Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State             14  0 410 183  3.682    1  7.291    1  5.090   10  4.269    1 0.6949    1 0.7116    1   1247  0.792  3.685  4.853
Southern Cal           11  2 465 240  4.251    2  7.140    2  4.851    2  4.996    2 0.6892    2 0.7040    2   1189  1.434  5.203  4.789
Georgia                13  1 450 212  3.730    3  7.077    3  4.755    4  4.552    3 0.6764    4 0.6882    5   1060  1.245  4.499  4.605
Miami FL               12  1 527 248  3.763    4  7.058    4  4.725    5  4.550    4 0.6648    3 0.6920    4   1107  1.630  5.054  4.045
Oklahoma               12  2 541 216  3.902    5  6.955    6  4.576    3  4.771    5 0.6478    5 0.6773    3   1147  1.294  4.782  4.760
Texas                  11  2 439 212  3.890    6  6.936    5  4.585    6  4.492    6 0.6416    6 0.6686    6    980  1.260  4.458  4.527
Kansas State           11  2 582 154  3.941    7  6.880    7  4.445    1  5.016    9 0.6280   14 0.6196    7    970  1.143  4.832  5.201
Iowa                   11  2 484 256  3.651    8  6.832    8  4.372    9  4.273    8 0.6340   10 0.6265    8    878  1.300  4.293  4.253
Washington St          10  3 431 296  3.764    9  6.805    9  4.336   15  4.045   10 0.6240   15 0.6180    9    872  1.475  4.313  3.778
Michigan               10  3 361 265  3.719   10  6.774   10  4.292   17  3.971    7 0.6367    8 0.6423   12    643  1.368  4.084  3.858
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame             10  3 290 217  3.685   11  6.771   11  4.282   27  3.723   11 0.6234   13 0.6207   11    759  0.866  3.217  4.230
Alabama                10  3 367 200  3.773   12  6.751   12  4.252    7  4.296   12 0.6209    9 0.6326   10    766  1.213  4.200  4.391
Colorado                9  5 398 325  3.872   13  6.656   13  4.122   19  3.925   16 0.5971   22 0.5984   16    557  1.200  3.813  4.037
Maryland               11  3 451 228  3.490   14  6.636   14  4.094   11  4.199   13 0.6128   17 0.6127   15    560  1.258  4.163  4.236
Auburn                  9  4 388 231  3.805   15  6.625   15  4.080   12  4.174   19 0.5903   28 0.5874   14    617  1.105  3.943  4.406
North Carolina St      11  3 460 238  3.458   16  6.607   16  4.053   13  4.096   15 0.6050   12 0.6228   13    626  1.316  4.136  4.055
Florida State           9  5 428 301  3.821   17  6.563   17  3.990   16  4.043   14 0.6092   11 0.6238   17    438  1.484  4.324  3.762
Boise State            12  1 593 240  2.820   18  6.558   18  3.979   14  4.095   21 0.5815   20 0.6033   26     60  1.508  4.411  3.779
Texas Tech              9  5 537 439  3.720   19  6.546   19  3.962   18  3.945   17 0.5946   16 0.6145   20    278  1.916  4.930  2.959
Penn State              9  4 446 227  3.660   20  6.498   20  3.897    8  4.286   18 0.5916   31 0.5805   21    261  1.146  4.105  4.466
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia           9  4 396 302  3.480   21  6.490   21  3.886   30  3.709   27 0.5747   26 0.5915   23    131  1.412  3.884  3.533
South Florida           9  2 339 204  2.975   22  6.483   22  3.875   47  3.357   31 0.5596    7 0.6523   31      0  1.270  3.335  3.378
Pittsburgh              9  4 331 232  3.465   23  6.480   23  3.870   21  3.823   25 0.5774   30 0.5855   19    325  1.134  3.627  4.019
Virginia Tech          10  4 429 263  3.480   24  6.471   25  3.844   20  3.908   22 0.5806   25 0.5946   18    398  1.164  3.749  4.066
Virginia                9  5 402 348  3.557   25  6.444   24  3.846   26  3.777   20 0.5855   24 0.5952   31      0  1.557  4.167  3.388
Florida                 8  5 336 279  3.641   26  6.438   26  3.839   31  3.682   24 0.5786   34 0.5689   26     60  1.239  3.620  3.743
UCLA                    8  5 387 326  3.680   27  6.437   27  3.838   25  3.787   23 0.5799   35 0.5678   28      4  1.481  4.063  3.511
Arkansas                9  5 370 277  3.590   28  6.426   28  3.825   34  3.635   26 0.5763   27 0.5892   22    183  1.224  3.553  3.717
Boston College          9  4 392 253  3.368   29  6.375   30  3.751   24  3.805   30 0.5608   33 0.5697   25     62  1.289  3.810  3.800
LSU                     8  5 323 238  3.578   30  6.374   29  3.752   33  3.645   35 0.5547   36 0.5578   31      0  1.076  3.378  3.913
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tennessee               8  5 296 227  3.463   31  6.301   31  3.647   35  3.621   37 0.5520   49 0.5274   31      0  0.763  3.007  4.234
Oregon State            8  5 414 267  3.545   32  6.300   32  3.647   22  3.819   34 0.5554   45 0.5396   31      0  1.344  3.899  3.739
TCU                    10  2 361 222  2.768   33  6.292   34  3.634   41  3.438   33 0.5562   21 0.5993   29      3  1.250  3.391  3.486
Iowa State              7  7 404 396  3.720   34  6.291   33  3.637   43  3.406   47 0.5322   40 0.5466   31      0  1.503  3.714  3.098
Colorado State         10  4 418 332  3.109   35  6.271   35  3.609   50  3.277   28 0.5695   23 0.5971   31      0  1.508  3.593  2.962
Arizona State           8  6 452 407  3.577   36  6.269   36  3.607   28  3.721   39 0.5468   48 0.5293   31      0  1.655  4.264  3.178
Washington              7  6 398 342  3.625   37  6.261   37  3.605   29  3.715   42 0.5422   53 0.5212   31      0  1.466  3.970  3.461
Marshall               11  2 457 315  2.565   38  6.245   39  3.578   57  3.153   32 0.5591   18 0.6097   31      0  1.629  3.655  2.651
Oklahoma St             8  5 446 356  3.367   39  6.243   38  3.578   37  3.589   43 0.5415   46 0.5360   24     68  1.691  4.191  2.987
California              7  5 427 318  3.574   40  6.241   40  3.576   23  3.808   36 0.5530   51 0.5262   30      1  1.665  4.367  3.248
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wisconsin               8  6 372 322  3.439   41  6.197   41  3.516   39  3.521   29 0.5652   39 0.5537   31      0  1.361  3.624  3.418
Minnesota               8  5 376 319  3.225   42  6.167   42  3.499   48  3.348   40 0.5446   44 0.5400   31      0  1.434  3.555  3.141
Mississippi             7  6 351 331  3.423   43  6.142   43  3.463   42  3.430   50 0.5277   56 0.5102   31      0  1.456  3.668  3.191
Clemson                 7  6 330 349  3.363   44  6.124   44  3.437   59  3.147   38 0.5494   41 0.5430   31      0  1.425  3.341  2.952
Georgia Tech            7  6 280 267  3.389   45  6.121   45  3.430   49  3.304   41 0.5426   43 0.5408   31      0  1.041  2.995  3.613
Nebraska                7  7 383 335  3.547   46  6.114   46  3.421   38  3.524   56 0.5208   68 0.4871   31      0  1.340  3.598  3.450
Wake Forest             7  6 356 327  3.383   47  6.110   47  3.414   40  3.483   46 0.5330   50 0.5272   31      0  1.314  3.522  3.444
Oregon                  7  6 417 362  3.406   48  6.096   48  3.401   44  3.400   52 0.5240   69 0.4859   31      0  1.622  3.891  2.908
Texas A&M               6  6 345 280  3.485   49  6.071   49  3.366   36  3.609   57 0.5145   60 0.4986   31      0  1.176  3.466  3.751
Kentucky                7  5 385 301  3.176   50  6.058   50  3.349   53  3.265   54 0.5213   64 0.4921   31      0  1.642  3.787  2.743
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Purdue                  7  6 386 288  3.387   51  6.052   51  3.340   32  3.665   44 0.5389   54 0.5171   31      0  1.379  3.795  3.536
Fresno State            9  5 378 379  2.855   52  6.035   52  3.316   61  3.013   48 0.5298   38 0.5552   31      0  1.404  3.177  2.849
Toledo                  9  5 495 378  2.872   53  5.975   53  3.232   56  3.174   49 0.5297   29 0.5871   31      0  1.670  3.742  2.606
Bowling Green           9  3 490 304  2.511   54  5.955   54  3.217   62  3.003   51 0.5250   32 0.5785   31      0  1.655  3.546  2.460
Northern Illinois       8  4 375 298  2.762   55  5.951   55  3.208   60  3.086   45 0.5388   19 0.6060   31      0  1.397  3.240  2.932
Hawai`i                10  4 502 389  2.568   56  5.935   56  3.185   65  2.958   55 0.5212   47 0.5321   31      0  1.716  3.599  2.316
Missouri                5  7 360 352  3.529   57  5.932   57  3.184   45  3.397   63 0.4932   63 0.4925   31      0  1.511  3.717  3.076
North Texas             8  5 249 192  2.872   58  5.923   58  3.169   54  3.211   53 0.5228   37 0.5554   31      0  0.619  2.459  3.963
Miami OH                7  5 384 325  2.942   59  5.901   59  3.139   58  3.153   58 0.5133   42 0.5426   31      0  1.604  3.615  2.691
Air Force               8  5 440 303  2.898   60  5.887   60  3.120   55  3.192   60 0.5002   65 0.4915   31      0  1.490  3.482  2.903
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
South Carolina          5  7 225 262  3.320   61  5.874   61  3.105   64  2.982   59 0.5042   67 0.4874   31      0  1.027  2.657  3.307
Cincinnati              7  7 409 329  3.046   62  5.803   63  3.008   51  3.271   62 0.4934   52 0.5233   31      0  1.457  3.511  3.031
Louisville              7  6 374 319  2.901   63  5.791   62  3.025   69  2.878   65 0.4853   58 0.5050   31      0  1.438  3.091  2.666
Southern Miss           7  6 282 238  2.899   64  5.759   64  2.999   66  2.951   66 0.4804   55 0.5103   31      0  0.854  2.432  3.469
Arizona                 4  8 227 310  3.332   65  5.730   65  2.957   70  2.872   70 0.4690   85 0.4278   31      0  1.128  2.668  3.075
Illinois                5  7 346 307  3.264   66  5.727   66  2.952   46  3.366   61 0.4942   71 0.4828   31      0  1.456  3.605  3.127
Central Florida         7  5 391 315  2.703   67  5.719   67  2.938   63  2.992   68 0.4776   59 0.5049   31      0  1.541  3.358  2.627
Tulane                  8  5 361 282  2.584   68  5.654   68  2.846   68  2.922   69 0.4761   61 0.4986   31      0  1.255  2.882  2.962
New Mexico State        7  5 327 328  2.460   69  5.640   70  2.826   81  2.565   64 0.4909   57 0.5075   31      0  1.544  2.935  2.194
North Carolina          3  9 223 421  3.384   70  5.638   69  2.827   84  2.490   73 0.4662   72 0.4708   31      0  1.399  2.647  2.332
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Temple                  4  8 242 351  3.175   71  5.626   71  2.809   74  2.763   77 0.4531   79 0.4456   31      0  1.371  2.881  2.645
New Mexico              7  7 341 358  2.744   72  5.625   72  2.806   73  2.807   67 0.4783   66 0.4904   31      0  0.920  2.359  3.255
Connecticut             6  6 373 270  2.783   73  5.541   75  2.685   52  3.270   79 0.4509   78 0.4478   31      0  1.401  3.430  3.110
Ball State              6  6 278 333  2.445   74  5.497   73  2.699   92  2.371   72 0.4673   62 0.4980   31      0  1.282  2.366  2.376
Syracuse                4  8 347 406  3.039   75  5.487   74  2.687   72  2.818   78 0.4511   81 0.4419   31      0  1.584  3.250  2.386
Stanford                2  9 225 377  3.586   76  5.483   76  2.682   71  2.851   76 0.4590   86 0.4254   31      0  1.393  3.000  2.702
Utah                    5  6 249 226  2.772   77  5.476   78  2.668   67  2.932   75 0.4618   75 0.4547   31      0  0.901  2.463  3.401
UNLV                    5  7 292 366  2.753   78  5.443   77  2.670   77  2.617   80 0.4502   77 0.4478   31      0  1.375  2.740  2.493
San Jose St             6  7 376 467  2.511   79  5.425   79  2.646   93  2.338   71 0.4680   70 0.4840   31      0  1.760  3.053  1.623
Michigan State          4  8 316 398  3.040   80  5.422   80  2.642   76  2.691   74 0.4632   87 0.4240   31      0  1.550  3.071  2.311
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young           5  7 272 333  2.659   81  5.379   81  2.564   90  2.403   82 0.4439   84 0.4369   31      0  1.330  2.464  2.342
San Diego St            4  9 309 411  2.919   82  5.348   82  2.520   80  2.585   84 0.4358   83 0.4393   31      0  1.515  2.912  2.258
East Carolina           4  8 335 399  2.808   83  5.325   85  2.487   83  2.494   91 0.4242   80 0.4450   31      0  1.629  2.996  1.992
Houston                 5  7 320 393  2.583   84  5.319   83  2.506   85  2.479   88 0.4315   76 0.4526   31      0  1.536  2.838  2.121
Mississippi St          3  9 227 339  3.113   85  5.307   84  2.490   75  2.697   89 0.4263   98 0.3947   31      0  1.316  2.739  2.656
Northwestern            3  9 272 493  2.957   86  5.294   86  2.468   95  2.274   85 0.4348   93 0.4112   31      0  1.703  2.896  1.653
Ala-Birmingham          5  7 268 370  2.472   87  5.292   87  2.463   99  2.250   93 0.4208   91 0.4189   31      0  1.515  2.577  1.923
Indiana                 3  9 258 445  2.900   88  5.210   88  2.428   94  2.301   83 0.4359  102 0.3791   31      0  1.590  2.742  1.860
Nevada                  5  7 331 371  2.512   89  5.202   89  2.414   88  2.445   81 0.4481   73 0.4572   31      0  1.550  2.825  2.065
Utah State              4  7 305 432  2.528   90  5.173   90  2.374  100  2.214   86 0.4338   89 0.4206   31      0  1.752  2.915  1.512
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Baylor                  3  9 202 496  2.483   91  5.160   91  2.355  109  1.877   87 0.4326   95 0.4047   31      0  1.288  1.881  1.874
Vanderbilt              2 10 221 368  3.221   92  5.159   92  2.354   79  2.587   94 0.4198  104 0.3711   31      0  1.352  2.678  2.496
Louisiana Tech          4  8 320 426  2.481   93  5.112   93  2.283  102  2.113   92 0.4230   92 0.4179   31      0  1.673  2.685  1.541
Ohio U.                 4  8 299 374  2.544   94  5.089   94  2.248   86  2.478   95 0.4188   74 0.4570   31      0  1.454  2.715  2.241
Arkansas State          6  7 259 361  1.974   95  5.071   95  2.218  106  1.955   99 0.4060   96 0.4018   31      0  1.142  1.770  2.141
Western Michigan        4  8 303 330  2.564   96  5.054   96  2.194   87  2.476   90 0.4260   82 0.4415   31      0  1.262  2.445  2.506
Duke                    2 10 227 353  2.998   97  5.022   97  2.146   82  2.560  100 0.4059  100 0.3859   31      0  1.205  2.454  2.666
Middle Tennessee St     4  8 297 332  2.391   98  4.965   98  2.057   91  2.376   98 0.4071   94 0.4106   31      0  1.472  2.638  2.114
Central Michigan        4  8 267 384  2.224   99  4.964   99  2.056  110  1.847   97 0.4079   90 0.4206   31      0  1.339  1.920  1.774
Rice                    4  7 253 296  2.217  100  4.950  100  2.036   98  2.257  102 0.3939   99 0.3921   31      0  1.233  2.187  2.326
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Memphis                 3  9 303 327  2.646  101  4.939  101  2.020   78  2.587  106 0.3780  107 0.3612   31      0  1.411  2.762  2.413
Akron                   4  8 325 379  2.359  102  4.936  102  2.014   89  2.426   96 0.4097   88 0.4216   31      0  1.524  2.766  2.087
UL-Lafayette            3  9 203 352  2.436  103  4.922  103  1.992  105  1.977  103 0.3913  105 0.3676   31      0  1.198  1.862  2.093
UL-Monroe               3  9 236 451  2.359  104  4.903  105  1.956  107  1.926  101 0.4011  101 0.3855   31      0  1.363  2.032  1.819
Wyoming                 2 10 288 432  2.679  105  4.902  104  1.956   97  2.266  112 0.3688  112 0.3453   31      0  1.593  2.712  1.821
Kansas                  2 10 248 507  2.563  106  4.880  106  1.922  108  1.879  104 0.3803  110 0.3536   31      0  1.593  2.324  1.434
Troy State              4  8 218 252  2.116  107  4.829  107  1.837  103  2.107  109 0.3751  117 0.3082   31      0  0.691  1.423  2.791
Kent State              3  9 202 424  2.120  108  4.825  108  1.832  114  1.455  105 0.3787   97 0.3961   31      0  1.265  1.427  1.482
SMU                     3  9 207 378  2.150  109  4.808  109  1.807  112  1.681  108 0.3758  103 0.3722   31      0  1.097  1.440  1.922
Idaho                   2 10 285 428  2.518  110  4.784  110  1.770  101  2.116  107 0.3778  106 0.3623   31      0  1.645  2.644  1.588
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Eastern Michigan        3  9 286 566  1.991  111  4.779  111  1.762  116  1.365  110 0.3750  111 0.3467   31      0  1.733  2.034  0.695
Navy                    2 10 290 436  2.534  112  4.775  112  1.756   96  2.269  113 0.3596  109 0.3549   31      0  1.683  2.857  1.681
Rutgers                 1 11 167 397  2.670  113  4.681  113  1.611  104  2.024  111 0.3735  108 0.3555   31      0  1.127  1.819  2.229
UTEP                    2 10 220 511  2.010  114  4.616  114  1.504  117  1.328  114 0.3551  113 0.3347   31      0  1.380  1.458  1.198
Army                    1 11 226 491  2.119  115  4.536  115  1.376  115  1.373  117 0.2921  115 0.3143   31      0  1.577  1.794  0.953
Buffalo                 1 11 214 416  2.230  116  4.468  116  1.342  113  1.548  116 0.3154  114 0.3308   31      0  1.359  1.648  1.447
Tulsa                   1 11 233 417  2.005  117  4.250  117  1.103  111  1.701  115 0.3204  116 0.3089   31      0  1.382  1.833  1.568


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.529 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Maryland               11  3 451 228  3.490   14  6.636   14  4.094   11  4.199   13 0.6128   17 0.6127   15    560  1.258  4.163  4.236
North Carolina St      11  3 460 238  3.458   16  6.607   16  4.053   13  4.096   15 0.6050   12 0.6228   13    626  1.316  4.136  4.055
Florida State           9  5 428 301  3.821   17  6.563   17  3.990   16  4.043   14 0.6092   11 0.6238   17    438  1.484  4.324  3.762
Virginia                9  5 402 348  3.557   25  6.444   24  3.846   26  3.777   20 0.5855   24 0.5952   31      0  1.557  4.167  3.388
Clemson                 7  6 330 349  3.363   44  6.124   44  3.437   59  3.147   38 0.5494   41 0.5430   31      0  1.425  3.341  2.952
Georgia Tech            7  6 280 267  3.389   45  6.121   45  3.430   49  3.304   41 0.5426   43 0.5408   31      0  1.041  2.995  3.613
Wake Forest             7  6 356 327  3.383   47  6.110   47  3.414   40  3.483   46 0.5330   50 0.5272   31      0  1.314  3.522  3.444
North Carolina          3  9 223 421  3.384   70  5.638   69  2.827   84  2.490   73 0.4662   72 0.4708   31      0  1.399  2.647  2.332
Duke                    2 10 227 353  2.998   97  5.022   97  2.146   82  2.560  100 0.4059  100 0.3859   31      0  1.205  2.454  2.666

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.528 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State             14  0 410 183  3.682    1  7.291    1  5.090   10  4.269    1 0.6949    1 0.7116    1   1247  0.792  3.685  4.853
Iowa                   11  2 484 256  3.651    8  6.832    8  4.372    9  4.273    8 0.6340   10 0.6265    8    878  1.300  4.293  4.253
Michigan               10  3 361 265  3.719   10  6.774   10  4.292   17  3.971    7 0.6367    8 0.6423   12    643  1.368  4.084  3.858
Penn State              9  4 446 227  3.660   20  6.498   20  3.897    8  4.286   18 0.5916   31 0.5805   21    261  1.146  4.105  4.466
Wisconsin               8  6 372 322  3.439   41  6.197   41  3.516   39  3.521   29 0.5652   39 0.5537   31      0  1.361  3.624  3.418
Minnesota               8  5 376 319  3.225   42  6.167   42  3.499   48  3.348   40 0.5446   44 0.5400   31      0  1.434  3.555  3.141
Purdue                  7  6 386 288  3.387   51  6.052   51  3.340   32  3.665   44 0.5389   54 0.5171   31      0  1.379  3.795  3.536
Illinois                5  7 346 307  3.264   66  5.727   66  2.952   46  3.366   61 0.4942   71 0.4828   31      0  1.456  3.605  3.127
Michigan State          4  8 316 398  3.040   80  5.422   80  2.642   76  2.691   74 0.4632   87 0.4240   31      0  1.550  3.071  2.311
Northwestern            3  9 272 493  2.957   86  5.294   86  2.468   95  2.274   85 0.4348   93 0.4112   31      0  1.703  2.896  1.653
Indiana                 3  9 258 445  2.900   88  5.210   88  2.428   94  2.301   83 0.4359  102 0.3791   31      0  1.590  2.742  1.860

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.797 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma               12  2 541 216  3.902    5  6.955    6  4.576    3  4.771    5 0.6478    5 0.6773    3   1147  1.294  4.782  4.760
Texas                  11  2 439 212  3.890    6  6.936    5  4.585    6  4.492    6 0.6416    6 0.6686    6    980  1.260  4.458  4.527
Kansas State           11  2 582 154  3.941    7  6.880    7  4.445    1  5.016    9 0.6280   14 0.6196    7    970  1.143  4.832  5.201
Colorado                9  5 398 325  3.872   13  6.656   13  4.122   19  3.925   16 0.5971   22 0.5984   16    557  1.200  3.813  4.037
Texas Tech              9  5 537 439  3.720   19  6.546   19  3.962   18  3.945   17 0.5946   16 0.6145   20    278  1.916  4.930  2.959
Iowa State              7  7 404 396  3.720   34  6.291   33  3.637   43  3.406   47 0.5322   40 0.5466   31      0  1.503  3.714  3.098
Oklahoma St             8  5 446 356  3.367   39  6.243   38  3.578   37  3.589   43 0.5415   46 0.5360   24     68  1.691  4.191  2.987
Nebraska                7  7 383 335  3.547   46  6.114   46  3.421   38  3.524   56 0.5208   68 0.4871   31      0  1.340  3.598  3.450
Texas A&M               6  6 345 280  3.485   49  6.071   49  3.366   36  3.609   57 0.5145   60 0.4986   31      0  1.176  3.466  3.751
Missouri                5  7 360 352  3.529   57  5.932   57  3.184   45  3.397   63 0.4932   63 0.4925   31      0  1.511  3.717  3.076
Baylor                  3  9 202 496  2.483   91  5.160   91  2.355  109  1.877   87 0.4326   95 0.4047   31      0  1.288  1.881  1.874
Kansas                  2 10 248 507  2.563  106  4.880  106  1.922  108  1.879  104 0.3803  110 0.3536   31      0  1.593  2.324  1.434

Big East Conf: strength=3.496 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami FL               12  1 527 248  3.763    4  7.058    4  4.725    5  4.550    4 0.6648    3 0.6920    4   1107  1.630  5.054  4.045
West Virginia           9  4 396 302  3.480   21  6.490   21  3.886   30  3.709   27 0.5747   26 0.5915   23    131  1.412  3.884  3.533
Pittsburgh              9  4 331 232  3.465   23  6.480   23  3.870   21  3.823   25 0.5774   30 0.5855   19    325  1.134  3.627  4.019
Virginia Tech          10  4 429 263  3.480   24  6.471   25  3.844   20  3.908   22 0.5806   25 0.5946   18    398  1.164  3.749  4.066
Boston College          9  4 392 253  3.368   29  6.375   30  3.751   24  3.805   30 0.5608   33 0.5697   25     62  1.289  3.810  3.800
Temple                  4  8 242 351  3.175   71  5.626   71  2.809   74  2.763   77 0.4531   79 0.4456   31      0  1.371  2.881  2.645
Syracuse                4  8 347 406  3.039   75  5.487   74  2.687   72  2.818   78 0.4511   81 0.4419   31      0  1.584  3.250  2.386
Rutgers                 1 11 167 397  2.670  113  4.681  113  1.611  104  2.024  111 0.3735  108 0.3555   31      0  1.127  1.819  2.229

Conference USA: strength=2.637 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
TCU                    10  2 361 222  2.768   33  6.292   34  3.634   41  3.438   33 0.5562   21 0.5993   29      3  1.250  3.391  3.486
Cincinnati              7  7 409 329  3.046   62  5.803   63  3.008   51  3.271   62 0.4934   52 0.5233   31      0  1.457  3.511  3.031
Louisville              7  6 374 319  2.901   63  5.791   62  3.025   69  2.878   65 0.4853   58 0.5050   31      0  1.438  3.091  2.666
Southern Miss           7  6 282 238  2.899   64  5.759   64  2.999   66  2.951   66 0.4804   55 0.5103   31      0  0.854  2.432  3.469
Tulane                  8  5 361 282  2.584   68  5.654   68  2.846   68  2.922   69 0.4761   61 0.4986   31      0  1.255  2.882  2.962
East Carolina           4  8 335 399  2.808   83  5.325   85  2.487   83  2.494   91 0.4242   80 0.4450   31      0  1.629  2.996  1.992
Houston                 5  7 320 393  2.583   84  5.319   83  2.506   85  2.479   88 0.4315   76 0.4526   31      0  1.536  2.838  2.121
Ala-Birmingham          5  7 268 370  2.472   87  5.292   87  2.463   99  2.250   93 0.4208   91 0.4189   31      0  1.515  2.577  1.923
Memphis                 3  9 303 327  2.646  101  4.939  101  2.020   78  2.587  106 0.3780  107 0.3612   31      0  1.411  2.762  2.413
Army                    1 11 226 491  2.119  115  4.536  115  1.376  115  1.373  117 0.2921  115 0.3143   31      0  1.577  1.794  0.953

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.385 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Marshall               11  2 457 315  2.565   38  6.245   39  3.578   57  3.153   32 0.5591   18 0.6097   31      0  1.629  3.655  2.651
Toledo                  9  5 495 378  2.872   53  5.975   53  3.232   56  3.174   49 0.5297   29 0.5871   31      0  1.670  3.742  2.606
Bowling Green           9  3 490 304  2.511   54  5.955   54  3.217   62  3.003   51 0.5250   32 0.5785   31      0  1.655  3.546  2.460
Northern Illinois       8  4 375 298  2.762   55  5.951   55  3.208   60  3.086   45 0.5388   19 0.6060   31      0  1.397  3.240  2.932
Miami OH                7  5 384 325  2.942   59  5.901   59  3.139   58  3.153   58 0.5133   42 0.5426   31      0  1.604  3.615  2.691
Central Florida         7  5 391 315  2.703   67  5.719   67  2.938   63  2.992   68 0.4776   59 0.5049   31      0  1.541  3.358  2.627
Ball State              6  6 278 333  2.445   74  5.497   73  2.699   92  2.371   72 0.4673   62 0.4980   31      0  1.282  2.366  2.376
Ohio U.                 4  8 299 374  2.544   94  5.089   94  2.248   86  2.478   95 0.4188   74 0.4570   31      0  1.454  2.715  2.241
Western Michigan        4  8 303 330  2.564   96  5.054   96  2.194   87  2.476   90 0.4260   82 0.4415   31      0  1.262  2.445  2.506
Central Michigan        4  8 267 384  2.224   99  4.964   99  2.056  110  1.847   97 0.4079   90 0.4206   31      0  1.339  1.920  1.774
Akron                   4  8 325 379  2.359  102  4.936  102  2.014   89  2.426   96 0.4097   88 0.4216   31      0  1.524  2.766  2.087
Kent State              3  9 202 424  2.120  108  4.825  108  1.832  114  1.455  105 0.3787   97 0.3961   31      0  1.265  1.427  1.482
Eastern Michigan        3  9 286 566  1.991  111  4.779  111  1.762  116  1.365  110 0.3750  111 0.3467   31      0  1.733  2.034  0.695
Buffalo                 1 11 214 416  2.230  116  4.468  116  1.342  113  1.548  116 0.3154  114 0.3308   31      0  1.359  1.648  1.447

Mountain West Conf: strength=2.718 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado State         10  4 418 332  3.109   35  6.271   35  3.609   50  3.277   28 0.5695   23 0.5971   31      0  1.508  3.593  2.962
Air Force               8  5 440 303  2.898   60  5.887   60  3.120   55  3.192   60 0.5002   65 0.4915   31      0  1.490  3.482  2.903
New Mexico              7  7 341 358  2.744   72  5.625   72  2.806   73  2.807   67 0.4783   66 0.4904   31      0  0.920  2.359  3.255
Utah                    5  6 249 226  2.772   77  5.476   78  2.668   67  2.932   75 0.4618   75 0.4547   31      0  0.901  2.463  3.401
UNLV                    5  7 292 366  2.753   78  5.443   77  2.670   77  2.617   80 0.4502   77 0.4478   31      0  1.375  2.740  2.493
Brigham Young           5  7 272 333  2.659   81  5.379   81  2.564   90  2.403   82 0.4439   84 0.4369   31      0  1.330  2.464  2.342
San Diego St            4  9 309 411  2.919   82  5.348   82  2.520   80  2.585   84 0.4358   83 0.4393   31      0  1.515  2.912  2.258
Wyoming                 2 10 288 432  2.679  105  4.902  104  1.956   97  2.266  112 0.3688  112 0.3453   31      0  1.593  2.712  1.821

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.818 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Cal           11  2 465 240  4.251    2  7.140    2  4.851    2  4.996    2 0.6892    2 0.7040    2   1189  1.434  5.203  4.789
Washington St          10  3 431 296  3.764    9  6.805    9  4.336   15  4.045   10 0.6240   15 0.6180    9    872  1.475  4.313  3.778
UCLA                    8  5 387 326  3.680   27  6.437   27  3.838   25  3.787   23 0.5799   35 0.5678   28      4  1.481  4.063  3.511
Oregon State            8  5 414 267  3.545   32  6.300   32  3.647   22  3.819   34 0.5554   45 0.5396   31      0  1.344  3.899  3.739
Arizona State           8  6 452 407  3.577   36  6.269   36  3.607   28  3.721   39 0.5468   48 0.5293   31      0  1.655  4.264  3.178
Washington              7  6 398 342  3.625   37  6.261   37  3.605   29  3.715   42 0.5422   53 0.5212   31      0  1.466  3.970  3.461
California              7  5 427 318  3.574   40  6.241   40  3.576   23  3.808   36 0.5530   51 0.5262   30      1  1.665  4.367  3.248
Oregon                  7  6 417 362  3.406   48  6.096   48  3.401   44  3.400   52 0.5240   69 0.4859   31      0  1.622  3.891  2.908
Arizona                 4  8 227 310  3.332   65  5.730   65  2.957   70  2.872   70 0.4690   85 0.4278   31      0  1.128  2.668  3.075
Stanford                2  9 225 377  3.586   76  5.483   76  2.682   71  2.851   76 0.4590   86 0.4254   31      0  1.393  3.000  2.702

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.656 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia                13  1 450 212  3.730    3  7.077    3  4.755    4  4.552    3 0.6764    4 0.6882    5   1060  1.245  4.499  4.605
Alabama                10  3 367 200  3.773   12  6.751   12  4.252    7  4.296   12 0.6209    9 0.6326   10    766  1.213  4.200  4.391
Auburn                  9  4 388 231  3.805   15  6.625   15  4.080   12  4.174   19 0.5903   28 0.5874   14    617  1.105  3.943  4.406
Florida                 8  5 336 279  3.641   26  6.438   26  3.839   31  3.682   24 0.5786   34 0.5689   26     60  1.239  3.620  3.743
Arkansas                9  5 370 277  3.590   28  6.426   28  3.825   34  3.635   26 0.5763   27 0.5892   22    183  1.224  3.553  3.717
LSU                     8  5 323 238  3.578   30  6.374   29  3.752   33  3.645   35 0.5547   36 0.5578   31      0  1.076  3.378  3.913
Tennessee               8  5 296 227  3.463   31  6.301   31  3.647   35  3.621   37 0.5520   49 0.5274   31      0  0.763  3.007  4.234
Mississippi             7  6 351 331  3.423   43  6.142   43  3.463   42  3.430   50 0.5277   56 0.5102   31      0  1.456  3.668  3.191
Kentucky                7  5 385 301  3.176   50  6.058   50  3.349   53  3.265   54 0.5213   64 0.4921   31      0  1.642  3.787  2.743
South Carolina          5  7 225 262  3.320   61  5.874   61  3.105   64  2.982   59 0.5042   67 0.4874   31      0  1.027  2.657  3.307
Mississippi St          3  9 227 339  3.113   85  5.307   84  2.490   75  2.697   89 0.4263   98 0.3947   31      0  1.316  2.739  2.656
Vanderbilt              2 10 221 368  3.221   92  5.159   92  2.354   79  2.587   94 0.4198  104 0.3711   31      0  1.352  2.678  2.496

Sun Belt Conf: strength=2.124 (#12)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
North Texas             8  5 249 192  2.872   58  5.923   58  3.169   54  3.211   53 0.5228   37 0.5554   31      0  0.619  2.459  3.963
New Mexico State        7  5 327 328  2.460   69  5.640   70  2.826   81  2.565   64 0.4909   57 0.5075   31      0  1.544  2.935  2.194
Arkansas State          6  7 259 361  1.974   95  5.071   95  2.218  106  1.955   99 0.4060   96 0.4018   31      0  1.142  1.770  2.141
Middle Tennessee St     4  8 297 332  2.391   98  4.965   98  2.057   91  2.376   98 0.4071   94 0.4106   31      0  1.472  2.638  2.114
UL-Lafayette            3  9 203 352  2.436  103  4.922  103  1.992  105  1.977  103 0.3913  105 0.3676   31      0  1.198  1.862  2.093
UL-Monroe               3  9 236 451  2.359  104  4.903  105  1.956  107  1.926  101 0.4011  101 0.3855   31      0  1.363  2.032  1.819
Idaho                   2 10 285 428  2.518  110  4.784  110  1.770  101  2.116  107 0.3778  106 0.3623   31      0  1.645  2.644  1.588

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.211 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boise State            12  1 593 240  2.820   18  6.558   18  3.979   14  4.095   21 0.5815   20 0.6033   26     60  1.508  4.411  3.779
Fresno State            9  5 378 379  2.855   52  6.035   52  3.316   61  3.013   48 0.5298   38 0.5552   31      0  1.404  3.177  2.849
Hawai`i                10  4 502 389  2.568   56  5.935   56  3.185   65  2.958   55 0.5212   47 0.5321   31      0  1.716  3.599  2.316
San Jose St             6  7 376 467  2.511   79  5.425   79  2.646   93  2.338   71 0.4680   70 0.4840   31      0  1.760  3.053  1.623
Nevada                  5  7 331 371  2.512   89  5.202   89  2.414   88  2.445   81 0.4481   73 0.4572   31      0  1.550  2.825  2.065
Louisiana Tech          4  8 320 426  2.481   93  5.112   93  2.283  102  2.113   92 0.4230   92 0.4179   31      0  1.673  2.685  1.541
Rice                    4  7 253 296  2.217  100  4.950  100  2.036   98  2.257  102 0.3939   99 0.3921   31      0  1.233  2.187  2.326
SMU                     3  9 207 378  2.150  109  4.808  109  1.807  112  1.681  108 0.3758  103 0.3722   31      0  1.097  1.440  1.922
UTEP                    2 10 220 511  2.010  114  4.616  114  1.504  117  1.328  114 0.3551  113 0.3347   31      0  1.380  1.458  1.198
Tulsa                   1 11 233 417  2.005  117  4.250  117  1.103  111  1.701  115 0.3204  116 0.3089   31      0  1.382  1.833  1.568

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.729 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame             10  3 290 217  3.685   11  6.771   11  4.282   27  3.723   11 0.6234   13 0.6207   11    759  0.866  3.217  4.230
South Florida           9  2 339 204  2.975   22  6.483   22  3.875   47  3.357   31 0.5596    7 0.6523   31      0  1.270  3.335  3.378
Connecticut             6  6 373 270  2.783   73  5.541   75  2.685   52  3.270   79 0.4509   78 0.4478   31      0  1.401  3.430  3.110
Utah State              4  7 305 432  2.528   90  5.173   90  2.374  100  2.214   86 0.4338   89 0.4206   31      0  1.752  2.915  1.512
Troy State              4  8 218 252  2.116  107  4.829  107  1.837  103  2.107  109 0.3751  117 0.3082   31      0  0.691  1.423  2.791
Navy                    2 10 290 436  2.534  112  4.775  112  1.756   96  2.269  113 0.3596  109 0.3549   31      0  1.683  2.857  1.681

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Pacific 10 Conf                               72 55 0.567    1  3.818
Big 12 Conf                                   90 67 0.573    2  3.797
Southeastern Conf                             89 65 0.578    3  3.656
Atlantic Coast Conf                           66 53 0.555    4  3.529
Big 10 Conf                                   82 59 0.582    5  3.528
Big East Conf                                 58 44 0.569    6  3.496
Division I-A Independents                     35 36 0.493    7  2.729
Mountain West Conf                            46 55 0.455    8  2.718
Conference USA                                57 68 0.456    9  2.637
Mid-American Conf                             80 91 0.468   10  2.385
Western Athletic Conf                         56 69 0.448   11  2.211
Sun Belt Conf                                 33 53 0.384   12  2.124

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.188 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:18:49 2007

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