Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DEVILS         8 1 35 22  0.032  4.502    1  0.050    1  0.048    2  0.044    1 0.5674   16  1.106   14  0.069   16  0.018 P
MAMMOTH        8 2 37 24 -0.020  4.843    2  0.037    2  0.038    6  0.024    3 0.5431   19  1.045   18 -0.024   13  0.072 P
HURRICANES     6 2 31 22  0.096  4.231    3  0.033    3  0.034    3  0.040    2 0.5562   14  1.137   12  0.104   19 -0.025 P
CANADIENS      7 3 36 30 -0.075  4.689    4  0.020    4  0.022   13  0.003    5 0.5257    8  1.290    8  0.265   25 -0.260 P
PENGUINS       7 3 38 27 -0.111  4.471    5  0.020    5  0.021    4  0.031    6 0.5228   11  1.177    9  0.145   21 -0.084 P
JETS           6 3 30 22 -0.065  4.202    6  0.019    6  0.020    5  0.028    4 0.5264   15  1.118   15  0.069   18 -0.013 P
CAPITALS       6 3 27 21 -0.067  4.216    7  0.017    7  0.018    7  0.021    8 0.5191   28  0.844   26 -0.254    4  0.297 P
RED WINGS      6 3 30 29 -0.054  4.324    8  0.016    8  0.017   21 -0.008    7 0.5192   13  1.139   16  0.059   20 -0.075 P
STARS          5 4 28 30  0.013  4.560    9  0.010    9  0.011   14  0.002   11 0.5127   12  1.164   13  0.100   22 -0.095 P
KRAKEN         5 4 25 25  0.068  4.761   10  0.009   10  0.010   10  0.004   10 0.5132   31  0.775   30 -0.344    2  0.353 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      5 5 33 26  0.127  5.419   11  0.009   11  0.009    1  0.053    9 0.5168   23  0.891   23 -0.172    6  0.278 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 5 4 31 25 -0.066  4.210   12  0.006   12  0.006    8  0.021   13 0.5021   17  1.073   17  0.006   15  0.036 P
PANTHERS       5 5 25 28  0.041  5.183   13  0.006   13  0.005   11  0.003   12 0.5070   24  0.890   24 -0.223    9  0.230 P
BLUE JACKETS   4 4 25 25  0.102  4.373   14  0.004   14  0.003   20 -0.008   14 0.5011   10  1.185   10  0.117   23 -0.133 P
ISLANDERS      4 4 30 28  0.002  4.012   15  0.002   15  0.000   12  0.003   16 0.4978    7  1.331    7  0.321   26 -0.315 P
SENATORS       5 5 38 37 -0.013  4.960   16 -0.001   18 -0.001   17 -0.000   19 0.4922    1  1.520    1  0.588   32 -0.588 P
FLYERS         4 4 23 21  0.036  4.143   17 -0.002   16  0.000   19 -0.005   15 0.4989   29  0.828   29 -0.298    5  0.289 P
CANUCKS        5 5 29 31 -0.025  4.946   18 -0.002   17 -0.001   24 -0.014   17 0.4954   18  1.066   19 -0.037   17  0.009 P
DUCKS          4 4 29 29 -0.002  4.058   19 -0.004   19 -0.003   28 -0.022   20 0.4913    4  1.373    5  0.354   29 -0.397 P
MAPLE LEAFS    4 5 31 33 -0.050  4.331   20 -0.007   20 -0.007   18 -0.003   18 0.4925    5  1.371    3  0.370   27 -0.375 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          4 6 29 33  0.093  5.408   21 -0.008   21 -0.007   16  0.001   21 0.4876   22  0.983   22 -0.120   11  0.122 P
SABRES         4 5 27 27 -0.010  4.496   22 -0.009   22 -0.008   23 -0.009   23 0.4825   21  0.998   21 -0.113   12  0.094 P
OILERS         4 6 29 32 -0.000  5.004   23 -0.012   23 -0.012    9  0.004   22 0.4870   20  1.038   20 -0.052   14  0.061 P
BRUINS         4 7 34 42  0.083  5.927   24 -0.014   25 -0.014   22 -0.008   27 0.4747    6  1.368    4  0.360   28 -0.377 P
BLACKHAWKS     4 5 26 23 -0.052  4.346   25 -0.015   24 -0.013   25 -0.014   25 0.4775   30  0.791   31 -0.346    3  0.317 P
PREDATORS      4 6 26 32 -0.013  5.003   26 -0.016   26 -0.014   27 -0.018   24 0.4822   27  0.850   28 -0.287    7  0.251 P
LIGHTNING      3 6 24 28  0.020  4.584   27 -0.018   27 -0.016   15  0.002   26 0.4762   25  0.883   25 -0.232    8  0.236 P
BLUES          3 6 27 39 -0.067  4.335   28 -0.023   28 -0.022   30 -0.031   28 0.4655    2  1.429    2  0.424   31 -0.486 P
WILD           3 7 28 39 -0.029  4.981   29 -0.026   29 -0.027   29 -0.028   29 0.4625    9  1.199   11  0.115   24 -0.171 P
RANGERS        3 7 22 26 -0.050  4.857   30 -0.027   30 -0.028   26 -0.017   30 0.4556   32  0.641   32 -0.498    1  0.465 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS         2 7 29 42  0.053  4.871   31 -0.035   31 -0.034   32 -0.061   31 0.4473    3  1.389    6  0.338   30 -0.459 P
FLAMES         2 8 21 35  0.028  5.248   32 -0.039   32 -0.037   31 -0.042   32 0.4433   26  0.883   27 -0.276   10  0.191 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KRAKEN         5 4 25 25  0.068  4.761   10  0.009   10  0.010   10  0.004   10 0.5132   31  0.775   30 -0.344    2  0.353 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 5 4 31 25 -0.066  4.210   12  0.006   12  0.006    8  0.021   13 0.5021   17  1.073   17  0.006   15  0.036 P
CANUCKS        5 5 29 31 -0.025  4.946   18 -0.002   17 -0.001   24 -0.014   17 0.4954   18  1.066   19 -0.037   17  0.009 P
DUCKS          4 4 29 29 -0.002  4.058   19 -0.004   19 -0.003   28 -0.022   20 0.4913    4  1.373    5  0.354   29 -0.397 P
KINGS          4 6 29 33  0.093  5.408   21 -0.008   21 -0.007   16  0.001   21 0.4876   22  0.983   22 -0.120   11  0.122 P
OILERS         4 6 29 32 -0.000  5.004   23 -0.012   23 -0.012    9  0.004   22 0.4870   20  1.038   20 -0.052   14  0.061 P
SHARKS         2 7 29 42  0.053  4.871   31 -0.035   31 -0.034   32 -0.061   31 0.4473    3  1.389    6  0.338   30 -0.459 P
FLAMES         2 8 21 35  0.028  5.248   32 -0.039   32 -0.037   31 -0.042   32 0.4433   26  0.883   27 -0.276   10  0.191 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAMMOTH        8 2 37 24 -0.020  4.843    2  0.037    2  0.038    6  0.024    3 0.5431   19  1.045   18 -0.024   13  0.072 P
JETS           6 3 30 22 -0.065  4.202    6  0.019    6  0.020    5  0.028    4 0.5264   15  1.118   15  0.069   18 -0.013 P
STARS          5 4 28 30  0.013  4.560    9  0.010    9  0.011   14  0.002   11 0.5127   12  1.164   13  0.100   22 -0.095 P
AVALANCHE      5 5 33 26  0.127  5.419   11  0.009   11  0.009    1  0.053    9 0.5168   23  0.891   23 -0.172    6  0.278 P
BLACKHAWKS     4 5 26 23 -0.052  4.346   25 -0.015   24 -0.013   25 -0.014   25 0.4775   30  0.791   31 -0.346    3  0.317 P
PREDATORS      4 6 26 32 -0.013  5.003   26 -0.016   26 -0.014   27 -0.018   24 0.4822   27  0.850   28 -0.287    7  0.251 P
BLUES          3 6 27 39 -0.067  4.335   28 -0.023   28 -0.022   30 -0.031   28 0.4655    2  1.429    2  0.424   31 -0.486 P
WILD           3 7 28 39 -0.029  4.981   29 -0.026   29 -0.027   29 -0.028   29 0.4625    9  1.199   11  0.115   24 -0.171 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DEVILS         8 1 35 22  0.032  4.502    1  0.050    1  0.048    2  0.044    1 0.5674   16  1.106   14  0.069   16  0.018 P
HURRICANES     6 2 31 22  0.096  4.231    3  0.033    3  0.034    3  0.040    2 0.5562   14  1.137   12  0.104   19 -0.025 P
PENGUINS       7 3 38 27 -0.111  4.471    5  0.020    5  0.021    4  0.031    6 0.5228   11  1.177    9  0.145   21 -0.084 P
CAPITALS       6 3 27 21 -0.067  4.216    7  0.017    7  0.018    7  0.021    8 0.5191   28  0.844   26 -0.254    4  0.297 P
BLUE JACKETS   4 4 25 25  0.102  4.373   14  0.004   14  0.003   20 -0.008   14 0.5011   10  1.185   10  0.117   23 -0.133 P
ISLANDERS      4 4 30 28  0.002  4.012   15  0.002   15  0.000   12  0.003   16 0.4978    7  1.331    7  0.321   26 -0.315 P
FLYERS         4 4 23 21  0.036  4.143   17 -0.002   16  0.000   19 -0.005   15 0.4989   29  0.828   29 -0.298    5  0.289 P
RANGERS        3 7 22 26 -0.050  4.857   30 -0.027   30 -0.028   26 -0.017   30 0.4556   32  0.641   32 -0.498    1  0.465 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANADIENS      7 3 36 30 -0.075  4.689    4  0.020    4  0.022   13  0.003    5 0.5257    8  1.290    8  0.265   25 -0.260 P
RED WINGS      6 3 30 29 -0.054  4.324    8  0.016    8  0.017   21 -0.008    7 0.5192   13  1.139   16  0.059   20 -0.075 P
PANTHERS       5 5 25 28  0.041  5.183   13  0.006   13  0.005   11  0.003   12 0.5070   24  0.890   24 -0.223    9  0.230 P
SENATORS       5 5 38 37 -0.013  4.960   16 -0.001   18 -0.001   17 -0.000   19 0.4922    1  1.520    1  0.588   32 -0.588 P
MAPLE LEAFS    4 5 31 33 -0.050  4.331   20 -0.007   20 -0.007   18 -0.003   18 0.4925    5  1.371    3  0.370   27 -0.375 P
SABRES         4 5 27 27 -0.010  4.496   22 -0.009   22 -0.008   23 -0.009   23 0.4825   21  0.998   21 -0.113   12  0.094 P
BRUINS         4 7 34 42  0.083  5.927   24 -0.014   25 -0.014   22 -0.008   27 0.4747    6  1.368    4  0.360   28 -0.377 P
LIGHTNING      3 6 24 28  0.020  4.584   27 -0.018   27 -0.016   15  0.002   26 0.4762   25  0.883   25 -0.232    8  0.236 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 42 28 0.600    1  0.121
CENTRAL DIVISION      38 38 0.500    2  0.016
ATLANTIC DIVISION     38 39 0.494    3 -0.021
PACIFIC DIVISION      31 44 0.413    4 -0.113

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.069 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 28 05:30:12 2025
games through: Mon Oct 27 2025

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