Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT             14  0  0 621 189  0.092    1  4.520    1  1.422    1  1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.410  1.453  1.149
St Francis IN          12  1  0 524 280 -0.486    2  3.978    2  0.664    4  0.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.681  0.742 -0.387
Azusa Pacific           8  2  0 236 125 -0.286    3  3.704    3  0.326    7 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.709 -0.836  0.538
NW Oklahoma St         11  2  0 526 223 -0.498    4  3.619    4  0.183    3  0.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.535  0.525 -0.147
Sioux Falls            12  1  0 434 197 -1.103    5  3.509    5  0.078   12 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.243 -0.474 -0.319
Dickinson St           11  1  0 361 165 -1.309    6  3.450    6 -0.022   17 -0.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.121 -0.908 -0.442
MidAmerica Nazarene    12  1  0 475 257 -1.319    7  3.380    7 -0.108   15 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.624 -0.170 -1.118
McKendree               8  3  0 288 161 -0.558    8  3.336    8 -0.174   10 -0.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.859 -0.863  0.206
Montana-Western         7  4  0 349 247 -0.186    9  3.306   10 -0.226    6  0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.390  0.163 -0.083
Southern Oregon         5  4  0 302 192  0.045   10  3.305    9 -0.225    2  0.274    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.535  0.610 -0.061
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mary                   10  2  0 373 115 -0.771   11  3.304   11 -0.232    5  0.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.680 -0.636  0.794
Georgetown KY           9  3  0 473 250 -0.809   12  3.134   13 -0.387    8 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.617  0.251 -0.674
St Ambrose              8  4  0 404 244 -0.601   13  3.133   12 -0.386   11 -0.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.387 -0.263 -0.500
Northwestern IA        10  2  0 430 228 -1.239   14  3.102   14 -0.431   18 -0.683    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.520 -0.369 -0.996
Campbellsville          9  2  0 318 222 -1.279   15  3.040   15 -0.454   22 -0.930    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.284 -0.953 -0.907
St Xavier               7  4  0 359 209 -0.513   16  3.024   16 -0.477    9 -0.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.394 -0.113 -0.371
Lambuth                 9  3  0 295 207 -1.115   17  3.019   17 -0.487   21 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.974 -1.252 -0.438
Cumberland KY           8  2  0 303 211 -1.261   18  3.016   18 -0.499   24 -0.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.305 -0.960 -0.970
Walsh                   8  3  0 371 221 -0.964   19  2.918   19 -0.555   13 -0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.376 -0.365 -0.572
Trinity IL              8  3  0 296 201 -1.156   20  2.884   20 -0.610   19 -0.792    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.298 -0.797 -0.788
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Benedictine KS          9  3  0 278 170 -1.356   21  2.752   21 -0.752   25 -0.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.844 -1.519 -0.419
Geneva                  7  4  0 319 222 -1.009   22  2.669   23 -0.833   16 -0.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.221 -0.759 -0.546
Olivet Nazarene         6  4  0 208 196 -1.025   23  2.656   22 -0.827   27 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.105 -1.410 -0.906
Ottawa                  9  2  0 427 167 -1.563   24  2.599   24 -0.885   14 -0.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.244 -0.630 -0.478
Tabor                   9  2  0 304 229 -2.016   25  2.564   25 -0.951   36 -1.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.130 -1.824 -1.380
Minot St                7  3  0 291 222 -1.483   26  2.541   26 -0.997   28 -1.169    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.440 -0.974 -1.365
Texas College           6  1  0 210  97 -2.176   27  2.432   27 -1.182   29 -1.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037 -1.711 -1.042
Quincy                  5  6  0 332 330 -0.915   28  2.357   28 -1.262   23 -0.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.581 -0.556 -1.369
Peru St                 7  3  1 248 231 -1.882   29  2.348   29 -1.282   40 -1.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.042 -2.043 -1.387
Southern Nazarene       6  4  0 269 214 -1.606   30  2.287   30 -1.379   32 -1.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.153 -1.686 -1.300
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4  0 258 217 -1.654   31  2.260   32 -1.424   37 -1.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.318 -1.649 -1.694
Hastings                6  4  0 266 259 -1.706   32  2.236   31 -1.412   39 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.515 -1.395 -2.006
Midland Lutheran        6  4  0 235 227 -1.736   33  2.219   33 -1.444   45 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -1.824 -1.747
Edward Waters           5  4  0 199 164 -1.643   34  2.190   34 -1.498   35 -1.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.017 -1.948 -1.232
Montana Tech            3  8  0 210 274 -0.535   35  2.107   35 -1.563   20 -0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.072 -1.107 -0.521
Evangel                 6  4  0 263 236 -1.808   36  2.104   36 -1.572   38 -1.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.463 -1.456 -1.913
Concordia NE            5  5  0 216 230 -1.748   37  1.995   37 -1.732   42 -1.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.238 -1.830 -1.663
Pikeville               4  6  0 251 198 -1.303   38  1.986   38 -1.746   26 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.099 -1.326 -0.805
Rocky Mountain          2  8  0 208 369 -0.708   39  1.975   39 -1.764   31 -1.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.623 -1.001 -1.946
Black Hills St          5  4  0 202 190 -1.932   40  1.965   41 -1.787   47 -1.832    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.187 -1.982 -1.682
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cumberland TN           3  7  0 204 291 -1.221   41  1.960   42 -1.791   41 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.196 -1.871 -1.595
Union KY                4  7  0 235 298 -1.340   42  1.957   40 -1.782   33 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.181 -1.681 -1.366
Graceland               5  5  0 233 231 -1.850   43  1.913   43 -1.855   46 -1.828    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.316 -1.808 -1.848
Missouri Valley         5  5  0 263 268 -1.887   44  1.901   44 -1.875   48 -1.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.586 -1.482 -2.309
Avila                   5  5  0 206 224 -1.937   45  1.888   45 -1.896   50 -1.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.200 -2.042 -1.775
Dakota Wesleyan         5  6  0 236 266 -1.859   46  1.870   46 -1.928   54 -2.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -2.002 -2.008
Montana St-Northern     1  9  0 112 450 -0.855   47  1.859   47 -1.940   62 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.207 -2.406 -2.157
Bacone                  4  7  1 273 367 -1.646   48  1.846   48 -1.970   53 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.464 -1.742 -2.201
Belhaven                4  7  0 359 403 -1.585   49  1.820   50 -2.010   44 -1.784    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.934 -0.788 -2.781
Virginia-Wise           3  8  0 238 437 -1.482   50  1.799   49 -1.988   63 -2.317    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.625 -1.841 -2.793
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Valley City St          5  5  0 257 259 -2.061   51  1.771   51 -2.028   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441 -1.826 -2.220
McPherson               6  4  0 307 268 -2.346   52  1.760   52 -2.050   59 -2.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.641 -1.588 -2.589
Doane                   4  6  0 250 241 -1.717   53  1.746   53 -2.069   34 -1.568    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.419 -1.403 -1.733
William Penn            2  8  0 190 262 -0.996   54  1.728   54 -2.097   30 -1.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.140 -1.660 -1.242
Malone                  2  8  0 182 331 -1.277   55  1.710   55 -2.131   57 -2.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -2.003 -2.092
Baker                   4  6  0 203 222 -1.899   56  1.706   56 -2.140   51 -1.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.205 -2.081 -1.826
Bethany KS              5  5  0 248 301 -2.317   57  1.698   57 -2.152   73 -2.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.523 -2.177 -2.812
Jamestown               4  6  0 166 265 -2.036   58  1.687   58 -2.171   64 -2.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151 -2.544 -2.152
Culver-Stockton         4  6  0 256 257 -1.871   59  1.676   59 -2.187   43 -1.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.515 -1.471 -2.082
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6  0 173 271 -2.097   60  1.659   60 -2.221   67 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.183 -2.538 -2.227
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Urbana                  3  8  0 238 351 -1.611   61  1.646   61 -2.242   58 -2.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.362 -1.973 -2.142
Southwestern KS         5  5  0 309 285 -2.284   62  1.636   62 -2.264   56 -2.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.624 -1.557 -2.503
Bethel TN               2  9  0 279 465 -1.425   63  1.590   63 -2.338   52 -1.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.786 -1.230 -2.708
Morningside             3  7  0 210 249 -1.773   64  1.586   64 -2.346   49 -1.906    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -1.904 -1.909
Allen                   3  5  0 140 242 -2.287   65  1.579   65 -2.360   76 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.016 -2.923 -2.204
William Jewell          3  7  0 167 259 -2.035   66  1.544   66 -2.423   70 -2.407    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.155 -2.598 -2.217
Bethel KS               4  5  0 202 275 -2.478   67  1.543   67 -2.426   80 -2.788    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.401 -2.649 -2.926
Taylor                  2  8  0 150 347 -1.737   68  1.532   68 -2.442   71 -2.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.139 -2.647 -2.225
South Dakota Tech       3  7  0 187 299 -2.169   69  1.475   69 -2.550   75 -2.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.395 -2.415 -2.676
Langston                2  9  0 166 313 -1.652   70  1.469   70 -2.558   60 -2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.965 -2.593 -1.758
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lindenwood              3  8  0 202 291 -2.152   71  1.399   71 -2.685   72 -2.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.246 -2.562 -2.413
Kansas Wesleyan         3  7  0 204 242 -2.222   72  1.369   73 -2.723   66 -2.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.094 -2.642 -2.110
St Mary KS              3  7  0 177 338 -2.405   73  1.352   72 -2.721   82 -2.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.222 -2.961 -2.752
Webber Int'l            2  7  0 178 324 -1.915   74  1.345   74 -2.734   65 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.355 -2.301 -2.450
Central Methodist       2  8  0  90 224 -2.104   75  1.338   75 -2.745   78 -2.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.514 -3.613 -1.881
Friends                 3  6  0 255 305 -2.411   76  1.333   76 -2.756   74 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.683 -1.943 -3.077
Dana                    2  9  0 196 287 -1.858   77  1.316   77 -2.781   61 -2.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.158 -2.433 -2.060
Haskell                 3  6  0 165 170 -2.389   78  1.313   78 -2.790   69 -2.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.624 -3.173 -1.638
Dakota St               2  8  0 207 309 -2.086   79  1.284   79 -2.840   68 -2.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.483 -2.125 -2.642
SW Assemblies of God    2  8  0 221 435 -2.254   80  1.277   80 -2.850   83 -2.987    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.833 -2.168 -3.805
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Francis IL           1  9  0 100 325 -1.795   81  1.276   81 -2.853   77 -2.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.869 -3.253 -2.207
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  0 146 443 -1.829   82  1.271   82 -2.861   81 -2.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.569 -2.426 -3.202
Northwestern MN         6  4  0 267 182 -3.749   83  1.061   83 -3.221   86 -3.187    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.179 -3.348 -3.026
Mayville St             1  9  0 171 271 -2.243   84  0.927   84 -3.372   79 -2.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.126 -2.990 -2.536
Paul Quinn              0  5  0  91 205 -2.254   85  0.922   85 -3.381   84 -2.997    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.723 -2.363 -3.631
Briar Cliff             0 10  0  42 370 -2.273   86  0.818   86 -3.594   88 -3.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.434 -4.578 -2.713
Waldorf                 0 10  0 103 450 -2.225   87  0.760   87 -3.717   85 -3.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.133 -3.347 -2.910
Sterling                0 10  0 191 387 -2.556   88  0.645   88 -3.981   87 -3.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512 -2.948 -3.549
Southern Virginia       0  8  0  85 328 -3.142   89  0.512   89 -4.160   90 -4.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.187 -4.253 -3.951
Crown                   4  7  0 241 307 -4.122   90  0.493   90 -4.204   89 -3.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.300 -3.944 -3.941
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Trinity Bible           0  9  0  12 482 -4.659   91  0.000   91 -5.219   91 -6.499    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.605 -7.284 -5.714


Central States Football League: strength=-1.780 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
NW Oklahoma St         11  2  0 526 223 -0.498    4  3.619    4  0.183    3  0.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.535  0.525 -0.147
Peru St                 7  3  1 248 231 -1.882   29  2.348   29 -1.282   40 -1.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.042 -2.043 -1.387
Bacone                  4  7  1 273 367 -1.646   48  1.846   48 -1.970   53 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.464 -1.742 -2.201
Langston                2  9  0 166 313 -1.652   70  1.469   70 -2.558   60 -2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.965 -2.593 -1.758
Haskell                 3  6  0 165 170 -2.389   78  1.313   78 -2.790   69 -2.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.624 -3.173 -1.638

Dakota Athletic Conf: strength=-1.940 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dickinson St           11  1  0 361 165 -1.309    6  3.450    6 -0.022   17 -0.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.121 -0.908 -0.442
Mary                   10  2  0 373 115 -0.771   11  3.304   11 -0.232    5  0.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.680 -0.636  0.794
Minot St                7  3  0 291 222 -1.483   26  2.541   26 -0.997   28 -1.169    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.440 -0.974 -1.365
Black Hills St          5  4  0 202 190 -1.932   40  1.965   41 -1.787   47 -1.832    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.187 -1.982 -1.682
Valley City St          5  5  0 257 259 -2.061   51  1.771   51 -2.028   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441 -1.826 -2.220
Jamestown               4  6  0 166 265 -2.036   58  1.687   58 -2.171   64 -2.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151 -2.544 -2.152
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6  0 173 271 -2.097   60  1.659   60 -2.221   67 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.183 -2.538 -2.227
South Dakota Tech       3  7  0 187 299 -2.169   69  1.475   69 -2.550   75 -2.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.395 -2.415 -2.676
Dakota St               2  8  0 207 309 -2.086   79  1.284   79 -2.840   68 -2.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.483 -2.125 -2.642
Mayville St             1  9  0 171 271 -2.243   84  0.927   84 -3.372   79 -2.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.126 -2.990 -2.536

Frontier Conf: strength=-0.617 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT             14  0  0 621 189  0.092    1  4.520    1  1.422    1  1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.410  1.453  1.149
Montana-Western         7  4  0 349 247 -0.186    9  3.306   10 -0.226    6  0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.390  0.163 -0.083
Montana Tech            3  8  0 210 274 -0.535   35  2.107   35 -1.563   20 -0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.072 -1.107 -0.521
Rocky Mountain          2  8  0 208 369 -0.708   39  1.975   39 -1.764   31 -1.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.623 -1.001 -1.946
Montana St-Northern     1  9  0 112 450 -0.855   47  1.859   47 -1.940   62 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.207 -2.406 -2.157

Great Plains Athletic Conf: strength=-1.719 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sioux Falls            12  1  0 434 197 -1.103    5  3.509    5  0.078   12 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.243 -0.474 -0.319
Northwestern IA        10  2  0 430 228 -1.239   14  3.102   14 -0.431   18 -0.683    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.520 -0.369 -0.996
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4  0 258 217 -1.654   31  2.260   32 -1.424   37 -1.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.318 -1.649 -1.694
Hastings                6  4  0 266 259 -1.706   32  2.236   31 -1.412   39 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.515 -1.395 -2.006
Midland Lutheran        6  4  0 235 227 -1.736   33  2.219   33 -1.444   45 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -1.824 -1.747
Concordia NE            5  5  0 216 230 -1.748   37  1.995   37 -1.732   42 -1.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.238 -1.830 -1.663
Dakota Wesleyan         5  6  0 236 266 -1.859   46  1.870   46 -1.928   54 -2.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -2.002 -2.008
Doane                   4  6  0 250 241 -1.717   53  1.746   53 -2.069   34 -1.568    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.419 -1.403 -1.733
Morningside             3  7  0 210 249 -1.773   64  1.586   64 -2.346   49 -1.906    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -1.904 -1.909
Dana                    2  9  0 196 287 -1.858   77  1.316   77 -2.781   61 -2.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.158 -2.433 -2.060
Briar Cliff             0 10  0  42 370 -2.273   86  0.818   86 -3.594   88 -3.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.434 -4.578 -2.713

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-1.891 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
MidAmerica Nazarene    12  1  0 475 257 -1.319    7  3.380    7 -0.108   15 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.624 -0.170 -1.118
Benedictine KS          9  3  0 278 170 -1.356   21  2.752   21 -0.752   25 -0.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.844 -1.519 -0.419
Evangel                 6  4  0 263 236 -1.808   36  2.104   36 -1.572   38 -1.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.463 -1.456 -1.913
Graceland               5  5  0 233 231 -1.850   43  1.913   43 -1.855   46 -1.828    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.316 -1.808 -1.848
Missouri Valley         5  5  0 263 268 -1.887   44  1.901   44 -1.875   48 -1.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.586 -1.482 -2.309
Avila                   5  5  0 206 224 -1.937   45  1.888   45 -1.896   50 -1.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.200 -2.042 -1.775
Baker                   4  6  0 203 222 -1.899   56  1.706   56 -2.140   51 -1.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.205 -2.081 -1.826
Culver-Stockton         4  6  0 256 257 -1.871   59  1.676   59 -2.187   43 -1.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.515 -1.471 -2.082
William Jewell          3  7  0 167 259 -2.035   66  1.544   66 -2.423   70 -2.407    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.155 -2.598 -2.217
Lindenwood              3  8  0 202 291 -2.152   71  1.399   71 -2.685   72 -2.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.246 -2.562 -2.413
Central Methodist       2  8  0  90 224 -2.104   75  1.338   75 -2.745   78 -2.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.514 -3.613 -1.881

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.379 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ottawa                  9  2  0 427 167 -1.563   24  2.599   24 -0.885   14 -0.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.244 -0.630 -0.478
Tabor                   9  2  0 304 229 -2.016   25  2.564   25 -0.951   36 -1.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.130 -1.824 -1.380
McPherson               6  4  0 307 268 -2.346   52  1.760   52 -2.050   59 -2.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.641 -1.588 -2.589
Bethany KS              5  5  0 248 301 -2.317   57  1.698   57 -2.152   73 -2.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.523 -2.177 -2.812
Southwestern KS         5  5  0 309 285 -2.284   62  1.636   62 -2.264   56 -2.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.624 -1.557 -2.503
Bethel KS               4  5  0 202 275 -2.478   67  1.543   67 -2.426   80 -2.788    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.401 -2.649 -2.926
Kansas Wesleyan         3  7  0 204 242 -2.222   72  1.369   73 -2.723   66 -2.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.094 -2.642 -2.110
St Mary KS              3  7  0 177 338 -2.405   73  1.352   72 -2.721   82 -2.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.222 -2.961 -2.752
Friends                 3  6  0 255 305 -2.411   76  1.333   76 -2.756   74 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.683 -1.943 -3.077
Sterling                0 10  0 191 387 -2.556   88  0.645   88 -3.981   87 -3.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512 -2.948 -3.549

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.279 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY           9  3  0 473 250 -0.809   12  3.134   13 -0.387    8 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.617  0.251 -0.674
Campbellsville          9  2  0 318 222 -1.279   15  3.040   15 -0.454   22 -0.930    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.284 -0.953 -0.907
Lambuth                 9  3  0 295 207 -1.115   17  3.019   17 -0.487   21 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.974 -1.252 -0.438
Cumberland KY           8  2  0 303 211 -1.261   18  3.016   18 -0.499   24 -0.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.305 -0.960 -0.970
Pikeville               4  6  0 251 198 -1.303   38  1.986   38 -1.746   26 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.099 -1.326 -0.805
Cumberland TN           3  7  0 204 291 -1.221   41  1.960   42 -1.791   41 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.196 -1.871 -1.595
Union KY                4  7  0 235 298 -1.340   42  1.957   40 -1.782   33 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.181 -1.681 -1.366
Belhaven                4  7  0 359 403 -1.585   49  1.820   50 -2.010   44 -1.784    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.934 -0.788 -2.781
Virginia-Wise           3  8  0 238 437 -1.482   50  1.799   49 -1.988   63 -2.317    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.625 -1.841 -2.793
Bethel TN               2  9  0 279 465 -1.425   63  1.590   63 -2.338   52 -1.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.786 -1.230 -2.708

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-1.085 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Francis IN          12  1  0 524 280 -0.486    2  3.978    2  0.664    4  0.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.681  0.742 -0.387
McKendree               8  3  0 288 161 -0.558    8  3.336    8 -0.174   10 -0.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.859 -0.863  0.206
St Ambrose              8  4  0 404 244 -0.601   13  3.133   12 -0.386   11 -0.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.387 -0.263 -0.500
St Xavier               7  4  0 359 209 -0.513   16  3.024   16 -0.477    9 -0.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.394 -0.113 -0.371
Walsh                   8  3  0 371 221 -0.964   19  2.918   19 -0.555   13 -0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.376 -0.365 -0.572
Trinity IL              8  3  0 296 201 -1.156   20  2.884   20 -0.610   19 -0.792    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.298 -0.797 -0.788
Geneva                  7  4  0 319 222 -1.009   22  2.669   23 -0.833   16 -0.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.221 -0.759 -0.546
Olivet Nazarene         6  4  0 208 196 -1.025   23  2.656   22 -0.827   27 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.105 -1.410 -0.906
Quincy                  5  6  0 332 330 -0.915   28  2.357   28 -1.262   23 -0.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.581 -0.556 -1.369
William Penn            2  8  0 190 262 -0.996   54  1.728   54 -2.097   30 -1.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.140 -1.660 -1.242
Malone                  2  8  0 182 331 -1.277   55  1.710   55 -2.131   57 -2.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -2.003 -2.092
Urbana                  3  8  0 238 351 -1.611   61  1.646   61 -2.242   58 -2.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.362 -1.973 -2.142
Taylor                  2  8  0 150 347 -1.737   68  1.532   68 -2.442   71 -2.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.139 -2.647 -2.225
St Francis IL           1  9  0 100 325 -1.795   81  1.276   81 -2.853   77 -2.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.869 -3.253 -2.207
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  0 146 443 -1.829   82  1.271   82 -2.861   81 -2.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.569 -2.426 -3.202

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.225 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific           8  2  0 236 125 -0.286    3  3.704    3  0.326    7 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.709 -0.836  0.538
Southern Oregon         5  4  0 302 192  0.045   10  3.305    9 -0.225    2  0.274    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.535  0.610 -0.061
Texas College           6  1  0 210  97 -2.176   27  2.432   27 -1.182   29 -1.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037 -1.711 -1.042
Southern Nazarene       6  4  0 269 214 -1.606   30  2.287   30 -1.379   32 -1.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.153 -1.686 -1.300
Edward Waters           5  4  0 199 164 -1.643   34  2.190   34 -1.498   35 -1.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.017 -1.948 -1.232
Allen                   3  5  0 140 242 -2.287   65  1.579   65 -2.360   76 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.016 -2.923 -2.204
Webber Int'l            2  7  0 178 324 -1.915   74  1.345   74 -2.734   65 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.355 -2.301 -2.450
SW Assemblies of God    2  8  0 221 435 -2.254   80  1.277   80 -2.850   83 -2.987    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.833 -2.168 -3.805
Paul Quinn              0  5  0  91 205 -2.254   85  0.922   85 -3.381   84 -2.997    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.723 -2.363 -3.631
Waldorf                 0 10  0 103 450 -2.225   87  0.760   87 -3.717   85 -3.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.133 -3.347 -2.910
Southern Virginia       0  8  0  85 328 -3.142   89  0.512   89 -4.160   90 -4.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.187 -4.253 -3.951

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conf                                 27 29  0 0.482    1 -0.617
Mid-States Football Assn                      80 82  0 0.494    2 -1.085
Mid-South Conf                                55 54  0 0.505    3 -1.279
Great Plains Athletic Conf                    59 58  0 0.504    4 -1.719
Central States Football League                27 27  2 0.500    5 -1.780
Heart of America Athletic Conf                58 58  0 0.500    6 -1.891
Dakota Athletic Conf                          52 51  0 0.505    7 -1.940
NAIA Independents                             37 58  0 0.389    8 -2.225
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                   47 53  0 0.470    9 -2.379

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:19:02 2007

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