   92  2.548   75  2.918   95 0.4147   98 0.3906   30      0  1.832  3.735  2.101

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.767 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio St                11  2  0 322 229  3.828    4  6.980    4  4.617   16  4.153    3 0.6488    3 0.6740    7    941  1.077  3.867  4.440
Iowa                   10  3  0 373 210  3.898    9  6.833    9  4.401   11  4.305   13 0.6118   14 0.6263    8    930  1.124  4.075  4.535
Michigan               10  3  0 460 219  3.971   10  6.817   10  4.361    5  4.573    9 0.6203    8 0.6462    6    950  1.312  4.588  4.558
Purdue                  9  4  0 349 226  3.734   23  6.579   23  4.048   24  4.058   19 0.5864   28 0.5758   22    200  1.152  3.863  4.252
Minnesota              10  3  0 503 285  3.482   25  6.555   25  4.012   27  4.032   24 0.5735   32 0.5671   24     74  1.716  4.654  3.410
Michigan St             8  5  0 363 293  3.620   34  6.372   33  3.780   34  3.755   34 0.5526   41 0.5450   30      0  1.418  3.919  3.592
Wisconsin               7  6  0 355 306  3.625   44  6.221   44  3.634   36  3.707   44 0.5326   58 0.5194   30      0  1.453  3.920  3.494
Northwestern            6  7  0 263 326  3.518   52  6.038   51  3.418   59  3.261   57 0.5168   61 0.5126   30      0  1.123  3.031  3.492
Penn St                 3  9  0 233 255  3.538   83  5.454   83  2.756   51  3.343   85 0.4417   92 0.4110   30      0  1.021  2.990  3.697
Indiana                 2 10  0 177 388  3.057   99  5.095   99  2.329  101  2.379   98 0.3984  110 0.3569   30      0  1.059  2.071  2.687
Illinois                1 11  0 203 398  3.293  104  4.974  104  2.144   94  2.546  101 0.3908  111 0.3557   30      0  1.294  2.536  2.555

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.738 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma               12  2  0 601 214  4.133    3  7.057    3  4.727    2  4.952    4 0.6436    5 0.6597    3   1146  1.416  5.113  4.791
Texas                  10  3  0 533 280  3.912   11  6.792   11  4.326    7  4.490   14 0.6031   17 0.6100    9    826  1.570  4.880  4.101
Kansas St              11  4  0 549 244  3.929   16  6.704   16  4.199    4  4.722   15 0.6014   16 0.6152   10    799  1.368  4.814  4.629
Nebraska               10  3  0 322 188  3.657   18  6.699   18  4.193   17  4.129   18 0.5931   18 0.5998   19    315  0.857  3.592  4.665
Oklahoma St             9  4  0 467 326  3.628   26  6.551   26  4.008   32  3.838   32 0.5588   36 0.5633   23    180  1.567  4.223  3.453
Texas Tech              8  5  0 552 442  3.690   30  6.441   30  3.846   30  3.907   36 0.5510   37 0.5567   27     16  2.040  5.099  2.715
Missouri                8  5  0 399 287  3.471   42  6.234   42  3.651   33  3.766   49 0.5279   51 0.5330   30      0  1.278  3.736  3.797
Colorado                5  7  0 319 398  3.663   54  6.014   54  3.385   45  3.423   55 0.5174   64 0.5046   30      0  1.583  3.833  3.014
Kansas                  6  7  0 384 396  3.231   68  5.807   68  3.139   69  3.098   68 0.4909   85 0.4524   30      0  1.578  3.500  2.696
Texas A&M               4  8  0 304 465  3.421   70  5.795   70  3.126   79  2.820   75 0.4781   78 0.4649   30      0  1.632  3.307  2.333
Iowa St                 2 10  0 173 437  3.308   89  5.345   89  2.582  104  2.215   92 0.4294   94 0.4017   30      0  1.142  2.007  2.422
Baylor                  3  9  0 191 455  2.720   96  5.199   96  2.447  106  2.187   94 0.4148  101 0.3836   30      0  1.208  2.064  2.309

Big East Conf: strength=3.582 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami FL               11  2  0 361 196  3.838    6  6.967    6  4.598   12  4.225    7 0.6242    9 0.6451    4   1104  0.992  3.839  4.612
Boston College          8  5  0 370 331  3.484   37  6.330   37  3.717   43  3.617   39 0.5396   53 0.5324   30      0  1.495  3.892  3.342
Virginia Tech           8  5  0 460 299  3.522   39  6.282   41  3.654   31  3.885   48 0.5295   54 0.5321   30      0  1.599  4.319  3.451
West Virginia           8  5  0 376 297  3.474   41  6.240   39  3.660   42  3.618   47 0.5297   52 0.5326   30      0  1.420  3.785  3.451
Pittsburgh              8  5  0 389 311  3.411   45  6.211   45  3.621   41  3.630   43 0.5378   44 0.5427   30      0  1.447  3.836  3.424
Syracuse                6  6  0 320 301  3.285   61  5.916   63  3.257   50  3.363   69 0.4905   74 0.4838   30      0  1.339  3.415  3.310
Rutgers                 5  7  0 329 354  3.250   76  5.660   76  3.040   61  3.217   81 0.4607   81 0.4584   30      0  1.583  3.628  2.807
Temple                  1 11  0 235 393  3.244  102  4.982  102  2.157   87  2.660  110 0.3593  105 0.3706   30      0  1.410  2.811  2.508

Conference USA: strength=2.637 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
TCU                    11  2  0 380 276  2.783   31  6.414   31  3.804   58  3.273   27 0.5687   20 0.5941   30      0  1.465  3.505  3.042
Southern Miss           9  4  0 293 226  3.105   43  6.227   43  3.641   53  3.327   35 0.5522   23 0.5874   30      0  0.923  2.862  3.792
Louisville              9  4  0 450 361  2.799   57  5.993   57  3.354   70  3.057   59 0.5101   48 0.5379   30      0  1.663  3.593  2.521
Memphis                 9  4  0 393 250  2.711   64  5.857   64  3.205   60  3.261   60 0.5095   39 0.5517   30      0  1.298  3.256  3.265
South Florida           7  4  0 276 224  2.520   74  5.677   74  3.066   86  2.674   77 0.4681   66 0.5019   30      0  0.934  2.221  3.126
Houston                 7  6  0 448 468  2.646   80  5.545   80  2.868   81  2.747   74 0.4819   63 0.5063   30      0  1.870  3.630  1.864
Cincinnati              5  7  0 303 319  2.778   85  5.419   85  2.694   85  2.691   89 0.4379   82 0.4572   30      0  1.442  2.889  2.493
Alabama-Birmingham      5  7  0 245 287  2.764   88  5.392   88  2.655   82  2.728   83 0.4565   73 0.4854   30      0  1.244  2.652  2.803
Tulane                  5  7  0 337 424  2.560   90  5.337   90  2.567   97  2.438   90 0.4364   84 0.4529   30      0  1.750  3.115  1.760
East Carolina           1 11  0 217 428  2.642  113  4.690  113  1.726  110  2.031  114 0.3421  112 0.3530   30      0  1.231  1.938  2.124
Army                    0 13  0 206 476  2.527  116  4.434  116  1.311  117  1.600  117 0.3126  117 0.3257   30      0  1.258  1.543  1.658

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.588 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami OH               13  1  0 602 272  3.377    7  6.899    7  4.490    9  4.329    6 0.6296    2 0.6774   16    526  1.607  4.776  3.882
Bowling Green          11  3  0 470 304  3.140   27  6.530   27  3.974   44  3.454   21 0.5842    7 0.6486   28      5  1.388  3.574  3.334
Northern Illinois      10  2  0 386 258  2.691   35  6.368   35  3.772   67  3.117   37 0.5432   26 0.5800   29      1  1.516  3.424  2.810
Marshall                8  4  0 350 278  2.957   50  6.103   50  3.463   55  3.318   53 0.5225   29 0.5752   30      0  1.405  3.463  3.174
Toledo                  8  4  0 389 285  2.775   62  5.900   61  3.266   68  3.102   58 0.5153   35 0.5644   30      0  1.517  3.410  2.793
Akron                   7  5  0 435 353  2.545   81  5.524   81  2.838   76  2.909   79 0.4628   75 0.4719   30      0  1.778  3.635  2.183
Western Michigan        5  7  0 331 370  2.803   84  5.421   84  2.696   84  2.706   84 0.4519   76 0.4712   30      0  1.570  3.095  2.317
Kent St                 5  7  0 321 396  2.716   86  5.408   86  2.678   89  2.624   87 0.4407   87 0.4479   30      0  1.649  3.137  2.110
Ball St                 4  8  0 261 386  2.700   94  5.222   95  2.482  102  2.325   91 0.4313   83 0.4543   30      0  1.382  2.437  2.213
Central Florida         3  9  0 224 373  2.484  105  4.933  105  2.081  107  2.148  105 0.3833  114 0.3460   30      0  1.225  2.047  2.248
Central Michigan        3  9  0 277 428  2.368  108  4.875  109  1.989  109  2.051  104 0.3840  107 0.3653   30      0  1.501  2.336  1.767
Eastern Michigan        3  9  0 205 371  2.335  109  4.872  108  2.011  111  2.002  106 0.3811   97 0.3931   30      0  1.164  1.823  2.181
Ohio U.                 2 10  0 263 372  2.571  111  4.739  111  1.803  100  2.383  112 0.3497  115 0.3283   30      0  1.379  2.490  2.276
Buffalo                 1 11  0 177 445  2.633  112  4.706  112  1.752  112  1.853  109 0.3599  102 0.3764   30      0  1.174  1.686  2.019

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.467 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                   10  2  0 344 229  3.458   21  6.672   21  4.173   26  4.038   10 0.6176   15 0.6197   19    315  1.159  3.853  4.223
New Mexico              8  5  0 391 290  3.433   46  6.201   46  3.609   39  3.673   46 0.5300   50 0.5366   30      0  1.401  3.812  3.534
Colorado St             7  6  0 381 318  3.517   47  6.150   47  3.534   38  3.674   41 0.5395   46 0.5417   30      0  1.540  4.017  3.330
Air Force               7  5  0 322 242  3.245   51  6.051   53  3.391   48  3.401   50 0.5244   60 0.5190   30      0  1.167  3.225  3.578
UNLV                    6  6  0 256 272  3.307   58  5.969   59  3.323   63  3.200   56 0.5172   57 0.5233   30      0  1.172  3.031  3.368
San Diego St            6  6  0 224 207  3.181   66  5.828   66  3.168   56  3.294   63 0.5012   72 0.4889   30      0  0.766  2.663  3.925
Brigham Young           4  8  0 196 310  3.511   69  5.800   69  3.130   74  2.960   70 0.4896   70 0.4926   30      0  1.139  2.749  3.171
Wyoming                 4  8  0 286 360  3.348   78  5.601   78  2.952   73  2.983   82 0.4606   89 0.4414   30      0  1.567  3.368  2.599

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.600 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Cal           12  1  0 534 239  3.880    2  7.099    2  4.793    3  4.842    1 0.6726    1 0.6821    2   1200  1.599  5.276  4.409
Washington St          10  3  0 394 257  3.696   15  6.720   15  4.220   18  4.110   11 0.6168   13 0.6283   15    569  1.287  4.091  4.129
California              8  6  0 457 341  3.737   32  6.393   34  3.777   23  4.061   31 0.5598   40 0.5496   30      0  1.603  4.501  3.621
Oregon                  8  5  0 356 348  3.532   33  6.387   32  3.801   40  3.641   26 0.5703   34 0.5644   30      0  1.502  3.926  3.355
Oregon St               8  5  0 433 301  3.598   36  6.331   36  3.718   28  4.013   33 0.5530   33 0.5649   30      0  1.533  4.346  3.680
UCLA                    6  7  0 248 305  3.418   59  5.967   60  3.321   62  3.201   51 0.5230   68 0.4993   30      0  1.089  2.928  3.474
Washington              6  6  0 312 316  3.353   60  5.965   58  3.325   52  3.339   52 0.5230   65 0.5043   30      0  1.476  3.587  3.092
Arizona St              5  7  0 298 328  3.426   65  5.837   65  3.181   57  3.281   65 0.4987   80 0.4605   30      0  1.386  3.399  3.164
Stanford                4  7  0 186 324  3.320   72  5.774   72  3.094   88  2.642   67 0.4920   79 0.4631   30      0  1.156  2.452  2.832
Arizona                 2 10  0 181 429  3.290   91  5.327   91  2.555   95  2.482   88 0.4407   91 0.4175   30      0  1.259  2.426  2.539

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.908 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
LSU                    13  1  0 475 154  4.121    1  7.239    1  5.010    1  5.025    2 0.6580    4 0.6611    1   1250  0.947  4.588  5.463
Georgia                11  3  0 371 203  4.084    5  6.970    5  4.603    8  4.427    8 0.6223   12 0.6329    5   1050  1.020  4.072  4.782
Tennessee              10  3  0 365 239  3.742   12  6.784   12  4.314   20  4.083   16 0.6006   19 0.5984   13    593  1.132  3.864  4.303
Mississippi            10  3  0 442 285  3.725   13  6.740   13  4.252   13  4.186   20 0.5842   25 0.5834   12    701  1.470  4.425  3.947
Florida                 8  5  0 390 271  4.038   19  6.691   19  4.183   25  4.058   25 0.5709   24 0.5859   21    313  1.438  4.250  3.866
Arkansas                9  4  0 436 305  3.851   20  6.675   20  4.178   19  4.100   23 0.5776   22 0.5877   17    386  1.281  4.073  4.126
Auburn                  8  5  0 342 212  3.909   24  6.559   24  4.020   21  4.079   29 0.5618   38 0.5559   26     47  0.978  3.676  4.482
South Carolina          5  7  0 268 314  3.669   53  6.026   52  3.402   54  3.323   66 0.4960   77 0.4707   30      0  1.410  3.475  3.172
Alabama                 4  9  0 331 333  3.794   73  5.756   73  3.070   35  3.712   73 0.4826   69 0.4954   30      0  1.286  3.691  3.733
Kentucky                4  8  0 328 321  3.176   87  5.393   87  2.657   65  3.163   93 0.4156  103 0.3755   30      0  1.246  3.090  3.237
Mississippi St          2 10  0 225 471  3.210   95  5.221   94  2.482  103  2.238   96 0.4115  100 0.3878   30      0  1.512  2.538  1.937
Vanderbilt              2 10  0 235 358  3.220   97  5.111   97  2.351   83  2.712   99 0.3962  106 0.3681   30      0  1.304  2.715  2.708

Sun Belt Conf: strength=2.166 (#12)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
North Texas             9  4  0 358 285  2.742   55  6.002   55  3.365   71  3.046   61 0.5061   43 0.5431   30      0  1.348  3.111  2.982
Arkansas St             5  7  0 242 401  2.039   98  5.102   98  2.335  115  1.709  103 0.3879   95 0.3973   30      0  1.273  1.671  1.747
Louisiana-Lafayette     4  8  0 266 415  2.388  100  5.061  100  2.274  108  2.110  102 0.3890   96 0.3934   30      0  1.234  2.021  2.200
Middle Tennessee St     4  8  0 332 375  2.564  101  5.029  101  2.226   93  2.563  100 0.3950   90 0.4265   30      0  1.543  2.910  2.216
Utah St                 3  9  0 264 315  2.729  103  4.976  103  2.145   90  2.622  107 0.3780  104 0.3707   30      0  1.324  2.653  2.590
Idaho                   3  9  0 248 314  2.539  106  4.916  106  2.056   96  2.475  108 0.3686   93 0.4073   30      0  1.210  2.355  2.595
New Mexico St           3  9  0 262 341  2.469  110  4.818  110  1.926   99  2.401  111 0.3542  108 0.3632   30      0  1.243  2.323  2.479
Louisiana-Monroe        1 11  0 239 467  2.270  115  4.514  115  1.425  113  1.823  116 0.3146  109 0.3621   30      0  1.670  2.369  1.276

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.530 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boise St               13  1  0 602 239  3.081   14  6.739   14  4.248   15  4.167   12 0.6127   10 0.6442   25     73  1.454  4.383  3.952
Fresno St               9  5  0 322 317  3.010   49  6.131   49  3.505   66  3.121   40 0.5396   31 0.5675   30      0  1.111  2.875  3.367
Hawai`i                 9  5  0 486 427  2.792   63  5.895   62  3.259   72  2.991   54 0.5218   42 0.5442   30      0  1.699  3.585  2.397
Tulsa                   8  5  0 400 361  2.691   71  5.792   71  3.117   78  2.841   62 0.5019   55 0.5298   30      0  1.513  3.144  2.538
Nevada                  6  6  0 282 338  2.687   79  5.547   79  2.871   92  2.563   72 0.4831   67 0.4998   30      0  1.392  2.689  2.437
Louisiana Tech          5  7  0 310 394  2.877   82  5.521   82  2.835   91  2.605   76 0.4779   62 0.5118   30      0  1.632  3.091  2.119
Rice                    5  7  0 343 378  2.598   93  5.320   93  2.542   80  2.747   86 0.4413   86 0.4484   30      0  1.603  3.187  2.306
San Jose St             3  8  0 259 386  2.366  107  4.910  107  2.048  105  2.212   97 0.3997   99 0.3904   30      0  1.499  2.493  1.931
UTEP                    2 11  0 288 498  2.225  114  4.616  114  1.600  114  1.799  113 0.3444  113 0.3498   30      0  1.614  2.258  1.341
SMU                     0 12  0 134 386  2.445  117  4.416  117  1.281  116  1.709  115 0.3241  116 0.3282   30      0  0.799  1.111  2.306

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.070 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Connecticut             9  3  0 408 300  2.972   40  6.241   40  3.659   46  3.423   42 0.5390   47 0.5398   30      0  1.523  3.740  3.105
Notre Dame              5  7  0 243 315  3.754   48  6.147   48  3.531   49  3.365   45 0.5324   49 0.5375   30      0  1.195  3.225  3.506
Navy                    8  5  0 396 283  2.822   67  5.808   67  3.140   64  3.185   71 0.4873   59 0.5193   30      0  1.332  3.228  3.142
Troy St                 6  6  0 185 272  2.675   75  5.668   75  3.051   98  2.428   80 0.4614   56 0.5266   30      0  0.677  1.710  3.146

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
Southeastern Conf                             86 68  0 0.558    1  3.908
Atlantic Coast Conf                           63 51  0 0.553    2  3.839
Big 10 Conf                                   77 63  0 0.550    3  3.767
Big 12 Conf                                   88 67  0 0.568    4  3.738
Pacific 10 Conf                               69 57  0 0.548    5  3.600
Big East Conf                                 55 46  0 0.545    6  3.582
Mountain West Conf                            52 46  0 0.531    7  3.467
Division I-A Independents                     28 21  0 0.571    8  3.070
Conference USA                                68 69  0 0.496    9  2.637
Mid-American Conf                             83 89  0 0.483   10  2.588
Western Athletic Conf                         60 67  0 0.472   11  2.530
Sun Belt Conf                                 32 65  0 0.330   12  2.166

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:19:02 2007

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