Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska        13  0 607 214  4.214    1  7.691    1  5.414    2  5.232    6 0.6847    4 0.6934    1   1250  1.456  5.538  4.927
Michigan        12  0 322 114  4.080    2  7.639    2  5.321    4  4.843    5 0.6871    3 0.6982    2   1188  0.680  4.212  5.473
Florida State   11  1 468 181  4.465    3  7.581    3  5.221    1  5.356    3 0.6911    2 0.6982    3   1148  1.415  5.602  5.111
Tennessee       11  2 428 286  4.385    4  7.510    4  5.113   11  4.595    1 0.7127    1 0.7038    5   1050  1.598  5.114  4.076
Florida         10  2 430 205  4.460    5  7.479    5  5.017    3  4.959    2 0.6997    5 0.6883    4   1114  1.350  5.113  4.804
Washington St   10  2 483 296  4.162    6  7.387    6  4.877   13  4.440   10 0.6429   10 0.6463    6    981  1.719  5.152  3.728
North Carolina  11  1 348 146  3.858    7  7.375    7  4.855   10  4.602    9 0.6468   11 0.6223    9    861  0.943  4.245  4.958
UCLA            10  2 477 247  4.228    8  7.358    8  4.830    5  4.823    8 0.6572    9 0.6467    7    957  1.546  5.262  4.384
Kansas State    11  1 418 177  3.820    9  7.330    9  4.782    9  4.636   11 0.6351    7 0.6587   10    767  1.227  4.625  4.647
Georgia         10  2 380 195  4.109   10  7.319   10  4.765    8  4.643    7 0.6778    8 0.6586    8    896  1.242  4.651  4.634
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Auburn          10  3 340 250  4.213   11  7.293   11  4.730   15  4.320    4 0.6910    6 0.6637   11    765  1.239  4.323  4.316
Ohio State      10  3 394 170  4.168   12  7.171   12  4.554    7  4.747   15 0.6096   12 0.6209   12    723  1.084  4.555  4.939
Washington       8  4 420 259  4.314   13  7.078   13  4.416    6  4.804   14 0.6146   15 0.6067   15    572  1.517  5.199  4.409
Arizona State    9  3 324 210  3.940   14  7.002   14  4.363   16  4.306   17 0.5986   21 0.5805   13    631  1.143  4.187  4.425
Penn State       9  3 366 254  3.765   15  7.001   15  4.361   30  3.954   18 0.5963   17 0.5932   16    494  1.411  4.194  3.715
LSU              9  3 373 188  3.931   16  6.990   17  4.345   14  4.436   13 0.6339   22 0.5793   14    597  1.297  4.517  4.355
Mississippi      8  4 267 240  4.046   17  6.975   16  4.348   20  4.094   12 0.6346   13 0.6198   17    427  1.193  4.039  4.150
Colorado State  11  2 477 203  3.444   18  6.896   18  4.230   12  4.461   22 0.5751   14 0.6108   18    378  1.265  4.500  4.423
USC              6  5 233 233  4.154   19  6.824   19  4.129   26  4.023   23 0.5739   33 0.5540   28     21  0.997  3.729  4.318
Oregon           7  5 380 350  3.989   20  6.801   21  4.105   18  4.112   27 0.5717   25 0.5767   23    142  1.703  4.797  3.426
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona          7  5 317 312  3.998   21  6.792   20  4.115   27  3.997   26 0.5719   24 0.5773   24     88  1.301  4.084  3.911
Southern Miss    9  3 337 210  3.551   22  6.783   22  4.098   21  4.088   21 0.5798   18 0.5931   21    267  1.132  3.956  4.220
Mississippi St   7  4 226 215  3.819   23  6.779   23  4.094   32  3.841   16 0.6083   32 0.5617   20    307  1.027  3.582  4.100
Purdue           9  3 396 267  3.542   24  6.774   24  4.086   25  4.041   20 0.5831   20 0.5840   22    164  1.654  4.648  3.434
Virginia         7  4 277 242  3.847   25  6.762   25  4.070   28  3.994   19 0.5833   27 0.5695   30      0  1.324  4.113  3.875
Georgia Tech     7  5 314 296  3.840   26  6.679   26  3.968   33  3.817   24 0.5739   28 0.5674   30      0  1.453  4.117  3.516
Texas A&M        9  4 445 236  3.647   27  6.660   27  3.939   23  4.044   35 0.5458   30 0.5625   19    319  1.117  3.893  4.196
Clemson          7  5 292 219  3.798   28  6.623   28  3.884   29  3.965   28 0.5649   40 0.5410   30      0  1.112  3.807  4.122
Louisiana Tech   9  2 364 281  2.729   29  6.597   31  3.841   71  3.092   29 0.5633   31 0.5625   27     25  1.643  3.681  2.503
Michigan State   7  5 342 237  3.839   30  6.596   29  3.843   24  4.044   32 0.5519   39 0.5412   29      2  1.368  4.223  3.864
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame       7  6 282 265  3.784   31  6.558   30  3.843   38  3.750   34 0.5502   35 0.5508   30      0  1.118  3.601  3.899
Wisconsin        8  5 291 306  3.419   32  6.554   32  3.836   60  3.326   36 0.5455   36 0.5475   30      0  1.262  3.361  3.291
Air Force       10  3 279 190  3.126   33  6.548   33  3.827   52  3.446   44 0.5318   26 0.5751   25     61  0.818  2.954  3.938
Marshall        10  3 484 259  3.213   34  6.540   34  3.815   19  4.103   31 0.5588   19 0.5924   30      0  1.482  4.446  3.759
Toledo           9  3 356 268  3.132   35  6.492   35  3.810   57  3.341   33 0.5505   16 0.5933   30      0  1.313  3.444  3.238
Missouri         7  5 392 367  3.572   36  6.454   36  3.755   42  3.656   43 0.5348   41 0.5394   30      0  1.503  4.030  3.282
Stanford         5  6 276 317  3.931   37  6.450   37  3.749   44  3.609   37 0.5438   52 0.5169   30      0  1.523  4.013  3.204
N Carolina St    6  5 325 268  3.730   38  6.440   38  3.733   34  3.784   40 0.5374   50 0.5188   30      0  1.523  4.189  3.380
South Carolina   5  6 258 279  3.964   39  6.433   39  3.722   36  3.766   25 0.5736   48 0.5265   30      0  1.363  3.939  3.594
Syracuse         9  4 441 226  3.402   40  6.429   40  3.714   22  4.087   42 0.5364   34 0.5515   30      0  1.278  4.143  4.031
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami (Ohio)     8  3 412 226  3.186   41  6.367   43  3.628   31  3.952   41 0.5373   23 0.5783   26     55  1.576  4.437  3.467
Ohio U           8  3 301 177  3.075   42  6.341   41  3.659   54  3.395   48 0.5275   29 0.5648   30      0  0.918  3.011  3.778
Colorado         5  6 300 295  3.868   43  6.325   42  3.637   35  3.784   46 0.5276   38 0.5441   30      0  1.582  4.277  3.290
Oklahoma State   8  4 352 233  3.219   44  6.290   44  3.577   43  3.613   45 0.5297   51 0.5169   30      0  0.969  3.286  3.940
New Mexico       9  4 404 274  3.087   45  6.287   45  3.573   49  3.496   54 0.5087   42 0.5359   30      0  1.393  3.711  3.282
Iowa             7  5 411 159  3.781   46  6.273   47  3.552   17  4.282   50 0.5198   56 0.5014   30      0  1.035  4.031  4.532
Kentucky         5  6 348 362  3.774   47  6.272   46  3.552   41  3.658   38 0.5438   61 0.4874   30      0  1.836  4.566  2.750
Rice             7  4 306 285  3.098   48  6.233   48  3.491   66  3.165   53 0.5106   45 0.5313   30      0  1.563  3.631  2.700
W Michigan       8  3 301 265  2.730   49  6.232   49  3.488   73  3.018   47 0.5275   37 0.5471   30      0  1.396  3.237  2.799
Arkansas         4  7 181 284  3.826   50  6.219   50  3.472   48  3.503   30 0.5590   46 0.5306   30      0  1.081  3.308  3.698
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulane           7  4 375 225  3.199   51  6.182   52  3.412   37  3.750   52 0.5126   49 0.5191   30      0  1.455  4.053  3.447
Cincinnati       8  4 321 252  3.001   52  6.166   51  3.437   55  3.370   56 0.5049   44 0.5321   30      0  1.113  3.214  3.526
Texas Tech       6  5 245 217  3.395   53  6.139   53  3.400   46  3.517   49 0.5250   47 0.5269   30      0  0.991  3.215  3.818
Northwestern     5  7 243 288  3.609   54  6.129   54  3.387   51  3.451   57 0.4996   62 0.4833   30      0  1.197  3.401  3.501
Wake Forest      5  6 245 288  3.490   55  6.128   55  3.382   62  3.281   55 0.5076   64 0.4821   30      0  1.312  3.383  3.179
Wyoming          7  6 322 227  3.360   56  6.123   56  3.374   50  3.495   61 0.4828   57 0.5006   30      0  1.016  3.223  3.767
West Virginia    7  5 360 285  3.213   57  6.120   57  3.371   53  3.422   58 0.4954   59 0.4997   30      0  1.430  3.690  3.154
Alabama          4  7 246 248  3.817   58  6.116   58  3.367   40  3.661   39 0.5379   54 0.5058   30      0  1.187  3.598  3.724
Virginia Tech    7  5 324 227  3.199   59  6.107   59  3.353   56  3.350   60 0.4872   53 0.5072   30      0  1.143  3.231  3.469
Brigham Young    6  5 250 254  3.127   60  6.091   60  3.330   72  3.083   63 0.4807   60 0.4913   30      0  1.276  3.136  3.030
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
SMU              6  5 247 237  3.163   61  6.045   61  3.273   64  3.230   59 0.4918   55 0.5028   30      0  1.271  3.277  3.184
East Carolina    5  6 214 298  3.268   62  6.037   62  3.262   74  2.987   62 0.4810   66 0.4782   30      0  1.216  2.962  3.013
Central Florida  5  6 374 303  3.589   63  6.023   63  3.240   39  3.717   51 0.5150   43 0.5329   30      0  1.701  4.401  3.034
San Diego State  5  7 257 333  3.374   64  6.012   64  3.220   68  3.106   68 0.4697   58 0.4997   30      0  1.412  3.348  2.864
Utah             6  5 253 200  3.050   65  5.975   65  3.167   59  3.332   69 0.4675   63 0.4822   30      0  0.924  2.955  3.710
Fresno State     6  6 318 288  3.147   66  5.956   66  3.134   58  3.337   71 0.4606   67 0.4774   30      0  1.381  3.535  3.140
Navy             7  4 398 209  2.827   67  5.952   67  3.127   47  3.513   72 0.4522   73 0.4577   30      0  1.445  3.802  3.224
Kansas           5  6 177 279  3.034   68  5.945   68  3.117   83  2.742   66 0.4784   72 0.4658   30      0  0.927  2.368  3.117
Pittsburgh       6  6 333 354  2.920   69  5.912   69  3.070   80  2.858   70 0.4640   71 0.4689   30      0  1.407  3.093  2.624
Nevada           5  6 353 320  3.163   70  5.890   70  3.037   63  3.253   79 0.4398   68 0.4769   30      0  1.660  3.870  2.636
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
California       3  8 295 339  3.767   71  5.881   71  3.026   45  3.593   64 0.4795   75 0.4476   30      0  1.491  3.949  3.236
Oklahoma         4  8 232 379  3.269   72  5.821   72  3.017   82  2.756   75 0.4508   82 0.4266   30      0  1.375  2.945  2.567
Utah State       6  6 389 296  3.045   73  5.818   73  3.011   61  3.287   80 0.4325   65 0.4814   30      0  1.627  3.851  2.722
Oregon State     3  8 195 285  3.566   74  5.786   74  2.964   70  3.095   76 0.4497   88 0.4059   30      0  0.994  2.797  3.393
Miami (Fla)      5  6 314 285  3.056   75  5.776   75  2.945   69  3.101   77 0.4469   77 0.4444   30      0  1.308  3.198  3.004
Texas            4  7 283 366  3.157   76  5.760   76  2.921   76  2.920   73 0.4515   79 0.4365   30      0  1.636  3.498  2.341
San Jose State   4  7 225 387  3.018   77  5.729   77  2.875   92  2.498   81 0.4319   80 0.4343   30      0  1.486  2.847  2.149
NE Louisiana     5  7 226 319  2.817   78  5.721   78  2.863   89  2.572   65 0.4792   70 0.4759   30      0  1.115  2.418  2.726
Vanderbilt       3  8 138 204  3.502   79  5.718   79  2.859   65  3.227   67 0.4733   85 0.4168   30      0  0.447  2.389  4.066
Ball State       5  6 239 260  2.764   80  5.674   80  2.788   77  2.916   74 0.4512   74 0.4527   30      0  1.039  2.671  3.161
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boston College   4  7 237 314  2.883   81  5.622   81  2.706   85  2.679   89 0.4185   86 0.4118   30      0  1.265  2.718  2.640
Houston          3  8 216 410  3.047   82  5.606   82  2.683  104  2.295   90 0.4182   92 0.4001   30      0  1.397  2.516  2.074
Texas-El Paso    4  7 162 311  2.733   83  5.588   83  2.656   95  2.430   87 0.4226   84 0.4169   30      0  0.978  2.114  2.746
Bowling Green    3  8 191 341  2.998   84  5.586   85  2.654   94  2.460   78 0.4448   69 0.4767   30      0  1.145  2.343  2.576
Duke             2  9 223 341  3.500   85  5.575   86  2.638   67  3.149   86 0.4249   99 0.3870   30      0  1.437  3.426  2.871
Maryland         2  9 161 355  3.393   86  5.562   84  2.654   87  2.642   83 0.4300   89 0.4048   30      0  1.186  2.577  2.706
Indiana          2  9 120 359  3.267   87  5.543   87  2.624   99  2.351   82 0.4308   93 0.3975   30      0  0.962  2.016  2.686
Memphis          4  7 218 243  2.920   88  5.536   88  2.608   79  2.867   88 0.4203   97 0.3938   30      0  1.062  2.650  3.085
E Michigan       4  7 329 352  2.890   89  5.523   89  2.588   75  2.965   84 0.4284   78 0.4379   30      0  1.652  3.570  2.361
Minnesota        3  9 238 334  3.205   90  5.513   90  2.574   78  2.899   85 0.4271   91 0.4011   30      0  1.327  3.022  2.777
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
North Texas      4  7 232 331  2.600   91  5.506   91  2.563  101  2.338  101 0.3810   94 0.3971   30      0  1.485  2.685  1.991
Baylor           2  9 200 375  3.247   92  5.497   92  2.551   86  2.677   91 0.4149   87 0.4092   30      0  1.409  2.914  2.439
Kent State       3  8 337 490  2.884   93  5.462   93  2.496   96  2.429   94 0.4046   83 0.4226   30      0  1.993  3.616  1.242
Temple           3  8 212 371  2.840   94  5.453   94  2.483   97  2.399   95 0.3966  100 0.3853   30      0  1.371  2.583  2.215
Army             4  7 221 311  2.482   95  5.444   95  2.467  106  2.197  100 0.3814  103 0.3616   30      0  1.184  2.131  2.264
Idaho            5  6 302 263  2.486   96  5.424   96  2.433   84  2.690   98 0.3852   96 0.3939   30      0  1.277  2.745  2.635
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 222 238  2.238   97  5.421   97  2.429  100  2.344   93 0.4077   81 0.4269   30      0  1.051  2.113  2.575
UNLV             3  8 281 332  2.965   98  5.392   98  2.383   81  2.824  104 0.3717  104 0.3579   30      0  1.514  3.215  2.433
Tulsa            2  9 258 426  3.068   99  5.387   99  2.376   90  2.544   99 0.3831   95 0.3970   30      0  1.795  3.383  1.706
Boise State      4  7 285 358  2.517  100  5.368  101  2.346   88  2.631   97 0.3889   76 0.4474   30      0  1.490  2.986  2.277
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Hawaii           3  9 189 308  2.824  101  5.367  100  2.347   93  2.463  103 0.3740  105 0.3517   30      0  0.999  2.170  2.755
Iowa State       1 10 214 493  3.357  102  5.360  102  2.337   91  2.505   96 0.3911  101 0.3709   30      0  1.752  3.271  1.739
Akron            2  9 218 435  2.896  103  5.329  103  2.281  105  2.281   92 0.4096   90 0.4039   30      0  1.445  2.571  1.992
C Michigan       2  9 282 479  2.612  104  5.137  104  2.017  107  2.161  102 0.3789  102 0.3685   30      0  1.702  2.846  1.476
TCU              1 10 172 325  2.908  105  5.126  105  2.000  102  2.322  108 0.3415  108 0.3186   30      0  1.271  2.368  2.275
Louisville       1 10 245 407  2.908  106  5.074  106  1.916   98  2.399  107 0.3468  109 0.3133   30      0  1.699  3.078  1.719
Illinois         0 11 119 368  3.303  107  5.046  107  1.914  103  2.314  105 0.3676  106 0.3483   30      0  0.980  2.000  2.629
New Mexico St    2  9 221 398  2.153  108  4.822  108  1.660  109  1.766  111 0.3109  110 0.3097   30      0  1.370  1.948  1.584
N Illinois       0 11 129 382  2.759  109  4.720  109  1.554  108  1.872  109 0.3300  107 0.3296   30      0  1.119  1.723  2.021
Rutgers          0 11 191 496  2.661  110  4.689  110  1.502  110  1.625  112 0.2932  112 0.2796   30      0  1.454  1.926  1.323
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
SW Louisiana     1 10 176 553  2.058  111  4.688  111  1.495  112  1.243  106 0.3493   98 0.3878   30      0  1.487  1.594  0.892
Arkansas State   2  9 200 394  1.584  112  4.524  112  1.220  111  1.385  110 0.3119  111 0.2867   30      0  1.355  1.546  1.224


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.874 (#3)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida State   11  1 468 181  4.465    3  7.581    3  5.221    1  5.356    3 0.6911    2 0.6982    3   1148  1.415  5.602  5.111
North Carolina  11  1 348 146  3.858    7  7.375    7  4.855   10  4.602    9 0.6468   11 0.6223    9    861  0.943  4.245  4.958
Virginia         7  4 277 242  3.847   25  6.762   25  4.070   28  3.994   19 0.5833   27 0.5695   30      0  1.324  4.113  3.875
Georgia Tech     7  5 314 296  3.840   26  6.679   26  3.968   33  3.817   24 0.5739   28 0.5674   30      0  1.453  4.117  3.516
Clemson          7  5 292 219  3.798   28  6.623   28  3.884   29  3.965   28 0.5649   40 0.5410   30      0  1.112  3.807  4.122
N Carolina St    6  5 325 268  3.730   38  6.440   38  3.733   34  3.784   40 0.5374   50 0.5188   30      0  1.523  4.189  3.380
Wake Forest      5  6 245 288  3.490   55  6.128   55  3.382   62  3.281   55 0.5076   64 0.4821   30      0  1.312  3.383  3.179
Duke             2  9 223 341  3.500   85  5.575   86  2.638   67  3.149   86 0.4249   99 0.3870   30      0  1.437  3.426  2.871
Maryland         2  9 161 355  3.393   86  5.562   84  2.654   87  2.642   83 0.4300   89 0.4048   30      0  1.186  2.577  2.706

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.768 (#4)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan        12  0 322 114  4.080    2  7.639    2  5.321    4  4.843    5 0.6871    3 0.6982    2   1188  0.680  4.212  5.473
Ohio State      10  3 394 170  4.168   12  7.171   12  4.554    7  4.747   15 0.6096   12 0.6209   12    723  1.084  4.555  4.939
Penn State       9  3 366 254  3.765   15  7.001   15  4.361   30  3.954   18 0.5963   17 0.5932   16    494  1.411  4.194  3.715
Purdue           9  3 396 267  3.542   24  6.774   24  4.086   25  4.041   20 0.5831   20 0.5840   22    164  1.654  4.648  3.434
Michigan State   7  5 342 237  3.839   30  6.596   29  3.843   24  4.044   32 0.5519   39 0.5412   29      2  1.368  4.223  3.864
Wisconsin        8  5 291 306  3.419   32  6.554   32  3.836   60  3.326   36 0.5455   36 0.5475   30      0  1.262  3.361  3.291
Iowa             7  5 411 159  3.781   46  6.273   47  3.552   17  4.282   50 0.5198   56 0.5014   30      0  1.035  4.031  4.532
Northwestern     5  7 243 288  3.609   54  6.129   54  3.387   51  3.451   57 0.4996   62 0.4833   30      0  1.197  3.401  3.501
Indiana          2  9 120 359  3.267   87  5.543   87  2.624   99  2.351   82 0.4308   93 0.3975   30      0  0.962  2.016  2.686
Minnesota        3  9 238 334  3.205   90  5.513   90  2.574   78  2.899   85 0.4271   91 0.4011   30      0  1.327  3.022  2.777
Illinois         0 11 119 368  3.303  107  5.046  107  1.914  103  2.314  105 0.3676  106 0.3483   30      0  0.980  2.000  2.629

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.454 (#5)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska        13  0 607 214  4.214    1  7.691    1  5.414    2  5.232    6 0.6847    4 0.6934    1   1250  1.456  5.538  4.927
Kansas State    11  1 418 177  3.820    9  7.330    9  4.782    9  4.636   11 0.6351    7 0.6587   10    767  1.227  4.625  4.647
Texas A&M        9  4 445 236  3.647   27  6.660   27  3.939   23  4.044   35 0.5458   30 0.5625   19    319  1.117  3.893  4.196
Missouri         7  5 392 367  3.572   36  6.454   36  3.755   42  3.656   43 0.5348   41 0.5394   30      0  1.503  4.030  3.282
Colorado         5  6 300 295  3.868   43  6.325   42  3.637   35  3.784   46 0.5276   38 0.5441   30      0  1.582  4.277  3.290
Oklahoma State   8  4 352 233  3.219   44  6.290   44  3.577   43  3.613   45 0.5297   51 0.5169   30      0  0.969  3.286  3.940
Texas Tech       6  5 245 217  3.395   53  6.139   53  3.400   46  3.517   49 0.5250   47 0.5269   30      0  0.991  3.215  3.818
Kansas           5  6 177 279  3.034   68  5.945   68  3.117   83  2.742   66 0.4784   72 0.4658   30      0  0.927  2.368  3.117
Oklahoma         4  8 232 379  3.269   72  5.821   72  3.017   82  2.756   75 0.4508   82 0.4266   30      0  1.375  2.945  2.567
Texas            4  7 283 366  3.157   76  5.760   76  2.921   76  2.920   73 0.4515   79 0.4365   30      0  1.636  3.498  2.341
Baylor           2  9 200 375  3.247   92  5.497   92  2.551   86  2.677   91 0.4149   87 0.4092   30      0  1.409  2.914  2.439
Iowa State       1 10 214 493  3.357  102  5.360  102  2.337   91  2.505   96 0.3911  101 0.3709   30      0  1.752  3.271  1.739

Big East Conf: strength=2.913 (#8)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Syracuse         9  4 441 226  3.402   40  6.429   40  3.714   22  4.087   42 0.5364   34 0.5515   30      0  1.278  4.143  4.031
West Virginia    7  5 360 285  3.213   57  6.120   57  3.371   53  3.422   58 0.4954   59 0.4997   30      0  1.430  3.690  3.154
Virginia Tech    7  5 324 227  3.199   59  6.107   59  3.353   56  3.350   60 0.4872   53 0.5072   30      0  1.143  3.231  3.469
Pittsburgh       6  6 333 354  2.920   69  5.912   69  3.070   80  2.858   70 0.4640   71 0.4689   30      0  1.407  3.093  2.624
Miami (Fla)      5  6 314 285  3.056   75  5.776   75  2.945   69  3.101   77 0.4469   77 0.4444   30      0  1.308  3.198  3.004
Boston College   4  7 237 314  2.883   81  5.622   81  2.706   85  2.679   89 0.4185   86 0.4118   30      0  1.265  2.718  2.640
Temple           3  8 212 371  2.840   94  5.453   94  2.483   97  2.399   95 0.3966  100 0.3853   30      0  1.371  2.583  2.215
Rutgers          0 11 191 496  2.661  110  4.689  110  1.502  110  1.625  112 0.2932  112 0.2796   30      0  1.454  1.926  1.323

Big West: strength=2.547 (#10)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nevada           5  6 353 320  3.163   70  5.890   70  3.037   63  3.253   79 0.4398   68 0.4769   30      0  1.660  3.870  2.636
Utah State       6  6 389 296  3.045   73  5.818   73  3.011   61  3.287   80 0.4325   65 0.4814   30      0  1.627  3.851  2.722
North Texas      4  7 232 331  2.600   91  5.506   91  2.563  101  2.338  101 0.3810   94 0.3971   30      0  1.485  2.685  1.991
Idaho            5  6 302 263  2.486   96  5.424   96  2.433   84  2.690   98 0.3852   96 0.3939   30      0  1.277  2.745  2.635
Boise State      4  7 285 358  2.517  100  5.368  101  2.346   88  2.631   97 0.3889   76 0.4474   30      0  1.490  2.986  2.277
New Mexico St    2  9 221 398  2.153  108  4.822  108  1.660  109  1.766  111 0.3109  110 0.3097   30      0  1.370  1.948  1.584

Conference USA: strength=3.028 (#6)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Miss    9  3 337 210  3.551   22  6.783   22  4.098   21  4.088   21 0.5798   18 0.5931   21    267  1.132  3.956  4.220
Tulane           7  4 375 225  3.199   51  6.182   52  3.412   37  3.750   52 0.5126   49 0.5191   30      0  1.455  4.053  3.447
Cincinnati       8  4 321 252  3.001   52  6.166   51  3.437   55  3.370   56 0.5049   44 0.5321   30      0  1.113  3.214  3.526
East Carolina    5  6 214 298  3.268   62  6.037   62  3.262   74  2.987   62 0.4810   66 0.4782   30      0  1.216  2.962  3.013
Houston          3  8 216 410  3.047   82  5.606   82  2.683  104  2.295   90 0.4182   92 0.4001   30      0  1.397  2.516  2.074
Memphis          4  7 218 243  2.920   88  5.536   88  2.608   79  2.867   88 0.4203   97 0.3938   30      0  1.062  2.650  3.085
Louisville       1 10 245 407  2.908  106  5.074  106  1.916   98  2.399  107 0.3468  109 0.3133   30      0  1.699  3.078  1.719

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.797 (#9)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Marshall        10  3 484 259  3.213   34  6.540   34  3.815   19  4.103   31 0.5588   19 0.5924   30      0  1.482  4.446  3.759
Toledo           9  3 356 268  3.132   35  6.492   35  3.810   57  3.341   33 0.5505   16 0.5933   30      0  1.313  3.444  3.238
Miami (Ohio)     8  3 412 226  3.186   41  6.367   43  3.628   31  3.952   41 0.5373   23 0.5783   26     55  1.576  4.437  3.467
Ohio U           8  3 301 177  3.075   42  6.341   41  3.659   54  3.395   48 0.5275   29 0.5648   30      0  0.918  3.011  3.778
W Michigan       8  3 301 265  2.730   49  6.232   49  3.488   73  3.018   47 0.5275   37 0.5471   30      0  1.396  3.237  2.799
Ball State       5  6 239 260  2.764   80  5.674   80  2.788   77  2.916   74 0.4512   74 0.4527   30      0  1.039  2.671  3.161
Bowling Green    3  8 191 341  2.998   84  5.586   85  2.654   94  2.460   78 0.4448   69 0.4767   30      0  1.145  2.343  2.576
E Michigan       4  7 329 352  2.890   89  5.523   89  2.588   75  2.965   84 0.4284   78 0.4379   30      0  1.652  3.570  2.361
Kent State       3  8 337 490  2.884   93  5.462   93  2.496   96  2.429   94 0.4046   83 0.4226   30      0  1.993  3.616  1.242
Akron            2  9 218 435  2.896  103  5.329  103  2.281  105  2.281   92 0.4096   90 0.4039   30      0  1.445  2.571  1.992
C Michigan       2  9 282 479  2.612  104  5.137  104  2.017  107  2.161  102 0.3789  102 0.3685   30      0  1.702  2.846  1.476
N Illinois       0 11 129 382  2.759  109  4.720  109  1.554  108  1.872  109 0.3300  107 0.3296   30      0  1.119  1.723  2.021

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.193 (#1)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington St   10  2 483 296  4.162    6  7.387    6  4.877   13  4.440   10 0.6429   10 0.6463    6    981  1.719  5.152  3.728
UCLA            10  2 477 247  4.228    8  7.358    8  4.830    5  4.823    8 0.6572    9 0.6467    7    957  1.546  5.262  4.384
Washington       8  4 420 259  4.314   13  7.078   13  4.416    6  4.804   14 0.6146   15 0.6067   15    572  1.517  5.199  4.409
Arizona State    9  3 324 210  3.940   14  7.002   14  4.363   16  4.306   17 0.5986   21 0.5805   13    631  1.143  4.187  4.425
USC              6  5 233 233  4.154   19  6.824   19  4.129   26  4.023   23 0.5739   33 0.5540   28     21  0.997  3.729  4.318
Oregon           7  5 380 350  3.989   20  6.801   21  4.105   18  4.112   27 0.5717   25 0.5767   23    142  1.703  4.797  3.426
Arizona          7  5 317 312  3.998   21  6.792   20  4.115   27  3.997   26 0.5719   24 0.5773   24     88  1.301  4.084  3.911
Stanford         5  6 276 317  3.931   37  6.450   37  3.749   44  3.609   37 0.5438   52 0.5169   30      0  1.523  4.013  3.204
California       3  8 295 339  3.767   71  5.881   71  3.026   45  3.593   64 0.4795   75 0.4476   30      0  1.491  3.949  3.236
Oregon State     3  8 195 285  3.566   74  5.786   74  2.964   70  3.095   76 0.4497   88 0.4059   30      0  0.994  2.797  3.393

Southeastern Conf: strength=4.187 (#2)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tennessee       11  2 428 286  4.385    4  7.510    4  5.113   11  4.595    1 0.7127    1 0.7038    5   1050  1.598  5.114  4.076
Florida         10  2 430 205  4.460    5  7.479    5  5.017    3  4.959    2 0.6997    5 0.6883    4   1114  1.350  5.113  4.804
Georgia         10  2 380 195  4.109   10  7.319   10  4.765    8  4.643    7 0.6778    8 0.6586    8    896  1.242  4.651  4.634
Auburn          10  3 340 250  4.213   11  7.293   11  4.730   15  4.320    4 0.6910    6 0.6637   11    765  1.239  4.323  4.316
LSU              9  3 373 188  3.931   16  6.990   17  4.345   14  4.436   13 0.6339   22 0.5793   14    597  1.297  4.517  4.355
Mississippi      8  4 267 240  4.046   17  6.975   16  4.348   20  4.094   12 0.6346   13 0.6198   17    427  1.193  4.039  4.150
Mississippi St   7  4 226 215  3.819   23  6.779   23  4.094   32  3.841   16 0.6083   32 0.5617   20    307  1.027  3.582  4.100
South Carolina   5  6 258 279  3.964   39  6.433   39  3.722   36  3.766   25 0.5736   48 0.5265   30      0  1.363  3.939  3.594
Kentucky         5  6 348 362  3.774   47  6.272   46  3.552   41  3.658   38 0.5438   61 0.4874   30      0  1.836  4.566  2.750
Arkansas         4  7 181 284  3.826   50  6.219   50  3.472   48  3.503   30 0.5590   46 0.5306   30      0  1.081  3.308  3.698
Alabama          4  7 246 248  3.817   58  6.116   58  3.367   40  3.661   39 0.5379   54 0.5058   30      0  1.187  3.598  3.724
Vanderbilt       3  8 138 204  3.502   79  5.718   79  2.859   65  3.227   67 0.4733   85 0.4168   30      0  0.447  2.389  4.066

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.012 (#7)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado State  11  2 477 203  3.444   18  6.896   18  4.230   12  4.461   22 0.5751   14 0.6108   18    378  1.265  4.500  4.423
Air Force       10  3 279 190  3.126   33  6.548   33  3.827   52  3.446   44 0.5318   26 0.5751   25     61  0.818  2.954  3.938
New Mexico       9  4 404 274  3.087   45  6.287   45  3.573   49  3.496   54 0.5087   42 0.5359   30      0  1.393  3.711  3.282
Rice             7  4 306 285  3.098   48  6.233   48  3.491   66  3.165   53 0.5106   45 0.5313   30      0  1.563  3.631  2.700
Wyoming          7  6 322 227  3.360   56  6.123   56  3.374   50  3.495   61 0.4828   57 0.5006   30      0  1.016  3.223  3.767
Brigham Young    6  5 250 254  3.127   60  6.091   60  3.330   72  3.083   63 0.4807   60 0.4913   30      0  1.276  3.136  3.030
SMU              6  5 247 237  3.163   61  6.045   61  3.273   64  3.230   59 0.4918   55 0.5028   30      0  1.271  3.277  3.184
San Diego State  5  7 257 333  3.374   64  6.012   64  3.220   68  3.106   68 0.4697   58 0.4997   30      0  1.412  3.348  2.864
Utah             6  5 253 200  3.050   65  5.975   65  3.167   59  3.332   69 0.4675   63 0.4822   30      0  0.924  2.955  3.710
Fresno State     6  6 318 288  3.147   66  5.956   66  3.134   58  3.337   71 0.4606   67 0.4774   30      0  1.381  3.535  3.140
San Jose State   4  7 225 387  3.018   77  5.729   77  2.875   92  2.498   81 0.4319   80 0.4343   30      0  1.486  2.847  2.149
Texas-El Paso    4  7 162 311  2.733   83  5.588   83  2.656   95  2.430   87 0.4226   84 0.4169   30      0  0.978  2.114  2.746
UNLV             3  8 281 332  2.965   98  5.392   98  2.383   81  2.824  104 0.3717  104 0.3579   30      0  1.514  3.215  2.433
Tulsa            2  9 258 426  3.068   99  5.387   99  2.376   90  2.544   99 0.3831   95 0.3970   30      0  1.795  3.383  1.706
Hawaii           3  9 189 308  2.824  101  5.367  100  2.347   93  2.463  103 0.3740  105 0.3517   30      0  0.999  2.170  2.755
TCU              1 10 172 325  2.908  105  5.126  105  2.000  102  2.322  108 0.3415  108 0.3186   30      0  1.271  2.368  2.275

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.547 (#11)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisiana Tech   9  2 364 281  2.729   29  6.597   31  3.841   71  3.092   29 0.5633   31 0.5625   27     25  1.643  3.681  2.503
Notre Dame       7  6 282 265  3.784   31  6.558   30  3.843   38  3.750   34 0.5502   35 0.5508   30      0  1.118  3.601  3.899
Central Florida  5  6 374 303  3.589   63  6.023   63  3.240   39  3.717   51 0.5150   43 0.5329   30      0  1.701  4.401  3.034
Navy             7  4 398 209  2.827   67  5.952   67  3.127   47  3.513   72 0.4522   73 0.4577   30      0  1.445  3.802  3.224
NE Louisiana     5  7 226 319  2.817   78  5.721   78  2.863   89  2.572   65 0.4792   70 0.4759   30      0  1.115  2.418  2.726
Army             4  7 221 311  2.482   95  5.444   95  2.467  106  2.197  100 0.3814  103 0.3616   30      0  1.184  2.131  2.264
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 222 238  2.238   97  5.421   97  2.429  100  2.344   93 0.4077   81 0.4269   30      0  1.051  2.113  2.575
SW Louisiana     1 10 176 553  2.058  111  4.688  111  1.495  112  1.243  106 0.3493   98 0.3878   30      0  1.487  1.594  0.892
Arkansas State   2  9 200 394  1.584  112  4.524  112  1.220  111  1.385  110 0.3119  111 0.2867   30      0  1.355  1.546  1.224

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Pacific 10 Conf                                68  48 0.586    1  4.193
Southeastern Conf                              86  54 0.614    2  4.187
Atlantic Coast Conf                            58  45 0.563    3  3.874
Big 10 Conf                                    72  60 0.545    4  3.768
Big 12 Conf                                    75  65 0.536    5  3.454
Conference USA                                 37  42 0.468    6  3.028
Western Athletic Conf                          90  97 0.481    7  3.012
Big East Conf                                  41  52 0.441    8  2.913
Mid-American Conf                              62  73 0.459    9  2.797
Big West                                       26  41 0.388   10  2.547
Division I-A Independents                      45  57 0.441   11  2.547

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:17:45 2007

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