Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Marshall        15  0 656 210  2.463    1  6.699    1  4.094    1  3.903    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.470  4.234  3.572
Montana         14  1 638 264  2.553    2  6.458    2  3.756    2  3.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.490  4.024  3.303
Northern Iowa   12  2 457 255  2.453    3  6.186    3  3.394    4  3.071    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.340  3.217  2.925
E Tennessee St  10  3 378 286  2.320    4  5.850    4  3.061    8  2.491    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.338  2.634  2.347
William & Mary  10  3 394 214  2.506    5  5.837    5  3.043    3  3.167    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.363  3.345  2.989
Dartmouth       10  0 275 104  1.268    6  5.777    6  2.937   15  2.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.902  1.907  2.698
Delaware         8  4 293 244  2.473    7  5.711    7  2.836    9  2.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.248  2.508  2.464
New Hampshire    8  3 311 213  2.355    8  5.691    8  2.803    6  2.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.383  2.902  2.491
N Arizona        9  3 506 333  2.235    9  5.679    9  2.786   10  2.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.780  3.300  1.663
Furman           9  4 335 301  2.204   10  5.665   10  2.765   20  2.209    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.319  2.326  2.092
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Villanova        8  4 378 261  2.505   11  5.659   11  2.756    5  2.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.597  3.300  2.254
Troy St         12  2 434 252  1.698   12  5.639   12  2.721   18  2.251    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.371  2.441  2.062
James Madison    7  4 259 215  2.275   13  5.450   13  2.523   16  2.285    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.179  2.217  2.352
W Illinois       9  3 270 185  1.832   14  5.410   14  2.459   25  2.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.900  1.626  2.422
CS-Northridge    7  4 407 313  2.240   15  5.381   15  2.412    7  2.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.778  3.345  1.715
Weber St         7  4 325 262  2.127   16  5.329   16  2.345   13  2.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.408  2.571  2.087
Northeastern     6  5 248 204  2.349   17  5.296   18  2.295   12  2.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151  2.346  2.551
Maine            7  4 285 212  2.103   18  5.289   17  2.319   19  2.224    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.331  2.358  2.090
Youngstown St    8  3 261 131  1.866   19  5.259   19  2.273   11  2.480    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.566  1.750  3.210
Buffalo          8  3 271 241  1.638   20  5.180   20  2.250   37  1.708    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.379  1.908  1.508
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Appalachian St   7  4 223 196  1.965   21  5.174   21  2.241   24  2.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.971  1.743  2.381
Murray St       11  2 463 206  1.325   22  5.173   22  2.238   23  2.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.359  2.250  1.906
SW Missouri St   7  4 285 179  1.996   23  5.116   23  2.152   14  2.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.109  2.167  2.478
Massachusetts    6  5 257 294  2.031   24  5.115   24  2.151   34  1.743    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.370  1.931  1.554
E Washington     6  5 305 254  2.178   25  5.091   26  2.115   17  2.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.282  2.344  2.210
Montana State    6  5 247 222  2.150   26  5.086   25  2.143   22  2.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.854  1.708  2.603
Dayton          11  0 411 186 -0.245   27  4.997   27  1.937   73  0.716    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.465  1.041  0.392
Columbia         8  2 181 159  1.117   28  4.989   28  1.933   56  1.180    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.797  0.673  1.687
Nicholls St      8  4 212 235  1.387   29  4.975   29  1.913   47  1.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.605  0.640  2.030
E Illinois       8  4 378 240  1.612   30  4.963   30  1.895   26  1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.559  2.462  1.533
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Indiana State    6  5 256 233  1.866   31  4.933   31  1.846   28  1.895    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.068  1.691  2.100
Howard U        10  2 441 178  0.992   32  4.932   32  1.839   31  1.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.268  1.904  1.807
Connecticut      5  6 245 191  2.125   33  4.926   33  1.838   21  2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.051  1.951  2.401
Jackson St      10  2 396 183  0.750   34  4.871   34  1.736   44  1.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.263  1.477  1.394
S F Austin       7  4 310 211  1.469   35  4.854   35  1.710   35  1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.311  1.840  1.626
NW Louisiana     6  5 241 166  1.655   36  4.841   36  1.651   27  1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.963  1.591  2.248
W Kentucky       7  4 304 251  1.238   37  4.831   37  1.636   51  1.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274  1.272  1.160
Florida A&M      9  3 437 238  0.976   38  4.810   38  1.601   40  1.582    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.293  1.664  1.500
SW Texas St      5  6 221 310  1.640   39  4.766   39  1.536   58  1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.259  1.201  1.129
Cal Poly-SLO     5  6 308 356  1.587   40  4.715   40  1.454   48  1.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.569  1.802  0.843
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rhode Island     4  7 260 259  2.057   41  4.709   41  1.445   33  1.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274  1.847  1.733
Citadel          4  7 236 335  1.919   42  4.703   42  1.435   41  1.566    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.456  1.877  1.254
Ga Southern      4  7 255 295  1.951   43  4.608   43  1.381   30  1.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.359  2.034  1.689
Hofstra          5  6 203 138  1.594   44  4.584   45  1.345   32  1.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.596  1.123  2.530
VMI              3  8 189 296  2.064   45  4.581   44  1.345   42  1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.140  1.424  1.656
Idaho St         4  7 320 316  1.978   46  4.578   46  1.339   29  1.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.352  2.053  1.726
Brown            5  5 238 246  1.310   47  4.538   47  1.269   46  1.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.561  1.829  0.892
Lehigh           5  6 208 264  1.382   48  4.526   48  1.251   55  1.188    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.222  1.176  1.200
St Mary's CA     7  3 312 224  0.572   49  4.510   49  1.224   63  0.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.403  1.188  0.718
Lafayette        5  5 192 214  1.246   50  4.505   50  1.216   52  1.205    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.075  1.008  1.401
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
E Kentucky       6  5 286 184  1.284   51  4.499   51  1.205   39  1.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134  1.508  1.755
Colgate          6  5 285 256  1.159   52  4.495   52  1.199   45  1.371    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441  1.661  1.082
Penn             5  5 222 172  1.267   53  4.467   53  1.157   43  1.505    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134  1.381  1.629
W Carolina       4  7 232 318  1.552   54  4.464   54  1.154   54  1.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.386  1.400  0.978
Bucknell         6  5 234 223  1.019   55  4.461   55  1.147   59  1.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.140  0.996  1.230
Middle Tenn      6  5 220 206  0.993   56  4.445   56  1.123   61  1.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.970  0.732  1.370
S Illinois       5  6 302 302  1.302   57  4.440   57  1.118   53  1.191    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.692  1.865  0.517
N Carolina A&T   8  3 312 195  0.350   58  4.421   59  1.083   74  0.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.172  0.595  0.748
Sam Houston St   4  7 238 309  1.472   59  4.418   58  1.084   57  1.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.522  1.581  0.764
Illinois State   3  8 226 306  1.757   60  4.399   60  1.055   50  1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.355  1.437  1.103
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tn-Chattanooga   3  8 175 288  1.743   61  4.395   61  1.048   49  1.314    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.034  1.069  1.559
Cornell          4  6 221 280  1.252   62  4.370   62  1.008   66  0.927    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.514  1.323  0.531
Wofford          6  5 264 220  0.806   63  4.334   63  0.949   64  0.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.137  0.832  1.072
Samford          6  5 175 240  0.521   64  4.277   64  0.917   84  0.346    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.959  0.014  0.679
Richmond         2  9 157 197  2.066   65  4.188   65  0.883   36  1.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.580  1.013  2.449
Southern U       7  5 270 195  0.764   66  4.185   66  0.872   62  0.979    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.071  0.778  1.181
Portland St      3  8 196 359  1.453   67  4.133   67  0.870   72  0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.167  0.678  0.843
McNeese St       3  8 236 225  1.672   68  4.115   68  0.841   38  1.654    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.075  1.458  1.850
Harvard          4  6 163 164  1.131   69  4.107   69  0.826   60  1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.819  0.620  1.590
Tennessee Tech   5  6 180 242  0.780   70  4.085   70  0.790   82  0.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.023  0.246  0.762
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Liberty          5  6 251 261  0.979   71  4.076   71  0.775   65  0.934    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.229  0.931  0.937
Southern Utah    4  7 286 354  1.176   72  4.049   72  0.731   67  0.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.527  1.323  0.491
Duquesne        10  1 392 129 -0.968   73  3.984   73  0.621   85  0.214    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.225  0.205  0.222
Miss Valley St   7  4 180 203 -0.006   74  3.977   74  0.612   89  0.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.903 -0.331  0.458
Robert Morris    9  2 318 142 -0.362   75  3.962   75  0.586   80  0.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037  0.298  0.782
Princeton        3  7 144 202  1.032   76  3.941   77  0.560   75  0.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.781  0.112  1.160
Boston U         1 10 119 373  1.846   77  3.937   76  0.563   77  0.606    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.147  0.499  0.714
Texas Southern   7  4 261 199  0.133   78  3.918   78  0.520   78  0.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.204  0.529  0.599
Yale             2  8 145 246  1.347   79  3.888   79  0.475   69  0.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.072  0.609  1.010
Sacramento St    1 10 248 466  1.817   80  3.884   80  0.474   68  0.823    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.770  1.625  0.021
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
S Carolina St    4  6 187 208  0.594   81  3.777   81  0.337   76  0.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037  0.373  0.857
SE Missouri      3  8 130 287  0.743   82  3.725   82  0.266   88  0.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.794 -0.384  0.639
Towson St        6  4 234 198 -0.233   83  3.705   83  0.230   90  0.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.015 -0.229  0.305
Tennessee St     4  7 258 268  0.651   84  3.695   84  0.217   79  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.412  0.793  0.298
Hampton U        5  6 266 241  0.321   85  3.666   86  0.166   83  0.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.058  0.185  0.619
Fordham          2  8 172 248  1.176   86  3.662   85  0.166   70  0.798    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.055  0.578  1.019
Drake            8  3 362 188 -0.515   87  3.644   87  0.129   86  0.187    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.315  0.298  0.075
Holy Cross       2  9 209 351  0.913   88  3.636   88  0.123   87  0.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.591  0.649 -0.378
Monmouth NJ      7  3 247 170 -0.672   89  3.630   89  0.106   96 -0.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.136 -0.430 -0.187
Jacksonville St  1  9 177 290  1.357   90  3.593   90  0.073   71  0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.333  0.914  0.639
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Morehead St      6  4 308 252 -0.399   91  3.590   91  0.060   91  0.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.434  0.281 -0.276
Alcorn St        4  7 199 216  0.462   92  3.535   92 -0.005   81  0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.011  0.238  0.782
Morgan St        4  7 172 365 -0.067   93  3.500   93 -0.065  101 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.169 -0.811 -0.652
Georgetown DC    7  3 303 167 -0.819   94  3.490   94 -0.085   95 -0.208    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -0.153 -0.263
Marist           7  3 248 176 -1.119   95  3.384   95 -0.276   98 -0.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.063 -0.783 -0.360
Delaware St      3  8 258 317  0.171   96  3.225   96 -0.426   92 -0.080    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.540  0.356 -0.516
Alabama St       3  8 135 248 -0.141   97  3.193   97 -0.480   99 -0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.809 -1.116 -0.125
Tenn-Martin      1 10 125 357  0.672   98  3.184   98 -0.490   97 -0.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.117 -0.557 -0.266
Grambling St     3  8 161 218 -0.001   99  3.163   99 -0.534   93 -0.157    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.846 -0.613  0.299
Austin Peay      1 10 149 339  0.605  100  3.110  100 -0.616   94 -0.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.118 -0.308 -0.020
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wagner           5  5 252 232 -0.907  101  3.042  101 -0.697  100 -0.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.501 -0.286 -1.042
Chas Southern    2  8 164 359 -0.207  102  2.976  102 -0.769  102 -0.817    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.429 -0.545 -1.089
Evansville       5  5 270 330 -1.294  103  2.866  103 -0.925  109 -1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.656 -0.684 -1.917
St John's NY     6  4 260 209 -1.511  104  2.863  104 -0.932  106 -1.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.467 -0.812 -1.466
Butler           3  7 164 307 -0.907  105  2.786  105 -1.067  110 -1.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.144 -1.450 -1.228
Canisius         5  4 158 108 -1.459  106  2.770  106 -1.094  105 -1.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.453 -1.833 -0.175
Bethune-Cookman  2  9 195 384 -0.391  107  2.730  107 -1.150  103 -0.838    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.496 -0.469 -1.207
Valparaiso       4  6 275 258 -1.064  108  2.717  108 -1.172  104 -0.869    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.413 -0.620 -1.118
San Diego        4  6 197 257 -1.208  109  2.660  109 -1.183  107 -1.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.082 -1.372 -0.996
Cent Conn St     3  7 230 344 -0.979  110  2.636  110 -1.223  108 -1.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.723 -0.497 -1.947
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St Francis PA    3  7 165 261 -1.300  111  2.407  111 -1.579  111 -1.347    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.065 -1.555 -1.140
Siena            2  7 156 256 -1.615  112  2.041  112 -2.004  113 -1.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.328 -1.715 -1.976
Prairie View     0 11 131 439 -0.584  113  2.016  113 -2.037  112 -1.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.433 -1.437 -1.992
St Peter's       2  7 131 270 -1.708  114  2.010  114 -2.061  114 -2.072    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.220 -2.086 -2.057
Fairfield        1  8 112 313 -1.973  115  1.646  115 -2.559  115 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -2.544 -2.386
Iona             1  9  83 290 -1.938  116  1.623  116 -2.598  116 -2.716    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.802 -3.219 -2.213


Atlantic 10 Conf: strength=2.359 (#1)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
William & Mary  10  3 394 214  2.506    5  5.837    5  3.043    3  3.167    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.363  3.345  2.989
Delaware         8  4 293 244  2.473    7  5.711    7  2.836    9  2.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.248  2.508  2.464
New Hampshire    8  3 311 213  2.355    8  5.691    8  2.803    6  2.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.383  2.902  2.491
Villanova        8  4 378 261  2.505   11  5.659   11  2.756    5  2.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.597  3.300  2.254
James Madison    7  4 259 215  2.275   13  5.450   13  2.523   16  2.285    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.179  2.217  2.352
Northeastern     6  5 248 204  2.349   17  5.296   18  2.295   12  2.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.151  2.346  2.551
Maine            7  4 285 212  2.103   18  5.289   17  2.319   19  2.224    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.331  2.358  2.090
Massachusetts    6  5 257 294  2.031   24  5.115   24  2.151   34  1.743    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.370  1.931  1.554
Connecticut      5  6 245 191  2.125   33  4.926   33  1.838   21  2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.051  1.951  2.401
Rhode Island     4  7 260 259  2.057   41  4.709   41  1.445   33  1.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274  1.847  1.733
Richmond         2  9 157 197  2.066   65  4.188   65  0.883   36  1.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.580  1.013  2.449
Boston U         1 10 119 373  1.846   77  3.937   76  0.563   77  0.606    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.147  0.499  0.714

Big Sky Conf: strength=2.219 (#2)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Montana         14  1 638 264  2.553    2  6.458    2  3.756    2  3.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.490  4.024  3.303
N Arizona        9  3 506 333  2.235    9  5.679    9  2.786   10  2.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.780  3.300  1.663
CS-Northridge    7  4 407 313  2.240   15  5.381   15  2.412    7  2.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.778  3.345  1.715
Weber St         7  4 325 262  2.127   16  5.329   16  2.345   13  2.329    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.408  2.571  2.087
E Washington     6  5 305 254  2.178   25  5.091   26  2.115   17  2.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.282  2.344  2.210
Montana State    6  5 247 222  2.150   26  5.086   25  2.143   22  2.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.854  1.708  2.603
Idaho St         4  7 320 316  1.978   46  4.578   46  1.339   29  1.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.352  2.053  1.726
Portland St      3  8 196 359  1.453   67  4.133   67  0.870   72  0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.167  0.678  0.843
Sacramento St    1 10 248 466  1.817   80  3.884   80  0.474   68  0.823    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.770  1.625  0.021

Gateway Athletic Conf: strength=2.077 (#3)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Northern Iowa   12  2 457 255  2.453    3  6.186    3  3.394    4  3.071    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.340  3.217  2.925
W Illinois       9  3 270 185  1.832   14  5.410   14  2.459   25  2.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.900  1.626  2.422
SW Missouri St   7  4 285 179  1.996   23  5.116   23  2.152   14  2.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.109  2.167  2.478
Indiana State    6  5 256 233  1.866   31  4.933   31  1.846   28  1.895    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.068  1.691  2.100
S Illinois       5  6 302 302  1.302   57  4.440   57  1.118   53  1.191    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.692  1.865  0.517
Illinois State   3  8 226 306  1.757   60  4.399   60  1.055   50  1.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.355  1.437  1.103

Ivy League: strength=1.241 (#6)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dartmouth       10  0 275 104  1.268    6  5.777    6  2.937   15  2.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.902  1.907  2.698
Columbia         8  2 181 159  1.117   28  4.989   28  1.933   56  1.180    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.797  0.673  1.687
Brown            5  5 238 246  1.310   47  4.538   47  1.269   46  1.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.561  1.829  0.892
Penn             5  5 222 172  1.267   53  4.467   53  1.157   43  1.505    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134  1.381  1.629
Cornell          4  6 221 280  1.252   62  4.370   62  1.008   66  0.927    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.514  1.323  0.531
Harvard          4  6 163 164  1.131   69  4.107   69  0.826   60  1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.819  0.620  1.590
Princeton        3  7 144 202  1.032   76  3.941   77  0.560   75  0.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.781  0.112  1.160
Yale             2  8 145 246  1.347   79  3.888   79  0.475   69  0.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.072  0.609  1.010

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conf: strength=-1.539 (#14)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Duquesne        10  1 392 129 -0.968   73  3.984   73  0.621   85  0.214    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.225  0.205  0.222
Georgetown DC    7  3 303 167 -0.819   94  3.490   94 -0.085   95 -0.208    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.273 -0.153 -0.263
Marist           7  3 248 176 -1.119   95  3.384   95 -0.276   98 -0.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.063 -0.783 -0.360
St John's NY     6  4 260 209 -1.511  104  2.863  104 -0.932  106 -1.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.467 -0.812 -1.466
Canisius         5  4 158 108 -1.459  106  2.770  106 -1.094  105 -1.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.453 -1.833 -0.175
Siena            2  7 156 256 -1.615  112  2.041  112 -2.004  113 -1.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.328 -1.715 -1.976
St Peter's       2  7 131 270 -1.708  114  2.010  114 -2.061  114 -2.072    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.220 -2.086 -2.057
Fairfield        1  8 112 313 -1.973  115  1.646  115 -2.559  115 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.170 -2.544 -2.386
Iona             1  9  83 290 -1.938  116  1.623  116 -2.598  116 -2.716    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.802 -3.219 -2.213

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conf: strength=0.404 (#10)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Howard U        10  2 441 178  0.992   32  4.932   32  1.839   31  1.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.268  1.904  1.807
Florida A&M      9  3 437 238  0.976   38  4.810   38  1.601   40  1.582    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.293  1.664  1.500
N Carolina A&T   8  3 312 195  0.350   58  4.421   59  1.083   74  0.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.172  0.595  0.748
S Carolina St    4  6 187 208  0.594   81  3.777   81  0.337   76  0.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037  0.373  0.857
Hampton U        5  6 266 241  0.321   85  3.666   86  0.166   83  0.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.058  0.185  0.619
Morgan St        4  7 172 365 -0.067   93  3.500   93 -0.065  101 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.169 -0.811 -0.652
Delaware St      3  8 258 317  0.171   96  3.225   96 -0.426   92 -0.080    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.540  0.356 -0.516
Bethune-Cookman  2  9 195 384 -0.391  107  2.730  107 -1.150  103 -0.838    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.496 -0.469 -1.207

Northeast Conf: strength=-0.792 (#12)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Robert Morris    9  2 318 142 -0.362   75  3.962   75  0.586   80  0.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.037  0.298  0.782
Monmouth NJ      7  3 247 170 -0.672   89  3.630   89  0.106   96 -0.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.136 -0.430 -0.187
Wagner           5  5 252 232 -0.907  101  3.042  101 -0.697  100 -0.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.501 -0.286 -1.042
Cent Conn St     3  7 230 344 -0.979  110  2.636  110 -1.223  108 -1.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.723 -0.497 -1.947
St Francis PA    3  7 165 261 -1.300  111  2.407  111 -1.579  111 -1.347    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.065 -1.555 -1.140

Ohio Valley Conf: strength=0.780 (#9)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Murray St       11  2 463 206  1.325   22  5.173   22  2.238   23  2.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.359  2.250  1.906
E Illinois       8  4 378 240  1.612   30  4.963   30  1.895   26  1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.559  2.462  1.533
E Kentucky       6  5 286 184  1.284   51  4.499   51  1.205   39  1.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.134  1.508  1.755
Middle Tenn      6  5 220 206  0.993   56  4.445   56  1.123   61  1.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.970  0.732  1.370
Tennessee Tech   5  6 180 242  0.780   70  4.085   70  0.790   82  0.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.023  0.246  0.762
SE Missouri      3  8 130 287  0.743   82  3.725   82  0.266   88  0.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.794 -0.384  0.639
Tennessee St     4  7 258 268  0.651   84  3.695   84  0.217   79  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.412  0.793  0.298
Tenn-Martin      1 10 125 357  0.672   98  3.184   98 -0.490   97 -0.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.117 -0.557 -0.266
Austin Peay      1 10 149 339  0.605  100  3.110  100 -0.616   94 -0.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.118 -0.308 -0.020

Patriot League: strength=0.961 (#7)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Lehigh           5  6 208 264  1.382   48  4.526   48  1.251   55  1.188    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.222  1.176  1.200
Lafayette        5  5 192 214  1.246   50  4.505   50  1.216   52  1.205    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.075  1.008  1.401
Colgate          6  5 285 256  1.159   52  4.495   52  1.199   45  1.371    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.441  1.661  1.082
Bucknell         6  5 234 223  1.019   55  4.461   55  1.147   59  1.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.140  0.996  1.230
Fordham          2  8 172 248  1.176   86  3.662   85  0.166   70  0.798    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.055  0.578  1.019
Holy Cross       2  9 209 351  0.913   88  3.636   88  0.123   87  0.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.591  0.649 -0.378

Pioneer League: strength=-0.867 (#13)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dayton          11  0 411 186 -0.245   27  4.997   27  1.937   73  0.716    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.465  1.041  0.392
Drake            8  3 362 188 -0.515   87  3.644   87  0.129   86  0.187    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.315  0.298  0.075
Evansville       5  5 270 330 -1.294  103  2.866  103 -0.925  109 -1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.656 -0.684 -1.917
Butler           3  7 164 307 -0.907  105  2.786  105 -1.067  110 -1.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.144 -1.450 -1.228
Valparaiso       4  6 275 258 -1.064  108  2.717  108 -1.172  104 -0.869    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.413 -0.620 -1.118
San Diego        4  6 197 257 -1.208  109  2.660  109 -1.183  107 -1.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.082 -1.372 -0.996

Southern Conf: strength=2.013 (#4)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Marshall        15  0 656 210  2.463    1  6.699    1  4.094    1  3.903    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.470  4.234  3.572
E Tennessee St  10  3 378 286  2.320    4  5.850    4  3.061    8  2.491    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.338  2.634  2.347
Furman           9  4 335 301  2.204   10  5.665   10  2.765   20  2.209    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.319  2.326  2.092
Appalachian St   7  4 223 196  1.965   21  5.174   21  2.241   24  2.062    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.971  1.743  2.381
Citadel          4  7 236 335  1.919   42  4.703   42  1.435   41  1.566    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.456  1.877  1.254
Ga Southern      4  7 255 295  1.951   43  4.608   43  1.381   30  1.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.359  2.034  1.689
VMI              3  8 189 296  2.064   45  4.581   44  1.345   42  1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.140  1.424  1.656
W Carolina       4  7 232 318  1.552   54  4.464   54  1.154   54  1.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.386  1.400  0.978
Tn-Chattanooga   3  8 175 288  1.743   61  4.395   61  1.048   49  1.314    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.034  1.069  1.559

Southland Conf: strength=1.556 (#5)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Troy St         12  2 434 252  1.698   12  5.639   12  2.721   18  2.251    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.371  2.441  2.062
Nicholls St      8  4 212 235  1.387   29  4.975   29  1.913   47  1.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.605  0.640  2.030
S F Austin       7  4 310 211  1.469   35  4.854   35  1.710   35  1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.311  1.840  1.626
NW Louisiana     6  5 241 166  1.655   36  4.841   36  1.651   27  1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.963  1.591  2.248
SW Texas St      5  6 221 310  1.640   39  4.766   39  1.536   58  1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.259  1.201  1.129
Sam Houston St   4  7 238 309  1.472   59  4.418   58  1.084   57  1.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.522  1.581  0.764
McNeese St       3  8 236 225  1.672   68  4.115   68  0.841   38  1.654    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.075  1.458  1.850
Jacksonville St  1  9 177 290  1.357   90  3.593   90  0.073   71  0.776    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.333  0.914  0.639

Southwestern Athletic Conf: strength=0.101 (#11)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Jackson St      10  2 396 183  0.750   34  4.871   34  1.736   44  1.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.263  1.477  1.394
Southern U       7  5 270 195  0.764   66  4.185   66  0.872   62  0.979    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.071  0.778  1.181
Miss Valley St   7  4 180 203 -0.006   74  3.977   74  0.612   89  0.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.903 -0.331  0.458
Texas Southern   7  4 261 199  0.133   78  3.918   78  0.520   78  0.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.204  0.529  0.599
Alcorn St        4  7 199 216  0.462   92  3.535   92 -0.005   81  0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.011  0.238  0.782
Alabama St       3  8 135 248 -0.141   97  3.193   97 -0.480   99 -0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.809 -1.116 -0.125
Grambling St     3  8 161 218 -0.001   99  3.163   99 -0.534   93 -0.157    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.846 -0.613  0.299
Prairie View     0 11 131 439 -0.584  113  2.016  113 -2.037  112 -1.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.433 -1.437 -1.992

Division I-AA Independents: strength=0.911 (#8)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Youngstown St    8  3 261 131  1.866   19  5.259   19  2.273   11  2.480    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.566  1.750  3.210
Buffalo          8  3 271 241  1.638   20  5.180   20  2.250   37  1.708    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.379  1.908  1.508
W Kentucky       7  4 304 251  1.238   37  4.831   37  1.636   51  1.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.274  1.272  1.160
Cal Poly-SLO     5  6 308 356  1.587   40  4.715   40  1.454   48  1.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.569  1.802  0.843
Hofstra          5  6 203 138  1.594   44  4.584   45  1.345   32  1.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.596  1.123  2.530
St Mary's CA     7  3 312 224  0.572   49  4.510   49  1.224   63  0.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.403  1.188  0.718
Wofford          6  5 264 220  0.806   63  4.334   63  0.949   64  0.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.137  0.832  1.072
Samford          6  5 175 240  0.521   64  4.277   64  0.917   84  0.346    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  0.959  0.014  0.679
Liberty          5  6 251 261  0.979   71  4.076   71  0.775   65  0.934    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.229  0.931  0.937
Southern Utah    4  7 286 354  1.176   72  4.049   72  0.731   67  0.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.527  1.323  0.491
Towson St        6  4 234 198 -0.233   83  3.705   83  0.230   90  0.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.015 -0.229  0.305
Morehead St      6  4 308 252 -0.399   91  3.590   91  0.060   91  0.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.434  0.281 -0.276
Chas Southern    2  8 164 359 -0.207  102  2.976  102 -0.769  102 -0.817    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1      0  1.429 -0.545 -1.089

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                             W    L   PCT  RNK RATING
Atlantic 10 Conf                      72   64 0.529    1  2.359
Big Sky Conf                          57   47 0.548    2  2.219
Gateway Athletic Conf                 42   28 0.600    3  2.077
Southern Conf                         59   48 0.551    4  2.013
Southland Conf                        46   45 0.505    5  1.556
Ivy League                            41   39 0.512    6  1.241
Patriot League                        26   38 0.406    7  0.961
Division I-AA Independents            75   64 0.540    8  0.911
Ohio Valley Conf                      45   57 0.441    9  0.780
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conf             45   44 0.506   10  0.404
Southwestern Athletic Conf            41   49 0.456   11  0.101
Northeast Conf                        27   24 0.529   12 -0.792
Pioneer League                        35   27 0.565   13 -0.867
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conf          41   46 0.471   14 -1.539

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.194 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:17:32 2007

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