Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona State   11  1 488 216  4.467    1  7.584    1  5.388    5  5.104    4 0.6581    3 0.6702    2   1220  1.445  5.400  4.809
Florida         12  1 611 221  4.456    2  7.548    2  5.326    2  5.401    1 0.6895    1 0.7274    3   1139  1.729  6.136  4.667
Ohio State      11  1 455 131  4.550    3  7.540    3  5.313    3  5.358    2 0.6877    4 0.6697    1   1230  1.079  5.166  5.550
Florida State   11  1 446 174  4.439    4  7.535    4  5.304    4  5.131    3 0.6853    2 0.6960    4   1111  1.257  5.165  5.098
Nebraska        11  2 553 174  4.505    5  7.387    5  5.057    1  5.470    5 0.6551    5 0.6686    6   1015  1.230  5.468  5.472
Penn State      11  2 400 203  4.278    6  7.362    6  5.018    7  4.828    7 0.6403   13 0.6313    5   1035  1.152  4.727  4.929
Colorado        10  2 352 220  4.262    7  7.326    7  4.961    8  4.774    6 0.6510    7 0.6519    7    950  1.208  4.744  4.805
Washington       9  3 391 254  4.339    8  7.198    9  4.773   12  4.612   10 0.6272   11 0.6388    8    859  1.419  4.868  4.355
Brigham Young   14  1 590 277  3.528    9  7.195    8  4.825   19  4.329   12 0.6262    6 0.6672   13    667  1.500  4.705  3.953
Virginia Tech   10  2 370 209  3.916   10  7.129   10  4.711   14  4.526   13 0.6208   12 0.6327    9    855  1.265  4.571  4.481
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
North Carolina  10  2 357 123  4.079   11  7.128   11  4.709    9  4.666    8 0.6376   10 0.6416   10    827  0.884  4.251  5.081
Iowa             9  3 339 243  4.102   12  7.003   12  4.517   13  4.585   16 0.6124   25 0.5870   14    628  1.323  4.708  4.463
Kansas State     9  3 340 191  4.030   13  6.997   13  4.509   18  4.332   18 0.6082   14 0.6261   21    283  0.980  4.024  4.640
Tennessee       10  2 437 185  3.881   14  6.988   14  4.492   10  4.615    9 0.6330   15 0.6187   11    700  1.393  4.836  4.394
Michigan         8  4 277 184  4.189   15  6.977   15  4.478   16  4.425   17 0.6092   19 0.5938   15    526  0.942  4.073  4.777
Alabama         10  3 316 195  3.876   16  6.965   16  4.455   17  4.363   11 0.6270    9 0.6420   17    454  0.985  4.061  4.665
LSU             10  2 335 210  3.496   17  6.908   17  4.420   33  3.912   15 0.6146   17 0.6070   22    201  1.191  3.860  3.964
Notre Dame       8  3 407 181  4.207   18  6.903   18  4.416    6  4.864   20 0.6022   28 0.5754   12    680  1.389  5.079  4.649
Miami (Fla)      9  3 368 210  3.864   19  6.884   19  4.386   21  4.232   22 0.6010   22 0.5913   16    477  1.273  4.288  4.177
Northwestern     9  3 336 278  3.814   20  6.850   20  4.337   29  3.970   19 0.6026   20 0.5929   18    417  1.522  4.379  3.561
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas            8  5 447 305  4.183   21  6.815   21  4.288   15  4.510   28 0.5617   32 0.5514   20    314  1.631  5.086  3.934
Syracuse         9  3 437 208  3.857   22  6.798   22  4.262   11  4.614   21 0.6012   23 0.5906   19    349  1.449  4.914  4.313
Southern Miss    8  3 287 247  3.693   23  6.768   23  4.215   36  3.875   14 0.6169    8 0.6500   25     73  1.197  3.831  3.920
Army            10  2 379 224  3.250   24  6.760   24  4.202   37  3.787   37 0.5481   18 0.6040   23    113  1.436  4.069  3.506
East Carolina    8  3 316 214  3.599   25  6.711   25  4.124   35  3.885   23 0.5852   16 0.6166   24    109  1.370  4.073  3.697
Wyoming         10  2 464 284  3.167   26  6.697   26  4.097   38  3.779   30 0.5577   21 0.5927   27      0  1.584  4.282  3.276
Texas Tech       7  5 323 232  3.929   27  6.624   28  3.985   26  4.000   31 0.5537   33 0.5489   27      0  1.145  3.890  4.110
USC              6  6 325 267  4.179   28  6.622   29  3.983   20  4.257   38 0.5479   43 0.5316   27      0  1.029  4.005  4.508
Stanford         7  5 247 229  3.885   29  6.604   27  3.986   24  4.081   29 0.5578   34 0.5481   27      0  0.865  3.646  4.517
Navy             9  3 392 309  3.315   30  6.594   30  3.970   41  3.680   25 0.5701   30 0.5619   27      0  1.693  4.356  3.004
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia    8  4 271 156  3.667   31  6.587   31  3.959   27  3.993   27 0.5631   36 0.5474   27      0  0.715  3.403  4.583
UCLA             5  6 330 318  4.185   32  6.554   32  3.912   25  4.025   40 0.5434   38 0.5422   27      0  1.508  4.413  3.638
Wisconsin        8  5 377 243  3.797   33  6.548   33  3.902   23  4.122   36 0.5506   41 0.5327   27      0  1.235  4.127  4.117
Virginia         7  5 341 203  3.909   34  6.533   34  3.880   22  4.178   32 0.5529   37 0.5441   26     18  1.161  4.088  4.268
Rice             7  4 296 312  3.456   35  6.529   35  3.874   47  3.512   26 0.5632   24 0.5890   27      0  1.531  3.934  3.089
Auburn           8  4 398 277  3.578   36  6.526   36  3.869   34  3.886   24 0.5705   26 0.5804   27      0  1.434  4.166  3.607
Oregon           6  5 378 356  3.785   37  6.490   37  3.818   31  3.924   41 0.5354   42 0.5321   27      0  1.829  4.826  3.023
Michigan State   6  6 358 302  3.990   38  6.456   38  3.761   28  3.981   43 0.5276   59 0.4965   27      0  1.645  4.580  3.382
Utah             8  4 313 309  3.255   39  6.439   39  3.733   66  3.181   33 0.5529   27 0.5757   27      0  1.440  3.469  2.893
Houston          7  5 361 341  3.468   40  6.417   40  3.702   45  3.549   39 0.5451   35 0.5477   27      0  1.554  4.007  3.091
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
California       6  6 382 407  3.668   41  6.403   42  3.683   54  3.458   45 0.5192   49 0.5161   27      0  1.534  3.885  3.031
South Carolina   6  5 245 238  3.617   42  6.389   43  3.662   39  3.732   35 0.5513   40 0.5390   27      0  1.233  3.735  3.729
Clemson          7  5 245 241  3.445   43  6.377   41  3.688   43  3.647   34 0.5514   46 0.5241   27      0  1.019  3.384  3.910
Arizona          5  6 310 280  3.955   44  6.339   44  3.631   32  3.921   51 0.5060   72 0.4650   27      0  1.206  3.888  3.954
San Diego State  8  3 428 303  3.067   45  6.317   45  3.596   48  3.505   44 0.5270   29 0.5679   27      0  1.740  4.257  2.752
Washington St    5  6 314 317  3.763   46  6.292   46  3.562   42  3.669   53 0.5039   67 0.4757   27      0  1.593  4.185  3.152
Texas A&M        6  6 351 257  3.734   47  6.284   47  3.549   30  3.935   48 0.5103   50 0.5099   27      0  1.267  3.982  3.888
Missouri         5  6 278 376  3.617   48  6.283   48  3.548   57  3.260   46 0.5168   61 0.4908   27      0  1.528  3.678  2.842
Air Force        6  5 360 231  3.451   49  6.252   49  3.502   40  3.681   47 0.5103   39 0.5395   27      0  1.205  3.647  3.715
Georgia          5  6 230 257  3.660   50  6.247   50  3.495   49  3.498   42 0.5291   52 0.5069   27      0  1.024  3.241  3.755
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado State   7  5 380 336  3.262   51  6.242   51  3.486   52  3.463   49 0.5077   44 0.5297   27      0  1.554  3.920  3.005
Minnesota        4  7 236 340  3.710   52  6.203   52  3.428   64  3.227   60 0.4978   68 0.4740   27      0  1.463  3.547  2.906
Nevada           9  3 515 278  2.731   53  6.181   54  3.388   46  3.536   63 0.4883   31 0.5516   27      0  1.667  4.169  2.903
Purdue           3  8 194 324  3.994   54  6.180   53  3.391   51  3.465   65 0.4870   81 0.4380   27      0  1.239  3.475  3.454
Louisville       5  6 182 205  3.432   55  6.161   55  3.362   65  3.186   55 0.5026   63 0.4896   27      0  0.858  2.742  3.630
Kansas           4  7 300 358  3.756   56  6.158   56  3.358   55  3.361   61 0.4920   58 0.4972   27      0  1.644  3.958  2.764
Georgia Tech     5  6 220 236  3.423   57  6.139   57  3.330   60  3.245   52 0.5058   64 0.4851   27      0  1.079  3.054  3.436
Ball State       8  4 296 210  2.797   58  6.112   58  3.287   61  3.245   73 0.4678   45 0.5290   27      0  0.903  2.850  3.640
Boston College   5  7 264 364  3.371   59  6.093   59  3.261   72  3.077   59 0.4987   66 0.4778   27      0  1.507  3.463  2.691
Cincinnati       6  5 228 212  3.106   60  6.086   60  3.259   58  3.257   50 0.5072   55 0.5023   27      0  1.054  3.036  3.479
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kentucky         4  7 138 322  3.481   61  6.057   61  3.259   76  2.967   54 0.5035   73 0.4630   27      0  1.037  2.725  3.209
Oklahoma State   5  6 243 327  3.286   62  6.053   62  3.252   71  3.093   71 0.4714   89 0.4156   27      0  1.276  3.153  3.033
Memphis          4  7 141 219  3.465   63  6.032   63  3.221   70  3.109   62 0.4916   69 0.4727   27      0  0.667  2.472  3.746
Mississippi St   5  6 249 229  3.282   64  6.026   64  3.155   50  3.481   56 0.5020   65 0.4844   27      0  1.289  3.557  3.404
SW Louisiana     5  6 304 404  3.069   65  6.010   65  3.132   82  2.774   64 0.4870   51 0.5093   27      0  1.763  3.565  1.982
Utah State       6  5 330 339  2.876   66  6.009   66  3.130   78  2.869   69 0.4808   47 0.5195   27      0  1.642  3.462  2.276
Maryland         5  6 187 239  3.078   67  6.004   68  3.123   77  2.933   67 0.4829   75 0.4558   27      0  0.874  2.506  3.360
SMU              5  6 246 267  3.200   68  5.996   69  3.111   68  3.166   57 0.4993   48 0.5163   27      0  1.187  3.109  3.222
Arkansas         4  7 174 267  3.379   69  5.977   67  3.127   73  3.047   58 0.4989   54 0.5041   27      0  0.938  2.692  3.403
Baylor           4  7 266 320  3.464   70  5.960   71  3.100   62  3.236   76 0.4568   86 0.4288   27      0  1.250  3.261  3.211
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Indiana          3  8 242 291  3.812   71  5.954   73  3.093   44  3.633   72 0.4705   74 0.4609   27      0  1.257  3.667  3.599
Toledo           7  4 210 259  2.543   72  5.873   70  3.103   93  2.495   79 0.4438   62 0.4901   27      0  1.285  2.566  2.423
New Mexico       6  5 331 280  2.972   73  5.867   72  3.094   59  3.250   66 0.4850   57 0.4997   27      0  1.495  3.619  2.881
Mississippi      5  6 203 270  2.980   74  5.865   74  3.092   88  2.655   70 0.4720   70 0.4678   27      0  1.138  2.535  2.774
Pittsburgh       4  7 214 430  3.082   75  5.859   75  3.084   89  2.649   68 0.4824   78 0.4448   27      0  1.300  2.740  2.557
Oklahoma         3  8 255 392  3.557   76  5.843   76  3.057   67  3.178   78 0.4455   79 0.4440   27      0  1.647  3.780  2.577
Tulsa            4  7 245 333  3.183   77  5.794   77  2.983   81  2.793   75 0.4626   71 0.4666   27      0  1.434  3.072  2.513
Miami (Ohio)     6  5 273 168  2.876   78  5.765   78  2.925   56  3.330   83 0.4375   60 0.4958   27      0  0.914  2.947  3.712
Illinois         2  9 190 372  3.717   79  5.744   79  2.896   75  2.975   86 0.4340   96 0.3876   27      0  1.190  2.921  3.029
N Carolina St    3  8 268 401  3.461   80  5.740   80  2.887   74  3.038   74 0.4650   83 0.4311   27      0  1.832  3.945  2.131
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Iowa State       2  9 314 401  3.786   81  5.701   81  2.826   53  3.458   80 0.4382   94 0.3929   27      0  1.796  4.304  2.612
Wake Forest      3  8 144 374  3.086   82  5.690   82  2.807   95  2.263   77 0.4524   91 0.3996   27      0  1.171  2.185  2.341
TCU              4  7 211 302  2.998   83  5.680   83  2.792   86  2.712   82 0.4376   82 0.4318   27      0  1.138  2.593  2.831
Ohio U           6  6 302 237  2.864   84  5.678   84  2.788   63  3.228   85 0.4350   56 0.5019   27      0  1.131  3.101  3.356
Louisiana Tech   6  5 351 342  2.501   85  5.660   85  2.758   87  2.662   87 0.4332   76 0.4523   27      0  1.758  3.445  1.880
Oregon State     2  9 216 388  3.452   86  5.632   86  2.720   85  2.724   94 0.4130   99 0.3762   27      0  1.278  2.785  2.662
Central Florida  5  6 277 261  2.652   87  5.567   89  2.612   83  2.759   91 0.4214   84 0.4304   27      0  1.388  2.972  2.546
NE Louisiana     5  6 192 353  2.170   88  5.522   87  2.639  106  1.881   90 0.4219   97 0.3872   27      0  1.296  1.967  1.795
Fresno State     4  7 267 344  2.868   89  5.511   88  2.624   80  2.807   89 0.4229   88 0.4204   27      0  1.228  2.803  2.810
Tulane           2  9 213 268  3.469   90  5.502   90  2.611   69  3.137   84 0.4368   80 0.4404   27      0  1.204  3.102  3.173
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
North Texas      5  6 161 293  2.281   91  5.487   91  2.583  100  2.163   93 0.4150   77 0.4499   27      0  0.837  1.697  2.629
Rutgers          2  9 143 380  3.221   92  5.470   92  2.560   97  2.231   88 0.4274   95 0.3897   27      0  1.015  1.963  2.499
Idaho            6  5 374 296  2.336   93  5.458   93  2.536   84  2.728   92 0.4151   53 0.5048   27      0  1.627  3.298  2.159
Vanderbilt       2  9 122 234  3.285   94  5.394   94  2.439   79  2.820   81 0.4380   85 0.4290   27      0  0.674  2.189  3.450
San Jose State   3  9 221 448  2.791   95  5.378   95  2.411   99  2.209   95 0.4052   92 0.3966   27      0  1.387  2.421  1.997
C Michigan       5  6 351 353  2.381   96  5.373   96  2.401   90  2.590   98 0.3789   87 0.4272   27      0  1.827  3.488  1.692
Bowling Green    4  7 176 240  2.482   97  5.337   97  2.360   96  2.257  100 0.3693   90 0.4091   27      0  0.947  1.910  2.603
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 266 279  2.140   98  5.315   98  2.326  103  2.130   99 0.3748  105 0.3600   27      0  1.285  2.201  2.059
Akron            4  7 175 269  2.287   99  5.155   99  2.215  101  2.152  105 0.3552   98 0.3802   27      0  1.001  1.868  2.435
E Michigan       3  8 210 284  2.523  100  5.063  100  2.109   94  2.390  106 0.3394  104 0.3624   27      0  1.111  2.238  2.543
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Temple           1 10 218 386  3.132  101  5.062  101  2.057   91  2.577   97 0.3790  102 0.3644   27      0  1.563  3.048  2.106
UNLV             1 11 276 551  2.898  102  4.990  102  1.943   98  2.219  102 0.3626  101 0.3691   27      0  1.800  3.071  1.367
Hawaii           2 10 161 433  2.476  103  4.977  103  1.922  107  1.718  104 0.3552  107 0.3509   27      0  1.040  1.479  1.957
Arkansas State   4  7 272 365  1.957  104  4.970  104  1.909  105  2.052  103 0.3564   93 0.3932   27      0  1.486  2.407  1.697
Texas-El Paso    2  9 183 314  2.527  105  4.947  105  1.875  104  2.092  101 0.3640  106 0.3530   27      0  1.121  1.952  2.232
Kent State       2  9 255 492  2.377  106  4.929  106  1.845  108  1.622  109 0.3063  111 0.3082   27      0  1.963  2.759  0.484
Duke             0 11 162 379  3.321  107  4.906  107  1.814   92  2.524   96 0.3834  103 0.3625   27      0  1.279  2.587  2.461
W Michigan       2  9 208 304  2.380  108  4.884  108  1.770  102  2.141  107 0.3114  100 0.3749   27      0  1.371  2.331  1.951
N Illinois       1 10 157 400  2.132  109  4.604  109  1.378  111  1.384  108 0.3074  109 0.3161   27      0  1.357  1.554  1.213
Boise State      2 10 240 459  1.946  110  4.599  110  1.368  110  1.477  111 0.2940  108 0.3430   27      0  1.548  1.925  1.029
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
New Mexico St    1 10 166 396  2.105  111  4.568  111  1.325  109  1.519  110 0.3033  110 0.3149   27      0  1.091  1.343  1.696


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.479 (#6)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida State   11  1 446 174  4.439    4  7.535    4  5.304    4  5.131    3 0.6853    2 0.6960    4   1111  1.257  5.165  5.098
North Carolina  10  2 357 123  4.079   11  7.128   11  4.709    9  4.666    8 0.6376   10 0.6416   10    827  0.884  4.251  5.081
Virginia         7  5 341 203  3.909   34  6.533   34  3.880   22  4.178   32 0.5529   37 0.5441   26     18  1.161  4.088  4.268
Clemson          7  5 245 241  3.445   43  6.377   41  3.688   43  3.647   34 0.5514   46 0.5241   27      0  1.019  3.384  3.910
Georgia Tech     5  6 220 236  3.423   57  6.139   57  3.330   60  3.245   52 0.5058   64 0.4851   27      0  1.079  3.054  3.436
Maryland         5  6 187 239  3.078   67  6.004   68  3.123   77  2.933   67 0.4829   75 0.4558   27      0  0.874  2.506  3.360
N Carolina St    3  8 268 401  3.461   80  5.740   80  2.887   74  3.038   74 0.4650   83 0.4311   27      0  1.832  3.945  2.131
Wake Forest      3  8 144 374  3.086   82  5.690   82  2.807   95  2.263   77 0.4524   91 0.3996   27      0  1.171  2.185  2.341
Duke             0 11 162 379  3.321  107  4.906  107  1.814   92  2.524   96 0.3834  103 0.3625   27      0  1.279  2.587  2.461

Big 10 Conf: strength=4.128 (#1)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State      11  1 455 131  4.550    3  7.540    3  5.313    3  5.358    2 0.6877    4 0.6697    1   1230  1.079  5.166  5.550
Penn State      11  2 400 203  4.278    6  7.362    6  5.018    7  4.828    7 0.6403   13 0.6313    5   1035  1.152  4.727  4.929
Iowa             9  3 339 243  4.102   12  7.003   12  4.517   13  4.585   16 0.6124   25 0.5870   14    628  1.323  4.708  4.463
Michigan         8  4 277 184  4.189   15  6.977   15  4.478   16  4.425   17 0.6092   19 0.5938   15    526  0.942  4.073  4.777
Northwestern     9  3 336 278  3.814   20  6.850   20  4.337   29  3.970   19 0.6026   20 0.5929   18    417  1.522  4.379  3.561
Wisconsin        8  5 377 243  3.797   33  6.548   33  3.902   23  4.122   36 0.5506   41 0.5327   27      0  1.235  4.127  4.117
Michigan State   6  6 358 302  3.990   38  6.456   38  3.761   28  3.981   43 0.5276   59 0.4965   27      0  1.645  4.580  3.382
Minnesota        4  7 236 340  3.710   52  6.203   52  3.428   64  3.227   60 0.4978   68 0.4740   27      0  1.463  3.547  2.906
Purdue           3  8 194 324  3.994   54  6.180   53  3.391   51  3.465   65 0.4870   81 0.4380   27      0  1.239  3.475  3.454
Indiana          3  8 242 291  3.812   71  5.954   73  3.093   44  3.633   72 0.4705   74 0.4609   27      0  1.257  3.667  3.599
Illinois         2  9 190 372  3.717   79  5.744   79  2.896   75  2.975   86 0.4340   96 0.3876   27      0  1.190  2.921  3.029

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.921 (#3)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska        11  2 553 174  4.505    5  7.387    5  5.057    1  5.470    5 0.6551    5 0.6686    6   1015  1.230  5.468  5.472
Colorado        10  2 352 220  4.262    7  7.326    7  4.961    8  4.774    6 0.6510    7 0.6519    7    950  1.208  4.744  4.805
Kansas State     9  3 340 191  4.030   13  6.997   13  4.509   18  4.332   18 0.6082   14 0.6261   21    283  0.980  4.024  4.640
Texas            8  5 447 305  4.183   21  6.815   21  4.288   15  4.510   28 0.5617   32 0.5514   20    314  1.631  5.086  3.934
Texas Tech       7  5 323 232  3.929   27  6.624   28  3.985   26  4.000   31 0.5537   33 0.5489   27      0  1.145  3.890  4.110
Texas A&M        6  6 351 257  3.734   47  6.284   47  3.549   30  3.935   48 0.5103   50 0.5099   27      0  1.267  3.982  3.888
Missouri         5  6 278 376  3.617   48  6.283   48  3.548   57  3.260   46 0.5168   61 0.4908   27      0  1.528  3.678  2.842
Kansas           4  7 300 358  3.756   56  6.158   56  3.358   55  3.361   61 0.4920   58 0.4972   27      0  1.644  3.958  2.764
Oklahoma State   5  6 243 327  3.286   62  6.053   62  3.252   71  3.093   71 0.4714   89 0.4156   27      0  1.276  3.153  3.033
Baylor           4  7 266 320  3.464   70  5.960   71  3.100   62  3.236   76 0.4568   86 0.4288   27      0  1.250  3.261  3.211
Oklahoma         3  8 255 392  3.557   76  5.843   76  3.057   67  3.178   78 0.4455   79 0.4440   27      0  1.647  3.780  2.577
Iowa State       2  9 314 401  3.786   81  5.701   81  2.826   53  3.458   80 0.4382   94 0.3929   27      0  1.796  4.304  2.612

Big East Conf: strength=3.494 (#5)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Virginia Tech   10  2 370 209  3.916   10  7.129   10  4.711   14  4.526   13 0.6208   12 0.6327    9    855  1.265  4.571  4.481
Miami (Fla)      9  3 368 210  3.864   19  6.884   19  4.386   21  4.232   22 0.6010   22 0.5913   16    477  1.273  4.288  4.177
Syracuse         9  3 437 208  3.857   22  6.798   22  4.262   11  4.614   21 0.6012   23 0.5906   19    349  1.449  4.914  4.313
West Virginia    8  4 271 156  3.667   31  6.587   31  3.959   27  3.993   27 0.5631   36 0.5474   27      0  0.715  3.403  4.583
Boston College   5  7 264 364  3.371   59  6.093   59  3.261   72  3.077   59 0.4987   66 0.4778   27      0  1.507  3.463  2.691
Pittsburgh       4  7 214 430  3.082   75  5.859   75  3.084   89  2.649   68 0.4824   78 0.4448   27      0  1.300  2.740  2.557
Rutgers          2  9 143 380  3.221   92  5.470   92  2.560   97  2.231   88 0.4274   95 0.3897   27      0  1.015  1.963  2.499
Temple           1 10 218 386  3.132  101  5.062  101  2.057   91  2.577   97 0.3790  102 0.3644   27      0  1.563  3.048  2.106

Big West: strength=2.203 (#11)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nevada           9  3 515 278  2.731   53  6.181   54  3.388   46  3.536   63 0.4883   31 0.5516   27      0  1.667  4.169  2.903
Utah State       6  5 330 339  2.876   66  6.009   66  3.130   78  2.869   69 0.4808   47 0.5195   27      0  1.642  3.462  2.276
North Texas      5  6 161 293  2.281   91  5.487   91  2.583  100  2.163   93 0.4150   77 0.4499   27      0  0.837  1.697  2.629
Idaho            6  5 374 296  2.336   93  5.458   93  2.536   84  2.728   92 0.4151   53 0.5048   27      0  1.627  3.298  2.159
Boise State      2 10 240 459  1.946  110  4.599  110  1.368  110  1.477  111 0.2940  108 0.3430   27      0  1.548  1.925  1.029
New Mexico St    1 10 166 396  2.105  111  4.568  111  1.325  109  1.519  110 0.3033  110 0.3149   27      0  1.091  1.343  1.696

Conference USA: strength=3.339 (#7)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Miss    8  3 287 247  3.693   23  6.768   23  4.215   36  3.875   14 0.6169    8 0.6500   25     73  1.197  3.831  3.920
Houston          7  5 361 341  3.468   40  6.417   40  3.702   45  3.549   39 0.5451   35 0.5477   27      0  1.554  4.007  3.091
Louisville       5  6 182 205  3.432   55  6.161   55  3.362   65  3.186   55 0.5026   63 0.4896   27      0  0.858  2.742  3.630
Cincinnati       6  5 228 212  3.106   60  6.086   60  3.259   58  3.257   50 0.5072   55 0.5023   27      0  1.054  3.036  3.479
Memphis          4  7 141 219  3.465   63  6.032   63  3.221   70  3.109   62 0.4916   69 0.4727   27      0  0.667  2.472  3.746
Tulane           2  9 213 268  3.469   90  5.502   90  2.611   69  3.137   84 0.4368   80 0.4404   27      0  1.204  3.102  3.173

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.384 (#10)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ball State       8  4 296 210  2.797   58  6.112   58  3.287   61  3.245   73 0.4678   45 0.5290   27      0  0.903  2.850  3.640
Toledo           7  4 210 259  2.543   72  5.873   70  3.103   93  2.495   79 0.4438   62 0.4901   27      0  1.285  2.566  2.423
Miami (Ohio)     6  5 273 168  2.876   78  5.765   78  2.925   56  3.330   83 0.4375   60 0.4958   27      0  0.914  2.947  3.712
Ohio U           6  6 302 237  2.864   84  5.678   84  2.788   63  3.228   85 0.4350   56 0.5019   27      0  1.131  3.101  3.356
C Michigan       5  6 351 353  2.381   96  5.373   96  2.401   90  2.590   98 0.3789   87 0.4272   27      0  1.827  3.488  1.692
Bowling Green    4  7 176 240  2.482   97  5.337   97  2.360   96  2.257  100 0.3693   90 0.4091   27      0  0.947  1.910  2.603
Akron            4  7 175 269  2.287   99  5.155   99  2.215  101  2.152  105 0.3552   98 0.3802   27      0  1.001  1.868  2.435
E Michigan       3  8 210 284  2.523  100  5.063  100  2.109   94  2.390  106 0.3394  104 0.3624   27      0  1.111  2.238  2.543
Kent State       2  9 255 492  2.377  106  4.929  106  1.845  108  1.622  109 0.3063  111 0.3082   27      0  1.963  2.759  0.484
W Michigan       2  9 208 304  2.380  108  4.884  108  1.770  102  2.141  107 0.3114  100 0.3749   27      0  1.371  2.331  1.951

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.060 (#2)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona State   11  1 488 216  4.467    1  7.584    1  5.388    5  5.104    4 0.6581    3 0.6702    2   1220  1.445  5.400  4.809
Washington       9  3 391 254  4.339    8  7.198    9  4.773   12  4.612   10 0.6272   11 0.6388    8    859  1.419  4.868  4.355
USC              6  6 325 267  4.179   28  6.622   29  3.983   20  4.257   38 0.5479   43 0.5316   27      0  1.029  4.005  4.508
Stanford         7  5 247 229  3.885   29  6.604   27  3.986   24  4.081   29 0.5578   34 0.5481   27      0  0.865  3.646  4.517
UCLA             5  6 330 318  4.185   32  6.554   32  3.912   25  4.025   40 0.5434   38 0.5422   27      0  1.508  4.413  3.638
Oregon           6  5 378 356  3.785   37  6.490   37  3.818   31  3.924   41 0.5354   42 0.5321   27      0  1.829  4.826  3.023
California       6  6 382 407  3.668   41  6.403   42  3.683   54  3.458   45 0.5192   49 0.5161   27      0  1.534  3.885  3.031
Arizona          5  6 310 280  3.955   44  6.339   44  3.631   32  3.921   51 0.5060   72 0.4650   27      0  1.206  3.888  3.954
Washington St    5  6 314 317  3.763   46  6.292   46  3.562   42  3.669   53 0.5039   67 0.4757   27      0  1.593  4.185  3.152
Oregon State     2  9 216 388  3.452   86  5.632   86  2.720   85  2.724   94 0.4130   99 0.3762   27      0  1.278  2.785  2.662

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.683 (#4)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida         12  1 611 221  4.456    2  7.548    2  5.326    2  5.401    1 0.6895    1 0.7274    3   1139  1.729  6.136  4.667
Tennessee       10  2 437 185  3.881   14  6.988   14  4.492   10  4.615    9 0.6330   15 0.6187   11    700  1.393  4.836  4.394
Alabama         10  3 316 195  3.876   16  6.965   16  4.455   17  4.363   11 0.6270    9 0.6420   17    454  0.985  4.061  4.665
LSU             10  2 335 210  3.496   17  6.908   17  4.420   33  3.912   15 0.6146   17 0.6070   22    201  1.191  3.860  3.964
Auburn           8  4 398 277  3.578   36  6.526   36  3.869   34  3.886   24 0.5705   26 0.5804   27      0  1.434  4.166  3.607
South Carolina   6  5 245 238  3.617   42  6.389   43  3.662   39  3.732   35 0.5513   40 0.5390   27      0  1.233  3.735  3.729
Georgia          5  6 230 257  3.660   50  6.247   50  3.495   49  3.498   42 0.5291   52 0.5069   27      0  1.024  3.241  3.755
Kentucky         4  7 138 322  3.481   61  6.057   61  3.259   76  2.967   54 0.5035   73 0.4630   27      0  1.037  2.725  3.209
Mississippi St   5  6 249 229  3.282   64  6.026   64  3.155   50  3.481   56 0.5020   65 0.4844   27      0  1.289  3.557  3.404
Arkansas         4  7 174 267  3.379   69  5.977   67  3.127   73  3.047   58 0.4989   54 0.5041   27      0  0.938  2.692  3.403
Mississippi      5  6 203 270  2.980   74  5.865   74  3.092   88  2.655   70 0.4720   70 0.4678   27      0  1.138  2.535  2.774
Vanderbilt       2  9 122 234  3.285   94  5.394   94  2.439   79  2.820   81 0.4380   85 0.4290   27      0  0.674  2.189  3.450

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.991 (#8)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young   14  1 590 277  3.528    9  7.195    8  4.825   19  4.329   12 0.6262    6 0.6672   13    667  1.500  4.705  3.953
Wyoming         10  2 464 284  3.167   26  6.697   26  4.097   38  3.779   30 0.5577   21 0.5927   27      0  1.584  4.282  3.276
Rice             7  4 296 312  3.456   35  6.529   35  3.874   47  3.512   26 0.5632   24 0.5890   27      0  1.531  3.934  3.089
Utah             8  4 313 309  3.255   39  6.439   39  3.733   66  3.181   33 0.5529   27 0.5757   27      0  1.440  3.469  2.893
San Diego State  8  3 428 303  3.067   45  6.317   45  3.596   48  3.505   44 0.5270   29 0.5679   27      0  1.740  4.257  2.752
Air Force        6  5 360 231  3.451   49  6.252   49  3.502   40  3.681   47 0.5103   39 0.5395   27      0  1.205  3.647  3.715
Colorado State   7  5 380 336  3.262   51  6.242   51  3.486   52  3.463   49 0.5077   44 0.5297   27      0  1.554  3.920  3.005
SMU              5  6 246 267  3.200   68  5.996   69  3.111   68  3.166   57 0.4993   48 0.5163   27      0  1.187  3.109  3.222
New Mexico       6  5 331 280  2.972   73  5.867   72  3.094   59  3.250   66 0.4850   57 0.4997   27      0  1.495  3.619  2.881
Tulsa            4  7 245 333  3.183   77  5.794   77  2.983   81  2.793   75 0.4626   71 0.4666   27      0  1.434  3.072  2.513
TCU              4  7 211 302  2.998   83  5.680   83  2.792   86  2.712   82 0.4376   82 0.4318   27      0  1.138  2.593  2.831
Fresno State     4  7 267 344  2.868   89  5.511   88  2.624   80  2.807   89 0.4229   88 0.4204   27      0  1.228  2.803  2.810
San Jose State   3  9 221 448  2.791   95  5.378   95  2.411   99  2.209   95 0.4052   92 0.3966   27      0  1.387  2.421  1.997
UNLV             1 11 276 551  2.898  102  4.990  102  1.943   98  2.219  102 0.3626  101 0.3691   27      0  1.800  3.071  1.367
Hawaii           2 10 161 433  2.476  103  4.977  103  1.922  107  1.718  104 0.3552  107 0.3509   27      0  1.040  1.479  1.957
Texas-El Paso    2  9 183 314  2.527  105  4.947  105  1.875  104  2.092  101 0.3640  106 0.3530   27      0  1.121  1.952  2.232

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.748 (#9)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame       8  3 407 181  4.207   18  6.903   18  4.416    6  4.864   20 0.6022   28 0.5754   12    680  1.389  5.079  4.649
Army            10  2 379 224  3.250   24  6.760   24  4.202   37  3.787   37 0.5481   18 0.6040   23    113  1.436  4.069  3.506
East Carolina    8  3 316 214  3.599   25  6.711   25  4.124   35  3.885   23 0.5852   16 0.6166   24    109  1.370  4.073  3.697
Navy             9  3 392 309  3.315   30  6.594   30  3.970   41  3.680   25 0.5701   30 0.5619   27      0  1.693  4.356  3.004
SW Louisiana     5  6 304 404  3.069   65  6.010   65  3.132   82  2.774   64 0.4870   51 0.5093   27      0  1.763  3.565  1.982
Louisiana Tech   6  5 351 342  2.501   85  5.660   85  2.758   87  2.662   87 0.4332   76 0.4523   27      0  1.758  3.445  1.880
Central Florida  5  6 277 261  2.652   87  5.567   89  2.612   83  2.759   91 0.4214   84 0.4304   27      0  1.388  2.972  2.546
NE Louisiana     5  6 192 353  2.170   88  5.522   87  2.639  106  1.881   90 0.4219   97 0.3872   27      0  1.296  1.967  1.795
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 266 279  2.140   98  5.315   98  2.326  103  2.130   99 0.3748  105 0.3600   27      0  1.285  2.201  2.059
Arkansas State   4  7 272 365  1.957  104  4.970  104  1.909  105  2.052  103 0.3564   93 0.3932   27      0  1.486  2.407  1.697
N Illinois       1 10 157 400  2.132  109  4.604  109  1.378  111  1.384  108 0.3074  109 0.3161   27      0  1.357  1.554  1.213

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                             W    L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 10 Conf                           74   56 0.569    1  4.128
Pacific 10 Conf                       62   53 0.539    2  4.060
Big 12 Conf                           74   66 0.529    3  3.921
Southeastern Conf                     81   58 0.583    4  3.683
Big East Conf                         48   45 0.516    5  3.494
Atlantic Coast Conf                   51   52 0.495    6  3.479
Conference USA                        32   35 0.478    7  3.339
Western Athletic Conf                 91   95 0.489    8  2.991
Division I-A Independents             66   57 0.537    9  2.748
Mid-American Conf                     47   65 0.420   10  2.384
Big West                              29   39 0.426   11  2.203

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.194 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:17:32 2007

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