Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida St.       12  0 458 203  4.905    1  8.199    1  6.057    1  5.741    1 0.7175    1 0.7316    1   1250  1.408  5.879  5.602
Nebraska          12  1 442 171  4.802    2  7.977    2  5.672    2  5.683    3 0.6755    2 0.6896    2   1200  1.188  5.522  5.843
Michigan St.      10  2 378 245  4.896    3  7.873    4  5.519    9  5.256    4 0.6705    5 0.6701    3   1128  1.386  5.363  5.149
Michigan          10  2 361 247  4.888    4  7.866    3  5.532   11  5.182    2 0.6787    4 0.6816    4   1085  1.387  5.290  5.074
Virginia Tech     11  1 484 162  4.688    5  7.843    5  5.493    3  5.591    6 0.6509    6 0.6660    5   1074  1.291  5.566  5.615
Kansas St.        11  1 457 164  4.421    6  7.745    6  5.324    7  5.295    9 0.6356    9 0.6439    9    842  1.185  5.132  5.458
Alabama           10  3 378 265  4.858    7  7.733    7  5.308    8  5.256    5 0.6664    3 0.6889    7    930  1.461  5.471  5.042
Marshall          13  0 463 137  3.736    8  7.721    8  5.282   16  4.816   16 0.5851    7 0.6594   13    668  0.867  4.279  5.352
Penn St.          10  3 417 234  4.818    9  7.708    9  5.266    5  5.384    7 0.6432    8 0.6477    8    896  1.282  5.347  5.420
Wisconsin         10  2 409 154  4.639   10  7.663   10  5.197    6  5.365   12 0.6188   13 0.6125    6   1013  1.039  5.022  5.707
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tennessee          9  3 369 194  4.812   11  7.639   11  5.164    4  5.402    8 0.6361   10 0.6362   10    824  1.255  5.330  5.474
Mississippi St.   10  2 255 156  4.390   12  7.636   12  5.158   20  4.709   10 0.6230   12 0.6179   11    726  0.763  4.064  5.353
Florida            9  4 403 272  4.770   13  7.559   13  5.049   12  4.989   11 0.6223   11 0.6241   12    685  1.426  5.154  4.825
Miami              8  4 377 220  4.774   14  7.451   14  4.889   10  5.195   13 0.5991   14 0.6125   18    432  1.188  5.036  5.355
Southern Miss.     9  3 333 189  4.334   15  7.420   15  4.843   21  4.708   19 0.5792   15 0.6080   16    496  0.962  4.277  5.140
Illinois           8  4 388 275  4.576   16  7.396   16  4.809   15  4.889   14 0.5977   21 0.5881   17    435  1.487  5.143  4.636
Texas              9  5 450 295  4.557   17  7.368   17  4.770   18  4.725   21 0.5777   20 0.5894   20    292  1.483  4.972  4.478
Purdue             7  5 384 305  4.673   18  7.335   18  4.723   22  4.705   22 0.5765   25 0.5769   23    143  1.619  5.160  4.250
Georgia Tech       8  4 461 361  4.438   19  7.320   22  4.700   24  4.611   17 0.5828   24 0.5798   26     39  1.953  5.632  3.589
Georgia            8  4 336 310  4.349   20  7.294   19  4.709   32  4.412   20 0.5788   30 0.5678   27      0  1.532  4.733  4.092
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Minnesota          8  4 368 196  4.523   21  7.288   21  4.701   14  4.920   18 0.5799   27 0.5699   15    497  1.179  4.748  5.091
Oregon             9  3 410 284  4.185   22  7.271   20  4.704   25  4.606   15 0.5977   17 0.5951   22    175  1.588  5.013  4.200
Mississippi        8  4 323 228  4.396   23  7.245   23  4.670   19  4.721   26 0.5719   33 0.5638   19    345  1.321  4.737  4.704
Arkansas           8  4 353 214  4.428   24  7.235   24  4.660   17  4.797   24 0.5733   26 0.5749   14    618  1.312  4.801  4.792
East Carolina      9  3 333 225  4.096   25  7.220   25  4.638   29  4.488   29 0.5683   31 0.5659   25     92  1.285  4.456  4.520
Texas A&M          8  4 318 232  4.324   26  7.218   26  4.637   33  4.400   23 0.5747   22 0.5880   21    271  1.113  4.145  4.654
Ohio St.           6  6 285 287  4.751   27  7.211   27  4.628   27  4.532   32 0.5601   36 0.5566   27      0  1.297  4.516  4.548
Virginia           7  5 345 365  4.380   28  7.163   28  4.562   50  4.083   30 0.5628   35 0.5600   27      0  1.667  4.614  3.552
Louisiana Tech     8  3 389 306  3.763   29  7.126   29  4.502   53  4.016   34 0.5564   19 0.5933   24     94  1.730  4.649  3.382
Stanford           8  4 418 364  4.192   30  7.094   30  4.454   31  4.421   27 0.5694   34 0.5636   27      0  1.837  5.236  3.606
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Clemson            6  6 322 253  4.590   31  7.040   31  4.382   23  4.691   35 0.5506   37 0.5511   27      0  1.398  4.814  4.568
Utah               9  3 380 210  3.827   32  7.036   33  4.374   30  4.483   25 0.5728   16 0.6022   27      0  1.341  4.527  4.438
Brigham Young      8  4 335 251  4.039   33  7.019   32  4.379   38  4.285   28 0.5690   18 0.5941   27      0  1.411  4.427  4.144
Boston College     8  4 297 308  3.842   34  7.005   34  4.360   64  3.901   44 0.5225   45 0.5238   27      0  1.386  4.008  3.794
Washington         7  5 331 302  4.232   35  7.003   35  4.358   36  4.312   31 0.5607   32 0.5643   27      0  1.484  4.560  4.063
Colorado St.       8  4 345 269  3.954   36  6.994   36  4.346   43  4.214   33 0.5574   23 0.5861   27      0  1.428  4.381  4.047
Oklahoma           7  5 430 229  4.307   37  6.933   39  4.262   13  4.979   45 0.5212   49 0.5199   27      0  1.383  5.082  4.877
Colorado           7  5 405 311  4.201   38  6.915   37  4.289   26  4.589   37 0.5397   38 0.5510   27      0  1.659  5.108  4.071
Wake Forest        7  5 266 209  4.178   39  6.906   38  4.275   28  4.490   36 0.5413   46 0.5228   27      0  0.905  3.995  4.985
Kentucky           6  6 328 343  4.274   40  6.876   40  4.233   45  4.170   48 0.5204   54 0.5079   27      0  1.568  4.546  3.794
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
N. Carolina St.    6  6 244 302  4.188   41  6.873   41  4.229   65  3.893   42 0.5244   59 0.5022   27      0  1.195  3.742  4.043
Auburn             5  6 233 236  4.441   42  6.872   42  4.228   35  4.315   39 0.5375   40 0.5354   27      0  1.135  4.089  4.542
Louisville         7  5 443 365  4.099   43  6.849   45  4.193   40  4.271   52 0.5142   41 0.5310   27      0  1.908  5.212  3.330
Houston            7  4 254 211  3.890   44  6.837   43  4.216   52  4.054   43 0.5232   51 0.5180   27      0  0.990  3.654  4.454
Notre Dame         5  7 348 331  4.544   45  6.828   44  4.203   34  4.363   46 0.5207   48 0.5202   27      0  1.532  4.684  4.042
Oregon St.         7  5 347 277  3.993   46  6.780   46  4.139   42  4.214   41 0.5333   44 0.5244   27      0  1.347  4.267  4.162
Syracuse           7  5 300 256  4.054   47  6.767   47  4.122   47  4.108   47 0.5206   42 0.5303   27      0  1.141  3.888  4.327
Wyoming            7  4 302 270  3.703   48  6.737   48  4.080   68  3.808   40 0.5351   28 0.5691   27      0  1.501  4.081  3.534
Vanderbilt         5  6 252 256  4.175   49  6.717   50  4.052   55  3.995   57 0.5057   60 0.5003   27      0  1.202  3.853  4.137
Southern Cal       6  6 348 278  4.087   50  6.700   51  4.028   41  4.263   49 0.5189   52 0.5173   27      0  1.405  4.397  4.130
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Hawaii             9  4 371 349  3.454   51  6.668   49  4.054   74  3.696   53 0.5122   39 0.5404   27      0  1.550  4.044  3.348
Arizona            6  6 339 364  4.005   52  6.645   52  4.022   61  3.932   50 0.5156   50 0.5186   27      0  1.585  4.335  3.530
Arizona St.        6  6 285 311  4.013   53  6.642   53  4.006   63  3.910   51 0.5151   57 0.5063   27      0  1.375  4.001  3.818
Boise St.         10  3 430 277  3.288   54  6.624   54  3.978   54  4.012   38 0.5394   29 0.5679   27      0  1.429  4.180  3.844
Indiana            4  7 291 386  4.270   55  6.600   55  3.948   59  3.946   66 0.4859   82 0.4595   27      0  1.795  4.689  3.203
Oklahoma St.       5  6 267 274  4.081   56  6.591   56  3.933   58  3.949   58 0.4986   58 0.5051   27      0  1.323  3.967  3.930
Memphis            5  6 232 182  4.157   57  6.584   58  3.921   39  4.272   62 0.4922   63 0.4942   27      0  0.856  3.724  4.820
Ala.-Birmingham    5  6 248 279  4.025   58  6.556   57  3.930   66  3.849   61 0.4939   55 0.5076   27      0  1.273  3.800  3.898
Maryland           5  6 292 260  4.157   59  6.545   59  3.916   44  4.195   65 0.4896   75 0.4706   27      0  1.302  4.185  4.205
Missouri           4  7 224 371  4.159   60  6.531   61  3.896   85  3.406   68 0.4844   61 0.4960   27      0  1.462  3.622  3.189
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Tech         6  5 253 282  3.686   61  6.526   60  3.900   75  3.693   63 0.4916   71 0.4811   27      0  1.363  3.768  3.618
Pittsburgh         5  6 281 278  4.034   62  6.515   62  3.884   60  3.942   69 0.4782   70 0.4812   27      0  1.387  4.050  3.834
Air Force          6  5 264 218  3.789   63  6.514   63  3.883   57  3.953   56 0.5069   53 0.5089   27      0  1.111  3.696  4.209
Texas Christian    8  4 362 213  3.473   64  6.511   64  3.878   37  4.294   54 0.5099   43 0.5246   27      0  1.269  4.240  4.348
Fresno St.         8  5 413 282  3.559   65  6.473   66  3.821   49  4.086   55 0.5083   47 0.5219   27      0  1.401  4.214  3.958
UCLA               4  7 230 311  4.120   66  6.470   65  3.836   79  3.584   64 0.4912   66 0.4897   27      0  1.303  3.577  3.592
San Diego St.      5  6 272 226  3.944   67  6.423   67  3.769   46  4.156   60 0.4944   64 0.4925   27      0  1.186  3.994  4.319
California         4  7 180 254  4.083   68  6.419   68  3.765   67  3.836   67 0.4858   74 0.4733   27      0  0.886  3.320  4.352
Miami, Ohio        7  4 335 264  3.316   69  6.390   71  3.717   73  3.699   76 0.4598   62 0.4955   27      0  1.513  3.990  3.408
Northwestern       3  8 141 301  4.244   70  6.370   69  3.735   82  3.495   70 0.4757   79 0.4627   27      0  0.867  2.958  4.032
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kansas             5  7 294 354  3.881   71  6.362   70  3.721   71  3.776   71 0.4738   78 0.4639   27      0  1.458  3.986  3.566
Duke               3  8 217 363  4.194   72  6.345   72  3.697   81  3.501   74 0.4675   87 0.4462   27      0  1.486  3.752  3.249
W. Michigan        7  5 373 342  3.384   73  6.338   73  3.683   76  3.675   72 0.4735   56 0.5068   27      0  1.727  4.305  3.045
West Virginia      4  7 292 289  4.071   74  6.334   74  3.680   48  4.099   80 0.4550   81 0.4604   27      0  1.512  4.389  3.808
Idaho              7  4 304 283  3.155   75  6.314   75  3.648   90  3.301   59 0.4957   67 0.4878   27      0  1.466  3.523  3.079
Akron              7  4 315 314  3.097   76  6.305   76  3.635   88  3.310   83 0.4534   69 0.4813   27      0  1.588  3.716  2.903
Louisiana St.      3  8 223 259  4.248   77  6.294   77  3.622   51  4.071   75 0.4655   83 0.4584   27      0  1.172  3.891  4.250
North Carolina     3  8 186 272  4.178   78  6.284   78  3.607   70  3.778   77 0.4592   85 0.4572   27      0  0.971  3.356  4.201
Rice               5  6 237 261  3.619   79  6.279   79  3.599   80  3.518   73 0.4726   65 0.4922   27      0  1.162  3.325  3.711
Iowa St.           4  7 247 272  4.051   80  6.277   80  3.596   62  3.927   79 0.4583   86 0.4463   27      0  1.223  3.813  4.041
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cincinnati         3  8 275 289  4.105   81  6.227   81  3.522   56  3.959   87 0.4305   80 0.4613   27      0  1.510  4.246  3.671
Toledo             6  5 293 229  3.340   82  6.198   82  3.477   69  3.781   85 0.4424   72 0.4765   27      0  1.233  3.679  3.883
Army               3  7 216 298  3.736   83  6.147   83  3.402   87  3.325   92 0.4196   95 0.4260   27      0  1.485  3.576  3.075
Texas-El Paso      5  7 306 389  3.468   84  6.134   84  3.383   95  3.194   78 0.4584   68 0.4827   27      0  1.598  3.617  2.772
New Mexico St.     6  5 311 274  3.121   85  6.127   85  3.381   91  3.299   81 0.4536   73 0.4747   27      0  1.352  3.357  3.240
New Mexico         4  7 240 298  3.561   86  6.105   86  3.359   86  3.386   82 0.4535   77 0.4640   27      0  1.291  3.362  3.410
Navy               4  7 307 297  3.607   87  6.067   87  3.303   72  3.757   91 0.4218   97 0.4236   27      0  1.415  3.905  3.609
Southern Meth.     4  6 193 235  3.282   88  6.043   88  3.268   94  3.244   88 0.4281   93 0.4291   27      0  0.966  2.817  3.671
Washington St.     3  9 248 327  3.865   89  6.033   89  3.255   77  3.613   86 0.4355   90 0.4354   27      0  1.191  3.457  3.769
Temple             2  8 153 311  3.866   90  6.029   90  3.248   93  3.250   93 0.4167   91 0.4346   27      0  1.120  3.004  3.495
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio U.            5  6 271 287  3.206   91  6.025   91  3.238   89  3.307   96 0.4130   76 0.4663   27      0  1.367  3.388  3.227
Tulane             3  8 279 399  3.677   92  6.019   92  3.231   96  3.178   97 0.4123  100 0.4127   27      0  1.819  3.962  2.394
Louisiana-Monroe   5  6 186 322  2.761   93  6.008   93  3.211  104  2.665   89 0.4264   88 0.4427   27      0  0.999  2.276  3.054
Cent. Florida      4  7 277 318  3.440   94  5.979   94  3.163   83  3.420   95 0.4134   96 0.4240   27      0  1.312  3.424  3.416
Utah St.           4  7 234 301  3.312   95  5.974   95  3.154   97  3.159   84 0.4429   84 0.4579   27      0  1.218  3.037  3.280
Bowling Green      5  6 296 312  3.099   96  5.967   96  3.142   92  3.270  102 0.3953   92 0.4319   27      0  1.605  3.704  2.837
Iowa               1 10 162 347  4.310   97  5.938   97  3.105   78  3.600   90 0.4228  101 0.4045   27      0  1.149  3.392  3.809
San Jose St.       3  7 258 402  3.182   98  5.930   99  3.089  105  2.663  103 0.3911  102 0.3991   27      0  1.703  3.252  2.073
N. Illinois        5  6 289 289  2.979   99  5.913  100  3.061   98  3.119  104 0.3884   94 0.4276   27      0  1.501  3.392  2.845
E. Michigan        4  7 239 338  3.216  100  5.910   98  3.090   99  2.948  101 0.3963   89 0.4365   27      0  1.347  3.000  2.896
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arkansas St.       4  7 246 332  3.127  101  5.869  101  3.028  100  2.943   94 0.4163   99 0.4135   27      0  1.425  3.105  2.780
Nevada LV          3  8 160 324  3.238  102  5.849  102  2.997  106  2.659  100 0.4033  103 0.3972   27      0  1.090  2.378  2.941
Rutgers            1 10 155 427  3.857  103  5.824  103  2.960  102  2.799  105 0.3788  106 0.3633   27      0  1.411  2.942  2.657
Nevada             3  8 283 418  3.228  104  5.770  104  2.867  101  2.889   98 0.4055   98 0.4211   27      0  1.790  3.625  2.154
South Carolina     0 11  87 278  4.430  105  5.759  105  2.854   84  3.413   99 0.4034  104 0.3844   27      0  0.538  2.557  4.268
Cent. Michigan     4  7 229 344  2.796  106  5.748  106  2.828  108  2.615  107 0.3586  105 0.3785   27      0  1.346  2.666  2.565
Kent               2  9 213 376  3.129  107  5.585  107  2.603  107  2.649  112 0.3244  108 0.3582   27      0  1.427  2.815  2.483
Baylor             1 10 137 414  3.363  108  5.554  108  2.556  109  2.481  106 0.3712  107 0.3632   27      0  1.183  2.315  2.647
Tulsa              2  9 230 386  3.107  109  5.551  109  2.550  103  2.701  108 0.3565  109 0.3541   27      0  1.531  3.021  2.381
North Texas        2  9 118 291  2.927  110  5.531  110  2.520  111  2.302  111 0.3478  110 0.3428   27      0  0.795  1.690  2.914
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisiana-Lafay.   2  9 203 415  2.901  111  5.492  111  2.456  113  2.229  110 0.3516  111 0.3346   27      0  1.435  2.406  2.051
Middle Tenn.       3  8 272 379  2.548  112  5.421  112  2.343  110  2.427  109 0.3548  112 0.3277   27      0  1.561  2.791  2.063
Ball St.           0 11 157 361  3.042  113  5.102  113  1.909  112  2.292  113 0.2735  114 0.2922   27      0  1.076  1.994  2.591
Buffalo            0 11 130 426  2.627  114  4.822  114  1.676  114  1.761  114 0.2695  113 0.3185   27      0  1.073  1.458  2.064


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=4.399 (#3)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida St.       12  0 458 203  4.905    1  8.199    1  6.057    1  5.741    1 0.7175    1 0.7316    1   1250  1.408  5.879  5.602
Georgia Tech       8  4 461 361  4.438   19  7.320   22  4.700   24  4.611   17 0.5828   24 0.5798   26     39  1.953  5.632  3.589
Virginia           7  5 345 365  4.380   28  7.163   28  4.562   50  4.083   30 0.5628   35 0.5600   27      0  1.667  4.614  3.552
Clemson            6  6 322 253  4.590   31  7.040   31  4.382   23  4.691   35 0.5506   37 0.5511   27      0  1.398  4.814  4.568
Wake Forest        7  5 266 209  4.178   39  6.906   38  4.275   28  4.490   36 0.5413   46 0.5228   27      0  0.905  3.995  4.985
N. Carolina St.    6  6 244 302  4.188   41  6.873   41  4.229   65  3.893   42 0.5244   59 0.5022   27      0  1.195  3.742  4.043
Maryland           5  6 292 260  4.157   59  6.545   59  3.916   44  4.195   65 0.4896   75 0.4706   27      0  1.302  4.185  4.205
Duke               3  8 217 363  4.194   72  6.345   72  3.697   81  3.501   74 0.4675   87 0.4462   27      0  1.486  3.752  3.249
North Carolina     3  8 186 272  4.178   78  6.284   78  3.607   70  3.778   77 0.4592   85 0.4572   27      0  0.971  3.356  4.201

Big 10 Conf: strength=4.833 (#1)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan St.      10  2 378 245  4.896    3  7.873    4  5.519    9  5.256    4 0.6705    5 0.6701    3   1128  1.386  5.363  5.149
Michigan          10  2 361 247  4.888    4  7.866    3  5.532   11  5.182    2 0.6787    4 0.6816    4   1085  1.387  5.290  5.074
Penn St.          10  3 417 234  4.818    9  7.708    9  5.266    5  5.384    7 0.6432    8 0.6477    8    896  1.282  5.347  5.420
Wisconsin         10  2 409 154  4.639   10  7.663   10  5.197    6  5.365   12 0.6188   13 0.6125    6   1013  1.039  5.022  5.707
Illinois           8  4 388 275  4.576   16  7.396   16  4.809   15  4.889   14 0.5977   21 0.5881   17    435  1.487  5.143  4.636
Purdue             7  5 384 305  4.673   18  7.335   18  4.723   22  4.705   22 0.5765   25 0.5769   23    143  1.619  5.160  4.250
Minnesota          8  4 368 196  4.523   21  7.288   21  4.701   14  4.920   18 0.5799   27 0.5699   15    497  1.179  4.748  5.091
Ohio St.           6  6 285 287  4.751   27  7.211   27  4.628   27  4.532   32 0.5601   36 0.5566   27      0  1.297  4.516  4.548
Indiana            4  7 291 386  4.270   55  6.600   55  3.948   59  3.946   66 0.4859   82 0.4595   27      0  1.795  4.689  3.203
Northwestern       3  8 141 301  4.244   70  6.370   69  3.735   82  3.495   70 0.4757   79 0.4627   27      0  0.867  2.958  4.032
Iowa               1 10 162 347  4.310   97  5.938   97  3.105   78  3.600   90 0.4228  101 0.4045   27      0  1.149  3.392  3.809

Big 12 Conf: strength=4.315 (#4)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska          12  1 442 171  4.802    2  7.977    2  5.672    2  5.683    3 0.6755    2 0.6896    2   1200  1.188  5.522  5.843
Kansas St.        11  1 457 164  4.421    6  7.745    6  5.324    7  5.295    9 0.6356    9 0.6439    9    842  1.185  5.132  5.458
Texas              9  5 450 295  4.557   17  7.368   17  4.770   18  4.725   21 0.5777   20 0.5894   20    292  1.483  4.972  4.478
Texas A&M          8  4 318 232  4.324   26  7.218   26  4.637   33  4.400   23 0.5747   22 0.5880   21    271  1.113  4.145  4.654
Oklahoma           7  5 430 229  4.307   37  6.933   39  4.262   13  4.979   45 0.5212   49 0.5199   27      0  1.383  5.082  4.877
Colorado           7  5 405 311  4.201   38  6.915   37  4.289   26  4.589   37 0.5397   38 0.5510   27      0  1.659  5.108  4.071
Oklahoma St.       5  6 267 274  4.081   56  6.591   56  3.933   58  3.949   58 0.4986   58 0.5051   27      0  1.323  3.967  3.930
Missouri           4  7 224 371  4.159   60  6.531   61  3.896   85  3.406   68 0.4844   61 0.4960   27      0  1.462  3.622  3.189
Texas Tech         6  5 253 282  3.686   61  6.526   60  3.900   75  3.693   63 0.4916   71 0.4811   27      0  1.363  3.768  3.618
Kansas             5  7 294 354  3.881   71  6.362   70  3.721   71  3.776   71 0.4738   78 0.4639   27      0  1.458  3.986  3.566
Iowa St.           4  7 247 272  4.051   80  6.277   80  3.596   62  3.927   79 0.4583   86 0.4463   27      0  1.223  3.813  4.041
Baylor             1 10 137 414  3.363  108  5.554  108  2.556  109  2.481  106 0.3712  107 0.3632   27      0  1.183  2.315  2.647

Big East Conf: strength=4.087 (#5)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Virginia Tech     11  1 484 162  4.688    5  7.843    5  5.493    3  5.591    6 0.6509    6 0.6660    5   1074  1.291  5.566  5.615
Miami              8  4 377 220  4.774   14  7.451   14  4.889   10  5.195   13 0.5991   14 0.6125   18    432  1.188  5.036  5.355
Boston College     8  4 297 308  3.842   34  7.005   34  4.360   64  3.901   44 0.5225   45 0.5238   27      0  1.386  4.008  3.794
Syracuse           7  5 300 256  4.054   47  6.767   47  4.122   47  4.108   47 0.5206   42 0.5303   27      0  1.141  3.888  4.327
Pittsburgh         5  6 281 278  4.034   62  6.515   62  3.884   60  3.942   69 0.4782   70 0.4812   27      0  1.387  4.050  3.834
West Virginia      4  7 292 289  4.071   74  6.334   74  3.680   48  4.099   80 0.4550   81 0.4604   27      0  1.512  4.389  3.808
Temple             2  8 153 311  3.866   90  6.029   90  3.248   93  3.250   93 0.4167   91 0.4346   27      0  1.120  3.004  3.495
Rutgers            1 10 155 427  3.857  103  5.824  103  2.960  102  2.799  105 0.3788  106 0.3633   27      0  1.411  2.942  2.657

Big West: strength=2.972 (#12)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boise St.         10  3 430 277  3.288   54  6.624   54  3.978   54  4.012   38 0.5394   29 0.5679   27      0  1.429  4.180  3.844
Idaho              7  4 304 283  3.155   75  6.314   75  3.648   90  3.301   59 0.4957   67 0.4878   27      0  1.466  3.523  3.079
New Mexico St.     6  5 311 274  3.121   85  6.127   85  3.381   91  3.299   81 0.4536   73 0.4747   27      0  1.352  3.357  3.240
Utah St.           4  7 234 301  3.312   95  5.974   95  3.154   97  3.159   84 0.4429   84 0.4579   27      0  1.218  3.037  3.280
Arkansas St.       4  7 246 332  3.127  101  5.869  101  3.028  100  2.943   94 0.4163   99 0.4135   27      0  1.425  3.105  2.780
Nevada             3  8 283 418  3.228  104  5.770  104  2.867  101  2.889   98 0.4055   98 0.4211   27      0  1.790  3.625  2.154
North Texas        2  9 118 291  2.927  110  5.531  110  2.520  111  2.302  111 0.3478  110 0.3428   27      0  0.795  1.690  2.914

Conference USA: strength=4.070 (#7)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Miss.     9  3 333 189  4.334   15  7.420   15  4.843   21  4.708   19 0.5792   15 0.6080   16    496  0.962  4.277  5.140
East Carolina      9  3 333 225  4.096   25  7.220   25  4.638   29  4.488   29 0.5683   31 0.5659   25     92  1.285  4.456  4.520
Louisville         7  5 443 365  4.099   43  6.849   45  4.193   40  4.271   52 0.5142   41 0.5310   27      0  1.908  5.212  3.330
Houston            7  4 254 211  3.890   44  6.837   43  4.216   52  4.054   43 0.5232   51 0.5180   27      0  0.990  3.654  4.454
Memphis            5  6 232 182  4.157   57  6.584   58  3.921   39  4.272   62 0.4922   63 0.4942   27      0  0.856  3.724  4.820
Ala.-Birmingham    5  6 248 279  4.025   58  6.556   57  3.930   66  3.849   61 0.4939   55 0.5076   27      0  1.273  3.800  3.898
Cincinnati         3  8 275 289  4.105   81  6.227   81  3.522   56  3.959   87 0.4305   80 0.4613   27      0  1.510  4.246  3.671
Army               3  7 216 298  3.736   83  6.147   83  3.402   87  3.325   92 0.4196   95 0.4260   27      0  1.485  3.576  3.075
Tulane             3  8 279 399  3.677   92  6.019   92  3.231   96  3.178   97 0.4123  100 0.4127   27      0  1.819  3.962  2.394

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.989 (#11)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Marshall          13  0 463 137  3.736    8  7.721    8  5.282   16  4.816   16 0.5851    7 0.6594   13    668  0.867  4.279  5.352
Miami, Ohio        7  4 335 264  3.316   69  6.390   71  3.717   73  3.699   76 0.4598   62 0.4955   27      0  1.513  3.990  3.408
W. Michigan        7  5 373 342  3.384   73  6.338   73  3.683   76  3.675   72 0.4735   56 0.5068   27      0  1.727  4.305  3.045
Akron              7  4 315 314  3.097   76  6.305   76  3.635   88  3.310   83 0.4534   69 0.4813   27      0  1.588  3.716  2.903
Toledo             6  5 293 229  3.340   82  6.198   82  3.477   69  3.781   85 0.4424   72 0.4765   27      0  1.233  3.679  3.883
Ohio U.            5  6 271 287  3.206   91  6.025   91  3.238   89  3.307   96 0.4130   76 0.4663   27      0  1.367  3.388  3.227
Bowling Green      5  6 296 312  3.099   96  5.967   96  3.142   92  3.270  102 0.3953   92 0.4319   27      0  1.605  3.704  2.837
N. Illinois        5  6 289 289  2.979   99  5.913  100  3.061   98  3.119  104 0.3884   94 0.4276   27      0  1.501  3.392  2.845
E. Michigan        4  7 239 338  3.216  100  5.910   98  3.090   99  2.948  101 0.3963   89 0.4365   27      0  1.347  3.000  2.896
Cent. Michigan     4  7 229 344  2.796  106  5.748  106  2.828  108  2.615  107 0.3586  105 0.3785   27      0  1.346  2.666  2.565
Kent               2  9 213 376  3.129  107  5.585  107  2.603  107  2.649  112 0.3244  108 0.3582   27      0  1.427  2.815  2.483
Ball St.           0 11 157 361  3.042  113  5.102  113  1.909  112  2.292  113 0.2735  114 0.2922   27      0  1.076  1.994  2.591
Buffalo            0 11 130 426  2.627  114  4.822  114  1.676  114  1.761  114 0.2695  113 0.3185   27      0  1.073  1.458  2.064

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.908 (#8)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah               9  3 380 210  3.827   32  7.036   33  4.374   30  4.483   25 0.5728   16 0.6022   27      0  1.341  4.527  4.438
Brigham Young      8  4 335 251  4.039   33  7.019   32  4.379   38  4.285   28 0.5690   18 0.5941   27      0  1.411  4.427  4.144
Colorado St.       8  4 345 269  3.954   36  6.994   36  4.346   43  4.214   33 0.5574   23 0.5861   27      0  1.428  4.381  4.047
Wyoming            7  4 302 270  3.703   48  6.737   48  4.080   68  3.808   40 0.5351   28 0.5691   27      0  1.501  4.081  3.534
Air Force          6  5 264 218  3.789   63  6.514   63  3.883   57  3.953   56 0.5069   53 0.5089   27      0  1.111  3.696  4.209
San Diego St.      5  6 272 226  3.944   67  6.423   67  3.769   46  4.156   60 0.4944   64 0.4925   27      0  1.186  3.994  4.319
New Mexico         4  7 240 298  3.561   86  6.105   86  3.359   86  3.386   82 0.4535   77 0.4640   27      0  1.291  3.362  3.410
Nevada LV          3  8 160 324  3.238  102  5.849  102  2.997  106  2.659  100 0.4033  103 0.3972   27      0  1.090  2.378  2.941

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.085 (#6)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oregon             9  3 410 284  4.185   22  7.271   20  4.704   25  4.606   15 0.5977   17 0.5951   22    175  1.588  5.013  4.200
Stanford           8  4 418 364  4.192   30  7.094   30  4.454   31  4.421   27 0.5694   34 0.5636   27      0  1.837  5.236  3.606
Washington         7  5 331 302  4.232   35  7.003   35  4.358   36  4.312   31 0.5607   32 0.5643   27      0  1.484  4.560  4.063
Oregon St.         7  5 347 277  3.993   46  6.780   46  4.139   42  4.214   41 0.5333   44 0.5244   27      0  1.347  4.267  4.162
Southern Cal       6  6 348 278  4.087   50  6.700   51  4.028   41  4.263   49 0.5189   52 0.5173   27      0  1.405  4.397  4.130
Arizona            6  6 339 364  4.005   52  6.645   52  4.022   61  3.932   50 0.5156   50 0.5186   27      0  1.585  4.335  3.530
Arizona St.        6  6 285 311  4.013   53  6.642   53  4.006   63  3.910   51 0.5151   57 0.5063   27      0  1.375  4.001  3.818
UCLA               4  7 230 311  4.120   66  6.470   65  3.836   79  3.584   64 0.4912   66 0.4897   27      0  1.303  3.577  3.592
California         4  7 180 254  4.083   68  6.419   68  3.765   67  3.836   67 0.4858   74 0.4733   27      0  0.886  3.320  4.352
Washington St.     3  9 248 327  3.865   89  6.033   89  3.255   77  3.613   86 0.4355   90 0.4354   27      0  1.191  3.457  3.769

Southeastern Conf: strength=4.604 (#2)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama           10  3 378 265  4.858    7  7.733    7  5.308    8  5.256    5 0.6664    3 0.6889    7    930  1.461  5.471  5.042
Tennessee          9  3 369 194  4.812   11  7.639   11  5.164    4  5.402    8 0.6361   10 0.6362   10    824  1.255  5.330  5.474
Mississippi St.   10  2 255 156  4.390   12  7.636   12  5.158   20  4.709   10 0.6230   12 0.6179   11    726  0.763  4.064  5.353
Florida            9  4 403 272  4.770   13  7.559   13  5.049   12  4.989   11 0.6223   11 0.6241   12    685  1.426  5.154  4.825
Georgia            8  4 336 310  4.349   20  7.294   19  4.709   32  4.412   20 0.5788   30 0.5678   27      0  1.532  4.733  4.092
Mississippi        8  4 323 228  4.396   23  7.245   23  4.670   19  4.721   26 0.5719   33 0.5638   19    345  1.321  4.737  4.704
Arkansas           8  4 353 214  4.428   24  7.235   24  4.660   17  4.797   24 0.5733   26 0.5749   14    618  1.312  4.801  4.792
Kentucky           6  6 328 343  4.274   40  6.876   40  4.233   45  4.170   48 0.5204   54 0.5079   27      0  1.568  4.546  3.794
Auburn             5  6 233 236  4.441   42  6.872   42  4.228   35  4.315   39 0.5375   40 0.5354   27      0  1.135  4.089  4.542
Vanderbilt         5  6 252 256  4.175   49  6.717   50  4.052   55  3.995   57 0.5057   60 0.5003   27      0  1.202  3.853  4.137
Louisiana St.      3  8 223 259  4.248   77  6.294   77  3.622   51  4.071   75 0.4655   83 0.4584   27      0  1.172  3.891  4.250
South Carolina     0 11  87 278  4.430  105  5.759  105  2.854   84  3.413   99 0.4034  104 0.3844   27      0  0.538  2.557  4.268

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.276 (#9)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Hawaii             9  4 371 349  3.454   51  6.668   49  4.054   74  3.696   53 0.5122   39 0.5404   27      0  1.550  4.044  3.348
Texas Christian    8  4 362 213  3.473   64  6.511   64  3.878   37  4.294   54 0.5099   43 0.5246   27      0  1.269  4.240  4.348
Fresno St.         8  5 413 282  3.559   65  6.473   66  3.821   49  4.086   55 0.5083   47 0.5219   27      0  1.401  4.214  3.958
Rice               5  6 237 261  3.619   79  6.279   79  3.599   80  3.518   73 0.4726   65 0.4922   27      0  1.162  3.325  3.711
Texas-El Paso      5  7 306 389  3.468   84  6.134   84  3.383   95  3.194   78 0.4584   68 0.4827   27      0  1.598  3.617  2.772
Southern Meth.     4  6 193 235  3.282   88  6.043   88  3.268   94  3.244   88 0.4281   93 0.4291   27      0  0.966  2.817  3.671
San Jose St.       3  7 258 402  3.182   98  5.930   99  3.089  105  2.663  103 0.3911  102 0.3991   27      0  1.703  3.252  2.073
Tulsa              2  9 230 386  3.107  109  5.551  109  2.550  103  2.701  108 0.3565  109 0.3541   27      0  1.531  3.021  2.381

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.117 (#10)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisiana Tech     8  3 389 306  3.763   29  7.126   29  4.502   53  4.016   34 0.5564   19 0.5933   24     94  1.730  4.649  3.382
Notre Dame         5  7 348 331  4.544   45  6.828   44  4.203   34  4.363   46 0.5207   48 0.5202   27      0  1.532  4.684  4.042
Navy               4  7 307 297  3.607   87  6.067   87  3.303   72  3.757   91 0.4218   97 0.4236   27      0  1.415  3.905  3.609
Louisiana-Monroe   5  6 186 322  2.761   93  6.008   93  3.211  104  2.665   89 0.4264   88 0.4427   27      0  0.999  2.276  3.054
Cent. Florida      4  7 277 318  3.440   94  5.979   94  3.163   83  3.420   95 0.4134   96 0.4240   27      0  1.312  3.424  3.416
Louisiana-Lafay.   2  9 203 415  2.901  111  5.492  111  2.456  113  2.229  110 0.3516  111 0.3346   27      0  1.435  2.406  2.051
Middle Tenn.       3  8 272 379  2.548  112  5.421  112  2.343  110  2.427  109 0.3548  112 0.3277   27      0  1.561  2.791  2.063

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 10 Conf                                   77 53 0.592    1  4.833
Southeastern Conf                             81 61 0.570    2  4.604
Atlantic Coast Conf                           57 48 0.543    3  4.399
Big 12 Conf                                   79 63 0.556    4  4.315
Big East Conf                                 46 45 0.505    5  4.087
Pacific 10 Conf                               60 58 0.508    6  4.085
Conference USA                                51 50 0.505    7  4.070
Mountain West Conf                            50 41 0.549    8  3.908
Western Athletic Conf                         44 48 0.478    9  3.276
Division I-A Independents                     31 47 0.397   10  3.117
Mid-American Conf                             65 81 0.445   11  2.989
Big West                                      36 43 0.456   12  2.972

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.191 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:18:10 2007

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