Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       37 19 289 194 -0.008 27.930    1  0.159    1  0.144    3  0.172    2 0.5372   11  0.578    3  0.271   11  0.073   29 -0.408
RAYS         34 19 246 222  0.032 27.412    2  0.145    2  0.136    5  0.076    1 0.5386   13  0.489   12  0.093   12  0.059   18 -0.103
BREWERS      33 20 259 181  0.047 27.640    3  0.134    3  0.125    2  0.180    3 0.5349   24  0.328   14  0.057    2  0.303   13  0.052
DODGERS      36 20 298 178 -0.032 27.298    4  0.127    4  0.119    1  0.202    4 0.5321   21  0.391    9  0.132    3  0.272   17 -0.079
YANKEES      34 22 280 191 -0.040 27.241    5  0.071    5  0.083    4  0.145    5 0.5194   26  0.247   19 -0.044    1  0.335    2  0.380
GUARDIANS    33 25 240 227 -0.014 29.002    6  0.042    6  0.060   11  0.016    7 0.5157   15  0.438   15 -0.013   15  0.046   27 -0.346
DIAMONDBACKS 31 24 255 241 -0.017 27.403    7  0.036    7  0.051    8  0.030    8 0.5127    8  0.652    5  0.199   21 -0.139   20 -0.144
CARDINALS    29 25 235 245  0.034 28.111    8  0.030    8  0.045   15 -0.010    9 0.5124   16  0.438   18 -0.039   18  0.020   11  0.139
CUBS         30 26 265 251  0.035 29.080    9  0.030    9  0.045    7  0.033    6 0.5159    1  0.834    1  0.388   29 -0.322   28 -0.388
PADRES       31 24 214 215 -0.047 26.826   10  0.025   10  0.041   19 -0.016   11 0.5096   17  0.429   20 -0.053   17  0.021   24 -0.250
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    29 28 306 310  0.069 30.400   11  0.019   11  0.034    9  0.027   10 0.5111    2  0.771    2  0.315   27 -0.262    5  0.318
PIRATES      29 27 274 246 -0.020 27.853   12  0.005   12  0.010    6  0.040   12 0.5087   18  0.408   16 -0.016    9  0.095    6  0.268
PHILLIES     29 27 223 240 -0.019 27.974   13  0.004   13  0.010   20 -0.030   13 0.5052   28  0.214   27 -0.246    6  0.185    8  0.243
REDS         29 26 245 271 -0.047 26.879   14  0.002   14  0.008   22 -0.057   14 0.5027   10  0.614   13  0.076   24 -0.189   12  0.056
WHITE SOX    28 27 256 260 -0.031 27.187   15 -0.004   15 -0.003   17 -0.012   15 0.4988    7  0.656    7  0.161   23 -0.185   21 -0.146
BLUE JAYS    27 29 226 230  0.027 28.957   16 -0.006   16 -0.006   12  0.007   16 0.4970   29  0.203   26 -0.217    4  0.231    9  0.230
TWINS        27 29 256 265 -0.010 28.146   17 -0.015   17 -0.020   16 -0.011   18 0.4937    4  0.698    4  0.204   25 -0.225   22 -0.146
MARINERS     28 29 240 216 -0.041 27.889   18 -0.015   18 -0.023   10  0.018   19 0.4933   23  0.331   23 -0.103    7  0.138   16 -0.015
MARLINS      26 31 241 254  0.039 29.784   19 -0.017   19 -0.025   14 -0.009   17 0.4945    9  0.626    8  0.135   22 -0.153   23 -0.222
ATHLETICS    27 29 236 261 -0.029 27.783   20 -0.018   20 -0.026   24 -0.062   21 0.4915   22  0.344   25 -0.172   14  0.048    1  0.509
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      26 30 254 295  0.013 28.735   21 -0.020   21 -0.028   23 -0.057   20 0.4921    6  0.665   10  0.125   26 -0.240   15  0.020
RANGERS      25 30 214 215 -0.009 27.636   22 -0.029   22 -0.044   13 -0.008   22 0.4863   20  0.404   21 -0.067   13  0.052   30 -0.464
RED SOX      23 31 208 217  0.015 27.698   23 -0.044   23 -0.060   18 -0.014   23 0.4829   19  0.405   22 -0.072   16  0.045   25 -0.252
ASTROS       25 32 253 294 -0.026 28.377   24 -0.053   24 -0.066   26 -0.084   25 0.4794    5  0.677   11  0.110   28 -0.278   14  0.042
GIANTS       22 34 204 258  0.038 29.354   25 -0.074   25 -0.082   28 -0.096   24 0.4816   27  0.220   29 -0.307    8  0.114    7  0.264
ROYALS       22 34 211 258  0.022 28.970   26 -0.083   26 -0.089   25 -0.076   27 0.4731   25  0.271   28 -0.246   10  0.094   10  0.179
METS         23 33 214 243 -0.025 27.926   27 -0.085   27 -0.090   27 -0.089   26 0.4764   30  0.076   30 -0.408    5  0.231    4  0.346
TIGERS       22 34 217 242 -0.014 28.105   28 -0.100   28 -0.101   21 -0.049   28 0.4710   12  0.492   17 -0.030   19 -0.067   19 -0.116
ANGELS       21 35 227 289  0.008 28.702   29 -0.117   29 -0.111   29 -0.113   29 0.4689    3  0.758    6  0.162   30 -0.389   26 -0.346
ROCKIES      20 37 229 306  0.021 29.591   30 -0.149   30 -0.129   30 -0.141   30 0.4675   14  0.462   24 -0.149   20 -0.133    3  0.372

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      36 20 298 178 -0.032 27.298    4  0.127    4  0.119    1  0.202    4 0.5321   21  0.391    9  0.132    3  0.272   17 -0.079
DIAMONDBACKS 31 24 255 241 -0.017 27.403    7  0.036    7  0.051    8  0.030    8 0.5127    8  0.652    5  0.199   21 -0.139   20 -0.144
PADRES       31 24 214 215 -0.047 26.826   10  0.025   10  0.041   19 -0.016   11 0.5096   17  0.429   20 -0.053   17  0.021   24 -0.250
GIANTS       22 34 204 258  0.038 29.354   25 -0.074   25 -0.082   28 -0.096   24 0.4816   27  0.220   29 -0.307    8  0.114    7  0.264
ROCKIES      20 37 229 306  0.021 29.591   30 -0.149   30 -0.129   30 -0.141   30 0.4675   14  0.462   24 -0.149   20 -0.133    3  0.372

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      33 20 259 181  0.047 27.640    3  0.134    3  0.125    2  0.180    3 0.5349   24  0.328   14  0.057    2  0.303   13  0.052
CARDINALS    29 25 235 245  0.034 28.111    8  0.030    8  0.045   15 -0.010    9 0.5124   16  0.438   18 -0.039   18  0.020   11  0.139
CUBS         30 26 265 251  0.035 29.080    9  0.030    9  0.045    7  0.033    6 0.5159    1  0.834    1  0.388   29 -0.322   28 -0.388
PIRATES      29 27 274 246 -0.020 27.853   12  0.005   12  0.010    6  0.040   12 0.5087   18  0.408   16 -0.016    9  0.095    6  0.268
REDS         29 26 245 271 -0.047 26.879   14  0.002   14  0.008   22 -0.057   14 0.5027   10  0.614   13  0.076   24 -0.189   12  0.056

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       37 19 289 194 -0.008 27.930    1  0.159    1  0.144    3  0.172    2 0.5372   11  0.578    3  0.271   11  0.073   29 -0.408
NATIONALS    29 28 306 310  0.069 30.400   11  0.019   11  0.034    9  0.027   10 0.5111    2  0.771    2  0.315   27 -0.262    5  0.318
PHILLIES     29 27 223 240 -0.019 27.974   13  0.004   13  0.010   20 -0.030   13 0.5052   28  0.214   27 -0.246    6  0.185    8  0.243
MARLINS      26 31 241 254  0.039 29.784   19 -0.017   19 -0.025   14 -0.009   17 0.4945    9  0.626    8  0.135   22 -0.153   23 -0.222
METS         23 33 214 243 -0.025 27.926   27 -0.085   27 -0.090   27 -0.089   26 0.4764   30  0.076   30 -0.408    5  0.231    4  0.346

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     28 29 240 216 -0.041 27.889   18 -0.015   18 -0.023   10  0.018   19 0.4933   23  0.331   23 -0.103    7  0.138   16 -0.015
ATHLETICS    27 29 236 261 -0.029 27.783   20 -0.018   20 -0.026   24 -0.062   21 0.4915   22  0.344   25 -0.172   14  0.048    1  0.509
RANGERS      25 30 214 215 -0.009 27.636   22 -0.029   22 -0.044   13 -0.008   22 0.4863   20  0.404   21 -0.067   13  0.052   30 -0.464
ASTROS       25 32 253 294 -0.026 28.377   24 -0.053   24 -0.066   26 -0.084   25 0.4794    5  0.677   11  0.110   28 -0.278   14  0.042
ANGELS       21 35 227 289  0.008 28.702   29 -0.117   29 -0.111   29 -0.113   29 0.4689    3  0.758    6  0.162   30 -0.389   26 -0.346

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    33 25 240 227 -0.014 29.002    6  0.042    6  0.060   11  0.016    7 0.5157   15  0.438   15 -0.013   15  0.046   27 -0.346
WHITE SOX    28 27 256 260 -0.031 27.187   15 -0.004   15 -0.003   17 -0.012   15 0.4988    7  0.656    7  0.161   23 -0.185   21 -0.146
TWINS        27 29 256 265 -0.010 28.146   17 -0.015   17 -0.020   16 -0.011   18 0.4937    4  0.698    4  0.204   25 -0.225   22 -0.146
ROYALS       22 34 211 258  0.022 28.970   26 -0.083   26 -0.089   25 -0.076   27 0.4731   25  0.271   28 -0.246   10  0.094   10  0.179
TIGERS       22 34 217 242 -0.014 28.105   28 -0.100   28 -0.101   21 -0.049   28 0.4710   12  0.492   17 -0.030   19 -0.067   19 -0.116

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         34 19 246 222  0.032 27.412    2  0.145    2  0.136    5  0.076    1 0.5386   13  0.489   12  0.093   12  0.059   18 -0.103
YANKEES      34 22 280 191 -0.040 27.241    5  0.071    5  0.083    4  0.145    5 0.5194   26  0.247   19 -0.044    1  0.335    2  0.380
BLUE JAYS    27 29 226 230  0.027 28.957   16 -0.006   16 -0.006   12  0.007   16 0.4970   29  0.203   26 -0.217    4  0.231    9  0.230
ORIOLES      26 30 254 295  0.013 28.735   21 -0.020   21 -0.028   23 -0.057   20 0.4921    6  0.665   10  0.125   26 -0.240   15  0.020
RED SOX      23 31 208 217  0.015 27.698   23 -0.044   23 -0.060   18 -0.014   23 0.4829   19  0.405   22 -0.072   16  0.045   25 -0.252

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 150 124 0.547    1  0.080
AL EAST    144 131 0.524    2  0.067
NL EAST    144 138 0.511    3  0.029
NL WEST    140 139 0.502    4 -0.011
AL CENTRAL 132 149 0.470    5 -0.057
AL WEST    126 155 0.448    6 -0.107

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.055 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu May 28 05:30:05 2026
games through: Wed May 27 2026

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