Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida State        12  1  0  536  129  1.139    1  3.043    1  1.924    1  2.332    1 0.6861    1 0.7049    2   1199  1.028  2.006  2.657
Nebraska             11  1  0  437  194  0.969    2  2.959    2  1.882    5  1.585    2 0.6768    2 0.6731    3   1151  1.348  1.669  1.502
Notre Dame           11  1  0  427  215  0.905    3  2.915    3  1.811    6  1.547    3 0.6745    8 0.6465    1   1250  1.407  1.713  1.380
Auburn               11  0  0  353  192  0.364    4  2.897    4  1.776   19  0.917    6 0.6552    3 0.6724    4   1100  1.455  1.153  0.680
Florida              11  2  0  513  244  0.889    5  2.825    5  1.574    4  1.653    9 0.6431    6 0.6679    5   1049  1.674  2.225  1.081
Ohio State           10  1  1  351  193  0.620    6  2.789    6  1.517   13  1.158    4 0.6671    7 0.6599    8    900  1.192  1.034  1.282
Arizona              10  2  0  294  161  0.795    7  2.777    7  1.499   10  1.296   10 0.6372    9 0.6353    7    971  0.930  0.858  1.733
West Virginia        11  1  0  408  212  0.241    8  2.730    8  1.421   22  0.818    5 0.6571    4 0.6706   10    815  1.255  0.776  0.861
Penn State           10  2  0  388  215  0.657    9  2.715    9  1.398   11  1.232    7 0.6546   10 0.6316    9    816  1.354  1.324  1.139
Wisconsin            10  1  1  354  195  0.532   10  2.674   10  1.336   14  1.139    8 0.6504   12 0.6284    6    980  1.206  1.032  1.245
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas A&M            10  2  0  425  143  0.689   11  2.633   11  1.272    3  1.705   12 0.6226   11 0.6297   12    695  1.033  1.385  2.025
UCLA                  8  4  0  368  230  0.961   12  2.562   12  1.169    7  1.392   13 0.6213   16 0.6074   13    637  1.329  1.449  1.335
Tennessee             9  2  1  484  175  0.760   13  2.558   13  1.163    2  1.739   16 0.6039   15 0.6076   14    620  1.455  1.974  1.503
Oklahoma              9  3  0  358  186  0.686   14  2.531   14  1.122    9  1.302   14 0.6105   17 0.6021   15    569  1.175  1.155  1.449
Miami (Florida)       9  3  0  331  167  0.703   15  2.527   15  1.116   15  1.091   11 0.6353    5 0.6694   11    733  0.929  0.652  1.530
Louisville            9  3  0  350  243  0.525   16  2.492   16  1.059   21  0.905   22 0.5936   14 0.6145   16    482  1.308  0.934  0.876
Southern California   8  5  0  348  252  0.938   17  2.477   17  1.039   12  1.164   19 0.6000   18 0.5998   23    188  1.162  1.002  1.327
California            9  4  0  411  303  0.569   18  2.409   18  0.993   23  0.784   23 0.5833   26 0.5620   21    241  1.463  1.032  0.536
Colorado              8  3  1  368  250  0.607   19  2.404   19  0.985   17  1.054   15 0.6086   20 0.5920   17    404  1.439  1.267  0.841
Alabama               9  3  1  340  168  0.513   20  2.377   20  0.946   18  1.046   24 0.5754   22 0.5771   22    208  0.939  0.619  1.474
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington            7  4  0  288  198  0.781   21  2.355   21  0.916   16  1.076   26 0.5742   31 0.5526   25     63  1.088  0.823  1.330
Kansas State          9  2  1  340  227  0.233   22  2.350   22  0.907   27  0.589   21 0.5965   21 0.5919   20    274  1.254  0.545  0.633
Michigan              8  4  0  342  160  0.692   23  2.308   23  0.848    8  1.317   18 0.6017   24 0.5674   19    369  1.019  0.980  1.653
North Carolina       10  3  0  431  253  0.136   24  2.282   24  0.807   25  0.647   25 0.5743   23 0.5701   24    131  1.517  0.975  0.318
Boston College        9  3  0  408  240  0.144   25  2.240   25  0.743   26  0.618   17 0.6025   19 0.5946   18    382  1.460  0.862  0.375
Arizona State         6  5  0  282  248  0.757   26  2.233   26  0.734   20  0.916   29 0.5604   34 0.5384   27      0  1.351  1.005  0.828
Virginia Tech         9  3  0  445  270  0.098   27  2.221   27  0.715   31  0.528   20 0.5966   13 0.6218   26     23  1.668  1.091 -0.034
Indiana               8  4  0  259  197  0.208   28  2.113   28  0.550   30  0.538   27 0.5715   32 0.5521   28      0  0.870  0.035  1.041
Washington State      5  6  0  271  248  0.893   29  2.082   29  0.506   24  0.716   35 0.5278   41 0.5101   29      0  1.309  0.746  0.686
Clemson               9  3  0  198  192 -0.193   30  2.069   30  0.482   54 -0.124   28 0.5621   29 0.5558   30      0  0.558 -0.933  0.685
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan State        6  6  0  277  289  0.521   31  2.064   31  0.478   36  0.378   30 0.5565   36 0.5314   31      0  1.389  0.519  0.238
Oregon                5  6  0  278  276  0.729   32  2.008   32  0.398   28  0.586   37 0.5222   47 0.5050   32      0  1.460  0.830  0.343
Stanford              4  7  0  291  389  0.789   33  1.987   33  0.381   41  0.276   40 0.5178   58 0.4831   33      0  1.776  1.018 -0.465
Louisiana State       5  6  0  190  308  0.346   34  1.977   34  0.365   56 -0.134   38 0.5191   38 0.5299   34      0  1.258 -0.172 -0.096
Fresno State          8  4  0  467  350 -0.002   35  1.971   35  0.355   35  0.432   36 0.5256   33 0.5386   35      0  1.826  1.257 -0.393
Arkansas              5  5  1  165  208  0.331   36  1.950   36  0.328   47  0.058   43 0.5070   48 0.5038   36      0  0.761 -0.559  0.675
Illinois              5  6  0  204  210  0.461   37  1.943   37  0.318   37  0.355   32 0.5398   50 0.4988   37      0  0.966 -0.043  0.753
Oregon State          4  7  0  224  294  0.673   38  1.911   38  0.273   42  0.245   50 0.4990   55 0.4837   38      0  1.250  0.196  0.295
Wyoming               8  4  0  357  329 -0.142   39  1.857   39  0.235   50 -0.017   44 0.5064   49 0.5010   39      0  1.484  0.262 -0.297
North Carolina State  7  5  0  278  327  0.005   40  1.853   40  0.230   55 -0.126   34 0.5288   42 0.5095   40      0  1.361 -0.024 -0.227
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Tech            6  6  0  419  335  0.341   41  1.838   42  0.149   29  0.571   46 0.5053   54 0.4940   41      0  1.761  1.287 -0.145
Texas                 5  5  1  281  269  0.278   42  1.795   45  0.126   39  0.328   39 0.5184   43 0.5090   42      0  1.345  0.408  0.248
Syracuse              6  4  1  281  288 -0.223   43  1.762   41  0.169   65 -0.293   31 0.5490   25 0.5673   43      0  1.366 -0.184 -0.402
Georgia               5  6  0  328  289  0.392   44  1.734   44  0.130   33  0.503   52 0.4960   59 0.4782   44      0  1.677  1.080 -0.074
Kentucky              6  6  0  220  209  0.187   45  1.712   43  0.133   44  0.176   59 0.4856   65 0.4667   45      0  0.893 -0.302  0.654
Iowa                  6  6  0  214  293 -0.016   46  1.691   46  0.103   70 -0.388   41 0.5136   68 0.4622   46      0  1.043 -0.696 -0.080
Virginia              7  5  0  317  217  0.023   47  1.690   47  0.101   34  0.438   33 0.5332   37 0.5312   47      0  1.090  0.186  0.690
Brigham Young         6  6  0  411  435  0.127   48  1.689   48  0.101   46  0.087   47 0.5021   46 0.5060   48      0  1.874  0.996 -0.822
Kansas                5  7  0  242  256  0.494   49  1.656   49  0.054   38  0.339   42 0.5110   56 0.4836   49      0  1.023  0.007  0.670
Rice                  6  5  0  284  294 -0.033   50  1.637   50  0.023   51 -0.043   53 0.4915   63 0.4681   50      0  1.492  0.247 -0.333
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Memphis               6  5  0  268  215 -0.011   51  1.628   51  0.009   40  0.288   55 0.4883   52 0.4983   51      0  1.309  0.318  0.258
Cincinnati            8  3  0  302  197 -0.630   52  1.592   52 -0.008   59 -0.239   45 0.5056   28 0.5601   52      0  1.280 -0.248 -0.231
San Diego State       6  6  0  413  392  0.072   53  1.556   54 -0.057   45  0.176   62 0.4800   61 0.4713   53      0  1.789  0.938 -0.587
Colorado State        5  6  0  230  268  0.056   54  1.549   53 -0.028   57 -0.147   63 0.4782   60 0.4743   54      0  1.047 -0.450  0.157
Baylor                5  6  0  265  331  0.038   55  1.528   55 -0.058   60 -0.242   58 0.4868   57 0.4834   55      0  1.471  0.018 -0.502
Mississippi           5  6  0  242  142  0.286   56  1.525   56 -0.061   32  0.520   64 0.4739   66 0.4647   56      0  0.745 -0.112  1.153
Missouri              3  7  1  192  344  0.424   57  1.522   57 -0.064   58 -0.197   48 0.5011   69 0.4603   57      0  1.330 -0.137 -0.256
Utah                  7  6  0  390  396 -0.051   58  1.519   58 -0.071   52 -0.084   49 0.5008   45 0.5065   58      0  1.701  0.533 -0.700
Louisiana-Lafayette   8  3  0  249  227 -0.765   59  1.512   59 -0.083   75 -0.426   51 0.4987   40 0.5251   59      0  1.125 -0.636 -0.217
Minnesota             4  7  0  253  354  0.237   60  1.472   60 -0.137   67 -0.326   60 0.4839   76 0.4368   60      0  1.660  0.223 -0.876
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Vanderbilt            4  7  0  137  290  0.062   61  1.466   61 -0.147   77 -0.519   67 0.4682   71 0.4560   61      0  0.801 -1.094  0.057
New Mexico            6  5  0  335  256 -0.250   62  1.424   62 -0.213   48  0.052   69 0.4651   64 0.4680   62      0  1.345  0.132 -0.027
Utah State            7  5  0  363  354 -0.504   63  1.423   63 -0.215   73 -0.418   54 0.4898   35 0.5324   63      0  1.618  0.065 -0.900
Georgia Tech          5  6  0  260  286 -0.111   64  1.387   64 -0.266   64 -0.279   61 0.4821   67 0.4625   64      0  1.309 -0.249 -0.309
South Carolina        4  7  0  188  214  0.109   65  1.368   65 -0.293   49  0.022   75 0.4489   81 0.4198   65      0  0.902 -0.446  0.491
Texas Christian       4  7  0  201  313 -0.160   66  1.311   66 -0.381   78 -0.590   78 0.4387   86 0.4068   66      0  1.234 -0.660 -0.519
Ball State            8  3  1  301  265 -1.107   67  1.298   68 -0.404   84 -0.822   65 0.4725   27 0.5614   67      0  1.305 -0.798 -0.847
Mississippi State     3  6  2  241  245  0.154   68  1.297   67 -0.402   43  0.181   73 0.4539   77 0.4341   68      0  1.395  0.331  0.030
Iowa State            3  8  0  251  324  0.221   69  1.293   69 -0.407   53 -0.115   68 0.4674   82 0.4180   69      0  1.507  0.197 -0.428
Hawaii                6  6  0  393  357 -0.402   70  1.288   70 -0.417   68 -0.360   82 0.4279   90 0.3975   70      0  1.616  0.121 -0.840
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma State        3  8  0  174  236  0.241   71  1.243   71 -0.484   61 -0.255   77 0.4420   88 0.4009   71      0  0.814 -0.817  0.308
Tulsa                 4  6  1  262  273 -0.243   72  1.211   72 -0.504   71 -0.392   79 0.4359   78 0.4267   72      0  1.472 -0.131 -0.653
Rutgers               4  7  0  351  334 -0.094   73  1.159   75 -0.583   62 -0.255   57 0.4871   51 0.4986   73      0  1.684  0.334 -0.844
Pittsburgh            3  8  0  168  371 -0.156   74  1.153   73 -0.522   88 -0.916   56 0.4876   53 0.4953   74      0  1.191 -1.041 -0.790
Nevada                7  4  0  419  315 -0.720   75  1.118   74 -0.580   66 -0.300   66 0.4723   44 0.5072   75      0  1.877  0.614 -1.214
Bowling Green State   6  3  2  268  173 -0.971   76  1.109   76 -0.593   72 -0.408   71 0.4616   30 0.5535   76      0  1.012 -0.752 -0.064
Southern Methodist    2  7  2  206  277 -0.085   77  1.093   77 -0.612   69 -0.364   83 0.4268   85 0.4076   77      0  1.174 -0.512 -0.217
Northwestern          2  9  0  185  335  0.204   78  1.088   78 -0.617   76 -0.427   70 0.4648   84 0.4092   78      0  1.263 -0.459 -0.396
New Mexico State      5  6  0  231  350 -0.774   79  1.077   79 -0.640   92 -1.133   80 0.4336   72 0.4533   79      0  1.384 -0.998 -1.267
Western Michigan      7  3  1  236  187 -1.252   80  1.067   80 -0.657   82 -0.790   72 0.4580   39 0.5289   80      0  1.093 -1.038 -0.542
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Duke                  3  8  0  214  349 -0.222   81  1.024   81 -0.715   79 -0.641   76 0.4430   80 0.4214   81      0  1.342 -0.566 -0.717
Maryland              2  9  0  243  479  0.024   82  1.012   82 -0.719   86 -0.896   74 0.4508   75 0.4446   82      0  1.827 -0.068 -1.724
Army                  6  5  0  289  243 -1.054   83  0.925   83 -0.865   90 -0.993   84 0.4110   89 0.3999   83      0  1.408 -0.825 -1.161
Northern Illinois     4  7  0  227  334 -0.748   84  0.889   84 -0.916   94 -1.204   86 0.3954   93 0.3928   84      0  1.495 -0.908 -1.499
Navy                  4  7  0  203  307 -0.650   85  0.888   85 -0.918   93 -1.183   85 0.3962   98 0.3639   85      0  1.357 -1.086 -1.279
Tulane                3  9  0  154  355 -0.431   86  0.855   86 -0.962   98 -1.299   91 0.3884   97 0.3675   86      0  1.080 -1.562 -1.035
Houston               1  9  1  171  392 -0.127   87  0.845   87 -0.977   89 -0.930   88 0.3907   99 0.3605   87      0  1.324 -0.879 -0.981
Air Force             4  8  0  296  291 -0.469   88  0.836   89 -0.993   80 -0.664   98 0.3684  104 0.3298   88      0  1.097 -0.907 -0.421
Purdue                1 10  0  221  326  0.262   89  0.833   88 -0.992   63 -0.278   81 0.4292   91 0.3970   89      0  1.474 -0.014 -0.543
Pacific               3  8  0  184  260 -0.477   90  0.805   90 -1.044   83 -0.798   96 0.3765   96 0.3689   90      0  0.939 -1.226 -0.370
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Mississippi  2  8  1  214  311 -0.314   91  0.798   91 -1.055   81 -0.686   87 0.3920   95 0.3798   91      0  1.215 -0.781 -0.592
Wake Forest           2  9  0  199  318 -0.380   92  0.717   92 -1.181   85 -0.830   90 0.3886  101 0.3521   92      0  1.354 -0.739 -0.922
Central Michigan      5  6  0  275  244 -1.202   93  0.707   93 -1.198   87 -0.899   92 0.3883   70 0.4563   93      0  1.431 -0.698 -1.100
San Jose State        2  9  0  282  337 -0.273   94  0.702   94 -1.202   74 -0.424   95 0.3805   94 0.3857   94      0  1.535 -0.068 -0.780
East Carolina         2  9  0  175  329 -0.472   95  0.681   95 -1.237   96 -1.248  100 0.3569  105 0.3273   95      0  1.195 -1.369 -1.128
Nevada-Las Vegas      3  8  0  259  347 -0.772   96  0.669   96 -1.257   91 -1.035   94 0.3841   79 0.4234   96      0  1.596 -0.586 -1.484
Arkansas State        2  8  1  122  274 -0.846   97  0.646   97 -1.290  101 -1.459  102 0.3518  100 0.3581   97      0  0.623 -2.209 -0.709
Ohio                  4  7  0  134  282 -1.335   98  0.645   98 -1.291  104 -1.839   97 0.3744   74 0.4463   98      0  0.899 -2.311 -1.366
Akron                 5  6  0  192  222 -1.499   99  0.610   99 -1.376  100 -1.422   89 0.3903   62 0.4710   99      0  1.048 -1.724 -1.121
Miami (Ohio)          4  7  0  186  248 -1.305  100  0.588  100 -1.385  102 -1.553   99 0.3658   73 0.4470  100      0  1.148 -1.733 -1.373
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Toledo                4  7  0  252  270 -1.221  101  0.578  101 -1.417   95 -1.226  101 0.3564   83 0.4146  101      0  1.377 -1.101 -1.351
Texas-El Paso         1 11  0  220  449 -0.410  102  0.548  102 -1.458   97 -1.292  104 0.3480  102 0.3367  102      0  1.401 -1.133 -1.451
Louisiana Tech        2  9  0  143  332 -0.844  103  0.493  103 -1.554   99 -1.391  103 0.3502  103 0.3363  103      0  0.959 -1.796 -0.986
Eastern Michigan      4  7  0  163  220 -1.572  104  0.426  104 -1.658  103 -1.665  105 0.3471   87 0.4024  104      0  0.865 -2.174 -1.155
Temple                1 10  0  115  527 -1.094  105  0.359  105 -1.723  106 -2.404   93 0.3858   92 0.3950  105      0  1.292 -2.397 -2.410
Kent                  0 11  0  149  357 -1.378  106  0.000  106 -2.480  105 -2.204  106 0.2505  106 0.2957  106      0  1.271 -2.225 -2.183
UNRANKED              7 40  0  714 1617 -0.625      -1.000      -1.000      -1.623      0.3576      0.3892           0  1.282 -1.629 -1.617


ACC: strength=-0.076 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida State        12  1  0  536  129  1.139    1  3.043    1  1.924    1  2.332    1 0.6861    1 0.7049    2   1199  1.028  2.006  2.657
North Carolina       10  3  0  431  253  0.136   24  2.282   24  0.807   25  0.647   25 0.5743   23 0.5701   24    131  1.517  0.975  0.318
Clemson               9  3  0  198  192 -0.193   30  2.069   30  0.482   54 -0.124   28 0.5621   29 0.5558   30      0  0.558 -0.933  0.685
North Carolina State  7  5  0  278  327  0.005   40  1.853   40  0.230   55 -0.126   34 0.5288   42 0.5095   40      0  1.361 -0.024 -0.227
Virginia              7  5  0  317  217  0.023   47  1.690   47  0.101   34  0.438   33 0.5332   37 0.5312   47      0  1.090  0.186  0.690
Georgia Tech          5  6  0  260  286 -0.111   64  1.387   64 -0.266   64 -0.279   61 0.4821   67 0.4625   64      0  1.309 -0.249 -0.309
Duke                  3  8  0  214  349 -0.222   81  1.024   81 -0.715   79 -0.641   76 0.4430   80 0.4214   81      0  1.342 -0.566 -0.717
Maryland              2  9  0  243  479  0.024   82  1.012   82 -0.719   86 -0.896   74 0.4508   75 0.4446   82      0  1.827 -0.068 -1.724
Wake Forest           2  9  0  199  318 -0.380   92  0.717   92 -1.181   85 -0.830   90 0.3886  101 0.3521   92      0  1.354 -0.739 -0.922

Big 8: strength=0.579 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska             11  1  0  437  194  0.969    2  2.959    2  1.882    5  1.585    2 0.6768    2 0.6731    3   1151  1.348  1.669  1.502
Oklahoma              9  3  0  358  186  0.686   14  2.531   14  1.122    9  1.302   14 0.6105   17 0.6021   15    569  1.175  1.155  1.449
Colorado              8  3  1  368  250  0.607   19  2.404   19  0.985   17  1.054   15 0.6086   20 0.5920   17    404  1.439  1.267  0.841
Kansas State          9  2  1  340  227  0.233   22  2.350   22  0.907   27  0.589   21 0.5965   21 0.5919   20    274  1.254  0.545  0.633
Kansas                5  7  0  242  256  0.494   49  1.656   49  0.054   38  0.339   42 0.5110   56 0.4836   49      0  1.023  0.007  0.670
Missouri              3  7  1  192  344  0.424   57  1.522   57 -0.064   58 -0.197   48 0.5011   69 0.4603   57      0  1.330 -0.137 -0.256
Iowa State            3  8  0  251  324  0.221   69  1.293   69 -0.407   53 -0.115   68 0.4674   82 0.4180   69      0  1.507  0.197 -0.428
Oklahoma State        3  8  0  174  236  0.241   71  1.243   71 -0.484   61 -0.255   77 0.4420   88 0.4009   71      0  0.814 -0.817  0.308

Big East: strength=0.046 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia        11  1  0  408  212  0.241    8  2.730    8  1.421   22  0.818    5 0.6571    4 0.6706   10    815  1.255  0.776  0.861
Miami (Florida)       9  3  0  331  167  0.703   15  2.527   15  1.116   15  1.091   11 0.6353    5 0.6694   11    733  0.929  0.652  1.530
Boston College        9  3  0  408  240  0.144   25  2.240   25  0.743   26  0.618   17 0.6025   19 0.5946   18    382  1.460  0.862  0.375
Virginia Tech         9  3  0  445  270  0.098   27  2.221   27  0.715   31  0.528   20 0.5966   13 0.6218   26     23  1.668  1.091 -0.034
Syracuse              6  4  1  281  288 -0.223   43  1.762   41  0.169   65 -0.293   31 0.5490   25 0.5673   43      0  1.366 -0.184 -0.402
Rutgers               4  7  0  351  334 -0.094   73  1.159   75 -0.583   62 -0.255   57 0.4871   51 0.4986   73      0  1.684  0.334 -0.844
Pittsburgh            3  8  0  168  371 -0.156   74  1.153   73 -0.522   88 -0.916   56 0.4876   53 0.4953   74      0  1.191 -1.041 -0.790
Temple                1 10  0  115  527 -1.094  105  0.359  105 -1.723  106 -2.404   93 0.3858   92 0.3950  105      0  1.292 -2.397 -2.410

Big Ten: strength=0.469 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State           10  1  1  351  193  0.620    6  2.789    6  1.517   13  1.158    4 0.6671    7 0.6599    8    900  1.192  1.034  1.282
Penn State           10  2  0  388  215  0.657    9  2.715    9  1.398   11  1.232    7 0.6546   10 0.6316    9    816  1.354  1.324  1.139
Wisconsin            10  1  1  354  195  0.532   10  2.674   10  1.336   14  1.139    8 0.6504   12 0.6284    6    980  1.206  1.032  1.245
Michigan              8  4  0  342  160  0.692   23  2.308   23  0.848    8  1.317   18 0.6017   24 0.5674   19    369  1.019  0.980  1.653
Indiana               8  4  0  259  197  0.208   28  2.113   28  0.550   30  0.538   27 0.5715   32 0.5521   28      0  0.870  0.035  1.041
Michigan State        6  6  0  277  289  0.521   31  2.064   31  0.478   36  0.378   30 0.5565   36 0.5314   31      0  1.389  0.519  0.238
Illinois              5  6  0  204  210  0.461   37  1.943   37  0.318   37  0.355   32 0.5398   50 0.4988   37      0  0.966 -0.043  0.753
Iowa                  6  6  0  214  293 -0.016   46  1.691   46  0.103   70 -0.388   41 0.5136   68 0.4622   46      0  1.043 -0.696 -0.080
Minnesota             4  7  0  253  354  0.237   60  1.472   60 -0.137   67 -0.326   60 0.4839   76 0.4368   60      0  1.660  0.223 -0.876
Northwestern          2  9  0  185  335  0.204   78  1.088   78 -0.617   76 -0.427   70 0.4648   84 0.4092   78      0  1.263 -0.459 -0.396
Purdue                1 10  0  221  326  0.262   89  0.833   88 -0.992   63 -0.278   81 0.4292   91 0.3970   89      0  1.474 -0.014 -0.543

Big West: strength=-0.951 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisiana-Lafayette   8  3  0  249  227 -0.765   59  1.512   59 -0.083   75 -0.426   51 0.4987   40 0.5251   59      0  1.125 -0.636 -0.217
Utah State            7  5  0  363  354 -0.504   63  1.423   63 -0.215   73 -0.418   54 0.4898   35 0.5324   63      0  1.618  0.065 -0.900
Nevada                7  4  0  419  315 -0.720   75  1.118   74 -0.580   66 -0.300   66 0.4723   44 0.5072   75      0  1.877  0.614 -1.214
New Mexico State      5  6  0  231  350 -0.774   79  1.077   79 -0.640   92 -1.133   80 0.4336   72 0.4533   79      0  1.384 -0.998 -1.267
Northern Illinois     4  7  0  227  334 -0.748   84  0.889   84 -0.916   94 -1.204   86 0.3954   93 0.3928   84      0  1.495 -0.908 -1.499
Pacific               3  8  0  184  260 -0.477   90  0.805   90 -1.044   83 -0.798   96 0.3765   96 0.3689   90      0  0.939 -1.226 -0.370
San Jose State        2  9  0  282  337 -0.273   94  0.702   94 -1.202   74 -0.424   95 0.3805   94 0.3857   94      0  1.535 -0.068 -0.780
Nevada-Las Vegas      3  8  0  259  347 -0.772   96  0.669   96 -1.257   91 -1.035   94 0.3841   79 0.4234   96      0  1.596 -0.586 -1.484
Arkansas State        2  8  1  122  274 -0.846   97  0.646   97 -1.290  101 -1.459  102 0.3518  100 0.3581   97      0  0.623 -2.209 -0.709
Louisiana Tech        2  9  0  143  332 -0.844  103  0.493  103 -1.554   99 -1.391  103 0.3502  103 0.3363  103      0  0.959 -1.796 -0.986

Independent: strength=-0.476 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame           11  1  0  427  215  0.905    3  2.915    3  1.811    6  1.547    3 0.6745    8 0.6465    1   1250  1.407  1.713  1.380
Louisville            9  3  0  350  243  0.525   16  2.492   16  1.059   21  0.905   22 0.5936   14 0.6145   16    482  1.308  0.934  0.876
Memphis               6  5  0  268  215 -0.011   51  1.628   51  0.009   40  0.288   55 0.4883   52 0.4983   51      0  1.309  0.318  0.258
Cincinnati            8  3  0  302  197 -0.630   52  1.592   52 -0.008   59 -0.239   45 0.5056   28 0.5601   52      0  1.280 -0.248 -0.231
Tulsa                 4  6  1  262  273 -0.243   72  1.211   72 -0.504   71 -0.392   79 0.4359   78 0.4267   72      0  1.472 -0.131 -0.653
Army                  6  5  0  289  243 -1.054   83  0.925   83 -0.865   90 -0.993   84 0.4110   89 0.3999   83      0  1.408 -0.825 -1.161
Navy                  4  7  0  203  307 -0.650   85  0.888   85 -0.918   93 -1.183   85 0.3962   98 0.3639   85      0  1.357 -1.086 -1.279
Tulane                3  9  0  154  355 -0.431   86  0.855   86 -0.962   98 -1.299   91 0.3884   97 0.3675   86      0  1.080 -1.562 -1.035
Southern Mississippi  2  8  1  214  311 -0.314   91  0.798   91 -1.055   81 -0.686   87 0.3920   95 0.3798   91      0  1.215 -0.781 -0.592
East Carolina         2  9  0  175  329 -0.472   95  0.681   95 -1.237   96 -1.248  100 0.3569  105 0.3273   95      0  1.195 -1.369 -1.128

MAC: strength=-1.417 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ball State            8  3  1  301  265 -1.107   67  1.298   68 -0.404   84 -0.822   65 0.4725   27 0.5614   67      0  1.305 -0.798 -0.847
Bowling Green State   6  3  2  268  173 -0.971   76  1.109   76 -0.593   72 -0.408   71 0.4616   30 0.5535   76      0  1.012 -0.752 -0.064
Western Michigan      7  3  1  236  187 -1.252   80  1.067   80 -0.657   82 -0.790   72 0.4580   39 0.5289   80      0  1.093 -1.038 -0.542
Central Michigan      5  6  0  275  244 -1.202   93  0.707   93 -1.198   87 -0.899   92 0.3883   70 0.4563   93      0  1.431 -0.698 -1.100
Ohio                  4  7  0  134  282 -1.335   98  0.645   98 -1.291  104 -1.839   97 0.3744   74 0.4463   98      0  0.899 -2.311 -1.366
Akron                 5  6  0  192  222 -1.499   99  0.610   99 -1.376  100 -1.422   89 0.3903   62 0.4710   99      0  1.048 -1.724 -1.121
Miami (Ohio)          4  7  0  186  248 -1.305  100  0.588  100 -1.385  102 -1.553   99 0.3658   73 0.4470  100      0  1.148 -1.733 -1.373
Toledo                4  7  0  252  270 -1.221  101  0.578  101 -1.417   95 -1.226  101 0.3564   83 0.4146  101      0  1.377 -1.101 -1.351
Eastern Michigan      4  7  0  163  220 -1.572  104  0.426  104 -1.658  103 -1.665  105 0.3471   87 0.4024  104      0  0.865 -2.174 -1.155
Kent                  0 11  0  149  357 -1.378  106  0.000  106 -2.480  105 -2.204  106 0.2505  106 0.2957  106      0  1.271 -2.225 -2.183

Pac 10: strength=0.935 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona              10  2  0  294  161  0.795    7  2.777    7  1.499   10  1.296   10 0.6372    9 0.6353    7    971  0.930  0.858  1.733
UCLA                  8  4  0  368  230  0.961   12  2.562   12  1.169    7  1.392   13 0.6213   16 0.6074   13    637  1.329  1.449  1.335
Southern California   8  5  0  348  252  0.938   17  2.477   17  1.039   12  1.164   19 0.6000   18 0.5998   23    188  1.162  1.002  1.327
California            9  4  0  411  303  0.569   18  2.409   18  0.993   23  0.784   23 0.5833   26 0.5620   21    241  1.463  1.032  0.536
Washington            7  4  0  288  198  0.781   21  2.355   21  0.916   16  1.076   26 0.5742   31 0.5526   25     63  1.088  0.823  1.330
Arizona State         6  5  0  282  248  0.757   26  2.233   26  0.734   20  0.916   29 0.5604   34 0.5384   27      0  1.351  1.005  0.828
Washington State      5  6  0  271  248  0.893   29  2.082   29  0.506   24  0.716   35 0.5278   41 0.5101   29      0  1.309  0.746  0.686
Oregon                5  6  0  278  276  0.729   32  2.008   32  0.398   28  0.586   37 0.5222   47 0.5050   32      0  1.460  0.830  0.343
Stanford              4  7  0  291  389  0.789   33  1.987   33  0.381   41  0.276   40 0.5178   58 0.4831   33      0  1.776  1.018 -0.465
Oregon State          4  7  0  224  294  0.673   38  1.911   38  0.273   42  0.245   50 0.4990   55 0.4837   38      0  1.250  0.196  0.295

SEC: strength=0.535 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Auburn               11  0  0  353  192  0.364    4  2.897    4  1.776   19  0.917    6 0.6552    3 0.6724    4   1100  1.455  1.153  0.680
Florida              11  2  0  513  244  0.889    5  2.825    5  1.574    4  1.653    9 0.6431    6 0.6679    5   1049  1.674  2.225  1.081
Tennessee             9  2  1  484  175  0.760   13  2.558   13  1.163    2  1.739   16 0.6039   15 0.6076   14    620  1.455  1.974  1.503
Alabama               9  3  1  340  168  0.513   20  2.377   20  0.946   18  1.046   24 0.5754   22 0.5771   22    208  0.939  0.619  1.474
Louisiana State       5  6  0  190  308  0.346   34  1.977   34  0.365   56 -0.134   38 0.5191   38 0.5299   34      0  1.258 -0.172 -0.096
Arkansas              5  5  1  165  208  0.331   36  1.950   36  0.328   47  0.058   43 0.5070   48 0.5038   36      0  0.761 -0.559  0.675
Georgia               5  6  0  328  289  0.392   44  1.734   44  0.130   33  0.503   52 0.4960   59 0.4782   44      0  1.677  1.080 -0.074
Kentucky              6  6  0  220  209  0.187   45  1.712   43  0.133   44  0.176   59 0.4856   65 0.4667   45      0  0.893 -0.302  0.654
Mississippi           5  6  0  242  142  0.286   56  1.525   56 -0.061   32  0.520   64 0.4739   66 0.4647   56      0  0.745 -0.112  1.153
Vanderbilt            4  7  0  137  290  0.062   61  1.466   61 -0.147   77 -0.519   67 0.4682   71 0.4560   61      0  0.801 -1.094  0.057
South Carolina        4  7  0  188  214  0.109   65  1.368   65 -0.293   49  0.022   75 0.4489   81 0.4198   65      0  0.902 -0.446  0.491
Mississippi State     3  6  2  241  245  0.154   68  1.297   67 -0.402   43  0.181   73 0.4539   77 0.4341   68      0  1.395  0.331  0.030

SWC: strength=-0.007 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas A&M            10  2  0  425  143  0.689   11  2.633   11  1.272    3  1.705   12 0.6226   11 0.6297   12    695  1.033  1.385  2.025
Texas Tech            6  6  0  419  335  0.341   41  1.838   42  0.149   29  0.571   46 0.5053   54 0.4940   41      0  1.761  1.287 -0.145
Texas                 5  5  1  281  269  0.278   42  1.795   45  0.126   39  0.328   39 0.5184   43 0.5090   42      0  1.345  0.408  0.248
Rice                  6  5  0  284  294 -0.033   50  1.637   50  0.023   51 -0.043   53 0.4915   63 0.4681   50      0  1.492  0.247 -0.333
Baylor                5  6  0  265  331  0.038   55  1.528   55 -0.058   60 -0.242   58 0.4868   57 0.4834   55      0  1.471  0.018 -0.502
Texas Christian       4  7  0  201  313 -0.160   66  1.311   66 -0.381   78 -0.590   78 0.4387   86 0.4068   66      0  1.234 -0.660 -0.519
Southern Methodist    2  7  2  206  277 -0.085   77  1.093   77 -0.612   69 -0.364   83 0.4268   85 0.4076   77      0  1.174 -0.512 -0.217
Houston               1  9  1  171  392 -0.127   87  0.845   87 -0.977   89 -0.930   88 0.3907   99 0.3605   87      0  1.324 -0.879 -0.981

WAC: strength=-0.174 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Fresno State          8  4  0  467  350 -0.002   35  1.971   35  0.355   35  0.432   36 0.5256   33 0.5386   35      0  1.826  1.257 -0.393
Wyoming               8  4  0  357  329 -0.142   39  1.857   39  0.235   50 -0.017   44 0.5064   49 0.5010   39      0  1.484  0.262 -0.297
Brigham Young         6  6  0  411  435  0.127   48  1.689   48  0.101   46  0.087   47 0.5021   46 0.5060   48      0  1.874  0.996 -0.822
San Diego State       6  6  0  413  392  0.072   53  1.556   54 -0.057   45  0.176   62 0.4800   61 0.4713   53      0  1.789  0.938 -0.587
Colorado State        5  6  0  230  268  0.056   54  1.549   53 -0.028   57 -0.147   63 0.4782   60 0.4743   54      0  1.047 -0.450  0.157
Utah                  7  6  0  390  396 -0.051   58  1.519   58 -0.071   52 -0.084   49 0.5008   45 0.5065   58      0  1.701  0.533 -0.700
New Mexico            6  5  0  335  256 -0.250   62  1.424   62 -0.213   48  0.052   69 0.4651   64 0.4680   62      0  1.345  0.132 -0.027
Hawaii                6  6  0  393  357 -0.402   70  1.288   70 -0.417   68 -0.360   82 0.4279   90 0.3975   70      0  1.616  0.121 -0.840
Air Force             4  8  0  296  291 -0.469   88  0.836   89 -0.993   80 -0.664   98 0.3684  104 0.3298   88      0  1.097 -0.907 -0.421
Texas-El Paso         1 11  0  220  449 -0.410  102  0.548  102 -1.458   97 -1.292  104 0.3480  102 0.3367  102      0  1.401 -1.133 -1.451

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE   W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
Pac 10      66 50  0 0.569    1  0.935
Big 8       51 39  3 0.565    2  0.579
SEC         77 56  5 0.576    3  0.535
Big Ten     70 56  2 0.555    4  0.469
Big East    52 39  1 0.571    5  0.046
SWC         39 47  4 0.456    6 -0.007
ACC         57 49  0 0.538    7 -0.076
WAC         57 62  0 0.479    8 -0.174
Independent 55 56  2 0.496    9 -0.476
Big West    43 67  1 0.392   10 -0.951
MAC         47 60  4 0.441   11 -1.417

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.245 points in main ratings
     0.021 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:11:51 2007

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