Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma             13  0 481 194  4.345    1  7.695    1  5.585    3  4.984    3 0.6866    2 0.7158    1   1250  1.270  4.991  4.977
Miami(FL)            11  1 506 190  4.263    2  7.410    2  5.053    2  5.175    2 0.6869    1 0.7272    2   1199  1.431  5.407  4.944
Washington           11  1 387 270  3.968    3  7.306    3  4.960   11  4.332    1 0.7025    3 0.7116    3   1131  1.543  4.729  3.934
VirginiaTech         11  1 484 269  3.866    4  7.238    4  4.850    8  4.495    5 0.6721    4 0.7078    6   1013  1.711  5.157  3.833
FloridaState         11  2 511 136  4.351    5  7.211    5  4.806    1  5.221    6 0.6647    5 0.6904    4   1099  1.016  4.911  5.531
OregonState          11  1 400 212  3.787    6  7.187    6  4.764    5  4.621    4 0.6821    6 0.6840    5   1058  1.425  4.842  4.399
Nebraska             10  2 522 230  4.094    7  7.107    7  4.636    4  4.855    8 0.6404    9 0.6610    7    927  1.585  5.316  4.394
Florida              10  3 468 273  4.135    8  7.069    8  4.578    6  4.600    9 0.6328    7 0.6765    8    871  1.619  5.114  4.086
Oregon               10  2 351 249  3.796    9  7.061    9  4.566   18  4.056    7 0.6584    8 0.6672    9    852  1.063  3.801  4.311
KansasState          11  3 549 261  4.030   10  7.038   10  4.531    7  4.587   11 0.6108   10 0.6207   10    850  1.501  4.920  4.254
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
NotreDame             9  3 353 267  3.722   11  6.852   11  4.248   23  3.885   10 0.6218   11 0.6155   14    611  1.361  4.017  3.753
Michigan              9  3 404 229  3.719   12  6.796   12  4.166   12  4.330   12 0.5958   15 0.6032   13    626  1.388  4.499  4.161
IowaState             9  3 343 322  3.492   13  6.788   13  4.154   41  3.578   16 0.5871   25 0.5780   25    106  1.576  4.026  3.131
GeorgiaTech           9  3 386 237  3.649   14  6.778   14  4.140   15  4.085   13 0.5947   16 0.5957   12    707  1.491  4.403  3.767
Clemson               9  3 416 253  3.610   15  6.746   16  4.120   22  3.913   14 0.5936   17 0.5939   16    500  1.492  4.232  3.593
Auburn                9  4 316 266  3.658   16  6.745   15  4.120   31  3.729   22 0.5744   19 0.5893   20    290  1.046  3.453  4.004
Texas                 9  3 455 232  3.716   17  6.743   17  4.117    9  4.363   25 0.5731   34 0.5640   11    733  1.543  4.760  3.967
Toledo               10  1 400 125  3.025   18  6.711   18  4.060   16  4.085   21 0.5763   13 0.6109   19    329  1.125  3.905  4.265
Northwestern          8  4 441 400  3.706   19  6.694   19  4.036   33  3.691   24 0.5732   26 0.5752   21    198  1.846  4.580  2.803
Tennessee             8  4 380 247  3.740   20  6.691   20  4.032   19  3.979   33 0.5565   35 0.5608   22    182  1.417  4.190  3.769
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
ColoradoState        10  2 363 225  3.136   21  6.678   22  4.009   40  3.611   17 0.5833   14 0.6089   27     79  1.354  3.733  3.489
SouthCarolina         8  4 283 181  3.754   22  6.672   23  4.003   14  4.122   30 0.5630   33 0.5643   17    395  0.803  3.577  4.666
OhioState             8  4 331 222  3.718   23  6.645   24  3.974   20  3.949   19 0.5776   29 0.5722   23    136  1.338  4.049  3.849
Wisconsin             9  4 328 265  3.612   24  6.638   21  4.011   25  3.819   15 0.5911   22 0.5835   29     13  0.959  3.444  4.195
Purdue                8  4 381 266  3.672   25  6.629   25  3.971   24  3.840   18 0.5791   21 0.5849   15    512  1.403  4.031  3.649
MississippiState      8  4 390 306  3.688   26  6.622   26  3.961   21  3.941   23 0.5740   18 0.5906   18    366  1.728  4.630  3.251
Georgia               8  4 331 212  3.666   27  6.590   27  3.917   17  4.065   20 0.5766   31 0.5654   31      0  1.113  3.871  4.258
TCU                  10  2 431 134  3.184   28  6.572   28  3.889   10  4.344   31 0.5581   27 0.5744   26     82  0.962  3.972  4.716
TexasA&M              7  5 348 239  3.886   29  6.561   29  3.875   13  4.139   32 0.5575   36 0.5578   24    110  1.240  4.106  4.172
LSU                   8  4 320 235  3.530   30  6.550   30  3.859   30  3.753   28 0.5636   28 0.5741   31      0  0.867  3.276  4.231
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisville            9  3 405 268  3.143   31  6.525   31  3.822   43  3.539   29 0.5630   20 0.5857   28     22  1.488  3.853  3.224
UTEP                  8  4 378 336  3.271   32  6.470   32  3.734   47  3.424   47 0.5382   23 0.5821   31      0  1.608  3.920  2.928
UCLA                  6  6 353 368  3.812   33  6.463   33  3.724   34  3.682   27 0.5645   43 0.5333   31      0  1.746  4.401  2.964
WestVirginia          7  5 356 363  3.538   34  6.456   34  3.714   45  3.485   26 0.5696   32 0.5650   31      0  1.682  4.099  2.870
SouthernMiss          8  4 314 203  3.405   35  6.455   35  3.712   27  3.780   36 0.5508   24 0.5784   31      0  1.071  3.535  4.025
NorthCarolinaState    8  4 379 338  3.250   36  6.449   36  3.703   57  3.348   39 0.5449   50 0.5269   31      0  1.619  3.862  2.834
BoiseState           10  2 532 274  2.799   37  6.427   37  3.668   26  3.794   34 0.5540   30 0.5685   31      0  1.754  4.527  3.061
EastCarolina          8  4 370 256  3.349   38  6.424   38  3.666   32  3.717   37 0.5477   38 0.5549   31      0  1.444  3.967  3.466
AirForce              9  3 421 312  2.977   39  6.402   39  3.634   54  3.359   44 0.5416   39 0.5537   31      0  1.735  4.060  2.657
Stanford              5  6 261 294  3.763   40  6.362   40  3.581   42  3.566   35 0.5518   52 0.5223   31      0  1.276  3.581  3.552
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
BostonCollege         7  5 378 277  3.511   41  6.349   41  3.562   28  3.766   46 0.5388   45 0.5317   31      0  1.396  3.948  3.585
Syracuse              6  5 294 212  3.547   42  6.328   42  3.551   38  3.640   43 0.5423   41 0.5434   31      0  1.082  3.407  3.872
Pittsburgh            7  5 296 247  3.428   43  6.308   43  3.534   39  3.638   41 0.5434   42 0.5376   31      0  1.166  3.511  3.766
WesternMichigan       9  3 359 139  3.099   44  6.302   45  3.524   29  3.756   42 0.5424   12 0.6140   30      3  0.928  3.346  4.166
Mississippi           7  5 352 329  3.323   45  6.301   44  3.524   55  3.359   49 0.5229   62 0.5072   31      0  1.489  3.675  3.043
Arizona               5  6 254 237  3.767   46  6.299   46  3.522   35  3.681   38 0.5457   56 0.5196   31      0  1.014  3.368  3.994
ArizonaState          6  6 313 303  3.564   47  6.288   47  3.508   44  3.527   40 0.5437   57 0.5193   31      0  1.096  3.312  3.741
Arkansas              6  6 278 289  3.478   48  6.285   48  3.504   60  3.264   56 0.5090   54 0.5205   31      0  1.399  3.449  3.078
TexasTech             7  6 330 278  3.505   49  6.252   49  3.452   36  3.672   59 0.5059   65 0.4982   31      0  1.187  3.570  3.774
MichiganState         5  6 197 233  3.563   50  6.233   50  3.424   58  3.338   50 0.5202   63 0.5033   31      0  0.976  2.981  3.695
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ala-Birmingham        7  4 238 192  2.996   51  6.216   51  3.399   63  3.252   53 0.5096   48 0.5276   31      0  0.852  2.759  3.745
FresnoState           7  5 317 251  3.235   52  6.215   52  3.398   46  3.470   55 0.5093   51 0.5246   31      0  1.183  3.363  3.576
NorthCarolina         6  5 269 284  3.254   53  6.207   53  3.387   61  3.261   48 0.5298   53 0.5217   31      0  1.388  3.431  3.092
Virginia              6  6 242 292  3.335   54  6.193   54  3.357   68  3.184   45 0.5396   58 0.5169   31      0  0.982  2.834  3.533
USC                   5  7 309 337  3.600   55  6.192   55  3.357   53  3.362   51 0.5193   70 0.4759   31      0  1.452  3.624  3.101
SanJoseState          7  5 374 357  3.048   56  6.155   56  3.338   75  3.016   57 0.5088   61 0.5130   31      0  1.705  3.668  2.363
UNLV                  8  5 370 275  3.036   57  6.131   57  3.305   56  3.353   58 0.5076   44 0.5319   31      0  1.245  3.327  3.379
Marshall              8  5 367 297  2.873   58  6.114   59  3.281   72  3.064   62 0.4995   37 0.5561   31      0  1.405  3.258  2.870
Cincinnati            7  5 289 285  3.020   59  6.110   58  3.287   73  3.064   54 0.5095   46 0.5306   31      0  1.340  3.166  2.962
Minnesota             6  6 375 318  3.303   60  6.098   60  3.271   49  3.397   64 0.4932   73 0.4715   31      0  1.608  3.894  2.901
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
BrighamYoung          6  6 280 310  3.252   61  6.097   61  3.269   66  3.197   60 0.5056   59 0.5154   31      0  1.274  3.210  3.184
WashingtonState       4  7 281 354  3.607   62  6.073   62  3.236   65  3.221   52 0.5137   64 0.5031   31      0  1.479  3.521  2.920
Illinois              5  6 294 286  3.401   63  6.066   64  3.224   52  3.368   69 0.4857   78 0.4530   31      0  1.441  3.614  3.122
PennState             5  7 264 293  3.430   64  6.055   63  3.225   64  3.232   70 0.4818   80 0.4499   31      0  1.143  3.076  3.388
CentralFlorida        7  4 333 221  2.873   65  6.047   65  3.211   62  3.256   63 0.4950   60 0.5142   31      0  1.209  3.182  3.329
Colorado              3  8 252 284  3.829   66  6.012   66  3.160   37  3.642   71 0.4817   69 0.4807   31      0  1.265  3.642  3.642
Maryland              5  6 247 284  3.237   67  6.002   67  3.144   69  3.147   61 0.5045   68 0.4827   31      0  1.203  3.067  3.227
OhioU                 7  4 343 208  2.731   68  5.951   68  3.064   67  3.191   65 0.4932   55 0.5201   31      0  1.319  3.264  3.117
Kansas                4  7 261 359  3.414   69  5.949   70  3.063   70  3.082   72 0.4753   74 0.4670   31      0  1.526  3.453  2.711
California            3  8 246 295  3.687   70  5.948   69  3.063   48  3.419   68 0.4875   77 0.4544   31      0  1.191  3.323  3.515
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama               3  8 228 246  3.668   71  5.931   71  3.040   51  3.381   77 0.4626   79 0.4529   31      0  1.192  3.285  3.476
NorthernIllinois      6  5 409 280  3.078   72  5.923   72  3.023   50  3.383   67 0.4898   47 0.5284   31      0  1.714  4.050  2.717
Iowa                  3  9 203 330  3.615   73  5.894   73  2.982   74  3.053   79 0.4602   83 0.4442   31      0  1.037  2.767  3.339
NewMexico             5  7 229 249  3.109   74  5.865   74  2.934   76  3.004   78 0.4607   71 0.4758   31      0  0.951  2.619  3.389
Tulane                6  5 329 346  2.674   75  5.857   75  2.921   84  2.791   74 0.4642   72 0.4723   31      0  1.812  3.621  1.962
Idaho                 5  6 321 377  2.858   76  5.841   76  2.898   89  2.648   66 0.4902   40 0.5492   31      0  1.604  3.138  2.157
Indiana               3  8 337 427  3.394   77  5.791   77  2.826   77  2.980   83 0.4459   93 0.4028   31      0  1.884  3.935  2.025
MiddleTennessee       6  5 350 316  2.531   78  5.787   78  2.817   82  2.830   80 0.4595   76 0.4600   31      0  1.503  3.166  2.493
Temple                4  7 224 269  3.101   79  5.771   79  2.792   79  2.889   76 0.4633   84 0.4410   31      0  1.129  2.715  3.063
Miami(OH)             6  5 272 286  2.490   80  5.759   80  2.772   93  2.485   75 0.4635   66 0.4917   31      0  1.431  2.716  2.253
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                  4  7 234 207  3.092   81  5.750   81  2.761   59  3.279   86 0.4415   85 0.4354   31      0  1.048  3.006  3.552
SanDiegoState         3  8 170 273  3.229   82  5.686   82  2.733   83  2.815   87 0.4400   81 0.4483   31      0  1.022  2.512  3.118
Missouri              3  8 255 348  3.316   83  5.667   83  2.703   71  3.074   82 0.4488   92 0.4054   31      0  1.452  3.335  2.812
OklahomaState         3  8 202 303  3.225   84  5.585   84  2.675   81  2.862   88 0.4355   90 0.4085   31      0  1.227  2.813  2.911
BallState             5  6 212 349  2.413   85  5.577   85  2.659  100  2.287   73 0.4642   49 0.5270   31      0  1.229  2.240  2.334
Vanderbilt            3  8 193 273  3.192   86  5.558   86  2.631   78  2.970   90 0.4249   94 0.3997   31      0  1.098  2.758  3.183
Akron                 6  5 333 295  2.493   87  5.550   87  2.618   85  2.786   81 0.4571   67 0.4829   31      0  1.589  3.254  2.319
UtahState             5  6 292 356  2.587   88  5.543   88  2.608   92  2.501   84 0.4440   75 0.4656   31      0  1.607  2.996  2.007
Tulsa                 5  7 240 283  2.705   89  5.542   89  2.608   87  2.710   91 0.4197   89 0.4108   31      0  1.081  2.477  2.943
Memphis               4  7 176 199  2.872   90  5.539   90  2.605   86  2.762   92 0.4186   88 0.4135   31      0  0.539  1.965  3.559
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kentucky              2  9 254 383  3.441   91  5.513   91  2.566   80  2.866   89 0.4254  100 0.3846   31      0  1.551  3.275  2.458
Houston               3  8 211 370  2.908   92  5.480   92  2.513   95  2.367   93 0.4156   86 0.4161   31      0  1.325  2.449  2.285
Rutgers               3  8 233 399  2.883   93  5.461   93  2.481   94  2.441   85 0.4439   87 0.4151   31      0  1.401  2.629  2.253
Baylor                2  9 139 397  2.965   94  5.385   94  2.365  106  2.085   95 0.4141   97 0.3896   31      0  1.098  1.872  2.298
Rice                  3  8 237 322  2.871   95  5.362   95  2.326   88  2.690   94 0.4149   91 0.4066   31      0  1.296  2.733  2.648
NewMexicoState        3  8 295 357  2.728   96  5.314   96  2.253   90  2.547   98 0.3898   98 0.3875   31      0  1.592  3.019  2.075
SMU                   3  9 181 352  2.647   97  5.294   97  2.220  104  2.092   99 0.3837  106 0.3641   31      0  0.985  1.745  2.438
EasternMichigan       3  8 209 350  2.441   98  5.277   98  2.193  103  2.106   97 0.3905   95 0.3964   31      0  1.456  2.374  1.839
WakeForest            2  9 181 362  2.811   99  5.250   99  2.154   97  2.331   96 0.4058  101 0.3800   31      0  1.272  2.340  2.322
Hawaii                3  9 294 399  2.630  100  5.213  100  2.094   91  2.517  100 0.3803  104 0.3726   31      0  1.629  3.047  1.988
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nevada                2 10 207 464  2.688  101  5.143  101  2.054  109  1.779  101 0.3775   99 0.3859   31      0  1.491  2.097  1.460
CentralMichigan       2  9 137 376  2.327  102  5.055  102  1.959  110  1.735  103 0.3716  103 0.3771   31      0  0.999  1.405  2.066
NorthTexas            3  8 162 300  2.208  103  5.029  103  1.918  107  2.015  104 0.3705  107 0.3595   31      0  0.811  1.478  2.552
Navy                  1 10 182 391  2.800  104  4.992  104  1.859  105  2.091  106 0.3656  109 0.3569   31      0  1.312  2.154  2.027
Army                  1 10 224 372  2.762  105  4.957  105  1.803  101  2.227  112 0.3419  114 0.3277   31      0  1.469  2.512  1.941
BowlingGreen          2  9 174 289  2.510  106  4.956  106  1.799   98  2.320  107 0.3649  102 0.3771   31      0  1.027  2.022  2.618
Duke                  0 11 155 430  3.129  107  4.921  107  1.746  102  2.170  102 0.3761  110 0.3457   31      0  1.281  2.193  2.147
ArkansasState         1 10 247 410  2.730  108  4.906  108  1.713   99  2.307  108 0.3644  105 0.3670   31      0  1.601  2.793  1.821
Wyoming               1 10 170 393  2.562  109  4.893  109  1.691  108  1.849  110 0.3530  112 0.3354   31      0  1.379  2.006  1.691
LouisianaTech         3  9 317 396  2.316  110  4.878  110  1.658   96  2.347  105 0.3698   96 0.3950   31      0  1.580  2.800  1.894
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Connecticut           3  8 220 368  1.747  111  4.834  112  1.585  111  1.406  109 0.3623   82 0.4445   31      0  1.441  1.652  1.161
Buffalo               2  9 177 452  1.949  112  4.814  111  1.586  113  1.374  111 0.3426  113 0.3345   31      0  1.456  1.641  1.106
KentState             1 10 128 359  2.137  113  4.647  113  1.397  112  1.406  113 0.3321  108 0.3579   31      0  1.038  1.121  1.691
UL-Monroe             1 10  96 415  1.403  114  4.346  114  0.984  115  0.726  114 0.2973  115 0.2819   31      0  0.843  0.223  1.229
UL-Lafayette          1 10 171 355  1.613  115  4.296  115  0.895  114  1.310  115 0.2947  111 0.3436   31      0  1.104  1.105  1.515


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.388 (#6)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
FloridaState         11  2 511 136  4.351    5  7.211    5  4.806    1  5.221    6 0.6647    5 0.6904    4   1099  1.016  4.911  5.531
GeorgiaTech           9  3 386 237  3.649   14  6.778   14  4.140   15  4.085   13 0.5947   16 0.5957   12    707  1.491  4.403  3.767
Clemson               9  3 416 253  3.610   15  6.746   16  4.120   22  3.913   14 0.5936   17 0.5939   16    500  1.492  4.232  3.593
NorthCarolinaState    8  4 379 338  3.250   36  6.449   36  3.703   57  3.348   39 0.5449   50 0.5269   31      0  1.619  3.862  2.834
NorthCarolina         6  5 269 284  3.254   53  6.207   53  3.387   61  3.261   48 0.5298   53 0.5217   31      0  1.388  3.431  3.092
Virginia              6  6 242 292  3.335   54  6.193   54  3.357   68  3.184   45 0.5396   58 0.5169   31      0  0.982  2.834  3.533
Maryland              5  6 247 284  3.237   67  6.002   67  3.144   69  3.147   61 0.5045   68 0.4827   31      0  1.203  3.067  3.227
WakeForest            2  9 181 362  2.811   99  5.250   99  2.154   97  2.331   96 0.4058  101 0.3800   31      0  1.272  2.340  2.322
Duke                  0 11 155 430  3.129  107  4.921  107  1.746  102  2.170  102 0.3761  110 0.3457   31      0  1.281  2.193  2.147

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.628 (#5)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan              9  3 404 229  3.719   12  6.796   12  4.166   12  4.330   12 0.5958   15 0.6032   13    626  1.388  4.499  4.161
Northwestern          8  4 441 400  3.706   19  6.694   19  4.036   33  3.691   24 0.5732   26 0.5752   21    198  1.846  4.580  2.803
OhioState             8  4 331 222  3.718   23  6.645   24  3.974   20  3.949   19 0.5776   29 0.5722   23    136  1.338  4.049  3.849
Wisconsin             9  4 328 265  3.612   24  6.638   21  4.011   25  3.819   15 0.5911   22 0.5835   29     13  0.959  3.444  4.195
Purdue                8  4 381 266  3.672   25  6.629   25  3.971   24  3.840   18 0.5791   21 0.5849   15    512  1.403  4.031  3.649
MichiganState         5  6 197 233  3.563   50  6.233   50  3.424   58  3.338   50 0.5202   63 0.5033   31      0  0.976  2.981  3.695
Minnesota             6  6 375 318  3.303   60  6.098   60  3.271   49  3.397   64 0.4932   73 0.4715   31      0  1.608  3.894  2.901
Illinois              5  6 294 286  3.401   63  6.066   64  3.224   52  3.368   69 0.4857   78 0.4530   31      0  1.441  3.614  3.122
PennState             5  7 264 293  3.430   64  6.055   63  3.225   64  3.232   70 0.4818   80 0.4499   31      0  1.143  3.076  3.388
Iowa                  3  9 203 330  3.615   73  5.894   73  2.982   74  3.053   79 0.4602   83 0.4442   31      0  1.037  2.767  3.339
Indiana               3  8 337 427  3.394   77  5.791   77  2.826   77  2.980   83 0.4459   93 0.4028   31      0  1.884  3.935  2.025

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.823 (#1)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma             13  0 481 194  4.345    1  7.695    1  5.585    3  4.984    3 0.6866    2 0.7158    1   1250  1.270  4.991  4.977
Nebraska             10  2 522 230  4.094    7  7.107    7  4.636    4  4.855    8 0.6404    9 0.6610    7    927  1.585  5.316  4.394
KansasState          11  3 549 261  4.030   10  7.038   10  4.531    7  4.587   11 0.6108   10 0.6207   10    850  1.501  4.920  4.254
IowaState             9  3 343 322  3.492   13  6.788   13  4.154   41  3.578   16 0.5871   25 0.5780   25    106  1.576  4.026  3.131
Texas                 9  3 455 232  3.716   17  6.743   17  4.117    9  4.363   25 0.5731   34 0.5640   11    733  1.543  4.760  3.967
TexasA&M              7  5 348 239  3.886   29  6.561   29  3.875   13  4.139   32 0.5575   36 0.5578   24    110  1.240  4.106  4.172
TexasTech             7  6 330 278  3.505   49  6.252   49  3.452   36  3.672   59 0.5059   65 0.4982   31      0  1.187  3.570  3.774
Colorado              3  8 252 284  3.829   66  6.012   66  3.160   37  3.642   71 0.4817   69 0.4807   31      0  1.265  3.642  3.642
Kansas                4  7 261 359  3.414   69  5.949   70  3.063   70  3.082   72 0.4753   74 0.4670   31      0  1.526  3.453  2.711
Missouri              3  8 255 348  3.316   83  5.667   83  2.703   71  3.074   82 0.4488   92 0.4054   31      0  1.452  3.335  2.812
OklahomaState         3  8 202 303  3.225   84  5.585   84  2.675   81  2.862   88 0.4355   90 0.4085   31      0  1.227  2.813  2.911
Baylor                2  9 139 397  2.965   94  5.385   94  2.365  106  2.085   95 0.4141   97 0.3896   31      0  1.098  1.872  2.298

Big East Conf: strength=3.736 (#4)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami(FL)            11  1 506 190  4.263    2  7.410    2  5.053    2  5.175    2 0.6869    1 0.7272    2   1199  1.431  5.407  4.944
VirginiaTech         11  1 484 269  3.866    4  7.238    4  4.850    8  4.495    5 0.6721    4 0.7078    6   1013  1.711  5.157  3.833
WestVirginia          7  5 356 363  3.538   34  6.456   34  3.714   45  3.485   26 0.5696   32 0.5650   31      0  1.682  4.099  2.870
BostonCollege         7  5 378 277  3.511   41  6.349   41  3.562   28  3.766   46 0.5388   45 0.5317   31      0  1.396  3.948  3.585
Syracuse              6  5 294 212  3.547   42  6.328   42  3.551   38  3.640   43 0.5423   41 0.5434   31      0  1.082  3.407  3.872
Pittsburgh            7  5 296 247  3.428   43  6.308   43  3.534   39  3.638   41 0.5434   42 0.5376   31      0  1.166  3.511  3.766
Temple                4  7 224 269  3.101   79  5.771   79  2.792   79  2.889   76 0.4633   84 0.4410   31      0  1.129  2.715  3.063
Rutgers               3  8 233 399  2.883   93  5.461   93  2.481   94  2.441   85 0.4439   87 0.4151   31      0  1.401  2.629  2.253

Big West: strength=2.481 (#10)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
BoiseState           10  2 532 274  2.799   37  6.427   37  3.668   26  3.794   34 0.5540   30 0.5685   31      0  1.754  4.527  3.061
Idaho                 5  6 321 377  2.858   76  5.841   76  2.898   89  2.648   66 0.4902   40 0.5492   31      0  1.604  3.138  2.157
UtahState             5  6 292 356  2.587   88  5.543   88  2.608   92  2.501   84 0.4440   75 0.4656   31      0  1.607  2.996  2.007
NewMexicoState        3  8 295 357  2.728   96  5.314   96  2.253   90  2.547   98 0.3898   98 0.3875   31      0  1.592  3.019  2.075
NorthTexas            3  8 162 300  2.208  103  5.029  103  1.918  107  2.015  104 0.3705  107 0.3595   31      0  0.811  1.478  2.552
ArkansasState         1 10 247 410  2.730  108  4.906  108  1.713   99  2.307  108 0.3644  105 0.3670   31      0  1.601  2.793  1.821

Conference USA: strength=3.018 (#8)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisville            9  3 405 268  3.143   31  6.525   31  3.822   43  3.539   29 0.5630   20 0.5857   28     22  1.488  3.853  3.224
SouthernMiss          8  4 314 203  3.405   35  6.455   35  3.712   27  3.780   36 0.5508   24 0.5784   31      0  1.071  3.535  4.025
EastCarolina          8  4 370 256  3.349   38  6.424   38  3.666   32  3.717   37 0.5477   38 0.5549   31      0  1.444  3.967  3.466
Ala-Birmingham        7  4 238 192  2.996   51  6.216   51  3.399   63  3.252   53 0.5096   48 0.5276   31      0  0.852  2.759  3.745
Cincinnati            7  5 289 285  3.020   59  6.110   58  3.287   73  3.064   54 0.5095   46 0.5306   31      0  1.340  3.166  2.962
Tulane                6  5 329 346  2.674   75  5.857   75  2.921   84  2.791   74 0.4642   72 0.4723   31      0  1.812  3.621  1.962
Memphis               4  7 176 199  2.872   90  5.539   90  2.605   86  2.762   92 0.4186   88 0.4135   31      0  0.539  1.965  3.559
Houston               3  8 211 370  2.908   92  5.480   92  2.513   95  2.367   93 0.4156   86 0.4161   31      0  1.325  2.449  2.285
Army                  1 10 224 372  2.762  105  4.957  105  1.803  101  2.227  112 0.3419  114 0.3277   31      0  1.469  2.512  1.941

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.474 (#11)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Toledo               10  1 400 125  3.025   18  6.711   18  4.060   16  4.085   21 0.5763   13 0.6109   19    329  1.125  3.905  4.265
WesternMichigan       9  3 359 139  3.099   44  6.302   45  3.524   29  3.756   42 0.5424   12 0.6140   30      3  0.928  3.346  4.166
Marshall              8  5 367 297  2.873   58  6.114   59  3.281   72  3.064   62 0.4995   37 0.5561   31      0  1.405  3.258  2.870
OhioU                 7  4 343 208  2.731   68  5.951   68  3.064   67  3.191   65 0.4932   55 0.5201   31      0  1.319  3.264  3.117
NorthernIllinois      6  5 409 280  3.078   72  5.923   72  3.023   50  3.383   67 0.4898   47 0.5284   31      0  1.714  4.050  2.717
Miami(OH)             6  5 272 286  2.490   80  5.759   80  2.772   93  2.485   75 0.4635   66 0.4917   31      0  1.431  2.716  2.253
BallState             5  6 212 349  2.413   85  5.577   85  2.659  100  2.287   73 0.4642   49 0.5270   31      0  1.229  2.240  2.334
Akron                 6  5 333 295  2.493   87  5.550   87  2.618   85  2.786   81 0.4571   67 0.4829   31      0  1.589  3.254  2.319
EasternMichigan       3  8 209 350  2.441   98  5.277   98  2.193  103  2.106   97 0.3905   95 0.3964   31      0  1.456  2.374  1.839
CentralMichigan       2  9 137 376  2.327  102  5.055  102  1.959  110  1.735  103 0.3716  103 0.3771   31      0  0.999  1.405  2.066
BowlingGreen          2  9 174 289  2.510  106  4.956  106  1.799   98  2.320  107 0.3649  102 0.3771   31      0  1.027  2.022  2.618
Buffalo               2  9 177 452  1.949  112  4.814  111  1.586  113  1.374  111 0.3426  113 0.3345   31      0  1.456  1.641  1.106
KentState             1 10 128 359  2.137  113  4.647  113  1.397  112  1.406  113 0.3321  108 0.3579   31      0  1.038  1.121  1.691

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.053 (#7)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
ColoradoState        10  2 363 225  3.136   21  6.678   22  4.009   40  3.611   17 0.5833   14 0.6089   27     79  1.354  3.733  3.489
AirForce              9  3 421 312  2.977   39  6.402   39  3.634   54  3.359   44 0.5416   39 0.5537   31      0  1.735  4.060  2.657
UNLV                  8  5 370 275  3.036   57  6.131   57  3.305   56  3.353   58 0.5076   44 0.5319   31      0  1.245  3.327  3.379
BrighamYoung          6  6 280 310  3.252   61  6.097   61  3.269   66  3.197   60 0.5056   59 0.5154   31      0  1.274  3.210  3.184
NewMexico             5  7 229 249  3.109   74  5.865   74  2.934   76  3.004   78 0.4607   71 0.4758   31      0  0.951  2.619  3.389
Utah                  4  7 234 207  3.092   81  5.750   81  2.761   59  3.279   86 0.4415   85 0.4354   31      0  1.048  3.006  3.552
SanDiegoState         3  8 170 273  3.229   82  5.686   82  2.733   83  2.815   87 0.4400   81 0.4483   31      0  1.022  2.512  3.118
Wyoming               1 10 170 393  2.562  109  4.893  109  1.691  108  1.849  110 0.3530  112 0.3354   31      0  1.379  2.006  1.691

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.820 (#2)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington           11  1 387 270  3.968    3  7.306    3  4.960   11  4.332    1 0.7025    3 0.7116    3   1131  1.543  4.729  3.934
OregonState          11  1 400 212  3.787    6  7.187    6  4.764    5  4.621    4 0.6821    6 0.6840    5   1058  1.425  4.842  4.399
Oregon               10  2 351 249  3.796    9  7.061    9  4.566   18  4.056    7 0.6584    8 0.6672    9    852  1.063  3.801  4.311
UCLA                  6  6 353 368  3.812   33  6.463   33  3.724   34  3.682   27 0.5645   43 0.5333   31      0  1.746  4.401  2.964
Stanford              5  6 261 294  3.763   40  6.362   40  3.581   42  3.566   35 0.5518   52 0.5223   31      0  1.276  3.581  3.552
Arizona               5  6 254 237  3.767   46  6.299   46  3.522   35  3.681   38 0.5457   56 0.5196   31      0  1.014  3.368  3.994
ArizonaState          6  6 313 303  3.564   47  6.288   47  3.508   44  3.527   40 0.5437   57 0.5193   31      0  1.096  3.312  3.741
USC                   5  7 309 337  3.600   55  6.192   55  3.357   53  3.362   51 0.5193   70 0.4759   31      0  1.452  3.624  3.101
WashingtonState       4  7 281 354  3.607   62  6.073   62  3.236   65  3.221   52 0.5137   64 0.5031   31      0  1.479  3.521  2.920
California            3  8 246 295  3.687   70  5.948   69  3.063   48  3.419   68 0.4875   77 0.4544   31      0  1.191  3.323  3.515

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.747 (#3)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida              10  3 468 273  4.135    8  7.069    8  4.578    6  4.600    9 0.6328    7 0.6765    8    871  1.619  5.114  4.086
Auburn                9  4 316 266  3.658   16  6.745   15  4.120   31  3.729   22 0.5744   19 0.5893   20    290  1.046  3.453  4.004
Tennessee             8  4 380 247  3.740   20  6.691   20  4.032   19  3.979   33 0.5565   35 0.5608   22    182  1.417  4.190  3.769
SouthCarolina         8  4 283 181  3.754   22  6.672   23  4.003   14  4.122   30 0.5630   33 0.5643   17    395  0.803  3.577  4.666
MississippiState      8  4 390 306  3.688   26  6.622   26  3.961   21  3.941   23 0.5740   18 0.5906   18    366  1.728  4.630  3.251
Georgia               8  4 331 212  3.666   27  6.590   27  3.917   17  4.065   20 0.5766   31 0.5654   31      0  1.113  3.871  4.258
LSU                   8  4 320 235  3.530   30  6.550   30  3.859   30  3.753   28 0.5636   28 0.5741   31      0  0.867  3.276  4.231
Mississippi           7  5 352 329  3.323   45  6.301   44  3.524   55  3.359   49 0.5229   62 0.5072   31      0  1.489  3.675  3.043
Arkansas              6  6 278 289  3.478   48  6.285   48  3.504   60  3.264   56 0.5090   54 0.5205   31      0  1.399  3.449  3.078
Alabama               3  8 228 246  3.668   71  5.931   71  3.040   51  3.381   77 0.4626   79 0.4529   31      0  1.192  3.285  3.476
Vanderbilt            3  8 193 273  3.192   86  5.558   86  2.631   78  2.970   90 0.4249   94 0.3997   31      0  1.098  2.758  3.183
Kentucky              2  9 254 383  3.441   91  5.513   91  2.566   80  2.866   89 0.4254  100 0.3846   31      0  1.551  3.275  2.458

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.801 (#9)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
TCU                  10  2 431 134  3.184   28  6.572   28  3.889   10  4.344   31 0.5581   27 0.5744   26     82  0.962  3.972  4.716
UTEP                  8  4 378 336  3.271   32  6.470   32  3.734   47  3.424   47 0.5382   23 0.5821   31      0  1.608  3.920  2.928
FresnoState           7  5 317 251  3.235   52  6.215   52  3.398   46  3.470   55 0.5093   51 0.5246   31      0  1.183  3.363  3.576
SanJoseState          7  5 374 357  3.048   56  6.155   56  3.338   75  3.016   57 0.5088   61 0.5130   31      0  1.705  3.668  2.363
Tulsa                 5  7 240 283  2.705   89  5.542   89  2.608   87  2.710   91 0.4197   89 0.4108   31      0  1.081  2.477  2.943
Rice                  3  8 237 322  2.871   95  5.362   95  2.326   88  2.690   94 0.4149   91 0.4066   31      0  1.296  2.733  2.648
SMU                   3  9 181 352  2.647   97  5.294   97  2.220  104  2.092   99 0.3837  106 0.3641   31      0  0.985  1.745  2.438
Hawaii                3  9 294 399  2.630  100  5.213  100  2.094   91  2.517  100 0.3803  104 0.3726   31      0  1.629  3.047  1.988
Nevada                2 10 207 464  2.688  101  5.143  101  2.054  109  1.779  101 0.3775   99 0.3859   31      0  1.491  2.097  1.460

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.004 (#12)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
NotreDame             9  3 353 267  3.722   11  6.852   11  4.248   23  3.885   10 0.6218   11 0.6155   14    611  1.361  4.017  3.753
CentralFlorida        7  4 333 221  2.873   65  6.047   65  3.211   62  3.256   63 0.4950   60 0.5142   31      0  1.209  3.182  3.329
MiddleTennessee       6  5 350 316  2.531   78  5.787   78  2.817   82  2.830   80 0.4595   76 0.4600   31      0  1.503  3.166  2.493
Navy                  1 10 182 391  2.800  104  4.992  104  1.859  105  2.091  106 0.3656  109 0.3569   31      0  1.312  2.154  2.027
LouisianaTech         3  9 317 396  2.316  110  4.878  110  1.658   96  2.347  105 0.3698   96 0.3950   31      0  1.580  2.800  1.894
Connecticut           3  8 220 368  1.747  111  4.834  112  1.585  111  1.406  109 0.3623   82 0.4445   31      0  1.441  1.652  1.161
UL-Monroe             1 10  96 415  1.403  114  4.346  114  0.984  115  0.726  114 0.2973  115 0.2819   31      0  0.843  0.223  1.229
UL-Lafayette          1 10 171 355  1.613  115  4.296  115  0.895  114  1.310  115 0.2947  111 0.3436   31      0  1.104  1.105  1.515

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 12 Conf                                    81  62 0.566    1  3.823
Pacific 10 Conf                                66  50 0.569    2  3.820
Southeastern Conf                              80  63 0.559    3  3.747
Big East Conf                                  56  37 0.602    4  3.736
Big 10 Conf                                    69  61 0.531    5  3.628
Atlantic Coast Conf                            56  49 0.533    6  3.388
Mountain West Conf                             46  48 0.489    7  3.053
Conference USA                                 53  50 0.515    8  3.018
Western Athletic Conf                          48  59 0.449    9  2.801
Big West                                       27  40 0.403   10  2.481
Mid-American Conf                              67  79 0.459   11  2.474
Division I-A Independents                      31  59 0.344   12  2.004

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.231 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:18:23 2007

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