Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      7 1 0 270 154  0.067  3.453    1  0.364    1  0.351    3  0.363    4 0.5964    4  1.534    1  0.718   18  0.008
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.230  4.556    2  0.344    2  0.335    9  0.156    1 0.6019    9  1.400    8  0.313   19 -0.002
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.207  4.431    3  0.317    3  0.329    8  0.169    2 0.5978   10  1.394    7  0.317   17  0.020
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.357  4.128    4  0.278    4  0.286    1  0.386    3 0.5973   26  1.101   12  0.148    2  0.624
49ERS      5 3 0 160 164  0.270  4.722    5  0.225    5  0.240   13  0.097    9 0.5640   22  1.175   23 -0.049    6  0.243
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.194  3.762    6  0.223    6  0.238    5  0.266    7 0.5769   12  1.368    5  0.379    7  0.154
PACKERS    5 1 1 193 150 -0.036  3.231    7  0.219    7  0.231   10  0.123    6 0.5781   16  1.324    9  0.175   11  0.071
BRONCOS    6 2 0 207 151 -0.025  3.552    8  0.215    8  0.225    7  0.170    8 0.5694   23  1.133   22 -0.028    4  0.369
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.119  3.444    9  0.198    9  0.208    6  0.241    5 0.5791    7  1.430    3  0.441   14  0.041
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.259  4.196   10  0.147   10  0.155   15  0.055   10 0.5493   19  1.270   17  0.033    8  0.077
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     5 3 0 214 131  0.090  3.873   11  0.140   12  0.126    2  0.376   11 0.5388   27  1.099   13  0.135    3  0.617
CHARGERS   5 3 0 188 173  0.022  3.987   12  0.133   11  0.135   14  0.057   12 0.5303   18  1.287   14  0.057   12  0.056
PATRIOTS   6 2 0 213 146 -0.348  2.728   13  0.114   13  0.103   12  0.101   13 0.5285   15  1.326   10  0.154   13  0.048
BILLS      5 2 0 207 146 -0.333  2.407   14  0.067   14  0.074   11  0.102   16 0.5080    5  1.446    6  0.326   22 -0.122
TEXANS     3 4 0 153 103  0.389  4.134   15  0.010   15  0.021    4  0.323   14 0.5138   31  0.884   24 -0.165    1  0.811
STEELERS   4 3 0 175 175 -0.185  3.026   16  0.005   16  0.010   19 -0.057   15 0.5109    6  1.438   11  0.154   27 -0.268
BEARS      4 3 0 168 185 -0.221  3.024   17  0.002   17  0.004   22 -0.107   17 0.4935   11  1.369   19  0.007   26 -0.221
PANTHERS   4 4 0 154 192 -0.191  3.596   18 -0.048   18 -0.048   25 -0.188   21 0.4700   25  1.122   27 -0.400   16  0.024
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.029  3.960   19 -0.062   19 -0.063   17 -0.024   18 0.4841    1  1.776    2  0.717   32 -0.765
FALCONS    3 4 0 120 154 -0.175  3.225   20 -0.103   20 -0.108   26 -0.229   20 0.4702   29  1.045   29 -0.534   10  0.076
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAVENS     2 5 0 174 210  0.175  4.174   21 -0.121   21 -0.124   20 -0.064   26 0.4394    2  1.628    4  0.435   30 -0.563
COMMANDERS 3 5 0 187 198 -0.029  3.966   22 -0.123   22 -0.131   18 -0.056   23 0.4617   13  1.366   15  0.052   25 -0.165
VIKINGS    3 4 0 155 162 -0.317  2.800   23 -0.144   23 -0.157   24 -0.177   19 0.4711   21  1.268   25 -0.202   23 -0.153
BENGALS    3 5 0 174 253 -0.184  3.899   24 -0.170   24 -0.157   32 -0.320   22 0.4643    3  1.545   16  0.050   31 -0.690
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.057  3.877   25 -0.176   25 -0.163   29 -0.281   25 0.4411   30  1.000   31 -0.639    9  0.077
GIANTS     2 6 0 173 215  0.150  4.669   26 -0.195   26 -0.181   21 -0.071   24 0.4444   14  1.352   18  0.019   24 -0.162
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.006  3.526   27 -0.214   27 -0.207   16  0.007   27 0.4377   20  1.268   21 -0.017   15  0.031
TITANS     1 7 0 110 230  0.243  5.347   28 -0.268   28 -0.248   31 -0.308   29 0.4157   24  1.128   28 -0.512   21 -0.104
DOLPHINS   2 6 0 174 215 -0.140  3.833   29 -0.291   29 -0.280   23 -0.174   30 0.4091    8  1.415   20  0.004   29 -0.353
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.192  3.793   30 -0.298   30 -0.294   27 -0.232   28 0.4170   32  0.878   32 -0.727    5  0.263
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAINTS     1 7 0 128 209 -0.042  4.257   31 -0.361   31 -0.360   30 -0.303   31 0.3877   28  1.077   30 -0.570   20 -0.036
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.230  3.591   32 -0.427   32 -0.434   28 -0.275   32 0.3735   17  1.296   26 -0.263   28 -0.288

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    6 2 0 207 151 -0.025  3.552    8  0.215    8  0.225    7  0.170    8 0.5694   23  1.133   22 -0.028    4  0.369
CHIEFS     5 3 0 214 131  0.090  3.873   11  0.140   12  0.126    2  0.376   11 0.5388   27  1.099   13  0.135    3  0.617
CHARGERS   5 3 0 188 173  0.022  3.987   12  0.133   11  0.135   14  0.057   12 0.5303   18  1.287   14  0.057   12  0.056
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.057  3.877   25 -0.176   25 -0.163   29 -0.281   25 0.4411   30  1.000   31 -0.639    9  0.077

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      7 1 0 270 154  0.067  3.453    1  0.364    1  0.351    3  0.363    4 0.5964    4  1.534    1  0.718   18  0.008
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.259  4.196   10  0.147   10  0.155   15  0.055   10 0.5493   19  1.270   17  0.033    8  0.077
TEXANS     3 4 0 153 103  0.389  4.134   15  0.010   15  0.021    4  0.323   14 0.5138   31  0.884   24 -0.165    1  0.811
TITANS     1 7 0 110 230  0.243  5.347   28 -0.268   28 -0.248   31 -0.308   29 0.4157   24  1.128   28 -0.512   21 -0.104

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   4 3 0 175 175 -0.185  3.026   16  0.005   16  0.010   19 -0.057   15 0.5109    6  1.438   11  0.154   27 -0.268
RAVENS     2 5 0 174 210  0.175  4.174   21 -0.121   21 -0.124   20 -0.064   26 0.4394    2  1.628    4  0.435   30 -0.563
BENGALS    3 5 0 174 253 -0.184  3.899   24 -0.170   24 -0.157   32 -0.320   22 0.4643    3  1.545   16  0.050   31 -0.690
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.192  3.793   30 -0.298   30 -0.294   27 -0.232   28 0.4170   32  0.878   32 -0.727    5  0.263

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   6 2 0 213 146 -0.348  2.728   13  0.114   13  0.103   12  0.101   13 0.5285   15  1.326   10  0.154   13  0.048
BILLS      5 2 0 207 146 -0.333  2.407   14  0.067   14  0.074   11  0.102   16 0.5080    5  1.446    6  0.326   22 -0.122
DOLPHINS   2 6 0 174 215 -0.140  3.833   29 -0.291   29 -0.280   23 -0.174   30 0.4091    8  1.415   20  0.004   29 -0.353
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.230  3.591   32 -0.427   32 -0.434   28 -0.275   32 0.3735   17  1.296   26 -0.263   28 -0.288

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.357  4.128    4  0.278    4  0.286    1  0.386    3 0.5973   26  1.101   12  0.148    2  0.624
49ERS      5 3 0 160 164  0.270  4.722    5  0.225    5  0.240   13  0.097    9 0.5640   22  1.175   23 -0.049    6  0.243
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.194  3.762    6  0.223    6  0.238    5  0.266    7 0.5769   12  1.368    5  0.379    7  0.154
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.006  3.526   27 -0.214   27 -0.207   16  0.007   27 0.4377   20  1.268   21 -0.017   15  0.031

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.207  4.431    3  0.317    3  0.329    8  0.169    2 0.5978   10  1.394    7  0.317   17  0.020
PANTHERS   4 4 0 154 192 -0.191  3.596   18 -0.048   18 -0.048   25 -0.188   21 0.4700   25  1.122   27 -0.400   16  0.024
FALCONS    3 4 0 120 154 -0.175  3.225   20 -0.103   20 -0.108   26 -0.229   20 0.4702   29  1.045   29 -0.534   10  0.076
SAINTS     1 7 0 128 209 -0.042  4.257   31 -0.361   31 -0.360   30 -0.303   31 0.3877   28  1.077   30 -0.570   20 -0.036

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS    5 1 1 193 150 -0.036  3.231    7  0.219    7  0.231   10  0.123    6 0.5781   16  1.324    9  0.175   11  0.071
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.119  3.444    9  0.198    9  0.208    6  0.241    5 0.5791    7  1.430    3  0.441   14  0.041
BEARS      4 3 0 168 185 -0.221  3.024   17  0.002   17  0.004   22 -0.107   17 0.4935   11  1.369   19  0.007   26 -0.221
VIKINGS    3 4 0 155 162 -0.317  2.800   23 -0.144   23 -0.157   24 -0.177   19 0.4711   21  1.268   25 -0.202   23 -0.153

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.230  4.556    2  0.344    2  0.335    9  0.156    1 0.6019    9  1.400    8  0.313   19 -0.002
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.029  3.960   19 -0.062   19 -0.063   17 -0.024   18 0.4841    1  1.776    2  0.717   32 -0.765
COMMANDERS 3 5 0 187 198 -0.029  3.966   22 -0.123   22 -0.131   18 -0.056   23 0.4617   13  1.366   15  0.052   25 -0.165
GIANTS     2 6 0 173 215  0.150  4.669   26 -0.195   26 -0.181   21 -0.071   24 0.4444   14  1.352   18  0.019   24 -0.162

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   17 12  0 0.586    1  0.472
AFC SOUTH  15 15  0 0.500    2  0.312
AFC WEST   18 13  0 0.581    3  0.182
NFC NORTH  17 10  1 0.625    4  0.044
NFC EAST   14 17  1 0.453    5  0.003
AFC EAST   14 17  0 0.452    6 -0.187
NFC SOUTH  14 17  0 0.452    7 -0.329
AFC NORTH  11 19  0 0.367    8 -0.421

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.219 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.024 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 28 05:30:11 2025
games through: Mon Oct 27 2025

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