Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami FL               12  0 512 117  4.402    1  7.307    1  5.403    1  5.635    1 0.6999    1 0.7306    1   1250  1.149  5.435  5.835
Tennessee              11  2 400 251  4.132    2  6.980    2  4.822    5  4.572    3 0.6735    2 0.6723    2   1178  1.395  4.701  4.443
Oregon                 11  1 412 256  3.832    3  6.949    3  4.776    7  4.373    2 0.6803    3 0.6719    5   1060  1.437  4.562  4.184
Nebraska               11  2 463 226  4.068    4  6.896    4  4.692    4  4.652    5 0.6470    4 0.6715    7    959  1.415  4.808  4.495
Florida                10  2 538 178  4.122    5  6.834    6  4.602    2  5.179    4 0.6507    6 0.6583    3   1170  1.458  5.398  4.960
Oklahoma               11  2 397 169  3.960    6  6.833    7  4.601    6  4.496   11 0.6278   14 0.6314    4   1083  1.031  4.153  4.840
Syracuse               10  3 334 247  4.031    7  6.831    8  4.598   10  4.326   13 0.6211    8 0.6450    9    837  1.225  4.224  4.429
Texas                  11  2 517 207  3.922    8  6.810    9  4.567    3  4.756    7 0.6433    9 0.6449    8    920  1.396  4.886  4.627
Colorado               10  3 412 318  4.025    9  6.754    5  4.602   13  4.166    6 0.6458    7 0.6547    6    976  1.600  4.600  3.732
Maryland               10  2 413 266  3.737   10  6.695   10  4.513   19  4.057   14 0.6134   15 0.6267   10    817  1.503  4.342  3.772
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Illinois               10  2 390 285  3.713   11  6.663   11  4.461   20  4.056    8 0.6356   10 0.6404   13    625  1.578  4.455  3.656
LSU                    10  3 418 302  3.868   12  6.641   12  4.408   11  4.240    9 0.6320   12 0.6357   12    724  1.445  4.440  4.040
Washington St          10  2 420 269  3.616   13  6.623   13  4.382   25  3.951   10 0.6319   13 0.6321   11    726  1.450  4.159  3.744
Stanford                9  3 422 339  3.794   14  6.556   14  4.309   33  3.879   12 0.6274   16 0.6142   14    600  1.761  4.574  3.185
Florida State           8  4 403 304  4.109   15  6.541   15  4.289    9  4.359   18 0.6017   18 0.6100   15    571  1.643  4.861  3.857
South Carolina          9  3 310 230  3.738   16  6.534   16  4.278   32  3.888   17 0.6037   22 0.5960   17    433  1.149  3.687  4.088
Washington              8  4 353 370  3.849   17  6.506   17  4.235   38  3.741   15 0.6074   21 0.6037   23    213  1.568  4.125  3.357
Louisville             11  2 394 223  3.303   18  6.455   18  4.158   27  3.938   22 0.5889   11 0.6377   19    296  1.082  3.656  4.221
Brigham Young          12  2 618 424  3.175   19  6.418   19  4.135   48  3.590   20 0.5909   17 0.6101   27     19  2.010  4.724  2.456
Texas A&M               8  4 248 213  3.747   20  6.412   20  4.129   35  3.797   23 0.5796   30 0.5792   26     48  0.954  3.365  4.230
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan                8  4 320 237  3.869   21  6.406   21  4.120   18  4.057   19 0.5984   20 0.6047   18    360  1.208  3.933  4.182
UCLA                    7  4 317 225  3.889   22  6.361   22  4.059   23  3.963   16 0.6040   25 0.5931   24    129  1.276  3.927  4.000
Marshall               11  2 512 369  3.010   23  6.357   23  4.051   54  3.478   25 0.5730    5 0.6606   25     78  1.719  4.103  2.853
Boston College          8  4 337 227  3.790   24  6.345   24  4.035   17  4.064   30 0.5583   34 0.5577   21    228  1.290  4.048  4.080
Georgia                 8  4 331 228  3.721   25  6.325   25  4.035   22  3.968   27 0.5694   36 0.5528   16    480  1.220  3.858  4.077
Fresno State           11  3 560 344  3.327   26  6.298   26  3.994   31  3.893   21 0.5897   19 0.6075   20    241  1.702  4.490  3.297
Virginia Tech           8  4 376 177  3.899   27  6.288   28  3.981    8  4.371   32 0.5546   33 0.5617   22    222  1.151  4.173  4.569
North Carolina          8  5 337 271  3.841   28  6.287   27  3.981   28  3.912   24 0.5770   27 0.5863   28      4  1.217  3.799  4.025
Arkansas                7  5 294 279  3.756   29  6.234   30  3.907   41  3.690   28 0.5673   29 0.5806   31      0  1.130  3.466  3.914
Auburn                  7  5 254 281  3.658   30  6.225   29  3.918   56  3.446   26 0.5723   31 0.5732   31      0  1.041  3.114  3.778
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia Tech            8  5 405 281  3.659   31  6.141   31  3.806   29  3.907   34 0.5521   39 0.5480   31      0  1.288  3.888  3.926
Alabama                 7  5 318 232  3.728   32  6.132   32  3.795   21  3.998   29 0.5629   40 0.5478   31      0  1.267  3.949  4.046
Iowa                    7  5 391 258  3.732   33  6.128   33  3.789   15  4.118   38 0.5452   45 0.5393   31      0  1.453  4.331  3.906
Texas Tech              7  5 402 281  3.882   34  6.116   34  3.787   14  4.159   35 0.5516   41 0.5465   30      1  1.600  4.592  3.725
Ohio State              7  5 312 244  3.685   35  6.115   35  3.786   30  3.895   36 0.5505   50 0.5335   31      0  1.260  3.839  3.951
Utah                    8  4 329 210  3.507   36  6.114   36  3.783   26  3.940   31 0.5550   23 0.5957   29      2  1.081  3.656  4.224
Michigan State          7  5 374 311  3.632   37  6.092   37  3.753   34  3.842   44 0.5371   60 0.5140   31      0  1.595  4.267  3.417
Kansas State            6  6 330 205  4.043   38  6.085   38  3.744   12  4.236   33 0.5523   37 0.5518   31      0  1.107  3.984  4.488
Pittsburgh              7  5 296 245  3.663   39  6.083   39  3.740   24  3.957   46 0.5331   43 0.5438   31      0  1.302  3.957  3.957
Clemson                 7  5 369 339  3.546   40  6.067   40  3.718   49  3.548   41 0.5432   38 0.5489   31      0  1.524  3.865  3.230
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Toledo                 10  2 407 297  2.777   41  6.060   41  3.705   72  3.153   40 0.5438   24 0.5939   31      0  1.655  3.674  2.633
Iowa State              7  5 309 245  3.597   42  6.050   42  3.692   36  3.781   39 0.5452   59 0.5154   31      0  1.204  3.651  3.912
Penn State              5  6 248 281  3.885   43  6.046   43  3.688   43  3.649   49 0.5313   56 0.5186   31      0  1.279  3.618  3.680
North Carolina St       7  5 319 257  3.535   44  6.035   44  3.672   40  3.697   45 0.5337   58 0.5173   31      0  1.268  3.651  3.742
Southern Cal            6  6 298 207  3.795   45  6.004   46  3.631   16  4.066   42 0.5422   62 0.5112   31      0  1.044  3.738  4.394
Notre Dame              5  6 214 215  3.867   46  5.998   45  3.646   39  3.717   53 0.5259   65 0.5039   31      0  0.985  3.320  4.114
Purdue                  6  6 250 278  3.654   47  5.954   47  3.628   59  3.411   52 0.5282   57 0.5183   31      0  1.033  3.070  3.753
Mississippi             7  4 391 310  3.256   48  5.937   48  3.604   58  3.427   48 0.5315   55 0.5213   31      0  1.647  3.935  2.918
Wake Forest             6  5 292 311  3.428   49  5.911   49  3.569   62  3.327   47 0.5323   54 0.5252   31      0  1.476  3.572  3.082
Indiana                 5  6 305 298  3.747   50  5.909   50  3.567   42  3.685   55 0.5140   69 0.4919   31      0  1.509  3.980  3.390
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bowling Green           8  3 333 215  2.989   51  5.879   51  3.522   44  3.628   43 0.5389   26 0.5868   31      0  1.301  3.625  3.630
Wisconsin               5  7 313 346  3.760   52  5.857   52  3.493   47  3.591   57 0.5131   68 0.4920   31      0  1.548  3.944  3.238
Colorado State          7  5 298 274  3.309   53  5.851   53  3.483   55  3.456   51 0.5286   35 0.5539   31      0  1.249  3.384  3.527
Hawai'i                 9  3 483 318  2.861   54  5.842   54  3.469   52  3.525   37 0.5474   44 0.5412   31      0  1.704  4.125  2.925
Boise State             8  4 411 280  3.019   55  5.831   55  3.433   50  3.547   54 0.5231   42 0.5448   31      0  1.398  3.680  3.415
Oregon State            5  6 287 259  3.613   56  5.792   56  3.375   37  3.774   50 0.5296   63 0.5085   31      0  1.249  3.702  3.846
Virginia                5  7 249 331  3.522   57  5.789   57  3.371   71  3.179   66 0.4901   79 0.4614   31      0  1.290  3.162  3.196
Troy State              7  4 246 269  2.687   58  5.776   58  3.348   81  2.886   61 0.5019   28 0.5862   31      0  1.111  2.638  3.134
Rice                    8  4 333 335  2.685   59  5.773   59  3.342   86  2.782   59 0.5048   52 0.5304   31      0  1.338  2.830  2.734
Miami OH                7  5 319 309  3.078   60  5.770   60  3.339   70  3.187   58 0.5111   32 0.5686   31      0  1.429  3.365  3.010
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
South Florida           8  3 387 231  2.633   61  5.767   61  3.335   69  3.191   72 0.4751   53 0.5271   31      0  1.456  3.406  2.975
Southern Miss           6  5 278 186  3.295   62  5.759   62  3.323   45  3.598   69 0.4816   67 0.4927   31      0  0.995  3.212  3.984
Arizona                 5  6 320 377  3.384   63  5.749   63  3.310   67  3.225   60 0.5045   76 0.4714   31      0  1.694  3.809  2.642
Oklahoma St             4  7 242 281  3.616   64  5.726   65  3.276   53  3.503   65 0.4929   73 0.4837   31      0  1.183  3.345  3.660
Louisiana Tech          7  5 406 390  3.033   65  5.721   64  3.309   77  3.039   56 0.5133   48 0.5363   31      0  1.712  3.652  2.426
East Carolina           6  6 421 360  3.341   66  5.698   66  3.276   51  3.528   62 0.4999   51 0.5333   31      0  1.669  4.070  2.985
Middle Tennessee St     8  3 408 286  2.547   67  5.682   67  3.248   76  3.063   63 0.4967   49 0.5357   31      0  1.693  3.645  2.482
Ala-Birmingham          6  5 265 206  3.095   68  5.656   68  3.209   66  3.233   78 0.4687   72 0.4870   31      0  0.987  2.839  3.627
Northwestern            4  7 320 378  3.563   69  5.653   69  3.206   65  3.254   77 0.4699   85 0.4490   31      0  1.761  3.948  2.560
Missouri                4  7 240 330  3.407   70  5.622   70  3.161   79  2.936   68 0.4824   77 0.4714   31      0  1.264  2.885  2.987
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
New Mexico              6  5 304 243  3.065   71  5.611   71  3.142   57  3.441   70 0.4797   74 0.4809   31      0  1.332  3.481  3.400
Cincinnati              7  5 336 290  2.828   72  5.603   72  3.131   78  3.023   75 0.4707   66 0.4939   31      0  1.425  3.194  2.852
Central Florida         6  5 333 204  3.184   73  5.595   73  3.120   46  3.592   76 0.4706   64 0.5055   31      0  1.143  3.385  3.799
TCU                     6  6 289 285  3.103   74  5.584   74  3.105   73  3.152   71 0.4771   47 0.5363   31      0  1.333  3.194  3.110
Air Force               6  6 337 386  2.948   75  5.579   75  3.097   82  2.853   79 0.4670   78 0.4650   31      0  1.658  3.378  2.328
Minnesota               4  7 308 299  3.451   76  5.554   76  3.063   61  3.402   81 0.4597   93 0.4303   31      0  1.338  3.451  3.353
Kent State              6  5 248 281  2.771   77  5.549   77  3.054   84  2.818   73 0.4738   61 0.5136   31      0  1.277  2.783  2.853
Kansas                  3  8 182 398  3.266   78  5.534   78  3.033   95  2.533   80 0.4664   88 0.4452   31      0  1.243  2.454  2.612
Northern Illinois       6  5 303 292  2.815   79  5.533   80  3.028   80  2.914   64 0.4937   46 0.5373   31      0  1.420  3.078  2.751
Arizona State           4  7 374 361  3.492   80  5.532   79  3.029   60  3.406   67 0.4847   89 0.4374   31      0  1.805  4.175  2.638
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Memphis                 5  6 294 281  3.050   81  5.493   81  2.967   74  3.147   83 0.4474   82 0.4595   31      0  1.448  3.352  2.943
Temple                  4  7 198 311  3.068   82  5.483   82  2.953   85  2.808   82 0.4517   83 0.4522   31      0  1.124  2.577  3.039
Mississippi St          3  8 196 288  3.517   83  5.472   83  2.935   75  3.142   74 0.4726   84 0.4518   31      0  1.067  2.841  3.442
UNLV                    4  7 284 270  3.170   84  5.418   84  2.833   63  3.316   88 0.4440   87 0.4462   31      0  1.294  3.305  3.327
Western Michigan        5  6 277 266  2.825   85  5.392   85  2.795   83  2.849   85 0.4448   71 0.4887   31      0  1.269  2.803  2.894
Utah State              4  7 316 421  2.883   86  5.355   86  2.738   96  2.525   86 0.4445   75 0.4726   31      0  1.733  3.173  1.877
West Virginia           3  8 235 268  3.485   87  5.354   87  2.738   64  3.293   87 0.4443   95 0.4212   31      0  1.198  3.155  3.431
Baylor                  3  8 205 357  3.087   88  5.342   88  2.717   91  2.603   94 0.4250   98 0.4005   31      0  1.401  2.741  2.466
Kentucky                2  9 259 367  3.589   89  5.336   89  2.707   68  3.208   84 0.4458   91 0.4311   31      0  1.569  3.594  2.822
Akron                   4  7 281 360  2.832   90  5.305   90  2.655   93  2.595   96 0.4242   80 0.4600   31      0  1.458  2.814  2.376
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
New Mexico State        5  7 286 400  2.580   91  5.280   91  2.617  100  2.357   91 0.4292   86 0.4479   31      0  1.543  2.703  2.011
San Diego St            3  8 184 290  3.012   92  5.231   92  2.603   88  2.679   99 0.4143  101 0.3870   31      0  0.921  2.210  3.147
Ball State              5  6 268 296  2.513   93  5.217   93  2.581   94  2.575   89 0.4403   70 0.4891   31      0  1.435  2.761  2.389
North Texas             5  7 275 293  2.683   94  5.208   94  2.569   87  2.736   93 0.4261   81 0.4595   31      0  1.189  2.587  2.886
SMU                     4  7 226 295  2.739   95  5.206   95  2.567   89  2.678   92 0.4286   92 0.4308   31      0  1.106  2.425  2.932
Nevada                  3  8 286 431  2.867   96  5.157   96  2.491   98  2.404   97 0.4204   90 0.4340   31      0  1.649  2.915  1.893
Vanderbilt              2  9 226 402  3.209   97  5.137   97  2.462   90  2.635   98 0.4204   99 0.3975   31      0  1.501  2.918  2.352
Tulane                  3  9 344 495  2.931   98  5.117   98  2.430   97  2.474  100 0.3933   97 0.4072   31      0  1.916  3.437  1.511
San Jose St             3  9 295 461  2.863   99  5.110   99  2.419   99  2.369   95 0.4245   96 0.4117   31      0  1.566  2.750  1.989
California              1 10 201 431  3.408  100  5.049  100  2.346   92  2.599   90 0.4358   94 0.4273   31      0  1.412  2.752  2.446
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wyoming                 2  9 229 368  2.983  101  5.036  101  2.321  101  2.357  101 0.3873  104 0.3688   31      0  1.501  2.639  2.075
Army                    3  8 229 365  2.561  102  4.975  102  2.219  105  2.202  105 0.3570  108 0.3462   31      0  1.383  2.313  2.091
Central Michigan        3  8 251 346  2.482  103  4.914  103  2.129  103  2.269  102 0.3781  100 0.3901   31      0  1.501  2.552  1.986
Rutgers                 2  9 119 397  2.490  104  4.861  104  2.047  114  1.752  103 0.3669  109 0.3438   31      0  1.027  1.404  2.100
UL-Lafayette            3  8 234 365  2.185  105  4.792  105  1.930  110  1.936  111 0.3393  116 0.3116   31      0  1.421  2.102  1.770
Ohio U.                 1 10 198 323  2.858  106  4.780  106  1.914  102  2.280  106 0.3484  102 0.3770   31      0  1.246  2.205  2.355
Buffalo                 3  8 205 286  2.180  107  4.756  107  1.872  107  2.138  107 0.3453  105 0.3638   31      0  1.180  1.977  2.298
Duke                    0 11 212 491  3.190  108  4.744  108  1.858  104  2.211  104 0.3616  110 0.3384   31      0  1.617  2.672  1.751
UL-Monroe               2  9 148 351  2.235  109  4.701  109  1.781  115  1.703  109 0.3432  103 0.3733   31      0  0.975  1.294  2.112
UTEP                    2  9 235 414  2.227  110  4.693  110  1.769  111  1.815  110 0.3410  114 0.3223   31      0  1.482  2.069  1.561
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Connecticut             2  9 192 370  2.172  111  4.646  111  1.680  112  1.813  114 0.3287  106 0.3568   31      0  1.303  1.814  1.813
Houston                 0 11 190 432  2.944  112  4.640  112  1.676  108  2.090  113 0.3293  107 0.3550   31      0  1.543  2.436  1.743
Idaho                   1 10 313 495  2.415  113  4.565  113  1.556  109  2.016  108 0.3437  113 0.3270   31      0  1.977  3.090  0.942
Tulsa                   1 10 191 387  2.304  114  4.541  114  1.515  113  1.782  112 0.3353  111 0.3328   31      0  1.204  1.651  1.913
Arkansas State          2  9 177 357  1.863  115  4.515  115  1.469  117  1.406  116 0.3090  115 0.3205   31      0  1.127  1.179  1.634
Navy                    0 10 183 344  2.626  116  4.506  116  1.457  106  2.178  117 0.3051  117 0.2918   31      0  1.394  2.305  2.051
Eastern Michigan        2  9 197 356  1.817  117  4.473  117  1.396  116  1.659  115 0.3096  112 0.3290   31      0  0.961  1.235  2.083


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.683 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Maryland               10  2 413 266  3.737   10  6.695   10  4.513   19  4.057   14 0.6134   15 0.6267   10    817  1.503  4.342  3.772
Florida State           8  4 403 304  4.109   15  6.541   15  4.289    9  4.359   18 0.6017   18 0.6100   15    571  1.643  4.861  3.857
North Carolina          8  5 337 271  3.841   28  6.287   27  3.981   28  3.912   24 0.5770   27 0.5863   28      4  1.217  3.799  4.025
Georgia Tech            8  5 405 281  3.659   31  6.141   31  3.806   29  3.907   34 0.5521   39 0.5480   31      0  1.288  3.888  3.926
Clemson                 7  5 369 339  3.546   40  6.067   40  3.718   49  3.548   41 0.5432   38 0.5489   31      0  1.524  3.865  3.230
North Carolina St       7  5 319 257  3.535   44  6.035   44  3.672   40  3.697   45 0.5337   58 0.5173   31      0  1.268  3.651  3.742
Wake Forest             6  5 292 311  3.428   49  5.911   49  3.569   62  3.327   47 0.5323   54 0.5252   31      0  1.476  3.572  3.082
Virginia                5  7 249 331  3.522   57  5.789   57  3.371   71  3.179   66 0.4901   79 0.4614   31      0  1.290  3.162  3.196
Duke                    0 11 212 491  3.190  108  4.744  108  1.858  104  2.211  104 0.3616  110 0.3384   31      0  1.617  2.672  1.751

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.804 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Illinois               10  2 390 285  3.713   11  6.663   11  4.461   20  4.056    8 0.6356   10 0.6404   13    625  1.578  4.455  3.656
Michigan                8  4 320 237  3.869   21  6.406   21  4.120   18  4.057   19 0.5984   20 0.6047   18    360  1.208  3.933  4.182
Iowa                    7  5 391 258  3.732   33  6.128   33  3.789   15  4.118   38 0.5452   45 0.5393   31      0  1.453  4.331  3.906
Ohio State              7  5 312 244  3.685   35  6.115   35  3.786   30  3.895   36 0.5505   50 0.5335   31      0  1.260  3.839  3.951
Michigan State          7  5 374 311  3.632   37  6.092   37  3.753   34  3.842   44 0.5371   60 0.5140   31      0  1.595  4.267  3.417
Penn State              5  6 248 281  3.885   43  6.046   43  3.688   43  3.649   49 0.5313   56 0.5186   31      0  1.279  3.618  3.680
Purdue                  6  6 250 278  3.654   47  5.954   47  3.628   59  3.411   52 0.5282   57 0.5183   31      0  1.033  3.070  3.753
Indiana                 5  6 305 298  3.747   50  5.909   50  3.567   42  3.685   55 0.5140   69 0.4919   31      0  1.509  3.980  3.390
Wisconsin               5  7 313 346  3.760   52  5.857   52  3.493   47  3.591   57 0.5131   68 0.4920   31      0  1.548  3.944  3.238
Northwestern            4  7 320 378  3.563   69  5.653   69  3.206   65  3.254   77 0.4699   85 0.4490   31      0  1.761  3.948  2.560
Minnesota               4  7 308 299  3.451   76  5.554   76  3.063   61  3.402   81 0.4597   93 0.4303   31      0  1.338  3.451  3.353

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.954 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska               11  2 463 226  4.068    4  6.896    4  4.692    4  4.652    5 0.6470    4 0.6715    7    959  1.415  4.808  4.495
Oklahoma               11  2 397 169  3.960    6  6.833    7  4.601    6  4.496   11 0.6278   14 0.6314    4   1083  1.031  4.153  4.840
Texas                  11  2 517 207  3.922    8  6.810    9  4.567    3  4.756    7 0.6433    9 0.6449    8    920  1.396  4.886  4.627
Colorado               10  3 412 318  4.025    9  6.754    5  4.602   13  4.166    6 0.6458    7 0.6547    6    976  1.600  4.600  3.732
Texas A&M               8  4 248 213  3.747   20  6.412   20  4.129   35  3.797   23 0.5796   30 0.5792   26     48  0.954  3.365  4.230
Texas Tech              7  5 402 281  3.882   34  6.116   34  3.787   14  4.159   35 0.5516   41 0.5465   30      1  1.600  4.592  3.725
Kansas State            6  6 330 205  4.043   38  6.085   38  3.744   12  4.236   33 0.5523   37 0.5518   31      0  1.107  3.984  4.488
Iowa State              7  5 309 245  3.597   42  6.050   42  3.692   36  3.781   39 0.5452   59 0.5154   31      0  1.204  3.651  3.912
Oklahoma St             4  7 242 281  3.616   64  5.726   65  3.276   53  3.503   65 0.4929   73 0.4837   31      0  1.183  3.345  3.660
Missouri                4  7 240 330  3.407   70  5.622   70  3.161   79  2.936   68 0.4824   77 0.4714   31      0  1.264  2.885  2.987
Kansas                  3  8 182 398  3.266   78  5.534   78  3.033   95  2.533   80 0.4664   88 0.4452   31      0  1.243  2.454  2.612
Baylor                  3  8 205 357  3.087   88  5.342   88  2.717   91  2.603   94 0.4250   98 0.4005   31      0  1.401  2.741  2.466

Big East Conf: strength=3.862 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami FL               12  0 512 117  4.402    1  7.307    1  5.403    1  5.635    1 0.6999    1 0.7306    1   1250  1.149  5.435  5.835
Syracuse               10  3 334 247  4.031    7  6.831    8  4.598   10  4.326   13 0.6211    8 0.6450    9    837  1.225  4.224  4.429
Boston College          8  4 337 227  3.790   24  6.345   24  4.035   17  4.064   30 0.5583   34 0.5577   21    228  1.290  4.048  4.080
Virginia Tech           8  4 376 177  3.899   27  6.288   28  3.981    8  4.371   32 0.5546   33 0.5617   22    222  1.151  4.173  4.569
Pittsburgh              7  5 296 245  3.663   39  6.083   39  3.740   24  3.957   46 0.5331   43 0.5438   31      0  1.302  3.957  3.957
Temple                  4  7 198 311  3.068   82  5.483   82  2.953   85  2.808   82 0.4517   83 0.4522   31      0  1.124  2.577  3.039
West Virginia           3  8 235 268  3.485   87  5.354   87  2.738   64  3.293   87 0.4443   95 0.4212   31      0  1.198  3.155  3.431
Rutgers                 2  9 119 397  2.490  104  4.861  104  2.047  114  1.752  103 0.3669  109 0.3438   31      0  1.027  1.404  2.100

Conference USA: strength=3.010 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisville             11  2 394 223  3.303   18  6.455   18  4.158   27  3.938   22 0.5889   11 0.6377   19    296  1.082  3.656  4.221
Southern Miss           6  5 278 186  3.295   62  5.759   62  3.323   45  3.598   69 0.4816   67 0.4927   31      0  0.995  3.212  3.984
East Carolina           6  6 421 360  3.341   66  5.698   66  3.276   51  3.528   62 0.4999   51 0.5333   31      0  1.669  4.070  2.985
Ala-Birmingham          6  5 265 206  3.095   68  5.656   68  3.209   66  3.233   78 0.4687   72 0.4870   31      0  0.987  2.839  3.627
Cincinnati              7  5 336 290  2.828   72  5.603   72  3.131   78  3.023   75 0.4707   66 0.4939   31      0  1.425  3.194  2.852
TCU                     6  6 289 285  3.103   74  5.584   74  3.105   73  3.152   71 0.4771   47 0.5363   31      0  1.333  3.194  3.110
Memphis                 5  6 294 281  3.050   81  5.493   81  2.967   74  3.147   83 0.4474   82 0.4595   31      0  1.448  3.352  2.943
Tulane                  3  9 344 495  2.931   98  5.117   98  2.430   97  2.474  100 0.3933   97 0.4072   31      0  1.916  3.437  1.511
Army                    3  8 229 365  2.561  102  4.975  102  2.219  105  2.202  105 0.3570  108 0.3462   31      0  1.383  2.313  2.091
Houston                 0 11 190 432  2.944  112  4.640  112  1.676  108  2.090  113 0.3293  107 0.3550   31      0  1.543  2.436  1.743

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.623 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Marshall               11  2 512 369  3.010   23  6.357   23  4.051   54  3.478   25 0.5730    5 0.6606   25     78  1.719  4.103  2.853
Toledo                 10  2 407 297  2.777   41  6.060   41  3.705   72  3.153   40 0.5438   24 0.5939   31      0  1.655  3.674  2.633
Bowling Green           8  3 333 215  2.989   51  5.879   51  3.522   44  3.628   43 0.5389   26 0.5868   31      0  1.301  3.625  3.630
Miami OH                7  5 319 309  3.078   60  5.770   60  3.339   70  3.187   58 0.5111   32 0.5686   31      0  1.429  3.365  3.010
Kent State              6  5 248 281  2.771   77  5.549   77  3.054   84  2.818   73 0.4738   61 0.5136   31      0  1.277  2.783  2.853
Northern Illinois       6  5 303 292  2.815   79  5.533   80  3.028   80  2.914   64 0.4937   46 0.5373   31      0  1.420  3.078  2.751
Western Michigan        5  6 277 266  2.825   85  5.392   85  2.795   83  2.849   85 0.4448   71 0.4887   31      0  1.269  2.803  2.894
Akron                   4  7 281 360  2.832   90  5.305   90  2.655   93  2.595   96 0.4242   80 0.4600   31      0  1.458  2.814  2.376
Ball State              5  6 268 296  2.513   93  5.217   93  2.581   94  2.575   89 0.4403   70 0.4891   31      0  1.435  2.761  2.389
Central Michigan        3  8 251 346  2.482  103  4.914  103  2.129  103  2.269  102 0.3781  100 0.3901   31      0  1.501  2.552  1.986
Ohio U.                 1 10 198 323  2.858  106  4.780  106  1.914  102  2.280  106 0.3484  102 0.3770   31      0  1.246  2.205  2.355
Buffalo                 3  8 205 286  2.180  107  4.756  107  1.872  107  2.138  107 0.3453  105 0.3638   31      0  1.180  1.977  2.298
Eastern Michigan        2  9 197 356  1.817  117  4.473  117  1.396  116  1.659  115 0.3096  112 0.3290   31      0  0.961  1.235  2.083

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.179 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young          12  2 618 424  3.175   19  6.418   19  4.135   48  3.590   20 0.5909   17 0.6101   27     19  2.010  4.724  2.456
Utah                    8  4 329 210  3.507   36  6.114   36  3.783   26  3.940   31 0.5550   23 0.5957   29      2  1.081  3.656  4.224
Colorado State          7  5 298 274  3.309   53  5.851   53  3.483   55  3.456   51 0.5286   35 0.5539   31      0  1.249  3.384  3.527
New Mexico              6  5 304 243  3.065   71  5.611   71  3.142   57  3.441   70 0.4797   74 0.4809   31      0  1.332  3.481  3.400
Air Force               6  6 337 386  2.948   75  5.579   75  3.097   82  2.853   79 0.4670   78 0.4650   31      0  1.658  3.378  2.328
UNLV                    4  7 284 270  3.170   84  5.418   84  2.833   63  3.316   88 0.4440   87 0.4462   31      0  1.294  3.305  3.327
San Diego St            3  8 184 290  3.012   92  5.231   92  2.603   88  2.679   99 0.4143  101 0.3870   31      0  0.921  2.210  3.147
Wyoming                 2  9 229 368  2.983  101  5.036  101  2.321  101  2.357  101 0.3873  104 0.3688   31      0  1.501  2.639  2.075

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.805 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oregon                 11  1 412 256  3.832    3  6.949    3  4.776    7  4.373    2 0.6803    3 0.6719    5   1060  1.437  4.562  4.184
Washington St          10  2 420 269  3.616   13  6.623   13  4.382   25  3.951   10 0.6319   13 0.6321   11    726  1.450  4.159  3.744
Stanford                9  3 422 339  3.794   14  6.556   14  4.309   33  3.879   12 0.6274   16 0.6142   14    600  1.761  4.574  3.185
Washington              8  4 353 370  3.849   17  6.506   17  4.235   38  3.741   15 0.6074   21 0.6037   23    213  1.568  4.125  3.357
UCLA                    7  4 317 225  3.889   22  6.361   22  4.059   23  3.963   16 0.6040   25 0.5931   24    129  1.276  3.927  4.000
Southern Cal            6  6 298 207  3.795   45  6.004   46  3.631   16  4.066   42 0.5422   62 0.5112   31      0  1.044  3.738  4.394
Oregon State            5  6 287 259  3.613   56  5.792   56  3.375   37  3.774   50 0.5296   63 0.5085   31      0  1.249  3.702  3.846
Arizona                 5  6 320 377  3.384   63  5.749   63  3.310   67  3.225   60 0.5045   76 0.4714   31      0  1.694  3.809  2.642
Arizona State           4  7 374 361  3.492   80  5.532   79  3.029   60  3.406   67 0.4847   89 0.4374   31      0  1.805  4.175  2.638
California              1 10 201 431  3.408  100  5.049  100  2.346   92  2.599   90 0.4358   94 0.4273   31      0  1.412  2.752  2.446

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.827 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tennessee              11  2 400 251  4.132    2  6.980    2  4.822    5  4.572    3 0.6735    2 0.6723    2   1178  1.395  4.701  4.443
Florida                10  2 538 178  4.122    5  6.834    6  4.602    2  5.179    4 0.6507    6 0.6583    3   1170  1.458  5.398  4.960
LSU                    10  3 418 302  3.868   12  6.641   12  4.408   11  4.240    9 0.6320   12 0.6357   12    724  1.445  4.440  4.040
South Carolina          9  3 310 230  3.738   16  6.534   16  4.278   32  3.888   17 0.6037   22 0.5960   17    433  1.149  3.687  4.088
Georgia                 8  4 331 228  3.721   25  6.325   25  4.035   22  3.968   27 0.5694   36 0.5528   16    480  1.220  3.858  4.077
Arkansas                7  5 294 279  3.756   29  6.234   30  3.907   41  3.690   28 0.5673   29 0.5806   31      0  1.130  3.466  3.914
Auburn                  7  5 254 281  3.658   30  6.225   29  3.918   56  3.446   26 0.5723   31 0.5732   31      0  1.041  3.114  3.778
Alabama                 7  5 318 232  3.728   32  6.132   32  3.795   21  3.998   29 0.5629   40 0.5478   31      0  1.267  3.949  4.046
Mississippi             7  4 391 310  3.256   48  5.937   48  3.604   58  3.427   48 0.5315   55 0.5213   31      0  1.647  3.935  2.918
Mississippi St          3  8 196 288  3.517   83  5.472   83  2.935   75  3.142   74 0.4726   84 0.4518   31      0  1.067  2.841  3.442
Kentucky                2  9 259 367  3.589   89  5.336   89  2.707   68  3.208   84 0.4458   91 0.4311   31      0  1.569  3.594  2.822
Vanderbilt              2  9 226 402  3.209   97  5.137   97  2.462   90  2.635   98 0.4204   99 0.3975   31      0  1.501  2.918  2.352

Sun Belt Conf: strength=1.968 (#12)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Middle Tennessee St     8  3 408 286  2.547   67  5.682   67  3.248   76  3.063   63 0.4967   49 0.5357   31      0  1.693  3.645  2.482
New Mexico State        5  7 286 400  2.580   91  5.280   91  2.617  100  2.357   91 0.4292   86 0.4479   31      0  1.543  2.703  2.011
North Texas             5  7 275 293  2.683   94  5.208   94  2.569   87  2.736   93 0.4261   81 0.4595   31      0  1.189  2.587  2.886
UL-Lafayette            3  8 234 365  2.185  105  4.792  105  1.930  110  1.936  111 0.3393  116 0.3116   31      0  1.421  2.102  1.770
UL-Monroe               2  9 148 351  2.235  109  4.701  109  1.781  115  1.703  109 0.3432  103 0.3733   31      0  0.975  1.294  2.112
Idaho                   1 10 313 495  2.415  113  4.565  113  1.556  109  2.016  108 0.3437  113 0.3270   31      0  1.977  3.090  0.942
Arkansas State          2  9 177 357  1.863  115  4.515  115  1.469  117  1.406  116 0.3090  115 0.3205   31      0  1.127  1.179  1.634

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.672 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Fresno State           11  3 560 344  3.327   26  6.298   26  3.994   31  3.893   21 0.5897   19 0.6075   20    241  1.702  4.490  3.297
Hawai'i                 9  3 483 318  2.861   54  5.842   54  3.469   52  3.525   37 0.5474   44 0.5412   31      0  1.704  4.125  2.925
Boise State             8  4 411 280  3.019   55  5.831   55  3.433   50  3.547   54 0.5231   42 0.5448   31      0  1.398  3.680  3.415
Rice                    8  4 333 335  2.685   59  5.773   59  3.342   86  2.782   59 0.5048   52 0.5304   31      0  1.338  2.830  2.734
Louisiana Tech          7  5 406 390  3.033   65  5.721   64  3.309   77  3.039   56 0.5133   48 0.5363   31      0  1.712  3.652  2.426
SMU                     4  7 226 295  2.739   95  5.206   95  2.567   89  2.678   92 0.4286   92 0.4308   31      0  1.106  2.425  2.932
Nevada                  3  8 286 431  2.867   96  5.157   96  2.491   98  2.404   97 0.4204   90 0.4340   31      0  1.649  2.915  1.893
San Jose St             3  9 295 461  2.863   99  5.110   99  2.419   99  2.369   95 0.4245   96 0.4117   31      0  1.566  2.750  1.989
UTEP                    2  9 235 414  2.227  110  4.693  110  1.769  111  1.815  110 0.3410  114 0.3223   31      0  1.482  2.069  1.561
Tulsa                   1 10 191 387  2.304  114  4.541  114  1.515  113  1.782  112 0.3353  111 0.3328   31      0  1.204  1.651  1.913

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.767 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame              5  6 214 215  3.867   46  5.998   45  3.646   39  3.717   53 0.5259   65 0.5039   31      0  0.985  3.320  4.114
Troy State              7  4 246 269  2.687   58  5.776   58  3.348   81  2.886   61 0.5019   28 0.5862   31      0  1.111  2.638  3.134
South Florida           8  3 387 231  2.633   61  5.767   61  3.335   69  3.191   72 0.4751   53 0.5271   31      0  1.456  3.406  2.975
Central Florida         6  5 333 204  3.184   73  5.595   73  3.120   46  3.592   76 0.4706   64 0.5055   31      0  1.143  3.385  3.799
Utah State              4  7 316 421  2.883   86  5.355   86  2.738   96  2.525   86 0.4445   75 0.4726   31      0  1.733  3.173  1.877
Connecticut             2  9 192 370  2.172  111  4.646  111  1.680  112  1.813  114 0.3287  106 0.3568   31      0  1.303  1.814  1.813
Navy                    0 10 183 344  2.626  116  4.506  116  1.457  106  2.178  117 0.3051  117 0.2918   31      0  1.394  2.305  2.051

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 12 Conf                                    85  59 0.590    1  3.954
Big East Conf                                  54  40 0.574    2  3.862
Southeastern Conf                              83  59 0.585    3  3.827
Pacific 10 Conf                                66  49 0.574    4  3.805
Big 10 Conf                                    68  60 0.531    5  3.804
Atlantic Coast Conf                            59  49 0.546    6  3.683
Mountain West Conf                             48  46 0.511    7  3.179
Conference USA                                 53  63 0.457    8  3.010
Division I-A Independents                      32  44 0.421    9  2.767
Western Athletic Conf                          56  62 0.475   10  2.672
Mid-American Conf                              71  76 0.483   11  2.623
Sun Belt Conf                                  26  53 0.329   12  1.968

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:18:36 2007

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