Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.013 47.661    1  0.262    1  0.269    1  0.274    1 0.5377   31  0.930   11  0.112    1  0.436
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.015 48.105    2  0.225    2  0.215   12  0.093    2 0.5308   14  1.081   12  0.107   14  0.079
PANTHERS         62 42 341 278  0.040 53.491    3  0.220    4  0.194    3  0.205    3 0.5279   23  1.025    7  0.153    3  0.258
OILERS           62 41 340 304  0.031 52.737    4  0.219    3  0.199   10  0.125    4 0.5275    8  1.142    4  0.215   16  0.035
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.008 45.622    5  0.194    5  0.175    5  0.160    5 0.5254   12  1.107    5  0.206   12  0.114
STARS            59 41 322 284  0.028 51.030    6  0.193    6  0.173    9  0.132    6 0.5248   15  1.074    9  0.137   10  0.126
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.006 46.181    7  0.164    7  0.150    4  0.171    7 0.5227   19  1.047    8  0.145    5  0.198
HURRICANES       56 41 310 272  0.021 49.261    8  0.159    8  0.145    8  0.139    9 0.5202   16  1.066   10  0.136    9  0.143
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.002 44.486    9  0.149    9  0.138    6  0.149    8 0.5207    6  1.147    2  0.244   15  0.053
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.005 43.744   10  0.105   10  0.105    7  0.141   10 0.5163   27  0.963   15  0.017    2  0.265
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.008 43.531   11  0.085   11  0.086    2  0.238   11 0.5132   11  1.133    1  0.317    7  0.159
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.021 45.197   12  0.052   13  0.056   11  0.102   13 0.5086   18  1.055   14  0.086   11  0.119
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.004 44.386   13  0.049   12  0.058   17 -0.032   14 0.5082   29  0.944   26 -0.178   13  0.114
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.002 44.061   14  0.045   14  0.051   14  0.029   12 0.5088   28  0.962   20 -0.096    8  0.155
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.003 43.687   15  0.001   15 -0.014   13  0.047   15 0.4987   30  0.935   22 -0.110    4  0.204
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.022 40.544   16 -0.003   16 -0.017   18 -0.045   16 0.4974   32  0.884   29 -0.258    6  0.169
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.009 40.899   17 -0.012   17 -0.029   16 -0.019   17 0.4958    2  1.225    6  0.177   27 -0.214
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.007 44.044   18 -0.024   18 -0.046   20 -0.063   18 0.4941   13  1.099   17 -0.027   23 -0.099
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.006 41.123   19 -0.028   19 -0.048   22 -0.084   19 0.4933   17  1.058   21 -0.097   20 -0.070
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.011 40.767   20 -0.028   20 -0.052   15  0.017   20 0.4927   10  1.141   13  0.105   21 -0.071
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.010 40.949   21 -0.047   21 -0.071   19 -0.050   21 0.4900   22  1.033   19 -0.093   18 -0.006
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.022 40.585   22 -0.055   22 -0.077   21 -0.064   22 0.4887   24  1.012   24 -0.132   17  0.004
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.011 40.984   23 -0.095   23 -0.111   23 -0.092   23 0.4842    1  1.322    3  0.232   31 -0.417
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.008 41.209   24 -0.120   24 -0.129   27 -0.171   24 0.4814   26  0.993   30 -0.262   22 -0.081
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.014 40.957   25 -0.123   25 -0.131   25 -0.135   25 0.4808   25  0.994   28 -0.224   19 -0.046
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.017 40.825   26 -0.128   26 -0.136   24 -0.114   26 0.4804    7  1.145   16 -0.020   26 -0.208
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.010 41.151   27 -0.149   27 -0.151   29 -0.206   27 0.4780    3  1.194   18 -0.050   29 -0.362
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.002 41.388   28 -0.165   28 -0.166   26 -0.165   28 0.4761   20  1.037   27 -0.203   24 -0.127
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.011 41.123   29 -0.171   29 -0.171   28 -0.203   29 0.4751    9  1.142   23 -0.114   28 -0.292
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.008 41.338   30 -0.225   30 -0.230   30 -0.244   30 0.4666   21  1.033   32 -0.287   25 -0.201
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.014 41.151   31 -0.308   31 -0.334   31 -0.265   31 0.4515    4  1.170   25 -0.140   30 -0.390
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.014 41.373   32 -0.439   32 -0.441   32 -0.385   32 0.4368    5  1.151   31 -0.284   32 -0.485

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS           62 41 340 304  0.031 52.737    4  0.219    3  0.199   10  0.125    4 0.5275    8  1.142    4  0.215   16  0.035
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.006 46.181    7  0.164    7  0.150    4  0.171    7 0.5227   19  1.047    8  0.145    5  0.198
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.005 43.744   10  0.105   10  0.105    7  0.141   10 0.5163   27  0.963   15  0.017    2  0.265
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.022 40.544   16 -0.003   16 -0.017   18 -0.045   16 0.4974   32  0.884   29 -0.258    6  0.169
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.022 40.585   22 -0.055   22 -0.077   21 -0.064   22 0.4887   24  1.012   24 -0.132   17  0.004
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.008 41.209   24 -0.120   24 -0.129   27 -0.171   24 0.4814   26  0.993   30 -0.262   22 -0.081
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.017 40.825   26 -0.128   26 -0.136   24 -0.114   26 0.4804    7  1.145   16 -0.020   26 -0.208
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.014 41.373   32 -0.439   32 -0.441   32 -0.385   32 0.4368    5  1.151   31 -0.284   32 -0.485

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.013 47.661    1  0.262    1  0.269    1  0.274    1 0.5377   31  0.930   11  0.112    1  0.436
STARS            59 41 322 284  0.028 51.030    6  0.193    6  0.173    9  0.132    6 0.5248   15  1.074    9  0.137   10  0.126
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.002 44.486    9  0.149    9  0.138    6  0.149    8 0.5207    6  1.147    2  0.244   15  0.053
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.021 45.197   12  0.052   13  0.056   11  0.102   13 0.5086   18  1.055   14  0.086   11  0.119
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.004 44.386   13  0.049   12  0.058   17 -0.032   14 0.5082   29  0.944   26 -0.178   13  0.114
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.010 40.949   21 -0.047   21 -0.071   19 -0.050   21 0.4900   22  1.033   19 -0.093   18 -0.006
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.008 41.338   30 -0.225   30 -0.230   30 -0.244   30 0.4666   21  1.033   32 -0.287   25 -0.201
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.014 41.151   31 -0.308   31 -0.334   31 -0.265   31 0.4515    4  1.170   25 -0.140   30 -0.390

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.008 45.622    5  0.194    5  0.175    5  0.160    5 0.5254   12  1.107    5  0.206   12  0.114
HURRICANES       56 41 310 272  0.021 49.261    8  0.159    8  0.145    8  0.139    9 0.5202   16  1.066   10  0.136    9  0.143
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.003 43.687   15  0.001   15 -0.014   13  0.047   15 0.4987   30  0.935   22 -0.110    4  0.204
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.009 40.899   17 -0.012   17 -0.029   16 -0.019   17 0.4958    2  1.225    6  0.177   27 -0.214
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.011 40.767   20 -0.028   20 -0.052   15  0.017   20 0.4927   10  1.141   13  0.105   21 -0.071
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.014 40.957   25 -0.123   25 -0.131   25 -0.135   25 0.4808   25  0.994   28 -0.224   19 -0.046
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.010 41.151   27 -0.149   27 -0.151   29 -0.206   27 0.4780    3  1.194   18 -0.050   29 -0.362
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.011 41.123   29 -0.171   29 -0.171   28 -0.203   29 0.4751    9  1.142   23 -0.114   28 -0.292

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.015 48.105    2  0.225    2  0.215   12  0.093    2 0.5308   14  1.081   12  0.107   14  0.079
PANTHERS         62 42 341 278  0.040 53.491    3  0.220    4  0.194    3  0.205    3 0.5279   23  1.025    7  0.153    3  0.258
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.008 43.531   11  0.085   11  0.086    2  0.238   11 0.5132   11  1.133    1  0.317    7  0.159
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.002 44.061   14  0.045   14  0.051   14  0.029   12 0.5088   28  0.962   20 -0.096    8  0.155
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.007 44.044   18 -0.024   18 -0.046   20 -0.063   18 0.4941   13  1.099   17 -0.027   23 -0.099
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.006 41.123   19 -0.028   19 -0.048   22 -0.084   19 0.4933   17  1.058   21 -0.097   20 -0.070
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.011 40.984   23 -0.095   23 -0.111   23 -0.092   23 0.4842    1  1.322    3  0.232   31 -0.417
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.002 41.388   28 -0.165   28 -0.166   26 -0.165   28 0.4761   20  1.037   27 -0.203   24 -0.127

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     365 342 0.516    1  0.028
CENTRAL DIVISION      360 347 0.509    2  0.012
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 336 350 0.490    3 -0.031
PACIFIC DIVISION      336 358 0.484    4 -0.055

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.140 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Jun 15 05:30:13 2025
games through: Sat Jun 14 2025

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