Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific     12  2 366 278 -0.738    1  3.636    1  0.142    8 -0.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.184 -0.651 -0.413
Tri-State         11  3 461 313 -0.692    2  3.404    2 -0.147    5 -0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.469 -0.179 -0.726
Cent Washington    7  4 353 312 -0.223    3  3.380    4 -0.186    2 -0.269    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.633  0.253 -0.792
Rocky Mountain     9  1 394 210 -1.009    4  3.358    3 -0.175    3 -0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.593  0.075 -0.847
Olivet Nazarene   11  3 436 310 -0.839    5  3.315    5 -0.242    9 -0.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.289 -0.542 -0.581
Linfield           7  2 164 114 -0.776    6  3.300    6 -0.275   18 -0.867    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.558 -1.660 -0.074
Hastings          10  1 361 177 -1.272    7  3.297    7 -0.283   14 -0.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -0.649 -0.727
Pac Lutheran       8  2 273 197 -0.889    8  3.290    8 -0.292   12 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.395 -0.478 -0.809
Willamette         7  3 336 172 -0.729    9  3.144    9 -0.541    4 -0.430    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.404 -0.251 -0.610
Taylor             8  3 368 216 -0.975   10  3.113   10 -0.599   10 -0.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.263 -0.601 -0.571
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY      9  3 465 295 -1.090   11  3.093   11 -0.628   13 -0.649    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.612 -0.160 -1.139
Huron             10  3 483 295 -1.309   12  2.991   12 -0.674   19 -0.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.722 -0.218 -1.553
Malone             7  4 389 317 -0.846   13  2.981   13 -0.687   11 -0.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.611 -0.142 -1.119
Eastern Oregon     6  4 212 226 -0.961   14  2.944   14 -0.744   27 -1.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.155 -1.249 -0.939
Benedict           4  7 263 232 -0.059   15  2.934   15 -0.757    1 -0.220    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.308 -0.175 -0.266
N Greenville       7  3 305 252 -1.207   16  2.880   16 -0.794   24 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.459 -0.804 -1.321
Lambuth            7  3 310 256 -1.340   17  2.876   17 -0.799   34 -1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.507 -0.939 -1.597
Sioux Falls        8  3 446 220 -1.129   18  2.873   19 -0.806    6 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.601 -0.044 -0.990
Western Oregon     4  5 296 288 -0.389   19  2.872   18 -0.805    7 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.881  0.420 -1.455
Geneva             7  3 326 263 -1.183   20  2.859   20 -0.825   21 -1.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.630 -0.487 -1.524
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Benedictine KS     9  2 302 199 -1.630   21  2.855   21 -0.832   30 -1.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.216 -1.281 -1.126
NW Iowa            7  3 283 134 -1.192   22  2.787   22 -0.947   16 -0.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.024 -1.051 -0.423
Southwestern KS    9  2 433 224 -1.713   23  2.756   23 -1.002   20 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.663 -0.423 -1.565
Southern Oregon    4  6 288 249 -0.627   24  2.724   24 -1.051   17 -0.787    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.426 -0.577 -0.998
Tiffin             6  5 215 219 -1.091   25  2.722   25 -1.055   31 -1.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.867 -1.698 -0.717
Campbellsville     7  4 344 267 -1.294   26  2.720   26 -1.058   28 -1.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.490 -0.809 -1.417
Lindenwood         8  3 341 246 -1.565   27  2.713   27 -1.070   32 -1.226    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.683 -0.623 -1.828
St Ambrose         5  5 280 262 -0.910   28  2.707   28 -1.078   23 -1.060    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.585 -0.612 -1.507
Jamestown          8  2 312 231 -1.862   29  2.703   29 -1.086   38 -1.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.423 -1.185 -1.596
Neb Wesleyan       6  4 195 206 -1.363   30  2.667   30 -1.142   39 -1.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.035 -1.726 -1.122
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mary               8  3 345 202 -1.638   31  2.648   31 -1.170   26 -1.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.236 -1.120 -1.018
Missouri Valley    7  3 214 172 -1.666   32  2.645   32 -1.174   42 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.049 -1.764 -1.194
McKendree          6  4 268 205 -1.283   33  2.642   33 -1.176   22 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.214 -1.134 -0.974
Whitworth          5  5 281 185 -0.917   34  2.638   34 -1.180   15 -0.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.298 -0.669 -0.731
Montana Tech       5  5 245 216 -0.988   35  2.602   35 -1.211   25 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.202 -1.161 -0.970
Walsh              6  5 319 247 -1.323   36  2.425   36 -1.336   29 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.192 -1.254 -1.039
Doane              5  4 176 187 -1.460   37  2.424   37 -1.336   41 -1.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.198 -1.549 -1.348
Cumberland TN      6  5 302 283 -1.370   38  2.423   38 -1.337   35 -1.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -1.196 -1.358
Dakota St          7  3 270 169 -1.873   39  2.392   39 -1.397   37 -1.379    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.097 -1.606 -1.152
Ottawa             8  2 408 184 -2.157   40  2.386   40 -1.408   33 -1.263    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.534 -0.893 -1.634
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dickinson St       6  3 280 223 -1.968   41  2.310   41 -1.481   46 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.648 -1.077 -2.170
Simon Fraser       3  6 195 271 -1.151   42  2.300   42 -1.493   51 -1.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.215 -1.799 -1.642
Mid Am Nazarene    6  5 260 223 -1.717   43  2.218   43 -1.639   43 -1.591    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.258 -1.612 -1.570
Peru St            4  5 168 216 -1.581   44  2.213   44 -1.647   57 -1.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.234 -2.005 -1.899
Concordia NE       4  5 166 201 -1.568   45  2.172   47 -1.679   47 -1.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.112 -1.865 -1.448
Midland Luth       4  6 191 247 -1.468   46  2.165   45 -1.661   49 -1.701    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.138 -1.877 -1.525
Evangel            5  4 225 136 -1.731   47  2.157   46 -1.675   36 -1.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.034 -1.610 -1.003
Baker              5  5 234 233 -1.733   48  2.141   48 -1.699   45 -1.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.339 -1.520 -1.694
Urbana             5  6 245 330 -1.713   49  2.137   49 -1.704   60 -1.984    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.389 -1.827 -2.141
Minn-Crookston     6  4 216 190 -2.066   50  2.087   50 -1.801   54 -1.864    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.101 -2.086 -1.641
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Iowa Wesleyan      3  8 262 364 -1.311   51  2.047   51 -1.864   52 -1.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.572 -1.338 -2.193
Clinch Valley      4  5 220 266 -1.824   52  2.045   52 -1.869   53 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.493 -1.555 -2.171
Bethany KS         6  3 290 172 -2.323   53  2.029   53 -1.898   48 -1.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.191 -1.802 -1.582
W Montana          2  7 168 328 -1.262   54  2.022   54 -1.904   56 -1.938    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.509 -1.607 -2.269
Langston           2  8 143 271 -0.984   55  1.991   55 -1.958   44 -1.599    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.944 -2.005 -1.193
Minot St           4  5 128 210 -2.074   56  1.982   57 -1.976   67 -2.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.831 -2.892 -1.835
St Francis IN      2  8 341 399 -1.098   57  1.980   56 -1.976   40 -1.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.929 -0.411 -2.454
Kansas Wesleyan    5  4 171 145 -2.345   58  1.835   58 -2.042   61 -2.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.882 -2.658 -1.710
Belhaven           4  6 222 321 -2.076   59  1.821   59 -2.066   69 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.476 -2.085 -2.652
Graceland          4  6 168 228 -2.000   60  1.817   60 -2.073   65 -2.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.083 -2.488 -2.001
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dakota Wesleyan    4  6 218 251 -1.920   61  1.807   61 -2.086   59 -1.973    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.409 -1.786 -2.159
Trinity IL         2  8 157 330 -1.461   62  1.782   62 -2.126   64 -2.241    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.182 -2.361 -2.120
William Jewell     3  7 191 231 -1.841   63  1.723   63 -2.237   58 -1.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.163 -2.111 -1.821
Dana               2  8 164 237 -1.494   64  1.720   64 -2.239   55 -1.913    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.078 -2.162 -1.663
Puget Sound        2  8 112 278 -1.642   65  1.701   65 -2.276   63 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.949 -2.631 -1.829
Bethel KS          5  5 200 240 -2.622   66  1.693   66 -2.294   74 -2.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134 -2.772 -2.408
McPherson          5  5 334 368 -2.563   67  1.661   67 -2.346   70 -2.463    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.992 -1.326 -3.599
St Xavier          1  9 275 378 -1.322   68  1.546   68 -2.362   50 -1.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.787 -0.942 -2.492
Cumberland KY      3  7 146 289 -2.242   69  1.521   69 -2.404   75 -2.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.952 -3.119 -2.324
Culver-Stockton    3  7 210 303 -2.184   70  1.416   70 -2.485   68 -2.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.531 -2.002 -2.732
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Carroll MT         1  8 127 279 -1.576   71  1.403   71 -2.507   62 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134 -2.383 -2.019
Mayville St        2  8 154 299 -1.949   72  1.390   72 -2.530   66 -2.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.282 -2.350 -2.372
Sterling           4  6 277 308 -2.572   73  1.367   73 -2.572   72 -2.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.646 -2.011 -3.097
Lewis & Clark      1  8 107 339 -1.996   74  1.267   74 -2.714   79 -2.874    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -2.878 -2.870
Black Hills St     1  9 198 360 -2.009   75  1.146   75 -2.924   71 -2.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.457 -2.284 -2.795
Friends            2  8 181 312 -2.459   76  1.095   76 -3.019   78 -2.855    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.281 -2.847 -2.863
Concordia StP      5  5 255 221 -3.344   77  1.091   77 -3.029   77 -2.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.231 -2.904 -2.788
Union KY           0 10 173 390 -1.694   78  1.055   78 -3.087   73 -2.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.544 -2.179 -2.949
S Dakota Tech      0 10  89 430 -1.918   79  1.051   79 -3.095   81 -3.206    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.985 -3.565 -2.847
Valley City St     0 10 106 267 -2.025   80  0.966   80 -3.273   76 -2.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.867 -3.226 -2.246
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cent Methodist     0 10 101 306 -2.170   81  0.939   81 -3.324   80 -3.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -3.546 -2.534
Tabor              1  9  62 391 -3.252   82  0.781   82 -3.571   83 -3.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.643 -4.679 -3.248
Bethel TN          0 10 126 424 -3.118   83  0.579   83 -4.000   82 -3.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.088 -3.953 -3.477


Columbia Football Assn: strength=-0.679 (#1)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cent Washington    7  4 353 312 -0.223    3  3.380    4 -0.186    2 -0.269    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.633  0.253 -0.792
Eastern Oregon     6  4 212 226 -0.961   14  2.944   14 -0.744   27 -1.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.155 -1.249 -0.939
Western Oregon     4  5 296 288 -0.389   19  2.872   18 -0.805    7 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.881  0.420 -1.455
Southern Oregon    4  6 288 249 -0.627   24  2.724   24 -1.051   17 -0.787    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.426 -0.577 -0.998
Simon Fraser       3  6 195 271 -1.151   42  2.300   42 -1.493   51 -1.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.215 -1.799 -1.642

Frontier Conf: strength=-1.380 (#5)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rocky Mountain     9  1 394 210 -1.009    4  3.358    3 -0.175    3 -0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.593  0.075 -0.847
Montana Tech       5  5 245 216 -0.988   35  2.602   35 -1.211   25 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.202 -1.161 -0.970
W Montana          2  7 168 328 -1.262   54  2.022   54 -1.904   56 -1.938    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.509 -1.607 -2.269
Carroll MT         1  8 127 279 -1.576   71  1.403   71 -2.507   62 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134 -2.383 -2.019

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-1.826 (#9)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Benedictine KS     9  2 302 199 -1.630   21  2.855   21 -0.832   30 -1.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.216 -1.281 -1.126
Lindenwood         8  3 341 246 -1.565   27  2.713   27 -1.070   32 -1.226    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.683 -0.623 -1.828
Missouri Valley    7  3 214 172 -1.666   32  2.645   32 -1.174   42 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.049 -1.764 -1.194
Mid Am Nazarene    6  5 260 223 -1.717   43  2.218   43 -1.639   43 -1.591    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.258 -1.612 -1.570
Evangel            5  4 225 136 -1.731   47  2.157   46 -1.675   36 -1.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.034 -1.610 -1.003
Baker              5  5 234 233 -1.733   48  2.141   48 -1.699   45 -1.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.339 -1.520 -1.694
Graceland          4  6 168 228 -2.000   60  1.817   60 -2.073   65 -2.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.083 -2.488 -2.001
William Jewell     3  7 191 231 -1.841   63  1.723   63 -2.237   58 -1.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.163 -2.111 -1.821
Culver-Stockton    3  7 210 303 -2.184   70  1.416   70 -2.485   68 -2.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.531 -2.002 -2.732
Cent Methodist     0 10 101 306 -2.170   81  0.939   81 -3.324   80 -3.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.852 -3.546 -2.534

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.408 (#11)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southwestern KS    9  2 433 224 -1.713   23  2.756   23 -1.002   20 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.663 -0.423 -1.565
Ottawa             8  2 408 184 -2.157   40  2.386   40 -1.408   33 -1.263    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.534 -0.893 -1.634
Bethany KS         6  3 290 172 -2.323   53  2.029   53 -1.898   48 -1.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.191 -1.802 -1.582
Kansas Wesleyan    5  4 171 145 -2.345   58  1.835   58 -2.042   61 -2.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.882 -2.658 -1.710
Bethel KS          5  5 200 240 -2.622   66  1.693   66 -2.294   74 -2.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134 -2.772 -2.408
McPherson          5  5 334 368 -2.563   67  1.661   67 -2.346   70 -2.463    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.992 -1.326 -3.599
Sterling           4  6 277 308 -2.572   73  1.367   73 -2.572   72 -2.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.646 -2.011 -3.097
Friends            2  8 181 312 -2.459   76  1.095   76 -3.019   78 -2.855    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.281 -2.847 -2.863
Tabor              1  9  62 391 -3.252   82  0.781   82 -3.571   83 -3.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.643 -4.679 -3.248

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.563 (#6)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY      9  3 465 295 -1.090   11  3.093   11 -0.628   13 -0.649    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.612 -0.160 -1.139
N Greenville       7  3 305 252 -1.207   16  2.880   16 -0.794   24 -1.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.459 -0.804 -1.321
Lambuth            7  3 310 256 -1.340   17  2.876   17 -0.799   34 -1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.507 -0.939 -1.597
Campbellsville     7  4 344 267 -1.294   26  2.720   26 -1.058   28 -1.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.490 -0.809 -1.417
Cumberland TN      6  5 302 283 -1.370   38  2.423   38 -1.337   35 -1.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.334 -1.196 -1.358
Belhaven           4  6 222 321 -2.076   59  1.821   59 -2.066   69 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.476 -2.085 -2.652
Cumberland KY      3  7 146 289 -2.242   69  1.521   69 -2.404   75 -2.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.952 -3.119 -2.324
Union KY           0 10 173 390 -1.694   78  1.055   78 -3.087   73 -2.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.544 -2.179 -2.949

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-1.116 (#3)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tri-State         11  3 461 313 -0.692    2  3.404    2 -0.147    5 -0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.469 -0.179 -0.726
Olivet Nazarene   11  3 436 310 -0.839    5  3.315    5 -0.242    9 -0.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.289 -0.542 -0.581
Taylor             8  3 368 216 -0.975   10  3.113   10 -0.599   10 -0.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.263 -0.601 -0.571
Malone             7  4 389 317 -0.846   13  2.981   13 -0.687   11 -0.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.611 -0.142 -1.119
Geneva             7  3 326 263 -1.183   20  2.859   20 -0.825   21 -1.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.630 -0.487 -1.524
Tiffin             6  5 215 219 -1.091   25  2.722   25 -1.055   31 -1.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.867 -1.698 -0.717
St Ambrose         5  5 280 262 -0.910   28  2.707   28 -1.078   23 -1.060    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.585 -0.612 -1.507
McKendree          6  4 268 205 -1.283   33  2.642   33 -1.176   22 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.214 -1.134 -0.974
Walsh              6  5 319 247 -1.323   36  2.425   36 -1.336   29 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.192 -1.254 -1.039
Urbana             5  6 245 330 -1.713   49  2.137   49 -1.704   60 -1.984    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.389 -1.827 -2.141
Iowa Wesleyan      3  8 262 364 -1.311   51  2.047   51 -1.864   52 -1.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.572 -1.338 -2.193
St Francis IN      2  8 341 399 -1.098   57  1.980   56 -1.976   40 -1.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.929 -0.411 -2.454
Trinity IL         2  8 157 330 -1.461   62  1.782   62 -2.126   64 -2.241    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.182 -2.361 -2.120
St Xavier          1  9 275 378 -1.322   68  1.546   68 -2.362   50 -1.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.787 -0.942 -2.492

North Dakota Athl Conf: strength=-1.999 (#10)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Jamestown          8  2 312 231 -1.862   29  2.703   29 -1.086   38 -1.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.423 -1.185 -1.596
Mary               8  3 345 202 -1.638   31  2.648   31 -1.170   26 -1.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.236 -1.120 -1.018
Dickinson St       6  3 280 223 -1.968   41  2.310   41 -1.481   46 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.648 -1.077 -2.170
Minn-Crookston     6  4 216 190 -2.066   50  2.087   50 -1.801   54 -1.864    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.101 -2.086 -1.641
Minot St           4  5 128 210 -2.074   56  1.982   57 -1.976   67 -2.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.831 -2.892 -1.835
Mayville St        2  8 154 299 -1.949   72  1.390   72 -2.530   66 -2.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.282 -2.350 -2.372
Valley City St     0 10 106 267 -2.025   80  0.966   80 -3.273   76 -2.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.867 -3.226 -2.246

Northwest Conf: strength=-1.042 (#2)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Linfield           7  2 164 114 -0.776    6  3.300    6 -0.275   18 -0.867    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.558 -1.660 -0.074
Pac Lutheran       8  2 273 197 -0.889    8  3.290    8 -0.292   12 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.395 -0.478 -0.809
Willamette         7  3 336 172 -0.729    9  3.144    9 -0.541    4 -0.430    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.404 -0.251 -0.610
Whitworth          5  5 281 185 -0.917   34  2.638   34 -1.180   15 -0.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.298 -0.669 -0.731
Puget Sound        2  8 112 278 -1.642   65  1.701   65 -2.276   63 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.949 -2.631 -1.829
Lewis & Clark      1  8 107 339 -1.996   74  1.267   74 -2.714   79 -2.874    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.272 -2.878 -2.870

Nebraska-Iowa Conf: strength=-1.349 (#4)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Hastings          10  1 361 177 -1.272    7  3.297    7 -0.283   14 -0.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.303 -0.649 -0.727
NW Iowa            7  3 283 134 -1.192   22  2.787   22 -0.947   16 -0.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.024 -1.051 -0.423
Neb Wesleyan       6  4 195 206 -1.363   30  2.667   30 -1.142   39 -1.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.035 -1.726 -1.122
Doane              5  4 176 187 -1.460   37  2.424   37 -1.336   41 -1.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.198 -1.549 -1.348
Concordia NE       4  5 166 201 -1.568   45  2.172   47 -1.679   47 -1.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.112 -1.865 -1.448
Midland Luth       4  6 191 247 -1.468   46  2.165   45 -1.661   49 -1.701    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.138 -1.877 -1.525
Dana               2  8 164 237 -1.494   64  1.720   64 -2.239   55 -1.913    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.078 -2.162 -1.663

South Dakota-Iowa Conf: strength=-1.772 (#7)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Huron             10  3 483 295 -1.309   12  2.991   12 -0.674   19 -0.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.722 -0.218 -1.553
Sioux Falls        8  3 446 220 -1.129   18  2.873   19 -0.806    6 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.601 -0.044 -0.990
Dakota St          7  3 270 169 -1.873   39  2.392   39 -1.397   37 -1.379    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.097 -1.606 -1.152
Dakota Wesleyan    4  6 218 251 -1.920   61  1.807   61 -2.086   59 -1.973    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.409 -1.786 -2.159
Black Hills St     1  9 198 360 -2.009   75  1.146   75 -2.924   71 -2.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.457 -2.284 -2.795
S Dakota Tech      0 10  89 430 -1.918   79  1.051   79 -3.095   81 -3.206    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.985 -3.565 -2.847

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.812 (#8)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific     12  2 366 278 -0.738    1  3.636    1  0.142    8 -0.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.184 -0.651 -0.413
Benedict           4  7 263 232 -0.059   15  2.934   15 -0.757    1 -0.220    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.308 -0.175 -0.266
Peru St            4  5 168 216 -1.581   44  2.213   44 -1.647   57 -1.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.234 -2.005 -1.899
Clinch Valley      4  5 220 266 -1.824   52  2.045   52 -1.869   53 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.493 -1.555 -2.171
Langston           2  8 143 271 -0.984   55  1.991   55 -1.958   44 -1.599    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.944 -2.005 -1.193
Concordia StP      5  5 255 221 -3.344   77  1.091   77 -3.029   77 -2.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.231 -2.904 -2.788
Bethel TN          0 10 126 424 -3.118   83  0.579   83 -4.000   82 -3.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.088 -3.953 -3.477

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Columbia Football Assn                         24  25 0.490    1 -0.679
Northwest Conf                                 30  28 0.517    2 -1.042
Mid-States Football Assn                       80  74 0.519    3 -1.116
Nebraska-Iowa Conf                             38  31 0.551    4 -1.349
Frontier Conf                                  17  21 0.447    5 -1.380
Mid-South Conf                                 43  41 0.512    6 -1.563
South Dakota-Iowa Conf                         30  34 0.469    7 -1.772
NAIA Independents                              31  42 0.425    8 -1.812
Heart of America Athletic Conf                 50  52 0.490    9 -1.826
North Dakota Athl Conf                         34  35 0.493   10 -1.999
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                    45  44 0.506   11 -2.408

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.173 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:17:58 2007

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