Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Willamette      13  1 470 167  0.163    1  4.468    1  1.124    1  1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.027  0.780  1.298
Findlay         14  0 567 179 -0.430    2  4.431    2  1.064    2  0.665    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.218  0.642  0.688
Western Oregon   7  3 216 208  0.335    3  4.030    3  0.657    7  0.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.193  0.071  0.181
Montana Tech    10  2 463 258 -0.252    4  3.845    4  0.402    4  0.365    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512  0.753 -0.023
Pac Lutheran     7  2 316 234 -0.154    5  3.840    5  0.398   13 -0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.806  0.699 -1.017
Jamestown       10  1 263 162 -0.852    6  3.780    6  0.302   15 -0.536    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.005 -0.820 -0.251
Doane           11  1 400 199 -0.921    7  3.672    7  0.257   12 -0.151    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.380  0.046 -0.348
Linfield         6  3 211 142  0.079    8  3.640    8  0.205    6  0.152    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.954 -0.192  0.495
Geneva          11  2 488 214 -0.661    9  3.596    9  0.130   11  0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.459  0.349 -0.270
Cent Washington  5  4 261 238  0.296   10  3.560   10  0.076   10  0.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.657  0.668 -0.556
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sioux Falls     12  2 555 221 -0.885   11  3.459   11 -0.073    8  0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.427  0.379 -0.147
Westminster PA   9  2 323 190 -0.904   12  3.438   12 -0.105   17 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.166 -0.689 -0.510
W Washington     5  5 273 187  0.288   13  3.434   13 -0.107    3  0.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.119  0.268  0.566
Southern Oregon  5  4 277 185  0.189   14  3.421   14 -0.112    5  0.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.449  0.658  0.069
Eastern Oregon   4  6 255 230  0.241   15  3.189   15 -0.405    9  0.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.283  0.118 -0.006
Evangel          9  2 376 229 -1.299   16  3.085   16 -0.491   23 -0.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.525 -0.420 -1.234
Benedictine KS   9  3 318 253 -1.254   17  3.048   17 -0.550   30 -1.014    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.306 -0.920 -1.108
Westmar          8  2 306 206 -1.334   18  3.047   18 -0.552   24 -0.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.428 -0.597 -1.128
Olivet Nazarene  8  3 447 288 -1.181   19  2.960   19 -0.711   19 -0.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.881  0.261 -1.711
Minn-Crookston   7  3 313 172 -1.045   20  2.951   20 -0.726   16 -0.587    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.321 -0.473 -0.701
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Taylor           7  3 242 254 -1.485   21  2.945   21 -0.736   50 -1.459    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.238 -1.456 -1.462
Ottawa           9  2 449 242 -1.698   22  2.767   22 -0.803   35 -1.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.748 -0.326 -1.847
Walsh            7  3 315 187 -1.215   23  2.755   23 -0.822   21 -0.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.313 -0.691 -0.897
Dickinson St     6  3 190 125 -1.203   24  2.737   24 -0.851   26 -0.915    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.772 -1.454 -0.376
Rocky Mountain   4  5 276 341 -0.573   25  2.718   25 -0.881   22 -0.800    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.820  0.081 -1.681
Peru St          6  4 264 180 -0.933   26  2.714   26 -0.888   18 -0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.125 -0.761 -0.479
Campbellsville   7  3 309 176 -1.350   27  2.711   27 -0.895   28 -0.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.241 -0.957 -0.971
NW Oklahoma      5  5 261 190 -0.505   28  2.707   28 -0.899   14 -0.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.197 -0.465 -0.364
Carroll MT       4  5 257 297 -0.702   29  2.682   29 -0.936   29 -0.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.675 -0.344 -1.625
Clinch Valley    6  3 175 161 -1.539   30  2.652   30 -0.995   49 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.995 -1.734 -1.141
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Azusa Pacific    4  5 163 215 -0.775   31  2.647   31 -0.999   31 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.944 -1.401 -0.690
McKendree        8  2 355 151 -1.796   32  2.635   32 -1.026   36 -1.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -1.372 -0.862
Southwestern KS  8  3 347 217 -1.661   33  2.624   33 -1.039   41 -1.168    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.431 -0.898 -1.437
Minot St         5  4 178 149 -1.186   34  2.571   34 -1.124   33 -1.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.914 -1.457 -0.679
Hastings         5  4 236 167 -1.171   35  2.547   35 -1.173   20 -0.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.291 -0.656 -0.803
Bethany KS       7  2 266 142 -1.863   36  2.539   36 -1.189   39 -1.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.221 -1.174 -1.136
Mid Am Nazarene  7  4 271 195 -1.496   37  2.537   37 -1.190   34 -1.076    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.013 -1.351 -0.800
Lewis & Clark    3  6 158 291 -0.759   38  2.529   38 -1.199   42 -1.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.279 -1.249 -1.363
Baker            6  4 273 198 -1.462   39  2.498   39 -1.260   38 -1.141    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -1.092 -1.191
Whitworth        2  7 132 272 -0.530   40  2.442   40 -1.346   45 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.102 -1.574 -1.236
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgetown KY    5  4 325 221 -1.298   41  2.431   42 -1.371   25 -0.876    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.653 -0.271 -1.481
Cumberland TN    5  4 201 206 -1.597   42  2.379   41 -1.355   54 -1.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.186 -1.664 -1.537
NW Iowa          5  5 204 225 -1.381   43  2.355   43 -1.397   46 -1.410    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.173 -1.492 -1.329
Malone           5  5 196 166 -1.341   44  2.348   44 -1.407   40 -1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.810 -1.665 -0.665
Graceland        5  5 310 269 -1.403   45  2.340   45 -1.419   47 -1.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.620 -0.879 -1.987
Valley City St   5  5 220 215 -1.489   46  2.327   46 -1.440   52 -1.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.300 -1.454 -1.625
Neb Wesleyan     5  5 245 273 -1.431   47  2.324   48 -1.446   51 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.449 -1.184 -1.773
Missouri Valley  5  5 217 211 -1.519   48  2.323   47 -1.445   53 -1.588    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.112 -1.745 -1.431
Simon Fraser     2  7 143 256 -0.421   49  2.313   49 -1.458   27 -0.928    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.086 -1.116 -0.739
St Ambrose       4  6 278 266 -1.112   50  2.304   50 -1.476   37 -1.141    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.377 -0.948 -1.334
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tri-State        4  6 293 269 -1.059   51  2.297   51 -1.485   32 -1.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.628 -0.490 -1.623
William Jewell   5  5 259 229 -1.474   52  2.296   52 -1.488   44 -1.332    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.291 -1.258 -1.405
Mary             4  6 246 219 -1.225   53  2.274   53 -1.528   43 -1.315    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.284 -1.250 -1.380
Dakota Wesleyan  5  5 243 251 -1.621   54  2.222   54 -1.617   55 -1.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.352 -1.458 -1.773
Dana             4  6 168 218 -1.469   55  2.191   55 -1.668   56 -1.689    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.084 -1.881 -1.498
Tiffin           4  7 196 334 -1.478   56  2.180   56 -1.684   64 -1.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.241 -1.902 -1.916
Lindenwood       4  6 225 247 -1.558   57  2.144   57 -1.746   57 -1.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -1.660 -1.758
Western Montana  1  8 153 334 -0.544   58  2.137   58 -1.754   48 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.226 -1.449 -1.424
Puget Sound      2  7  91 258 -1.154   59  2.132   59 -1.766   60 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.783 -2.391 -1.335
Benedict         3  7 154 271 -1.442   60  2.061   60 -1.889   62 -1.878    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.201 -1.923 -1.833
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Huron            4  6 233 346 -1.850   61  2.060   61 -1.892   69 -2.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.521 -1.747 -2.550
Lambuth          4  6 183 192 -1.665   62  2.054   62 -1.899   58 -1.796    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.949 -2.145 -1.447
Cumberland KY    5  5 214 310 -2.361   63  2.025   63 -1.949   73 -2.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.450 -2.211 -2.805
McPherson        6  4 169 197 -2.620   64  2.017   64 -1.965   74 -2.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.791 -3.043 -2.004
Langston         1  7  98 296 -1.081   65  1.978   65 -2.025   70 -2.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.235 -2.161 -2.159
Bethel KS        5  5 276 257 -2.130   66  1.971   66 -2.045   61 -1.876    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.562 -1.412 -2.340
Black Hills St   3  6 209 265 -1.720   67  1.939   67 -2.100   63 -1.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.501 -1.514 -2.258
Midland Luth     2  8 199 327 -1.419   68  1.927   68 -2.118   66 -2.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.471 -1.694 -2.347
Tusculum         2  9 200 430 -1.325   69  1.925   69 -2.119   67 -2.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.439 -1.792 -2.354
Friends          4  6 157 190 -2.042   70  1.884   70 -2.196   68 -2.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.861 -2.584 -1.691
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Iowa Wesleyan    4  7 249 425 -2.152   71  1.849   71 -2.258   79 -2.669    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.688 -2.006 -3.331
Mount St Joseph  5  5 220 200 -2.527   72  1.752   72 -2.386   72 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.069 -2.579 -2.159
Sterling         3  7 150 292 -2.312   73  1.682   73 -2.513   80 -2.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.248 -2.692 -2.725
Union KY         2  8 154 341 -2.006   74  1.647   74 -2.568   75 -2.588    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.179 -2.662 -2.514
St Xavier        1  9 149 433 -1.660   75  1.574   75 -2.604   78 -2.666    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.357 -2.503 -2.830
Dakota St        2  8 191 243 -1.814   76  1.539   77 -2.670   65 -1.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.169 -2.075 -1.904
S Dakota Tech    1  9 139 416 -1.741   77  1.502   76 -2.641   76 -2.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.359 -2.478 -2.812
Kansas Wesleyan  2  7 106 288 -2.468   78  1.344   78 -2.806   85 -3.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.902 -3.502 -2.699
Concordia NE     1  9 180 227 -1.559   79  1.342   79 -2.808   59 -1.838    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.035 -2.088 -1.588
Trinity IL       1  9 159 316 -1.866   80  1.304   80 -2.878   71 -2.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.158 -2.465 -2.266
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cent Methodist   1  9 130 344 -2.064   81  1.219   81 -2.962   81 -2.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.157 -2.961 -2.759
Culver-Stockton  1  9 193 430 -2.238   82  1.110   82 -3.113   83 -2.931    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.676 -2.289 -3.574
N Greenville     1  8 150 308 -2.312   83  1.079   83 -3.173   82 -2.891    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.321 -2.777 -3.005
Mayville St      0 10  64 325 -1.701   84  1.062   84 -3.203   77 -2.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.523 -3.438 -1.890
Urbana           0 10  77 335 -2.001   85  0.917   85 -3.344   84 -3.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.690 -3.662 -2.421
Tabor            1  9 102 276 -2.770   86  0.760   86 -3.551   86 -3.291    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.779 -3.823 -2.760
Sue Bennett      0  6  48 231 -2.906   87  0.719   87 -3.633   88 -3.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.912 -4.231 -3.451
Bethel TN        1  8 178 354 -2.975   88  0.700   88 -3.671   87 -3.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.244 -3.330 -3.353


Columbia Football Assn: strength=0.294 (#1)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Western Oregon   7  3 216 208  0.335    3  4.030    3  0.657    7  0.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.193  0.071  0.181
Cent Washington  5  4 261 238  0.296   10  3.560   10  0.076   10  0.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.657  0.668 -0.556
W Washington     5  5 273 187  0.288   13  3.434   13 -0.107    3  0.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.119  0.268  0.566
Southern Oregon  5  4 277 185  0.189   14  3.421   14 -0.112    5  0.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.449  0.658  0.069
Eastern Oregon   4  6 255 230  0.241   15  3.189   15 -0.405    9  0.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.283  0.118 -0.006
Simon Fraser     2  7 143 256 -0.421   49  2.313   49 -1.458   27 -0.928    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.086 -1.116 -0.739

Frontier Conf: strength=-0.653 (#3)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Montana Tech    10  2 463 258 -0.252    4  3.845    4  0.402    4  0.365    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.512  0.753 -0.023
Rocky Mountain   4  5 276 341 -0.573   25  2.718   25 -0.881   22 -0.800    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.820  0.081 -1.681
Carroll MT       4  5 257 297 -0.702   29  2.682   29 -0.936   29 -0.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.675 -0.344 -1.625
Western Montana  1  8 153 334 -0.544   58  2.137   58 -1.754   48 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.226 -1.449 -1.424

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-1.539 (#7)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Evangel          9  2 376 229 -1.299   16  3.085   16 -0.491   23 -0.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.525 -0.420 -1.234
Benedictine KS   9  3 318 253 -1.254   17  3.048   17 -0.550   30 -1.014    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.306 -0.920 -1.108
Mid Am Nazarene  7  4 271 195 -1.496   37  2.537   37 -1.190   34 -1.076    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.013 -1.351 -0.800
Baker            6  4 273 198 -1.462   39  2.498   39 -1.260   38 -1.141    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -1.092 -1.191
Graceland        5  5 310 269 -1.403   45  2.340   45 -1.419   47 -1.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.620 -0.879 -1.987
Missouri Valley  5  5 217 211 -1.519   48  2.323   47 -1.445   53 -1.588    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.112 -1.745 -1.431
William Jewell   5  5 259 229 -1.474   52  2.296   52 -1.488   44 -1.332    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.291 -1.258 -1.405
Lindenwood       4  6 225 247 -1.558   57  2.144   57 -1.746   57 -1.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -1.660 -1.758
Cent Methodist   1  9 130 344 -2.064   81  1.219   81 -2.962   81 -2.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.157 -2.961 -2.759
Culver-Stockton  1  9 193 430 -2.238   82  1.110   82 -3.113   83 -2.931    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.676 -2.289 -3.574

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.252 (#11)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ottawa           9  2 449 242 -1.698   22  2.767   22 -0.803   35 -1.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.748 -0.326 -1.847
Southwestern KS  8  3 347 217 -1.661   33  2.624   33 -1.039   41 -1.168    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.431 -0.898 -1.437
Bethany KS       7  2 266 142 -1.863   36  2.539   36 -1.189   39 -1.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.221 -1.174 -1.136
McPherson        6  4 169 197 -2.620   64  2.017   64 -1.965   74 -2.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.791 -3.043 -2.004
Bethel KS        5  5 276 257 -2.130   66  1.971   66 -2.045   61 -1.876    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.562 -1.412 -2.340
Friends          4  6 157 190 -2.042   70  1.884   70 -2.196   68 -2.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.861 -2.584 -1.691
Sterling         3  7 150 292 -2.312   73  1.682   73 -2.513   80 -2.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.248 -2.692 -2.725
Kansas Wesleyan  2  7 106 288 -2.468   78  1.344   78 -2.806   85 -3.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.902 -3.502 -2.699
Tabor            1  9 102 276 -2.770   86  0.760   86 -3.551   86 -3.291    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.779 -3.823 -2.760

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.958 (#10)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Campbellsville   7  3 309 176 -1.350   27  2.711   27 -0.895   28 -0.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.241 -0.957 -0.971
Georgetown KY    5  4 325 221 -1.298   41  2.431   42 -1.371   25 -0.876    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.653 -0.271 -1.481
Cumberland TN    5  4 201 206 -1.597   42  2.379   41 -1.355   54 -1.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.186 -1.664 -1.537
Lambuth          4  6 183 192 -1.665   62  2.054   62 -1.899   58 -1.796    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.949 -2.145 -1.447
Cumberland KY    5  5 214 310 -2.361   63  2.025   63 -1.949   73 -2.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.450 -2.211 -2.805
Union KY         2  8 154 341 -2.006   74  1.647   74 -2.568   75 -2.588    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.179 -2.662 -2.514
N Greenville     1  8 150 308 -2.312   83  1.079   83 -3.173   82 -2.891    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.321 -2.777 -3.005

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-1.332 (#5)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Findlay         14  0 567 179 -0.430    2  4.431    2  1.064    2  0.665    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.218  0.642  0.688
Geneva          11  2 488 214 -0.661    9  3.596    9  0.130   11  0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.459  0.349 -0.270
Westminster PA   9  2 323 190 -0.904   12  3.438   12 -0.105   17 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.166 -0.689 -0.510
Olivet Nazarene  8  3 447 288 -1.181   19  2.960   19 -0.711   19 -0.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.881  0.261 -1.711
Taylor           7  3 242 254 -1.485   21  2.945   21 -0.736   50 -1.459    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.238 -1.456 -1.462
Walsh            7  3 315 187 -1.215   23  2.755   23 -0.822   21 -0.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.313 -0.691 -0.897
Malone           5  5 196 166 -1.341   44  2.348   44 -1.407   40 -1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.810 -1.665 -0.665
St Ambrose       4  6 278 266 -1.112   50  2.304   50 -1.476   37 -1.141    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.377 -0.948 -1.334
Tri-State        4  6 293 269 -1.059   51  2.297   51 -1.485   32 -1.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.628 -0.490 -1.623
Tiffin           4  7 196 334 -1.478   56  2.180   56 -1.684   64 -1.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.241 -1.902 -1.916
Iowa Wesleyan    4  7 249 425 -2.152   71  1.849   71 -2.258   79 -2.669    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.688 -2.006 -3.331
St Xavier        1  9 149 433 -1.660   75  1.574   75 -2.604   78 -2.666    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.357 -2.503 -2.830
Trinity IL       1  9 159 316 -1.866   80  1.304   80 -2.878   71 -2.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.158 -2.465 -2.266
Urbana           0 10  77 335 -2.001   85  0.917   85 -3.344   84 -3.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.690 -3.662 -2.421

North Dakota Athl Conf: strength=-1.107 (#4)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Jamestown       10  1 263 162 -0.852    6  3.780    6  0.302   15 -0.536    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.005 -0.820 -0.251
Minn-Crookston   7  3 313 172 -1.045   20  2.951   20 -0.726   16 -0.587    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.321 -0.473 -0.701
Dickinson St     6  3 190 125 -1.203   24  2.737   24 -0.851   26 -0.915    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.772 -1.454 -0.376
Minot St         5  4 178 149 -1.186   34  2.571   34 -1.124   33 -1.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.914 -1.457 -0.679
Valley City St   5  5 220 215 -1.489   46  2.327   46 -1.440   52 -1.539    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.300 -1.454 -1.625
Mary             4  6 246 219 -1.225   53  2.274   53 -1.528   43 -1.315    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.284 -1.250 -1.380
Mayville St      0 10  64 325 -1.701   84  1.062   84 -3.203   77 -2.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.523 -3.438 -1.890

Northwest Conf: strength=-0.492 (#2)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Willamette      13  1 470 167  0.163    1  4.468    1  1.124    1  1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.027  0.780  1.298
Pac Lutheran     7  2 316 234 -0.154    5  3.840    5  0.398   13 -0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.806  0.699 -1.017
Linfield         6  3 211 142  0.079    8  3.640    8  0.205    6  0.152    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.954 -0.192  0.495
Lewis & Clark    3  6 158 291 -0.759   38  2.529   38 -1.199   42 -1.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.279 -1.249 -1.363
Whitworth        2  7 132 272 -0.530   40  2.442   40 -1.346   45 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.102 -1.574 -1.236
Puget Sound      2  7  91 258 -1.154   59  2.132   59 -1.766   60 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.783 -2.391 -1.335

Nebraska-Iowa Conf: strength=-1.393 (#6)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Doane           11  1 400 199 -0.921    7  3.672    7  0.257   12 -0.151    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.380  0.046 -0.348
Hastings         5  4 236 167 -1.171   35  2.547   35 -1.173   20 -0.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.291 -0.656 -0.803
NW Iowa          5  5 204 225 -1.381   43  2.355   43 -1.397   46 -1.410    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.173 -1.492 -1.329
Neb Wesleyan     5  5 245 273 -1.431   47  2.324   48 -1.446   51 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.449 -1.184 -1.773
Dana             4  6 168 218 -1.469   55  2.191   55 -1.668   56 -1.689    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.084 -1.881 -1.498
Midland Luth     2  8 199 327 -1.419   68  1.927   68 -2.118   66 -2.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.471 -1.694 -2.347
Concordia NE     1  9 180 227 -1.559   79  1.342   79 -2.808   59 -1.838    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.035 -2.088 -1.588

South Dakota-Iowa Conf: strength=-1.719 (#8)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Sioux Falls     12  2 555 221 -0.885   11  3.459   11 -0.073    8  0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.427  0.379 -0.147
Westmar          8  2 306 206 -1.334   18  3.047   18 -0.552   24 -0.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.428 -0.597 -1.128
Dakota Wesleyan  5  5 243 251 -1.621   54  2.222   54 -1.617   55 -1.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.352 -1.458 -1.773
Huron            4  6 233 346 -1.850   61  2.060   61 -1.892   69 -2.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.521 -1.747 -2.550
Black Hills St   3  6 209 265 -1.720   67  1.939   67 -2.100   63 -1.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.501 -1.514 -2.258
Dakota St        2  8 191 243 -1.814   76  1.539   77 -2.670   65 -1.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.169 -2.075 -1.904
S Dakota Tech    1  9 139 416 -1.741   77  1.502   76 -2.641   76 -2.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.359 -2.478 -2.812

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.794 (#9)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Peru St          6  4 264 180 -0.933   26  2.714   26 -0.888   18 -0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.125 -0.761 -0.479
NW Oklahoma      5  5 261 190 -0.505   28  2.707   28 -0.899   14 -0.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.197 -0.465 -0.364
Clinch Valley    6  3 175 161 -1.539   30  2.652   30 -0.995   49 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.995 -1.734 -1.141
Azusa Pacific    4  5 163 215 -0.775   31  2.647   31 -0.999   31 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.944 -1.401 -0.690
McKendree        8  2 355 151 -1.796   32  2.635   32 -1.026   36 -1.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.031 -1.372 -0.862
Benedict         3  7 154 271 -1.442   60  2.061   60 -1.889   62 -1.878    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.201 -1.923 -1.833
Langston         1  7  98 296 -1.081   65  1.978   65 -2.025   70 -2.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.235 -2.161 -2.159
Tusculum         2  9 200 430 -1.325   69  1.925   69 -2.119   67 -2.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.439 -1.792 -2.354
Mount St Joseph  5  5 220 200 -2.527   72  1.752   72 -2.386   72 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.069 -2.579 -2.159
Sue Bennett      0  6  48 231 -2.906   87  0.719   87 -3.633   88 -3.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.912 -4.231 -3.451
Bethel TN        1  8 178 354 -2.975   88  0.700   88 -3.671   87 -3.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.244 -3.330 -3.353

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Columbia Football Assn                         28  29 0.491    1  0.294
Northwest Conf                                 33  26 0.559    2 -0.492
Frontier Conf                                  19  20 0.487    3 -0.653
North Dakota Athl Conf                         37  32 0.536    4 -1.107
Mid-States Football Assn                       79  72 0.523    5 -1.332
Nebraska-Iowa Conf                             33  38 0.465    6 -1.393
Heart of America Athletic Conf                 52  52 0.500    7 -1.539
South Dakota-Iowa Conf                         35  38 0.479    8 -1.719
NAIA Independents                              41  61 0.402    9 -1.794
Mid-South Conf                                 29  38 0.433   10 -1.958
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                    45  45 0.500   11 -2.252

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:17:44 2007

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