Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY          14  0 681 202 -0.502    1  4.171    1  0.875    1  0.890    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.570  1.277  0.502
Sioux Falls            12  2 505 225 -0.446    2  3.751    2  0.287    3  0.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.408  0.486  0.192
Carroll MT             10  2 321 142 -0.428    3  3.702    3  0.204    4  0.185    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.815 -0.397  0.767
Evangel                11  1 436 170 -0.931    4  3.620    4  0.082    5 -0.121    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.372 -0.025 -0.216
Benedictine KS         12  2 453 231 -0.837    5  3.592    5  0.040    6 -0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.322 -0.275 -0.329
Southern Oregon         9  2 474 185 -0.541    6  3.499    6 -0.034    2  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.676  0.941 -0.170
Concordia NE           10  2 326 154 -0.991    7  3.308    7 -0.137   13 -0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -1.177 -0.090
Montana Tech            8  3 250 204 -0.738    8  3.219    8 -0.202   12 -0.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.094 -0.893 -0.356
Mary                    9  1 345 149 -1.166    9  3.187    9 -0.218   10 -0.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.182 -0.607 -0.290
St. Francis IN          9  2 354 203 -1.020   10  3.084   10 -0.301   14 -0.638    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.399 -0.505 -0.772
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Campbellsville         10  3 406 338 -1.123   11  3.057   11 -0.345   18 -0.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.500 -0.627 -1.191
Tri-State               8  3 365 213 -0.865   12  2.977   12 -0.476    9 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.401 -0.310 -0.583
Hastings                8  2 269 196 -1.196   13  2.967   13 -0.496   20 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.350 -0.878 -1.008
St. Ambrose             8  3 353 203 -0.901   14  2.957   14 -0.511   11 -0.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.428 -0.310 -0.662
Valley City St          9  2 349 153 -1.197   15  2.943   15 -0.537   15 -0.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.019 -1.004 -0.289
McKendree               8  3 273 173 -1.273   16  2.737   16 -0.758   21 -0.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.918 -1.444 -0.499
Walsh                   8  3 330 219 -1.286   17  2.702   17 -0.817   16 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.302 -0.857 -0.856
Cumberland TN           6  4 296 296 -0.965   18  2.694   18 -0.828   19 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.507 -0.618 -1.201
MidAmer Nazarene        8  3 320 121 -1.038   19  2.666   19 -0.877    7 -0.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.914 -0.837  0.116
Doane                   6  3 155 109 -1.291   20  2.615   21 -0.966   24 -1.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.531 -1.928 -0.223
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Simon Fraser            3  5 159 258 -0.475   21  2.612   20 -0.964   26 -1.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.190 -1.271 -0.975
Huron                   7  3 260 214 -1.558   22  2.602   22 -0.987   32 -1.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.210 -1.485 -1.240
Azusa Pacific           4  5 221 258 -0.786   23  2.526   23 -1.021   25 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.353 -1.023 -1.162
NW Oklahoma St          7  3 437 139 -1.122   24  2.448   24 -1.127    8 -0.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.344 -0.327 -0.442
Bethany KS              8  1 388 179 -2.250   25  2.415   25 -1.132   33 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.595 -0.944 -1.795
Benedict                5  5 230 170 -0.988   26  2.395   26 -1.160   17 -0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.110 -1.114 -0.618
Virginia-Wise           6  4 278 199 -1.225   27  2.390   27 -1.170   23 -1.041    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.163 -1.224 -0.858
St. Xavier              7  4 290 221 -1.482   28  2.369   28 -1.205   29 -1.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.293 -1.253 -1.226
Northwestern MN         9  0 358  69 -3.355   29  2.367   29 -1.219   44 -1.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.056 -1.949 -1.323
Trinity IL              8  4 307 213 -1.725   30  2.346   30 -1.235   39 -1.575    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.995 -1.960 -1.189
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kansas Wesleyan         8  3 315 241 -2.000   31  2.339   31 -1.250   47 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.241 -1.806 -1.643
Western Montana         3  7 170 358 -0.845   32  2.271   32 -1.362   43 -1.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.538 -1.293 -1.969
Northwestern IA         5  5 196 289 -1.522   33  2.246   33 -1.405   55 -1.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -1.947 -2.034
Dickinson St            6  4 326 259 -1.590   34  2.230   34 -1.431   34 -1.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.667 -0.835 -1.916
Belhaven                4  6 193 235 -1.128   35  2.203   36 -1.475   35 -1.401    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.065 -1.705 -1.098
Nebraska Wesleyan       5  5 266 211 -1.320   36  2.190   37 -1.497   28 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.446 -0.945 -1.347
Midland Lutheran        5  5 195 248 -1.505   37  2.146   35 -1.464   48 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.255 -1.815 -1.687
Culver-Stockton         6  5 296 201 -1.408   38  2.120   39 -1.508   27 -1.133    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274 -1.171 -1.095
Graceland               5  5 202 252 -1.578   39  2.090   38 -1.504   50 -1.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.322 -1.745 -1.799
Missouri Valley         5  5 187 230 -1.511   40  2.073   40 -1.510   45 -1.651    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.126 -1.879 -1.422
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rocky Mountain          3  7 164 244 -0.868   41  2.069   41 -1.512   31 -1.345    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.024 -1.697 -0.993
Bacone                  5  5 169 323 -2.053   42  2.042   42 -1.563   70 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.092 -2.712 -2.171
Lambuth                 3  6 333 310 -0.937   43  2.017   43 -1.605   22 -1.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.815 -0.224 -1.797
Baker                   5  6 182 270 -1.696   44  1.933   44 -1.734   56 -2.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151 -2.264 -1.868
Lincoln MO              4  5 227 199 -1.514   45  1.924   45 -1.750   37 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.096 -1.795 -1.265
Jamestown               5  5 270 251 -1.709   46  1.911   47 -1.774   40 -1.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.462 -1.358 -1.810
Tiffin                  3  8 222 334 -1.105   47  1.910   46 -1.771   46 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.325 -1.632 -1.693
William Jewell          4  6 186 255 -1.597   48  1.865   48 -1.855   51 -1.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.283 -1.915 -1.862
Montana-Northern        2  9 170 347 -0.912   49  1.852   49 -1.873   42 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.186 -1.782 -1.476
Pikeville               3  7 273 323 -1.310   50  1.832   50 -1.907   38 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.682 -0.995 -2.124
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Minot State             4  6 307 292 -1.530   51  1.829   51 -1.913   36 -1.460    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.647 -0.953 -1.968
Ottawa                  6  4 324 233 -2.110   52  1.809   53 -1.950   41 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.300 -1.632 -1.626
Southwestern KS         6  4 358 266 -2.228   53  1.782   52 -1.937   53 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.643 -1.417 -2.421
Peru State              5  5 166 177 -2.128   54  1.761   54 -1.971   60 -2.152    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.815 -2.735 -1.570
Geneva                  4  6 290 212 -1.469   55  1.745   55 -1.997   30 -1.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.338 -1.264 -1.361
St. Francis IL          4  6 179 214 -1.724   56  1.724   56 -2.036   49 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.952 -2.205 -1.337
Malone                  2  8 160 325 -1.365   57  1.650   57 -2.165   58 -2.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.295 -2.125 -2.106
Friends                 5  4 198 192 -2.532   58  1.628   58 -2.208   71 -2.478    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -2.821 -2.135
Union KY                2  7 154 329 -1.647   59  1.584   59 -2.287   69 -2.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.322 -2.388 -2.441
Lindenwood              3  8 196 315 -1.741   60  1.574   60 -2.304   59 -2.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.278 -2.168 -2.101
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Langston                4  7 241 313 -1.937   61  1.567   61 -2.317   57 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.415 -1.957 -2.271
Avila                   2  8 115 268 -1.822   62  1.566   62 -2.318   65 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.939 -2.730 -1.832
Black Hills State       3  7 210 312 -1.986   63  1.523   63 -2.398   68 -2.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.426 -2.227 -2.574
Cumberland KY           3  7 224 283 -1.824   64  1.510   64 -2.421   52 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.277 -1.952 -1.885
Tabor                   5  5 336 310 -2.541   65  1.483   65 -2.468   62 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.779 -1.505 -2.955
Bethel TN               5  4 224 211 -2.802   66  1.469   66 -2.491   76 -2.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.452 -2.564 -2.984
Dana                    3  7 247 295 -1.944   67  1.460   67 -2.503   61 -2.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.575 -1.759 -2.548
Taylor                  2  8 159 299 -1.781   68  1.456   68 -2.511   67 -2.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -2.407 -2.329
Dakota State            2  8 208 346 -1.800   69  1.415   69 -2.582   64 -2.257    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.497 -1.980 -2.535
Sterling                4  6 151 208 -2.509   70  1.408   70 -2.597   75 -2.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.684 -3.393 -1.966
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
South Dakota Tech       2  8 197 359 -1.913   71  1.397   71 -2.613   73 -2.516    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.378 -2.412 -2.620
Dakota Wesleyan         2  8 182 276 -1.873   72  1.366   72 -2.667   63 -2.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.230 -2.347 -2.153
Southern Nazarene       5  4 258 132 -2.804   73  1.362   73 -2.679   54 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.107 -2.181 -1.677
Paul Quinn              1  3  91 128 -2.419   74  1.333   75 -2.719   72 -2.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.540 -2.145 -2.829
Olivet Nazarene         2  8 197 337 -1.950   75  1.332   74 -2.719   66 -2.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.551 -1.976 -2.693
Urbana                  1  9 137 406 -1.850   76  1.265   76 -2.846   77 -2.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -2.919 -3.005
North Greenville        0  9  26 409 -1.296   77  1.204   77 -2.896   81 -3.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.440 -4.171 -2.313
Central Methodist       1 10 135 326 -1.868   78  1.182   78 -2.943   74 -2.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.083 -2.811 -2.248
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  88 347 -2.039   79  1.167   79 -2.967   80 -3.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.897 -3.689 -2.698
Edward Waters           0  8  55 359 -1.689   80  1.111   80 -3.070   79 -3.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.040 -3.378 -2.712
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
McPherson               3  7 218 423 -3.144   81  1.052   81 -3.199   84 -3.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.666 -3.107 -4.184
Mayville State          0 10 114 353 -2.001   82  0.910   82 -3.475   78 -2.975    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.021 -3.331 -2.619
Mt. Senario             3  7 172 387 -3.688   83  0.851   83 -3.599   86 -3.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.502 -3.633 -4.202
Bethel KS               1  9 196 411 -2.822   84  0.827   84 -3.638   83 -3.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.566 -3.151 -3.913
SW Assem of God         1  9  93 379 -2.899   85  0.824   85 -3.645   85 -3.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.893 -4.172 -3.172
St. Mary KS             1  8 210 383 -2.911   86  0.678   86 -3.686   82 -3.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.713 -2.748 -3.976
Haskell                 0 11  98 411 -3.632   87  0.124   87 -4.728   87 -4.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.969 -4.767 -3.937
Crown                   0  9 100 278 -4.101   88  0.000   88 -5.016   88 -4.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.998 -4.954 -4.190


Central States Football League: strength=-2.372 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
NW Oklahoma St          7  3 437 139 -1.122   24  2.448   24 -1.127    8 -0.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.344 -0.327 -0.442
Lincoln MO              4  5 227 199 -1.514   45  1.924   45 -1.750   37 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.096 -1.795 -1.265
Peru State              5  5 166 177 -2.128   54  1.761   54 -1.971   60 -2.152    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.815 -2.735 -1.570
Langston                4  7 241 313 -1.937   61  1.567   61 -2.317   57 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.415 -1.957 -2.271
SW Assem of God         1  9  93 379 -2.899   85  0.824   85 -3.645   85 -3.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.893 -4.172 -3.172
Haskell                 0 11  98 411 -3.632   87  0.124   87 -4.728   87 -4.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.969 -4.767 -3.937

Frontier Conf: strength=-0.964 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT             10  2 321 142 -0.428    3  3.702    3  0.204    4  0.185    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.815 -0.397  0.767
Montana Tech            8  3 250 204 -0.738    8  3.219    8 -0.202   12 -0.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.094 -0.893 -0.356
Western Montana         3  7 170 358 -0.845   32  2.271   32 -1.362   43 -1.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.538 -1.293 -1.969
Rocky Mountain          3  7 164 244 -0.868   41  2.069   41 -1.512   31 -1.345    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.024 -1.697 -0.993
Montana-Northern        2  9 170 347 -0.912   49  1.852   49 -1.873   42 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.186 -1.782 -1.476

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-1.517 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Evangel                11  1 436 170 -0.931    4  3.620    4  0.082    5 -0.121    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.372 -0.025 -0.216
Benedictine KS         12  2 453 231 -0.837    5  3.592    5  0.040    6 -0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.322 -0.275 -0.329
MidAmer Nazarene        8  3 320 121 -1.038   19  2.666   19 -0.877    7 -0.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.914 -0.837  0.116
Culver-Stockton         6  5 296 201 -1.408   38  2.120   39 -1.508   27 -1.133    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274 -1.171 -1.095
Graceland               5  5 202 252 -1.578   39  2.090   38 -1.504   50 -1.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.322 -1.745 -1.799
Missouri Valley         5  5 187 230 -1.511   40  2.073   40 -1.510   45 -1.651    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.126 -1.879 -1.422
Baker                   5  6 182 270 -1.696   44  1.933   44 -1.734   56 -2.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151 -2.264 -1.868
William Jewell          4  6 186 255 -1.597   48  1.865   48 -1.855   51 -1.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.283 -1.915 -1.862
Lindenwood              3  8 196 315 -1.741   60  1.574   60 -2.304   59 -2.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.278 -2.168 -2.101
Avila                   2  8 115 268 -1.822   62  1.566   62 -2.318   65 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.939 -2.730 -1.832
Central Methodist       1 10 135 326 -1.868   78  1.182   78 -2.943   74 -2.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.083 -2.811 -2.248

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.541 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bethany KS              8  1 388 179 -2.250   25  2.415   25 -1.132   33 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.595 -0.944 -1.795
Kansas Wesleyan         8  3 315 241 -2.000   31  2.339   31 -1.250   47 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.241 -1.806 -1.643
Ottawa                  6  4 324 233 -2.110   52  1.809   53 -1.950   41 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.300 -1.632 -1.626
Southwestern KS         6  4 358 266 -2.228   53  1.782   52 -1.937   53 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.643 -1.417 -2.421
Friends                 5  4 198 192 -2.532   58  1.628   58 -2.208   71 -2.478    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -2.821 -2.135
Tabor                   5  5 336 310 -2.541   65  1.483   65 -2.468   62 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.779 -1.505 -2.955
Sterling                4  6 151 208 -2.509   70  1.408   70 -2.597   75 -2.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.684 -3.393 -1.966
McPherson               3  7 218 423 -3.144   81  1.052   81 -3.199   84 -3.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.666 -3.107 -4.184
Bethel KS               1  9 196 411 -2.822   84  0.827   84 -3.638   83 -3.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.566 -3.151 -3.913
St. Mary KS             1  8 210 383 -2.911   86  0.678   86 -3.686   82 -3.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.713 -2.748 -3.976

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.365 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY          14  0 681 202 -0.502    1  4.171    1  0.875    1  0.890    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.570  1.277  0.502
Campbellsville         10  3 406 338 -1.123   11  3.057   11 -0.345   18 -0.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.500 -0.627 -1.191
Cumberland TN           6  4 296 296 -0.965   18  2.694   18 -0.828   19 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.507 -0.618 -1.201
Belhaven                4  6 193 235 -1.128   35  2.203   36 -1.475   35 -1.401    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.065 -1.705 -1.098
Lambuth                 3  6 333 310 -0.937   43  2.017   43 -1.605   22 -1.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.815 -0.224 -1.797
Pikeville               3  7 273 323 -1.310   50  1.832   50 -1.907   38 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.682 -0.995 -2.124
Union KY                2  7 154 329 -1.647   59  1.584   59 -2.287   69 -2.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.322 -2.388 -2.441
Cumberland KY           3  7 224 283 -1.824   64  1.510   64 -2.421   52 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.277 -1.952 -1.885
North Greenville        0  9  26 409 -1.296   77  1.204   77 -2.896   81 -3.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.440 -4.171 -2.313

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-1.530 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St. Francis IN          9  2 354 203 -1.020   10  3.084   10 -0.301   14 -0.638    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.399 -0.505 -0.772
Tri-State               8  3 365 213 -0.865   12  2.977   12 -0.476    9 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.401 -0.310 -0.583
St. Ambrose             8  3 353 203 -0.901   14  2.957   14 -0.511   11 -0.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.428 -0.310 -0.662
McKendree               8  3 273 173 -1.273   16  2.737   16 -0.758   21 -0.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.918 -1.444 -0.499
Walsh                   8  3 330 219 -1.286   17  2.702   17 -0.817   16 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.302 -0.857 -0.856
St. Xavier              7  4 290 221 -1.482   28  2.369   28 -1.205   29 -1.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.293 -1.253 -1.226
Trinity IL              8  4 307 213 -1.725   30  2.346   30 -1.235   39 -1.575    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.995 -1.960 -1.189
Tiffin                  3  8 222 334 -1.105   47  1.910   46 -1.771   46 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.325 -1.632 -1.693
Geneva                  4  6 290 212 -1.469   55  1.745   55 -1.997   30 -1.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.338 -1.264 -1.361
St. Francis IL          4  6 179 214 -1.724   56  1.724   56 -2.036   49 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.952 -2.205 -1.337
Malone                  2  8 160 325 -1.365   57  1.650   57 -2.165   58 -2.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.295 -2.125 -2.106
Taylor                  2  8 159 299 -1.781   68  1.456   68 -2.511   67 -2.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -2.407 -2.329
Olivet Nazarene         2  8 197 337 -1.950   75  1.332   74 -2.719   66 -2.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.551 -1.976 -2.693
Urbana                  1  9 137 406 -1.850   76  1.265   76 -2.846   77 -2.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -2.919 -3.005
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  88 347 -2.039   79  1.167   79 -2.967   80 -3.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.897 -3.689 -2.698

North Dakota Athl Conf: strength=-1.278 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mary                    9  1 345 149 -1.166    9  3.187    9 -0.218   10 -0.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.182 -0.607 -0.290
Valley City St          9  2 349 153 -1.197   15  2.943   15 -0.537   15 -0.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.019 -1.004 -0.289
Dickinson St            6  4 326 259 -1.590   34  2.230   34 -1.431   34 -1.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.667 -0.835 -1.916
Jamestown               5  5 270 251 -1.709   46  1.911   47 -1.774   40 -1.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.462 -1.358 -1.810
Minot State             4  6 307 292 -1.530   51  1.829   51 -1.913   36 -1.460    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.647 -0.953 -1.968
Mayville State          0 10 114 353 -2.001   82  0.910   82 -3.475   78 -2.975    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.021 -3.331 -2.619

Nebraska-Iowa Conf: strength=-1.301 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Concordia NE           10  2 326 154 -0.991    7  3.308    7 -0.137   13 -0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -1.177 -0.090
Hastings                8  2 269 196 -1.196   13  2.967   13 -0.496   20 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.350 -0.878 -1.008
Doane                   6  3 155 109 -1.291   20  2.615   21 -0.966   24 -1.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.531 -1.928 -0.223
Northwestern IA         5  5 196 289 -1.522   33  2.246   33 -1.405   55 -1.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -1.947 -2.034
Nebraska Wesleyan       5  5 266 211 -1.320   36  2.190   37 -1.497   28 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.446 -0.945 -1.347
Midland Lutheran        5  5 195 248 -1.505   37  2.146   35 -1.464   48 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.255 -1.815 -1.687
Dana                    3  7 247 295 -1.944   67  1.460   67 -2.503   61 -2.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.575 -1.759 -2.548

South Dakota-Iowa Conf: strength=-2.013 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sioux Falls            12  2 505 225 -0.446    2  3.751    2  0.287    3  0.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.408  0.486  0.192
Huron                   7  3 260 214 -1.558   22  2.602   22 -0.987   32 -1.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.210 -1.485 -1.240
Black Hills State       3  7 210 312 -1.986   63  1.523   63 -2.398   68 -2.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.426 -2.227 -2.574
Dakota State            2  8 208 346 -1.800   69  1.415   69 -2.582   64 -2.257    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.497 -1.980 -2.535
South Dakota Tech       2  8 197 359 -1.913   71  1.397   71 -2.613   73 -2.516    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.378 -2.412 -2.620
Dakota Wesleyan         2  8 182 276 -1.873   72  1.366   72 -2.667   63 -2.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.230 -2.347 -2.153

Upper Midwest Intercollegiate Athl Conf: strength=-3.862 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Northwestern MN         9  0 358  69 -3.355   29  2.367   29 -1.219   44 -1.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.056 -1.949 -1.323
Martin Luther           4  5 202 198 -2.965       1.188      -2.939      -2.844      0.0000      0.0000           0  1.185 -2.998 -2.689
Mt. Senario             3  7 172 387 -3.688   83  0.851   83 -3.599   86 -3.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.502 -3.633 -4.202
Maranatha Baptist       2  7 127 236 -4.059       0.253      -4.459      -4.221      0.0000      0.0000           0  0.899 -4.714 -3.728
Crown                   0  9 100 278 -4.101   88  0.000   88 -5.016   88 -4.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.998 -4.954 -4.190

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.675 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Oregon         9  2 474 185 -0.541    6  3.499    6 -0.034    2  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.676  0.941 -0.170
Simon Fraser            3  5 159 258 -0.475   21  2.612   20 -0.964   26 -1.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.190 -1.271 -0.975
Azusa Pacific           4  5 221 258 -0.786   23  2.526   23 -1.021   25 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.353 -1.023 -1.162
Benedict                5  5 230 170 -0.988   26  2.395   26 -1.160   17 -0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.110 -1.114 -0.618
Virginia-Wise           6  4 278 199 -1.225   27  2.390   27 -1.170   23 -1.041    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.163 -1.224 -0.858
Bacone                  5  5 169 323 -2.053   42  2.042   42 -1.563   70 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.092 -2.712 -2.171
Bethel TN               5  4 224 211 -2.802   66  1.469   66 -2.491   76 -2.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.452 -2.564 -2.984
Southern Nazarene       5  4 258 132 -2.804   73  1.362   73 -2.679   54 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.107 -2.181 -1.677
Paul Quinn              1  3  91 128 -2.419   74  1.333   75 -2.719   72 -2.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.540 -2.145 -2.829
Edward Waters           0  8  55 359 -1.689   80  1.111   80 -3.070   79 -3.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.040 -3.378 -2.712

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conf                                  26  28 0.481    1 -0.964
North Dakota Athl Conf                         33  28 0.541    2 -1.278
Nebraska-Iowa Conf                             42  29 0.592    3 -1.301
Mid-South Conf                                 45  49 0.479    4 -1.365
Heart of America Athletic Conf                 62  59 0.512    5 -1.517
Mid-States Football Assn                       75  84 0.472    6 -1.530
NAIA Independents                              43  45 0.489    7 -1.675
South Dakota-Iowa Conf                         28  36 0.438    8 -2.013
Central States Football League                 21  40 0.344    9 -2.372
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                    47  51 0.480   10 -2.541
Upper Midwest Intercollegiate Athl Conf        18  28 0.391   11 -3.862

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:18:36 2007

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