Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX       9  2  993  862  0.235  5.751    1  0.703    1  0.670    1  0.843    1 0.5670    6  3.679    1  0.892    1  0.795 P
DREAM      7  3  858  793  0.341  5.714    2  0.533    2  0.526    2  0.523    2 0.5521   14  3.621    5  0.321    2  0.726 P
WINGS      7  3  894  830  0.258  5.529    3  0.444    3  0.466    3  0.457    3 0.5469    4  3.709    2  0.642    5  0.273 P
ACES       7  3  891  849 -0.036  4.558    4  0.287    4  0.320    5  0.220    4 0.5243    5  3.706    4  0.392    6  0.048 P
LIBERTY    7  4  959  906 -0.074  4.914    5  0.155    5  0.176    6  0.215    5 0.5100    9  3.653    8  0.150    4  0.281 P
VALKYRIES  6  5  944  885  0.083  5.471    6  0.108    6  0.102    4  0.322    6 0.4955   12  3.645    7  0.220    3  0.424 P
FEVER      5  5  892  866  0.075  5.095    7  0.029    7  0.037    7  0.171    7 0.4898    3  3.729    3  0.448    9 -0.106 P
FIRE       6  6  985 1024 -0.054  5.971    8 -0.062    8  0.000   11 -0.227    8 0.4798    8  3.654   12 -0.289   11 -0.165 P
SKY        4  6  819  860  0.132  5.696    9 -0.081    9 -0.043    9 -0.177    9 0.4763    7  3.655   11 -0.233   10 -0.120 P
TEMPO      5  5  888  898 -0.225  4.187   10 -0.141   10 -0.135   10 -0.205   10 0.4710    1  3.775    6  0.285   13 -0.694 P
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MYSTICS    4  5  751  791 -0.115  4.281   11 -0.145   11 -0.145   12 -0.286   11 0.4680   10  3.649   13 -0.370   12 -0.203 P
MERCURY    4  8  980 1019  0.143  6.725   12 -0.209   12 -0.210    8 -0.090   13 0.4612   11  3.647   10 -0.182    7  0.002 P
SPARKS     4  6  887  930 -0.090  4.853   13 -0.219   13 -0.221   13 -0.290   12 0.4634    2  3.763    9  0.142   14 -0.723 P
STORM      3  9  900  982 -0.344  5.153   14 -0.619   14 -0.654   14 -0.608   14 0.4090   15  3.530   15 -1.198    8 -0.019 P
SUN        2 10  911 1057 -0.297  5.396   15 -0.783   15 -0.764   15 -0.865   15 0.3967   13  3.642   14 -0.980   15 -0.751 P

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX       9  2  993  862  0.235  5.751    1  0.703    1  0.670    1  0.843    1 0.5670    6  3.679    1  0.892    1  0.795 P
WINGS      7  3  894  830  0.258  5.529    3  0.444    3  0.466    3  0.457    3 0.5469    4  3.709    2  0.642    5  0.273 P
ACES       7  3  891  849 -0.036  4.558    4  0.287    4  0.320    5  0.220    4 0.5243    5  3.706    4  0.392    6  0.048 P
VALKYRIES  6  5  944  885  0.083  5.471    6  0.108    6  0.102    4  0.322    6 0.4955   12  3.645    7  0.220    3  0.424 P
FIRE       6  6  985 1024 -0.054  5.971    8 -0.062    8  0.000   11 -0.227    8 0.4798    8  3.654   12 -0.289   11 -0.165 P
MERCURY    4  8  980 1019  0.143  6.725   12 -0.209   12 -0.210    8 -0.090   13 0.4612   11  3.647   10 -0.182    7  0.002 P
SPARKS     4  6  887  930 -0.090  4.853   13 -0.219   13 -0.221   13 -0.290   12 0.4634    2  3.763    9  0.142   14 -0.723 P
STORM      3  9  900  982 -0.344  5.153   14 -0.619   14 -0.654   14 -0.608   14 0.4090   15  3.530   15 -1.198    8 -0.019 P

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DREAM      7  3  858  793  0.341  5.714    2  0.533    2  0.526    2  0.523    2 0.5521   14  3.621    5  0.321    2  0.726 P
LIBERTY    7  4  959  906 -0.074  4.914    5  0.155    5  0.176    6  0.215    5 0.5100    9  3.653    8  0.150    4  0.281 P
FEVER      5  5  892  866  0.075  5.095    7  0.029    7  0.037    7  0.171    7 0.4898    3  3.729    3  0.448    9 -0.106 P
SKY        4  6  819  860  0.132  5.696    9 -0.081    9 -0.043    9 -0.177    9 0.4763    7  3.655   11 -0.233   10 -0.120 P
TEMPO      5  5  888  898 -0.225  4.187   10 -0.141   10 -0.135   10 -0.205   10 0.4710    1  3.775    6  0.285   13 -0.694 P
MYSTICS    4  5  751  791 -0.115  4.281   11 -0.145   11 -0.145   12 -0.286   11 0.4680   10  3.649   13 -0.370   12 -0.203 P
SUN        2 10  911 1057 -0.297  5.396   15 -0.783   15 -0.764   15 -0.865   15 0.3967   13  3.642   14 -0.980   15 -0.751 P

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 46 42 0.523    1  0.111
EASTERN CONFERENCE 34 38 0.472    2 -0.091

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.333 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.033 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Jun  7 05:30:08 2026
games through: Sat Jun  6 2026

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