Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska          12  0  0 638 174  4.867    1  7.835    1  5.912    1  6.210    1 0.7059    1 0.7168    1   1250  1.570  6.714  5.705
Florida           12  1  0 558 263  4.776    2  7.671    2  5.695    3  5.570    4 0.6782    2 0.6940    2   1200  1.638  6.181  4.960
Tennessee         11  1  0 431 228  4.495    3  7.512    3  5.461    6  5.257    5 0.6779    4 0.6852    5   1062  1.477  5.623  4.891
Ohio State        11  2  0 475 220  4.791    4  7.511    4  5.427    2  5.664    3 0.6834    7 0.6568    3   1122  1.404  5.924  5.404
Northwestern      10  2  0 311 181  4.695    5  7.427    5  5.308    5  5.270    2 0.6890    5 0.6757    4   1116  1.019  5.031  5.510
Colorado          10  2  0 444 240  4.495    6  7.315    6  5.135    9  5.119    6 0.6534    6 0.6710    6   1000  1.555  5.602  4.636
Notre Dame         9  3  0 392 247  4.702    7  7.292    7  5.101    8  5.176    8 0.6409    8 0.6532    8    850  1.496  5.570  4.783
Penn. State        9  3  0 399 259  4.625    8  7.266    8  5.063   10  4.978    7 0.6475   12 0.6258    9    834  1.464  5.325  4.631
Florida State     10  2  0 563 246  4.478    9  7.260   10  5.053    4  5.359   12 0.6196    9 0.6518    7    950  1.758  6.164  4.554
Kansas State      10  2  0 456 166  4.403   10  7.198   11  4.945    7  5.245   11 0.6227   11 0.6325   12    725  1.160  5.178  5.313
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kansas            10  2  0 345 261  4.069   11  7.181    9  5.063   27  4.320    9 0.6355   10 0.6424   10    779  1.347  4.499  4.140
Michigan           9  4  0 338 223  4.580   12  7.071   12  4.892   11  4.946   10 0.6307   15 0.6120   13    653  1.190  4.917  4.975
Southern Calif.    9  2  1 355 212  4.218   13  7.024   13  4.826   12  4.732   14 0.6099   17 0.6028   14    632  1.243  4.771  4.693
Virginia Tech     10  2  0 349 165  4.079   14  7.004   14  4.796   13  4.725   16 0.6033   14 0.6125   11    755  1.068  4.544  4.906
Texas             10  2  1 390 255  4.050   15  6.933   15  4.727   20  4.483   15 0.6088   13 0.6191   15    565  1.410  4.751  4.215
Toledo            11  0  1 411 264  3.142   16  6.897   16  4.667   59  3.725   13 0.6103    3 0.6940   25     67  1.564  4.221  3.228
Texas A&M          9  3  0 327 168  4.122   17  6.878   17  4.640   17  4.595   22 0.5856   18 0.6008   16    484  1.027  4.365  4.825
Iowa               8  4  0 368 259  4.393   18  6.870   18  4.628   14  4.707   17 0.6013   31 0.5723   21    281  1.402  4.965  4.449
Oregon             9  3  0 326 272  4.036   19  6.868   19  4.625   33  4.195   18 0.5989   20 0.5947   18    327  1.406  4.457  3.932
East Carolina      9  3  0 274 226  3.936   20  6.848   20  4.596   38  4.075   20 0.5865   19 0.5980   24    110  1.135  3.976  4.174
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami (Fla.)       8  3  0 294 201  4.082   21  6.845   21  4.593   26  4.336   28 0.5735   27 0.5824   23    144  1.129  4.230  4.443
Washington         7  4  1 312 280  4.379   22  6.843   22  4.590   21  4.461   19 0.5903   22 0.5925   27     15  1.387  4.698  4.225
Virginia           9  4  0 378 270  4.175   23  6.832   23  4.575   18  4.533   26 0.5769   21 0.5942   20    298  1.411  4.804  4.263
Syracuse           9  3  0 375 213  4.014   24  6.792   24  4.517   15  4.697   23 0.5845   23 0.5893   22    177  1.309  4.826  4.569
Alabama            8  3  0 260 188  4.028   25  6.790   25  4.514   25  4.352   24 0.5832   24 0.5871   19    305  1.025  4.120  4.584
Michigan State     6  5  1 287 338  4.470   26  6.785   26  4.508   32  4.251   25 0.5817   41 0.5499   30      0  1.520  4.681  3.821
Texas Tech         9  3  0 385 247  3.820   27  6.723   27  4.415   29  4.292   29 0.5733   25 0.5870   26     56  1.508  4.704  3.880
Auburn             8  4  0 438 283  4.145   28  6.713   28  4.402   19  4.522   32 0.5671   26 0.5870   27     15  1.691  5.218  3.825
Illinois           5  5  1 193 198  4.497   29  6.682   29  4.359   22  4.449   21 0.5864   38 0.5585   30      0  0.839  4.009  4.889
Wisconsin          4  5  2 235 253  4.572   30  6.660   30  4.339   24  4.367   30 0.5701   47 0.5361   30      0  1.091  4.213  4.520
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisiana State    7  4  1 324 186  4.213   31  6.640   31  4.310   16  4.664   33 0.5600   36 0.5610   29      5  0.942  4.336  4.991
Clemson            8  4  0 303 219  3.937   32  6.634   32  4.302   35  4.175   39 0.5400   39 0.5569   30      0  0.966  3.875  4.475
UCLA               7  5  0 338 300  4.121   33  6.595   34  4.245   30  4.287   31 0.5688   29 0.5772   30      0  1.496  4.681  3.893
Stanford           7  4  1 344 307  4.008   34  6.594   33  4.274   36  4.124   34 0.5586   40 0.5547   30      0  1.588  4.657  3.591
Miami (Ohio)       8  2  1 326 165  3.612   35  6.572   35  4.241   34  4.180   27 0.5736   16 0.6118   17    473  1.089  4.024  4.336
Arkansas           8  5  0 284 283  3.960   36  6.545   36  4.200   45  3.926   35 0.5546   37 0.5596   30      0  1.147  3.842  4.009
Purdue             4  6  1 282 269  4.524   37  6.489   37  4.124   23  4.400   36 0.5518   50 0.5214   30      0  1.424  4.689  4.112
Arizona State      6  5  0 308 330  4.023   38  6.488   38  4.122   44  3.933   38 0.5450   43 0.5473   30      0  1.612  4.503  3.363
Colorado State     8  4  0 339 254  3.741   39  6.469   40  4.094   39  4.060   42 0.5377   30 0.5752   30      0  1.254  4.114  4.006
Air Force          8  5  0 401 358  3.835   40  6.462   39  4.111   41  3.963   41 0.5379   32 0.5667   30      0  1.649  4.591  3.335
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia            6  6  0 260 281  4.143   41  6.443   41  4.085   40  4.044   43 0.5370   42 0.5476   30      0  1.171  3.990  4.097
North Carolina     7  5  0 284 220  3.928   42  6.429   42  4.064   37  4.119   48 0.5214   45 0.5380   30      0  1.046  3.912  4.327
Baylor             7  4  0 273 166  3.807   43  6.407   43  4.033   28  4.293   45 0.5327   48 0.5320   30      0  0.914  3.935  4.651
Cincinnati         6  5  0 252 197  4.029   44  6.405   44  4.030   31  4.285   37 0.5489   28 0.5787   30      0  1.096  4.138  4.432
Arizona            6  5  0 207 199  3.932   45  6.397   45  4.018   47  3.903   47 0.5265   52 0.5126   30      0  0.900  3.528  4.277
Utah               7  4  0 296 230  3.682   46  6.383   47  3.996   43  3.951   44 0.5337   34 0.5653   30      0  1.200  3.935  3.968
Brigham Young      7  4  0 307 268  3.667   47  6.370   46  4.010   55  3.810   40 0.5399   33 0.5658   30      0  1.365  4.015  3.605
Mississippi        6  5  0 209 208  3.794   48  6.309   49  3.919   57  3.782   50 0.5148   55 0.5064   30      0  0.924  3.434  4.130
Oklahoma           5  5  1 233 275  3.784   49  6.304   50  3.911   62  3.623   46 0.5318   46 0.5363   30      0  1.090  3.469  3.776
Georgia Tech       6  5  0 260 243  3.790   50  6.292   51  3.894   53  3.822   53 0.5035   56 0.5058   30      0  1.192  3.795  3.849
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Maryland           6  5  0 210 251  3.738   51  6.279   48  3.921   64  3.523   57 0.4945   57 0.5039   30      0  1.070  3.345  3.701
San Diego State    8  4  0 401 283  3.432   52  6.226   52  3.846   48  3.887   49 0.5182   44 0.5441   30      0  1.514  4.307  3.466
Louisville         7  4  0 283 165  3.462   53  6.167   54  3.758   42  3.961   59 0.4932   60 0.4943   30      0  0.958  3.651  4.271
Kentucky           4  7  0 223 269  4.151   54  6.156   53  3.763   46  3.922   60 0.4924   63 0.4770   30      0  1.197  3.901  3.942
Southern Miss.     6  5  0 284 241  3.674   55  6.151   55  3.753   51  3.856   55 0.4999   53 0.5123   30      0  1.370  4.068  3.643
Texas Christian    6  5  0 217 246  3.539   56  6.141   56  3.737   68  3.461   52 0.5045   58 0.4950   30      0  1.153  3.385  3.538
Boston College     4  8  0 207 322  4.132   57  6.126   57  3.716   60  3.709   62 0.4841   65 0.4726   30      0  1.137  3.612  3.806
South Carolina     4  6  1 401 393  3.876   58  6.096   58  3.671   56  3.790   63 0.4840   62 0.4789   30      0  2.006  5.029  2.550
Nevada             9  3  0 521 375  2.865   59  6.085   59  3.652   70  3.401   51 0.5063   35 0.5616   30      0  1.888  4.429  2.373
Minnesota          3  8  0 272 368  4.329   60  6.081   60  3.651   49  3.873   54 0.5026   61 0.4847   30      0  1.708  4.597  3.150
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wyoming            6  5  0 322 264  3.544   61  6.080   61  3.647   58  3.749   58 0.4936   51 0.5158   30      0  1.440  4.061  3.438
West Virginia      5  6  0 253 210  3.806   62  6.066   62  3.629   52  3.848   64 0.4804   66 0.4680   30      0  1.080  3.681  4.015
Ball State         7  4  0 204 187  2.994   63  6.007   63  3.535   77  3.172   56 0.4971   49 0.5290   30      0  0.770  2.660  3.684
Army               5  5  1 325 211  3.547   64  5.932   65  3.419   54  3.810   74 0.4404   76 0.4364   30      0  1.259  3.870  3.750
Rutgers            4  7  0 304 412  3.700   65  5.931   64  3.420   72  3.331   73 0.4428   80 0.4269   30      0  1.899  4.378  2.284
Washington State   3  8  0 236 274  4.048   66  5.925   67  3.411   50  3.866   69 0.4542   89 0.4146   30      0  1.248  3.912  3.820
Indiana            2  9  0 159 326  4.304   67  5.924   66  3.412   66  3.513   65 0.4801   71 0.4480   30      0  1.136  3.416  3.611
Western Michigan   7  4  0 253 190  2.835   68  5.844   68  3.335   80  3.158   61 0.4868   54 0.5094   30      0  0.944  2.833  3.483
Navy               5  6  0 223 189  3.455   69  5.820   69  3.297   61  3.657   79 0.4279   94 0.3930   30      0  0.790  3.166  4.149
Mississippi State  3  8  0 261 357  3.884   70  5.765   70  3.288   67  3.484   72 0.4449   74 0.4398   30      0  1.630  4.082  2.885
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
No. Carolina St.   3  8  0 260 354  3.820   71  5.743   71  3.254   69  3.410   77 0.4324   86 0.4182   30      0  1.597  3.957  2.864
Oklahoma State     4  8  0 250 345  3.704   72  5.729   72  3.230   65  3.522   66 0.4746   64 0.4766   30      0  1.299  3.637  3.408
Duke               3  8  0 282 386  3.726   73  5.703   73  3.192   71  3.342   87 0.4104   88 0.4166   30      0  1.714  4.075  2.609
California         3  8  0 243 286  3.741   74  5.675   74  3.148   63  3.551   81 0.4269   87 0.4167   30      0  1.290  3.654  3.449
Eastern Michigan   6  5  0 363 335  2.837   75  5.657   75  3.116   84  3.036   67 0.4618   59 0.4946   30      0  1.832  3.967  2.105
Fresno State       5  7  0 371 387  3.258   76  5.654   76  3.113   74  3.208   76 0.4329   72 0.4424   30      0  1.692  3.905  2.512
Tulsa              4  7  0 233 300  3.314   77  5.653   77  3.112   85  3.030   75 0.4358   78 0.4318   30      0  1.345  3.208  2.852
New Mexico         4  7  0 256 303  3.373   78  5.651   78  3.110   75  3.184   83 0.4243   77 0.4358   30      0  1.304  3.306  3.063
Vanderbilt         2  9  0 122 281  3.874   79  5.641   79  3.097   78  3.167   71 0.4464   73 0.4416   30      0  0.688  2.574  3.760
Memphis            3  8  0 150 240  3.589   80  5.633   80  3.084   81  3.127   84 0.4223   83 0.4225   30      0  0.833  2.681  3.574
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Pittsburgh         2  9  0 217 329  3.848   81  5.601   81  3.036   73  3.303   85 0.4186   92 0.4053   30      0  1.301  3.421  3.186
SW Louisiana       6  5  0 351 275  2.811   82  5.580   82  2.998   76  3.176   82 0.4265   67 0.4544   30      0  1.531  3.622  2.730
Iowa State         3  8  0 264 409  3.455   83  5.571   83  2.987   83  3.050   68 0.4551   69 0.4514   30      0  1.641  3.666  2.435
Missouri           3  8  0 186 311  3.394   84  5.540   84  2.906   86  3.025   70 0.4481   68 0.4521   30      0  0.988  2.750  3.299
Houston            2  9  0 188 360  3.668   85  5.528   85  2.888   87  3.021   78 0.4310   75 0.4371   30      0  1.301  3.137  2.904
Hawaii             4  8  0 285 401  3.039   86  5.510   86  2.859   96  2.598   88 0.4104   90 0.4100   30      0  1.441  2.911  2.285
Louisiana Tech     5  6  0 320 371  2.766   87  5.493   87  2.828   94  2.670   86 0.4122   81 0.4265   30      0  1.690  3.364  1.977
Rice               2  8  1 215 284  3.429   88  5.474   88  2.802   79  3.159   93 0.3873   99 0.3828   30      0  1.221  3.170  3.149
Bowling Green      5  6  0 226 228  2.663   89  5.452   89  2.765   95  2.667   80 0.4273   70 0.4494   30      0  1.113  2.541  2.793
Temple             1 10  0 187 358  3.803   90  5.388   90  2.668   82  3.114   90 0.3971   97 0.3875   30      0  1.346  3.292  2.936
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
SMU                1 10  0 132 352  3.600   91  5.380   91  2.655   97  2.568   95 0.3822  101 0.3659   30      0  1.181  2.527  2.609
Pacific            3  8  0 240 439  2.982   92  5.377   92  2.647   99  2.353   94 0.3866   91 0.4061   30      0  1.562  2.845  1.861
Tulane             2  9  0 187 303  3.288   93  5.342   93  2.598   92  2.711  105 0.3450  105 0.3365   30      0  1.259  2.771  2.651
Utah State         4  7  0 293 287  2.835   94  5.317   97  2.559   88  2.984   97 0.3797   79 0.4293   30      0  1.314  3.118  2.850
New Mexico State   4  7  0 349 389  2.766   95  5.308   94  2.591   91  2.713   96 0.3805   93 0.3970   30      0  1.725  3.464  1.963
Arkansas State     6  5  0 265 270  2.192   96  5.306   95  2.587  100  2.339   92 0.3880   96 0.3888   30      0  1.073  2.164  2.514
Northern Illinois  3  8  0 220 420  2.830   97  5.297   96  2.586  101  2.319   91 0.3889   85 0.4193   30      0  1.478  2.685  1.952
Central Michigan   4  7  0 255 276  2.695   98  5.213   98  2.486   93  2.685   89 0.4043   82 0.4241   30      0  1.403  2.943  2.426
Wake Forest        1 10  0 190 360  3.459   99  5.173   99  2.458   90  2.845  102 0.3504  103 0.3511   30      0  1.348  3.027  2.664
San Jose State     3  8  0 271 378  2.728  100  5.129  100  2.388   98  2.426   98 0.3644   98 0.3860   30      0  1.491  2.813  2.040
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas-El Paso      2 10  0 263 486  2.932  101  5.080  101  2.314  102  2.224  103 0.3485  104 0.3467   30      0  1.604  2.781  1.666
Oregon State       1 10  0 136 237  3.406  102  5.045  102  2.261   89  2.958  101 0.3544  108 0.3084   30      0  0.652  2.330  3.585
NE Louisiana       2  9  0 233 413  2.741  103  5.034  103  2.240  103  2.193  106 0.3398   95 0.3912   30      0  1.502  2.595  1.791
North Texas        2  9  0 200 424  2.543  104  4.894  104  2.037  105  1.942  104 0.3453  102 0.3549   30      0  1.594  2.485  1.399
Ohio University    2  8  1 161 320  2.455  105  4.891  105  2.034  104  1.972   99 0.3635  100 0.3759   30      0  1.120  1.856  2.089
Akron              2  9  0 141 428  2.337  106  4.853  106  1.970  106  1.649  100 0.3602   84 0.4216   30      0  1.238  1.682  1.617
Nevada-Las Vegas   2  9  0 222 520  2.305  107  4.754  107  1.895  108  1.160  108 0.2998  107 0.3093   30      0  1.630  1.758  0.562
Kent State         1  9  1 128 390  2.252  108  4.672  108  1.761  107  1.398  107 0.3150  106 0.3116   30      0  1.106  1.264  1.532


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.885 (#6)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida State     10  2  0 563 246  4.478    9  7.260   10  5.053    4  5.359   12 0.6196    9 0.6518    7    950  1.758  6.164  4.554
Virginia           9  4  0 378 270  4.175   23  6.832   23  4.575   18  4.533   26 0.5769   21 0.5942   20    298  1.411  4.804  4.263
Clemson            8  4  0 303 219  3.937   32  6.634   32  4.302   35  4.175   39 0.5400   39 0.5569   30      0  0.966  3.875  4.475
North Carolina     7  5  0 284 220  3.928   42  6.429   42  4.064   37  4.119   48 0.5214   45 0.5380   30      0  1.046  3.912  4.327
Georgia Tech       6  5  0 260 243  3.790   50  6.292   51  3.894   53  3.822   53 0.5035   56 0.5058   30      0  1.192  3.795  3.849
Maryland           6  5  0 210 251  3.738   51  6.279   48  3.921   64  3.523   57 0.4945   57 0.5039   30      0  1.070  3.345  3.701
No. Carolina St.   3  8  0 260 354  3.820   71  5.743   71  3.254   69  3.410   77 0.4324   86 0.4182   30      0  1.597  3.957  2.864
Duke               3  8  0 282 386  3.726   73  5.703   73  3.192   71  3.342   87 0.4104   88 0.4166   30      0  1.714  4.075  2.609
Wake Forest        1 10  0 190 360  3.459   99  5.173   99  2.458   90  2.845  102 0.3504  103 0.3511   30      0  1.348  3.027  2.664

Big 12 Conf: strength=4.221 (#3)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska          12  0  0 638 174  4.867    1  7.835    1  5.912    1  6.210    1 0.7059    1 0.7168    1   1250  1.570  6.714  5.705
Colorado          10  2  0 444 240  4.495    6  7.315    6  5.135    9  5.119    6 0.6534    6 0.6710    6   1000  1.555  5.602  4.636
Kansas State      10  2  0 456 166  4.403   10  7.198   11  4.945    7  5.245   11 0.6227   11 0.6325   12    725  1.160  5.178  5.313
Kansas            10  2  0 345 261  4.069   11  7.181    9  5.063   27  4.320    9 0.6355   10 0.6424   10    779  1.347  4.499  4.140
Oklahoma           5  5  1 233 275  3.784   49  6.304   50  3.911   62  3.623   46 0.5318   46 0.5363   30      0  1.090  3.469  3.776
Oklahoma State     4  8  0 250 345  3.704   72  5.729   72  3.230   65  3.522   66 0.4746   64 0.4766   30      0  1.299  3.637  3.408
Iowa State         3  8  0 264 409  3.455   83  5.571   83  2.987   83  3.050   68 0.4551   69 0.4514   30      0  1.641  3.666  2.435
Missouri           3  8  0 186 311  3.394   84  5.540   84  2.906   86  3.025   70 0.4481   68 0.4521   30      0  0.988  2.750  3.299

Big 10 Conf: strength=4.672 (#1)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State        11  2  0 475 220  4.791    4  7.511    4  5.427    2  5.664    3 0.6834    7 0.6568    3   1122  1.404  5.924  5.404
Northwestern      10  2  0 311 181  4.695    5  7.427    5  5.308    5  5.270    2 0.6890    5 0.6757    4   1116  1.019  5.031  5.510
Penn. State        9  3  0 399 259  4.625    8  7.266    8  5.063   10  4.978    7 0.6475   12 0.6258    9    834  1.464  5.325  4.631
Michigan           9  4  0 338 223  4.580   12  7.071   12  4.892   11  4.946   10 0.6307   15 0.6120   13    653  1.190  4.917  4.975
Iowa               8  4  0 368 259  4.393   18  6.870   18  4.628   14  4.707   17 0.6013   31 0.5723   21    281  1.402  4.965  4.449
Michigan State     6  5  1 287 338  4.470   26  6.785   26  4.508   32  4.251   25 0.5817   41 0.5499   30      0  1.520  4.681  3.821
Illinois           5  5  1 193 198  4.497   29  6.682   29  4.359   22  4.449   21 0.5864   38 0.5585   30      0  0.839  4.009  4.889
Wisconsin          4  5  2 235 253  4.572   30  6.660   30  4.339   24  4.367   30 0.5701   47 0.5361   30      0  1.091  4.213  4.520
Purdue             4  6  1 282 269  4.524   37  6.489   37  4.124   23  4.400   36 0.5518   50 0.5214   30      0  1.424  4.689  4.112
Minnesota          3  8  0 272 368  4.329   60  6.081   60  3.651   49  3.873   54 0.5026   61 0.4847   30      0  1.708  4.597  3.150
Indiana            2  9  0 159 326  4.304   67  5.924   66  3.412   66  3.513   65 0.4801   71 0.4480   30      0  1.136  3.416  3.611

Big East Conf: strength=3.888 (#5)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Virginia Tech     10  2  0 349 165  4.079   14  7.004   14  4.796   13  4.725   16 0.6033   14 0.6125   11    755  1.068  4.544  4.906
Miami (Fla.)       8  3  0 294 201  4.082   21  6.845   21  4.593   26  4.336   28 0.5735   27 0.5824   23    144  1.129  4.230  4.443
Syracuse           9  3  0 375 213  4.014   24  6.792   24  4.517   15  4.697   23 0.5845   23 0.5893   22    177  1.309  4.826  4.569
Boston College     4  8  0 207 322  4.132   57  6.126   57  3.716   60  3.709   62 0.4841   65 0.4726   30      0  1.137  3.612  3.806
West Virginia      5  6  0 253 210  3.806   62  6.066   62  3.629   52  3.848   64 0.4804   66 0.4680   30      0  1.080  3.681  4.015
Rutgers            4  7  0 304 412  3.700   65  5.931   64  3.420   72  3.331   73 0.4428   80 0.4269   30      0  1.899  4.378  2.284
Pittsburgh         2  9  0 217 329  3.848   81  5.601   81  3.036   73  3.303   85 0.4186   92 0.4053   30      0  1.301  3.421  3.186
Temple             1 10  0 187 358  3.803   90  5.388   90  2.668   82  3.114   90 0.3971   97 0.3875   30      0  1.346  3.292  2.936

Big West: strength=2.458 (#11)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nevada             9  3  0 521 375  2.865   59  6.085   59  3.652   70  3.401   51 0.5063   35 0.5616   30      0  1.888  4.429  2.373
SW Louisiana       6  5  0 351 275  2.811   82  5.580   82  2.998   76  3.176   82 0.4265   67 0.4544   30      0  1.531  3.622  2.730
Louisiana Tech     5  6  0 320 371  2.766   87  5.493   87  2.828   94  2.670   86 0.4122   81 0.4265   30      0  1.690  3.364  1.977
Pacific            3  8  0 240 439  2.982   92  5.377   92  2.647   99  2.353   94 0.3866   91 0.4061   30      0  1.562  2.845  1.861
Utah State         4  7  0 293 287  2.835   94  5.317   97  2.559   88  2.984   97 0.3797   79 0.4293   30      0  1.314  3.118  2.850
New Mexico State   4  7  0 349 389  2.766   95  5.308   94  2.591   91  2.713   96 0.3805   93 0.3970   30      0  1.725  3.464  1.963
Arkansas State     6  5  0 265 270  2.192   96  5.306   95  2.587  100  2.339   92 0.3880   96 0.3888   30      0  1.073  2.164  2.514
Northern Illinois  3  8  0 220 420  2.830   97  5.297   96  2.586  101  2.319   91 0.3889   85 0.4193   30      0  1.478  2.685  1.952
San Jose State     3  8  0 271 378  2.728  100  5.129  100  2.388   98  2.426   98 0.3644   98 0.3860   30      0  1.491  2.813  2.040
Nevada-Las Vegas   2  9  0 222 520  2.305  107  4.754  107  1.895  108  1.160  108 0.2998  107 0.3093   30      0  1.630  1.758  0.562

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.676 (#10)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Toledo            11  0  1 411 264  3.142   16  6.897   16  4.667   59  3.725   13 0.6103    3 0.6940   25     67  1.564  4.221  3.228
Miami (Ohio)       8  2  1 326 165  3.612   35  6.572   35  4.241   34  4.180   27 0.5736   16 0.6118   17    473  1.089  4.024  4.336
Ball State         7  4  0 204 187  2.994   63  6.007   63  3.535   77  3.172   56 0.4971   49 0.5290   30      0  0.770  2.660  3.684
Western Michigan   7  4  0 253 190  2.835   68  5.844   68  3.335   80  3.158   61 0.4868   54 0.5094   30      0  0.944  2.833  3.483
Eastern Michigan   6  5  0 363 335  2.837   75  5.657   75  3.116   84  3.036   67 0.4618   59 0.4946   30      0  1.832  3.967  2.105
Bowling Green      5  6  0 226 228  2.663   89  5.452   89  2.765   95  2.667   80 0.4273   70 0.4494   30      0  1.113  2.541  2.793
Central Michigan   4  7  0 255 276  2.695   98  5.213   98  2.486   93  2.685   89 0.4043   82 0.4241   30      0  1.403  2.943  2.426
Ohio University    2  8  1 161 320  2.455  105  4.891  105  2.034  104  1.972   99 0.3635  100 0.3759   30      0  1.120  1.856  2.089
Akron              2  9  0 141 428  2.337  106  4.853  106  1.970  106  1.649  100 0.3602   84 0.4216   30      0  1.238  1.682  1.617
Kent State         1  9  1 128 390  2.252  108  4.672  108  1.761  107  1.398  107 0.3150  106 0.3116   30      0  1.106  1.264  1.532

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.044 (#4)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Calif.    9  2  1 355 212  4.218   13  7.024   13  4.826   12  4.732   14 0.6099   17 0.6028   14    632  1.243  4.771  4.693
Oregon             9  3  0 326 272  4.036   19  6.868   19  4.625   33  4.195   18 0.5989   20 0.5947   18    327  1.406  4.457  3.932
Washington         7  4  1 312 280  4.379   22  6.843   22  4.590   21  4.461   19 0.5903   22 0.5925   27     15  1.387  4.698  4.225
UCLA               7  5  0 338 300  4.121   33  6.595   34  4.245   30  4.287   31 0.5688   29 0.5772   30      0  1.496  4.681  3.893
Stanford           7  4  1 344 307  4.008   34  6.594   33  4.274   36  4.124   34 0.5586   40 0.5547   30      0  1.588  4.657  3.591
Arizona State      6  5  0 308 330  4.023   38  6.488   38  4.122   44  3.933   38 0.5450   43 0.5473   30      0  1.612  4.503  3.363
Arizona            6  5  0 207 199  3.932   45  6.397   45  4.018   47  3.903   47 0.5265   52 0.5126   30      0  0.900  3.528  4.277
Washington State   3  8  0 236 274  4.048   66  5.925   67  3.411   50  3.866   69 0.4542   89 0.4146   30      0  1.248  3.912  3.820
California         3  8  0 243 286  3.741   74  5.675   74  3.148   63  3.551   81 0.4269   87 0.4167   30      0  1.290  3.654  3.449
Oregon State       1 10  0 136 237  3.406  102  5.045  102  2.261   89  2.958  101 0.3544  108 0.3084   30      0  0.652  2.330  3.585

Southeastern Conf: strength=4.223 (#2)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida           12  1  0 558 263  4.776    2  7.671    2  5.695    3  5.570    4 0.6782    2 0.6940    2   1200  1.638  6.181  4.960
Tennessee         11  1  0 431 228  4.495    3  7.512    3  5.461    6  5.257    5 0.6779    4 0.6852    5   1062  1.477  5.623  4.891
Alabama            8  3  0 260 188  4.028   25  6.790   25  4.514   25  4.352   24 0.5832   24 0.5871   19    305  1.025  4.120  4.584
Auburn             8  4  0 438 283  4.145   28  6.713   28  4.402   19  4.522   32 0.5671   26 0.5870   27     15  1.691  5.218  3.825
Louisiana State    7  4  1 324 186  4.213   31  6.640   31  4.310   16  4.664   33 0.5600   36 0.5610   29      5  0.942  4.336  4.991
Arkansas           8  5  0 284 283  3.960   36  6.545   36  4.200   45  3.926   35 0.5546   37 0.5596   30      0  1.147  3.842  4.009
Georgia            6  6  0 260 281  4.143   41  6.443   41  4.085   40  4.044   43 0.5370   42 0.5476   30      0  1.171  3.990  4.097
Mississippi        6  5  0 209 208  3.794   48  6.309   49  3.919   57  3.782   50 0.5148   55 0.5064   30      0  0.924  3.434  4.130
Kentucky           4  7  0 223 269  4.151   54  6.156   53  3.763   46  3.922   60 0.4924   63 0.4770   30      0  1.197  3.901  3.942
South Carolina     4  6  1 401 393  3.876   58  6.096   58  3.671   56  3.790   63 0.4840   62 0.4789   30      0  2.006  5.029  2.550
Mississippi State  3  8  0 261 357  3.884   70  5.765   70  3.288   67  3.484   72 0.4449   74 0.4398   30      0  1.630  4.082  2.885
Vanderbilt         2  9  0 122 281  3.874   79  5.641   79  3.097   78  3.167   71 0.4464   73 0.4416   30      0  0.688  2.574  3.760

Southwest Conf: strength=3.754 (#7)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas             10  2  1 390 255  4.050   15  6.933   15  4.727   20  4.483   15 0.6088   13 0.6191   15    565  1.410  4.751  4.215
Texas A&M          9  3  0 327 168  4.122   17  6.878   17  4.640   17  4.595   22 0.5856   18 0.6008   16    484  1.027  4.365  4.825
Texas Tech         9  3  0 385 247  3.820   27  6.723   27  4.415   29  4.292   29 0.5733   25 0.5870   26     56  1.508  4.704  3.880
Baylor             7  4  0 273 166  3.807   43  6.407   43  4.033   28  4.293   45 0.5327   48 0.5320   30      0  0.914  3.935  4.651
Texas Christian    6  5  0 217 246  3.539   56  6.141   56  3.737   68  3.461   52 0.5045   58 0.4950   30      0  1.153  3.385  3.538
Houston            2  9  0 188 360  3.668   85  5.528   85  2.888   87  3.021   78 0.4310   75 0.4371   30      0  1.301  3.137  2.904
Rice               2  8  1 215 284  3.429   88  5.474   88  2.802   79  3.159   93 0.3873   99 0.3828   30      0  1.221  3.170  3.149
SMU                1 10  0 132 352  3.600   91  5.380   91  2.655   97  2.568   95 0.3822  101 0.3659   30      0  1.181  2.527  2.609

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.479 (#9)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado State     8  4  0 339 254  3.741   39  6.469   40  4.094   39  4.060   42 0.5377   30 0.5752   30      0  1.254  4.114  4.006
Air Force          8  5  0 401 358  3.835   40  6.462   39  4.111   41  3.963   41 0.5379   32 0.5667   30      0  1.649  4.591  3.335
Utah               7  4  0 296 230  3.682   46  6.383   47  3.996   43  3.951   44 0.5337   34 0.5653   30      0  1.200  3.935  3.968
Brigham Young      7  4  0 307 268  3.667   47  6.370   46  4.010   55  3.810   40 0.5399   33 0.5658   30      0  1.365  4.015  3.605
San Diego State    8  4  0 401 283  3.432   52  6.226   52  3.846   48  3.887   49 0.5182   44 0.5441   30      0  1.514  4.307  3.466
Wyoming            6  5  0 322 264  3.544   61  6.080   61  3.647   58  3.749   58 0.4936   51 0.5158   30      0  1.440  4.061  3.438
Fresno State       5  7  0 371 387  3.258   76  5.654   76  3.113   74  3.208   76 0.4329   72 0.4424   30      0  1.692  3.905  2.512
New Mexico         4  7  0 256 303  3.373   78  5.651   78  3.110   75  3.184   83 0.4243   77 0.4358   30      0  1.304  3.306  3.063
Hawaii             4  8  0 285 401  3.039   86  5.510   86  2.859   96  2.598   88 0.4104   90 0.4100   30      0  1.441  2.911  2.285
Texas-El Paso      2 10  0 263 486  2.932  101  5.080  101  2.314  102  2.224  103 0.3485  104 0.3467   30      0  1.604  2.781  1.666

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.480 (#8)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame         9  3  0 392 247  4.702    7  7.292    7  5.101    8  5.176    8 0.6409    8 0.6532    8    850  1.496  5.570  4.783
East Carolina      9  3  0 274 226  3.936   20  6.848   20  4.596   38  4.075   20 0.5865   19 0.5980   24    110  1.135  3.976  4.174
Cincinnati         6  5  0 252 197  4.029   44  6.405   44  4.030   31  4.285   37 0.5489   28 0.5787   30      0  1.096  4.138  4.432
Louisville         7  4  0 283 165  3.462   53  6.167   54  3.758   42  3.961   59 0.4932   60 0.4943   30      0  0.958  3.651  4.271
Southern Miss.     6  5  0 284 241  3.674   55  6.151   55  3.753   51  3.856   55 0.4999   53 0.5123   30      0  1.370  4.068  3.643
Army               5  5  1 325 211  3.547   64  5.932   65  3.419   54  3.810   74 0.4404   76 0.4364   30      0  1.259  3.870  3.750
Navy               5  6  0 223 189  3.455   69  5.820   69  3.297   61  3.657   79 0.4279   94 0.3930   30      0  0.790  3.166  4.149
Tulsa              4  7  0 233 300  3.314   77  5.653   77  3.112   85  3.030   75 0.4358   78 0.4318   30      0  1.345  3.208  2.852
Memphis            3  8  0 150 240  3.589   80  5.633   80  3.084   81  3.127   84 0.4223   83 0.4225   30      0  0.833  2.681  3.574
Tulane             2  9  0 187 303  3.288   93  5.342   93  2.598   92  2.711  105 0.3450  105 0.3365   30      0  1.259  2.771  2.651
NE Louisiana       2  9  0 233 413  2.741  103  5.034  103  2.240  103  2.193  106 0.3398   95 0.3912   30      0  1.502  2.595  1.791
North Texas        2  9  0 200 424  2.543  104  4.894  104  2.037  105  1.942  104 0.3453  102 0.3549   30      0  1.594  2.485  1.399

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                             W    L    T   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 10 Conf                           71   53    5 0.570    1  4.672
Southeastern Conf                     79   59    2 0.571    2  4.223
Big 12 Conf                           57   35    1 0.618    3  4.221
Pacific 10 Conf                       58   54    3 0.517    4  4.044
Big East Conf                         43   48    0 0.473    5  3.888
Atlantic Coast Conf                   53   51    0 0.510    6  3.885
Southwest Conf                        46   44    2 0.511    7  3.754
Division I-A Independents             60   73    1 0.451    8  3.480
Western Athletic Conf                 59   58    0 0.504    9  3.479
Mid-American Conf                     53   54    4 0.495   10  2.676
Big West                              45   66    0 0.405   11  2.458

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.191 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:17:21 2007

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