Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma                    11  0  0  385   60  0.703    1  2.626    1  2.007    2  2.131    4 0.6702    5 0.6588    3   1155  0.801  2.117  2.146
Michigan State               9  1  0  253   83  1.132    2  2.585    2  1.933    4  1.932    2 0.6937    2 0.6943    2   1216  0.900  2.025  1.838
Mississippi                 10  1  0  265  110  1.051    3  2.571    3  1.908    5  1.725    1 0.7051    1 0.7109    1   1223  0.918  1.839  1.612
Maryland                    10  1  0  217   77  0.872    4  2.562    4  1.893    7  1.514    5 0.6692    3 0.6833    4   1094  0.460  1.170  1.858
UCLA                         9  2  0  299   74  1.292    5  2.544    5  1.780    1  2.172    3 0.6792    4 0.6830    5   1040  0.688  2.042  2.302
Texas Christian              9  2  0  306  105  1.095    6  2.458    6  1.639    3  2.005    6 0.6689    9 0.6239    7    951  1.121  2.356  1.654
Georgia Tech                 9  1  1  189   46  0.883    7  2.437    7  1.605    6  1.697    7 0.6641    7 0.6254    6   1021  0.063  1.043  2.352
Notre Dame                   8  2  0  210  112  0.946    8  2.389    8  1.528    9  1.389    9 0.6365    6 0.6367    8    900  0.914  1.498  1.281
Texas A&M                    7  2  1  160   89  1.091    9  2.363    9  1.488    8  1.457    8 0.6590    8 0.6253    9    849  0.451  1.106  1.809
Ohio State                   7  2  0  201   97  0.724   10  2.211   10  1.237   10  1.205   10 0.6286   16 0.5995   12    681  0.866  1.260  1.149
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan                     7  2  0  179   94  0.634   11  2.164   11  1.211   17  1.030   14 0.6040   25 0.5633   14    625  0.816  1.032  1.028
Auburn                       8  2  1  224  123  0.636   12  2.137   12  1.168   19  1.000   12 0.6137   18 0.5882   11    754  0.876  1.067  0.934
Duke                         7  2  1  196   95  0.690   13  2.136   13  1.166   14  1.086   13 0.6089   10 0.6226   13    660  0.693  0.961  1.212
Stanford                     6  3  1  198  135  0.969   14  2.097   14  1.107   12  1.194   11 0.6191   12 0.6119   17    473  1.009  1.411  0.977
Pittsburgh                   7  4  0  181  122  0.885   15  2.076   15  1.075   16  1.049   17 0.5914   15 0.6048   18    388  0.717  0.948  1.149
Miami (Florida)              6  3  0  181   81  0.892   16  2.049   16  0.997   15  1.067   15 0.5932   26 0.5626   15    538  0.651  0.900  1.234
Vanderbilt                   8  3  0  240   86  0.744   17  2.039   17  0.979   11  1.198   16 0.5919   28 0.5575   10    781  0.750  1.131  1.265
Kentucky                     6  3  1  178  131  0.725   18  1.978   18  0.939   27  0.756   19 0.5862   50 0.5218   19    337  0.815  0.758  0.755
Arkansas                     5  4  1  126  114  0.882   19  1.945   19  0.890   21  0.871   21 0.5787   45 0.5263   27     22  0.409  0.484  1.259
Texas                        5  5  0  189  212  1.009   20  1.926   20  0.888   26  0.782   20 0.5802   36 0.5365   29      0  1.405  1.505  0.060
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Navy                         6  2  1  188   56  0.500   21  1.916   21  0.869   18  1.024   35 0.5496   20 0.5843   16    481  0.323  0.564  1.484
Southern California          6  4  0  265  158  0.812   22  1.896   22  0.837   13  1.169   23 0.5771   51 0.5191   22    169  1.333  1.792  0.545
Tennessee                    6  3  1  188   92  0.699   23  1.893   23  0.833   22  0.845   24 0.5756   43 0.5277   20    316  0.685  0.712  0.978
Purdue                       5  3  1  113  103  0.576   24  1.868   24  0.793   38  0.508   22 0.5781   37 0.5357   30      0  0.350  0.071  0.946
Mississippi State            6  4  0  173  142  0.733   25  1.864   25  0.788   30  0.702   18 0.5885   22 0.5730   23    132  0.967  0.870  0.533
Oregon State                 6  3  0  126  120  0.195   26  1.847   26  0.758   47  0.176   27 0.5667   23 0.5662   21    243  0.512 -0.121  0.474
West Virginia                8  2  0  285  104  0.074   27  1.831   27  0.727   20  0.960   29 0.5575   17 0.5936   28      1  1.120  1.309  0.610
Syracuse                     5  3  0  180  130  0.502   28  1.794   28  0.665   31  0.699   32 0.5542   11 0.6154   24     92  1.245  1.207  0.191
Baylor                       5  5  0  146  143  0.780   29  1.790   29  0.660   32  0.657   31 0.5546   54 0.5091   31      0  0.763  0.604  0.711
Louisiana State              3  5  2  139  149  1.029   30  1.746   32  0.595   25  0.796   28 0.5642   53 0.5124   32      0  0.977  0.975  0.617
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulane                       5  4  1  163  136  0.549   31  1.733   30  0.608   36  0.576   38 0.5446   62 0.4913   33      0  0.697  0.456  0.697
Texas Tech                   7  3  1  202  166  0.142   32  1.727   31  0.597   44  0.315   25 0.5726   21 0.5761   34      0  0.878  0.385  0.246
Illinois                     5  3  1  149  114  0.461   33  1.667   33  0.507   37  0.562   26 0.5714   39 0.5311   35      0  0.782  0.527  0.596
Florida                      4  6  0  111  126  0.877   34  1.662   34  0.501   33  0.622   39 0.5441   58 0.5009   36      0  0.557  0.365  0.878
Washington                   5  4  1  141   93  0.516   35  1.658   35  0.493   28  0.744   40 0.5437   61 0.4914   37      0  0.425  0.370  1.117
Oregon                       6  4  0  204  158  0.311   36  1.601   36  0.437   34  0.598   33 0.5529   32 0.5431   38      0  1.048  0.862  0.335
Southern Methodist           4  6  0  118  115  0.916   37  1.599   37  0.437   23  0.807   42 0.5400   60 0.4954   39      0  0.421  0.430  1.185
Clemson                      7  3  0  206  144 -0.104   38  1.587   38  0.414   53  0.038   37 0.5448   38 0.5349   40      0  1.082  0.341 -0.265
Colorado State               8  2  0  175  108 -0.531   39  1.573   39  0.389   64 -0.167   30 0.5566   19 0.5867   41      0  0.602 -0.381  0.046
Army                         6  3  0  256   72  0.155   40  1.557   40  0.364   29  0.739   59 0.4981   33 0.5405   26     33  0.646  0.568  0.911
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Pacific                      5  4  0  132  121  0.254   41  1.530   41  0.317   43  0.329   34 0.5507   24 0.5652   42      0  0.657  0.168  0.490
Iowa                         3  5  1  166  173  0.844   42  1.529   42  0.316   24  0.803   45 0.5319   63 0.4875   43      0  1.221  1.279  0.326
Wisconsin                    4  5  0  172  166  0.569   43  1.511   43  0.310   40  0.478   47 0.5247   68 0.4690   44      0  1.182  0.905  0.052
Arizona State                8  2  1  343  107 -0.117   44  1.499   45  0.287   35  0.585   53 0.5200   44 0.5276   25     75  1.093  0.901  0.268
Wichita State                7  2  1  252  132 -0.340   45  1.451   44  0.291   46  0.178   46 0.5311   48 0.5249   45      0  1.118  0.526 -0.169
Colorado                     6  4  0  203  149  0.106   46  1.403   46  0.216   39  0.502   41 0.5406   30 0.5474   46      0  1.008  0.718  0.286
Wyoming                      8  3  0  225  137 -0.517   47  1.370   47  0.164   63 -0.142   43 0.5390   27 0.5589   47      0  0.910 -0.038 -0.247
Texas-El Paso                6  2  2  227  114 -0.167   48  1.369   48  0.163   41  0.446   51 0.5230   49 0.5232   48      0  0.869  0.505  0.388
Utah                         6  3  0  182  136 -0.301   49  1.364   49  0.155   57 -0.070   49 0.5244   34 0.5367   49      0  1.046  0.191 -0.331
Minnesota                    3  6  0  110  172  0.605   50  1.359   50  0.152   48  0.166   58 0.5003   78 0.4327   50      0  0.837  0.190  0.142
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia                      4  6  0  173  170  0.493   51  1.358   51  0.151   42  0.363   52 0.5208   65 0.4788   51      0  1.117  0.710  0.017
Penn State                   5  4  0  163  150 -0.074   52  1.347   52  0.130   56 -0.065   64 0.4781   52 0.5163   52      0  0.962  0.098 -0.228
Houston                      6  4  0  176  139 -0.101   53  1.338   53  0.112   50  0.075   44 0.5377   47 0.5252   53      0  0.881  0.147  0.003
Wake Forest                  5  4  1  131  153 -0.072   54  1.312   54  0.072   59 -0.083   55 0.5147   29 0.5508   54      0  0.564 -0.333  0.167
Nebraska                     5  5  0  127  176  0.295   55  1.302   55  0.056   52  0.047   36 0.5474   31 0.5437   55      0  0.935  0.179 -0.086
Colgate                      6  3  0  164  107 -0.336   56  1.257   57 -0.021   54  0.001   61 0.4833   14 0.6056   56      0  0.795 -0.020  0.022
Yale                         7  2  0  176   79 -0.855   57  1.223   56  0.003   68 -0.311   74 0.4483   42 0.5285   57      0  0.826 -0.299 -0.323
Arizona                      5  4  1  184  169 -0.265   58  1.194   58 -0.041   67 -0.291   60 0.4896   64 0.4826   58      0  1.009 -0.074 -0.508
George Washington            5  4  0   99   86 -0.233   59  1.189   59 -0.051   62 -0.138   65 0.4771   56 0.5070   59      0  0.119 -0.753  0.477
Denver                       8  2  0  310   89 -0.862   60  1.188   60 -0.057   51  0.075   50 0.5239   41 0.5291   60      0  0.964  0.240 -0.091
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rice                         2  7  1  110  179  0.625   61  1.172   61 -0.075   49  0.147   62 0.4818   91 0.3875   61      0  0.704  0.033  0.260
Virginia Tech                6  3  1  191  133 -0.639   62  1.091   62 -0.209   69 -0.333   66 0.4750   59 0.4958   62      0  1.018 -0.106 -0.560
Indiana                      3  6  0   91  150  0.399   63  1.075   63 -0.231   58 -0.078   63 0.4808   76 0.4372   63      0  0.504 -0.383  0.226
Hardin-Simmons               5  5  0  221  256 -0.269   64  1.067   64 -0.248   73 -0.434   68 0.4689   66 0.4768   64      0  1.614  0.591 -1.459
North Carolina               3  7  0  117  218  0.180   65  1.040   65 -0.289   71 -0.361   67 0.4711   69 0.4610   65      0  0.939 -0.225 -0.498
Princeton                    7  2  0  139   66 -1.201   66  1.039   66 -0.300   77 -0.598   75 0.4418   35 0.5366   66      0  0.364 -1.023 -0.173
Boston College               5  2  1  176   79 -0.375   67  1.026   67 -0.321   45  0.303   48 0.5245   40 0.5309   67      0  0.991  0.499  0.107
San Jose State               5  3  1  159  114 -0.274   68  1.009   68 -0.347   55 -0.040   56 0.5119   46 0.5260   68      0  0.834 -0.019 -0.060
Kansas State                 4  6  0  165  191 -0.108   69  1.000   69 -0.359   65 -0.194   69 0.4662   72 0.4448   69      0  1.121  0.157 -0.545
Detroit Mercy                5  3  1  100   62 -0.478   70  0.993   70 -0.371   61 -0.131   57 0.5093   57 0.5050   70      0 -0.005 -0.831  0.569
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Texas A&M               4  4  1  193  112 -0.174   71  0.920   71 -0.487   60 -0.093   78 0.4296   77 0.4349   71      0  0.913  0.015 -0.200
Holy Cross                   6  4  0  148  160 -0.727   72  0.900   72 -0.522   85 -0.921   71 0.4566   55 0.5072   72      0  1.068 -0.634 -1.208
North Texas                  5  4  1  197  159 -0.063   73  0.895   74 -0.530   66 -0.267   54 0.5174   13 0.6056   73      0  0.732 -0.353 -0.181
California                   2  7  1  107  216  0.128   74  0.894   73 -0.525   74 -0.435   73 0.4539   87 0.3975   74      0  0.798 -0.453 -0.418
Kansas                       3  6  1   93  222 -0.224   75  0.870   75 -0.568   78 -0.616   72 0.4561   89 0.3909   75      0  0.782 -0.651 -0.582
North Carolina State         4  5  1  206  193 -0.525   76  0.860   76 -0.583   75 -0.471   77 0.4360   79 0.4302   76      0  1.295  0.102 -1.044
Washington State             1  7  2   67  257 -0.012   77  0.831   77 -0.626   88 -0.959   76 0.4378   83 0.4138   77      0  0.648 -1.128 -0.789
Florida State                5  5  0  147  186 -0.666   78  0.817   78 -0.653   79 -0.698   70 0.4637   75 0.4377   78      0  0.838 -0.672 -0.723
Richmond                     4  3  2  131   82 -0.731   79  0.796   80 -0.686   70 -0.347   83 0.4212   71 0.4500   79      0  0.348 -0.786  0.092
Marquette                    2  6  1   77  194 -0.383   80  0.795   79 -0.684   82 -0.882   79 0.4291   81 0.4235   80      0  0.568 -1.128 -0.636
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
South Carolina               3  6  0  120  209 -0.473   81  0.735   81 -0.789   87 -0.947   84 0.4201   85 0.4097   81      0  1.096 -0.626 -1.268
Cornell                      5  4  0  159  134 -1.166   82  0.690   82 -0.871   90 -0.968   95 0.3746   70 0.4606   82      0  1.128 -0.607 -1.328
Oklahoma State               2  8  0   88  172 -0.109   83  0.675   83 -0.891   76 -0.498   80 0.4270   86 0.3987   83      0  0.429 -0.869 -0.127
Tulsa                        2  7  1  124  232 -0.404   84  0.614   84 -0.921   92 -1.051   85 0.4163   93 0.3839   84      0  1.085 -0.743 -1.358
Missouri                     1  9  0   92  192  0.114   85  0.591   85 -0.956   72 -0.424   86 0.4083   88 0.3948   85      0  0.743 -0.498 -0.350
Drake                        4  4  0  156  198 -1.122   86  0.590   86 -0.966  102 -1.640   88 0.4030   98 0.3566   86      0  1.305 -1.054 -2.226
Utah State                   4  6  0  177  173 -0.805   87  0.577   87 -0.985   84 -0.913   81 0.4257   73 0.4417   87      0  0.861 -0.863 -0.963
William & Mary               1  7  1   81  183 -0.253   88  0.569   88 -0.996   81 -0.809   93 0.3800   82 0.4169   88      0  0.744 -0.882 -0.735
Alabama                      0 10  0   48  256  0.732   89  0.534   89 -1.060   80 -0.726   82 0.4219   99 0.3542   89      0  0.547 -0.991 -0.460
Iowa State                   1  7  1   69  218 -0.415   90  0.528   90 -1.082   94 -1.105   90 0.4008   96 0.3629   90      0  0.529 -1.387 -0.823
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Northwestern                 0  8  1   66  241  0.142   91  0.503   91 -1.123   89 -0.964   89 0.4019  108 0.3264   91      0  0.814 -0.964 -0.963
Citadel                      5  4  0  108  155 -1.587   92  0.501   92 -1.134  104 -1.755   97 0.3732   94 0.3827   92      0  0.813 -1.757 -1.754
Davidson                     5  4  0  157   91 -1.574   93  0.443   93 -1.287   96 -1.211   92 0.3844   80 0.4288   93      0  0.469 -1.547 -0.875
Idaho                        2  7  0  128  174 -0.599   94  0.433   94 -1.297   83 -0.890   91 0.3966   95 0.3678   94      0  0.882 -0.817 -0.962
Harvard                      3  4  1  143  114 -1.315   95  0.422   95 -1.321   98 -1.276  106 0.3191   92 0.3866   95      0  0.706 -1.388 -1.164
Montana                      3  7  0  109  281 -1.350   96  0.402   97 -1.351  108 -2.089   96 0.3736  101 0.3460   96      0  1.103 -1.759 -2.418
Villanova                    1  9  0   86  204 -0.182   97  0.401   96 -1.348   86 -0.927   94 0.3783  102 0.3439   97      0  0.808 -0.934 -0.921
Dartmouth                    3  6  0   92  120 -1.114   98  0.357   98 -1.427   95 -1.151  102 0.3461   74 0.4398   98      0  0.435 -1.517 -0.786
Cincinnati                   1  6  2   97  199 -0.705   99  0.348   99 -1.441   93 -1.059   87 0.4042   84 0.4114   99      0  1.073 -0.767 -1.352
Boston University            2  6  0  113  174 -0.815  100  0.346  100 -1.444   97 -1.213   99 0.3650   97 0.3599  100      0  0.956 -1.057 -1.369
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rutgers                      3  5  0   95  163 -1.374  101  0.302  101 -1.522  100 -1.577   98 0.3674   67 0.4727  101      0  1.022 -1.344 -1.809
Virginia                     1  9  0   96  201 -0.484  102  0.278  102 -1.556   91 -1.025  101 0.3497  105 0.3346  102      0  0.742 -1.100 -0.950
New Mexico State             3  7  0  141  226 -1.124  103  0.276  103 -1.566  103 -1.749  104 0.3284  110 0.2723  103      0  0.804 -1.760 -1.738
New Mexico                   2  8  0   61  213 -1.370  104  0.177  104 -1.743  107 -2.069  100 0.3544  106 0.3307  104      0  0.279 -2.564 -1.575
Brown                        2  7  0   86  139 -1.273  105  0.137  105 -1.814   99 -1.421  109 0.2954   90 0.3900  105      0  0.591 -1.645 -1.196
Virginia Military Institute  1  9  0   85  259 -0.913  106  0.106  106 -1.865  101 -1.604  107 0.3138  103 0.3407  106      0  1.035 -1.356 -1.852
Pennsylvania                 0  9  0   34  270 -0.665  107  0.087  107 -1.899  106 -2.040  108 0.3025  100 0.3507  107      0  0.600 -2.256 -1.825
Columbia                     1  8  0   74  251 -1.317  108  0.049  108 -1.983  105 -2.019  110 0.2721  107 0.3299  108      0  0.967 -1.851 -2.187
Furman                       1  9  0   71  319 -1.192  109  0.013  109 -2.046  109 -2.180  103 0.3351  104 0.3394  109      0  0.889 -2.099 -2.261
Brigham Young                1  9  0  104  300 -1.334  110  0.000  110 -2.070  110 -2.307  105 0.3202  109 0.3018  110      0  1.130 -1.944 -2.669
UNRANKED                    28 56  1  901 1926 -1.027      -1.000      -1.000      -1.573      0.3990      0.4392           0  0.868 -1.515 -1.631


ACC: strength=-0.111 (#6)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Maryland                    10  1  0  217   77  0.872    4  2.562    4  1.893    7  1.514    5 0.6692    3 0.6833    4   1094  0.460  1.170  1.858
Duke                         7  2  1  196   95  0.690   13  2.136   13  1.166   14  1.086   13 0.6089   10 0.6226   13    660  0.693  0.961  1.212
Clemson                      7  3  0  206  144 -0.104   38  1.587   38  0.414   53  0.038   37 0.5448   38 0.5349   40      0  1.082  0.341 -0.265
Wake Forest                  5  4  1  131  153 -0.072   54  1.312   54  0.072   59 -0.083   55 0.5147   29 0.5508   54      0  0.564 -0.333  0.167
North Carolina               3  7  0  117  218  0.180   65  1.040   65 -0.289   71 -0.361   67 0.4711   69 0.4610   65      0  0.939 -0.225 -0.498
North Carolina State         4  5  1  206  193 -0.525   76  0.860   76 -0.583   75 -0.471   77 0.4360   79 0.4302   76      0  1.295  0.102 -1.044
South Carolina               3  6  0  120  209 -0.473   81  0.735   81 -0.789   87 -0.947   84 0.4201   85 0.4097   81      0  1.096 -0.626 -1.268
Virginia                     1  9  0   96  201 -0.484  102  0.278  102 -1.556   91 -1.025  101 0.3497  105 0.3346  102      0  0.742 -1.100 -0.950

Big 7: strength=-0.086 (#5)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma                    11  0  0  385   60  0.703    1  2.626    1  2.007    2  2.131    4 0.6702    5 0.6588    3   1155  0.801  2.117  2.146
Colorado                     6  4  0  203  149  0.106   46  1.403   46  0.216   39  0.502   41 0.5406   30 0.5474   46      0  1.008  0.718  0.286
Nebraska                     5  5  0  127  176  0.295   55  1.302   55  0.056   52  0.047   36 0.5474   31 0.5437   55      0  0.935  0.179 -0.086
Kansas State                 4  6  0  165  191 -0.108   69  1.000   69 -0.359   65 -0.194   69 0.4662   72 0.4448   69      0  1.121  0.157 -0.545
Kansas                       3  6  1   93  222 -0.224   75  0.870   75 -0.568   78 -0.616   72 0.4561   89 0.3909   75      0  0.782 -0.651 -0.582
Missouri                     1  9  0   92  192  0.114   85  0.591   85 -0.956   72 -0.424   86 0.4083   88 0.3948   85      0  0.743 -0.498 -0.350
Iowa State                   1  7  1   69  218 -0.415   90  0.528   90 -1.082   94 -1.105   90 0.4008   96 0.3629   90      0  0.529 -1.387 -0.823

Big Ten: strength=0.644 (#3)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan State               9  1  0  253   83  1.132    2  2.585    2  1.933    4  1.932    2 0.6937    2 0.6943    2   1216  0.900  2.025  1.838
Ohio State                   7  2  0  201   97  0.724   10  2.211   10  1.237   10  1.205   10 0.6286   16 0.5995   12    681  0.866  1.260  1.149
Michigan                     7  2  0  179   94  0.634   11  2.164   11  1.211   17  1.030   14 0.6040   25 0.5633   14    625  0.816  1.032  1.028
Purdue                       5  3  1  113  103  0.576   24  1.868   24  0.793   38  0.508   22 0.5781   37 0.5357   30      0  0.350  0.071  0.946
Illinois                     5  3  1  149  114  0.461   33  1.667   33  0.507   37  0.562   26 0.5714   39 0.5311   35      0  0.782  0.527  0.596
Iowa                         3  5  1  166  173  0.844   42  1.529   42  0.316   24  0.803   45 0.5319   63 0.4875   43      0  1.221  1.279  0.326
Wisconsin                    4  5  0  172  166  0.569   43  1.511   43  0.310   40  0.478   47 0.5247   68 0.4690   44      0  1.182  0.905  0.052
Minnesota                    3  6  0  110  172  0.605   50  1.359   50  0.152   48  0.166   58 0.5003   78 0.4327   50      0  0.837  0.190  0.142
Indiana                      3  6  0   91  150  0.399   63  1.075   63 -0.231   58 -0.078   63 0.4808   76 0.4372   63      0  0.504 -0.383  0.226
Northwestern                 0  8  1   66  241  0.142   91  0.503   91 -1.123   89 -0.964   89 0.4019  108 0.3264   91      0  0.814 -0.964 -0.963

Border: strength=-0.114 (#7)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Tech                   7  3  1  202  166  0.142   32  1.727   31  0.597   44  0.315   25 0.5726   21 0.5761   34      0  0.878  0.385  0.246
Arizona State                8  2  1  343  107 -0.117   44  1.499   45  0.287   35  0.585   53 0.5200   44 0.5276   25     75  1.093  0.901  0.268
Texas-El Paso                6  2  2  227  114 -0.167   48  1.369   48  0.163   41  0.446   51 0.5230   49 0.5232   48      0  0.869  0.505  0.388
Arizona                      5  4  1  184  169 -0.265   58  1.194   58 -0.041   67 -0.291   60 0.4896   64 0.4826   58      0  1.009 -0.074 -0.508
Hardin-Simmons               5  5  0  221  256 -0.269   64  1.067   64 -0.248   73 -0.434   68 0.4689   66 0.4768   64      0  1.614  0.591 -1.459
West Texas A&M               4  4  1  193  112 -0.174   71  0.920   71 -0.487   60 -0.093   78 0.4296   77 0.4349   71      0  0.913  0.015 -0.200
New Mexico State             3  7  0  141  226 -1.124  103  0.276  103 -1.566  103 -1.749  104 0.3284  110 0.2723  103      0  0.804 -1.760 -1.738

Independent: strength=-0.545 (#9)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame                   8  2  0  210  112  0.946    8  2.389    8  1.528    9  1.389    9 0.6365    6 0.6367    8    900  0.914  1.498  1.281
Pittsburgh                   7  4  0  181  122  0.885   15  2.076   15  1.075   16  1.049   17 0.5914   15 0.6048   18    388  0.717  0.948  1.149
Miami (Florida)              6  3  0  181   81  0.892   16  2.049   16  0.997   15  1.067   15 0.5932   26 0.5626   15    538  0.651  0.900  1.234
Navy                         6  2  1  188   56  0.500   21  1.916   21  0.869   18  1.024   35 0.5496   20 0.5843   16    481  0.323  0.564  1.484
Syracuse                     5  3  0  180  130  0.502   28  1.794   28  0.665   31  0.699   32 0.5542   11 0.6154   24     92  1.245  1.207  0.191
Army                         6  3  0  256   72  0.155   40  1.557   40  0.364   29  0.739   59 0.4981   33 0.5405   26     33  0.646  0.568  0.911
Pacific                      5  4  0  132  121  0.254   41  1.530   41  0.317   43  0.329   34 0.5507   24 0.5652   42      0  0.657  0.168  0.490
Penn State                   5  4  0  163  150 -0.074   52  1.347   52  0.130   56 -0.065   64 0.4781   52 0.5163   52      0  0.962  0.098 -0.228
Colgate                      6  3  0  164  107 -0.336   56  1.257   57 -0.021   54  0.001   61 0.4833   14 0.6056   56      0  0.795 -0.020  0.022
Yale                         7  2  0  176   79 -0.855   57  1.223   56  0.003   68 -0.311   74 0.4483   42 0.5285   57      0  0.826 -0.299 -0.323
Princeton                    7  2  0  139   66 -1.201   66  1.039   66 -0.300   77 -0.598   75 0.4418   35 0.5366   66      0  0.364 -1.023 -0.173
Boston College               5  2  1  176   79 -0.375   67  1.026   67 -0.321   45  0.303   48 0.5245   40 0.5309   67      0  0.991  0.499  0.107
San Jose State               5  3  1  159  114 -0.274   68  1.009   68 -0.347   55 -0.040   56 0.5119   46 0.5260   68      0  0.834 -0.019 -0.060
Holy Cross                   6  4  0  148  160 -0.727   72  0.900   72 -0.522   85 -0.921   71 0.4566   55 0.5072   72      0  1.068 -0.634 -1.208
North Texas                  5  4  1  197  159 -0.063   73  0.895   74 -0.530   66 -0.267   54 0.5174   13 0.6056   73      0  0.732 -0.353 -0.181
Florida State                5  5  0  147  186 -0.666   78  0.817   78 -0.653   79 -0.698   70 0.4637   75 0.4377   78      0  0.838 -0.672 -0.723
Marquette                    2  6  1   77  194 -0.383   80  0.795   79 -0.684   82 -0.882   79 0.4291   81 0.4235   80      0  0.568 -1.128 -0.636
Cornell                      5  4  0  159  134 -1.166   82  0.690   82 -0.871   90 -0.968   95 0.3746   70 0.4606   82      0  1.128 -0.607 -1.328
Drake                        4  4  0  156  198 -1.122   86  0.590   86 -0.966  102 -1.640   88 0.4030   98 0.3566   86      0  1.305 -1.054 -2.226
Harvard                      3  4  1  143  114 -1.315   95  0.422   95 -1.321   98 -1.276  106 0.3191   92 0.3866   95      0  0.706 -1.388 -1.164
Villanova                    1  9  0   86  204 -0.182   97  0.401   96 -1.348   86 -0.927   94 0.3783  102 0.3439   97      0  0.808 -0.934 -0.921
Dartmouth                    3  6  0   92  120 -1.114   98  0.357   98 -1.427   95 -1.151  102 0.3461   74 0.4398   98      0  0.435 -1.517 -0.786
Cincinnati                   1  6  2   97  199 -0.705   99  0.348   99 -1.441   93 -1.059   87 0.4042   84 0.4114   99      0  1.073 -0.767 -1.352
Boston University            2  6  0  113  174 -0.815  100  0.346  100 -1.444   97 -1.213   99 0.3650   97 0.3599  100      0  0.956 -1.057 -1.369
Rutgers                      3  5  0   95  163 -1.374  101  0.302  101 -1.522  100 -1.577   98 0.3674   67 0.4727  101      0  1.022 -1.344 -1.809
Brown                        2  7  0   86  139 -1.273  105  0.137  105 -1.814   99 -1.421  109 0.2954   90 0.3900  105      0  0.591 -1.645 -1.196
Pennsylvania                 0  9  0   34  270 -0.665  107  0.087  107 -1.899  106 -2.040  108 0.3025  100 0.3507  107      0  0.600 -2.256 -1.825
Columbia                     1  8  0   74  251 -1.317  108  0.049  108 -1.983  105 -2.019  110 0.2721  107 0.3299  108      0  0.967 -1.851 -2.187

MVC: strength=-0.297 (#8)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wichita State                7  2  1  252  132 -0.340   45  1.451   44  0.291   46  0.178   46 0.5311   48 0.5249   45      0  1.118  0.526 -0.169
Houston                      6  4  0  176  139 -0.101   53  1.338   53  0.112   50  0.075   44 0.5377   47 0.5252   53      0  0.881  0.147  0.003
Detroit Mercy                5  3  1  100   62 -0.478   70  0.993   70 -0.371   61 -0.131   57 0.5093   57 0.5050   70      0 -0.005 -0.831  0.569
Oklahoma State               2  8  0   88  172 -0.109   83  0.675   83 -0.891   76 -0.498   80 0.4270   86 0.3987   83      0  0.429 -0.869 -0.127
Tulsa                        2  7  1  124  232 -0.404   84  0.614   84 -0.921   92 -1.051   85 0.4163   93 0.3839   84      0  1.085 -0.743 -1.358

PCC: strength=0.462 (#4)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
UCLA                         9  2  0  299   74  1.292    5  2.544    5  1.780    1  2.172    3 0.6792    4 0.6830    5   1040  0.688  2.042  2.302
Stanford                     6  3  1  198  135  0.969   14  2.097   14  1.107   12  1.194   11 0.6191   12 0.6119   17    473  1.009  1.411  0.977
Southern California          6  4  0  265  158  0.812   22  1.896   22  0.837   13  1.169   23 0.5771   51 0.5191   22    169  1.333  1.792  0.545
Oregon State                 6  3  0  126  120  0.195   26  1.847   26  0.758   47  0.176   27 0.5667   23 0.5662   21    243  0.512 -0.121  0.474
Washington                   5  4  1  141   93  0.516   35  1.658   35  0.493   28  0.744   40 0.5437   61 0.4914   37      0  0.425  0.370  1.117
Oregon                       6  4  0  204  158  0.311   36  1.601   36  0.437   34  0.598   33 0.5529   32 0.5431   38      0  1.048  0.862  0.335
California                   2  7  1  107  216  0.128   74  0.894   73 -0.525   74 -0.435   73 0.4539   87 0.3975   74      0  0.798 -0.453 -0.418
Washington State             1  7  2   67  257 -0.012   77  0.831   77 -0.626   88 -0.959   76 0.4378   83 0.4138   77      0  0.648 -1.128 -0.789
Idaho                        2  7  0  128  174 -0.599   94  0.433   94 -1.297   83 -0.890   91 0.3966   95 0.3678   94      0  0.882 -0.817 -0.962

SEC: strength=0.904 (#2)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mississippi                 10  1  0  265  110  1.051    3  2.571    3  1.908    5  1.725    1 0.7051    1 0.7109    1   1223  0.918  1.839  1.612
Georgia Tech                 9  1  1  189   46  0.883    7  2.437    7  1.605    6  1.697    7 0.6641    7 0.6254    6   1021  0.063  1.043  2.352
Auburn                       8  2  1  224  123  0.636   12  2.137   12  1.168   19  1.000   12 0.6137   18 0.5882   11    754  0.876  1.067  0.934
Vanderbilt                   8  3  0  240   86  0.744   17  2.039   17  0.979   11  1.198   16 0.5919   28 0.5575   10    781  0.750  1.131  1.265
Kentucky                     6  3  1  178  131  0.725   18  1.978   18  0.939   27  0.756   19 0.5862   50 0.5218   19    337  0.815  0.758  0.755
Tennessee                    6  3  1  188   92  0.699   23  1.893   23  0.833   22  0.845   24 0.5756   43 0.5277   20    316  0.685  0.712  0.978
Mississippi State            6  4  0  173  142  0.733   25  1.864   25  0.788   30  0.702   18 0.5885   22 0.5730   23    132  0.967  0.870  0.533
Louisiana State              3  5  2  139  149  1.029   30  1.746   32  0.595   25  0.796   28 0.5642   53 0.5124   32      0  0.977  0.975  0.617
Tulane                       5  4  1  163  136  0.549   31  1.733   30  0.608   36  0.576   38 0.5446   62 0.4913   33      0  0.697  0.456  0.697
Florida                      4  6  0  111  126  0.877   34  1.662   34  0.501   33  0.622   39 0.5441   58 0.5009   36      0  0.557  0.365  0.878
Georgia                      4  6  0  173  170  0.493   51  1.358   51  0.151   42  0.363   52 0.5208   65 0.4788   51      0  1.117  0.710  0.017
Alabama                      0 10  0   48  256  0.732   89  0.534   89 -1.060   80 -0.726   82 0.4219   99 0.3542   89      0  0.547 -0.991 -0.460

Skyline: strength=-0.981 (#11)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado State               8  2  0  175  108 -0.531   39  1.573   39  0.389   64 -0.167   30 0.5566   19 0.5867   41      0  0.602 -0.381  0.046
Wyoming                      8  3  0  225  137 -0.517   47  1.370   47  0.164   63 -0.142   43 0.5390   27 0.5589   47      0  0.910 -0.038 -0.247
Utah                         6  3  0  182  136 -0.301   49  1.364   49  0.155   57 -0.070   49 0.5244   34 0.5367   49      0  1.046  0.191 -0.331
Denver                       8  2  0  310   89 -0.862   60  1.188   60 -0.057   51  0.075   50 0.5239   41 0.5291   60      0  0.964  0.240 -0.091
Utah State                   4  6  0  177  173 -0.805   87  0.577   87 -0.985   84 -0.913   81 0.4257   73 0.4417   87      0  0.861 -0.863 -0.963
Montana                      3  7  0  109  281 -1.350   96  0.402   97 -1.351  108 -2.089   96 0.3736  101 0.3460   96      0  1.103 -1.759 -2.418
New Mexico                   2  8  0   61  213 -1.370  104  0.177  104 -1.743  107 -2.069  100 0.3544  106 0.3307  104      0  0.279 -2.564 -1.575
Brigham Young                1  9  0  104  300 -1.334  110  0.000  110 -2.070  110 -2.307  105 0.3202  109 0.3018  110      0  1.130 -1.944 -2.669

Southern: strength=-0.968 (#10)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
West Virginia                8  2  0  285  104  0.074   27  1.831   27  0.727   20  0.960   29 0.5575   17 0.5936   28      1  1.120  1.309  0.610
George Washington            5  4  0   99   86 -0.233   59  1.189   59 -0.051   62 -0.138   65 0.4771   56 0.5070   59      0  0.119 -0.753  0.477
Virginia Tech                6  3  1  191  133 -0.639   62  1.091   62 -0.209   69 -0.333   66 0.4750   59 0.4958   62      0  1.018 -0.106 -0.560
Richmond                     4  3  2  131   82 -0.731   79  0.796   80 -0.686   70 -0.347   83 0.4212   71 0.4500   79      0  0.348 -0.786  0.092
William & Mary               1  7  1   81  183 -0.253   88  0.569   88 -0.996   81 -0.809   93 0.3800   82 0.4169   88      0  0.744 -0.882 -0.735
Citadel                      5  4  0  108  155 -1.587   92  0.501   92 -1.134  104 -1.755   97 0.3732   94 0.3827   92      0  0.813 -1.757 -1.754
Davidson                     5  4  0  157   91 -1.574   93  0.443   93 -1.287   96 -1.211   92 0.3844   80 0.4288   93      0  0.469 -1.547 -0.875
Virginia Military Institute  1  9  0   85  259 -0.913  106  0.106  106 -1.865  101 -1.604  107 0.3138  103 0.3407  106      0  1.035 -1.356 -1.852
Furman                       1  9  0   71  319 -1.192  109  0.013  109 -2.046  109 -2.180  103 0.3351  104 0.3394  109      0  0.889 -2.099 -2.261

SWC: strength=1.036 (#1)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Christian              9  2  0  306  105  1.095    6  2.458    6  1.639    3  2.005    6 0.6689    9 0.6239    7    951  1.121  2.356  1.654
Texas A&M                    7  2  1  160   89  1.091    9  2.363    9  1.488    8  1.457    8 0.6590    8 0.6253    9    849  0.451  1.106  1.809
Arkansas                     5  4  1  126  114  0.882   19  1.945   19  0.890   21  0.871   21 0.5787   45 0.5263   27     22  0.409  0.484  1.259
Texas                        5  5  0  189  212  1.009   20  1.926   20  0.888   26  0.782   20 0.5802   36 0.5365   29      0  1.405  1.505  0.060
Baylor                       5  5  0  146  143  0.780   29  1.790   29  0.660   32  0.657   31 0.5546   54 0.5091   31      0  0.763  0.604  0.711
Southern Methodist           4  6  0  118  115  0.916   37  1.599   37  0.437   23  0.807   42 0.5400   60 0.4954   39      0  0.421  0.430  1.185
Rice                         2  7  1  110  179  0.625   61  1.172   61 -0.075   49  0.147   62 0.4818   91 0.3875   61      0  0.704  0.033  0.260

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE    W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
SWC          37  31   3 0.542    1  1.036
SEC          69  48   7 0.585    2  0.904
Big Ten      46  41   4 0.527    3  0.644
PCC          43  41   5 0.511    4  0.462
Big 7        31  37   2 0.457    5 -0.086
ACC          40  37   3 0.519    6 -0.111
Border       38  27   6 0.577    7 -0.114
MVC          22  24   3 0.480    8 -0.297
Independent 121 124   8 0.494    9 -0.545
Southern     36  45   4 0.447   10 -0.968
Skyline      40  40   0 0.500   11 -0.981

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.188 points in main ratings
     0.023 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:13:01 2007

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