Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             58 28 287 207  0.006 42.667    1  0.281    1  0.294    1  0.284    1 0.5421   30  0.942    9  0.137    1  0.431
MAPLE LEAFS      55 32 283 245  0.001 43.328    2  0.227    2  0.220   10  0.112    2 0.5321   15  1.073   11  0.117   13  0.106
CAPITALS         54 32 302 243 -0.008 42.391    3  0.217    3  0.206    4  0.189    3 0.5301    7  1.144    2  0.282   14  0.095
STARS            53 34 290 239  0.003 43.244    4  0.197    4  0.183    5  0.180    4 0.5264   16  1.073    6  0.185    8  0.175
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   53 34 290 236 -0.009 42.866    5  0.191    5  0.177    3  0.200    5 0.5263   17  1.072    5  0.204    5  0.195
AVALANCHE        51 36 292 247  0.009 43.515    6  0.155    6  0.147    6  0.157    6 0.5216   10  1.129    4  0.232   15  0.082
OILERS           51 36 280 256  0.004 43.484    7  0.151    7  0.146   12  0.073    7 0.5207   12  1.116   10  0.132   16  0.015
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.003 43.334    8  0.151    8  0.145    8  0.143    8 0.5204   14  1.092    8  0.171   12  0.114
PANTHERS         50 36 265 232  0.014 43.266    9  0.149    9  0.144    9  0.115    9 0.5201   26  0.970   15 -0.001    3  0.231
KINGS            50 37 270 227 -0.006 43.019   10  0.115   10  0.118    7  0.150   10 0.5178   28  0.948   14  0.009    2  0.291
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 38 303 232  0.007 42.773   11  0.093   11  0.098    2  0.250   11 0.5150   11  1.124    1  0.318    6  0.181
WILD             47 40 245 254  0.013 43.979   12  0.062   12  0.076   17 -0.020   13 0.5107   29  0.946   26 -0.163   11  0.123
SENATORS         47 40 257 249  0.006 43.612   13  0.056   13  0.069   14  0.045   12 0.5110   27  0.962   19 -0.081    9  0.170
BLUES            46 40 270 243  0.016 43.313   14  0.055   14  0.066   11  0.101   14 0.5100   20  1.037   13  0.063   10  0.138
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.010 43.722   15 -0.001   15 -0.007   13  0.054   15 0.4996   31  0.932   22 -0.104    4  0.213
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.014 40.607   16 -0.004   16 -0.009   18 -0.037   16 0.4983   32  0.884   29 -0.249    7  0.176
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.002 40.926   17 -0.012   17 -0.022   16 -0.012   17 0.4968    2  1.225    7  0.185   27 -0.208
CANADIENS        41 45 256 279  0.010 43.424   18 -0.020   18 -0.032   20 -0.047   18 0.4959   13  1.102   16 -0.006   23 -0.089
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.001 41.159   19 -0.028   19 -0.040   22 -0.076   19 0.4943   18  1.058   21 -0.088   20 -0.064
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.005 40.787   20 -0.028   20 -0.045   15  0.024   20 0.4935    8  1.142   12  0.115   21 -0.066
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.001 41.025   21 -0.045   21 -0.062   19 -0.041   21 0.4910   22  1.035   20 -0.082   18 -0.001
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.014 40.647   22 -0.053   22 -0.070   21 -0.056   22 0.4896   23  1.013   24 -0.122   17  0.010
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.005 40.966   23 -0.093   23 -0.104   23 -0.086   23 0.4850    1  1.323    3  0.241   31 -0.413
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.001 41.245   24 -0.117   24 -0.121   27 -0.164   24 0.4823   25  0.994   30 -0.252   22 -0.076
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.007 40.974   25 -0.121   25 -0.124   25 -0.128   25 0.4816   24  0.995   28 -0.215   19 -0.041
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.010 40.851   26 -0.125   26 -0.129   24 -0.107   26 0.4813    6  1.146   17 -0.011   26 -0.202
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.003 41.183   27 -0.147   27 -0.143   29 -0.198   27 0.4789    3  1.194   18 -0.042   29 -0.355
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.004 41.376   28 -0.164   28 -0.160   26 -0.159   28 0.4769   19  1.038   27 -0.195   24 -0.123
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.004 41.152   29 -0.170   29 -0.164   28 -0.195   29 0.4760    9  1.141   23 -0.106   28 -0.285
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.000 41.415   30 -0.226   30 -0.222   30 -0.236   30 0.4676   21  1.036   32 -0.275   25 -0.197
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.006 41.229   31 -0.307   31 -0.326   31 -0.256   31 0.4525    4  1.171   25 -0.129   30 -0.384
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.007 41.398   32 -0.440   32 -0.433   32 -0.377   32 0.4377    5  1.152   31 -0.273   32 -0.480

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   53 34 290 236 -0.009 42.866    5  0.191    5  0.177    3  0.200    5 0.5263   17  1.072    5  0.204    5  0.195
OILERS           51 36 280 256  0.004 43.484    7  0.151    7  0.146   12  0.073    7 0.5207   12  1.116   10  0.132   16  0.015
KINGS            50 37 270 227 -0.006 43.019   10  0.115   10  0.118    7  0.150   10 0.5178   28  0.948   14  0.009    2  0.291
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.014 40.607   16 -0.004   16 -0.009   18 -0.037   16 0.4983   32  0.884   29 -0.249    7  0.176
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.014 40.647   22 -0.053   22 -0.070   21 -0.056   22 0.4896   23  1.013   24 -0.122   17  0.010
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.001 41.245   24 -0.117   24 -0.121   27 -0.164   24 0.4823   25  0.994   30 -0.252   22 -0.076
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.010 40.851   26 -0.125   26 -0.129   24 -0.107   26 0.4813    6  1.146   17 -0.011   26 -0.202
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.007 41.398   32 -0.440   32 -0.433   32 -0.377   32 0.4377    5  1.152   31 -0.273   32 -0.480

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             58 28 287 207  0.006 42.667    1  0.281    1  0.294    1  0.284    1 0.5421   30  0.942    9  0.137    1  0.431
STARS            53 34 290 239  0.003 43.244    4  0.197    4  0.183    5  0.180    4 0.5264   16  1.073    6  0.185    8  0.175
AVALANCHE        51 36 292 247  0.009 43.515    6  0.155    6  0.147    6  0.157    6 0.5216   10  1.129    4  0.232   15  0.082
WILD             47 40 245 254  0.013 43.979   12  0.062   12  0.076   17 -0.020   13 0.5107   29  0.946   26 -0.163   11  0.123
BLUES            46 40 270 243  0.016 43.313   14  0.055   14  0.066   11  0.101   14 0.5100   20  1.037   13  0.063   10  0.138
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.001 41.025   21 -0.045   21 -0.062   19 -0.041   21 0.4910   22  1.035   20 -0.082   18 -0.001
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.000 41.415   30 -0.226   30 -0.222   30 -0.236   30 0.4676   21  1.036   32 -0.275   25 -0.197
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.006 41.229   31 -0.307   31 -0.326   31 -0.256   31 0.4525    4  1.171   25 -0.129   30 -0.384

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         54 32 302 243 -0.008 42.391    3  0.217    3  0.206    4  0.189    3 0.5301    7  1.144    2  0.282   14  0.095
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.003 43.334    8  0.151    8  0.145    8  0.143    8 0.5204   14  1.092    8  0.171   12  0.114
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.010 43.722   15 -0.001   15 -0.007   13  0.054   15 0.4996   31  0.932   22 -0.104    4  0.213
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.002 40.926   17 -0.012   17 -0.022   16 -0.012   17 0.4968    2  1.225    7  0.185   27 -0.208
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.005 40.787   20 -0.028   20 -0.045   15  0.024   20 0.4935    8  1.142   12  0.115   21 -0.066
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.007 40.974   25 -0.121   25 -0.124   25 -0.128   25 0.4816   24  0.995   28 -0.215   19 -0.041
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.003 41.183   27 -0.147   27 -0.143   29 -0.198   27 0.4789    3  1.194   18 -0.042   29 -0.355
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.004 41.152   29 -0.170   29 -0.164   28 -0.195   29 0.4760    9  1.141   23 -0.106   28 -0.285

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      55 32 283 245  0.001 43.328    2  0.227    2  0.220   10  0.112    2 0.5321   15  1.073   11  0.117   13  0.106
PANTHERS         50 36 265 232  0.014 43.266    9  0.149    9  0.144    9  0.115    9 0.5201   26  0.970   15 -0.001    3  0.231
LIGHTNING        48 38 303 232  0.007 42.773   11  0.093   11  0.098    2  0.250   11 0.5150   11  1.124    1  0.318    6  0.181
SENATORS         47 40 257 249  0.006 43.612   13  0.056   13  0.069   14  0.045   12 0.5110   27  0.962   19 -0.081    9  0.170
CANADIENS        41 45 256 279  0.010 43.424   18 -0.020   18 -0.032   20 -0.047   18 0.4959   13  1.102   16 -0.006   23 -0.089
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.001 41.159   19 -0.028   19 -0.040   22 -0.076   19 0.4943   18  1.058   21 -0.088   20 -0.064
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.005 40.966   23 -0.093   23 -0.104   23 -0.086   23 0.4850    1  1.323    3  0.241   31 -0.413
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.004 41.376   28 -0.164   28 -0.160   26 -0.159   28 0.4769   19  1.038   27 -0.195   24 -0.123

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      348 331 0.513    1  0.029
ATLANTIC DIVISION     349 329 0.515    2  0.026
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 329 341 0.491    3 -0.020
PACIFIC DIVISION      323 348 0.481    4 -0.052

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.139 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Apr 30 05:30:13 2025
games through: Tue Apr 29 2025

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