Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      84 52 695 531 -0.009 66.556    1  0.224    1  0.186    1  0.192    1 0.5272    5  0.649    2  0.337   17  0.047   27 -0.264
BLUE JAYS    78 57 666 611  0.008 67.126    2  0.138    2  0.131    9  0.080    2 0.5192   13  0.522    8  0.106   16  0.054    6  0.145
CUBS         77 58 667 550  0.016 67.491    3  0.130    3  0.127    3  0.152    3 0.5189   10  0.589    3  0.240   15  0.064   22 -0.120
TIGERS       79 57 655 568 -0.021 66.045    4  0.113    4  0.119    7  0.104    4 0.5176   14  0.483    9  0.094    5  0.114    8  0.097
PHILLIES     78 57 646 546 -0.027 65.181    5  0.096    5  0.110    6  0.106    5 0.5164   29  0.288   22 -0.071    1  0.284    2  0.352
DODGERS      77 58 694 589 -0.020 65.569    6  0.082    6  0.102    5  0.112    6 0.5153   16  0.457   10  0.079    4  0.146    3  0.303
YANKEES      75 60 712 579  0.011 67.216    7  0.076    7  0.098    2  0.161    7 0.5148    2  0.704    1  0.361   19 -0.039   24 -0.137
PADRES       75 60 568 517  0.007 67.052    8  0.069    8  0.095   10  0.077    8 0.5145   28  0.298   23 -0.093    2  0.246   20 -0.060
RED SOX      75 61 670 564  0.008 67.591    9  0.062    9  0.090    4  0.123    9 0.5128   11  0.544    5  0.169   11  0.077   15 -0.010
ASTROS       75 60 571 550 -0.019 65.795   10  0.040   10  0.077   15  0.020   10 0.5117   23  0.406   19 -0.059    9  0.098   18 -0.053
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     72 63 620 596  0.013 67.479   11  0.027   11  0.062   13  0.038   11 0.5093    3  0.668    4  0.202   24 -0.126   29 -0.343
METS         73 62 641 570 -0.024 65.441   12  0.020   12  0.052   11  0.064   12 0.5073   17  0.454   14  0.028    8  0.100   12  0.059
ROYALS       69 66 526 526 -0.002 66.776   13  0.005   13  0.018   18 -0.016   14 0.5013   25  0.395   24 -0.103   12  0.072   26 -0.238
RANGERS      69 67 578 495 -0.007 66.806   14  0.003   14  0.009    8  0.083   13 0.5015   15  0.470   12  0.062    7  0.105   30 -0.469
REDS         68 67 602 570 -0.000 66.770   15  0.002   15  0.006   14  0.031   15 0.5008   18  0.449   17 -0.009   13  0.072   16 -0.015
GUARDIANS    67 66 513 567 -0.008 65.547   16 -0.000   16  0.000   24 -0.074   16 0.4998   27  0.328   28 -0.219   14  0.071   14  0.019
GIANTS       67 68 566 556  0.004 67.083   17 -0.001   17 -0.003   16  0.006   17 0.4996   22  0.412   21 -0.067   10  0.079   23 -0.121
CARDINALS    67 69 595 627  0.003 67.558   18 -0.003   18 -0.012   20 -0.040   18 0.4980    7  0.615   11  0.073   25 -0.153   25 -0.152
RAYS         65 69 600 559  0.017 67.172   19 -0.003   19 -0.014   12  0.043   19 0.4979   21  0.415   18 -0.028    6  0.113   10  0.075
DIAMONDBACKS 67 69 670 657 -0.024 66.020   20 -0.008   20 -0.028   17  0.004   20 0.4962    9  0.604    7  0.106   23 -0.098    7  0.130
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       62 72 574 681  0.025 67.806   21 -0.016   21 -0.045   27 -0.107   21 0.4924    6  0.627   15  0.018   27 -0.231   19 -0.057
MARLINS      63 72 583 673  0.008 67.387   22 -0.019   22 -0.051   25 -0.093   23 0.4918    1  0.753    6  0.156   29 -0.342   28 -0.317
ATHLETICS    63 73 616 698  0.005 67.713   23 -0.022   23 -0.057   22 -0.063   22 0.4921    8  0.604   13  0.039   26 -0.166    5  0.161
TWINS        61 73 563 622  0.005 66.712   24 -0.033   24 -0.069   23 -0.064   24 0.4900   19  0.447   25 -0.106   18 -0.022    9  0.088
BRAVES       61 74 599 617 -0.004 66.657   25 -0.045   25 -0.081   19 -0.030   26 0.4879   12  0.542   16  0.014   22 -0.074   17 -0.047
ORIOLES      60 75 582 669  0.012 67.656   26 -0.047   26 -0.082   26 -0.097   25 0.4880   20  0.445   26 -0.141   21 -0.053    4  0.249
PIRATES      60 76 488 554  0.016 68.324   27 -0.052   27 -0.085   21 -0.062   27 0.4875   30  0.231   29 -0.285    3  0.160   21 -0.068
NATIONALS    53 81 566 740  0.007 67.108   28 -0.218   28 -0.167   29 -0.217   28 0.4758    4  0.660   20 -0.061   30 -0.373   11  0.062
WHITE SOX    48 87 530 621  0.008 67.418   29 -0.263   29 -0.231   28 -0.122   29 0.4662   24  0.406   27 -0.200   20 -0.044   13  0.038
ROCKIES      38 97 507 860  0.019 68.343   30 -0.358   30 -0.354   30 -0.420   30 0.4478   26  0.360   30 -0.537   28 -0.302    1  0.692
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      77 58 694 589 -0.020 65.569    6  0.082    6  0.102    5  0.112    6 0.5153   16  0.457   10  0.079    4  0.146    3  0.303
PADRES       75 60 568 517  0.007 67.052    8  0.069    8  0.095   10  0.077    8 0.5145   28  0.298   23 -0.093    2  0.246   20 -0.060
GIANTS       67 68 566 556  0.004 67.083   17 -0.001   17 -0.003   16  0.006   17 0.4996   22  0.412   21 -0.067   10  0.079   23 -0.121
DIAMONDBACKS 67 69 670 657 -0.024 66.020   20 -0.008   20 -0.028   17  0.004   20 0.4962    9  0.604    7  0.106   23 -0.098    7  0.130
ROCKIES      38 97 507 860  0.019 68.343   30 -0.358   30 -0.354   30 -0.420   30 0.4478   26  0.360   30 -0.537   28 -0.302    1  0.692

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      84 52 695 531 -0.009 66.556    1  0.224    1  0.186    1  0.192    1 0.5272    5  0.649    2  0.337   17  0.047   27 -0.264
CUBS         77 58 667 550  0.016 67.491    3  0.130    3  0.127    3  0.152    3 0.5189   10  0.589    3  0.240   15  0.064   22 -0.120
REDS         68 67 602 570 -0.000 66.770   15  0.002   15  0.006   14  0.031   15 0.5008   18  0.449   17 -0.009   13  0.072   16 -0.015
CARDINALS    67 69 595 627  0.003 67.558   18 -0.003   18 -0.012   20 -0.040   18 0.4980    7  0.615   11  0.073   25 -0.153   25 -0.152
PIRATES      60 76 488 554  0.016 68.324   27 -0.052   27 -0.085   21 -0.062   27 0.4875   30  0.231   29 -0.285    3  0.160   21 -0.068

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES     78 57 646 546 -0.027 65.181    5  0.096    5  0.110    6  0.106    5 0.5164   29  0.288   22 -0.071    1  0.284    2  0.352
METS         73 62 641 570 -0.024 65.441   12  0.020   12  0.052   11  0.064   12 0.5073   17  0.454   14  0.028    8  0.100   12  0.059
MARLINS      63 72 583 673  0.008 67.387   22 -0.019   22 -0.051   25 -0.093   23 0.4918    1  0.753    6  0.156   29 -0.342   28 -0.317
BRAVES       61 74 599 617 -0.004 66.657   25 -0.045   25 -0.081   19 -0.030   26 0.4879   12  0.542   16  0.014   22 -0.074   17 -0.047
NATIONALS    53 81 566 740  0.007 67.108   28 -0.218   28 -0.167   29 -0.217   28 0.4758    4  0.660   20 -0.061   30 -0.373   11  0.062

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       75 60 571 550 -0.019 65.795   10  0.040   10  0.077   15  0.020   10 0.5117   23  0.406   19 -0.059    9  0.098   18 -0.053
MARINERS     72 63 620 596  0.013 67.479   11  0.027   11  0.062   13  0.038   11 0.5093    3  0.668    4  0.202   24 -0.126   29 -0.343
RANGERS      69 67 578 495 -0.007 66.806   14  0.003   14  0.009    8  0.083   13 0.5015   15  0.470   12  0.062    7  0.105   30 -0.469
ANGELS       62 72 574 681  0.025 67.806   21 -0.016   21 -0.045   27 -0.107   21 0.4924    6  0.627   15  0.018   27 -0.231   19 -0.057
ATHLETICS    63 73 616 698  0.005 67.713   23 -0.022   23 -0.057   22 -0.063   22 0.4921    8  0.604   13  0.039   26 -0.166    5  0.161

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS       79 57 655 568 -0.021 66.045    4  0.113    4  0.119    7  0.104    4 0.5176   14  0.483    9  0.094    5  0.114    8  0.097
ROYALS       69 66 526 526 -0.002 66.776   13  0.005   13  0.018   18 -0.016   14 0.5013   25  0.395   24 -0.103   12  0.072   26 -0.238
GUARDIANS    67 66 513 567 -0.008 65.547   16 -0.000   16  0.000   24 -0.074   16 0.4998   27  0.328   28 -0.219   14  0.071   14  0.019
TWINS        61 73 563 622  0.005 66.712   24 -0.033   24 -0.069   23 -0.064   24 0.4900   19  0.447   25 -0.106   18 -0.022    9  0.088
WHITE SOX    48 87 530 621  0.008 67.418   29 -0.263   29 -0.231   28 -0.122   29 0.4662   24  0.406   27 -0.200   20 -0.044   13  0.038

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    78 57 666 611  0.008 67.126    2  0.138    2  0.131    9  0.080    2 0.5192   13  0.522    8  0.106   16  0.054    6  0.145
YANKEES      75 60 712 579  0.011 67.216    7  0.076    7  0.098    2  0.161    7 0.5148    2  0.704    1  0.361   19 -0.039   24 -0.137
RED SOX      75 61 670 564  0.008 67.591    9  0.062    9  0.090    4  0.123    9 0.5128   11  0.544    5  0.169   11  0.077   15 -0.010
RAYS         65 69 600 559  0.017 67.172   19 -0.003   19 -0.014   12  0.043   19 0.4979   21  0.415   18 -0.028    6  0.113   10  0.075
ORIOLES      60 75 582 669  0.012 67.656   26 -0.047   26 -0.082   26 -0.097   25 0.4880   20  0.445   26 -0.141   21 -0.053    4  0.249

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    353 322 0.523    1  0.084
NL CENTRAL 356 322 0.525    2  0.074
AL WEST    341 335 0.504    3 -0.008
NL EAST    328 346 0.487    4 -0.045
AL CENTRAL 324 349 0.481    5 -0.047
NL WEST    324 352 0.479    6 -0.056

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.083 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Aug 30 05:30:16 2025
games through: Fri Aug 29 2025

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